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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/22/10

Wednesday, December 22nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to Veros, San Diego home prices will rise 3.5% next year.  November saw an increase in home sales since decreasing significantly in July.  In other news, fewer people are applying for mortgages most likely due to higher rates.  Fannie Mae expects home prices to decline in 2011, although they expect the sale of new homes to decrease and existing sales to increase.  The Obama administration believes the recent robo-signing has resulted in a decrease in foreclosures.

In The News:

Housing Wire - “Home prices expected to rise in 40% of major metros in 2011: Veros” (12-22-10)

“San Diego should see home prices rise 3.5% next year, but prices in Florida and Nevada, two states where the foreclosure crisis is especially acute, will drop 6% to 7%, according to a real estate market forecast.”

DS News - “Sales of Existing Homes Gain Ground in November” (12-22-10)

“Existing-home sales got back on an upward path in November, resuming a growth trend since bottoming in July, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported Wednesday.”

Bloomberg - “U.S Treasury’s Home Loan Modifications Pass 500,000, Short of Obama Goal” (12-22-10)

“The number of U.S. homeowners who qualified for permanent loan modifications through a federal program topped 500,000 in November for the first time, remaining short of the Obama administration’s goal of 3 million.”

Mercury News“Mortgage Applications Fell Last Week” (12-22-10)

“The number of people applying for a mortgage fell last week as higher rates discouraged borrowing. The Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday its overall mortgage application index decreased 18.6 percent from the previous week. The refinance index dropped 24.6 percent, marking the sixth decline in a row. The purchase index slipped 2.5 percent last week.”

Inman“5 new real estate search tools” (12-22-10)

“Pretty soon, you’ll need an app to keep track of just-introduced real estate apps and websites.”

Housing Wire“Monthly permanent HAMP modifications increase 26% in November” (12-22-10)

“Mortgage servicers completed 29,972 permanent modifications through the Home Affordable Modification Program in November, 26% more than October and the first monthly increase since May.”

RisMedia - “Real Estate’s ‘RREIN’ Makers-RisMedia’s Real Estate Information Network (RREIN) is leading the information revolution” (12-22-10)

“What is a business network? According to Wikipedia, a business network is: “a social economic activity by which groups of like-minded businesspeople recognize, create or act upon business opportunities.” What is the value of information? The value of information lies in its ability to enable consumers to make the optimal decision. The right information, therefore, is truly invaluable.”

Mortgage News Daily“Fannie Mae: Home Prices and Mortgage Originations to Decline in 2011″ (12-22-10)

“The fourth quarter was not a stellar time for home sales according to Fannie Mae’s Housing Forecast for December.  While existing sales are projected to improve from 289,000 to 299,000, new home
sales will drop from 151,000 to 125,000.”

Bloomberg - “Home Prices in U.S. Declined 3.4% in October from Year Earlier, FHFA Says” (12-22-10)

“U.S. home prices fell 3.4 percent in October from a year earlier as sales of foreclosed properties dragged down values, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said.”

Housing Wire - “Obama housing scorecard: Robo-signing takes hold of market in November” (12-22-10)

“The housing market felt the effects of the robo-signing scandal in November as foreclosure starts and completions fell significantly, according to the Obama administration’s November 2010 housing scorecard.”

Realty Times- “Deciding to Sell” (12-22-10)

“Deciding whether or not to sell your house can be a trying time. Many questions pervade your mind. “Is now the best time to make a move?” “Will I make money from this sale?” Will a move disrupt my family’s routine?” There are numerous factors that come into play when making this decision. Let’s look at just a few to consider.”

Looking Back:

Research from the Office of Thrift Supervision and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency showed that the number of U.S. homes in foreclosure passed the 1-million mark. The NAR reported that existing homes sales increased by 7.4 percent in November of 2009. According to IHS Global Insight, U.S. home prices increased by 0.2 percent during the 3rd quarter of 2009. Barclay’s predicted that the unemployment rate would reduce to 9.1 percent by the end of 2010.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

171-TNG Radio – Bill Tan 4-24-10

Friday, April 23rd, 2010

Bill Tan

Bill Tan,
President of Bill Tan Investments and The San Diego Creative Real Estate Investors Association

(Full Bio)

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This week Bruce is joined by Bill Tan. Bill owns Bill Tan Investments, and he is the creators of the San Diego Creative Investment Association. He is a nationally recognized real estate investor and mortgage exchanger. He speaks now and trains people.

Bill started in the real estate business when some friends of his started doing it. He became really interested in the business when a man came out with a book named Nothing Down. He went to a lot of seminars. He has been investing since the late 1970’s. His mentors are Jon Schobb, Robert Allen, Jimmy Napier, Peter Fortunato, Jack Miller and the Four Horsemen of Florida.

Bill’s company provides several services. Bill acts as a real estate investment counselor, his company makes hard money loans, buying notes, and his company invests in real estate. Getting into the note buying business took some training. Bill got into note buying when he was encouraged to buy real estate in another state. There are a lot of challenges that come with that, such as property management. After a while, he got sick of having to travel to solve these problems, so he chose to sell the property but he had to become the bank in order to do so. Once he did this, he stopped having to deal with the tenants and the check appeared in the mail box every month.  He then went to a real estate training seminar and told other people what he had done. They then started selling their properties and began carrying the notes as well. They also began needing an extra chunk of cash for their deals, so Bill started giving loans. This was when Bill learned all about negotiation. The best note deal he ever made was a $10,000 dollar note buy which he got a $100 dollar cash flow on.

Later on, Bill began taking even more training, so that he could fully understand the business of note buying. He took a set of classes from Carl Aubey,  John Stefenskay, and John Behle. He learned the most from a week long class he took with John Behle.

There are some market circumstances that make seller carry back notes more likely. When lending becomes tight or interest rates rise, sellers have to compete with lenders to get financing for their properties. In these situations, buyers often have difficulty getting financing. There are many people at this time with damaged credit due to foreclosure.

Right now, we have the worst equity position for owners in history. Many people are upside down on their properties. These people are not candidates for the deals that Bill makes. The only protection that people have when they take back a note is the value of the property and the equity position of that home. The equity is usually brought about by a down payment, but right now many properties have negative equity.

At any time, 1/3 of all properties are owned free and clear. A lot of the properties that are free and clear are land, but there are many elderly people who own properties because they have spent their lives paying off their mortgages. Those people are good candidates for carry back notes.

If a senior citizen has a property free and clear which they do not live in, and they want to sell it and carry the note, is their declarable gain the interest they receive or is it the principal they have not received? Bill says there could be two scenarios in this situation. If they have a 100,000 dollar home that they own free and clear, and they take back an IOU on the property for $100,000, and they do not get paid for a while, that is considered an installment sale. If they have an interest only note, then they are only getting rent on their note. In this case, they would not get taxed on their profit, but they would pay tax on the note’s interest. This could go on until they are no longer with us, and then this would cause an estate issue, but they would only have to declare their interest portion. If they were to create an IOU against the property for 30 years, then part of every payment they receive would be interest and that would be taxable. Also, part of every payment they receive would be principal pay down, and that is taxable also.

There is no such thing as a typical seller carry back note. What is nice about notes is that whatever two people agree to can be modified. Sometimes grandparents want their grandchildren to go to college. At certain points over a 4 year span, lump sums will be paid on that note. So in this case, one could just pay a large sum of $10,000 pay down after 4 years. With this specific deal, he bought it as a fully amortized note, but then changed the structure of the note to help his client. Bill’s client was going to put their money into the bank at a 1 percent interest rate, so he gave them the opportunity to earn a higher interest rate through the note. That may be an easy transaction for Bill to do, but it could become very difficult if you deal with a large number of deals. Bill has the opportunity to deal with many creative solutions in a market place where lenders are very tight. If the government had not intervened a short time ago, notes would have likely skyrocketed.

Finding out who owns a note has changed to some extent. When Bill first started buying notes, his business was nearly unknown. Because of the internet and the rumors going around from investment courses, more people are becoming aware. When a person takes back a note, they usually believe they are taking back the note until it is paid off. Most of the contact that Bill has with other note owners shows they are advertising from title companies. Nearly 100 percent of Bill’s notes are referred to him.

Bill has many stories about people who thought they had a legitimate note, but really did not. There is always fraud when money is involved. Fraud is more common when note brokers don’t check on the ownership of their notes. There is more involved in checking the value of a note, because you have to first check the value of the house, and then the person making the payments, and then the value of the note.

If you are creating a note that you want to be sellable, shorter works better than longer, and larger down payments work better than smaller. The longer the term of the note is, the more we have to account for inflation. If somebody were to bring you a fully amortized 30-year note today, and you needed to get a yield on a 10 percent interest note, you could only pay approximately 50 percent of today’s face value of the note in order to get a 10 percent return on the investment at a 6 percent interest rate. This is a hard sell. If you are setting up a note you want to sell, it is important to know that there is a 10 percent market rather than a 6 percent market. If you carried a 30-year, ten percent note, there is a possibility you could get close to earning the full value of the note, but probably not if you were working with Bill. However, there is another opportunity for people who do not need all the money out of their note immediately, because Bill can buy part of the note. For example, there was a note on a property in West Covina. Bill helped structure the note for this property, so that the owner could sell the note after she sold the property. The note’s face value was $100,000. They could not qualify for a new loan, but they had $5,000 dollars down, so they took back the $100,000 dollar note. This note was for 30 years at 7.5 percent interest. She used this money to go to Idaho and buy a condo near her daughter. Bill bought the first 60 payments on that note, and he gave her $30,000 dollars in exchange for them. With this money and the $5,000 dollar down payment, she was able to pay the closing cost of her house and buy a new $20,000 condo. Bill got a good yield from this deal, and at the end of those 60 payments, Bill stopped receiving the payments and she took the payments. At the end of five years, her $100,000 note had amortized to $95,000.

Bruce has taken Bill’s beginner course. Bill’s technique is very effective, because he makes his students struggle. Bill believes the only way we can learn is by making mistakes, so the more mistakes Bill can help his student s make, the more they will learn. Bill’s more advanced class is the 3-day Creative Financing Technician’s Strategy class, and you do not need a calculator for this class. Bill may be having this class in June.

Bill’s website is www.billtaninvestments.com

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/8/10

Monday, March 8th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Multifamily home building will likely become more expensive in San Diego, as a new water meter program gains popularity. According to RealtyTrac, one in every 25 Los Angeles homes received a notice of foreclosure in 2009. Silicon Valley Bank forecasts an increase in foreclosures in Napa Valley.

In The News:

MBA“MBA and Others Express Grave Concerns About Regulations Proposed Under SAFE Act” (3-8-10)

“HUD is proposing to exceed its statutory authority under the SAFE Act establishing a backup system and determining whether state laws meet the SAFE Act’s minimum requirements.  In this regard, HUD indicates it may require states to treat servicer employees engaged in loan modifications as originators for the purposes of the Act.  If the regulation is finalized as proposed, HUD risks significantly curtailing the ability of servicers to complete loan modifications until their employees are registered or licensed.”

Sign On San Diego“S.D. could require multifamily water meters” (4-8-10)

“The City Council takes up a proposed ordinance tomorrow after months of fine-tuning. The proposal is widely expected to pass, creating what several water experts said would be a first in the county. It would require submetering for new complexes with three or more units and in cases when an entire interior drinking water system is replaced for a complex with three or more homes. Some exemptions apply.”

Housing Wire - “Los Angeles to Pull Investments from Foreclosure-Heavy Financial Firms” (3-8-10)

“According to the real estate data provider, RealtyTrac, the Los Angeles metropolitan statistical area (MSA) had the 32nd highest foreclosure rate in the country in 2009 as foreclosures remained concentrated the sand states. There, one in every 25 homes received a foreclosure filing, a 37% increase from 2008. California leads all states with the most permanent modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), according to the US Treasury Department.”

Housing Wire“State Applications Open for Federal Underwater Borrower Aid” (3-8-10)

“Select state Housing Finance Agencies (HFAs) can submit proposals for using $1.5bn from the HFA Hardest-Hit Fund to prevent foreclosures and stabilize local housing markets, according to the US Treasury Department. Eligible HFAs can apply for clearance to fund principal-forgiveness, unemployment and second-lien reduction programs.”

Housing Wire“Investors Shun Fund of Funds for Higher Hedge Gains: Barclays” (3-8-10)

“The migration of money away from fund of funds and directly into the hedge fund space indicates investors are being drawn by the recent successes in the industry, which look set to continue, according to market analysts. The business for hedge funds in the United States is growing posting an estimated inflow of $7.1bn — or 0.5% of assets — in January, according to TrimTabs Investment Research and hedge fund data vendor BarclayHedge.”

Housing WireFailed Banks May Get Pension-Fund Backing as FDIC Seeks Cash” (3-8-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. is trying to encourage public retirement funds that control more than $2 trillion to buy all or part of failed lenders, taking a more direct role in propping up the banking system, said people briefed on the matter.”

BloombergVineyard Defaults Surge as Bargain Wines Hurt Napa” (3-8-10)

“In California’s Napa Valley, producer of the most expensive U.S. wines, 2010 may be a vintage year for foreclosures as the industry is squeezed by falling land values and a consumer shift to cheaper brands. As many as 10 wineries and vineyards in Napa will change hands in distressed sales or foreclosures this year and next, up from none in 2008, according to Silicon Valley Bank.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the number of borrowers who defaulted after the first payment tripled. The Government predicted a 10.3 percent unemployment rate. 650,000 jobs dissapeared in one month.