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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/21/10

Monday, June 21st, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

436,000 people have dropped out of the mortgage modification program since March 2009. A survey from Grant Thornton LLP shows that 45% of bankers expect economic conditions to improve over the next 6 months. According to CoreLogic, national housing prices increased 2.6% in April 2010 compared to April 2009. Analyst Meredith Whitney believes the U.S. housing market will experience a second recession.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “Borrowers face foreclosure after Obama loan assistance program fails to provide help” (6-21-10)

“More than a third of the 1.24 million borrowers who have enrolled in the $75 billion mortgage modification program have dropped out. That’s more than the 27 percent who have managed to have their loan payments reduced to help them keep their homes. Last month alone, 150,000 borrowers left the program — bringing the total to 436,000 who have exited since it began in March 2009.”

Housing Wire – “More Bankers Expect Economic Improvement before 2011: Grant Thornton” (6-21-10)

“The majority of bankers are optimistic about the US economy in coming months, with 45% expecting conditions to improve over the next six months, according to a survey by US audit firm Grant Thornton LLP. It marks a significant improvement over the same survey six months earlier, which found 24% of respondents expected conditions to improve.”

Housing Wire – “SEC Charges Investment Advisor with CDO of Mortgage-Backed Securities Fraud” (6-21-10)

“The Securities and Exchange Commission is charging Thomas Priore, owner and president of ICP Asset Management, with the fraudulent management of investment products tied to the mortgage finance markets. It is alleged that ICP and three affiliated firms misrepresented four multi-million-dollar collateralized debt obligation (CDO) platforms backed by mortgage securities (MBS). The SEC claims the CDOs lost tens of millions of dollars, while Priore collected tens of millions of dollars in advisory fees and undisclosed profits at the expense of their clients and investors.”

Housing Wire – “Total Number of HAMP Permanent Modifications Passes 340,000″ (6-21-10)

“Servicers participating in the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) conducted 340,459 permanent modifications through May 2010 since the program launched in March 2009, up from 299,092 through April, according to the Treasury Department. The Treasury launched HAMP to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of mortgages on the verge of foreclosure. In order to receive a permanent modification, borrowers must make three monthly payments during the trial period and submit all documentation.”

Housing Wire – “Architecture Firms See Business Increase with Demand for Smaller Houses: AIA” (6-21-10)

“AIA conducted a survey of 500 architecture firms that concentrate practices in the residential sector. AIA also found that American homebuyers are showing greater interest in smaller homes and lot sizes. According to the survey, the economic downturn and growing concerns over rising utility costs have created a demand for smaller homes and lot sizes.”

Housing Wire – “CoreLogic Home Price Index Up 2.6% in April” (6-21-10)

“National housing prices increased 2.6% in April 2010 compared to April 2009 in the CoreLogic (CLGX: 18.335 -2.16%) monthly home price index (HPI). It’s the second month in a row that prices have increased from the same month one year ago. The April increase comes after a 2.3% year-over-year increase in March. The HPI was upwardly revised from an original projection of a 1.7% increase for March.”

Bloomberg - “Whitney Says She Sees ‘Double Dip’ in Housing Market” (6-21-10)

“The U.S. housing market will experience a second recession, forcing banks to post additional loan-loss reserves, analyst Meredith Whitney said.”

Orange County Register – “House price per sq. ft. highest in 2 years” (6-21-10)

“The median price per square foot paid to buy an Orange County house hit $296.32 in May, the highest that measure has been since August 2008, figures from MDA DataQuick show. The price per square foot for an existing, single-family home has been on an upsurge after bottoming out in January 2009, increasing from the month before in 10 of the past 13 months.”

Orange County Register – “5 O.C. hot spots for home-price cuts” (6-21-10)

“As of June 1, 29% of homes on the market in Orange County have seen at least one price reduction, according to online home tracker Trulia.com. Nationwide, 22% of listings had at least one price trim, with the average reduction 10% off the original asking price.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/11/10

Friday, June 11th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA believes the new FHA Reform Act will have a positive effect on FHA’s finances. Tom Beede of Metrolist Services reports 58 percent of May home sales in Sacramento County were short sales. Congress may extend the home-buyer tax credit due to the inability of lenders to finish all applications within the current due date.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Reacts to House Passage of FHA Reform Act” (6-11-10)

“FHA is playing a critical role in today’s housing market, helping to provide more affordable financing for borrowers looking to purchase or refinance a home.  The reforms contained in this bill will help stabilize FHA’s finances by allowing the agency to raise its annual premiums and better take corrective action against lenders who are putting the program at risk.”

Sacramento Bee – “Home Front: Short sales — and ways to exploit them — rise in Sacramento” (6-11-10)

“In mid-May, 58 percent of homes for sale in Sacramento County were short sales and only 13 percent were bank repossessions, said Tom Beede, president and chief executive officer of Metrolist Services Inc.”

Wall Street Journal – “Congress Could Extend Home-Buyer Tax Credit Closing Deadline” (6-10-10)

“What if the home-buyer tax credit worked too well? That’s the latest concern from the real-estate industry, which says that a last-minute home-buying rush in April created bottlenecks at lenders and real-estate service companies that may not be able to finalize purchases in time for tens of thousands of buyers to receive a tax credit worth up to $8,000.”

Bloomberg - “Builders Rush to Complete Houses by U.S. Tax Credit Deadline” (6-11-10)

“U.S. builders such as LGI Homes are on a tight deadline to finish houses by the end of June so purchasers can get a federal tax credit of as much as $8,000. Buyers had to sign a contract by April 30 and must complete the transaction by July 1 to qualify. That’s speeding up a construction process that for some builders can take five to six months.”

Bloomberg - “JPMorgan Sells $716.3 Million of Commercial Mortgages” (6-11-10)

“JPMorgan Chase & Co. sold $716.3 million of bonds backed by commercial mortgages in the second offering of the debt this year, according to a person familiar with the transaction.”

Inman - “Understanding the Gen Y gender gap” (6-11-10)

“women are fundamentally different than men in what they look for in a home, Chung said. Part of being fiscally conservative is that they are more willing to make trade-offs as far as home luxuries in favor of preferred community characteristics.”

Inman - “Yahoo Real Estate climbs to No. 2″ (6-11-10)

“Realtor.com maintained its lock on the No. 1 spot with 6.2 percent of traffic; Rent.com also kept its No.4 spot with 2.8 percent of traffic. Trulia jumped into the top five with 2.7 percent of traffic, bumping ZipRealty down to sixth place with 2.4 percent market share.”

Wall Street Journal - “Is It Better to Buy New Home or ‘Used’?” (6-11-10)

“It’s impossible to know how much negotiating power you’ll have with each of these sellers until you know how desperate each is to sell. So the first thing you should do is to ask your agent to find out as much as possible about what’s motivating each: Is the resale seller just testing the market, or going through a divorce? Is the builder opening up new projects or has he been sitting for months on stale inventory? You should find out how long each house has been on the market, whether there have been price drops, how often these have occurred and how deep they were. This will give you a sense of how eager each party is to deal with you.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/20/10

Thursday, May 20th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to MDA DataQuick, a total of 7,003 homes closed escrows in the nine-county Bay Area last month. CBIA reports that California families earning the median-income could have afforded 60.8 percent of the new and existing homes that were sold during the first quarter of 2010. Statistics from Freddie Mac show 30-year fixed-rate mortgage decreased 4.84 percent this week. CoreLogic predicts average national home prices will fall 0.5 percent in the next 12 months.

In The News:

DQNews - “Mixed results for Bay Area April home sales” (5-20-10)

“Last month a total of 7,003 homes closed escrows in the nine-county Bay Area, up 0.2 percent from 6,992 in March but down 1.9 percent from 7,139 in April 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego. On average, Bay Area sales have risen 4.2 percent between March and April each year since 1988, when DataQuick’s statistics begin. Last month’s sales tally was 24.5 percent below the April average of 9,278 sales since 1988, and was the second-lowest for an April since 1995.”

CBIA - “California Housing Affordability Increases in First Quarter, CBIA Announces” (5-20-10)

“Housing affordability in California increased overall in the first quarter of 2010, but 13 of the state’s 28 metropolitan areas included in the report saw decreases, the California Building Industry Association said today.  On a statewide basis, the HOI found that a family earning the median-income could have afforded 60.8 percent of the new and existing homes that were sold during the first quarter, up from 56.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009. The report also found that California is now home to seven of the top ten least affordable markets in the nation.”

CNN - “Problem bank list hits 775″ (5-20-10)

“The government’s list of troubled banks climbed to its highest level since 1992 in the first quarter, although the pace of growth moderated, according to a government report published Thursday. The numbers, published as part of a broader survey on the nation’s banking system by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, revealed that the number of banks at risk of failing climbed to 775 during the first quarter.”

Orange County Register – “Mortgage rate at 5-month low” (5-20-10)

“30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.84 percent — down from last week when it averaged 4.93 percent and the lowest since Dec. 10. Last year at this time, the 30-year fixed averaged 4.82 percent.”

Inman - “4 markets where prices will fall hardest” (5-20-10)

“National home prices were up 1.7 percent in March when compared to a year ago, but will probably give back some of those gains in the year ahead with the expiration of the federal homebuyer tax credit, data aggregator CoreLogic said in releasing its latest home-price index. While 51 out of the 100 largest markets saw year-over-year price appreciation in March — up from 42 markets in February — CoreLogic predicts average national home prices will fall 0.5 percent in the next 12 months.”

Housing Wire – “New Survey Finds 59% of Homeowners Would Not Consider Strategic Default” (5-20-10)

“Of those homeowners surveyed by Harris Interactive, 59% said they would not consider walking away from their mortgage no matter how far underwater they sank. Harris conducted the survey of more than 2,500 adults, including 1,690 homeowners from May 10-12. The survey was conducted for the online foreclosure marketplaces, Trulia.com and RealtyTrac.”

Housing Wire – “FBI Mortgage Fraud Investigations Jump 400% in Five Years” (5-20-10)

“FBI investigations of mortgage fraud increased 400% in 2009, compared with five years earlier, according to an Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) report on fraud and insider abuse (download here). The FBI investigated more than 2,100 mortgage fraud cases in 2009. The OTS said at least 63% of all pending FBI mortgage fraud investigations during fiscal year 2008 involved dollar losses of more than $1m each.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage-Bond Yields Guiding Loans Decline to Six-Month Low” (5-20-10)

“Yields on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage securities that guide home-loan rates fell to the lowest in almost six months, as the response of European authorities to the sovereign-debt crisis drove investors to the relative safety of U.S. government-related debt. Fannie Mae’s current-coupon 30-year fixed-rate mortgage bonds tumbled 0.10 percentage point to 4.05 percent as of 9:55 a.m. in New York, down from 4.67 percent on April 5 and the lowest since Nov. 30, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.”

Bloomberg - “Idle Capacity in U.S. Economy Keeps Fed Asset Sales on Hold” (5-20-10)

“Officials led by Chairman Ben S. Bernanke raised their forecasts for growth this year while predicting the rebound will be slower than past recoveries from deep recessions as consumers contend with elevated unemployment and a decline in home values. Some expressed concern the Greek debt crisis could shake U.S. financial markets, curbing growth.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR predicted that commercial real estate would remain week for the remainder of 2009. The House of Representatives voted 367 to 54 to pass the Helping Families Save Their Homes Act. Toll Brothers Inc., the largest U.S. builder of luxury homes, said fiscal second-quarter revenue fell 51 percent.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/14/10

Friday, May 14th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Mark Zandi expects sales of new and existing homes to grow from between 5.5 million and 6 million this year to between 6 million and 6.5 million next year, and hit about 7 million in 2012. According to the IPD Quarterly Property Index, returns on commercial real estate investments reached 1.2% in Q110. Trulia reports real estate sellers made at least one price reduction on 22% of listings currently on the market in the US through April.

In The News:

NAR - “Commercial Market Still Struggling, But Realtors® Focus On Positive Trends” (5-14-10)

“While the commercial real estate market may not have fully recovered, National Association of Realtors® Chief Economist Lawrence Yun identified some developing, positive trends in the market that could eventually lead to recovery”

Inman - “Economist: Expect home-price weakness to persist” (5-14-10)

“With the economy on the mend, home sales could bounce back to their historical levels by 2012, although the bulging foreclosure pipeline is likely to keep prices in check, economist Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics told Realtors holding their annual midyear meeting in the nation’s capital. Zandi said he expects sales of new and existing homes to grow from between 5.5 million and 6 million this year to between 6 million and 6.5 million next year, and hit about 7 million in 2012.”

Housing Wire – “Congress Rejects Call to Axe Consumer Financial Protection Oversight” (5-14-10)

“Senators voted against an amendment by Sen. John Thune (R-SD), that would sunset the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection, as the Senate rounds out its week tweaking the financial reform bill.”

Housing Wire – “Commercial Real Estate Delivers First Positive Return in 18 Months” (5-14-10)

“Returns on commercial real estate investments reached 1.2% in Q110, the first positive return in 18 months, according to the IPD Quarterly Property Index. The report monitors the trends in the underlying market value and returns of $76bn of assets held by real estate fund managers in the US. Returns fell to a record low in the 2009, bottoming out in Q109, according to IPD. Since then, US real estate has shown steady quarterly improvement. Pricing competition is even beginning to turn more aggressive amongst returning investors over the last two years, as the supply of prime real estate remains limited, according to IPD.”

Housing Wire – “Senate Votes to Impose Leverage and Risk-Based Capital Requirements” (5-14-10)

“As Congress continues to work through a growing list of amendments to S 3217, the Restoring American Financial Stability Act sponsored by Sen. Chris Dodd (D-CT), Senators approved on Thursday a measure to impose minimum leverage and capital requirements on both banks and nonbank financial firms. Senators unanimously consented to an amendment, sponsored by Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME), that mandates minimum leverage and risk-based capital requirements for insured depository institutions, depository institution holding companies, and nonbank financial companies under Federal Reserve supervision.”

Housing Wire – “Sellers Reduce Nearly 25% of List Prices on Trulia in 2010″ (5-14-10)

“Real estate sellers made at least one price reduction on 22% of listings currently on the market in the US through April, according to the real estate listings site, Trulia.com. The discounted listings through April increased 10% from March, when 20% of the properties received a price reduction. The average discount held at 10%, totaling $25bn in reductions.”

Housing Wire – “In California, Rates of Delinquency Vary, Mostly Driven by Negative Equity” (5-14-10)

“Mortgage performance in California — although not substantially different than that of the US — varies dramatically among regions within the state, according to a study of all securitized non-agency mortgages in the state by credit-rating agency Fitch Ratings.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/21/10

Wednesday, April 21st, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

A scammer in Orange County was recently caught renting out houses which he did not own. The Business Forecasting Center predicts California unemployment will stay above 12 percent for the remainder of 2010. According to the MBA, mortgage loan application volume increased to 13.6 percent from last week. Trulia reports that 20 percent of homes in the U.S. received a deduction in asking asking price from April 2009 to April 2010.

In The News:

MSN - “Forecast: Recession over, but recovery slow” (4-21-10)

“The Great Recession may be over, but the great recovery will likely take several years in Northern California, according to a report released Wednesday. California’s jobless rate – already at a modern-day record – will remain above 12 percent for the remainder of the year, and double-digit territory through 2011. The jobless rate should dip below 10 percent in 2012, according to the Business Forecasting Center at the University of the Pacific.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (4-21-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 16, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 13.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 13.9 percent compared with the previous week.”

Wall Street Journal – “Land Prices Jump as Home Builders Move In” (4-21-10)

“Nationally, finished-lot prices, which saw low-single digit increases in the first quarter, are up nearly 20% from the trough, largely considered early 2009, according to a land survey released this week by housing-research firm Zelman & Associates. Lot prices in Phoenix and Southern California’s Inland Empire have soared more than 60%. Sacramento, Orlando and Los Angeles are up between 30% and 40%.”

Housing Wire – “Trulia Sees 26% Decline in Number of Listings with Price Reductions” (4-21-10)

“The rate of house listings where the seller made at least one reduction in asking price declined 26% in April 2010 compared to the same month one year ago, according to research by Trulia.com. Trulia said 20% of asking prices for current home listings were reduced at least once, compared to 27% of asking prices in April 2009. Las Vegas experienced a 54% decrease in listings with at least one price reduction, from 28% in April 2009 to 13% in April 2010. San Diego experienced a similar decrease at 52%. San Francisco and New York both experienced a 45% year-over-year decline and Los Angeles experienced a 40% drop.”

Housing Wire – “CMBS Defaults to Pass 11% by 2011: Fitch” (4-21-10)

“Commercial mortgage loan defaults look likely to rise through the end of the year, with another 4.4% likely in 2010 and the overall default rate expected to pass 11% among securities rated by Fitch Ratings, the credit-rating agency said today. New CMBS defaults increased more than five-fold last year, totaling 1,464 loans worth $17.75bn, Fitch said.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Urges 12-Month Forbearance in Flood Areas” (4-21-10)

“Government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.48 -0.67%) said today it is extending mortgage relief to borrowers whose houses were affected by recent floods in Massachusetts, New Jersey, Rhode Island and West Virginia. Freddie is giving its servicers discretion to reduce or suspend mortgage payments for up to 12 months for borrowers with Freddie-owned mortgages, although each case must be individually assessed to determine the appropriate alternative.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Servicer Profits May Threaten Obama Housing Programs” (4-21-10)

“Mortgage servicers may have to take a pay cut to participate in President Barack Obama’s programs to modify home loans and advance the sale of properties in default. Starting this month, the Treasury Department is paying companies that collect mortgage payments and examine pleas for assistance a $1,500 stipend for approving the sale of homes for less than the loan balance, known as a short sale. The servicers also get $1,000 for each completion under the government’s year- old mortgage modification program, and additional stipends over three years if borrowers stay current on their payments.”

Orange County Register – “Anaheim businessman collects rent on vacant homes he does not own” (4-21-10)

“California’s foreclosure crisis has spawned an unusual operation by a bankrupt Orange County businessman who takes control of vacant homes and rents them out, according to police, property records and neighbors. From an office at an Anaheim massage clinic, Blair Hanloh has recorded deeds on at least 12 vacant houses in Southern California that he does not own. Property records show no evidence that the owners deeded interest to him—and five owners interviewed by The Orange County Register said that they had not.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/7/10

Wednesday, April 7th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the MBA, 1.2 million households were lost from 2005 to 2008. Greenspan defended the fed’s lack of oversight in the subprime market claiming that consumer protection was a high priority at the time. A Fannie Mae survey shows 61 percent of homeowners and renters say the economy is on the wrong track. Fitch reports subprime RMBS delinquencies fell to 46.3% in March.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Wells Fargo Was Top U.S. Commercial/Multifamily Originator in 2009 According to MBA” (4-7-10)

“Wells Fargo Bank was the top commercial/multifamily originator in 2009, according to a set of listings released by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). Other originators in the top 10 include PNC Real Estate; Deutsche Bank Commercial Real Estate; CBRE Capital Markets, Inc.; HFF L.P.; Prudential Mortgage Capital Company; Meridian Capital Group; MetLife; Northmarq Capital LLC and Capmark Financial Group Inc.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA: An Estimated 1.2 Million Households Were Lost During Recession” (4-7-10)

“1.2 million households were lost from 2005 to 2008, despite the population increase of 3.4 million in the study area, as Americans experienced one of the deepest recessions in decades, according to a study released today by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). This decline in households is likely what contributed significantly to the excess supply of apartments and single family homes on the market.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Refinance Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (4-7-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 2, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 11.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 10.5 percent compared with the previous week.”

Los Angeles Times – “Greenspan defends Fed’s handling of subprime mortgage market” (4-7-10)

“While admitting some mistakes, Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan on Wednesday defended the central bank’s much-criticized oversight of the subprime mortgage market, arguing that consumer protection was an important priority and that it did not make sense to outlaw all such loans. Greenspan also warned the federal commission examining the origins of the financial crisis that government regulators couldn’t prevent crises, arguing that ‘fallible human regulators’ had a ‘woeful record’ of predicting the next market pitfalls. The best prevention would come from increasing federal requirements on financial institutions to hold more capital and collateral to carry them through crises.”

Inman - “Survey: Homeownership to get tougher” (4-7-10)

“About 61 percent of homeowners and renters say the economy is on the wrong track, according to the results of a housing survey conducted for Fannie Mae, and about 60 percent of respondents said it is more difficult for them to secure a home loan than for their parents’ generation. An earlier survey, conducted in December 2003, found that 43 percent of respondents believed that the economy was on the wrong track at that time, and 49 percent said it was more difficult to secure a loan at that time than it was in their parents’ generation.”

Housing Wire – “Goldman Sachs Denies Betting Against Clients on RMBS Investments” (4-7-10)

“Subprime RMBS performance ended its four-year free fall this month, and Goldman Sachs (GS: 176.36 +2.00%) is denying it made billions betting against those investments and its clients. In 2009, Goldman generated a net revenue of $45.17bn, up from the $22.2bn gain in 2008 and back to the $45.9bn level in 2007, according to is 2009 annual report. The gains came even as Goldman repaid the $10bn bailout from the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) Capital Purchase Program in June 2009.”

Housing Wire – “Former Lender Tells Congressional Committee: Lax Underwriting Fueled Subprime Mortgage Crisis” (4-7-10)

“As he testified today to the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC), the fragmented subprime mortgage market began loosening underwriting standards to such an extent that eventually a letter from a borrower’s mother sufficed as proof of rental history. Lax underwriting and ineffective risk management led to the current mortgage crisis, he said. He noted that, if a lender offers a high-risk product and profit margins continue to drop, one of two things must happen: The lender either increases interest rates or tightens underwriting guidelines to compensate for the reduced margin and subsequent risk.”

Housing Wire – “Subprime RMBS Delinquencies Fall for First Time in Four Years: Fitch” (4-7-10)

“According to the credit rating agency Fitch, subprime RMBS delinquencies fell to 46.3% in March from 46.9% in February, the first decline in nearly four years. However, it did stay above the 39.8% level of a year ago. Subprime delinquencies rose for 44 straight months from its 6.2% low-point in June 2006. Vincent Barberio, managing director at Fitch, warned against calling an end to the woes.”

Bloomberg - “Trulia Adds Rental Listings Following Drop in U.S. Home Values” (4-7-10)

“Trulia Inc., the San Francisco-based provider of home-sales information, said it will begin listing U.S. apartment rentals as high unemployment and a rise in foreclosures lead many people to lease rather than buy. Trulia today will add more than 1 million rentals to its Web site alongside the 3.5 million homes for sale already listed, the company said in a statement. Users will be able to compare the costs of renting and buying, as well as rate neighborhoods on parking, cleanliness, public transportation and safety, Trulia said.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/11/10

Thursday, March 11th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the MBA, the delinquency rate for CMBS increased by 1.63 percent during the last half of 2009. Statistics from RealtyTrac show that 2 percent fewer homes entered the foreclosure process in February. Nineteen percent of home listings experienced a price reduction since March 1st.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Report Shows Economic Fallout Continues to Impact Commercial Real Estate Markets/Delinquencies in 4th Quarter 2009″ (3-11-10)

“Between the third and fourth quarters, the 30+ day delinquency rate on loans held in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) rose 1.63 percentage points to 5.69 percent. The 60+ day delinquency rate on loans held in life company portfolios decreased 0.04 percentage points to 0.19 percent. The 60+ day delinquency rate on multifamily loans held or insured by Fannie Mae rose 0.01 percentage points to 0.63 percent. The 90+ day delinquency rate on multifamily loans held or insured by Freddie Mac increased 0.04 percentage points to 0.15 percent. The 90+day delinquency rate on loans held by FDIC-insured banks and thrifts rose 0.49 percentage points to 3.92 percent.”

LA Times – “Fewer homes enter foreclosure process in February” (3-11-10)

“The number of homes caught up in some stage of the foreclosure process in February fell 2% from the previous month to 308,524, a real estate firm will report Thursday. That number is up 6% compared with the same month a year earlier but marked the smallest year-over-year increase since January 2006, according to RealtyTrac Inc.”

Housing Wire – “Sellers Cut Fewer Listing Prices as Home Price Declines Slow” (3-11-10)

“Fewer US homes for sale experienced listing price reductions this month, according to online real estate market Trulia.com. It’s further indication of a leveling out in listing price declines amid government stimulus to buy homes. A new low of 19% of listings currently on the market experienced a price cut as of March 1, 2010, based on Trulia’s database of live listings. Sellers slashed $21.6bn off of listing prices.”

Housing Wire – “COP Cites Missed Opportunities in Federal Bailout of GMAC” (3-11-10)

“GMAC, once the credit arm of General Motors and now the 14th largest bank holding company in the US, could have been placed into bankruptcy and its costly subsidiary operations wound-down, the Panel said.”

Housing Wire – “FDIC Pricing Second Round of ABS” (3-11-10)

“The second round of structured financed notes being issued by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) is being priced today. The news comes after the successful launch of the FDIC project to use structured finance as a way to profit from the certain assets of failed banks. It is believed the FDIC is cherry-picking the best performing loans to sell to investors as asset-backed securities (ABS).”

Housing Wire – “Jumbo RMBS Delinquencies Nearing Third Year of Rises” (3-11-10)

“The prime jumbo mortgage market, especially in California and Florida, continues to deteriorate in the residential-mortgage backed securities (RMBS) space, posting rising 60-day or more delinquencies for the 33rd consecutive month, according to Fitch Ratings. And to jumbo market players, the trend is expected to continue for some time.”

Housing Wire – “Weekly Mortgage Rates Dip Again” (3-11-10)

“Freddie Mac’s (FRE: 1.30 -0.76%) weekly survey put the average rate for a 30-year FRM at 4.95% with an average 0.7 origination point for the week ending March 11, down from the previous week when it was 4.97%. A year ago, Freddie’s survey averaged 5.03%.”

Housing Wire – “Storm Brews Over Short Sale Valuations as the Mortgage Market Prepares for HAFA” (3-11-10)

“A storm is brewing between appraisers and broker price opinion (BPO) professionals vying for valuation work for short sales conducted through the Making Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) program. The Appraisal Institute — a trade group that represents appraisers — released a public letter it wrote to Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner on Tuesday, calling for an end of the practice of using BPOs for Making Home Affordable modifications and refinancings, as well as amending the rules for the upcoming HAFA program to require appraisals to determine value for government-incentivized short sales.”

Bloomberg - “REIT Chief Executives See Strengthening Market for Asset Sales” (3-11-10)

“Investors with abundant cash and few deals to chase are driving up commercial property prices, real estate chief executive officers said today.”

Bloomberg - “Apartment Vacancy Rates in U.S. to Decline in 2010, CBRE Says” (3-11-10)

“Apartment vacancies in the U.S., which reached a record high of 7.4 percent in 2009, will fall this year as job losses stabilize and fewer new rental homes enter the market, CB Richard Ellis Group Inc. said. The vacancy rate will decline to 6.8 percent in 2010, the property broker said in a report today. Effective rents, or what tenants pay after concessions, will end the year less than 1 percent down from the fourth quarter of 2009. Rents fell 4.7 percent in the final quarter of last year from a year earlier. “

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/20/10

Wednesday, January 20th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA’s Market Composite Index shows that loan application volume increased by 9.1 percent. Policy changes for FHA will consequently cause borrowers to pay more on their FHA-insured mortgages. HUD reports that housing starts declined 4% in December. Regional housing inflation rose 0.2% in Southern California.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Refinance Applications Increase as Mortgage Rates Fall in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (1-20-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 15, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 9.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 10.4 percent compared with the previous week and decreased 52.3 percent compared with the same week one year earlier.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Comments on Changes to FHA Credit Policy” (1-20-10)

“Borrowers may have to pay a little more for their FHA-insured mortgages or certain borrowers will have to put more money down for their home, but these changes are necessary given the stress that the housing downturn has put on the FHA program.”

Housing Wire – “Commercial Real Estate Investor Demand to Grow in 2010″ (1-20-10)

“The start of 2010 is showing signs of growing investor demand in US commercial real estate, and potentially in related secondary markets, despite the lagging performance of underlying collateral. The pick-up is also predicted to be mirrored in similar markets in Europe and Asia; areas expected to see comparatively better performance. In a report from the rating agency Moody’s, analysts project some pick-up in commercial real estate (CRE) demand after Q409, which would help markets after little movement for much of the year.”

Housing Wire – “Housing Starts Drop, Permits Up in December” (1-20-10)

“After jumping up 8.9% one month earlier, housing starts declined 4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 557,000 in December, according to the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the Commerce Department’s Census Bureau.”

Housing Wire - “BofA Posts $5.2bn Loss in Q409 After TARP Repayment” (1-20-10)

“In the same quarter of 2008, BofA posted a net less of $2.4bn, or $0.48 per diluted share. Excluding the $4bn TARP repayment, BofA had a net loss of $194m in Q409, which narrowed from the $1.8bn loss from a year earlier. For all of 2009, BofA reported a net income of $6.3bn, an improvement from $4bn in 2008.”

Housing Wire – “Morgan Stanley Posts $413m Q409 Profit as Real Estate Gains” (1-20-10)

“Firm-wide results for the full year reflected $1.9bn of net losses on real estate investments ‘amidst the ongoing industry-wide decline in this market,’ Morgan Stanley said in the earnings statement.”

Housing Wire – “Wells Fargo Posts Record $12.3bn Annual Net Income” (1-20-10)

“Wells Fargo said mortgage originations and servicing revenue was $3.4bn in the quarter, and its total mortgage banking noninterest income accounted for 15% of the company’s consolidated Q409 revenue. The bank had $1.2bn in income from mortgage origination and sales activities on $94bn of residential mortgage originations and $144bn of applications.”

Bloomberg - “‘Tranche Warfare’ Erupts as Property Owners Slide Into Default” (1-20-10)

“Infighting among lenders with different classes of debt, called tranches, is on the rise in the hotel industry and throughout the $3.5 trillion market for commercial real estate loans after property prices fell more than 40 percent from their peak in 2007. Commercial mortgage defaults more than doubled to 3.4 percent in last year’s third quarter from a year earlier.”

Bloomberg - “Property Bonds Beat Corporates as Simon Sells: Credit Markets” (1-20-10)

“Real estate borrowers are leading the rally in U.S. corporate bonds as investors add to bets property companies will weather an increase in commercial mortgage defaults. Bonds sold by real-estate investment trusts, shopping-mall owners and office landlords have gained 3.27 percent this month, exceeding 3.18 percent for all of the fourth quarter, and BBB rated commercial mortgage bonds returned 3.59 percent, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes. The gains are the biggest among investment-grade issuers, which returned 1.65 percent so far in 2010, the indexes show.”

Orange County Register – “SoCal housing inflation lowest in 32+ years” (1-20-10)

“Overall regional housing inflation rose 0.2% for the year, lowest since they started this data series in 1977. Household energy costs fell 8.8% last year, biggest drop in the series that dates to 1977.”

Orange County Register – “408 south coast homes in default on loans” (1-20-10)

“There are hundreds of homes in Dana Point, Laguna Beach and San Clemente that are in default on their mortgages and in danger of being foreclosed. According to Trulia.com, a total of 408 homes in these south coastal communities have received a notice of default from their bank, which typically follows one or often a series of missed mortgage payments and a late notice.”

Inman - “Zillow, Trulia slip in Hitwise ratings” (1-20-10)

“Realtor.com remained the dominant Web site in the real estate category, with 6.79 percent market share. Rounding out the top 10 Web sites were Yahoo! Real Estate (3.8 percent), Zillow (3.5 percent), ZipRealty (2.91 percent), eBay’s Rent.com (2.57 percent), Service Magic (2.27 percent), Trulia.com (2.16 percent), Homes.com (1.99 percent), MSN Real Estate (1.78 percent) and Apartments.com (1.32 percent).”

Inman - “Google, RPR and the future” (1-20-10)

“Marty Frame, president of NAR’s Realtors Property Resource, which seeks to create a national database of property information and a new property-valuation system for Realtors to access, discusses RPR plans with Dale Ross, RPR CEO.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, congress voted to use the second half of the $700 billion TARP bailout. FHA was offering 3.5%-down mortgages to qualified buyers. Nouriel Roubini predicted that the U.S. financial crisis may reach $3.6 trillion. Dataquick reported that foreclosures made up just 6 percent of resales in August 2007.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/12/10

Tuesday, January 12th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Federal Reserve made $46.1 billion last year. The MBA predicts that mortgage originations will decline by 39 percent in 2010. According to Integrated Asset Services, national home prices fell by 0.3 percent in November of 2009. FHA reports that foreclosure starts on mortgages from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac decreased by 15 percent from the second quarter to the third quarter of 2009.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “Fed’s reaction to crisis helps deliver record $46.1-billion profit” (1-12-10)

“The Federal Reserve today announced it made a record $46.1-billion profit last year, countering concerns that the central bank has put too much taxpayer money at risk in attempts to stabilize the financial industry.”

Housing Wire – “MBA Expects Mortgage Originations to Fall 40% in 2010″ (1-12-10)

“The mortgage finance industry will likely see a continued slow-down in 2010 as unemployment remains high and home sales slide, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said Tuesday at a media briefing over the state of the real estate industry. The MBA projected total mortgage origination on residential one- to four-family properties is likely to plummet to $1.28trn in all of 2010, from $2.11trn in all of 2009. The projection marks a 39% decline in total mortgage origination in 2010.”

Housing Wire – “MetLife to Provide Reverse Mortgage Program for ABA Banks” (1-12-10)

“The American Bankers Association (ABA) partnered with MetLife Home Loans to provide member banks a reverse mortgage program. Banks provide reverse mortgages to let homeowners convert their home into cash and can allow older borrowers to supplement social security, meet medical expenses and make home improvements.”

Housing Wire – “Tax Refund Gives KB Homes $100m Q4 Profit” (1-12-10)

“A tax return from profits earned during the housing bubble put KB Home (KBH: 15.72 -4.03%) in positive net profit territory in its fiscal year Q409 that ended Nov. 30. Excluding a $191.7m tax refund, KB Home would have lost $91m in the quarter, but instead posted a $100.7m, or $1.31 per share, net profit. With or without the tax refund, the quarter’s results are better than the $307.3m loss in Q408.”

Housing Wire – “IAS Price Index Dips on Declines in Northeast, Midwest” (1-12-10)

“The Integrated Asset Services (IAS) index of national house shows prices fell 0.3% in November, the collateral valuation and management services firm said. That’s better than the 0.5% decline in prices the index experienced in October and the 0.6% decrease in September.”

Housing Wire – “Sellers Cut Listing Prices on 21% of Homes: Trulia” (1-12-10)

“As of Jan. 1, 2010, sellers cut listing prices on 21% of homes currently on the US market, according to the real estate site, Trulia.com.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Subpoenas 15 FHA Lenders With High Mortgage Defaults” (1-12-10)

“The U.S. Housing and Urban Development Department said it subpoenaed 15 mortgage companies today to seek out possible fraud in an effort to stem losses on loans insured by the Federal Housing Administration. HUD officials, who oversee the FHA mortgage insurance program, said they haven’t haven’t found any evidence of wrongdoing at the lenders, and were singling out those with the highest default rates.”

Bloomberg - “Life Insurers to Sidestep CMBS Losses, Barclays Says” (1-12-10)

“U.S. life insurers, a group led by MetLife Inc. and Prudential Financial Inc., will sidestep losses on investments tied to commercial mortgages, said Eric Berg, an analyst with Barclays Plc. ”

Bloomberg - “PMI Drops After Goldman Sachs Sell Recommendation” (1-12-10)

“PMI Group Inc., the third-largest U.S. mortgage insurer, fell the most in five months after a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analyst said he expects more losses as foreclosures increase.”

Inman - “More loans going bad, but more get help” (1-12-10)

“More homeowners fell behind on their payments during the third quarter of 2009, but fewer were funneled into the foreclosure process as loan servicers engaged in more loan workouts, modifications and short sales, according to a new report. Foreclosure starts on loans guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fell 15 percent from the second quarter to the third quarter, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said in its quarterly Foreclosure Prevention and Refinance Report.”

Orange County Register – “Housing market warming up in south coast?” (1-12-10)

“In a typically slow quarter for real estate, all three south coast cities saw their expected market time speed up a bit, according to a biweekly report by Steven Thomas of Altera Real Estate. Two weeks ago, it would have taken an expected 6.86 months to sell all of Dana Point’s active home stock, which has sped up slightly to an expected 5.16 months.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, some economists estimated that the Modesto, Stockton, Bakersfield, Riverside and Sacramento housing markets would take the longest to recover. President Bush requested the remaining $350 billion of the financial rescue, and handed his economic authority to Barack Obama. Distressed home sales in Orange County decreased by 7.2 percent.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/15/09

Tuesday, December 15th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to MDA DataQuick, home sales decreased by 13.3 percent in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange County. The Federal Reserve plans to leave interest rates at the current record low. Research from Trulia and RealtyTrac shows that 43% of U.S. adults will consider buying foreclosed property. A survey from JBREC shows that 57 percent of home builders expect to receive more revenue in 2010 than 2009.

In The News:

DQNews - “Southland home sales and prices up” (12-15-09)

“A total of 19,181 new and resale homes sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was down 13.3 percent from October’s 22,132, and up 14.7 percent from 16,720 for November 2008, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Fed is expected to leave rates at record low” (12-15-09)

“The Federal Reserve is expected to leave interest rates at a record low this week. The big question is whether Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues will hint about when they will reverse course and start boosting rates.”

Wall Street Journal – “Remaking Fannie and Freddie: Six Mistakes to Avoid” (12-15-09)

“While economic theory suggests that duopolies can be highly competitive, there are strong disagreements on whether this applies to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.…While additional GSEs would undoubtedly enhance competition, it is important to recognize the trade-off between concerns over excess profits and market liquidity.”

Inman - “Zillow rolls out rental search” (12-15-09)

“One in four people who plan to move in the next three years say they intend to look at both for-sale and rental properties, Rascoff said, citing a poll by Harris Interactive.”

Housing Wire – “Fewer Buyers Consider Foreclosures: RealtyTrac, Trulia” (12-15-09)

“Fewer homebuyers are likely to consider purchasing a foreclosed property in the future, according to a survey conducted by the online real estate companies Trulia.com and RealtyTrac. Conducted in early November, 43% of US adults indicate they are at least somewhat likely to consider purchasing a foreclosed home, a drop from 55% in the same survey conducted in May.”

Housing Wire – “After ‘09 Housing Bottom, Builders Optimistic for ‘10″ (12-15-09)

“While Fitch maintains a negative outlook for US homebuilding in 2010, the John Burns Real Estate Consulting (JBREC) monthly builder survey showed optimism among 264 home building industry executives from public and private companies. The belief that builders will have increased community count, better orders and slightly higher prices has 57% of respondents planning for more revenue in 2010 than in 2009.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Originations to Fall 16% in 2010 as Stimulus Ends” (12-15-09)

“Mortgage originations probably will decline 16 percent next year as the homebuyer tax credit expires and the Federal Reserve winds down purchases of mortgage-backed bonds, according to a report by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Inc.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAHB reported that builder confidence was at an all time low. Zillow estimated that home price reductions would add up to a total of $2 trillion in losses. Research from HomeDex showed that the median price per square foot decreased to $196.

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