RealtyTrac reports foreclosure filings increased in 75% of the nation’s metro areas during the first 2 quarters. Statistics from the Department of Labor show unemployment insurance claims fell by 11,000 last week. According to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey, the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage decreased to 4.54%. Fiserv predicts that single-family home prices will fall 4.9 percent during the next 12 months.

In The News:

NAHB - “Remodeling Dips but Shows Signs of Stabilization” (7-29-10)

“The remodeling market slid backward during the second quarter, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders’ (NAHB) Remodeling Market Index (RMI). The RMI (combining current and future market indicators) sunk to 40.7 from 43.8 in the first quarter. Current market conditions slid back to 42.6 from 44.5 in the previous quarter. Future indicators of remodeling business declined to 38.9 from 43.1 in the last quarter.”

CNN - “Foreclosures climb in 75% of metro areas” (7-29-10)

“Foreclosure filings climbed in 75% of the nation’s metro areas during the first half of 2010, according to a report issued Thursday. RealtyTrac, an online marketer of foreclosed homes, said that California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada continue to lead the nation in the rate of foreclosures. Las Vegas was the worst-hit city.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Feds put up $1 billion more for mortgage relief” (7-29-10)

“Congress has just come up with an extra $1 billion to help people who can’t pay their mortgage because of unemployment or a medical problem. Under this new Emergency Mortgage Relief program, eligible homeowners who are at least three months delinquent can get up to $50,000 apiece in federal loans to pay their mortgages.”

Housing Wire – “Weekly Jobless Claims Beat Consensus, Slip to 457,000″ (7-29-10)

“Initial unemployment insurance claims fell 11,000 in the week ending July 24, beating the market consensus of a 4,000-claim drop. Jobless claims slipped to a seasonally adjusted 457,000 from the previous week’s upwardly revised figure of 468,000, according to new data today from the US Department of Labor. The four-week moving average slipped 4,500 to 452,500 this week.”

Housing Wire – “Weekly Mortgage Rates Hit New Lows” (7-29-10)

“The Freddie Mac survey put the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) at 4.54% with an average 0.7 origination point for the week ending July 29, down from last week’s average of 4.56% and a year ago, when the average was 5.25%. It’s a new record low for the survey, which began in 1971.”

Housing Wire – “Fiserv Sees More Pain Ahead in House Prices, Projects 4.9% Decline” (7-29-10)

“Fiserv (FISV: 49.22 +0.70%), financial services technology provider, found that national average house prices rose 2% in Q110 from a year before — the first yearly gain since 2006. Fiserv projects that single-family house prices are likely to fall another 4.9% over the next 12 months as tight economic circumstances continue. Continued high unemployment and a large number of distressed properties remaining in markets like Florida, Arizona and Nevada are weighing on the housing market.”

Housing Wire – “SEC Charges Citigroup $75m for Misrepresentation of Subprime Assets” (7-29-10)

“The Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) today charged Citigroup Inc. with misleading investors about the company’s exposure to subprime mortgage assets targeting two Citi executives for their roles in the incident that will cost the company $75m. Citigroup will not dispute the fine, the SEC said, and will pay the full amount.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported that mortgage application volume decreased by 6.3 percent within a week. A bill was being supported by 276 members of the House, which would have audited central banks. About $2.2 trillion of U.S. commercial properties bought or refinanced since 2004 became less valuable than their original price, said Real Capital Analytics in 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The NAHB reports that builder confidence in the singe-family home market decreased to the lowest point in a year. Builders began work on 580,000 houses last month, according to the Commerce Department. A survey from REMAX shows that existing home sales increased in June by 5.6% in comparison to the same month a year ago. The Bay Area lost more than 10,000 jobs in June.

In The News:

Sign On San Diego – “Economists say recovery continues, but pace slows” (7-18-10)

“The National Association for Business Economics said its latest survey, released Monday, found 31 percent of businesses added workers between April and June, the highest level in three years. And 39 percent of those surveyed say they expect to hire more workers over the next six months – the most since January 2008. Manufacturers reported the strongest increase in demand and profitability. Finance, insurance and real estate sectors saw the slowest growth.”

NAHB - “Builder Confidence Declines in July” (7-19-10)

“Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes declined for a second consecutive month in July to its lowest level since April of 2009, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today. The HMI fell two points from a downwardly revised number in the previous month to 14 for July.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (7-19-10)

“According to a Sunday story in the Wall Street Journal, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was split on its decision to accept the $550m settlement in its case against Goldman Sachs (GS: 145.68 -0.34%). The investment bank agreed to pay the biggest fine in SEC history without having to admit fraud in a case that alleged it misguided clients when selling mortgage-backed securities.”

Housing Wire – “Annual Home Sales, Prices ‘Holding its Own’: ReMax Survey” (7-19-10)

“Buyers looking to close on home sales in time to collect the homebuyer tax credit pushed existing home sales up in June 5.6% compared to the same month a year ago, according to a monthly survey of 54 metro areas conducted by the national brokerage chain ReMax. In addition, Denver-based ReMax said home sales prices were up 3.5% year-over-year. Compared to May, transaction volume was up 7.2%. The increases were attributed on the tax credit and said despite the increases, the heightened volume will not be sustained. The chart below tracks transaction volume.”

Contra Costa Times – “10,300 jobs gone in June” (7-19-10)

“The Bay Area lost more than 10,000 jobs in June, crushing hopes that the private sector could spur a quick recovery for the region’s wobbly economy, a state labor report showed. The loss of 10,300 payroll jobs in the Bay Area marked the nine-county region’s worst one-month performance since September, according to the report by the state’s Employment Development Department.”

Bloomberg - “Housing, Leading Index in U.S. Probably Slumped in Sign Recovery Slowing” (7-19-10)

“Builders began work on 580,000 houses last month at an annual rate, down 2.2 percent from May and the slowest pace this year, according to the median estimate of 61 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News before Commerce Department data due July 20. Other reports may show sales of existing homes decreased for a second month and the index of leading indicators declined for the first time in more than a year.”

Realty Times – “Real Estate Outlook: Market Report” (7-19-10)

“The findings: Despite nervousness about the stock market and employment, 66 percent of all consumers ‘believe the economy will hold steady or improve over the next six months.’ Eighty three percent believe their own personal finances will get better or at least hold their own.”

Sources:
http://www.latimes.com/business/realestate/la-fi-foreclosures-20100715,0,5786857.story?source=patrick.net
http://www.boston.com/business/articles/2010/07/09/banks_fight_changes_to_accounting_rules/
http://www.aba.com/Industry+Issues/FASB_advocacy.htm
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/gses-face-lawsuit-over-resistance-to-going-greener-energy-loans-2010-07-15
http://portal.hud.gov/portal/page/portal/HUD/press/press_releases_media_advisories/2010/HUDNo.10-150
http://portal.hud.gov/portal/page/portal/HUD/press/press_releases_media_advisories/2010/HUDNo.10-145
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/senate-approves-landmark-financial-reform-legislation-2010-07-15
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/senate-approves-landmark-financial-reform-legislation-2010-07-15
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66E4FP20100715

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to MDA DataQuick, 43,964 new and resale houses and condos were sold in California last month. The California Employment Development Department reports that unemployment levels remained stagnant in June while 400,000 people lost their unemployment benefits. The SEC is charging Goldman Sachs with a $550 million fee for misleading its investors. HR 4173, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, is expected to be signed. This bill will end the HVCC.

In The News:

DQNews - “California June Home Sales” (7-15-10)

“An estimated 43,964 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was up 7.3 percent from 40,965 in May, and down 0.5 percent from 44,167 for June 2009. California sales for the month of June have varied from a low of 35,202 in 2008 to a peak of 76,669 in 2004, while the average is 50,405. MDA DataQuick’s statistics go back to 1988.”

Los Angeles Times – “California job climate stagnant in June” (7-16-10)

“California’s jobs climate stagnated in June as part-time federal census workers lost their jobs and about 400,000 out-of-work people lost their unemployment benefits. Although the monthly, seasonably adjusted unemployment rate crept down a tenth of a percentage point to 12.3%, the economy lost 27,600 jobs, according to the California Employment Development Department. The state’s unemployment rate was 11.6% in June 2009. Nationally, it hit 9.5% last month.”

Sacramento Bee – “Home Front: Idea to reduce principal is gaining” (7-16-10)

“The financial system, federal government and California’s state government have favored loan modifications, and more recently, short sales. Both are chaotic. Neither has proved equal to the problem of negative equity. About 45 percent of Sacramento-area borrowers still owe more than their houses are worth. About 12 percent of Sacramento-area home loans are delinquent or headed toward foreclosure.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Bill would shield homeowners’ credit ratings” (7-16-10)

“Struggling homeowners who get loan modifications to stave off foreclosure often discover that their credit score takes a big hit. A bill introduced on Thursday by U.S. Rep. Jackie Speier, D-Hillsborough, would shield homeowner credit ratings after a loan modification.”

Housing Wire – “Goldman to Pay $550m and Reform Subprime Mortgage Investment Activity” (7-15-10)

“The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) today announced that Goldman, Sachs & Co. (GS: 146.45 +0.85%) will pay the largest-ever penalty by a Wall Street firm.”

Housing Wire – “House Approves Flood Insurance Reform” (7-15-10)

“The US House of Representatives on Thursday approved a flood insurance reform bill that would reauthorize the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) for five years. The provision, which extends the program to Sept. 30, 2015, passed by a wide margin, 329 to 90, with support from both Democrats and Republicans.”

Housing Wire – “Home Asking Prices, Listing Inventory Up in Q210: Altos Research” (7-16-10)

“The June median listing sales price for single-family existing homes was $477,937 in June, down $146, about 0.03%, below the May 2010 median of $478,083 for homes in Boston, Chicago, Denver, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, San Diego, San Francisco, and Washington DC.”

Bloomberg - “Housing Bubble Leaves $4 Trillion Hangover: Chart of the Day” (7-16-10)

“The bursting of the U.S. housing bubble has left homeowners buried under about $4 trillion of excess mortgage debt, according to Dhaval Joshi, the chief strategist at RAB Capital. The CHART OF THE DAY compares the total amount of home loans outstanding with the value of residential real estate, as compiled by the Federal Reserve, for the past two decades. The latter is adjusted to reflect the average 40 percent debt-to- value ratio that prevailed from 1990 to 2005. Mortgage balances were $3.64 trillion higher than the adjusted figure as of March 31, as shown in the top panel. The actual ratio, which stood at 62 percent at the end of the first quarter, appears in the bottom panel.”

Inman - “Goodbye, Home Valuation Code of Conduct” (7-16-10)

“HR 4173, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, includes appraisal independence requirements and provides grant funding for state oversight and enforcement of those regulations. The bill creates a new Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection that’s charged — among many things — with drafting new interim final regulations that specifically define acts or practices that violate the bill’s appraisal independence requirements. The regulations are to be drafted within 90 days of the bill’s signing, superseding the Home Valuation Code of Conduct, rules adopted by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in May 2009.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, 44,167 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide in June. The Commerce Department announced that housing starts increased by 3.6 percent. The government was considering a proposal to allow homeowners to stay in their home as renters after a foreclosure. Voit Real Estate Services reported that office vacancies increased to 16.3% from April to May 2009.

436,000 people have dropped out of the mortgage modification program since March 2009. A survey from Grant Thornton LLP shows that 45% of bankers expect economic conditions to improve over the next 6 months. According to CoreLogic, national housing prices increased 2.6% in April 2010 compared to April 2009. Analyst Meredith Whitney believes the U.S. housing market will experience a second recession.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “Borrowers face foreclosure after Obama loan assistance program fails to provide help” (6-21-10)

“More than a third of the 1.24 million borrowers who have enrolled in the $75 billion mortgage modification program have dropped out. That’s more than the 27 percent who have managed to have their loan payments reduced to help them keep their homes. Last month alone, 150,000 borrowers left the program — bringing the total to 436,000 who have exited since it began in March 2009.”

Housing Wire – “More Bankers Expect Economic Improvement before 2011: Grant Thornton” (6-21-10)

“The majority of bankers are optimistic about the US economy in coming months, with 45% expecting conditions to improve over the next six months, according to a survey by US audit firm Grant Thornton LLP. It marks a significant improvement over the same survey six months earlier, which found 24% of respondents expected conditions to improve.”

Housing Wire – “SEC Charges Investment Advisor with CDO of Mortgage-Backed Securities Fraud” (6-21-10)

“The Securities and Exchange Commission is charging Thomas Priore, owner and president of ICP Asset Management, with the fraudulent management of investment products tied to the mortgage finance markets. It is alleged that ICP and three affiliated firms misrepresented four multi-million-dollar collateralized debt obligation (CDO) platforms backed by mortgage securities (MBS). The SEC claims the CDOs lost tens of millions of dollars, while Priore collected tens of millions of dollars in advisory fees and undisclosed profits at the expense of their clients and investors.”

Housing Wire – “Total Number of HAMP Permanent Modifications Passes 340,000″ (6-21-10)

“Servicers participating in the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) conducted 340,459 permanent modifications through May 2010 since the program launched in March 2009, up from 299,092 through April, according to the Treasury Department. The Treasury launched HAMP to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of mortgages on the verge of foreclosure. In order to receive a permanent modification, borrowers must make three monthly payments during the trial period and submit all documentation.”

Housing Wire – “Architecture Firms See Business Increase with Demand for Smaller Houses: AIA” (6-21-10)

“AIA conducted a survey of 500 architecture firms that concentrate practices in the residential sector. AIA also found that American homebuyers are showing greater interest in smaller homes and lot sizes. According to the survey, the economic downturn and growing concerns over rising utility costs have created a demand for smaller homes and lot sizes.”

Housing Wire – “CoreLogic Home Price Index Up 2.6% in April” (6-21-10)

“National housing prices increased 2.6% in April 2010 compared to April 2009 in the CoreLogic (CLGX: 18.335 -2.16%) monthly home price index (HPI). It’s the second month in a row that prices have increased from the same month one year ago. The April increase comes after a 2.3% year-over-year increase in March. The HPI was upwardly revised from an original projection of a 1.7% increase for March.”

Bloomberg - “Whitney Says She Sees ‘Double Dip’ in Housing Market” (6-21-10)

“The U.S. housing market will experience a second recession, forcing banks to post additional loan-loss reserves, analyst Meredith Whitney said.”

Orange County Register – “House price per sq. ft. highest in 2 years” (6-21-10)

“The median price per square foot paid to buy an Orange County house hit $296.32 in May, the highest that measure has been since August 2008, figures from MDA DataQuick show. The price per square foot for an existing, single-family home has been on an upsurge after bottoming out in January 2009, increasing from the month before in 10 of the past 13 months.”

Orange County Register – “5 O.C. hot spots for home-price cuts” (6-21-10)

“As of June 1, 29% of homes on the market in Orange County have seen at least one price reduction, according to online home tracker Trulia.com. Nationwide, 22% of listings had at least one price trim, with the average reduction 10% off the original asking price.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

According to RealtyTrac, the total number of national foreclosures decreased by 9 percent in March. Economists Lawrence Yun and Mark Zandi predict that mortgage rates will remain historically low over the next few years. CAR reports the minimum household income needed to purchase an entry-level home at $246,270 in California in the first quarter of 2010 was $41,540. Statistics from Freddie Mac show the average rate on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage dipped to 4.93 percent.

In The News:

The Atlantic – “Foreclosures Declined 9% in April” (5-13-10)

“Fewer Americans lost their homes in April, though the numbers are still alarmingly high at 333,837 foreclosed properties nationwide, according to foreclosure data specialist RealtyTrac. This number was 9% lower than the record high hit in March. So April’s decline, while relatively good news, doesn’t quite get foreclosures back down to pre-March levels.”

NAR - “Two Economists Project Improving Housing Market but Timing Uncertain” (5-13-10)

“Both Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, and Mark Zandi, chief economist and co-founder of Moody’s Economy.com, agreed that job creation is key to an economic and housing recovery, with job creation expected as the year progresses, but they differed somewhat on the impact that foreclosures will have on home price stabilization. Both project that mortgage interest rates will remain historically low, the availability of jumbo loans will improve and home sales will rise over the next few years.”

CBIA - “California New-Home Sales Rise From February, CBIA Announces” (5-13-10)

“The monthly CBIA/Hanley Wood Market Intelligence (HWMI) New-Home Sales and Pricing Report showed that sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 13 percent above February, but fell 31 percent below March 2009. During March, 2,189 new homes and condominiums were sold in the subdivisions tracked by Costa Mesa-based HWMI, compared to 1,938 in February and 3,192 in March 2009. Sales of single-family homes were up by 5 percent from the previous month, but down 36 percent from the same month a year ago. Sales of townhomes and ‘plexes’ – duplexes, triplexes, etc. – rose 24 percent from February but were off by 32 percent from March 2009, while sales of condominiums were up 37 percent from the previous month, but were 16 percent lower than a year ago.”

CAR - “Entry-level housing affordability stood at 66 percent in Q1 2010″ (5-13-10)

“The minimum household income needed to purchase an entry-level home at $246,270 in California in the first quarter of 2010 was $41,540, based on an adjustable effective interest rate of 4.33 percent and assuming a 10 percent down payment. First-time buyers typically purchase a home equal to 85 percent of the prevailing median price. The monthly payment including taxes and insurance was $1,380 for the fourth quarter of 2010. At $41,540, the minimum qualifying income was $3,910 greater than a year earlier when households needed $37,630 to qualify for a loan on an entry-level home.”

Sign On San Diego – “Mortgage rates drop to lowest level this year” (5-13-10)

“Mortgage rates fell this week to the lowest level of the year, as rates fell on U.S. government securities. Fixed mortgage rates closely track interest rates paid on long-term Treasury bonds. The average rate on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage dipped to 4.93 percent this week from 5 percent a week earlier, Freddie Mac said Thursday. It was the lowest level since mid-December, when rates averaged 4.81 percent.”

Housing Wire – “RealtyTrac’s Daren Blomquist Calls for Shadow Inventory Clearance” (5-13-10)

“I think the year-over-year decrease in national foreclosure activity in April is a definite sign that there is an end in sight, but on the other hand the record REO numbers show that we’ve got a lot of backlogged inventory stopped up in the foreclosure process that needs to be cleared before we can return to a balanced, healthy market.”

Housing Wire – “Dodd Bill Amendment Will Assign Credit-Rating Agencies to Deals” (5-13-10)

“The US Senate today approved in a 64-35 vote an amendment by Sen. Al Franken (D-MN) on credit ratings to be added to S 3217, the Restoring American Financial Stability Act sponsored by Sen. Chris Dodd (D-CT). The amendment would instruct the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to establish a self-regulatory organization to assign credit-rating agencies (CRAs) to provide initial credit ratings on financial products. It essentially creates a board to assign CRAs to securities, to prevent firms from ’shopping around’ for the highest ratings.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. construction recovery 6 years away” (5-13-10)

“Orange County won’t get back to pre-recession levels of employment in the construction business until 2016, according the Cal State Long Beach’s 2010 forecast released today. Construction employment hit 107,175 at the peak in 2006. The forecast projects employment in the sector will drop to 66,691 this year before bottoming at 65,312 in 2011.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the national share of home sales above $750,000 fell from 4.4 percent in 2007 to approximately 2.3 percent in 2009. The number of U.S. households faced with losing their homes to foreclosure jumped 32 percent in April 2009. General Growth Properties received approval for a $400 billion dollar loan to aid their recovery from bankruptcy. Fitch Ratings predicted that home prices would by 36 percent within 18 months of May 2009.

The S&P Index shows home prices increased in February. Speculators believe the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates at the current low. The LexisNexis Mortgage Asset Research Institute reports that fraud increased by 7 percent last year. According to the FHFA, the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) of $417,000 or less was 5.09% this month.

In The News:

Business Week – “Home price index shows 1st annual gain in 3 years” (4-27-10)

“Home prices in February posted their first annual increase since the end of 2006, pumped up by a temporary tax credits for homebuyers. The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home price index released Tuesday eked out a 0.6 percent gain, half the increase analysts had expected. And on a more cautionary note, 11 of the 20 cities tracked by the index showed declines from February last year.”

The Press Enterprise – “Fed expected to keep rates at record lows” (4-27-10)

“Confidence is growing that the economic rebound will strengthen. And to make sure it does, the Federal Reserve is considered certain to hold interest rates at record lows when it meets this week. ”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Mortgage fraud incidents rise 7 pct last year” (4-27-10)

“Incidents of residential mortgage fraud increased last year, a sign that scammers are still targeting the industry despite more diligent efforts to find and report such activity. The number of mortgage fraud reports among loans made in 2009 grew 7 percent, a smaller increase than the 26 percent jump seen the previous year, according to a study released Monday by the LexisNexis Mortgage Asset Research Institute.”

Housing Wire – “State HFAs Submit Proposals to Spend $1.5bn Hardest Hit Fund” (4-27-10)

“Three of the five state Housing Finance Agencies (HFAs) receiving $1.5bn from the Treasury Department through the Hardest Hit Fund released proposals on how they would spend the money. In March, the Treasury cleared the HFAs of states where house prices dropped 20% from the peak to submit proposals to use the funds from the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP).”

Housing Wire – “FHFA Sees Interest Rates Dip, Hover Around 5% in March” (4-27-10)

“The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) of $417,000 or less was 5.09%, down from 5.13% one month ago. The average rate for a 15-year FRM of $417,000 or less was 4.57%, down from 4.65%. The FHFA measured interest rates on loans that closed between March 25 and 31. Since the rate is typically determined 30 to 45 days prior to closing, the report depicts market conditions prevailing in mid- to late-February, the FHFA said.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Extends REO Discount Deadline” (4-27-10)

“Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.21 -3.20%) extended its seller assistance incentive on all of its HomePath properties this week. In February, Fannie began providing a 3.5% discount to buyers of its REO properties listed as part of its HomePath division. The discount can be used for closing cost assistance or the buyer’s choice of appliances.”

Housing Wire – “Goldman’s Tourre Denies Misleading Investors in Subprime RMBS CDO” (4-27-10)

“An executive at embattled Goldman Sachs (GS: 153.04 +0.66%) denied before a Senate panel today that he misled investors in a synthetic collateralized debt obligation (CDO) tied to the performance of subprime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is charging investment bank Goldman and the executive director of its structured products group trading, Fabrice Tourre, for allegedly making misleading statements about the CDO transaction, ABACUS 2007-AC1.”

Bloomberg - “‘Tourists’ May Leave Real Estate as Rates Rise, Sternlicht Says” (4-27-10)

“If interest rates head higher, ‘you will see a pause that will take a lot of capital out,’ he said. Corporate bonds may benefit, according to Sternlicht. A rebound in the real estate market is being hampered by weak demand and commercial-mortgage-backed financing that declined 95 percent last year from its record level in 2007. Vacancies in the first quarter rose to the highest level since at least 2000 at the nation’s biggest malls, and climbed to a 16-year peak at office buildings, research firm Reis Inc. said earlier this month. “

California unemployment increased to 12.6 percent last month. The SEC charged Goldman Sachs with fraud. According to the Commerce Department, Housing starts climbed to an annual rate of 626,000 last month. Fannie Mae is developing a new program to help families in foreclosure gain access to a new mortgage within 2 years.

In The News:

Sacramento Bee – “Jobs rebound, but California unemployment at 12.6 percent” (4-16-10)

“California’s unemployment inched up to 12.6 percent last month even though the state added 4,200 jobs, the federal government reported today. The numbers from the Employment Development Department are further evidence of the economy beginning to stir.”

Los Angeles Times – “Housing starts, permits rise as builders rebound” (4-16-10)

“Housing starts climbed to an annual rate of 626,000 last month, up 1.6 percent from February’s revised 616,000 pace, which was higher than initially estimated, Commerce Department figures showed Friday. Building permits, a sign of future construction, climbed to the highest level since October 2008.”

Wall Street Journal – “Mortgage Rates Reverse Course and Fall” (4-16-10)

“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.07% for the week ended April 15, down from 5.21% last week. A year ago, the mortgage averaged 4.82%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.40%, down from 4.52% last week and 4.48% a year ago.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Mae Director Outlines Program to Turn Homeowners into Renters” (4-16-10)

“Miguel Gutierrez said the goal of Fannie Mae is to minimize family displacement for borrowers that participate in a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure program, launched early in November 2009, while managing it in a way so as to not put any undue pressure on Fannie’s ever-growing rental portfolio. The homeowner-turned-renter is required to pay fair market rent to stay in their home for up to 12 months. The renter must have enough income to sustain a 31% income-to-rent ratio and rental payments are not subsidized by Fannie Mae, but could include renters eligible for Section 8 payments.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Shortens Wait for Some Distressed Borrowers to Get New Loans” (4-16-10)

“Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.24 -4.62%) announced it is reducing the wait time for some borrowers between when they complete a short sale or deed-in-lieu of foreclosure transaction and when they can obtain a new mortgage. Previously, a borrower was required to wait four years before getting a new mortgage, or two years if their home sold in a short sale. Under the new guidelines, a borrower that previously completed a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure transaction can get a new mortgage in two years, provided the borrower has a 20% down payment.”

Housing Wire – “SEC Charges Goldman Sachs with Fraud Over Subprime RMBS CDO” (4-16-10)

“The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) today charged Goldman Sachs (GS: 160.70 -12.79%) and one of its vice presidents for allegedly defrauding investors by misstating and omitting key facts about a financial product tied to subprime mortgages, demanding a jury trial for the allegations to be heard.”

Home equity delinquencies increased to 4.3 percent of all accounts. Many construction companies reported an increase in profit during the 4th quarter of 2009. REIS Inc. reports that U.S. apartment vacancies rose to 8 percent last quarter. According to Freddie Mac, mortgage rates decreased to 5.09 percent from last week.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “Lennar Posts Quarterly Profit, Expects $320M Tax Refund” (1-7-09)

“Miami-based homebuilder Lennar (LEN: 15.70 +14.60%) reported net earnings of $35.6m, $0.19 per share, for its fiscal year fourth quarter that ended Nov. 30 and said it will receive a tax refund of $320m as a result of legislation that temporarily allowed companies to recoup losses from taxes paid in profitable years.”

Housing Wire – “Invesco Mortgage Capital Planning Another Share Sale” (1-7-09)

“Seeing a growing appetite for deals from investors, Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR: 22.37 -2.10%), a real estate investment trust (REIT), plans to offer 7m shares of its common stock for sale in order to fund the acquisition of residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities (RMBS and CMBS) and leveraged mortgage loans.”

Housing Wire – “Delinquency Grows in Home Equity Loans, Lines of Credit: ABA” (1-7-09)

“Housing-related loans continued to show stress. Home equity loan delinquencies hit another record in the quarter, jumping 29 bps to 4.3% of all accounts. Home equity lines of credit rose 20 bps to 2.12% of all accounts. Mobile home delinquencies increased to 3.63% of all accounts, from 3.53% the previous quarter.”

Housing Wire – “Beazer to Offer 18m Shares, $50m in Convertible Debt” (1-7-09)

“Beazer Homes (BZH: 5.06 +6.08%) will issue new common stock and convertible subordinate debt, the Atlanta-based homebuilder said in a pair of Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings. According to the filings, Beazer will issue 18m shares of common stock and $50m in convertible subordinate debt which will convert to stock shares in 2013.”

Bloomberg - “Job Growth Erodes as Housing Bust Pushes Mobility to Record Low” (1-7-09)

“Some households are staying put because they owe more on their mortgages than their properties are worth; others have trouble selling houses in depressed areas, economists say. The S&P/Case-Shiller composite index of home prices in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas was down 29 percent in October from its July 2006 peak.”

Bloomberg - “Principal Cuts on Lender Menus as Foreclosures Rise” (1-7-09)

“While interest-rate reductions or extending loan terms reduce homeowners’ monthly payments, they don’t give much comfort to borrowers who owe more on their homes than their properties are worth. Borrowers who don’t have equity in their homes are more likely to hand over the keys when they run into trouble.”

Bloomberg - “Lennar Leads Builders Higher on Report of Unexpected Profit” (1-7-09)

“Lennar Corp. led U.S. homebuilders higher after the company reported an unexpected quarterly profit as it took advantage of a tax change in the way it accounts for land sales. A Standard & Poor’s measure of 12 home construction companies rose as much as 5.4 percent, the most since November. Lennar climbed as much as 13 percent. KB Home, M/I Homes Inc., Toll Brothers Inc. and D.R. Horton Inc. all gained.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Rates on 30-Year U.S. Loans Fall to 5.09%” (1-7-09)

“Mortgage rates in the U.S. fell for the first time in five weeks, lowering borrowing costs and offering a boost to potential buyers. The rate for 30-year fixed U.S. home loans fell to 5.09 percent for the week ended today from 5.14 percent, mortgage finance company Freddie Mac said. Rates hit a record low 4.71 percent the week of Dec. 3. This week’s average 15-year rate was 4.50 percent, Freddie Mac said in today’s statement. ”

Bloomberg - “Record U.S. Apartment Vacancies Force Landlords to Cut Rents” (1-7-09)

“U.S. apartment vacancies rose to a record 8 percent in the fourth quarter and rents fell the most in three decades as unemployment cut demand, according to Reis Inc.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications were decreasing. Statistics from Default Research showed that foreclosures and defaults had significantly increased across California. Apartment rents fell and vacancy rates increased to a 4 year high. Freddie Mac reported that mortgage rates fell for the 9th week in a row.