Housing Wire – “Principal Real Estate Investors optimistic for economic recovery in 2011″ (12-29-10)

“Principal Real Estate Investors expects the Republican gains in Congress, stabilizing commercial real estate values, stronger corporate earnings, higher personal savings rates and the dynamics related to quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve will fuel economic growth in 2011.”

Housing Wire – “Foreclosures jump 31% in third quarter: OCC” (12-29-10)

“Large banks and thrifts foreclosed on 382,000 homes in the third quarter, a 31.2% spike from the previous quarter, according to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Foreclosures increased 3.7% from a year ago, and more are coming. There are 1.2 million homes in the foreclosure process as of the end of the third quarter, up 4.5% from the previous quarter and an increase of 10.1% from a year ago.”

Housing Wire – “Jobless claims fall by 34,000 to lowest point since July 2008″ (12-29-10)

“The Labor Department said the seasonally adjusted figure of actual initial claims for the week ended Dec. 25 fell by 34,000 from the previous week’s 422,000 that was revised upward by a few thousand.”

Housing Wire – “2010 average rate for 30-year mortgage lowest since 1955: Freddie Mac” (12-30-10)

“the average rate for a 30-year, fixed mortgage rose to 4.86% for the week ending Thursday, up from 4.81% a week earlier. A year ago, the average rate was 5.14%.”

Housing Wire – “OTS pins some higher REO volume on mortgage servicers” (12-30-10)

“The Office of Thrift Supervision updated its guidelines alerting examiners to the possibility that a higher level of repossessed homes could stem from poor servicer performance as much as lax underwriting standards.”

Housing Wire – “S&P revises shadow inventory timeline upward, again” (12-30-10)

“In the last three months, an estimated liquidation timeline covering the nation’s backlog of distressed real estate actually increased, according to Standard & Poor’s. The ratings agency now estimates it will take 44 months — up 10% percent from an estimate made just three months ago and 25% annualized — to clear the so-called shadow inventory of homes in distress or foreclosure, but not yet on the resale market.”

Housing Wire – “Senate removes extended tax exemptions for REIT investments” (12-28-10)

“Lawmakers removed larger exemptions for real estate investment trust stock purchases in a bill signed by President Obama Tuesday. The House of Representatives version of the Foreign Investment in Real Property Tax Act would have extended the tax exemption for REIT stock sold from 5% to 10% ownership interest.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mac delinquency rate up slightly in November, Fannie rate drops” (12-28-10)

“Freddie Mac said the rate of single-family home loans more than 90-days delinquent inched up to 3.85% last month from 3.82% in October. The government-sponsored enterprise said the multifamily delinquency rate for November fell to 0.39% from 0.44% a month earlier.”

Housing Wire - “LPS: Nearly 2.2 million mortgages are more than 90 days delinquent” (12-28-10)

“Nearly 2.2 million loans are 90 days or more delinquent but not yet in foreclosure, according to LPS, a Jacksonville, Fla.-based mortgage technology and analytics firm.”

Housing Wire - “Lenders initiate 500,000 short sales through Equator in one year” (12-28-10)

“Lenders initiated more than 500,000 short sales on Equator’s automated platform in one year of operation, the technology provider said Tuesday.”

Housing Wire – “Backlog on failed HAMP trials grows 22% since July” (12-28-10)

“The largest servicers participating in the Home Affordable Modification Program have not taken action on 266,136 delinquent mortgages that have either been canceled out of loan modification trials or never qualified for one as of October. This backlog has increased 22% since the 218,246 reported in July.”

Housing Wire – “Consumer advocates claim new Fed rule encourages reverse mortgage predators” (12-28-10)

“The Fed filed the rule with the Federal Register on Sept. 24. The rule was designed to actually give consumers more disclosures on reverse mortgage paperwork, using simple language to highlight the basic features and risks. But the organizations, which include the Center for Responsible Lending, and the National Consumer Law Center, among others, say that the rule goes beyond the Fed’s authority and undermines the still-forming Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.”

Housing Wire – “Housing price declines increase strategic default risk” (12-28-10)

“Home prices are expected to drop another 20% before hitting bottom, according to economists at A. Gary Shilling & Co., raising the risk that 40% of borrowers will walk away from their home in a strategic default.”

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Continue Recovery, Gradual Improvement Seen in 2011″ (12-28-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, rose 3.5 percent to 92.2 based on contracts signed in November from a downwardly revised 89.1 in October. The index is 5.0 percent below a reading of 97.0 in November 2009. The data reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months”

Orange County Register – “O.C. home sales taking 58% longer” (12-28-10)

“It would take 4.64 months for buyers to gobble up all homes for sale at the current pace vs. 2.93 months a year ago — that’s a 58% increase in theoretical selling time in 2010. Homes listed for under a million bucks have a market time of 4.14 months vs. 2.37 months a year ago — that’s a 74% increase in selling time.”

According to CoreLogic, shadow inventory levels increased to 2.1 million units in August. TransUnion reports mortgage delinquency rates fell to 6.7%. Data from Campbell Surveys shows the current foreclosure problems are significantly delaying closings.

In The News:

Orange County Register - “Calif. ranked 3rd best U.S. home market” (11-20-10)

“Tops on the list for year-over-year price gains for all transactions — distressed sales, included — was New York (up 2.67 percent) then North Dakota (a 1.73 percent gain.) After California came Nebraska (+.78 percent), and Virginia (+.77 percent).”

Inman - “Lenders scoring lower on customer satisfaction” (11-22-10)

“Customer satisfaction with mortgage originators is on the decline as the time from loan application to approval has grown to 27.5 days, up from 20 days last year, according to a study by J.D. Power and Associates.”

Wall Street Journal – “Shadow Inventory of Homes Rising” (11-22-10)

“The ‘shadow inventory’ of unlisted bank-owned homes and potential foreclosures increased to 2.1 million units in August, up 10% from one year earlier, according to new estimates from CoreLogic, a real-estate research firm.”

Housing Wire - “Investors eye opportunities in distressed properties and loans” (11-22-10)

“Market indications, not just living on rumors of a billion dollar Pimco fund for distressed loans and properties, are such that global investors are also looking more at the U.S. According to a global distressed property monitor from the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors, investor interest in distressed sales is now double that of a year ago.”

Housing Wire – “Moody’s: CRE prices rose 4.3% in Sept. to highest since May” (11-22-10)

“Commercial real estate property prices increased for the first time since May with a 4.3% gain for September, according to Moody’s Investors Service.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage delinquency rate tumbles 3.5% in 3Q: TransUnion” (11-22-10)

“The national mortgage delinquency rate fell 3.5% from the second to the third quarter to a rate of 6.7%, according to a report released Monday by TransUnion. This is the largest quarterly drop the firm witnessed since the fourth quarter of 2006. The rate still remains 3% higher than the third quarter of 2009, however.”

Housing Wire - “Foreclosure mess scares off homebuyers: Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance” (11-22-10)

“Servicing problems disrupted both short sales and REO sales. Survey results show that 24% of closings scheduled for October were delayed or canceled due to issues with short sales, while 12% were delayed or canceled due to REO title issues.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Documentation Failures Extend Past Securitizations, Cantor Says” (11-22-10)

“In some cases faulty files are lowering loan prices or extending the time it takes to complete sales, said Jason Kopcak, the head of whole-loan trading at the New York-based broker. Residential and commercial mortgages owned by banks looking to sell often lack the papers required by buyers, including documents needed to foreclose, Kopcak said.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. homes: 4th costliest vs. income” (11-22-10)

“FiServ’s recent home-price outlook contained intriguing stats on 212 markets and the relationship between the median selling price of homes (for second quarter 2010) in major metropolitan areas across the nation and the local household median incomes from 2009.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Today’s News Synopsis:

Attorney General Brown is interfering with Ally Financial’s mass foreclosure operation, and may force the company to cease all foreclosure activity in California. Multiple government agencies have put out statistics on home sales. Freddie Mac’s total mortgage portfolio decreased 5.2% last month. Thirty-day delinquent inventory fell to 9.22%, according to LPS. S&P predicts the current level of shadow inventory will take 40 months to clear.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Testifies on Potential Revisions to The Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA)” (9-24-10)

“One issue the Fed must keep in mind in determining what data elements to collect is that HMDA requirements should not turn into a safe harbor of allowable credit variables to be considered when making a loan. Freezing credit models into an official sanctioned set of variables would have a deleterious impact on credit availability going forward, limiting the growth of lenders who believe they have a better idea of how to do things. For example, over the years some lenders have come to believe that credit scores are not as important as the number of times a potential borrower has been late with housing-related payments. Some lenders now will simply refuse to make a loan to a borrower who has walked away from a previous mortgage, or appears to be positioning himself or herself for such behavior.”

Office of the Attorney General – “Brown Directs Nation’s Fourth Largest Home Lender to Suspend Foreclosures Until It Proves It Is Complying with the Law” (9-24-10)

“Recent reports indicated that the head of Ally Financial’s document processing team testified he routinely approved and signed foreclosure documents without confirming they were accurate and legally sufficient, as he was required to do. This admitted misconduct raises serious doubts about whether Ally Financial’s practices provide California borrowers facing foreclosure the protections guaranteed by law. Accordingly, Brown is demanding that Ally Financial, the fourth largest home loan institution in the country, demonstrate its compliance with California law or else halt all foreclosure operations in the state. Ally Financial earlier this week suspended evictions of homeowners and foreclosure sales in 23 states”

Mortgage Bankers Association - “MBA Applauds House Passage of National Flood Insurance Program Extension” (9-24-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) applauded yesterday’s passage of legislation by the House that will extend the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) through September 30, 2011. The bill passed the Senate Tuesday and will now go to the President for his signature. Without agreement on an extension, the program was set to expire on September 30, 2010.”

CNN - “No mortgage mods for many of the jobless” (9-24-10)

“Unemployed homeowners cannot count jobless benefits as income when applying for mortgage modifications if they have loans backed by Fannie Mae. That could greatly limit their ability to get a long-term reduction in their monthly payments.”

Los Angeles Times – “New home sales remain at record low in August” (9-24-10)

“New single-family dwellings sold at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 288,000 units, according to the Commerce Department. That estimate was flat compared with July’s pace, which remained a record low even after being revised up. The August pace was a 28.9% decline from the same month a year earlier.”

Housing Wire – “Census Bureau: August single-family sales fall 28.9% from year earlier” (9-24-10)

“Sales of new single-family homes in August fell 28.9% from a year earlier, according to the Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development. The Census Bureau said the seasonally adjusted rate of homes sales in August was 288,000, flat with July’s revised rate and well below the 405,000 a year ago. These federal figures are based on pending contracts of home sales.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mac mortgage portfolio continues four-month decline” (9-24-10)

“The Freddie Mac (FRE: 0.00 N/A) total mortgage portfolio decreased at an annualized rate of 5.2% in August after a 3.9% drop in June. The portfolio hasn’t seen an increase since April. Mortgage purchases and issuance at the government-sponsored enterprise reached $29.1 billion in August, up from $28.4 billion in July and down 39% from last year. The year-to-date total has reached $236.5 billion.”

Housing Wire – “August delinquency inventory falls on highest foreclosure starts since January: LPS” (9-24-10)

“LPS reported 282,528 foreclosure starts last month, up 1% from July and 3.8% higher than the year earlier. The year-to-date foreclosure rate is now 20.4% higher than 2009. Thirty-day delinquent inventory fell to 9.22%, the lowest level in over a year. The percentage was 9.3% in July and 9.7% a year ago. The inventory of 90-day delinquent loans decreased to 8.22%, down from 8.3% in July. The percentage was 8% a year earlier.”

Housing Wire – “$460 billion shadow inventory will take 40 months to clear: S&P” (9-24-10)

“The high pace of residential mortgage defaults has flooded the shadow inventory market with $460 billion in outstanding principal balance, according to Standard & Poor’s second-quarter report on housing liquidation timelines.”

Housing Wire – “JPMorgan to offer $1.1 billion CMBS” (9-24-10)

“JPMorgan is coming to market with $1.1 billion in commercial mortgage-backed securities notes across 13 classes, according to a pre-sale report from Fitch Ratings.”

Housing Wire – “August new home sales scrape bottom, remain flat month-over-month: NAFCU” (9-24-10)

“New homes sales remained flat month-over-month in August at 288,000 annualized units, according to a report released today by the National Association of Federal Credit Unions. Sales are scraping bottom at 28.9% less than one year ago and barely above the record low of 282,000 units in May.”

Housing Wire – “HFA delinquency rate hits record high in S&P report” (9-24-10)

“Delinquencies for housing finance agency loans increased 0.62% in the second quarter to 6.67%, according to a Standard & Poor’s report released today. This is the highest percentage the firm has seen since it started tracking such data in Q2 2006 and up 1.37% from Q209.”

Housing Wire – “White-collar criminals and unemployment income cut from HAMP eligibilty” (9-24-10)

“New guidelines from Fannie Mae and the Treasury Department out this week are restricting the eligible income of borrowers considered for the Home Affordable Modification Program. The mandates will also disqualify criminals convicted of certain white-collar offenses.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, research from the Construction Industry Research Board showed the number of home building permits taken in August was down 5 percent from July. The NAR reported that existing home sales decreased by 2.7 percent from July to August. A study showed that foreclosure prevention laws in California failed to significantly help home owners. The Federal Reserve intended to continue its stimulus plan and would continue to buy mortgage securities.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Mortgage loan applications decreased 1.4% this week. FHFA reports national house prices fell 0.5% in July. HAMP converted 33,342 trial modifications into permanent status last month. The Bush tax cuts may end soon.

In The News:

Naked Capitalism – “Latest Real Estate Time Bomb: Title of Foreclosed Properties Clouded; Wells Fargo Dumping Risk on Hapless Buyers” (9-22-10)

“there is a lot of actual and shadow residential real estate inventory in the US. The time from serious delinquency to foreclosure has lengthened considerably, due not just to crowded court dockets, but also bank/servicer disinclination to take possession (reasons include that investors take a dim view of bank real estate holdings; the bank is liable for expenses, most important real estate taxes, once it takes possession; more foreclosures would lead banks to have to write down clearly overvalued second mortgages, leading to losses and lowering bank capital levels).”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Hails Extension of National Flood Insurance Program” (9-22-10)

“Flooding is the most common natural disaster in the United States. In fact, more than five million Americans rely on the National Flood Insurance Program as their primary protection against flooding. This program has expired regularly in recent times, which has frustrated residential and commercial lenders and borrowers alike.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (9-22-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 17, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 22.9 percent compared with the previous week, which included the Labor Day holiday.”

Sacramento Bee – “Viewpoints: Is ‘smart growth’ law on right track? No” (9-22-10)

“Now, more than ever, the men and women out of work, construction companies that have no projects in the pipeline and local officials trying to maintain vital services are looking for a process that will bring all parties together to work toward a successful, responsible program. Unfortunately, the air board’s staff chose a path that will wreak havoc in the construction industry, prevent economic recovery, and stand as a major disincentive to future developments in our state.”

Housing Wire – “FHFA house prices slip 0.5% in July” (9-22-10)

“U.S. house prices fell 0.5% in July after increases through the second quarter, according the Federal Housing Finance Agency monthly House Price Index (HPI). The July numbers follow 1.2% drop in July, revised from a 0.3% decline.”

Housing Wire - “SEC charges 4 with fraud after failing to disclose real estate investment fund collapse” (9-22-10)

“The Securities Exchange Commission Monday charged a Minneapolis attorney and two San Francisco promoters with fraud after they failed to disclose the financial collapse of a real estate lending fund to relevant investors. Todd Duckson, Michael Bozora and Timothy Redpath allegedly raised more than $21 million from investors in the Capital Solutions Monthly Income Fund after the sole business partner defaulted on financial obligations. The fund raised approximately $74 million from 450 investors between 2004 and August 2009.”

Housing Wire – “Obama housing scorecard touts ‘advances’ in August” (9-22-10)

“The Department of Housing and Urban Development and the Treasury Department compiled data for the monthly scorecard. According to the administration, stabilizing housing prices leveled off in the past year after 30 straight months of declines. Homeowners added $95 billion in home equity in the second quarter. The scorecard did acknowledge ‘a dip’ in home sale figures in July after the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit. But since April 2009, record low mortgage rates have helped more than 7.1 million families refinance, saving more than $12.7 billion.”

Housing Wire – “Permanent HAMP mods fall 26% in August” (9-22-10)

“Servicers participating in the Home Affordable Modification Program converted 33,342 trial modifications into permanent status in August, down 26.7% from the 45,512 in July. The Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. Since then, the participating servicers have provided 468,058 permanent modifications.”

Housing Wire – “Right to Rent could change the nation’s foreclosure crisis: CEPR” (9-22-10)

“The report dissects the benefits of a drafted bill, H.R. 5028, also known as The Right to Rent. Under the legislation, homeowners entering the foreclosure process would be able to occupy their homes for up to five years, while paying rent to a lender. Rent would be based on fair market price as determined by an independent appraiser and adjusted annually.”

Bloomberg - “Obama Tricks Voters as Enron Hoodwinked Public: Amity Shlaes” (9-22-10)

“Republicans want to keep the top rate at its current level while Democrats prefer to let the George W. Bush-era rate cuts expire. And some of us may even know that the tax code’s current 35 percent figure would rise to 39.6 percent if President Barack Obama gets his way.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the Federal Housing Finance Agency announced that national home prices increased by .3% in July.  The FDIC considered borrowing money from banks to protect the insurance fund. ZipRealty reported that 25 markets displayed a reduction in home inventory from July to August.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Ivan Choi President of REOMac (Full Bio)

September 17^th, 2010, The Norris Group returns with its award winning event I Survived Real Estate 2010. The Norris Group has assembled an incredible line up of industry experts to discuss the state of REO from the inside. Topics will include regulatory intervention and aftermath, bulk buying, myths and facts, and opportunities emerging for real estate professionals. 100 percent of the proceeds support the Orange County affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure. This event would not be possible without generous help from the following platinum partners: Foreclosure Radar and Sean O’Toole, the San Diego Creative Real Estate Investors Association and Bill Tan, Investors Workshops and Shawn Watkins and Angel Bronsgeest, Invest Club for Women and Iris Veneracion and Bobby Alexander, Claudia Buys Houses, The Business Press, Frye Wiles, MVT Productions, and White House Catering.

This week Bruce is joined by Ivan Choi. He is a fifteen year veteran in mortgage banking with a background in finance, technology, retail loan origination, and servicing. He just started his own company called Savia Home Loans. Also, he is president of REOMac; a national non-profit trade organization.

Ivan currently lives in Corona, and previously lived in Irvine. For the last 15 years he has been working in retail mortgage banking. For 14 of those years, he worked with Countrywide Home Loan, which was acquired by Bank of America. He worked with Bank of America for another year, and then decided to start his own mortgage banking company. He has a second job with a national REO outsourcing company.

Mortgage banking is different than mortgage brokering. A mortgage broker originates loans, and puts them through to a major bank for funding. The broker attempts to find the best possible fit, and best possible pricing, for the homebuyer. The mortgage banker is fulfilling loans directly out of their own funding capacity. The money that a mortgage banker uses is essentially his or her own.

Presently, it is very difficult to start a mortgage banking company, because of the meltdown. Another prominent mortgage executive, who worked with one of the big banks until 2008, decided to start his own mortgage banking company. The biggest warehouse line he was able to get was worth about $700,000. That is not worth a week’s worth of loans.

Once your loan money is entirely lent out, you can try to keep that loan in your books, or you can try to sell it to an investor. That investor will provide you with liquidity to buy and sell another loan. You can either sell the underlying note and service the loan yourself, or you can sell both the note and the servicing rights. This is not understood by all people, but servicing rights to the loan has a certain monetary value as well.

In 2006, mortgage bankers were amazed by how generous loan guidelines were. On the flip side, when the mortgage market melted down, Ivan could not believe how difficult it was to obtain credit. We swung the pendulum from allowing too many people to obtain credit, to now allowing too few to obtain it. What is traditionally observed as a “makes sense” loan is now very difficult to obtain.

The present model of mortgage banking is that an originator makes a lot of loans for home buyers, they then package those loans into securities and sell them on the secondary market. Unfortunately, the demand for those securities in the secondary market has dried up, so we no longer have the liquidity that mortgage originators relied on to make loans in the first place. That is why many of those “makes sense” loans can no longer be made today. Currently, Fannie, Freddie, and FHA make up over 70% of the business for mortgage originators and lenders.

New Vista Asset Management Company is a San Diego-based company established 4 years ago by two veterans of the mortgage banking business. The two partners, Jim Park and Jerry Acosta, have a lot of connections both in the mortgage industry and the political world. New Vista serves as an REO asset management company. Any bank that cannot handle REO inventory can hire a company like New Vista to offload those REOs. New Vista is special because it is a multicultural company. Normally, Ivan does not pay attention to the cultural differences between companies, however, this is currently a significant difference because the government is more willing to work with culturally diverse businesses.

Inventory levels have changed pretty dramatically over the last couple years. Foreclosure inventory has been building up for the past couple years. This is because the foreclosure process has slowed down. Ivan believes it will take another 6 to 12 months before we can feel that we are in a foreclosure market. This will be a big relief for real estate agents, because many of them were hurt in 2007 and 2008.

Ivan defines “shadow inventory” as the backlog of foreclosures that have not yet finished the foreclosure process. When people use the term shadow inventory, they often use it to imply there was some evil conspiracy by big banks and the government to artificially hold in properties from the market to do 1 of 2 things: 1) to hold properties back and parcel them out, on a limited basis, to preserve valuations and earn a better return than what they would have received. 2) Mortgage bankers are holding inventory from the market to play magic accounting on the backside, which enables them to put out good quarterly earnings reports, so that their stocks won’t drop. As a former worker for Countrywide and Bank of America, Ivan believes these theories to be untrue.

Fannie and Freddie have double the REOs from last year, but the REO agents do not. Fannie expects approximately 1 million properties to finish the foreclosure process between the 4^th quarter of 2010 and the 1^st quarter of 2011. Asset management companies and banks can only process so many of those properties. Ivan believes that California cities are probably not capable of getting rid of that many properties with their current level of staff.

In 2008, Mike Novak-Smith had 900 REO listings. Today, he has 105, yet Fannie has double their amount of REOs. There does seem to be a disconnect between their ability to get properties onto the market. Perhaps the players have shifted, and the GSEs are understaffed.

On another topic, delinquencies are very high. In California, delinquency numbers have gone from 5% to 12% in the last 18 months, yet foreclosure numbers have gone down. Bruce believes that lenders do not actually own all these properties. Bruce believes that banks are refusing to foreclose on properties.

The government is involved in the foreclosure process now. There is a huge motivation for the federal government to modify loans or do short sales. The major servicers are now paranoid about going through the normal foreclosure process now, because if they do not fully document everything without offering ever possible solution to the borrower, the government will attack them. If the government believes the lender could have offered a loan modification but chose not to, then the lender gets dragged through the mud. There is a lot of pressure on the lenders to find other solutions.

REOMAC is having an educational event in October in Hollywood, Florida. The title of the event is “New Challenges, New Approaches”. The industry is preparing for a very different new year. Banks and servicers must satisfy their homeowners and their loan investors. At the same time, the government is beating up the banks. The end result is that we have a lot of government initiative and legal changes. The servicer must still find a way to make everyone happy, including the loan investor who has ultimate responsibility for the underlying note. Ivan believes many of the changes in 2011 will be legal related. Ivan does not believe there will be much of a change in public perception, because now everyone has had their shot at beating up people involved in the real estate industry.

The REO business is a very low margin business, and you must have a big team to run a lot of volume. REO inventory has decreased so dramatically that many professional REO broker shops have had to lay off people in the midst of the impending surge in inventory. All the good REO brokers are trying to figure out ways to scale up rapidly, because they don’t want to get caught with their pants down. It’s a Catch 22, because you can’t staff up too far in advance, but you still want to be ready when the opportunity hits.

HAFA guidelines were released on April 1^st. Those guidelines were a game changer, because it caused the government to be heavily involved in mortgage servicing and foreclosure processing. Ivan does not believe that short sales will pick up to the high degree that we need them to pick up. Short sale numbers are increasing right now, but when you compare the overall number of short sales to the number of foreclosures, you can see that short sale numbers are still very small. REO is where all the business is going to go.

The event for REOMAC is taking place on October 20^th thru the 23^rd in Hollywood, Florida. It is the 25^th anniversary of a very worthwhile organization.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Thank you for being a Gold Sponsor for I Survived Real Estate 2010: Adrenaline Athletics, Benton Investment Group, Community RE-Invest Group, Delmae Properties, Elite Auctions, Entrust California, Everlast Photography, Inland Empire Investors Forum, Keystone CPA, Landwood Title, Las Brisas Escrow, Leivas Financial Services, Mike Cantu, North San Diego Real Estate Investors Association, Northern California Real Estate Investors Association, Personal Real Estate Investor Magazine, Realty 411 Magazine, San Jose Real Estate Investor Association, Rick and LeeAnne Rossiter, San Jose Real Estate Investor Association, Starz Photography, Summit Solutions, Tony Alvarez, Wealth Point, and Westin South Coast Plaza.

According to the CBIA, sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 32 percent below April 2009. MDA DataQuick reports 8,264 homes closed escrows in the nine-county Bay Area last month.  Statistics from Freddie Mac show the average 30-year frm rate increased to 4.75 percent this week. The number of suspected mortgage fraud activities reported to law enforcement grew 5% during fiscal year 2009.

In The News:

CBIA - “California New-Home Market Down in April, CBIA Announces” (6-17-10)

“The monthly CBIA/Hanley Wood Market Intelligence (HWMI) New-Home Sales and Pricing Report showed that sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 32 percent below April 2009. During April, 2,203 new homes and condominiums were sold in the subdivisions tracked by Costa Mesa-based HWMI, compared to 3,218 a year earlier. Sales of single-family homes were down by 34 percent, while sales of townhomes and ‘plexes’ – duplexes, triplexes, etc. – were off by 33 percent and sales of condominiums were 22 percent lower than a year ago.”

DQNews - “Bay Area $500K-Plus Home Sales Jump; Median Price Tops $400K” (6-17-10)

“Sales rose across the Bay Area last month in many mid- to high-end neighborhoods, helping to push the median sale price over $400,000 for the first time in 21 months. But as tax credits, low mortgage rates and an ample supply of homes for sale fueled the $500,000-plus market, sales fell in many affordable inland areas where investors and first-time buyers faced a dwindling inventory of low-cost foreclosures, a real estate information service reported. Last month a total of 8,264 homes closed escrows in the nine-county Bay Area, up 18.0 percent from 7,003 in April and up 11.0 percent from 7,447 in May 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Wall Street Journal – “Shadow Problem: Home Price Declines May Land in Cities That Largely Avoided Them” (6-17-10)

“A new report shows that the ‘shadow inventory’ of homes, with delinquent mortgages that have yet to go through the foreclosure process, is growing fastest in areas that have so far avoided the biggest home-price declines, according to a report by ratings agency Standard & Poor’s. Mortgage companies could be forced to reduce their prices on these foreclosued homes as they work through that supply, and as more of those homes sell, that could continue to put pressure on prices. At the top of the list: the New York City area, where at the current rate it would take 103 months to clear the shadow inventory of loans that are more than 90 days delinquent or in foreclosure. That’s nearly 3.5 times the national average.”

San Francisco Chronicle - “Freddie Mac: Mortgage rates up from yearly low” (6-17-10)

“Rates on 30-year fixed mortgages backed off from yearly lows this week, but still remain historically cheap. Mortgage finance company Freddie Mac says the average rate rose to 4.75 percent, up from 4.72 percent last week. The rate hit 4.71 percent in December, the lowest since Freddie Mac began keeping records in 1971.”

Housing Wire – “Suspected Mortgage Fraud Reports to FBI Grew 5% in 2009″ (6-17-10)

“The number of suspected mortgage fraud activities reported to law enforcement grew 5% during fiscal year 2009 to 67,190, according to the latest yearly mortgage fraud report from the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). FBI mortgage fraud pending investigations rose 71% from fiscal year 2008, while Department of Housing and Urban Development – Office of Inspector General (HUD-OIG) pending investigations rose 31% in the same time. Of all pending FBI mortgage fraud investigations during FY 2009, 66% involved dollar losses totaling more than $1m.”

Housing Wire - “55-75% of HAMP Mods Could Re-Default under Fitch Projections” (6-17-10)

“As of May 2010, Fitch noted that roughly 15% of non-agency RMBS loans by balance — including nearly 35% of RMBS subprime loans — received at least one modification. This is up from 10% and 25% respectively in September 2009. Fitch currently expects anywhere from 55% to 75% of modified loans within RMBS to re-default after 12 months.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage-Fraud Crackdown in U.S. Brings 485 Arrests” (6-17-10)

“Authorities arrested 485 people since March in the largest nationwide mortgage-fraud crackdown of its kind, the U.S. Justice Department said. During the enforcement effort, 1,215 criminal defendants responsible for $2.3 billion in losses faced some type of legal action, the department said. The crackdown, dubbed Operation Stolen Dreams, also included 191 civil cases resulting in the recovery of more than $147 million.”

Inman - “5 real estate opportunities” (6-17-10)

“In 2001, 42 percent of homebuyers were first-timers. That number dropped to 36 percent at the peak of the seller’s market in 2006. Today, first-time buyers represent 47 percent of all buyers, the highest percentage in this century. Opportunity: To take advantage of this trend, actively prospect for listings in first-time-buyer areas. To determine which areas are the best to prospect, watch the sales board in your office or the sales report from your local multiple listing service.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

MDA DataQuick reports A total of 22,270 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in Southern California last month. According to the NAHB, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family decreased this month. Having a home with a view is on the top 10 list of preferences for 44.5 percent of men. Morgan Stanley’s research has lead the company to conclude that low mortgage rates will prevent a double dip in prices.

In The News:

DQNews - “Southland median sale price back over $300K; sales at 4-year high” (6-15-10)

“A total of 22,270 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was up 9.7 percent from 20,299 in April, and up 7.2 percent from 20,775 in May 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

NAHB - “Builder Confidence Declines in June” (6-15-10)

“Snapping a string of two consecutive monthly gains, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes fell back to February levels, before the beginning of the home buyer tax credit-related surge, according to results of the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today. The HMI dropped five points to 17 in June.”

Los Angeles Times – “California’s economy to see sluggish recovery this year, UCLA economists say” (6-15-10)

“California stands to gain some jobs this year but recovery will be sluggish, and the state’s inland areas will bear the brunt of the continuing economic pain, according to a forecast scheduled to be released Tuesday by UCLA’s Anderson School of Business.”

Inman - “Top 10 sought-after home features” (6-15-10)

“Men and women’s top 10 preferences were largely the same with two exceptions: having a view made it onto the men’s list (and not the women’s list), with 44.5 percent of men saying it was a high priority; and wood floors made it onto the women’s list (and not the men’s), with 40.9 percent of women ranking them highly.”

Housing Wire – “Low Mortgage Rates Help Block Double-Dip Threat: Morgan Stanley” (6-15-10)

“The US economics team at financial firm Morgan Stanley (MS: 25.96 +2.49%) says in their latest research report that recent gains in the nation’s economy point to a remote chance of a so-called double dip — where recent upticks in economic activity are only temporary — citing low mortgage rates as a key driver in drawing this conclusion.”

Housing Wire – “Shadow Inventory to Take 3 Years to Clear: Standard & Poor’s” (6-15-10)

“The shadow inventory of distressed properties that back residential mortgage-backed securities will take nearly three years to clear at the current sales rate, according to the credit rating agency, Standard & Poor’s (S&P). S&P puts the total principal balance of the shadow inventory at $480bn or 30% of the entire non-agency market.”

Housing Wire – “BofA Permanent HAMP Modifications Passes 70,000 in May” (6-15-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 15.76 +2.27%) pushed its total number of permanent modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) to roughly 70,000 in May, up from 56,400 in April.”

Housing Wire – “MGIC Writes $800m in Monthly Mortgage Insurance, Denies Hundreds of Claims” (6-15-10)

“Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corp. (MGIC), the principal subsidiary of MGIC Investment Corp. (MTG: 9.12 +8.19%), wrote $800m of primary new mortgage insurance in May, according to monthly operations data. The company denied or rescinded — or canceled the policy relating to — almost 1,000 mortgage insurance claims in the month, helping to further reduce the number of delinquencies on its books, according to a press release.”

Housing Wire – “More Funds Repaid to TARP than Outstanding in May: Treasury” (6-15-10)

“Treasury noted in the April update on TARP that it expects to spend less than $550bn of the $700bn authorized for the program, and expects to recover all but $117bn — an estimate that was subsequently revised to $105.4bn. Of $384bn in total TARP disbursements, more than half — or $194bn — was repaid through May, leaving only $190bn outstanding. The sale of 1.5bn shares of Citigroup (C: 3.975 +2.45%) pushed the repayments past outstandings for the first time in TARP’s history.”

Housing Wire – “In These Thin Times, House Sizes Also Begin to Shrink” (6-15-10)

“In 2007, the average single-family home in the United States peaked at 2,521 square feet. That number did not vary greatly into 2008. However, according to a 2009 report from the Census Bureau, it’s now at an average of 2,438 square feet.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Employment Development Department reports California unemployment remained at 12.6 percent from March. According to MDA DataQuick, 37,481 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. Nearly 75 percent of the 1.2 million homeowners who started the loan modification program in March 2009 have dropped out. The Senate voted 59-39 to pass the financial services bill formerly known as S. 3217, the Restoring American Financial Stability Act.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “California employers keep adding jobs” (5-21-10)

“California’s unemployment rate remained unchanged from March, at 12.6%, although that’s because more workers – about 68,000 — rejoined the labor force to look for work in April. The Employment Development Department said Friday that the state has added jobs for four straight months, although February’s job figures were revised from a 20,400 job loss to a 2,800 job gain.”

DQNews - “California Statewide April Home Sales” (5-21-10)

“An estimated 37,481 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was up 0.5 percent from 37,295 in March, and down 1.3 percent from 37,967 for April 2009. California sales for the month of April have varied from a low of 27,625 in 1995 to a peak of 71,638 in 2004, while the average is 44,758. MDA DataQuick’s statistics go back to 1988.”

CAR - “C.A.R. calls for swift passage of SB 1178″ (5-20-10)

“The CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) is calling on California state senators to vote ‘yes’ and approve SB 1178 (D-Corbett), which will extend anti-deficiency protection for consumers who have refinanced their original mortgage loans and now are facing foreclosure. C.A.R. is the sponsor of the legislation.”

The Press Enterprise – “Loan-modification dropouts rise” (5-20-10)

“The Treasury Department’s report Monday was the latest evidence of problems in the administration’s $75 billion program. While officials insist the program is helping the housing market turn around, critics say it is merely delaying an inevitable surge in foreclosures. More than 299,000 homeowners had received permanent loan modifications as of last month, Treasury said. That’s about 25 percent of the 1.2 million who started the program since its March 2009 launch. They are paying, on average, $516 less each month.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Reacts to Passage of Financial Regulatory Reform” (5-21-10)

“MBA has long supported a more efficient regulatory regime for the financial services industry, and passage of the bill is another important milestone.   However, the bill, as we view it, still has flaws that will negatively impact borrowers and the real estate markets. The next step will be to reconcile the differences between the House bill and the Senate bill.  While there are a couple of ways this could happen, MBA believes the American people would be best served by Congress convening a formal conference committee. Of particular importance to us is ensuring that the final language on risk retention does not discourage prudent, responsible lending.  If not, we risk doing long-term damage to our single-family, multifamily and commercial real estate markets.”

Associated Press – “Fitch finds Calif. at both extremes in mortgages” (5-12-10)

“California has the best-performing U.S. region in mortgage performance as well as some of the worst, according to a study by Fitch Ratings. Results of the ratings agency’s study of all securitized non-agency California mortgage loans were released Wednesday. Among the findings, it said the Bay Area region of San Francisco, San Mateo and Redwood City has a 60-day mortgage delinquency rate of just 4 percent. That was No. 1 among the 382 metropolitan statistical areas tracked by Fitch.”

National Underwriter – “S. 3217 Becomes H.R. 4173, Passes In Senate” (5-21-10)

“Members of the Senate have voted 59-39 to pass the financial services bill formerly known as S. 3217, the Restoring American Financial Stability Act. The bill, now known as H.R. 4173, the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act — the same name and bill number given to the financial services bill that the House passed in December 2009 — needed to attract a majority of the votes cast to pass.”

Housing Wire – “Treasury Reduces TARP Cost by $11.4bn” (5-21-10)

“The Treasury Department cut the projected cost of the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) by $11.4bn to a total of $105.4bn. Congress authorized TARP under the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 to provide some stability to the ailing financial industry. Last August, the Obama Administration estimated the cost of TARP to be $341bn. The Making Home Affordable (MHA) program, which includes the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) and the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) program operates under TARP. In March 2010, the Treasury told Congress the cost of HAMP would be $22bn compared to the $75bn initially planned.”

Housing Wire – “Increase in Architectural Billings Sets Stage for Increased Construction” (5-21-10)

“The American Institute of Architects (AIA) reported that its April Architectural Billings Index (ABI) rating increased 5.2% to 48.5, up from 46.1 in March. While the results means more firms saw billings decrease than increase, the rate of firms that saw decreases lessened in April.”

Housing Wire – “Shadow Inventory Could Reach 5.5m by 2011: Report” (5-21-10)

“There are 2.5m households going through the foreclosure process right now and the number of homes with at least one missed mortgage payment sits at 5.4m, according to Capital Economics. And even though the economic recovery is gaining momentum, more households are still falling behind on their mortgage. By the end of 2011, an additional 3m homes will be in the foreclosure process, making the shadow inventory of potential REO properties at 5.5m. Some of these homes will inevitably avoid a foreclosure. But for many, the foreclosure process may be the only option and, eventually, those homes will get sold in the REO process.”

Housing Wire – “Special Servicers Take On $82bn in CMBS Loans through Q110: Fitch” (5-21-10)

“The amount of loans in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) in need of special servicing totaled $81.7bn in Q110, up from $74bn at the end of 2009, according to Fitch Ratings. Special servicers have unique processes in place for unusual loans, usually ones on the verge of default. According to Fitch, these companies are still adding staff to meet the increasing demand. The analytics firm, Trepp, found the delinquency rate in CMBS reached 8% in April – a new record.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Bay Area home sales posted a year-over-year gain for the eighth consecutive months. Freddie Mac reported the average rate for a 30-year loan fell to 4.82 percent. MDA DataQuick reported 2.5% of Orange County home purchases financed in April had variable-rate mortgages of some sort. Forty percent of potential homeowners said they would expect to pay at least 50 percent less for a foreclosed home.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The NAHB reports that builder confidence increased from Q1 2009, but is still low. The MBA’s weekly survey shows that mortgage application volume increased by 3.4 percent. According to Freddie Mac, of all borrowers who had 30-year FRMs, 75% refinanced into a new 30-year FRM. Barclays estimates that foreclosure shadow inventory should peak during the summer of 2010.

In The News:

NAHB - “Active Adult Home Builder Activity, Confidence Remain Low” (5-12-10)

“The 55+ single-family HMI measures builder sentiments based on current sales, prospective buyer traffic and anticipated six-month sales for the 55+ single-family market.  A number greater than 50 indicates that more builders view conditions as good than poor. Although the index recorded a slight rise in the first quarter of 2010 – moving up two points to 19 from its 2009 Q1 level of 17 – the level of confidence remains low.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Refinance Applications Surge, Purchase Applications Drop in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (5-12-10)

“The Refinance Index increased 14.8 percent from the previous week and the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 9.5 percent from one week earlier.  The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 8.9 percent compared with the previous week and was 0.6 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 7, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 3.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3.4 percent compared with the previous week.”

Inman - “More U.S. residents on the move” (5-12-10)

“The percentage of U.S. residents who moved between 2008 and 2009 jumped to 12.5 percent (37.1 million people), according to a report by the U.S. Census Bureau. That increase comes after a record-low move rate between 2007 and 2008: 11.9 percent, or 35.2 million people. The bureau’s data comes from the 2009 Current Population Survey conducted between February and April every year at about 100,000 U.S. addresses. It includes residents who are at least 1 year old.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mortgage Refinancing Dominated by Fixed-Rate Products” (5-12-10)

“Of borrowers who had 30-year FRMs, 75% refinanced into a new 30-year FRM, while 15% opted for a 15-year FRM and the remaining 10% chose a 20-year FRM. Freddie said the combined 25% of 30-year borrowers that refinanced into a shorter-term loan is the most since Q304, when 30% of 30-year borrowers refinanced into a balloon mortgage or shorter-term FRM.”

Housing Wire – “Shadow Inventory To Peak in Summer of 2010: Barclays” (5-12-10)

“The shadow inventory of foreclosures should peak in the summer of 2010 before falling gradually in the later months, according to a new report from Barclays Capital. Barclays defines the shadow inventory of foreclosures as loans in 90-plus day delinquency or already in the foreclosure process. According to the report, there are currently 2.4m loans in 90-plus day delinquency and another 2.1m in foreclosure, totaling 4.5m in the shadow inventory.”

Housing Wire – “End in Sight for General Growth Bankruptcy” (5-12-10)

“The end is in sight, as a plan is in place for General Growth Properties (GGP: 14.96 +0.20%) to emerge from bankruptcy as early as this summer. The judge overseeing the case approved bidding procedures and the issuance of warrants to a group of investors led by Brookfield Asset Management (BAM: 25.49 +1.03%).”

Bloomberg - “‘Perfect Quarter’ at Four U.S. Banks Shows Fed-Fueled Revival” (5-12-10)

“Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the first, second and fifth-biggest U.S. banks by assets, all said in regulatory filings that they had zero days of trading losses in the first quarter. Citigroup Inc., the third-largest, doesn’t break out its daily trading revenue by quarter. It recorded a profit on each trading day, two people with knowledge of the results said.”

Bloomberg - “Morgan Stanley’s Gorman Denies Bank Misled CDO Buyers” (5-12-10)

“Morgan Stanley Chief Executive Officer James Gorman denied allegations the U.S. bank misled investors about mortgage derivatives it sold them. The firm is being probed by U.S. prosecutors over whether the bank misled clients when it sold them collateralized debt obligations as its own traders bet that the value of the securities would drop, the Wall Street Journal reported today. The New York-based firm hasn’t been contacted by the Justice Department, Gorman told reporters in Tokyo today.”

Freddie Mac’s weekly survey shows that mortgage rates dropped this week. According to MDA DataQuick, 4,853 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow last month in the Bay Area. The U.S. Treasury claims that its foreclosure prevention program has cut mortgage payments for approximately 947,000 homeowners. S&P estimates there are approximately 947,000 houses in shadow inventory, which will take nearly 3 years to sell.

In The News:

Market Watch – “Mortgage rates drop” (2-18-10)

“Mortgage rates fell again this week, with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropping to an average 4.93%, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey of conforming rates, released on Thursday.”

DQNews - “Bay Area home sales fall; median price up from last year, down from December” (2-18-10)

“A total of 4,853 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in the nine-county Bay Area last month. That was down 38.0 percent from 7,828 sales in December and down 3.9 percent from 5,050 sales in January 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Wall Street Journal – “More Households Benefit From Loan-Mod Program” (2-18-10)

“The U.S. Treasury said its foreclosure-prevention program has cut mortgage payments for about 947,000 households, at least temporarily.”

Inman - “S&P: Shadow inventory to grow” (2-18-10)

“Lenders are likely to add at least 1.75 million homes to their real estate owned (REO) property rolls that will take nearly three years to sell and put pressure on home prices, according to a new report from Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC.”

Housing Wire – “California Leads States In HAMP Mortgage Modifications” (2-18-10)

“The Treasury launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide capped incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. Nationwide, more than 116,000 permanent modifications took place through January, up from 66,000 modifications in December. There are more than 830,000 active trial modifications currently under the program. California led all states with more than 191,000 permanent and active trial modifications through January, according to the Treasury.”

Housing Wire – “House Prices Swing Up to Close 2009, Still Down from 2008″ (2-18-10)

“Radar Logic’s monthly Residential Property Index (RPX), a composite HPI of 25 major US markets, increased 0.2% from November 17 to December 17. It’s the first November to December increase the index has experienced since 2004. Prices increased 1.5% from October to November.”

Bloomberg - “Fed Officials Set Goal of ‘Eventual’ Exit From Housing Finance” (2-18-10)

“Central bankers are planning to eventually remove $1.43 trillion of housing debt from the balance sheet after critics such as Stanford University economist John Taylor accused them of straying beyond monetary policy. Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser said yesterday that the Fed’s purchases of housing debt expose it to demands from politicians to support other industries.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the Commerce Department reported that housing construction decreased by 16.8 percent in January. The MBA’s weekly survey showed that mortgage application volume had increased. CAR statistics showed that 59 percent of the California population could afford a home.