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California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘S&P’

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/27/10

Tuesday, July 27th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The S&P home price index suggests that prices increased by 1.3 percent from April to May. 91 of the top 100 homebuying zip codes are in California. The vacancy rate for rental housing has remained flat at 10.6 percent for the past year. MPF Research reports the number of occupied apartments grew by 215,000 in the 64 largest U.S. markets in the first half of 2010.

In The News:

Associated Press – “Home prices increase 1.3 pct. in May from April” (7-27-10)

“The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index released Tuesday posted a 1.3 percent increase in May from April. Nineteen of 20 cities showed price gains month over month. Minneapolis and Atlanta led the way with 2.8 percent and 2 percent increases, respectively. And San Diego posted its 13th straight monthly gain.”

Inman - “California ‘hot’ among homebuyers” (7-27-10)

“Of the report’s 100 ‘hottest’ ZIP codes nationwide, 91 were in California. This means that, on average, homes in these ZIP codes sold for the most above listing price, while homes in the ‘coldest’ ZIP codes sold for the most under listing price.”

Housing Wire – “Housing Vacancy, Homeownership Rates Remain Level in Q210″ (7-27-10)

“The 2.5% vacancy rate of owner-occupant housing units was only 10 basis points (bps) below the previous quarter and remained level with the year-ago quarter. The rental housing market’s vacancy rate of 10.6% in Q210 was level with the previous quarter and year-ago quarter. Additionally, the homeownership rate slipped to 66.9%, nearly level with 67.1% in the previous quarter”

Housing Wire – “HUD Fines CitiMortgage $700,000 for Failure to Report Delinquencies” (7-27-10)

“The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) reached a $700,000 settlement with CitiMortgage, Inc. (CMI) after the company failed to report delinquent loans by the specified monthly deadline. The action was reported in a recently released notice of actions being taken against Federal Housing Administration (FHA) lenders that failed to comply with government standards for lending practices.”

Housing Wire – “FHFA Sees 30-Year Mortage Rate Dip to 5% June” (7-27-10)

“The average contract mortgage rate on conventional 30-year fixed-rate mortgages slipped to 5% in June, 12 basis points (bps) down from a month earlier, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). The rate had held at 5.12% for the past two months. The contract rate on the composite of all mortgage loans (both fixed- and adjustable-rate) fell 9 bps to 4.9%”

Bloomberg - “Apartment Rentals Surge in U.S. on Home Foreclosures, Job Gains” (7-27-10)

“The number of occupied apartments increased by 215,000 in the 64 largest U.S. markets in the first half, according to MPF Research. That’s almost double the units added in all of 2009 and the most since the firm began tracking the data in 1992. The vacancy rate declined to 6.6 percent last month from 8.2 percent in December.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Cities, Counties Poised to Cut 500,000 Jobs, Report Finds” (7-27-10)

“U.S. local governments may cut almost 500,000 jobs through next year to cope with sliding property taxes, a decline in state and federal aid and added need for social services, according to a report released today. The report, a result of a survey by the National League of Cities, the U.S. Conference of Mayors and the National Association of Counties, showed local governments are moving to cut the equivalent of 8.6 percent of their workforces from 2009 to 2011. That suggests 481,000 employees will lose their jobs, according to the report, which said the tally may yet rise.”

Orange County Register – “Hear why next housing peak ‘2016 or beyond’” (7-27-10)

“Economist Mark Schniepp of the California Forecast tells ocregister.com in a podcast interview that local housing will endure a recovery that’s ‘painstakingly frustrating’ in its modesty with improving but not impressive sales volumes and prices. But it will take a big turnabout in the employment picture before hosuing’s rebound become significant but it will still be ‘until 2016-2017 or beyond’ before the old peaks are surpassed.”

Housing Wire – “Big 4 Banks Add $9.5bn in Nonperforming, Foreclosed Properties in One Year” (7-27-10)

“Each of the ‘big-four’ banks, Bank of America (BAC: 14.19 +0.28%), Wells Fargo (WFC: 28.39 +1.72%), JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 40.69 +0.89%) and Citigroup (C: 4.16 +0.24%) released quarterly earnings reports for Q210 in July, reporting a total increase of $9.5bn in nonperforming or foreclosed properties from the same quarter last year.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, pools increased a homes value by up to 11 percent in Southern California. Fiserv predicted that California would be the hottest home market in 2010. New home purchases climbed 11 percent in June 2009.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/15/10

Tuesday, June 15th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

MDA DataQuick reports A total of 22,270 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in Southern California last month. According to the NAHB, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family decreased this month. Having a home with a view is on the top 10 list of preferences for 44.5 percent of men. Morgan Stanley’s research has lead the company to conclude that low mortgage rates will prevent a double dip in prices.

In The News:

DQNews - “Southland median sale price back over $300K; sales at 4-year high” (6-15-10)

“A total of 22,270 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was up 9.7 percent from 20,299 in April, and up 7.2 percent from 20,775 in May 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

NAHB - “Builder Confidence Declines in June” (6-15-10)

“Snapping a string of two consecutive monthly gains, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes fell back to February levels, before the beginning of the home buyer tax credit-related surge, according to results of the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today. The HMI dropped five points to 17 in June.”

Los Angeles Times – “California’s economy to see sluggish recovery this year, UCLA economists say” (6-15-10)

“California stands to gain some jobs this year but recovery will be sluggish, and the state’s inland areas will bear the brunt of the continuing economic pain, according to a forecast scheduled to be released Tuesday by UCLA’s Anderson School of Business.”

Inman - “Top 10 sought-after home features” (6-15-10)

“Men and women’s top 10 preferences were largely the same with two exceptions: having a view made it onto the men’s list (and not the women’s list), with 44.5 percent of men saying it was a high priority; and wood floors made it onto the women’s list (and not the men’s), with 40.9 percent of women ranking them highly.”

Housing Wire – “Low Mortgage Rates Help Block Double-Dip Threat: Morgan Stanley” (6-15-10)

“The US economics team at financial firm Morgan Stanley (MS: 25.96 +2.49%) says in their latest research report that recent gains in the nation’s economy point to a remote chance of a so-called double dip — where recent upticks in economic activity are only temporary — citing low mortgage rates as a key driver in drawing this conclusion.”

Housing Wire – “Shadow Inventory to Take 3 Years to Clear: Standard & Poor’s” (6-15-10)

“The shadow inventory of distressed properties that back residential mortgage-backed securities will take nearly three years to clear at the current sales rate, according to the credit rating agency, Standard & Poor’s (S&P). S&P puts the total principal balance of the shadow inventory at $480bn or 30% of the entire non-agency market.”

Housing Wire – “BofA Permanent HAMP Modifications Passes 70,000 in May” (6-15-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 15.76 +2.27%) pushed its total number of permanent modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) to roughly 70,000 in May, up from 56,400 in April.”

Housing Wire – “MGIC Writes $800m in Monthly Mortgage Insurance, Denies Hundreds of Claims” (6-15-10)

“Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corp. (MGIC), the principal subsidiary of MGIC Investment Corp. (MTG: 9.12 +8.19%), wrote $800m of primary new mortgage insurance in May, according to monthly operations data. The company denied or rescinded — or canceled the policy relating to — almost 1,000 mortgage insurance claims in the month, helping to further reduce the number of delinquencies on its books, according to a press release.”

Housing Wire – “More Funds Repaid to TARP than Outstanding in May: Treasury” (6-15-10)

“Treasury noted in the April update on TARP that it expects to spend less than $550bn of the $700bn authorized for the program, and expects to recover all but $117bn — an estimate that was subsequently revised to $105.4bn. Of $384bn in total TARP disbursements, more than half — or $194bn — was repaid through May, leaving only $190bn outstanding. The sale of 1.5bn shares of Citigroup (C: 3.975 +2.45%) pushed the repayments past outstandings for the first time in TARP’s history.”

Housing Wire – “In These Thin Times, House Sizes Also Begin to Shrink” (6-15-10)

“In 2007, the average single-family home in the United States peaked at 2,521 square feet. That number did not vary greatly into 2008. However, according to a 2009 report from the Census Bureau, it’s now at an average of 2,438 square feet.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/26/10

Wednesday, May 26th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Commerce Department reports sales of new single-family homes rose 14.8 percent in April. Mortgage application volume increased 11.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. The NAR predicts commercial vacancy rates will increase from 16.9 percent in the first quarter of this year to 17.6 percent in the first quarter of 2011. According to Freddie Mac, home prices declined 1.1% in quarter 1 of 2010 compared to the same quarter one year ago.

In The News:

Washington Post - “New home sales jump 14.8 percent in April” (5-26-10)

“The sales of new single-family homes rose 14.8 percent in April compared with the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 504,000, according to Commerce Department data. It was up 47.8 percent compared to the same period a year ago.”

Mortgage Bankers Association - “Mortgage Refinance Applications Continue to Increase, Purchase Applications Decline Further in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (5-26-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 21, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 11.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 10.3 percent compared with the previous week.”

NAR - “Commercial Real Estate Vacancies to Peak Near Early 2011″ (5-26-10)

“With an elevated level of sublease space available, vacancy rates in the office sector are projected to increase from 16.9 percent in the first quarter of this year to 17.6 percent in the first quarter of 2011, but should ease later next year. Annual office rent is likely to fall 2.3 percent this year and decline another 2.1 percent in 2011. In 57 markets tracked, net absorption of office space, which includes the leasing of new space coming on the market as well as space in existing properties, is forecast to be a negative 24.6 million square feet this year and then a positive 25.5 million in 2011.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Study Examines Industry Risk Management Practices That Contributed to Housing Crisis” (5-26-10)

“Multiple factors including poor data, incomplete performance metrics, and, short-term focus and unrealistic optimism among senior business managers contributed to the collapse in the US housing and mortgage markets, according to a study released today by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Sees House Prices Down Slightly in Q110″ (5-26-10)

“Home prices declined 1.1% in Q110 compared to the same quarter one year ago, according to purchase-only edition of Freddie Mac’s (FRE: 1.17 +1.74%) Conventional Mortgage Home Price Index (CMHPI). Compared to Q409, prices are down 2.1%. However, despite the declines, prices in some regions of the country are still above 2005 levels.”

Bloomberg - “Toll Brothers Buys Land as Quarterly Home Orders Rise” (5-26-10)

“Toll Brothers Inc., the largest U.S. luxury homebuilder, increased its land holdings for the first time in four years in anticipation of a recovery in the market.”

Orange County Register – “4 big local landlords cut rent 5.3%” (5-26-10)

“Equity Residential, Essex Property, AIMCO and AvalonBay — own a combined 39,577 units in Southern California. (That’s a visual taste of their Orange County offerings above. Click for larger images!) Thanks to my trusty spreadsheet, this foursome’s collective SoCal rents — factoring in their relative number of local units owned — dropped 5.3% vs. a year ago. (RealFacts, which surveys numerous owners of large complexes, had Orange County rents down 4.8% in the year ended in the first quarter.)”

Orange County Register – “O.C. real estate giant to split into two companies” (5-26-10)

“The legacy component, consisting mainly of its title insurance and other insurance-related businesses, will be renamed First American Financial, trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol of FAF. The newer, technologically advanced real estate and consumer data and analysis businesses formerly known as First American CoreLogic will form the second company, operating simply as CoreLogic. Its stock symbol will be CLGX.”

Bloomberg - “Home Prices in U.S. Cities Rise Less Than Forecast” (5-25-10)

“Home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose less than forecast in March from a year earlier, a sign the housing recovery is cooling. The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index of property values in 20 cities increased 2.3 percent from March 2009, the group said today in New York. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News projected a 2.5 percent advance. Nationally, prices last quarter dropped 3.2 percent from the previous three months.”

Bloomberg - “Home Prices Decline 3.1% in First Quarter, FHFA Says” (5-25-10)

“U.S. home prices fell 3.1 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier as record foreclosures added to the inventory of houses on the market. The annual drop was double the 1.5 percent decline in the fourth quarter, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said today in a report. Measured from the prior three months, prices fell 1.9 percent in the first quarter, the Washington-based agency said.”

Housing Wire – “Moody’s Says Court Ruling Gives FDIC Broad Powers Over Failed Bank Assets” (5-25-10)

“A ruling by the Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals is giving the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) broad-reaching powers to dispose of the assets of failed banks, according to Moody’s Investors Service. In its latest credit outlook report, the rating agency said the ruling is likely to up the risk to bank-sponsored asset-backed securities (ABS), as recourse to compensation will be diminished, leaving involved parties little alternative than to sue the FDIC in instances of alleged grievance over the handling of these assets.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Production Stays Flat Despite Delinquent Buy-Outs, Analyst Says” (5-25-10)

“The aggregate unpaid principal balance of Freddie’s mortgage-related investments portfolio grew by $3.9bn in the month, due to delinquent mortgage buyouts from Participation Certificate (PC) pools first announced in February. The total portfolio size is back to year-end 2009 levels, but securities holdings are down $61bn to accommodate the loan purchases. Net production of Freddie pass-throughs this year — including the effect of the buy backs — is flat, according to Jim Vogel, a strategist at FTN Financial, a financial services provider for the investment and banking community.”

Housing Wire – “New $3bn Foreclosure Prevention Program Added to Wall Street Reform Bill” (5-25-10)

“The Senate passed the Restoring American Financial Stability Act last week, approving a new program that would reduce mortgage payments for the unemployed. The program would provide $3bn from the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) to lend up to $50,000 to unemployed homeowners, who could reasonably resume making payments again within two years. The program was modeled after the Homeowners’ Emergency Mortgage Assistance Program (HEMAP) in Pennsylvania.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index decreased 18.7 percent from March 2008. Freddie Mac estimated that the U.S. housing slump would end in June 2009. Orange County building industry lost 32,300 construction jobs from the September 2007 peak. President Obama signed a $500 million fraud protection bill.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/18/10

Thursday, February 18th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Freddie Mac’s weekly survey shows that mortgage rates dropped this week. According to MDA DataQuick, 4,853 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow last month in the Bay Area. The U.S. Treasury claims that its foreclosure prevention program has cut mortgage payments for approximately 947,000 homeowners. S&P estimates there are approximately 947,000 houses in shadow inventory, which will take nearly 3 years to sell.

In The News:

Market Watch – “Mortgage rates drop” (2-18-10)

“Mortgage rates fell again this week, with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropping to an average 4.93%, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey of conforming rates, released on Thursday.”

DQNews - “Bay Area home sales fall; median price up from last year, down from December” (2-18-10)

“A total of 4,853 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in the nine-county Bay Area last month. That was down 38.0 percent from 7,828 sales in December and down 3.9 percent from 5,050 sales in January 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Wall Street Journal – “More Households Benefit From Loan-Mod Program” (2-18-10)

“The U.S. Treasury said its foreclosure-prevention program has cut mortgage payments for about 947,000 households, at least temporarily.”

Inman - “S&P: Shadow inventory to grow” (2-18-10)

“Lenders are likely to add at least 1.75 million homes to their real estate owned (REO) property rolls that will take nearly three years to sell and put pressure on home prices, according to a new report from Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC.”

Housing Wire – “California Leads States In HAMP Mortgage Modifications” (2-18-10)

“The Treasury launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide capped incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. Nationwide, more than 116,000 permanent modifications took place through January, up from 66,000 modifications in December. There are more than 830,000 active trial modifications currently under the program. California led all states with more than 191,000 permanent and active trial modifications through January, according to the Treasury.”

Housing Wire – “House Prices Swing Up to Close 2009, Still Down from 2008″ (2-18-10)

“Radar Logic’s monthly Residential Property Index (RPX), a composite HPI of 25 major US markets, increased 0.2% from November 17 to December 17. It’s the first November to December increase the index has experienced since 2004. Prices increased 1.5% from October to November.”

Bloomberg - “Fed Officials Set Goal of ‘Eventual’ Exit From Housing Finance” (2-18-10)

“Central bankers are planning to eventually remove $1.43 trillion of housing debt from the balance sheet after critics such as Stanford University economist John Taylor accused them of straying beyond monetary policy. Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser said yesterday that the Fed’s purchases of housing debt expose it to demands from politicians to support other industries.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the Commerce Department reported that housing construction decreased by 16.8 percent in January. The MBA’s weekly survey showed that mortgage application volume had increased. CAR statistics showed that 59 percent of the California population could afford a home.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/7/10

Thursday, January 7th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Home equity delinquencies increased to 4.3 percent of all accounts. Many construction companies reported an increase in profit during the 4th quarter of 2009. REIS Inc. reports that U.S. apartment vacancies rose to 8 percent last quarter. According to Freddie Mac, mortgage rates decreased to 5.09 percent from last week.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “Lennar Posts Quarterly Profit, Expects $320M Tax Refund” (1-7-09)

“Miami-based homebuilder Lennar (LEN: 15.70 +14.60%) reported net earnings of $35.6m, $0.19 per share, for its fiscal year fourth quarter that ended Nov. 30 and said it will receive a tax refund of $320m as a result of legislation that temporarily allowed companies to recoup losses from taxes paid in profitable years.”

Housing Wire – “Invesco Mortgage Capital Planning Another Share Sale” (1-7-09)

“Seeing a growing appetite for deals from investors, Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR: 22.37 -2.10%), a real estate investment trust (REIT), plans to offer 7m shares of its common stock for sale in order to fund the acquisition of residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities (RMBS and CMBS) and leveraged mortgage loans.”

Housing Wire – “Delinquency Grows in Home Equity Loans, Lines of Credit: ABA” (1-7-09)

“Housing-related loans continued to show stress. Home equity loan delinquencies hit another record in the quarter, jumping 29 bps to 4.3% of all accounts. Home equity lines of credit rose 20 bps to 2.12% of all accounts. Mobile home delinquencies increased to 3.63% of all accounts, from 3.53% the previous quarter.”

Housing Wire – “Beazer to Offer 18m Shares, $50m in Convertible Debt” (1-7-09)

“Beazer Homes (BZH: 5.06 +6.08%) will issue new common stock and convertible subordinate debt, the Atlanta-based homebuilder said in a pair of Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings. According to the filings, Beazer will issue 18m shares of common stock and $50m in convertible subordinate debt which will convert to stock shares in 2013.”

Bloomberg - “Job Growth Erodes as Housing Bust Pushes Mobility to Record Low” (1-7-09)

“Some households are staying put because they owe more on their mortgages than their properties are worth; others have trouble selling houses in depressed areas, economists say. The S&P/Case-Shiller composite index of home prices in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas was down 29 percent in October from its July 2006 peak.”

Bloomberg - “Principal Cuts on Lender Menus as Foreclosures Rise” (1-7-09)

“While interest-rate reductions or extending loan terms reduce homeowners’ monthly payments, they don’t give much comfort to borrowers who owe more on their homes than their properties are worth. Borrowers who don’t have equity in their homes are more likely to hand over the keys when they run into trouble.”

Bloomberg - “Lennar Leads Builders Higher on Report of Unexpected Profit” (1-7-09)

“Lennar Corp. led U.S. homebuilders higher after the company reported an unexpected quarterly profit as it took advantage of a tax change in the way it accounts for land sales. A Standard & Poor’s measure of 12 home construction companies rose as much as 5.4 percent, the most since November. Lennar climbed as much as 13 percent. KB Home, M/I Homes Inc., Toll Brothers Inc. and D.R. Horton Inc. all gained.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Rates on 30-Year U.S. Loans Fall to 5.09%” (1-7-09)

“Mortgage rates in the U.S. fell for the first time in five weeks, lowering borrowing costs and offering a boost to potential buyers. The rate for 30-year fixed U.S. home loans fell to 5.09 percent for the week ended today from 5.14 percent, mortgage finance company Freddie Mac said. Rates hit a record low 4.71 percent the week of Dec. 3. This week’s average 15-year rate was 4.50 percent, Freddie Mac said in today’s statement. ”

Bloomberg - “Record U.S. Apartment Vacancies Force Landlords to Cut Rents” (1-7-09)

“U.S. apartment vacancies rose to a record 8 percent in the fourth quarter and rents fell the most in three decades as unemployment cut demand, according to Reis Inc.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications were decreasing. Statistics from Default Research showed that foreclosures and defaults had significantly increased across California. Apartment rents fell and vacancy rates increased to a 4 year high. Freddie Mac reported that mortgage rates fell for the 9th week in a row.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/29/09

Tuesday, December 29th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

The S&P/Case-Schiller index shows that home prices increased in 20 major U.S. cities in October. A Bloomberg study shows that broker commissions decreased by 6.2 percent from last year. Steve Thomas of Altera Real Estate reports that Orange County home sales take half as much time in comparison to last year. O.C. distressed property sales decreased by 53 percent from last year.

In The News:

Bloomberg - “Home Prices in 20 U.S. Cities Rose for Fifth Month” (12-29-09)

“Home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose in October for a fifth consecutive month, putting the housing market and economy farther along the path to recovery. The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index increased 0.4 percent from the prior month on a seasonally adjusted basis, after a 0.2 percent rise in September, the group said today in New York. The gauge was down 7.3 percent from October 2008, the smallest year- over-year decline since October 2007. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News anticipated a 7.2 percent drop.”

Bloomberg - “Housing Recovery Fails to Bolster Broker Commissions” (12-29-09)

“A surge in home purchases by first- time U.S. buyers is doing little to help real estate agents and brokers who close the deals. Commissions in 2009 fell to the lowest level in seven years, driven down by sales of low-priced homes to first-time buyers using the federal tax credit. Commissions through November dropped 6.2 percent from a year earlier to $40.6 billion, according to Bloomberg calculations based on the average commission rates from Real Trends Inc. and on home price and sales data from the National Association of Realtors.”

Inman - “Approach 2010 with curiosity, not dread” (12-29-09)

“Given the immense global economic expansion under way and the shortage of the commodity, its price ought to go up. Then again, given cost of production at $600 an ounce and doubled price, nobody knows at what point balance will appear. If you want an inflation indicator, watch inflation. Currency values are relative to each other, not absolute, and are effect, not cause. In the old days you could assume that a weak currency brought inflation, or that you got some benefit from having a strong currency. Today, China has no inflation problem and tries like hell to keep its currency cheap. Watch economies themselves.”

Inman - “3 steps to a better marketing strategy” (12-29-09)

“Cummings points out that more wealth is created during recessions than at any other time. Recessions do end. While you can’t control when your market will shift, you can control your reaction to the market.”

Realty Times – “Washington Report: Estate Taxes” (12-29-09)

“If the Senate fails to pass a bill preserving current estate tax rates, as the House did before heading home for the holidays, the estate tax will totally disappear January first. While that might sound like outstandingly good news for people who want to pass along real estate to children or grandchildren tax-free, there’s a major complication here. If the estate tax disappears in 2010 because the Senate couldn’t get its act together in 2009, the disappearance will only be temporary, for one year. Then, under a legislative deal worked out nearly a decade ago, the estate tax will suddenly spring back to life in 2011 with higher tax rates and lower exclusions.”

Orange County Register – “Home-selling time sliced by half in 2009″ (12-29-09)

“The latest O.C. home inventory report from Steve Thomas at Altera Real Estate in Aliso Viejo — the last one for 2009 — tells you that the typical home officially on the market today takes half the time to sell than it did a year ago!”

Orange County Register - “Distressed homes for sale cut 53% in a year” (12-29-09)

“the number of O.C. distressed properties (homes listed by agents in the MLS system as foreclosures or short sales) was 2,537 last week — down 53% in a year.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/27/09

Tuesday, October 27th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Senate is considering a proposal that would extend and cap the tax credit at $7,290. Interthinx estimates that mortgage fraud risk increased by 11 percent from quarter 2 to quarter 3 of 2009. Goldman Sachs claims that home price stabilization will not last, but Bank of America feels that the outlook for home prices is more positive.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “Campaign targets mortgage modification scams” (10-27-09)

“Wachter along with other industry experts still worry that rising unemployment and more foreclosures could stifle the rebound. Another unknown is whether a temporary federal tax credit for first-time buyers will be extended to help boost sales. First-time homebuyers can receive a credit of 10 percent of the sales price, up to $8,000. The real estate industry is lobbying Congress to extend the credit past the Nov. 30 deadline. Top Democrats in the Senate are pressing a plan that would prolong the credit but gradually phase it out over the next year.”

Housing Wire – “House Price Stabilize a Year Ahead of Schedule: RBS” (10-27-09)

“The US economy and housing market in particular are recovering well ahead of the schedule previously anticipated by analysts and market observers, according to commentary by Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) economists.”

Housing Wire – “House Prices Post Seven Months of Yearly Improvement: Case-Shiller” (10-27-09)

“Home prices in the Standard & Poor’s (S&P)/Case-Shiller 10-City and 20-City Composite Home Price Indices, declined 10.6% and 11.3%, respectively, in August 2009 compared to August 2008.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Fraud Risk Surges 11% from Q209: Interthinx” (10-27-09)

“Fraud risk in the mortgage industry surged more than 11% from Q209 to Q309, according to a mortgage fraud risk index compiled by Agoura Hills, Calif.-based mortgage software developer Interthinx.”

Bloomberg – “MetLife, Lincoln May Avoid Commercial Mortgage Losses” (10-27-09)

“MetLife Inc., the biggest U.S. life insurer, and Lincoln National Corp. will probably sidestep commercial-mortgage losses because their biggest loans are ‘handily’ below property values, Barclays Plc said.”

Bloomberg – “Capmark Increased Office, Hotel Loans as Zell Saw Top” (10-27-09)

“In 2006 and 2007, Capmark originated $60 billion in commercial mortgage loans, most for office buildings, according to the Oct. 25 bankruptcy filing. While Capmark was lending, Zell was selling Equity Office Properties Trust at the top of the market for $39 billion, including debt.”

Bloomberg – “Goldman Sees ‘False Bottom,’ Merrill Sees ‘Treat’” (10-27-09)

“The stabilization in U.S. home prices won’t last, according to economists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in New York. Their counterparts at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research see a ‘treat’ rather than a retreat”

Bloomberg – “Senate Close to Deal Replacing Homebuyer Tax Credit” (10-27-09)

“The deal would reduce the size of the tax credit to 10 percent of the sale’s price, capped at $7,290, the people said. The credit would be available on home purchases that are under contract by April 30, and borrowers would have 60 days more to close the sale. The existing credit is due to end Nov. 30.”

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