California real estate market update for September 2026

Mortgage Rates Climb To Highest Level In A Year

September 07, 2026

California’s housing market enters September pulled in two directions. Mortgage rates just jumped to their highest level in over a year, adding fresh pressure to affordability, even as new listings nationwide hit their strongest pace since 2022 — giving buyers more to choose from. Statewide, California’s median home price has eased for a second straight month, and institutional investors are retreating sharply under a new law curbing large-scale buying, though San Francisco prices are still climbing faster than any other major metro. Foreclosure activity has also ticked up from historic lows. Overall, the data point to a market rebalancing rather than reversing.

In The News:

Yahoo FinanceMortgage Rates Hit Highest Level in Over a Year (September 3, 2026) — The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate climbed to 6.69% this week, its highest mark since June 2025, as a global bond selloff and hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh pushed Treasury yields higher. Traders now see roughly even odds of a rate hike later this month, adding fresh pressure to already-strained affordability for California buyers heading into fall.

CotalityInvestor Report Q2 2026 (September 3, 2026) — Institutional investors made up 27% of U.S. single-family purchases in the second quarter, down from 28%, with mega investors owning 1,000-plus properties cutting acquisitions 40% year-over-year. The pullback tracks California’s 21st Century Road to Housing Act, which restricts buying by entities holding 350 or more properties. California investor interest has stayed elevated regardless, aided by ADU-friendly local policies.

RedfinHomebuyers Have More Fresh Options Than They’ve Had in 4 Years (September 3, 2026) — Fresh listings nationwide climbed 2.1% week-over-week to their highest level since August 2022, giving buyers more inventory even as pending sales stayed flat. San Francisco posted the steepest year-over-year price gain of any major metro at 9%, while San Jose new listings jumped 29.4% annually — signs Bay Area sellers are increasingly willing to test the market.

ATTOMJuly 2026 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report (August 27, 2026) — Foreclosure filings rose 10% year-over-year nationally in July, and California ranked third among states with 2,540 foreclosure starts. Vallejo posted the fourth-highest foreclosure rate among major metros. ATTOM’s Rob Barber noted annual increases have become more common but said volumes remain low by historical standards, calling the market relatively resilient overall despite the uptick.

C.A.R.July 2026 Home Sales and Price Report (August 17, 2026) — California’s statewide median home price slipped 1.9% from June to $887,680, dropping below $900,000, while existing single-family home sales fell 6% to a seasonally adjusted 263,170 units. Homes still moved fast, spending just 26 days on market on average, down from 28 a year earlier — a sign demand has adjusted to price rather than disappeared.

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TNG Team

The Norris Group team

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