The NAR predicts that the commercial real estate market will not recover until after 2011. In California, single family home sales decreased by 3 percent during January. The Standard & Poor’s index shows that national home prices increased slightly during December.702 banks made the ‘Problem List’ for the FDIC in 2009.
The MBA reported there is a $1.45 trillion balance of outstanding mortgages held by non-bank investors. SIGTARP predicted a second housing bubble. Fannie Mae’s mortgage delinquency rate increased to5.29% in November 2009. U.S. home construction spending decreased by 2.7 percent in December.
According to MDA DataQuick, 84,568 Notices of Default were recorded in California during the 4th quarter of 2009. The MBA’s weekly survey shows that mortgage application volume decreased 10.9 percent from last week. The Commerce Department reports that new home sales decreased by 7.6 percent last month. The Federal Reserve claims it will stick to its plan to end the $1.25 trillion program of mortgage-debt purchases in March.
Statistics from 10 primary U.S. cities show that home prices declined by 1 percent. ABA expects economic growth to increase at 3.1 percent through 2010. The U.S. Treasury Department reports that66,465 permanent modifications were made in December. Chris Thornberg forecasts that home prices will dip again in 2011.
Economists are criticizing Gov. Schwarzenegger’s $10,000 homebuyer tax credt and claiming it to be a waste of money. According to Amherst Securities Group, default and prepayment rates on mortgage-backed-securities remained consistent from October through November. Colony Capital Acquisitions bought 1,200 commercial mortgages from the FDIC. Multiple appraisal institutions filed complaints to the Department of the Interior regarding the absence of a qualified Chief Appraiser.
California Governor Schwarzenegger announced a new home buyer tax credit. The Mortgage Bankers Association reports that mortgage applications have increased by .4 percent since Christmas. The FOMC confirmed plans to buy $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed-securities from Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae. Eugene Ludwig believes that commercial real estate losses will break historical records in 2010.
A survey from Bank of America shows that only 12 percent of the institutions who received TARP relief believe that the program positively impacted their operations. Barclay’s estimates that credit availability may increase during the next 6 to 12 months. Default Research reports that pre-foreclosure filings in California decreased in several counties. Statistics from Freddie Mac show that mortgage purchases decreased by 13% in November.
The MBA reports that delinquency rates increased during the third quarter for most mortgage investor groups. Bernanke claims that the recovery should continue for at least a year, but the U.S. still has some trouble to overcome. Six more banks were shut down Friday, which will cost the FDIC a total of $2.384billion.
Fannie recently developed the “Deed-for-Lease” program which allows qualified borrowers to deed their properties back to Fannie and continue to live in the house for up to 12 months. Fannie Mae is asking for $15 billion in support from the Treasury Department. Ronald Pressman from GE Capital Real Estate believes that the commercial real estate market is far from a recovery.
CBIA reports that sales in new-home communities are down 13 percent from August 2008. Governor Schwarzenegger of California signed a new law today, which will give regulatory relief to mortgage insurers. A survey from the National Association for Business Economics shows that 80 percent of economists believe that the recession is over.