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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/13/10

Tuesday, July 13th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

MDA DataQuick reports 23,871 homes were sold in Southern California last month. Statistics from CoreLogic show that prices in May grew 0.9% from the month before. According to Foreclosure Radar, lenders canceled nearly 22,000 California foreclosure sales in June. A comparative analysis from Credit Suisse shows that the cost of owning a home is cheaper than renting in multiple areas.

In The News:

DQNews - “Southland home sales edge up, prices level off” (7-13-10)

“A total of 23,871 new and resale homes were sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was up 7.2 percent from 22,270 in May, and up 2.6 percent from 23,262 for June 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Housing Wire – “Home Prices Increase for the Fourth Straight Month: CoreLogic” (7-13-10)

“Home prices on the CoreLogic home price index (HPI) have increased every month since the 0.3% yearly increase in February. The May increases come after a 2.6% yearly gain in April. Prices in May grew 0.9% from the month before, a smaller increase from the 1.3% gain from March to April. According to CoreLogic, sales in the bottom-tier of the market, those homes priced at 75% below the median, are driving the recent increases in overall prices.”

Sacramento Bee – “California tax assessments of homes to go down” (7-13-10)

“Sacramento County’s tax roll dropped nearly 2.2 percent to $128.8 billion. Yolo County’s is down about 1.9 percent. And El Dorado County and Placer County both saw the value of their taxable property drop more than 6 percent. The falling values represent good news for many homeowners, who will see lower property tax bills this October.”

Housing Wire – “HAFA Ushers Record Number of Foreclosure Sale Cancellations in California” (7-13-10)

“Lenders canceled nearly 22,000 California foreclosure sales in June, driven mostly by JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 40.48 +3.29%). It’s a 27% increase from May, a 153% growth from a year ago, and an all-time high, according to ForeclosureRadar, which tracks foreclosures in the state.”

Housing Wire – “Cost Spread Between Owning a Home and Renting is Narrowing: Credit Suisse” (7-13-10)

“With mortgage rates at record lows and housing markets stuffed to the gills with cheap distressed properties that’s led to declining home prices, the cost to own a home is sometimes cheaper than renting an apartment in many markets, according to analysts at Credit Suisse. While a segment of the renting population continues to rent, many are looking to dip their toes in the homeownership waters. Credit Suisse said the percentage of median household income needed to pay the mortgage on a median priced home is at a 30-year low, as seen in the below chart.”

Housing Wire – “Seriously Delinquent Prime RMBS Rise for 37th Straight Month: Fitch Ratings” (7-13-10)

“The 60-plus-day delinquency rate for US prime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) rose in the 37th consecutive month in June, according to Fitch Ratings. The credit-rating agency noted the ’seriously’ delinquent rate — of 60 days or more — within prime jumbo RMBS rose to 10.4% in June, up from 10.3% in May and 6.4% at the same time last year.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/17/10

Thursday, June 17th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the CBIA, sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 32 percent below April 2009. MDA DataQuick reports 8,264 homes closed escrows in the nine-county Bay Area last month.  Statistics from Freddie Mac show the average 30-year frm rate increased to 4.75 percent this week. The number of suspected mortgage fraud activities reported to law enforcement grew 5% during fiscal year 2009.

In The News:

CBIA - “California New-Home Market Down in April, CBIA Announces” (6-17-10)

“The monthly CBIA/Hanley Wood Market Intelligence (HWMI) New-Home Sales and Pricing Report showed that sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 32 percent below April 2009. During April, 2,203 new homes and condominiums were sold in the subdivisions tracked by Costa Mesa-based HWMI, compared to 3,218 a year earlier. Sales of single-family homes were down by 34 percent, while sales of townhomes and ‘plexes’ – duplexes, triplexes, etc. – were off by 33 percent and sales of condominiums were 22 percent lower than a year ago.”

DQNews - “Bay Area $500K-Plus Home Sales Jump; Median Price Tops $400K” (6-17-10)

“Sales rose across the Bay Area last month in many mid- to high-end neighborhoods, helping to push the median sale price over $400,000 for the first time in 21 months. But as tax credits, low mortgage rates and an ample supply of homes for sale fueled the $500,000-plus market, sales fell in many affordable inland areas where investors and first-time buyers faced a dwindling inventory of low-cost foreclosures, a real estate information service reported. Last month a total of 8,264 homes closed escrows in the nine-county Bay Area, up 18.0 percent from 7,003 in April and up 11.0 percent from 7,447 in May 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Wall Street Journal – “Shadow Problem: Home Price Declines May Land in Cities That Largely Avoided Them” (6-17-10)

“A new report shows that the ’shadow inventory’ of homes, with delinquent mortgages that have yet to go through the foreclosure process, is growing fastest in areas that have so far avoided the biggest home-price declines, according to a report by ratings agency Standard & Poor’s. Mortgage companies could be forced to reduce their prices on these foreclosued homes as they work through that supply, and as more of those homes sell, that could continue to put pressure on prices. At the top of the list: the New York City area, where at the current rate it would take 103 months to clear the shadow inventory of loans that are more than 90 days delinquent or in foreclosure. That’s nearly 3.5 times the national average.”

San Francisco Chronicle - “Freddie Mac: Mortgage rates up from yearly low” (6-17-10)

“Rates on 30-year fixed mortgages backed off from yearly lows this week, but still remain historically cheap. Mortgage finance company Freddie Mac says the average rate rose to 4.75 percent, up from 4.72 percent last week. The rate hit 4.71 percent in December, the lowest since Freddie Mac began keeping records in 1971.”

Housing Wire – “Suspected Mortgage Fraud Reports to FBI Grew 5% in 2009″ (6-17-10)

“The number of suspected mortgage fraud activities reported to law enforcement grew 5% during fiscal year 2009 to 67,190, according to the latest yearly mortgage fraud report from the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). FBI mortgage fraud pending investigations rose 71% from fiscal year 2008, while Department of Housing and Urban Development – Office of Inspector General (HUD-OIG) pending investigations rose 31% in the same time. Of all pending FBI mortgage fraud investigations during FY 2009, 66% involved dollar losses totaling more than $1m.”

Housing Wire - “55-75% of HAMP Mods Could Re-Default under Fitch Projections” (6-17-10)

“As of May 2010, Fitch noted that roughly 15% of non-agency RMBS loans by balance — including nearly 35% of RMBS subprime loans — received at least one modification. This is up from 10% and 25% respectively in September 2009. Fitch currently expects anywhere from 55% to 75% of modified loans within RMBS to re-default after 12 months.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage-Fraud Crackdown in U.S. Brings 485 Arrests” (6-17-10)

“Authorities arrested 485 people since March in the largest nationwide mortgage-fraud crackdown of its kind, the U.S. Justice Department said. During the enforcement effort, 1,215 criminal defendants responsible for $2.3 billion in losses faced some type of legal action, the department said. The crackdown, dubbed Operation Stolen Dreams, also included 191 civil cases resulting in the recovery of more than $147 million.”

Inman - “5 real estate opportunities” (6-17-10)

“In 2001, 42 percent of homebuyers were first-timers. That number dropped to 36 percent at the peak of the seller’s market in 2006. Today, first-time buyers represent 47 percent of all buyers, the highest percentage in this century. Opportunity: To take advantage of this trend, actively prospect for listings in first-time-buyer areas. To determine which areas are the best to prospect, watch the sales board in your office or the sales report from your local multiple listing service.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/7/10

Monday, June 7th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The chief economist of the NAR predicts the housing recession will bottom this summer. Doug Duncan, the chief economist for Fannie Mae, believes housing demand will not balance with new household formation and housing starts until 2013. According to Fitch Ratings, subprime RMBS delinquencies fell to 44.8% in May. Terradatum Inc reports home and condominium sales increased by 50 percent from last year.

In The News:

Orange County Register – “Zillow: No housing bottom yet” (6-6-10)

“‘The housing recession is not over. Housing prices will continue to fall,’  Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries said at the National Association of Real Estate Editors conference in Austin, Texas. By Humphries’ estimate, home prices won’t bottom out until this summer. But don’t expect a quick rebound in home prices once that bottom is reached, he added.”

Orange County Register – “Mid-county homebuying tumbles 12%” (6-6-10)

“DataQuick identified 756 homes selling in Orange County’s north-inland ZIP codes in this most recent period, +13% from a year ago. Median selling price? $457,500 in these 23 ZIPs. This most recent median price change was +8.2% vs. a year ago. Mid-county ZIPs — median selling price $349,500 – had 805 sales, -12% from a year ago. In these 24 ZIPs, the freshets median price change was +11.8% vs. a year ago.”

Orange County Register – “43% of Talega home deals are distressed” (6-5-10)

“The newest ‘market time’ of San Clemente’s Talega community – Thomas’ math that tracks theoretical time it would take to sell all listed homes at the pace of new escrows opened — is 2.41 months. That is -13.2% (or roughly 11 days) in a year. Over two years, it’s -50% or 73 days.”

Inman - “A real estate recovery in 2013″ (6-7-10)

“housing demand may not see a normal balance with new household formation and housing starts until 2013, said Doug Duncan, chief economist for secondary mortgage giant Fannie Mae.”

Housing Wire – “Distressed Commercial Properties to Rise Fastest in US and Ireland, Finds RICS” (6-7-10)

“However, its Q110 Global Distressed Property Monitor finds that the pace is likely to pick up in 70% of surveyed countries, with the US and Ireland leading the way. The monitor asked 466 surveyor offices worldwide about trends in property investments. A distressed property is defined as that which is under a foreclosure order, or advertised for sale. The survey clarifies that such properties are usually sold for under-market value.”

Housing Wire – “Subprime Delinquencies Drop Again as CDS Prices Return to 2008 Levels” (6-7-10)

“Subprime RMBS delinquencies fell to 44.8% in May, from 45.2% in April. The rate is still up from 28.3% the same time last year. Fitch found in a separate survey that prices of US subprime credit default swaps (CDs) grew 7.6% from last month and are now at levels last seen in December 2008.”

Bloomberg - “Tech Lifts S.F. Prices as Ocean View Gets 26 Bids” (6-7-10)

“Sales of houses and condominiums in San Francisco jumped 50 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier and the median price rose 5.4 percent to $685,000, according to a multiple listings analysis by Terradatum Inc. House values will gain 7 percent this year, the biggest annual increase since a 9 percent advance in 2005, Rosen Consulting Group forecast last month.”

Orange County Register – “Local builders enjoying a revival” (6-7-10)

“Buyers signed contracts to purchase 523 new homes in Orange County during this year’s winter quarter. That’s the highest number of sales contracts for any quarter since the spring of 2008. Sales contracts saw the highest quarterly percentage gain in records dating back to 2007. New home contracts declined on a year-over-year basis in 10 of the past 13 quarters. They only increases were: Spring 2007, up 5.7 percent; fall 2009, up 6.2 percent; winter 2010, up 56.1 percent.”

Realty Times – “Real Estate Outlook: Positive Trends” (6-7-10)

“Last week’s pending home sales report from the National Association of Realtors illustrates the trend: Pending contracts jumped for the third straight month — up by six percent in April — and now stand 22 percent higher than the year before. Every region but one — the South — racked up sizable gains in transactions heading for settlement. Contracts in the Northeast were up by nearly 30 percent for the month. In the West, they rose nearly eight percent, and in the Midwest the gain was about four percent.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Freddie Mac predicted sales of new and existing homes might increase to an annual pace of 5.1 million. The number of Orange County property owners who disputed their taxes increased 23% from 2008 to 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/3/10

Thursday, June 3rd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Stats from Freddie Mac show the average rate for 30-year FRMs increased to 4.79 percent. Moody’s Investor Service reports commercial property values are down 42% from the peak in 2007. According to Trulia, many areas in the United States are now becoming cheaper to rent than own in. The US Department of Labor (DOL) received 10,000 fewer initial unemployment claims in the week ending May 29 than the previous week.

In The News:

Time - “The ‘Free Rent’ Approach: When Homeowners Just Stop Paying their Mortgages” (6-1-10)

“The average borrower in foreclosure has been delinquent for 438 days before actually being evicted, up from 251 days in January 2008, according to LPS Applied Analytics”

Los Angeles Times – “A foreclosure fix” (6-2-10)

“Banks foreclosed on almost 200,000 homes in California last year, and this year’s toll is expected to be even higher. State lawmakers have tried to encourage banks to do more loan modifications that help both sides, keeping borrowers in their homes while cutting lenders’ losses. Yet homeowner advocates say a serious problem remains. Overwhelmed and disorganized, lenders continue to foreclose on borrowers who are in the process of negotiating new loan terms. At a time when the market is flooded with repossessed properties, that’s just inexcusable.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Refinance Applications Increase Slightly, Purchase Applications Decline Further in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (6-2-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 28, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 0.3 percent compared with the previous week.”

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Surge Continuing” (6-2-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, rose 6.0 percent to 110.9 based on contracts signed in April, from an upwardly revised 104.6 in March, and is 22.4 percent higher than April 2009 when it was 90.6. That follows gains of 7.1 percent in March and 8.3 percent in February.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. buyers grab 56% more new homes” (6-2-10)

“Buyers signed contracts to purchase 523 new homes in Orange County during this year’s winter quarter. That’s the highest number of sales contracts for any quarter since the spring of 2008.”

Orange County Register – “Realtors fight to expand loan protections” (6-2-10)

“At issue is a proposal that would forbid lenders from seeking unpaid portions of a refinanced mortgage after a home goes through foreclosure. Currently lenders can’t do that if the loan was issued at the time the home was purchased. In a law dating to the 1930s, the homeowner’s liability is limited to the amount the lender recovers from the property at a foreclosure sale — even if that’s less than the amount owed.”

Orange County Register – “Really? Problem banks list grows to 775″ (6-2-10)

“BAD DEBT: The FDIC’s confidential list of ‘problem’ banks grew to 775 in the first quarter, with U.S. banks collapsing amid losses on residential and commercial real estate loans. EXTEND AND PRETEND: At least 25% of commercial real estate loans are doomed to foreclosure, experts in Arizona say. Another 50% could go either way.”

Mercury News – “Mortgage rates up from yearly lows, Freddie Mac says” (6-3-10)

“Rates on 30-year fixed mortgages ticked up this week from the lowest level of the year. Freddie Mac said Thursday that the average rate rose to 4.79 percent, up from 4.78 percent last week. A year ago, the rate averaged 5.29 percent.”

Wall Street Journal – “Looking for Lending” (6-3-10)

“Compared to peak prices in October 2007, commercial property values are down 42%, according to Moody’s Investors Service Inc. Price index reports compiled by Moody’s and Real Capital Analytics Inc. show that as of March 2010, the cost of industrial and office space fell 32% in the last two years. Retail space also plummeted 28%.”

Housing Wire – “REIT Activity Picks Up in 2010 After Five Year Doldrum” (6-3-10)

“In 2005, publicly traded US REITs completed 6,351 acquisitions and 2,812 dispositions, compared to 360 acquisitions and 994 dispositions in 2009. The largest decrease in acquisitions was in the retail/other sector, which declined from 1,720 in 2005 to 65 in 2009, a decrease of 96.2%. The healthcare also saw a deep decline. In that sector, there were 103 acquisitions in 2009, compared to 402 in 2005, a drop of 74.4%.”

Housing Wire – “In Some Cities, Trulia Finds It’s Now Cheaper to Rent than Own” (6-3-10)

“The top areas where house prices worked out to be more expensive than renting were New York, Seattle, Portland, and San Francisco. Omaha, Neb., Oklahoma City, Okla., and Kansas City, Mo. also cracked the top-10 list.”

Housing Wire – “Jobless Claims Ease Ahead of May Unemployment Data” (6-3-10)

“The US Department of Labor (DOL) received 10,000 fewer initial unemployment claims in the week ending May 29 than the previous week, on a seasonally adjusted basis. The news of fewer initial claims arrives a day ahead of officially updated unemployment rate figures. Economists anticipate the fragile recovery added 55,000 jobs to private sector employment and 700,000 to total non-farm payrolls in May.”

Housing Wire – “May House Prices Show Highest Increase Since 2006″ (6-3-10)

“House prices climbed 6.8% in May 2010 from last year, the largest yearly increase since July 2006, according to a report from real estate data provider Clear Capital. In June 2009, Clear Capital reported a 19.3% drop in May house prices, a ‘far cry’ from the increase shown in this report a year later, said Alex Villacorta, senior statistician at Clear Capital. The rolling quarter-over-quarter number, which measures houses prices against those three months ago showed a 1.8% decline, an improvement from the 5% drop in April.”

Housing Wire – “Delayed Mortgage Liquidation Hikes Risk of RMBS Write-Downs” (6-3-10)

“The back-loading of defaults draws out liquidation timelines, impacting the expected losses to senior tranches of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), according to Toronto-based credit rating agency DBRS. And in some cases, this raises the occurrence of write-downs by one-third, or 33%. Distressed loans move from 30 to 60 to 90-days delinquent and then follow the foreclosure timeline set forth in the appropriate state before entering REO status. Following this process, loans are liquidated from the RMBS trust.”

Housing Wire – “California Set to Vote on Foreclosure Mediation Bill” (6-3-10)

“Assembly Bill 1639 was introduced by a trio of Democratic members of the assemby — Pedro Nava (Santa Barbra), Ted Lieu (Torrance) and speaker emeritus Karen Bass (Los Angeles). If passed, the bill would establish the Facilitated Mortgage Workout (FMW) program. Through it, lenders are required to meet with borrowers to develop a modification plan before foreclosure. The loan must have originated before Jan. 1, 2009, and the home must be occupied by the borrower as a principal residence. The principal balance on the mortgage cannot exceed $729,750.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, MBA statistics showed that mortgage application volume decreased by 16 percent within one week. J.P. Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and American Express owed the government $38.4 billion. The FHA loan limit was raised to nearly $730,000 in Orange County, and was accepting 3.5% down on purchases.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/10/10

Monday, May 10th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Fannie Mae is asking for $8.4 billion in government aid. According to Fitch Ratings, Serious delinquencies among US Alt-A residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) declined in April. First American CoreLogic reports that underwater mortgages and borrowers with less than 5% home equity accounted for 28% of all residential properties. Statistics from Zillow show more than a fifth of U.S. mortgage holders owed more than their homes were worth in the first quarter.

Looking Back:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Study: Americans Will Be Permanently Impacted by Recent Recession” (5-10-10)

“The historically slow recovery of the economy and lack of substantial job growth could cause negative, lasting effects on the current young generation and force many retirement age individuals to remain in the workforce, according to a study released today by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). The impact of a higher unemployment rate for Americans aged 16 – 24 could have a lasting effect on lifetime earnings and attitudes toward risk and social policies. In addition, those nearing retirement are delaying retirement and reentering the labor force in an effort to rebuild some of the retirement wealth that was wiped out by the recession.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Fannie Mae seeks $8.4B in aid after 1Q loss” (5-10-10)

“Fannie Mae has again asked taxpayers for more money — this time $8.4 billion — after reporting another steep loss for the first quarter. The taxpayer bill for rescuing Fannie and its sibling Freddie Mac has grown to $145 billion — and the final tally could be much higher.”

Housing Wire – “Alt-A RMBS Delinquencies Post First Decline in 4 Years” (5-10-10)

“Serious delinquencies among US Alt-A residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) declined in April for the first time in four years, according to the latest data from Fitch Ratings. Subprime RMBS delinquencies fell in the second straight month, and prime RMBS delinquencies rose slightly.”

Housing Wire – “Underwater Mortgages Stabilized in First Quarter: CoreLogic” (5-10-10)

“The number of borrowers with negative equity declined slightly in Q110, but underwater mortgages and borrowers with less than 5% home equity accounted for 28% of all residential properties, according to the latest data from CoreLogic. More than 11.2m, about 24% of all residential properties with mortgages were in negative equity at the end of Q110. That’s down slightly from 11.3m, or 24%, Q409. The state with the highest rate of negative equity mortgages continues to be Nevada, where 70% of all properties are underwater, followed by Arizona (51%), Florida (48%), Michigan (39%) and California (34%).”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (5-10-10)

“Regulators closed four banks, bringing the running 2010 total to 68 failed banks so far. The closures, located in Arizona, California, Florida and Minnesota, are expected to cost the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) a total $213.7m. Last week, regulators shut down seven banks at a cost of more than $7.33bn.”

Bloomberg - “Cemex, Vulcan Call Turn in Construction as Sales Rise” (5-10-10)

“A four-year slump in construction may be nearing an end, with the biggest U.S. building-material makers reporting higher monthly sales that have yet to spread industrywide. Cemex SAB, the largest U.S. cement producer, and Vulcan Materials Co., the top gravel supplier, just reported monthly volume increases for March and April, their first since 2006. The results exceeded estimates and may lead the Portland Cement Association, a trade organization that represents U.S. and Canadian companies, to increase its growth forecast this year, said Ed Sullivan, its chief economist.”

Bloomberg - “Fed Hinting on Mortgage-Bond Sales Brings Bernanke Tightening” (5-10-10)

“Words may speak louder than actions for Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke when the time comes to outline plans to raise interest rates and shrink the central bank’s balance sheet. Altering a pledge to keep short-term borrowing costs low or articulating plans to begin selling the $1.1 trillion in mortgage-backed securities it now holds will amount to a tightening of monetary policy because the announcements will send bond yields higher, raising borrowing costs, said Mitch Stapley, chief fixed-income officer at Fifth Third Asset Management in Grand Rapids, Michigan.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Holders Owing More Than Homes Are Worth Rise to 23%” (5-10-10)

“More than a fifth of U.S. mortgage holders owed more than their homes were worth in the first quarter as repossessions climbed to a record, according to Zillow.com. Twenty-three percent of owners of mortgaged homes were underwater during the period, up from 21 percent in the previous three months, the Seattle-based property data provider said today in a report. More than one in 1,000 homes were repossessed by lenders in March, the highest rate in Zillow data dating back to 2000.”

Looking Back:

One year ago,Campbell Communications reported only 23 percent of short sale transactions were being completed. Obama proposed making the Federal Reserve serve as a finance supercop.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/27/10

Tuesday, April 27th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The S&P Index shows home prices increased in February. Speculators believe the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates at the current low. The LexisNexis Mortgage Asset Research Institute reports that fraud increased by 7 percent last year. According to the FHFA, the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) of $417,000 or less was 5.09% this month.

In The News:

Business Week – “Home price index shows 1st annual gain in 3 years” (4-27-10)

“Home prices in February posted their first annual increase since the end of 2006, pumped up by a temporary tax credits for homebuyers. The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home price index released Tuesday eked out a 0.6 percent gain, half the increase analysts had expected. And on a more cautionary note, 11 of the 20 cities tracked by the index showed declines from February last year.”

The Press Enterprise – “Fed expected to keep rates at record lows” (4-27-10)

“Confidence is growing that the economic rebound will strengthen. And to make sure it does, the Federal Reserve is considered certain to hold interest rates at record lows when it meets this week. ”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Mortgage fraud incidents rise 7 pct last year” (4-27-10)

“Incidents of residential mortgage fraud increased last year, a sign that scammers are still targeting the industry despite more diligent efforts to find and report such activity. The number of mortgage fraud reports among loans made in 2009 grew 7 percent, a smaller increase than the 26 percent jump seen the previous year, according to a study released Monday by the LexisNexis Mortgage Asset Research Institute.”

Housing Wire – “State HFAs Submit Proposals to Spend $1.5bn Hardest Hit Fund” (4-27-10)

“Three of the five state Housing Finance Agencies (HFAs) receiving $1.5bn from the Treasury Department through the Hardest Hit Fund released proposals on how they would spend the money. In March, the Treasury cleared the HFAs of states where house prices dropped 20% from the peak to submit proposals to use the funds from the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP).”

Housing Wire – “FHFA Sees Interest Rates Dip, Hover Around 5% in March” (4-27-10)

“The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) of $417,000 or less was 5.09%, down from 5.13% one month ago. The average rate for a 15-year FRM of $417,000 or less was 4.57%, down from 4.65%. The FHFA measured interest rates on loans that closed between March 25 and 31. Since the rate is typically determined 30 to 45 days prior to closing, the report depicts market conditions prevailing in mid- to late-February, the FHFA said.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Extends REO Discount Deadline” (4-27-10)

“Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.21 -3.20%) extended its seller assistance incentive on all of its HomePath properties this week. In February, Fannie began providing a 3.5% discount to buyers of its REO properties listed as part of its HomePath division. The discount can be used for closing cost assistance or the buyer’s choice of appliances.”

Housing Wire – “Goldman’s Tourre Denies Misleading Investors in Subprime RMBS CDO” (4-27-10)

“An executive at embattled Goldman Sachs (GS: 153.04 +0.66%) denied before a Senate panel today that he misled investors in a synthetic collateralized debt obligation (CDO) tied to the performance of subprime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is charging investment bank Goldman and the executive director of its structured products group trading, Fabrice Tourre, for allegedly making misleading statements about the CDO transaction, ABACUS 2007-AC1.”

Bloomberg - “‘Tourists’ May Leave Real Estate as Rates Rise, Sternlicht Says” (4-27-10)

“If interest rates head higher, ‘you will see a pause that will take a lot of capital out,’ he said. Corporate bonds may benefit, according to Sternlicht. A rebound in the real estate market is being hampered by weak demand and commercial-mortgage-backed financing that declined 95 percent last year from its record level in 2007. Vacancies in the first quarter rose to the highest level since at least 2000 at the nation’s biggest malls, and climbed to a 16-year peak at office buildings, research firm Reis Inc. said earlier this month. “

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/7/10

Wednesday, April 7th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the MBA, 1.2 million households were lost from 2005 to 2008. Greenspan defended the fed’s lack of oversight in the subprime market claiming that consumer protection was a high priority at the time. A Fannie Mae survey shows 61 percent of homeowners and renters say the economy is on the wrong track. Fitch reports subprime RMBS delinquencies fell to 46.3% in March.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Wells Fargo Was Top U.S. Commercial/Multifamily Originator in 2009 According to MBA” (4-7-10)

“Wells Fargo Bank was the top commercial/multifamily originator in 2009, according to a set of listings released by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). Other originators in the top 10 include PNC Real Estate; Deutsche Bank Commercial Real Estate; CBRE Capital Markets, Inc.; HFF L.P.; Prudential Mortgage Capital Company; Meridian Capital Group; MetLife; Northmarq Capital LLC and Capmark Financial Group Inc.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA: An Estimated 1.2 Million Households Were Lost During Recession” (4-7-10)

“1.2 million households were lost from 2005 to 2008, despite the population increase of 3.4 million in the study area, as Americans experienced one of the deepest recessions in decades, according to a study released today by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). This decline in households is likely what contributed significantly to the excess supply of apartments and single family homes on the market.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Refinance Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (4-7-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 2, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 11.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 10.5 percent compared with the previous week.”

Los Angeles Times – “Greenspan defends Fed’s handling of subprime mortgage market” (4-7-10)

“While admitting some mistakes, Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan on Wednesday defended the central bank’s much-criticized oversight of the subprime mortgage market, arguing that consumer protection was an important priority and that it did not make sense to outlaw all such loans. Greenspan also warned the federal commission examining the origins of the financial crisis that government regulators couldn’t prevent crises, arguing that ‘fallible human regulators’ had a ‘woeful record’ of predicting the next market pitfalls. The best prevention would come from increasing federal requirements on financial institutions to hold more capital and collateral to carry them through crises.”

Inman - “Survey: Homeownership to get tougher” (4-7-10)

“About 61 percent of homeowners and renters say the economy is on the wrong track, according to the results of a housing survey conducted for Fannie Mae, and about 60 percent of respondents said it is more difficult for them to secure a home loan than for their parents’ generation. An earlier survey, conducted in December 2003, found that 43 percent of respondents believed that the economy was on the wrong track at that time, and 49 percent said it was more difficult to secure a loan at that time than it was in their parents’ generation.”

Housing Wire – “Goldman Sachs Denies Betting Against Clients on RMBS Investments” (4-7-10)

“Subprime RMBS performance ended its four-year free fall this month, and Goldman Sachs (GS: 176.36 +2.00%) is denying it made billions betting against those investments and its clients. In 2009, Goldman generated a net revenue of $45.17bn, up from the $22.2bn gain in 2008 and back to the $45.9bn level in 2007, according to is 2009 annual report. The gains came even as Goldman repaid the $10bn bailout from the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) Capital Purchase Program in June 2009.”

Housing Wire – “Former Lender Tells Congressional Committee: Lax Underwriting Fueled Subprime Mortgage Crisis” (4-7-10)

“As he testified today to the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC), the fragmented subprime mortgage market began loosening underwriting standards to such an extent that eventually a letter from a borrower’s mother sufficed as proof of rental history. Lax underwriting and ineffective risk management led to the current mortgage crisis, he said. He noted that, if a lender offers a high-risk product and profit margins continue to drop, one of two things must happen: The lender either increases interest rates or tightens underwriting guidelines to compensate for the reduced margin and subsequent risk.”

Housing Wire – “Subprime RMBS Delinquencies Fall for First Time in Four Years: Fitch” (4-7-10)

“According to the credit rating agency Fitch, subprime RMBS delinquencies fell to 46.3% in March from 46.9% in February, the first decline in nearly four years. However, it did stay above the 39.8% level of a year ago. Subprime delinquencies rose for 44 straight months from its 6.2% low-point in June 2006. Vincent Barberio, managing director at Fitch, warned against calling an end to the woes.”

Bloomberg - “Trulia Adds Rental Listings Following Drop in U.S. Home Values” (4-7-10)

“Trulia Inc., the San Francisco-based provider of home-sales information, said it will begin listing U.S. apartment rentals as high unemployment and a rise in foreclosures lead many people to lease rather than buy. Trulia today will add more than 1 million rentals to its Web site alongside the 3.5 million homes for sale already listed, the company said in a statement. Users will be able to compare the costs of renting and buying, as well as rate neighborhoods on parking, cleanliness, public transportation and safety, Trulia said.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/19/10

Friday, March 19th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the Labor Department, 19 cities in California have unemployment rates above 15 percent. CBIA reports the construction employment rate reached 27.1 percent in February. 113 servicers provided 170,000 permanent modifications in February. Statistics from 10 populated U.S. cities show that listing prices decreased by 1.3 percent last month.

In The News:

CNN - “35 cities suffer unemployment above 15%” (3-19-10)

“In fact, there were 35 metropolitan areas with unemployment rates at or above 15% in January. California and Michigan remain the hardest hit, with 19 cities in California showing rates above 15%, according to the Labor Department. Michigan logged the next highest number, with 6.”

CBIA - “Job Losses Continue to Mount in Construction Industry” (3-19-10)

“The construction unemployment rate reached 27.1 percent in February, a 14-year high as another 64,000 workers lost jobs during the month, according to federal employment figures. The large job losses in construction kept the nation as a whole from gaining jobs during the month. Most of the losses came in the nonresidential sector, with 53,500 losses during the month compared to 10,600 residential construction job losses.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Credit scores can drop after getting loan help” (3-19-10)

“For borrowers who are making their payments on time but are on the verge of default, the Obama administration’s loan modification program can reduce their credit score as much as 100 points. That makes it harder to get a loan and can present a problem when applying for a new job. Housing counselors say it’s unfair, especially because the news often comes as a surprise to homeowners.”

Housing Wire – “FDIC Prepares $653m in RMBS Notes from Failed Bank” (3-19-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) is preparing a $653m structured financing offering, its third such platform, from assets seized from the failed Delaware-based Franklin Bank. The notes, which will carry an FDIC guaranty, are backed by prime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), DebtWire reports. The deal is part of the Structured Sale Guaranteed Notes 2010 platform. It follows the pricing of $1.81bn of notes backed by 103 non-agency RMBS. The RMBS are collateralized by 5,101 mortgages (primarily performing) and some REOs with a total unpaid balance of $1.2trn, according to the pre-sale report.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Requires Servicers to Offer Alternative for Failed HAMP Modifications” (3-19-10)

“The US Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. Through February, the 113 servicers provided 170,000 permanent modifications and placed more than 1m borrowers into the three-month trial modification. Though, Treasury officials admit the program is not for everyone.”

Housing Wire – “Moody’s Hikes Expected Losses for Second Lien, Subprime and HELOC RMBS” (3-19-10)

“Moody’s Investors Service revised its loss projections for 2005-2007 second lien, subprime and HELOC-based US residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS). Moody’s now expects cumulative losses to average approximately 25-55% of outstanding balance for non-subprime closed-end second (CES) pools, 70-85% for subprime CES pools and 40-50% for home equity line of credit (HELOC) pools. The revisions represent more than a 50% increase for expected cumulative losses on non-subprime CES, and nearly a 20% relative increase for subprime CES and HELOC pools.”

Housing Wire – “Home Prices Still Falling as Houses Continue to Sit on the Market: Altos” (3-19-10)

“The median home listing price declined 1.3% in the Altos Research 10-city composite, continuing a seven-month-long run of declining list prices in February. And even though the listing time is generally decreasing, for-sale houses still tend to go unsold for the first 100 days. The 10-city home price composite index was $479,781 in February 2010, up from the January 2009 bottom of $470,017, but down 5.75% from last year’s peak of $509,030 in July. All of the 26 markets Altos Research studies experienced a month-over-month listing price decrease, ranging from a the smallest, a 0.2% decline in Miami, to a 4.4% decrease in San Francisco.”

Housing Wire – “Congress Told HAMP Will Cost $53bn Less than Expected” (3-19-10)

“The US Treasury Department initially planned to spend $75bn on the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), but in a recent report to Congress, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projected the Treasury will spend a total $22bn on the program. This figure represents total expenditures from day one of HAMP until the program expires in 2012.”

Bloomberg - “Yale Cuts Hedge Funds to Hold More Private Equity, Real Assets” (3-19-10)

“Yale University, whose endowment is the top performer in the U.S., is cutting its target allocations in hedge funds to allow for bigger stakes in private equity and real estate, the asset classes that hurt the fund last year. Yale boosted the fund’s private equity target to 26 percent from 21 percent and its real assets allocation, which includes real estate and commodities, to 37 percent from 29 percent, at its June 2009 investment committee meeting, according to a report released yesterday. The report said Yale, in New Haven, Connecticut, anticipated capital gains in those asset classes.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, 5,032 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in the Bay Area within a month. The interest rate for 30-year FRMs dropped to 4.98 percent. The FHA reported an increase in loan defaults.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/12/10

Friday, March 12th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The FDIC sold $1.8bn of residential mortgage-backed securities. The Federal Reserve bought a total of $10bn worth of mbs. More than 25 percent of the home owners who received trial modifications have been removed from Obama’s program. Approximately 462,000 new unemployment claims were made last week.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “FDIC Details $1.8bn Structured Financing Transaction” (3-12-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) today closed on a sale of notes backed by residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) from seven failed bank receiverships. The news of the closing, summarized in an FDIC press release today, marks the first official release of information on $1.8bn of structured notes that roadshowed and priced in recent weeks.”

Housing Wire – “BofA Makes 21,000 HAMP Modifications Permanent” (3-12-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 16.985 -0.79%) reported 21,000 permanent modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) through February. The US Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. BofA faced industry criticism for reporting 98 permanent modifications through November 2009.”

Housing Wire – “Fed MBS Purchases 98% Complete with Another $10bn” (3-12-10)

“The New York Federal Reserve Bank bought another $10bn of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the week ending March 10 as the $1.25trn program, now 98% complete, winds down to a close. The Fed bought $29.4bn gross of MBS — $4.4bn Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.2801 -1.53%) MBS, $25bn Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.0701 -2.72%) MBS, and no Ginnie Mae MBS. After reporting $19.4bn of MBS sales through the same week, the Fed’s net purchases came to $10bn, level with last week’s agency MBS buys.”

Bloomberg - “More Than 250,000 Borrowers Dropped From U.S. Modification Plan” (3-12-10)

“More than 250,000 of the 1 million borrowers who have received trial loan modifications through the Obama administration’s chief foreclosure prevention plan have either dropped out or been removed from the program through February, the Treasury Department said.”

Inman - “Credit Starvation Fallout” (3-12-10)

“Overall retail sales have risen 6 percent since the pit one year ago, but are still 6.5 percent below 2008. New unemployment claims are still elevated, running 462,000 last week.”

Inman - “NAR: Don’t rein in FHA” (3-12-10)

“FHA insured nearly 30 percent of purchase loans in 2009, including more than half of mortgages taken out by first-time homeowners, and NAR also wants lawmakers to make temporary increases in FHA loan limits in costly housing markets permanent. But rising claims have eroded FHA’s capital reserves below statutory limits, forcing the program’s administrators to tighten underwriting requirements and raise upfront mortgage insurance premiums.”

Orange County Register – “85,000 O.C. real estate jobs gone” (3-12-10)

“In January, Orange County real estate and finance bosses employed 199,200 workers, 24,600 below 2009 levels and 85,100 less than the recent cycle’s peak, by the state Employment Development Dept.’s freshly revised math.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported that commercial and residential mortgage delinquencies increased during the 4th quarter of 2008. Riverside and San Bernardino County were ranked as the 6th highest foreclosure market. U.S. foreclosures increased by 30 percent in one month. Freddie Mac’s statistics showed that 30-year mortgage rates decreased to 5.03 percent.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/11/10

Thursday, March 11th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the MBA, the delinquency rate for CMBS increased by 1.63 percent during the last half of 2009. Statistics from RealtyTrac show that 2 percent fewer homes entered the foreclosure process in February. Nineteen percent of home listings experienced a price reduction since March 1st.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Report Shows Economic Fallout Continues to Impact Commercial Real Estate Markets/Delinquencies in 4th Quarter 2009″ (3-11-10)

“Between the third and fourth quarters, the 30+ day delinquency rate on loans held in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) rose 1.63 percentage points to 5.69 percent. The 60+ day delinquency rate on loans held in life company portfolios decreased 0.04 percentage points to 0.19 percent. The 60+ day delinquency rate on multifamily loans held or insured by Fannie Mae rose 0.01 percentage points to 0.63 percent. The 90+ day delinquency rate on multifamily loans held or insured by Freddie Mac increased 0.04 percentage points to 0.15 percent. The 90+day delinquency rate on loans held by FDIC-insured banks and thrifts rose 0.49 percentage points to 3.92 percent.”

LA Times – “Fewer homes enter foreclosure process in February” (3-11-10)

“The number of homes caught up in some stage of the foreclosure process in February fell 2% from the previous month to 308,524, a real estate firm will report Thursday. That number is up 6% compared with the same month a year earlier but marked the smallest year-over-year increase since January 2006, according to RealtyTrac Inc.”

Housing Wire – “Sellers Cut Fewer Listing Prices as Home Price Declines Slow” (3-11-10)

“Fewer US homes for sale experienced listing price reductions this month, according to online real estate market Trulia.com. It’s further indication of a leveling out in listing price declines amid government stimulus to buy homes. A new low of 19% of listings currently on the market experienced a price cut as of March 1, 2010, based on Trulia’s database of live listings. Sellers slashed $21.6bn off of listing prices.”

Housing Wire – “COP Cites Missed Opportunities in Federal Bailout of GMAC” (3-11-10)

“GMAC, once the credit arm of General Motors and now the 14th largest bank holding company in the US, could have been placed into bankruptcy and its costly subsidiary operations wound-down, the Panel said.”

Housing Wire – “FDIC Pricing Second Round of ABS” (3-11-10)

“The second round of structured financed notes being issued by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) is being priced today. The news comes after the successful launch of the FDIC project to use structured finance as a way to profit from the certain assets of failed banks. It is believed the FDIC is cherry-picking the best performing loans to sell to investors as asset-backed securities (ABS).”

Housing Wire – “Jumbo RMBS Delinquencies Nearing Third Year of Rises” (3-11-10)

“The prime jumbo mortgage market, especially in California and Florida, continues to deteriorate in the residential-mortgage backed securities (RMBS) space, posting rising 60-day or more delinquencies for the 33rd consecutive month, according to Fitch Ratings. And to jumbo market players, the trend is expected to continue for some time.”

Housing Wire – “Weekly Mortgage Rates Dip Again” (3-11-10)

“Freddie Mac’s (FRE: 1.30 -0.76%) weekly survey put the average rate for a 30-year FRM at 4.95% with an average 0.7 origination point for the week ending March 11, down from the previous week when it was 4.97%. A year ago, Freddie’s survey averaged 5.03%.”

Housing Wire – “Storm Brews Over Short Sale Valuations as the Mortgage Market Prepares for HAFA” (3-11-10)

“A storm is brewing between appraisers and broker price opinion (BPO) professionals vying for valuation work for short sales conducted through the Making Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) program. The Appraisal Institute — a trade group that represents appraisers — released a public letter it wrote to Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner on Tuesday, calling for an end of the practice of using BPOs for Making Home Affordable modifications and refinancings, as well as amending the rules for the upcoming HAFA program to require appraisals to determine value for government-incentivized short sales.”

Bloomberg - “REIT Chief Executives See Strengthening Market for Asset Sales” (3-11-10)

“Investors with abundant cash and few deals to chase are driving up commercial property prices, real estate chief executive officers said today.”

Bloomberg - “Apartment Vacancy Rates in U.S. to Decline in 2010, CBRE Says” (3-11-10)

“Apartment vacancies in the U.S., which reached a record high of 7.4 percent in 2009, will fall this year as job losses stabilize and fewer new rental homes enter the market, CB Richard Ellis Group Inc. said. The vacancy rate will decline to 6.8 percent in 2010, the property broker said in a report today. Effective rents, or what tenants pay after concessions, will end the year less than 1 percent down from the fourth quarter of 2009. Rents fell 4.7 percent in the final quarter of last year from a year earlier. “

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