Norris Bruce
Dec 17, 2010

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/17/10

Resources:
California June Home Sales
Bay Area November Home Sales, Median Price Down from a Year Ago
CoreLogic HPI: Prices Decline for Third Straight Month
Housing Starts Rise 3.9 Percent in November
Lennar closes $300M distress fund
Geithner: National foreclosure moratorium would hurt house prices
STRATEGIC DEFAULT ON FIRST AND SECOND LIEN MORTGAGES DURING THE FINANCIAL CRISIS
Bill aims to end GSE affiliation with MERS
H.R.6460 — Transparency and Security in Mortgage Registration Act of 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

31,403 new and resale homes and condos were sold statewide in November, according to MDA DataQuick. LPS reports the delinquency rate for loans that are 30+ days past due is 9.02%. Ben Bernanke believes we still have 4 to 5 years until the unemployment rate reaches pre-recession levels.

In The News:

DQNews “California November Home Sales” (12-16-10)

“An estimated 31,403 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was down 3.9 percent from 32,669 in October, and down 12.4 percent from 35,860 for November 2009. California sales for the month of November have varied from a low of 25,578 in 2007 to a high of 60,326 in 2004, while the average is 39,987. MDA DataQuick’s statistics go back to 1988.”

CBIA “California’s recovery might not mean a robust job market” (12-16-10)

“California added just 1,600 jobs in November, signaling that the economy could continue to recover without significant job growth. The unemployment rate remained steady at 12.4%, the Employment Development Department said Friday morning.”

Housing Wire“Foreclosure inventories rise as delinquencies drop in November: LPS” (12-16-10)

“Lender Processing Services (LPS: 30.02 -0.03%) said the delinquency rate for loans that are 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure was 9.02% in November, down nearly 3% from October and down 15.6% from November 2009. Total U.S foreclosure pre-sale inventory rate was 4.08%, up 4.1% from the previous month and up 8% from the year-ago period.”

Housing Wire“Mesirow Financial: Housing recovery to spur economic growth in 2011” (12-16-10)

“Mesirow Financial analysts said housing has fallen so low that there’s only one way to go, but the expected level of activity in home sales and starts ‘is expected to remain closer to that associated with a recession than a recovery, well into 2012.'”

Housing Wire“Higher loss severities on foreclosures will push servicers to short sales in 2011: Fitch” (12-16-10)

“Loss severities are expected to increase between 5% and 10% on residential mortgage-backed securities in 2011 as loss mitigation costs and foreclosure expenses go up, according to Fitch Ratings. This, analysts said, will push servicers to short sales.”

Inman “Real estate deja vu in 2011” (12-16-10)

“even though Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke estimates that we have four or five years until unemployment reaches pre-recession levels, that means that there will have to be some incline over the next few years. Even though this increase in employment levels may be small, it will still be a push in the positive direction.”

Looking Back:

Research from NAR shows that most small-scale, exterior home modificaitons, such as door replacements and wood deck additions, are the most profitable at resale. The Federal Reserve’s commercial/multifamily mortgage debt decreased by 0.8 percent from the second quarter 2009. Radar Logic estimates that housing will continue to have trouble in 2010, but does not believe that a second collapse will occur. According to ForeclosureRadar.com, foreclosure cancellations in California climbed 40% in November.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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