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California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘shadow’

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/17/10

Thursday, June 17th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the CBIA, sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 32 percent below April 2009. MDA DataQuick reports 8,264 homes closed escrows in the nine-county Bay Area last month.  Statistics from Freddie Mac show the average 30-year frm rate increased to 4.75 percent this week. The number of suspected mortgage fraud activities reported to law enforcement grew 5% during fiscal year 2009.

In The News:

CBIA - “California New-Home Market Down in April, CBIA Announces” (6-17-10)

“The monthly CBIA/Hanley Wood Market Intelligence (HWMI) New-Home Sales and Pricing Report showed that sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 32 percent below April 2009. During April, 2,203 new homes and condominiums were sold in the subdivisions tracked by Costa Mesa-based HWMI, compared to 3,218 a year earlier. Sales of single-family homes were down by 34 percent, while sales of townhomes and ‘plexes’ – duplexes, triplexes, etc. – were off by 33 percent and sales of condominiums were 22 percent lower than a year ago.”

DQNews - “Bay Area $500K-Plus Home Sales Jump; Median Price Tops $400K” (6-17-10)

“Sales rose across the Bay Area last month in many mid- to high-end neighborhoods, helping to push the median sale price over $400,000 for the first time in 21 months. But as tax credits, low mortgage rates and an ample supply of homes for sale fueled the $500,000-plus market, sales fell in many affordable inland areas where investors and first-time buyers faced a dwindling inventory of low-cost foreclosures, a real estate information service reported. Last month a total of 8,264 homes closed escrows in the nine-county Bay Area, up 18.0 percent from 7,003 in April and up 11.0 percent from 7,447 in May 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Wall Street Journal“Shadow Problem: Home Price Declines May Land in Cities That Largely Avoided Them” (6-17-10)

“A new report shows that the ’shadow inventory’ of homes, with delinquent mortgages that have yet to go through the foreclosure process, is growing fastest in areas that have so far avoided the biggest home-price declines, according to a report by ratings agency Standard & Poor’s. Mortgage companies could be forced to reduce their prices on these foreclosued homes as they work through that supply, and as more of those homes sell, that could continue to put pressure on prices. At the top of the list: the New York City area, where at the current rate it would take 103 months to clear the shadow inventory of loans that are more than 90 days delinquent or in foreclosure. That’s nearly 3.5 times the national average.”

San Francisco Chronicle - “Freddie Mac: Mortgage rates up from yearly low” (6-17-10)

“Rates on 30-year fixed mortgages backed off from yearly lows this week, but still remain historically cheap. Mortgage finance company Freddie Mac says the average rate rose to 4.75 percent, up from 4.72 percent last week. The rate hit 4.71 percent in December, the lowest since Freddie Mac began keeping records in 1971.”

Housing Wire“Suspected Mortgage Fraud Reports to FBI Grew 5% in 2009″ (6-17-10)

“The number of suspected mortgage fraud activities reported to law enforcement grew 5% during fiscal year 2009 to 67,190, according to the latest yearly mortgage fraud report from the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). FBI mortgage fraud pending investigations rose 71% from fiscal year 2008, while Department of Housing and Urban Development – Office of Inspector General (HUD-OIG) pending investigations rose 31% in the same time. Of all pending FBI mortgage fraud investigations during FY 2009, 66% involved dollar losses totaling more than $1m.”

Housing Wire - “55-75% of HAMP Mods Could Re-Default under Fitch Projections” (6-17-10)

“As of May 2010, Fitch noted that roughly 15% of non-agency RMBS loans by balance — including nearly 35% of RMBS subprime loans — received at least one modification. This is up from 10% and 25% respectively in September 2009. Fitch currently expects anywhere from 55% to 75% of modified loans within RMBS to re-default after 12 months.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage-Fraud Crackdown in U.S. Brings 485 Arrests” (6-17-10)

“Authorities arrested 485 people since March in the largest nationwide mortgage-fraud crackdown of its kind, the U.S. Justice Department said. During the enforcement effort, 1,215 criminal defendants responsible for $2.3 billion in losses faced some type of legal action, the department said. The crackdown, dubbed Operation Stolen Dreams, also included 191 civil cases resulting in the recovery of more than $147 million.”

Inman - “5 real estate opportunities” (6-17-10)

“In 2001, 42 percent of homebuyers were first-timers. That number dropped to 36 percent at the peak of the seller’s market in 2006. Today, first-time buyers represent 47 percent of all buyers, the highest percentage in this century. Opportunity: To take advantage of this trend, actively prospect for listings in first-time-buyer areas. To determine which areas are the best to prospect, watch the sales board in your office or the sales report from your local multiple listing service.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/15/10

Tuesday, June 15th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

MDA DataQuick reports A total of 22,270 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in Southern California last month. According to the NAHB, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family decreased this month. Having a home with a view is on the top 10 list of preferences for 44.5 percent of men. Morgan Stanley’s research has lead the company to conclude that low mortgage rates will prevent a double dip in prices.

In The News:

DQNews - “Southland median sale price back over $300K; sales at 4-year high” (6-15-10)

“A total of 22,270 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was up 9.7 percent from 20,299 in April, and up 7.2 percent from 20,775 in May 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

NAHB - “Builder Confidence Declines in June” (6-15-10)

“Snapping a string of two consecutive monthly gains, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes fell back to February levels, before the beginning of the home buyer tax credit-related surge, according to results of the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today. The HMI dropped five points to 17 in June.”

Los Angeles Times“California’s economy to see sluggish recovery this year, UCLA economists say” (6-15-10)

“California stands to gain some jobs this year but recovery will be sluggish, and the state’s inland areas will bear the brunt of the continuing economic pain, according to a forecast scheduled to be released Tuesday by UCLA’s Anderson School of Business.”

Inman - “Top 10 sought-after home features” (6-15-10)

“Men and women’s top 10 preferences were largely the same with two exceptions: having a view made it onto the men’s list (and not the women’s list), with 44.5 percent of men saying it was a high priority; and wood floors made it onto the women’s list (and not the men’s), with 40.9 percent of women ranking them highly.”

Housing Wire“Low Mortgage Rates Help Block Double-Dip Threat: Morgan Stanley” (6-15-10)

“The US economics team at financial firm Morgan Stanley (MS: 25.96 +2.49%) says in their latest research report that recent gains in the nation’s economy point to a remote chance of a so-called double dip — where recent upticks in economic activity are only temporary — citing low mortgage rates as a key driver in drawing this conclusion.”

Housing Wire“Shadow Inventory to Take 3 Years to Clear: Standard & Poor’s” (6-15-10)

“The shadow inventory of distressed properties that back residential mortgage-backed securities will take nearly three years to clear at the current sales rate, according to the credit rating agency, Standard & Poor’s (S&P). S&P puts the total principal balance of the shadow inventory at $480bn or 30% of the entire non-agency market.”

Housing Wire“BofA Permanent HAMP Modifications Passes 70,000 in May” (6-15-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 15.76 +2.27%) pushed its total number of permanent modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) to roughly 70,000 in May, up from 56,400 in April.”

Housing Wire“MGIC Writes $800m in Monthly Mortgage Insurance, Denies Hundreds of Claims” (6-15-10)

“Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corp. (MGIC), the principal subsidiary of MGIC Investment Corp. (MTG: 9.12 +8.19%), wrote $800m of primary new mortgage insurance in May, according to monthly operations data. The company denied or rescinded — or canceled the policy relating to — almost 1,000 mortgage insurance claims in the month, helping to further reduce the number of delinquencies on its books, according to a press release.”

Housing Wire“More Funds Repaid to TARP than Outstanding in May: Treasury” (6-15-10)

“Treasury noted in the April update on TARP that it expects to spend less than $550bn of the $700bn authorized for the program, and expects to recover all but $117bn — an estimate that was subsequently revised to $105.4bn. Of $384bn in total TARP disbursements, more than half — or $194bn — was repaid through May, leaving only $190bn outstanding. The sale of 1.5bn shares of Citigroup (C: 3.975 +2.45%) pushed the repayments past outstandings for the first time in TARP’s history.”

Housing Wire“In These Thin Times, House Sizes Also Begin to Shrink” (6-15-10)

“In 2007, the average single-family home in the United States peaked at 2,521 square feet. That number did not vary greatly into 2008. However, according to a 2009 report from the Census Bureau, it’s now at an average of 2,438 square feet.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/21/10

Friday, May 21st, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Employment Development Department reports California unemployment remained at 12.6 percent from March. According to MDA DataQuick, 37,481 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. Nearly 75 percent of the 1.2 million homeowners who started the loan modification program in March 2009 have dropped out. The Senate voted 59-39 to pass the financial services bill formerly known as S. 3217, the Restoring American Financial Stability Act.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times“California employers keep adding jobs” (5-21-10)

“California’s unemployment rate remained unchanged from March, at 12.6%, although that’s because more workers – about 68,000 — rejoined the labor force to look for work in April. The Employment Development Department said Friday that the state has added jobs for four straight months, although February’s job figures were revised from a 20,400 job loss to a 2,800 job gain.”

DQNews - “California Statewide April Home Sales” (5-21-10)

“An estimated 37,481 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was up 0.5 percent from 37,295 in March, and down 1.3 percent from 37,967 for April 2009. California sales for the month of April have varied from a low of 27,625 in 1995 to a peak of 71,638 in 2004, while the average is 44,758. MDA DataQuick’s statistics go back to 1988.”

CAR - “C.A.R. calls for swift passage of SB 1178″ (5-20-10)

“The CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) is calling on California state senators to vote ‘yes’ and approve SB 1178 (D-Corbett), which will extend anti-deficiency protection for consumers who have refinanced their original mortgage loans and now are facing foreclosure. C.A.R. is the sponsor of the legislation.”

The Press Enterprise“Loan-modification dropouts rise” (5-20-10)

“The Treasury Department’s report Monday was the latest evidence of problems in the administration’s $75 billion program. While officials insist the program is helping the housing market turn around, critics say it is merely delaying an inevitable surge in foreclosures. More than 299,000 homeowners had received permanent loan modifications as of last month, Treasury said. That’s about 25 percent of the 1.2 million who started the program since its March 2009 launch. They are paying, on average, $516 less each month.”

Mortgage Bankers AssociationMBA Reacts to Passage of Financial Regulatory Reform” (5-21-10)

MBA has long supported a more efficient regulatory regime for the financial services industry, and passage of the bill is another important milestone.   However, the bill, as we view it, still has flaws that will negatively impact borrowers and the real estate markets. The next step will be to reconcile the differences between the House bill and the Senate bill.  While there are a couple of ways this could happen, MBA believes the American people would be best served by Congress convening a formal conference committee. Of particular importance to us is ensuring that the final language on risk retention does not discourage prudent, responsible lending.  If not, we risk doing long-term damage to our single-family, multifamily and commercial real estate markets.”

Associated PressFitch finds Calif. at both extremes in mortgages” (5-12-10)

“California has the best-performing U.S. region in mortgage performance as well as some of the worst, according to a study by Fitch Ratings. Results of the ratings agency’s study of all securitized non-agency California mortgage loans were released Wednesday. Among the findings, it said the Bay Area region of San Francisco, San Mateo and Redwood City has a 60-day mortgage delinquency rate of just 4 percent. That was No. 1 among the 382 metropolitan statistical areas tracked by Fitch.”

National Underwriter“S. 3217 Becomes H.R. 4173, Passes In Senate” (5-21-10)

“Members of the Senate have voted 59-39 to pass the financial services bill formerly known as S. 3217, the Restoring American Financial Stability Act. The bill, now known as H.R. 4173, the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act — the same name and bill number given to the financial services bill that the House passed in December 2009 — needed to attract a majority of the votes cast to pass.”

Housing Wire“Treasury Reduces TARP Cost by $11.4bn” (5-21-10)

“The Treasury Department cut the projected cost of the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) by $11.4bn to a total of $105.4bn. Congress authorized TARP under the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 to provide some stability to the ailing financial industry. Last August, the Obama Administration estimated the cost of TARP to be $341bn. The Making Home Affordable (MHA) program, which includes the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) and the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) program operates under TARP. In March 2010, the Treasury told Congress the cost of HAMP would be $22bn compared to the $75bn initially planned.”

Housing Wire“Increase in Architectural Billings Sets Stage for Increased Construction” (5-21-10)

“The American Institute of Architects (AIA) reported that its April Architectural Billings Index (ABI) rating increased 5.2% to 48.5, up from 46.1 in March. While the results means more firms saw billings decrease than increase, the rate of firms that saw decreases lessened in April.”

Housing Wire“Shadow Inventory Could Reach 5.5m by 2011: Report” (5-21-10)

“There are 2.5m households going through the foreclosure process right now and the number of homes with at least one missed mortgage payment sits at 5.4m, according to Capital Economics. And even though the economic recovery is gaining momentum, more households are still falling behind on their mortgage. By the end of 2011, an additional 3m homes will be in the foreclosure process, making the shadow inventory of potential REO properties at 5.5m. Some of these homes will inevitably avoid a foreclosure. But for many, the foreclosure process may be the only option and, eventually, those homes will get sold in the REO process.”

Housing Wire“Special Servicers Take On $82bn in CMBS Loans through Q110: Fitch” (5-21-10)

“The amount of loans in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) in need of special servicing totaled $81.7bn in Q110, up from $74bn at the end of 2009, according to Fitch Ratings. Special servicers have unique processes in place for unusual loans, usually ones on the verge of default. According to Fitch, these companies are still adding staff to meet the increasing demand. The analytics firm, Trepp, found the delinquency rate in CMBS reached 8% in April – a new record.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Bay Area home sales posted a year-over-year gain for the eighth consecutive months. Freddie Mac reported the average rate for a 30-year loan fell to 4.82 percent. MDA DataQuick reported 2.5% of Orange County home purchases financed in April had variable-rate mortgages of some sort. Forty percent of potential homeowners said they would expect to pay at least 50 percent less for a foreclosed home.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/12/10

Wednesday, May 12th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The NAHB reports that builder confidence increased from Q1 2009, but is still low. The MBA’s weekly survey shows that mortgage application volume increased by 3.4 percent. According to Freddie Mac, of all borrowers who had 30-year FRMs, 75% refinanced into a new 30-year FRM. Barclays estimates that foreclosure shadow inventory should peak during the summer of 2010.

In The News:

NAHB - “Active Adult Home Builder Activity, Confidence Remain Low” (5-12-10)

“The 55+ single-family HMI measures builder sentiments based on current sales, prospective buyer traffic and anticipated six-month sales for the 55+ single-family market.  A number greater than 50 indicates that more builders view conditions as good than poor. Although the index recorded a slight rise in the first quarter of 2010 – moving up two points to 19 from its 2009 Q1 level of 17 – the level of confidence remains low.”

Mortgage Bankers AssociationRefinance Applications Surge, Purchase Applications Drop in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (5-12-10)

“The Refinance Index increased 14.8 percent from the previous week and the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 9.5 percent from one week earlier.  The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 8.9 percent compared with the previous week and was 0.6 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 7, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 3.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3.4 percent compared with the previous week.”

Inman - More U.S. residents on the move” (5-12-10)

“The percentage of U.S. residents who moved between 2008 and 2009 jumped to 12.5 percent (37.1 million people), according to a report by the U.S. Census Bureau. That increase comes after a record-low move rate between 2007 and 2008: 11.9 percent, or 35.2 million people. The bureau’s data comes from the 2009 Current Population Survey conducted between February and April every year at about 100,000 U.S. addresses. It includes residents who are at least 1 year old.”

Housing Wire“Freddie Mortgage Refinancing Dominated by Fixed-Rate Products” (5-12-10)

“Of borrowers who had 30-year FRMs, 75% refinanced into a new 30-year FRM, while 15% opted for a 15-year FRM and the remaining 10% chose a 20-year FRM. Freddie said the combined 25% of 30-year borrowers that refinanced into a shorter-term loan is the most since Q304, when 30% of 30-year borrowers refinanced into a balloon mortgage or shorter-term FRM.”

Housing Wire“Shadow Inventory To Peak in Summer of 2010: Barclays” (5-12-10)

“The shadow inventory of foreclosures should peak in the summer of 2010 before falling gradually in the later months, according to a new report from Barclays Capital. Barclays defines the shadow inventory of foreclosures as loans in 90-plus day delinquency or already in the foreclosure process. According to the report, there are currently 2.4m loans in 90-plus day delinquency and another 2.1m in foreclosure, totaling 4.5m in the shadow inventory.”

Housing Wire“End in Sight for General Growth Bankruptcy” (5-12-10)

“The end is in sight, as a plan is in place for General Growth Properties (GGP: 14.96 +0.20%) to emerge from bankruptcy as early as this summer. The judge overseeing the case approved bidding procedures and the issuance of warrants to a group of investors led by Brookfield Asset Management (BAM: 25.49 +1.03%).”

Bloomberg - “‘Perfect Quarter’ at Four U.S. Banks Shows Fed-Fueled Revival” (5-12-10)

“Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the first, second and fifth-biggest U.S. banks by assets, all said in regulatory filings that they had zero days of trading losses in the first quarter. Citigroup Inc., the third-largest, doesn’t break out its daily trading revenue by quarter. It recorded a profit on each trading day, two people with knowledge of the results said.”

Bloomberg - “Morgan Stanley’s Gorman Denies Bank Misled CDO Buyers” (5-12-10)

“Morgan Stanley Chief Executive Officer James Gorman denied allegations the U.S. bank misled investors about mortgage derivatives it sold them. The firm is being probed by U.S. prosecutors over whether the bank misled clients when it sold them collateralized debt obligations as its own traders bet that the value of the securities would drop, the Wall Street Journal reported today. The New York-based firm hasn’t been contacted by the Justice Department, Gorman told reporters in Tokyo today.”

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/18/10

Thursday, February 18th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Freddie Mac’s weekly survey shows that mortgage rates dropped this week. According to MDA DataQuick, 4,853 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow last month in the Bay Area. The U.S. Treasury claims that its foreclosure prevention program has cut mortgage payments for approximately 947,000 homeowners. S&P estimates there are approximately 947,000 houses in shadow inventory, which will take nearly 3 years to sell.

In The News:

Market Watch“Mortgage rates drop” (2-18-10)

“Mortgage rates fell again this week, with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropping to an average 4.93%, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey of conforming rates, released on Thursday.”

DQNews - “Bay Area home sales fall; median price up from last year, down from December” (2-18-10)

“A total of 4,853 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in the nine-county Bay Area last month. That was down 38.0 percent from 7,828 sales in December and down 3.9 percent from 5,050 sales in January 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Wall Street Journal“More Households Benefit From Loan-Mod Program” (2-18-10)

“The U.S. Treasury said its foreclosure-prevention program has cut mortgage payments for about 947,000 households, at least temporarily.”

Inman - “S&P: Shadow inventory to grow” (2-18-10)

“Lenders are likely to add at least 1.75 million homes to their real estate owned (REO) property rolls that will take nearly three years to sell and put pressure on home prices, according to a new report from Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC.”

Housing Wire“California Leads States In HAMP Mortgage Modifications” (2-18-10)

“The Treasury launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide capped incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. Nationwide, more than 116,000 permanent modifications took place through January, up from 66,000 modifications in December. There are more than 830,000 active trial modifications currently under the program. California led all states with more than 191,000 permanent and active trial modifications through January, according to the Treasury.”

Housing Wire“House Prices Swing Up to Close 2009, Still Down from 2008″ (2-18-10)

“Radar Logic’s monthly Residential Property Index (RPX), a composite HPI of 25 major US markets, increased 0.2% from November 17 to December 17. It’s the first November to December increase the index has experienced since 2004. Prices increased 1.5% from October to November.”

Bloomberg - “Fed Officials Set Goal of ‘Eventual’ Exit From Housing Finance” (2-18-10)

“Central bankers are planning to eventually remove $1.43 trillion of housing debt from the balance sheet after critics such as Stanford University economist John Taylor accused them of straying beyond monetary policy. Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser said yesterday that the Fed’s purchases of housing debt expose it to demands from politicians to support other industries.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the Commerce Department reported that housing construction decreased by 16.8 percent in January. The MBA’s weekly survey showed that mortgage application volume had increased. CAR statistics showed that 59 percent of the California population could afford a home.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/18/09

Friday, December 18th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

DQNews reports that a total of 35,860 new and resale houses and condos were sold in California during November. The median selling price for Bay Area homes fell by 0.8 percent last month. According to First American Corelogic, approximately 1.7 million homes are in shadow inventory. Deutsche Bank expects that U.S. home prices will decrease another 10 percent.

In The News:

DQNews - “California November Home Sales” (12-17-09)

“An estimated 35,860 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was down 13.1 percent from 41,280 in October, and up 11.5 percent from 32,163 for November 2008. A decline in sales from October to November is normal for the season. California sales for the month of November have varied from a low of 25,578 in 2007 to a peak of 60,326 in 2004, while the November average is 40,377. MDA DataQuick’s statistics go back to 1988.”

DQNews - “Bay Area home sales and median price top last year again” (12-18-09)

“The median price paid for all new and resale houses and condos that closed escrow in the nine-county Bay Area last month was $387,000. That was down 0.8 percent from $390,000 in October but up 10.6 percent from $350,000 in November 2008, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

NAR - “Four out of 10 Recent Buyers Relied on FHA Loans, Says NAR” (12-18-09)

“According to the most recent Realtors® Confidence Index, 39 percent of recent buyers purchased a home with a Federal Housing Administration-insured loan. Realtors® who took part in the November survey also reported that the number of first-time home buyers continued to climb to 51 percent.”

Housing Wire“Moody’s See Decelerating Jumbo Declines Around Falling House Prices” (12-18-09)

“During a revision of Moody’s Investors Service loss projections for U.S. prime jumbo residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS) issued between 2005 and 2008, the credit rating agency finds that the growth in new delinquency levels beyond the Q210 is expected to decline. On average, Moody’s is now projecting cumulative losses of 3.8% for 2005 securitizations, 8.0% for 2006 securitizations, 10.9% for 2007 securitizations and 12.3% for 2008 securitizations, reported as a percentage of original balance.”

Housing Wire“Months Later, Thornburg Servicing Portfolio to Sell” (12-18-09)

“Similarly, now-bankrupt Thornburg Mortgage left behind significantly more valuable assets months after the credit crisis took its toll on the ultra-prime jumbo mortgage lender. One of these assets — a $11.1bn of residential loan servicing rights portfolio — is going up for sale by Interactive Mortgage Advisers (IMA) as part of the sale of assets under Thornburg’s bankruptcy.”

Housing Wire“Deutsche Sees House Prices Falling Another 10 Percent” (12-18-09)

“Today, Deutsche Bank researchers say these predictions will likely become a reality, with the total peak-to-trough decline of US home prices hitting nearly 40%. In the current outlook, they say home prices will drop a further 10 to 12% from current levels.”

Housing Wire“TenantAccess Helps Handle Shadow Inventory” (12-18-09)

“After FirstAmerican Corelogic found 1.7m homes in the shadow inventory, TenantAccess will offer a range of programs to manage this backlog of residential foreclosures.”

Orange County Register“Is Irvine still a buyer’s market?” (12-18-09)

“While the inventory of resale homes continues to dwindle in Irvine and multiple offers above asking price aren’t rare, America’s Safest City remains a buyer’s market, according to Altos Research’s Market Action Index.”

Orange County Register“South O.C.’s $1 million-plus short sales” (12-18-09)

“Here’s how it breaks down – There are currently a total of 32 homes in south coast cities that are short sales priced at $1 million or higher: 10 in Laguna Beach, 11 in Dana Point and 12 in San Clemente. These are situations where the homeowner is taking a loss on their home by selling it for less than they owe on the loan. However, there are a total of 198 foreclosures in these cities – 27 in Laguna Beach, 56 in Dana Point and 115 in San Clemente.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, median home prices in the Bay Area sunk to an 8-year low. The FDIC reported that bank reserves were falling behind on the number of bad loans they held. The Federal Reserve bought $2.4 billion in debt from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.