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California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘construction’

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/17/10

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

 CBIA announced that housing affordability has decreased in 22 of California’s 28 metropolitan areas. The Commerce Department reports that housing and apartment construction increased by 2.8 percent last month. According to SFAR, there is a 3.5 month supply of housing inventory in the San Francisco market. A survey shows that large investment companies are spending more on REIT investments.

In The News:

CBIA“California Housing Affordability Continues Slide in Fourth Quarter, CBIA Announces” (2-17-10)

“Housing affordability in California continued to fall throughout most of the state during the fourth quarter of 2009, the California Building Industry Association said today. The quarterly National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index found that homes were less affordable in 22 of the state’s 28 metro areas included in the report.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (2-17-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 12, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 0.5 percent compared with the previous week.”

Los Angeles Times“Housing construction rises 2.8 percent in Janury” (2-17-10)

“The Commerce Department said Wednesday that construction of new homes and apartments rose 2.8 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 591,000 units. That was better than the 580,000 annual pace that economists were forecasting.”

Housing Wire“Continental Conflicts Arising Over Banker Pay” (2-17-10)

“The majority of banking executives oppose government intervention in setting bank compensation parameters, according to a bank executive survey conducted from Nov. 17-Dec. 3, 2009 by US audit firm Grant Thornton. The sentiment, however, is not as greatly embraced abroad. The survey found 96% of 246 respondents do not agree the government should play a role in determining compensation, while 61% do not think a requirement to evaluate compensation will reduce excessive risk-taking.”

Housing Wire“San Francisco Inventory at 3.5 Month Supply” (2-17-10)

“Despite a lull in luxury home sales, prices are up and inventory is down in the San Francisco market, according to a joint research report released by the Rosen Consulting Group and the San Francisco Association of Realtors. The report said there is a 3.5-month supply of single-family homes on the market, down from 5.8 months in January 2009. Condo inventory was at a 4.1-month supply, down from 9.5 months in January 2009.”

Housing Wire“FHFA Proposes New Performance Goals for Fannie, Freddie” (2-17-10)

“The FHFA required, as the first goal for single-family housing, that 27% of the total number of mortgages purchased by Fannie and Freddie be of low-income family housing. The FHFA defined low-income as not exceeding 80% of the area median income.”

Inman - “5 arguments for open houses” (2-17-10)

“Want to pick a fight in a roomful of real estate agents? Ask them whether they think open houses are worthwhile. We did the virtual equivalent of that, sending out an online request for comments from real estate agents about the effectiveness of open houses — and they responded by filling up the old inbox faster than we could clean it out. Their responses range from passionate conviction that open houses are ‘a must,’ to cynical observations that they’re of benefit to no one other than to agents who are trolling for new clients.”

Realty Times“Investor Report: REITs” (2-17-10)

“New York and London-based research firm Preqin reports that 62 percent of the large investment companies it surveyed said they plan to buy into – or add to their holdings – of private equity REITs, or real estate investment trusts. That’s up from 45 percent in a similar survey Preqin conducted in early 2009.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAHB reported that builder confidence reached an all-time low. CBIA claimed that the pace of new home sales was continuing on a decreasing trend. The California government ended 20,000 jobs. S&P estimated that commercial real estate defaults would reach 3.5 percent by the end of 2009.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/11/10

Thursday, February 11th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the NAR, home sales increased in 32 states from the 3rd quarter of 2009. Statistics from the CBIA show that the construction industry currently provides only one sixth of the jobs it provided in 2005. Some speculate that Fannie and Freddie’s purchasing of debt could get rid of all mortgage debt within a year. RealtyTrac reports that foreclosure filings increased by 15 percent from last year.

In The News:

NAR - “Fourth Quarter Existing-Home Sales Surge in Most States, Prices Up in More Areas” (2-11-10)

“Sales increased from the third quarter in 48 states and the District of Columbia; 32 states saw double-digit gains. Year-over-year sales were higher in 49 states and D.C.; all but three states had double-digit annual increases. Total state existing-home sales, including single-family and condo, jumped 13.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate 1 of 6.03 million in the fourth quarter from 5.29 million in the third quarter, and are 27.2 percent above the 4.74 million-unit level in the fourth quarter of 2008. Distressed property accounted for 32 percent of fourth quarter transactions, down from 37 percent a year earlier.”

CBIA - “Study Shows Housing Industry is Vital to California’s Economic Recovery” (2-11-10)

“Preliminary numbers from the report found that new housing construction in California contributed $14.3 billion dollars to the state’s economy in 2009 and supported nearly 80,000 jobs, representing just a fraction of the $67.7 billion dollars and 487,000 jobs that the industry had contributed in 2005.  The report also found that every dollar spent on new housing construction in California generates another $0.8 in total economic activity and that each job created through residential construction supports an additional 1.2 jobs.”

Inman - “ZipRealty: Fewer sellers slash prices” (2-11-10)

“Fewer sellers cut their list prices for the fifth straight month in January, according to a report by real estate brokerage ZipRealty. The report covered 27 of 36 U.S. metropolitan areas in which the brokerage operates. The statistics in the monthly report reflect the brokerage’s multiple listing service data as of Jan. 4.”

Bloomberg - “Fannie, Freddie Loan Purchases May Spur ‘Wad of Cash’” (2-11-10)

“Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s plan to step up purchases of delinquent loans may boost prepayments on their securities to rates that in some cases would erase all of the debt within a year. Yields over government notes on some of their bonds fell to 17-year lows on speculation the move would lead to reinvestments in the mortgage market. ”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Foreclosure Filings Top 300,000 for 11th Month” (2-11-10)

” U.S. foreclosure filings rose 15 percent in January from a year earlier and exceeded 300,000 for the 11th consecutive month as modification programs failed to keep delinquent borrowers in their homes, RealtyTrac Inc. said. A total of 315,716 properties received a notice of default, auction or bank seizure last month, or one in 409 households, the Irvine, California-based seller of default data said today in a statement. Filings fell 10 percent from December.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Rates on 30-Year U.S. Loans Fall to 4.97%” (2-11-10)

“Mortgage rates in the U.S. fell for the fifth time in six weeks, making home purchases and refinancing more affordable. The rate for 30-year fixed U.S. home loans fell to 4.97 percent for the week ended today from 5.01 percent, mortgage finance company Freddie Mac said in a statement today. The average 15-year rate was 4.34 percent, according to the Mclean, Virginia-based company.”

Bloomberg - “TARP Watchdog Says Commercial Real Estate Loans Pose Danger” (2-11-10)

“Commercial real estate loans have the potential to go sour and wreck the U.S. economy unless regulators prepare now, according to a report today from a watchdog Congress created for the government’s financial bailout program. The report should be a ‘red flag’ that prompts regulators to increase preparations for staving off another banking crisis, said Elizabeth Warren, a Harvard law professor and chairman of the Congressional Oversight Panel of the Troubled Asset Relief Program. The panel was created in October 2008 to monitor the Treasury’s efforts to rescue the banking system from the worst financial crisis in decades. ”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported that mortgage applications decreased by 44 percent from 2008. A budge proposal in California would have significantly increased income, sales, gas taxes, and car fees. 76 percent of all U.S. homes declined in value in 2008, but only 57 percent of homeowners recognized this decline.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/10/10

Wednesday, February 10th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA reports that mortgage application volume decreased by 1.2 percent from last week. According to the NAHB, there were approximately 234,000 homes for sale at the end of 2009. Statistics from Zillow show that the national median price was $186,200 in Q409 of 2009. The total number of FHA-insured single-family mortgages in default reached 531,671 in Q409 of 2009.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association“Purchase Applications Decline in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (2-10-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 5, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 0.6 percent compared with the previous week.”

Wall Street Journal“Spec Houses Rise as Builders Bet on Buyers Before Tax Credit Ends” (2-10-10)

“Houses typically take between four and six months to build, so the window to start construction is closing quickly. And current inventory is low. At the end of 2009, there were 234,000 homes for sale, the lowest level since April 1971, according to the National Association of Home Builders. It’s difficult to measure the total number of spec homes nationwide. But according to a survey conducted by John Burns Real Estate Consulting, based in Irvine, Calif., home builders have about three finished homes with no buyer per community. That’s up slightly from 2.8 finished homes in November but much lower than the peak of six finished homes in July 2008.”

Mercury News“Bay Area home prices may drop, real estate firm warns” (2-10-10)

“The median estimated value of all Santa Clara County homes at the end of the fourth quarter was $568,401, up a fraction from $564,360 in the third quarter, Zillow reported. In San Mateo County, prices have already begun to fall. The median estimated value of all homes was $635,264 in the fourth quarter, down 0.68 percent from $639,600 in the third quarter. Home values fell in San Mateo County from September through December, Zillow said, after four months of increases from May through August.”

Housing Wire“Zillow Warns on Double Dip in House Prices” (2-10-10)

“The Zillow Home Value Index put the national median price at $186,200 in Q409, a 5% decrease from Q408. Compared to Q309, prices declined 0.5% during the last quarter of 2009. The index is a measure of median home values of all single-family residences, condominiums and cooperatives, both on the market and not for sale. Q409 marked the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year declines, Zillow said.”

Housing Wire“Defaults on FHA Mortgages Pass 9 Percent” (2-10-10)

“The default rate in the single-family FHA portfolio reached 9.12% in Q409, climbing from 6.82% in Q408, according to the Federal Housing Administration December monthly report. The total number of FHA-insured single-family mortgages in default reached 531,671 in Q409, a 66% increase from 319,741 in Q408. In that same period, modifications on FHA-backed loans increased 54% to 23,973 in Q409.”

Housing Wire“Feds Outline Mortgage Securities Exit Strategy” (2-10-10)

“And according to Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke, a series of policy wind-down methods are being tested. The Fed may first drain excess reserves built up over many months through extraordinary asset-purchase programs, and then begin to raise interest rates. Or the Fed could pursue both options simultaneous to facilitate a quicker exit. Ultimately, economic developments will determine the exit process.”

Housing Wire“Freddie Mac Will Buy Out 120-Day Delinquent Mortgages” (2-10-10)

“Government-sponsored mortgage securitizer Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.24 +3.33%) said today it will buy ’substantially all’ mortgages delinquent by at least 120 days from the company’s related fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgage (FRM and ARM) Participation Certificate (PC) securities. Freddie said the loan purchases will show up in the PC factor report published after March 4, 2010. The corresponding principal payments on affected PCs will pass through to FRM and ARM PC holders on March 15 and April 15, respectively.”

Housing Wire“Option ARMs Don’t Measure Up in HAMP: BofA” (2-10-10)

“Of all mortgage collateral sectors, pay-option adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) are the least modifiable under a federally-subsidized modification program, according to research Monday by Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML). Researchers found that, in general, collateral with higher delinquencies see higher modification rates. But despite the wave of option ARMs set to recast monthly payments over the next several years, these types of loan fall in ‘the least modifiable sector’ under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) because of their failure to measure up to eligibility requirements and net present value (NPV) test requirements.”

Orange County Register“Expect more price cuts on high end homes” (2-10-10)

“Data from 2009 MLS sales for Laguna Beach show that last year started out extremely slow. February 2009 recorded a record low of only 6 residential properties sold for the entire month. By contrast, buying activity picked up enough by year end that December was the highest single month of sales since May 2006.”

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/8/10

Monday, February 8th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The U.S. Treasury Department reported 66,465 permanent loan modifications over 8 months. Delinquencies on prime jumbo loans increased to 10 percent in January. According to Altera Real Estate, distressed property sales increased in Dana Point and Laguna Beach. Unemployment in the U.S. construction industry increased to 24.7 percent in January.

In The News:

California Builder“2010 Economic Forecast: The Bear Turns Bullish” (2-8-10)

“In April of 2009, we reversed our tune and called for a ‘W,’ which would be an improvement in the market until the tax credit expired. However, with the federal tax credit extended through June for all buyers, and affordability far better than we imagined at the time, the risk of a second leg down has been significantly reduced.”

Housing Wire“House Committee Investigates HAMP ‘Effectiveness’” (2-8-10)

“The US Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to allocate capped incentives to borrowers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. After eight months in the program, the Treasury reported 66,465 permanent loan modifications in December, up from 31,382 permanent modifications in November.”

Housing Wire“Fitch Says Prime Jumbo RMBS Near 10% Delinquent” (2-8-10)

“The performance of US prime jumbo loan performance within residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) slipped again in January as serious delinquencies (60+ days past due) rose for the 32nd consecutive month and edged closer to 10%, according to the latest market commentary from Fitch Ratings.”

Housing Wire“Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (2-8-10)

“The editorial argues the $111bn in mortgage losses covered by the Treasury Department was justifiable as an emergency measure to keep the housing market from collapsing entirely. But with continued losses projected in 2011 and 2012, covering the GSEs in perpetuity would cost more than $1.6trn, on top of the national debt of $12.3trn.”

Housing Wire“BofA Lends $758bn in 2009″ (2-8-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 14.48 -3.47%) said it extended more than $758bn in credit in 2009, including nearly $180bn in Q409. BofA originated $87bn in first mortgages to fund purchase or refinance loans for more than 400,000 borrowers in Q409. That total includes $23bn in mortgages made to 151,000 low- and moderate-income borrowers. For the year, BofA originated $378bn in first mortgages for more than 1.7m customers, including $87bn in mortgages to more than 561,000 low- and moderate-income borrowers. In Q409, BofA originated $3bn in home equity and reverse mortgage loans, bringing the total for 2009 to $13bn.”

Orange County Register“South coast: short sales, foreclosures up” (2-8-10)

“Most of our south coast cities went against the grain and reflected the opposite of the countywide trend by seeing an increase in distressed properties for sale. Two weeks ago, Dana Point’s percentage of short sales and foreclosures was 24.7%, which has risen just slightly to 24.8%, according to a biweekly report by Steven Thomas of Altera Real Estate. Laguna Beach also saw a slight increase in distressed properties. The percentage of short sales and foreclosures rose from 9% two weeks ago to 9.3%.”

Orange County Register“1-in-4 U.S. construction workers jobless” (2-8-10)

“The U.S. construction industry’s unemployment rate hit 24.7% in January as another 75,000 American construction workers lost their jobs.”

Realty Times“Developing Referral Relationships” (2-8-10)

“The primary objective of your first contact, like the objective of any other first sales call to a new prospect, is to book an appointment. The first appointment might take the form of an exploratory session aimed at determining the wants, needs, and desires of the lead, or it might be an appointment to conduct a buyer consultation or listing presentation. The secondary objective of your first contact is to open the door, establish trust and respect, demonstrate your knowledge, and establish your position as a reliable resource.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA ranked Wachovia as the leading national commercial and multifamily loan servicer. Geithner promised that lenders receiving financial rescue would be required to offer mortgage modifications. A total of 70 banks were shut down within the first month of 2009.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/1/10

Monday, February 1st, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA reported there is a $1.45 trillion balance of outstanding mortgages held by non-bank investors. SIGTARP predicted a second housing bubble. Fannie Mae’s mortgage delinquency rate increased to5.29% in November 2009. U.S. home construction spending decreased by 2.7 percent in December.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association -Only 13 Percent of Non-Bank Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt to Mature in 2010; Seven Percent in 2011″ (2-1-10)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released the results of its 2009 Commercial Real Estate/Multifamily Survey of Loan Maturity Volumes. The survey indicates that the volume of commercial and multifamily mortgage debt maturing in 2010 and 2011 is relatively low.  Of the $1.45 trillion balance of outstanding mortgages held by non-bank investors, only 13 percent of the total ($183.9 billion) will mature in 2010 and 7 percent ($99.8 billion) in 2011.  The survey also found that maturities vary considerably by the type of investor holding the loan.”

Mortgage Bankers AssociationWells Fargo/Wachovia, PNC/Midland and Berkadia Lead National Rankings of Commercial/Multifamily Servicing Volumes” (2-1-10)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its year-end ranking of commercial and multifamily mortgage servicers as of the end of December 31, 2009.  On top of the list of firms is Wells Fargo/Wachovia Bank with $473.8 billion in U.S. master and primary servicing, followed by PNC Real Estate/Midland Loan Services with $322.9 billion, Berkadia Commercial Mortgage with $217.9 billion, Bank of America Merrill Lynch with $131.7 billion, KeyBank Real Estate Capital with $128.5 billion, and GEMSA Loan Services LP with $102.3 billion.”

Housing WireSIGTARP Warns of Second Housing Bubble” (2-1-10)

“The Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (SIGTARP), which oversees the federal government’s economic recovery program, called for reform to prevent government bailouts in the future and warned of a government-induced second housing bubble.”

Housing Wire“Officials Contend FHA is Going to be OK” (2-1-10)

“Despite a huge growth in business over the past few years, the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) says its huge portfolio, now worth $750bn, is safely managed as the firm becomes comfortable with dealing with risk.”

Housing Wire - “VIEWPOINT: Waiting for the Fed to Withdraw” (2-1-10)

“The Fed will end the program by March 31 at $1.25trn. There is still chatter, however, about what circumstances would prompt the Fed to resume MBS purchases after March 31. It boils down to two things: a substantial re-weakening in home sales and prices or an excessive spike in mortgage rates.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Mae Serious Mortgage Delinquencies Rise Above 5%” (2-1-10)

“The government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.03 +7.29%) reported a serious delinquency rate for its mortgage portfolio of 5.29% in November 2009, the latest month of data, the highest in recent memory. That number grew from 4.98% in October and more than doubled the 2.13% in November 2008, according to its monthly summary.”

Bloomberg - “MetLife Cut by Fitch on Commercial Real Estate Losses” (2-1-10)

“MetLife Inc., the largest U.S. life insurer, was downgraded by Fitch Ratings on the prospect of losses tied to investments including commercial real estate holdings.”

Inman - “Home construction down in December” (2-1-10)

“The rate of U.S. home construction spending nationwide fell year-over-year and month-to-month in December, according to a report released today by the U.S. Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce. Spending for December dropped to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $268.7 billion, a 2.7 percent drop from $276.2 billion the month before, and a 10.3 percent drop from $299.4 billion in December 2008. This rate is a projection of a monthly spending total over a 12-month period, adjusted to reflect typical seasonal fluctuations in construction activity.”

158-TNG Radio – Greg Norris 1-23-10

Friday, January 22nd, 2010

Greg Norris

Greg Norris

Greg Norris

The Norris Group

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This week Bruce is Greg Norris, Bruce’s oldest son. He has been working for The Norris Group since 2004. He was the project manager of TNG’s Rosamond building project. His current job involves buying bank owned properties and trustee sales.

Before he began working for TNG, Greg was an electrician. He got training from a union program in Los Angeles. He started as an apprentice, but he eventually reached the position of general foreman. He then quit his job as an electrician and began to work as a project manager.

Greg’s experience in construction has helped him a lot in the real estate buying and selling business. He knows what it takes to finish a job on time, and he is able to quickly weed out bad construction workers. He also has the ability to quickly recognize repair problems on a house.

If you want to learn how to check a house for repairs, Greg suggests that you take the TNG home repair course. The TNG course will give you some shortcuts to quickly estimate repair issues. He also thinks you could learn a lot from going to a job site with a general contractor who could give you his perspective on repairing homes.

Depending on the inventory you are working with, repairs can be fairly repetitive. Some REOs require very light rehabs, but Greg usually only buys REOS that require heavy rehabilitation. Homes that need heavy rehabilitation is very repetitive, because you typically have to start with the home’s shell and rebuild it.

Greg is so efficient at estimating repairs that he doesn’t often spend time taking notes on his homes. The reason why he is so proficient is because he has experienced a lot of repair repetition. When he first started buying auction properties for Bruce, he was observing 40 to 60 homes per day. When you’ve seen that many houses, you get to the point where you can estimate home value before you even walk inside. However, it is impossible for Greg not to miss things, but he is not concerned about these unknown factors so long as he is 90 to 95 percent accurate on his repair estimation. He also puts a little cushion into his asking price if he feels there are going to be expensive unknown costs.

The age of the property significantly changes the risk factor for unknown repair costs. You need to pay attention to what repairs were made by previous owners. Old houses are more likely to have plumbing and electrical problems.

Because REO inventory has decreased, more detailed remodels, in which room additions and other add-ons are included, are sometimes necessary. These kinds of additions sometimes require building permits that not everyone can get their hands on. These scenarios may not happen very often, but Greg has encountered homes in which the previous owner attempted to do a remodeling job and failed. Choosing to make major corrections, such as in Greg’s example, will depend on your ability to determine what kinds of remodels are considered more desirable in the market. Greg has observed many homes, so he has the ability to quickly perceive what buyer’s will like.

When Greg is selecting a contractor, he always checks out the contractor’s license, they are required to go through an application process, and they must have workers compensation. After their credentials are approved, they make a bid on Greg’s work. The most competitively priced contractor will be picked.

Not many contractors have all their licenses and insurances. Many of them are handymen, and they prefer to do things without licenses. With the kind of work that Greg does, he cannot take the risk of hiring unlicensed contractors.

If you want to check if a contractor has a license, insurance and workers’ compensation, you can get information online from the California State Licensed Contracting Board. You can look up any licensed contractor through that website, and it will tell you if they have workers’ compensation. However, the website will not tell you if every worker has workers’ compensation. Unfortunately, you cannot always monitor that. As long as they have a workers’ compensation policy, Greg is protected, because that contractor will have to cover for his company’s injuries.

Bruce asks Greg how important it is to pay your contractor on time. Greg believes that it depends on the contractor. When you are beginning a relationship with a contractor, it can be scary for them to accept late payment, especially if they have been previously defrauded. As you develop a good relationship with a contractor, they will likely become less concerned with your ability to pay within a short period of time. The contractor needs to know that you are looking out for their welfare. Greg has developed such a great relationship with his contractor that he considers him to be a business partner, and Greg knows that his contractor is willing to do jobs quickly without worrying about being underpaid.

Greg says that contractor prices have decreased from the housing peak. They are not trying to put 20 to 50 percent on a job. They are actually just happy to have a job at all. However, he is not sure just how badly the housing decline damaged them.

Most of Greg’s general contractors do most of their work by themselves, but if they choose to use sub-contractors, they are required to choose from a list of Greg’s preferred sub-contractors. If they do not use a preferred sub-contractor then they will be in violation of their contract. If the general contractor wants to use his own sub-contractors, then the sub must go through Greg’s application process. If the general contractor decides to pay his subs directly, then he will take on the liability if those subs have trouble on the job. If that general contractor hires a sub who is hurt, then that sub will be covered by his own workers’ compensation policy.

Greg feels that he has really mastered his plan for housing construction. When changes do occur he often does not know about it, because Greg’s general contractor does such a good job at taking care of the problem. It took a long time for Greg to find all of his fantastic work partners, but now that they are used to his system, they probably would not want to work for anyone else. As a matter of fact, some of Greg’s contractors have tried doing jobs for other people using his construction strategy, but they came back later and told him that his plans don’t work with other employers. Greg’s construction experience gives him an edge as a project manager, and this education makes it easier for his contractors to work with him.

Greg uses the word Gucci to describe the new housing market that TNG has began to invest in. Greg is starting to see higher valued homes enter into trustee sales. This is not the kind of product that Greg typically works with, but he is interested in this area of the housing market and he is learning about it very quickly.

When someone walks into a TNG property, Greg wants them to see that everything is in order. TNG homes are staged and well repaired, so that makes buyers feel more comfortable with buying the property. It was difficult for Greg to get attention from realtors for a while, because people perceived that they were over repairing. The extensive repairs that were being done on Greg’s properties made it difficult for buyers to compare his properties to others in the area. Now some realtors frequently check with Greg to see if he has new inventory, because TNG properties have gained a reputation for being easy sellers. Greg’s buyers are even starting to overpay for his houses, because there are no comparable matches to TNG properties. Many buyers want the kind of finish that TNG homes have, but since they cannot find that kind of product from anyone else, they will buy TNG properties for higher prices.

Greg believes that staging is very important for making sales happen quickly. When people step inside a TNG property they can see from the staging job that it will be a good home to live in. He would give his staging model an 8 out of 10 for effectiveness. He does not spend any more than 500 dollars on staging per house, but he believes that he gets much more money than that in the resulting sale price.

When buyers shop for homes, one of the first places they look for is realtor.com. Realtor.com is a great starting place for home shopping, because all of the selling properties on the MLS are dumped onto it. TNG does a lot of advertising on realtor.com, so that they will show up higher on the list of “for sale” properties. Some experienced buyers don’t waste time on realtor.com, because they know that a lot of time can be wasted by trying to find a home by yourself. These people often prefer to work with realtors, because they know that a realtor can find a good home quickly.

When TNG receives an offer on a property, Greg often requires them to shorten free look periods and quickly purchase appraisals. He also asks them to get their home inspections done quickly if they desire to get one. When a person shows that they are willing to spend their money quickly, it shows Greg that they will likely finish escrow. Greg often checks out his buyers’ loan package, so that he can be sure that they are not lying on their application.

Bruce asks if lenders have become increasingly cautious. Greg says that their level of caution depends on the area they are working in. When TNG worked in Moreno Valley, he was fighting appraisals quite often, because there was a lot of evidence for what an REO was worth but very little evidence for what a repaired home was worth. Currently, the decreased pricing trend is beginning to reverse. Greg does not know if prices will continue to increase, but he feels that they likely will, because ownership payments are often lower than rent payments in that area. Most of Greg’s Moreno Valley buyers had FHA financing.

Greg has not received any feedback from realtors who claim that buyers are coming into the market because of the tax rebates. No realtor has ever asked Greg to hurry through the sale process, because their buyer wanted the 8,000 dollar check. However, the realtors may not be telling Greg that information because they have no need to.

If an investor is having trouble selling his or her home, Greg would advise them to go to the MLS and check out the competition. Find out what other properties are selling for, and compare the condition of your home with theirs. Sometimes homes are located in bad areas, such as near a railroad. Greg would never risk buying a property that is back to a railroad, or is in any other undesirable.

The 90 day FHA rule was just lifted. Greg is unsure of how much this will affect the market. He thinks that prices at the whole-sale level will come up, because now investors will not have to wait as long to resale. Greg is concerned about whether or not FHA appraisers will allow prices to appreciate, because they have always factored in depreciation into their appraisal values.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/7/10

Thursday, January 7th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Home equity delinquencies increased to 4.3 percent of all accounts. Many construction companies reported an increase in profit during the 4th quarter of 2009. REIS Inc. reports that U.S. apartment vacancies rose to 8 percent last quarter. According to Freddie Mac, mortgage rates decreased to 5.09 percent from last week.

In The News:

Housing Wire“Lennar Posts Quarterly Profit, Expects $320M Tax Refund” (1-7-09)

“Miami-based homebuilder Lennar (LEN: 15.70 +14.60%) reported net earnings of $35.6m, $0.19 per share, for its fiscal year fourth quarter that ended Nov. 30 and said it will receive a tax refund of $320m as a result of legislation that temporarily allowed companies to recoup losses from taxes paid in profitable years.”

Housing Wire“Invesco Mortgage Capital Planning Another Share Sale” (1-7-09)

“Seeing a growing appetite for deals from investors, Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR: 22.37 -2.10%), a real estate investment trust (REIT), plans to offer 7m shares of its common stock for sale in order to fund the acquisition of residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities (RMBS and CMBS) and leveraged mortgage loans.”

Housing Wire“Delinquency Grows in Home Equity Loans, Lines of Credit: ABA” (1-7-09)

“Housing-related loans continued to show stress. Home equity loan delinquencies hit another record in the quarter, jumping 29 bps to 4.3% of all accounts. Home equity lines of credit rose 20 bps to 2.12% of all accounts. Mobile home delinquencies increased to 3.63% of all accounts, from 3.53% the previous quarter.”

Housing Wire“Beazer to Offer 18m Shares, $50m in Convertible Debt” (1-7-09)

“Beazer Homes (BZH: 5.06 +6.08%) will issue new common stock and convertible subordinate debt, the Atlanta-based homebuilder said in a pair of Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings. According to the filings, Beazer will issue 18m shares of common stock and $50m in convertible subordinate debt which will convert to stock shares in 2013.”

Bloomberg - “Job Growth Erodes as Housing Bust Pushes Mobility to Record Low” (1-7-09)

“Some households are staying put because they owe more on their mortgages than their properties are worth; others have trouble selling houses in depressed areas, economists say. The S&P/Case-Shiller composite index of home prices in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas was down 29 percent in October from its July 2006 peak.”

Bloomberg - “Principal Cuts on Lender Menus as Foreclosures Rise” (1-7-09)

“While interest-rate reductions or extending loan terms reduce homeowners’ monthly payments, they don’t give much comfort to borrowers who owe more on their homes than their properties are worth. Borrowers who don’t have equity in their homes are more likely to hand over the keys when they run into trouble.”

Bloomberg - “Lennar Leads Builders Higher on Report of Unexpected Profit” (1-7-09)

“Lennar Corp. led U.S. homebuilders higher after the company reported an unexpected quarterly profit as it took advantage of a tax change in the way it accounts for land sales. A Standard & Poor’s measure of 12 home construction companies rose as much as 5.4 percent, the most since November. Lennar climbed as much as 13 percent. KB Home, M/I Homes Inc., Toll Brothers Inc. and D.R. Horton Inc. all gained.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Rates on 30-Year U.S. Loans Fall to 5.09%” (1-7-09)

“Mortgage rates in the U.S. fell for the first time in five weeks, lowering borrowing costs and offering a boost to potential buyers. The rate for 30-year fixed U.S. home loans fell to 5.09 percent for the week ended today from 5.14 percent, mortgage finance company Freddie Mac said. Rates hit a record low 4.71 percent the week of Dec. 3. This week’s average 15-year rate was 4.50 percent, Freddie Mac said in today’s statement. ”

Bloomberg - “Record U.S. Apartment Vacancies Force Landlords to Cut Rents” (1-7-09)

“U.S. apartment vacancies rose to a record 8 percent in the fourth quarter and rents fell the most in three decades as unemployment cut demand, according to Reis Inc.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications were decreasing. Statistics from Default Research showed that foreclosures and defaults had significantly increased across California. Apartment rents fell and vacancy rates increased to a 4 year high. Freddie Mac reported that mortgage rates fell for the 9th week in a row.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/01/09

Tuesday, December 1st, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

The NAR reports that pending home sales increased during October by 3.7 percent. The California Board of Equalization claims that most homeowners will see a decline in property tax after a deflation of 0.237 percent.  According to Real Estate Econometrics LLC, the commercial mortgage default rate on loans held by U.S. banks increased to 3.4 percent in the third quarter.

In The News:

NAR - “Nine Consecutive Gains for Pending Home Sales” (12-1-09)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in October, increased 3.7 percent to 114.1 from 110.0 in September, and is 31.8 percent above October 2008 when it was 86.6. The rise from a year ago is the biggest annual increase ever recorded for the index, which is at the highest level since March 2006 when it was 115.2.”

Sacramento Bee“Most California property tax bills will fall slightly in 2010″ (12-1-09)

“The Board of Equalization said Monday that most California homeowners will see a slight decline in property tax bills, based on the board’s preliminary estimates of deflation at 0.237 percent.”

Housing Wire“$1trn in Commercial Real Estate Equity Lost, Say Analysts” (12-1-09)

“Property values are down 40% and about $1trn commercial real estate (CRE) equity was lost since the sector peaked in 2007, according to research by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods.”

Housing Wire“Lend America Out of Business” (12-1-09)

“The FHA’s action prevents Lend America and Ideal from originating and underwriting FHA-insured mortgages or participating in FHA’s single-family insurance program. FHA also charged $512,500 in civil money penalties in the wake of a civil lawsuit that HousingWire previously reported reveals a pattern of mortgage fraud spanning more than 20 years across a number of mortgage firms.”

Housing Wire“Short Sale Incentives Coming in 2010, Treasury Says” (12-1-09)

“HAFA allows the borrower to receive pre-approved short sale terms before the property is listed and frees them from future liability for the debt. Also, servicers utilizing the program are prohibited from requiring a reduction in the real estate commission agreed to in the listing agreement. The borrower also receives a $1,500 incentive for relocation after the transaction. The servicer receives a $1,000 incentive to cover administration and processing costs, and investors will be paid a maximum of $1,000 for allowing up to $3,000 in short-sale proceeds to be paid out to subordinate lien holders. In total, each transaction under HAFA will cost the Treasury up to $3,500 of incentive payments.”

Housing Wire“RealtyBid.com Discounts Fees in December” (12-1-09)

“RealtyBid.com, online home auction company, discounted its standard listing fee from $150 to $25 through the end of December. Real estate agents looking to market property listings through an online auction can take advantage of the offer. If the property sells, RealtyBid.com will cut its sales fee, or the buyer’s fee, from 1% to a flat fee of $500.”

Bloomberg - “Commercial Mortgage Defaults at U.S. Banks Reach 3.4%” (12-1-09)

“The commercial mortgage default rate on loans held by U.S. banks more than doubled to 3.4 percent in the third quarter as vacancies rose and rents declined, Real Estate Econometrics LLC said.”

Bloomberg - “Construction Spending in U.S. Unchanged After Falling in Sept.” (12-1-09)

“Construction spending in the U.S. was unchanged in October after declining five straight months as rising office and retail vacancies deterred the building of commercial projects. Spending in September, previously reported as an increase, fell 1.6 percent, according to Commerce Department data released today in Washington. Construction spending declined on office buildings and commercial projects, while homebuilding increased.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the government announced its plans to spend $800 billion dollars on mortgage-backed securities and consumer-debt securities.  Treasury yields dropped to record lows. Bernanke announced that the federal reserve was considering lowering interest rates.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/20/09

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

RealtyTrac’s Rick Sharga believes that approximately 450,000 to 500,000 repossessed properties have not yet been placed on the market. Default notices in California have decreased by 10.3 percent from the previous quarter and have increased by 18.5 percent from last year. The Commerce Department reports that housing and apartment construction increased by .5 percent from last month.

In The News:

RealtyTrac“The Case of the Missing REO Inventory” (10-20-09)

“With foreclosure activity breaking records nearly every month, where are all the REOs? It’s a fair question. In normal market situations, a bank will repossess a home and usually process it through to a listing agent to put on the MLS within 30 days. In a relatively short period of time, virtually every marketable REO property finds itself listed for sale on the local MLS. Today, that’s simply not the case; it’s likely that between 450,000 and 500,000 properties repossessed over the past year are still not on the market. And with buyers hungry for housing bargains, and agents and brokers champing at the bit ready to sell the properties, it begs for a reasonable answer.”

Broker Universe“FHA Changes May Make HVCC and AMCs Easier to Swallow” (10-20-09)

“However, Mr. Stern believes appraisal management companies are hiring appraisers based on price – appraisers who have little knowledge of local market conditions. ‘I don’t think it’s fair that AMCs are hiring the cheapest appraisers,’ he said. Lenders One, the National Association of Realtors and appraiser groups are hoping new appraisal policies recently adopted by the Federal Housing Administration will correct some of the problems associated with HVCC and AMCs.”

DQNews - “California Mortgage Defaults Trend Down Again” (10-20-09)

“A total of 111,689 default notices were sent out during the July-through-September period. That was down 10.3 percent from 124,562 for the prior quarter, and up 18.5 percent from 94,240 in third quarter 2008, according to San Diego-based MDA DataQuick”

Cleveland - “Feds to probe ‘walkaways’ by some mortgage lenders” (10-20-09)

” Federal investigators will scrutinize the practice of lenders or mortgage companies walking away from homes they have foreclosed on. The U.S. Government Accountability Office plans to delve into these so-called bank walkaways – something some consider an alarming trend in the foreclosure crisis”

Wall Street Journal“Home-Buyer Credit Is Focus of Inquiry” (10-20-09)

“The Internal Revenue Service is examining more than 100,000 suspicious claims for the first-time home-buyer tax break, another sign of potential trouble for the soon-to-expire program. The measure, adopted in February as part of the economic-stimulus bill, gives first-time buyers an $8,000 tax credit in an effort to boost sales and stimulate the moribund housing market. The program is set to end Nov. 30, but housing-industry leaders are lobbying Congress to extend it.”

Washington Post“Small firms, home buyers to get a boost” (10-20-09)

“Under the program, the Treasury, along with mortgage financiers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, will buy the bonds used by housing finance agencies to fund mortgages, which can carry an interest rate that is a percentage point lower than loans made by private lenders. Called HFAs, these agencies have been strapped during the financial crisis because investors have been unwilling to buy their debt. The federal government is now attempting to play the role of the investors.”

Los Angeles Times“Fewer home-building permits signal weakness ahead” (10-20-09)

“At the same time, the Commerce Department said Tuesday that construction of new homes and apartments rose 0.5 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 590,000 units. That was a weaker showing than the 610,000 economists had expected.”

NAR - “Housing Tax Credit Working, So Keep Momentum Going, NAR Urges Congress” (10-20-09)

“‘The data on the present home buyer tax credit show that the credit has had its intended impact—sales have jumped in recent months to a projected 5.1 million for the year and housing inventory has been trimmed, thus stabilizing home prices noticeably,’ Phipps said. He also pointed out that each home sale generates approximately $63,000 in additional economic activity, providing a tremendous economic boost to the national economy”

Mortgage Bankers Association“MBA Testifies on State of Housing Market” (10-20-09)

“Whenever I am asked when the housing market will recover, I explain that the economy and the housing market are inextricably linked. The number of people receiving paychecks will drive the demand for houses and apartments and the recovery will begin when unemployment stops rising. Since September 2008, we have lost 5.8 million jobs in the US, more than five times the number the previous year.”

Housing Wire“Fitch Projects More RMBS Re-Defaults as HAMP Disappoints” (10-20-09)

“Servicers of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) continue to increase loss mitigation resolutions, including a significant push in the number of loan modifications, according to a report from Fitch Ratings. As of September 2009, roughly 10% of all RMBS loans and 25% of all subprime loans received at least one modification. A year ago, servicers modified only 3% of all loans, and 7% of subprime loans, according to the report.”

Housing Wire“Servicers Prefer Foreclosure, Says NCLC” (10-20-09)

“Mortgage servicers have found it cheaper to foreclose on homeowners than offer loan modifications, according to a new report from the National Consumer Law Center. The report points out servicers in charge of modifying distressed loans are separate from the lenders, who have packaged the loans and sold them in pieces or pools to other banks and investors.”

Housing Wire“HUD Notes Alleged FHA Violations at Lend America” (10-20-09)

“The 12 alleged violations the HUD board said Ideal Mortgage Bankers made against FHA range from submitting false certifications and failing to document the borrower’s income and creditworthiness, to approving loans that did not meet the FHA’s minimum credit requirements and closing a loan with an excessive mortgage broker fee paid to an approved FHA loan correspondent.”

Orange County Register“Investors grab bigger share of auctioned foreclosures” (10-20-09)

“Investors bought 278, or 39%, of the 718 houses and condos sold at auctions, known as trustee’s sales, in Orange County last month, reports ForeclosureRadar.com.”

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 9/24/09

Thursday, September 24th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

Research from the Construction Industry Research Board shows that the number of home building permits taken in August was down 5 percent from July. The NAR reports that existing home sales decreased by 2.7 percent from July to August. A study showed that foreclosure prevention laws in California have failed to significantly help home owners. The Federal Reserve intends to continue its stimulus plan and will continue to buy mortgage securities.

In The News:

CBIA - “Housing Production Slips Again in August, CBIA Announces” (9-24-09)

“According to statistics compiled by the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB), homebuilders pulled permits for 2,911 total housing units in August, down 5 percent from July. When compared to August of last year, production in 2009 was way down.”

NAR - “Existing-Home Sales Ease Following Four Monthly Gains” (9-24-09)

“Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – declined 2.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 5.10 million units in August from a pace of 5.24 million in July, but remain 3.4 percent above the 4.93 million-unit level in August 2008. In the previous four months, sales had risen a total of 15.2 percent.”

MBA - “Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding Declines in Second Quarter 2009″ (9-24-09)

“The $3.47 trillion in commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding recorded by the Federal Reserve was a decrease of $9.9 billion or 0.3 percent from the first quarter 2009. Multifamily mortgage debt outstanding grew to $914 billion, an increase of $6 billion or 0.7 percent from first quarter.”

San Francisco“Foreclosure-mediation laws not much help” (9-24-09)

“Laws in California and other states requiring mortgage companies to talk to troubled homeowners before foreclosing on them are toothless, according to a study released Wednesday.”

Mercury News“‘Equity share’ loans of up to $75K offered to Silicon Valley homebuyers” (9-24-09)

“Under the ‘equity share co-investment,’ or ESCO program, The Housing Trust will advance as much as $75,000 to first-time home buyers who make up to 140 percent of the region’s area median income, or about $147,700 a year for a family of four. The money will be used to match a buyer’s 5 percent to 15 percent down payment.”

Bloomberg - “Luxury Hotels in U.S. Risk Default as $850 Rooms Remain Empty” (9-24-09)

“Loans secured by more than 1,500 hotels with a total outstanding balance of $24.5 billion may be in danger of default, according to Realpoint LLC, a credit rating company that tracks commercial mortgage-backed securities. Some of the biggest loans, put on the company’s watch list because of late payments, decreasing occupancies or cash flow, were made to luxury properties where rooms can cost more than $850 a night.”

Bloomberg - “Fed Signals Growth Return Not Enough to End Stimulus” (9-24-09)

“While the economy has ‘picked up,’ the central bank’s planned asset purchases will help ensure a ‘gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization,’ the Fed’s Open Market Committee said yesterday. Policy makers committed to complete their $1.25 trillion in purchases of mortgage securities and extended the end-date of the program to March from December.”

Bloomberg - “New Home Sales in U.S. to Climb 30% in 2010, Goldman Sachs Says” (9-24-09)

“New U.S. home sales may jump 30 percent next year, buoyed by low mortgage rates and a ‘greater than 50 percent probability’ that Congress will extend a tax credit for first-time buyers, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said.”

Orange County Register“O.C. property investor seeks bankruptcy rescue” (9-24-09)

“Unable to pay off construction loans coming due, office developer Mammoth Equities LLC has filed four bankruptcy cases seeking to rescue half its properties from foreclosure. The San Juan Capistrano developer owes nearly $68 million on loans that came due or are about to come due on five California office buildings it owns, said senior Mammoth officer Joe Ryerson. He estimated that the collective value of those properties is about $41 million today.”

Inman - “Facebook app promotes property listings” (9-24-09)

“That caveat out of the way, CenterStage looks promising for spreading property listings information on Facebook. If you aren’t using Facebook, then CenterStage is a no-go. Though perhaps you could use it to jump-start a Facebook campaign.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR reported that existing home sales fell by 2.2 percent. Research from the CBIA showed that housing permits were down 61 percent from the previous year. The MBA’s mortgage application survey showed that mortgage applications fell by 10.6 percent from the previous week.