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California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘rent’

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/29/11

Friday, April 29th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Commerce Department reports personal incomes increased 0.5% in March. Freddie Mac said 30 year mortgage rates dropped to 4.78% last week. Orange County apartment rents rose 1.6% in the first quarter.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times - “Consumer spending, income both rise in March” (4-29-11)

“Personal incomes rose 0.5% last month and consumer spending increased 0.6%, the Commerce Department reported Friday. But after adjusting for inflation, spending rose only 0.2% and after-tax incomes were essentially flat.”

Inman - “Money madness: the economy’s new gold standard” (4-29-11)

“Before rounding them up, a moment for the economy: inbound data are on the weak side. First-quarter U.S. gross domestic product, expected everywhere (until March) to be in excess of 4 percent growth, maybe 5 percent, arrived at 1.8 percent. Net of distortions, probably closer to 2.5 percent, but not going anywhere — certainly not fast enough to absorb labor or houses. Orders for durable goods did rise 1.2 percent in March, with manufacturing continuing as the one bright spot.”

Realty Times“Mortgage Rates Fall With Latest Economic and Housing Reports” (4-29-11)

“Freddie Mac today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), which shows mortgage rates falling for the second consecutive week. The 30-year fixed-rate stands at 4.78 percent; the 15-year fixed at 3.97 percent, the lowest since December 9, 2010.”

Realty Times“Reasons For Qualifying the Buyer” (4-29-11)

“too many Agents err in judgment by working with lower probability prospects than they should. We often are more willing to work with lower probability prospects because they are all we currently have. We work them in hopes that their motivation, time frame, commitment level, and even financial qualifications will change. This investment in low probability prospects is at best, optimistic thinking and at worst, delusional.”

Orange County Register“Smaller O.C. apartments get bigger rent hikes” (4-29-11)

“Overall, average first quarter rents at large Orange County complexes ran $1,505 — up 1.6% from 2010′s average rent. If that trend holds, it would mark the first increase in local rents since 2008.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Freddie Mac claimed the average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages was 5.06 percent this week. Zillow estimated that home inventory will increase in the near future. The California Housing Finance Agency proposed a plan to spend $699.6m from the Hardest Hit Fund.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/18/11

Friday, March 18th, 2011

Sources:
Bay Area Housing Market Stuck In Neutral; Investors, Cash Buyers Active
California February Home Sales
Southland February Home Sales At 3-year Low; Investor Interest High
Foreclosure activity slows in February: ForeclosureRadar
California Foreclosure Losses in Billions, Lawmaker Wants Banks to Pay
Congressional Panel Report Says Foreclosure Mitigation “Largely Failed”
Internet whistle-blower e-mails show loose link to Bank of America
GSEs inflated subprime balloon before it popped: Cato Institute
A Red Flag on Reverse Mortgages
Young Home Buyers Will Lead Housing Market Recovery, Says NAHB

Today’s News Synopsis:

The SEC may charge top executives of Fannie and Freddie with violations related to the financial crisis. RCA claims commercial real estate defaults dropped to 4.28% in the 4th quarter. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports Southern California rents rose by 1.3% in February. According to Freddie Mac, 30 year mortgage rates fell to 4.76% this week.

In The News:

Washington Post“SEC moves to charge Fannie, Freddie execs” (3-18-11)

“The Securities and Exchange Commission is moving toward charging former and current Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac executives with violations related to the financial crisis, setting up a clash with the housing regulator that oversees the companies, according to sources familiar with the matter.”

Housing Wire“Bill would provide HUD grants for foreclosure mediation” (3-18-11)

“Under the bill, HUD would create a competitive grants program for state and local governments to provide mediation programs to assist homeowners facing foreclosure. It would refer homeowners to a pro-bono attorney or a HUD-certified counselor. It would also require mediation between the homeowner and the lender as soon as practicable after a foreclosure proceeding is filed. If the homeowner doesn’t show up for the mediation, the requirement for a mediation conference is deemed to be fulfilled, according to the bill.”

Housing Wire“CRE defaults fell for first time in four years in 4Q: RCA” (3-18-11)

“Commercial real estate defaults fell to 4.28% in the fourth quarter, down from 4.36%, according to RCA. The New York-based analytics firm also reported that defaulted loan balances fell to $45.8 billion after 17 consecutive quarterly increases.”

San Francisco Chronicle“Field Poll: Quality of life plunges in California” (3-18-11)

“The Golden State’s residents rated their quality of life at its lowest mark in almost 20 years, citing the economic downturn and stagnant personal finances, according to a joint UC Berkeley and Field Poll.”

Housing Wire“House Republicans introduce bill to reform Fannie, Freddie” (3-18-11)

“Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-Texas) re-introduced legislation late Thursday that would end the bailouts of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and end their conservatorship in two years.”

Housing Wire“Republican senators join fight to end HAMP” (3-18-11)

“Three Republicans submitted a bill in the U.S. Senate that would end the Home Affordable Modification Program, a companion to a bill that is scheduled for a vote in the GOP-controlled House of Representatives next week.”

Orange County Register“SoCal rents rise for 6th straight month” (3-18-11)

“Rents in Southern California — at least, as measured by the local version of the Consumer Price Index — were rising in February at a 1.3% annual rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That rise compares to an increase at a 1.1% annual rate in the previous month. It was the sixth consecutive month of year-over-year increases and the biggest jump since July 2009 when rents were rising at a 1.7% annual rate.”

Realty Times“30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage Drops Amid Japan Crisis” (3-18-11)

“Freddie Mac (OTC: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS), which shows the 30-year fixed-rate dropping to 4.76 percent while the 15-year fixed-rate hit its lowest rate at 3.97 percent since December 2010.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, statistics from MDA Dataquick showed that 4,987 homes and condos closed escrow within a month. Fannie Mae predicted the housing market would bounce back by the end of the year. Freddie Mac’s weekly survey showed that interest rates were at 4.96 percent, which was just .02 percent lower from the previous year. The MBA reported that commercial/multifamily mortgage debt decreased by 1.7 percent in the 4th quarter of 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/10/11

Thursday, March 10th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

RealtyTrac reports foreclosure notices decreased 14% in January. The House of Representatives voted to end FHA’s Short Refi program. According to a Zillow survey, 51% of Americans said the housing crisis has not affected their overall willingness to buy a home. The U.S. government posted the largest monthly deficit ever last month.

In The News:

USA Today“Foreclosure activity slows sharply in February” (3-10-11)

“Some 255,101 properties received at least one foreclosure-related notice in February, down 14% from January and down 27% from the same month last year, foreclosure listing firm RealtyTrac said Thursday.”

NAHB - “Optimistic Outlook for Multifamily Development, NAHB Indices Show” (3-10-11)

“The Multifamily Production Index (MPI), which tracks developer sentiment about new construction on a scale of 1 to 100, is at 40.8 –up more than 5 full points since the previous quarter and the highest number since the fourth quarter of 2006. The MPI component tracking developers’ perception of market-rate rental properties is at 51.7 – the first time this component of the index has been above 50 since the second quarter of 2007.”

Mercury News“Mortgage rates: Average on 30-year fixed loans ticks up to 4.88 percent” (3-10-11)

“Freddie Mac says the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage ticked up to 4.88 percent from 4.87 percent the previous week. It hit a 40-year low of 4.17 percent in November.”

Housing Wire“House votes to end FHA Short Refi” (3-10-11)

“The House of Representatives voted Thursday to terminate the Federal Housing Administration’s Short Refi program. The House Financial Services Committee cleared the bill, H.R. 830, last week. The House voted 256 to 171 to kill the program.”

Housing Wire“Zillow accommodates growing pool of renters” (3-10-11)

“Although 51% of survey respondents said the housing crisis has not affected their overall willingness to buy a home, 33% said they would be more likely to rent their next home than buy. In January, 30% of Americans surveyed said they would rent a home the next time around.”

Housing Wire“Securitization investors plan increased activity in 2011: survey” (3-10-11)

“Principia said 70% of investors and issuers said they plan to increase involvement in the ABS markets over the next year, with 50% expecting to ramp up activity in the next six months.”

Housing Wire“Jobless claims rose 7% last week to 397,000″ (3-10-11)

“Initial jobless claims rose 7% last week, moving away from the nearly three-year low of the prior week although remaining lower than 400,000 once again. The Labor Department said the seasonally adjusted figure of actual initial claims for the week ended March 5 increased by 26,000 to 397,000.”

Housing Wire“Mortgage modifications down 9% in January: Hope Now” (3-10-11)

“Mortgage servicers, investors and insurers participating in the Hope Now alliance completed 101,000 permanent modifications in January, down 9% from the month before. Of those that were completed, 73,000 were proprietary modifications, nearly three times the 27,957 done through the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program.”

Housing Wire“Two mortgage trade groups suing Fed over loan originator compensation” (3-10-11)

“The National Association of Independent Housing Professionals sued the Fed for its final rule on loan originator compensation and yield spread premium disclosure under Regulation Z. The NAIHP states the rule will put mortgage brokers ‘at a significant and a permanent competitive disadvantage and will stifle competition in the mortgage lending industry to the detriment of consumers.’”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Posts a Record $222.5 Billion Monthly Budget Shortfall” (3-10-11)

“The U.S. government, facing a record annual fiscal shortfall and a congressional impasse over financing, posted the largest monthly deficit ever in February, reflecting increased spending. The gap totaled $222.5 billion last month compared with a $220.9 billion shortfall in February 2010, according to the Treasury Department”

Bloomberg - “Home Remodeling to Rebound in U.S. as Rising Confidence Spurs Renovations” (3-10-11)

“Spending on remodeling probably will rise 9.2 percent to $125.1 billion in the first quarter from $114.6 billion a year earlier, according to Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. A 13 percent increase forecast for April through June would be the largest jump in five years, a report by the Cambridge, Massachusetts-based center shows.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported that mortgage loan application volume had increased by 0.5 percent. The percent of first-time buyers increased to 47 percent in 2009. FHFA was sued over attempts to secure records of political contributions from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. John Burns claimed that the real estate market was still in bad shape.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/1/11

Tuesday, February 1st, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Commerce Department said construction spending fell 2.5% from July. Fiserv forecasts a 5.5% decline in home prices this year. According to the Treasury Department, the re-default rate for the Making Home Affordable Program averaged 20.4% after 1 year. Marcus & Millichap expect Orange County rents to rise 4.5% this year.

In The News:

Bloomberg - “Construction Spending in U.S. Unexpectedly Fell to Decade Low” (2-1-11)

“The 2.5 percent drop was the biggest since July and brought the value of all projects down to a $787.9 billion annual rate, the lowest since July 2000, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. The median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg survey called for a 0.1 percent gain.”

Housing Wire“Fiserv sees housing prices stabilizing in most MSAs” (2-1-11)

“Fiserv Inc. (FISV: 63.03 +2.04%) expects home prices to decline 5.5% this year, but three-fourths of the 375 metro areas the company tracks will see prices stabilize by the end of the year with all markets stabilizing by the end of 2012. The company said 25% of all markets already show signs of prices leveling off, although the Fiserv Case-Shiller Indexes, which use data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency, still point to a slow recovery ‘with many false starts,’ especially in areas hit hard by foreclosures.”

Housing Wire“Rep. Issa wants explanation for Fannie, Freddie legal fees” (2-1-11)

“Last week, Rep. Randy Neugebauer (R-Texas) released the results of his investigation into the fees. Since entering conservatorship in September 2008, Fannie and Freddie have spent more than $160 million in legal fees, including $24 million in defense of former Fannie CEO Frank Raines ($7.9 million), former Chief Financial Officer Tim Howard ($4.5 million) and former Controller Leanne Spencer ($11.8 million), according to the data.”

Housing Wire“Senate committee considers foreclosure mediation program” (2-1-11)

“The Senate Committee on the Judiciary held a hearing Tuesday regarding possible legislation granting bankruptcy judges the power to require foreclosure mediation between banks and homeowners.”

Housing Wire“Rosenberg warns against boosting 1Q GDP estimates” (2-1-11)

“David Rosenberg, chief economist and strategist at Toronto-based Gluskin Sheff + Associates, said the high level of housing inventory with many cities facing backlogs between 13 and 15 months’ of supply also continues to hinder growth.”

Bloomberg - “One in Five Mortgages Default Again After Modification” (2-1-11)

“The re-default rate for the Making Home Affordable Program averaged 20.4 percent after 12 months, 15.9 percent after nine months, 10.7 percent after six months and 4.6 percent after three months, according to a report released today by the Treasury Department.”

Orange County Register“Forecast: O.C. rents to soar 4.5% in ’11″ (2-1-11)

“Orange County apartment tenants should brace themselves for the biggest rent hikes in three years, with landlords pocketing 4.5% more rent in 2011 than they did last year, a Los Angeles-based national real estate brokerage said forecast.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported there was a $1.45 trillion balance of outstanding mortgages held by non-bank investors. SIGTARP predicted a second housing bubble. Fannie Mae’s mortgage delinquency rate increased to 5.29% in November 2009. U.S. home construction spending decreased by 2.7 percent within a month.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/6/11

Thursday, January 6th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to Freddie Mac, rates on 30-year FRMs fell to 4.77% this week. Altos Research reports home prices fell 1.63% in December. Timothy Geithner requested from Congress to increase the national debt limit. The current debt limit is $14.29 trillion, and the nation’s current debt level is just $335 billion short of the limit.

In The News:

Research Institute for Housing America“A Study of Real Estate Markets in Declining Cities” (1-6-11)

“many places will likely resume growth and fully recover within the next decade or so. This is almost certainly not to be the case for all metropolitan areas. In fact, a number of large metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) experienced severe recessions during the latter half of the 20th century and prior to the Great Recession and never fully recovered or took many years to do so”

USA Today“30-year fixed mortgage rate dips to 4.77% average in latest week” (1-6-11)

“Freddie Mac says the average rate on 30-year mortgages dropped to 4.77% from 4.86% the previous week. It hit a 40-year low of 4.17% in November.”

Realty Times“Consequences of Defaults and Foreclosures” (1-6-11)

“One of the most startling impacts of a foreclosure appears on one’s credit report. Your credit score may plummet by 200 to 300 points. In this economic climate, where credit lending standards are already tightened, you may then find it difficult to do everything from buying a car to renting an apartment. What’s worse is that the notation of foreclosure stays on your report for up to seven years.”

Housing Wire“Altos: Home prices down 1.63% in December, new listings even lower” (1-6-11)

“Home prices fell 1.63% in December, but new listings are hitting the market well below that, according to analytics firm Altos Research. Prices fell in each of the 27 markets studied by Altos. Prices fell 4.77% in San Francisco — the steepest drop of any area, 3.71% in San Diego”

Housing Wire“Commercial mortgage modifications become huge trend in just two years” (1-6-11)

“Of all loan modifications in the commercial mortgage industry over the past decade, 96% occurred in the last years, according to Standard & Poor’s. The rating agency said 354 commercial real estate loans with a principal balance $15.6 billion were modified from January through November, up significantly from 216 loans valued at $7.06 billion for all of 2009.”

Housing Wire“DebtX November CRE loan volume down to 80.3%” (1-6-11)

“The decline in the value of commercial real estate loans in November was due primarily to an increase in Treasury rates”

Housing Wire“Geithner urges Congress to increase national debt limit” (1-6-11)

“Geithner wrote a letter to Congress Thursday requesting an increase in the federal debt limit. According to his numbers, the current debt limit set last February is $14.29 trillion. As of the writing of the letter, the outstanding debt subject to the limit standards is $13.95 trillion — just $335 billion shy of the maximum.”

Housing Wire“Equator’s Vella: Short sales set to swell 25% in 2011″ (1-6-11)

“With one in five borrowers underwater on their home and an estimated 1.5 million foreclosures scheduled for 2011, the opportunity for short sales will be better than ever. Investors usually see a 20% to 30% better execution on a short sale versus an REO sale when it comes to loss severity. With the foreclosure volume, current and pending REO inventories, servicers will be pressed to do more short sales in 2011.”

Housing Wire“New Fannie interactive Web tool provides foreclosure avoidance options” (1-6-11)

“Fannie Mae’s new WaysHome interactive multimedia tool walks homeowners through options if they are struggling to pay the mortgage — even allowing them to select a character and be a part of an interactive video.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, California Governor Schwarzenegger announced a new home buyer tax credit. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications had increased by .4 percent from Christmas. The FOMC confirmed plans to buy $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed-securities from Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae. Eugene Ludwig believed that commercial real estate losses would break historical records in 2010.

For m ore information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

207-TNG Radio – Norris Group 1-1-11

Friday, December 31st, 2010

Greg Norris

(Full Bio)

 

Craig Hill

(Full Bio)

The Norris Group

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This week Bruce is joined by Greg Norris and Craig Hill. Greg is the vice president of TNG Auctions. He buys properties and resells them. Craig has been working with Bruce for 15 years, and is responsible for speaking to all potential borrowers for The Norris Group.  

Craig’s business was extremely busy during the first part of the year, but it became even busier toward the end as inventory decreased.  Inventory is down 75% for REO buyers.  

When Bruce and Craig first met, most of the business revolved around doing seconds for owner occupants in financial trouble. At this point, most of Craig’s business involves doing short term loans for investors who buy fixer properties and long term loans for investors who hold rental properties. This business works well for TNG, because banks do not want to loan money out to investors. Banks have stopped making common sense loans. The TNG hard money program allows investors to own property at 9.9% interest. These properties often cash flow well, and the monthly payment is often cheaper than rent.  

Greg has discovered that most homes found at trustee sales involve smaller rehabs, newer homes and bidder areas. Trustee sales have made Greg’s job simpler, because the best deals for REOs usually involve heavier REOs. Discounts on trustee sales are smaller than on REO sales, and trustee sales are much more competitive.  

The number of people who attend trustee sales depends on the amount of inventory and the kind of inventory. The largest number of people Greg has ever seen at a trustee sale is 50 to 70, but out of that group only about 8 to 10 were big investors.  

10 years ago, trustee sales did not involve drop-bids, people had equity, and the investors involved in the business had been doing it for a long time. In some ways, Greg thinks the changes that have occurred in the trustee sales have made it more difficult for individual investors, but in other ways, it has become easier. Some of the individual investors are using their own money, so they don’t have another investor they need to repay, and they do smaller volumes. Sometimes you cannot compete with those people, because they are doing their own rehabs and they only buy a few properties every year. Some of them will buy properties for $20,000 over what Greg would be willing to pay. Because those buyers have limited research ability, Greg prefers to simply wait for those buyers to leave.  

Greg’s typical day begins by doing research on properties with open bids, and other properties that may potentially drop into open bid. At 9AM, he attends the sales. After he attends the sales, he deals with real estate and repair contracts, and then prepares for the next day’s sales.  

TNG’s loan clients have an unmatched level of experience in the industry, and Craig truly appreciates this. Craig’s phone is nearly constantly ringing. Many people discover TNG’s program through the internet, referrals, and from Bruce’s many speeches. TNG has gained a lot of respect for being a Southern California only real estate business and for being in the investment business for a long time. The most rewarding referrals come from people who have heard about TNG from multiple people, and decide to talk to us out of curiosity. Sometimes investors in the field are referred to TNG from agents who tell the investors, “If you can get a preapproval letter from The Norris Group, I will accept the offer.” That speaks more than any referral, because it means people know that TNG only approves of deals that are closable.  

This year, Craig was surprised by how much volume picked up on long-term financing. There is a huge demand for this. Bruce believes TNG’s long term financing will perform at a very high level, because a lot of inventory will come out. This kind of financing will not work as often with an owner occupant as it will with an investor. A lot of rehabs and lower priced properties are turning into buy and holds, rather than flips. Craig believes it is challenging for investors to flip $100,000 to $150,000 homes in this market, because there are many investors willing to buy and hold. An investor who can buy and hold can probably pay more, because they will receive a cash flowing property that will give them a profit for 10 more years.  

Bruce believes the 203K FHA loan program will probably return next summer. The problem with that program is that it probably takes 45 days to fund it. That makes the loan hard to sell, because a deal can be closed much quicker than that. In some cases, TNG will do a deal in 7 days or less. The speed of the deal makes a big difference in an investor’s willingness to buy.  

The automation of TNG’s website has helped Craig tremendously, because it allows him to handle phone calls and it has automated TNG’s loan process. TNG’s loan business has doubled over the last 12 months, and the time to fund those loans has gone down.  

Greg only gets to see the inside of his potential property purchases about 5-10% of the time. Only 10-15% of those properties are unoccupied.  

Two of Greg’s employers, Joe and Kenneth, are responsible for going to every house, evaluating repairs, and talking to the owners to determine whether or not they are difficult to deal with. When Joe and Kenneth are not viewing houses, they are doing construction contracts.  

Guessing the cost of a rehab when you cannot see inside requires a lot of experience. Greg often guesses based on the age of the home. For example, a house built in the 80s will probably require more cabinets than a house in the 1990s or the 2000s. You can learn a lot more about this if you come to a TNG bootcamp.  

Realtors are very pleased with TNG homes, because they are in great condition and they are standard sales. Realtors get tired of wasting their time with REO and short sales. Also, TNG is easy to deal with so long as they do their job. Bruce Norris once attended a Realtor group meeting in which an agent stood up and said, “We wish The Norris Group would buy every REO in town, because of how they deal with properties, and how they turn out.”  

Finding a reliable contractor can be tough. TNG has improved its business because of the relationships it has built with contractors over an extended period of time. If you keep your rehabs consistent, then your rehabs will get easier for your contractors, and they will have your same mentality. When a contractor has done enough repetitive jobs with you, they can advise you on how to best rehab your properties based on previous jobs.  

It takes a while to build a good investment team, and your team doesn’t just involve your contractor; you need to have lenders and escrow partners. All those people will help you get to the finish line faster, and if you aren’t going to get to the finish line, then you will be notified sooner, so you don’t waste time on the market. Dishonest lenders do not want their deals to fall out, and will lie with the hope that some money might show up. Greg tries to make sure that he is working with a serious buyer by making them spend money to finish the deal.  

When Greg first started doing trustee sales, a lot of people were using all cash and conventional loans. A lot of people got fooled into feeling that they had to buy because of the government incentive. If they had waited 6 months, they would have gotten more than $10,000 back, because the market adjusted down. Right now, Greg is seeing a lot of VA and FHA offers, and very few conventional offers. Only 1 out of every 10 of Greg’s deals fall out. Greg does a good job of weeding out bad buyers before escrow. Bruce feels that Greg has made a wise decision to force potential buyers to put effort into the property before it goes to escrow.  

Every year or two, trends change in the loan business. In 2009, TNG dealt almost exclusively with REO. In 2010, we got more trustee sale buyer refinances. Those were people like Greg who would attend trustee sales, and then refinance to leverage the property. In the last six months, Craig has noticed an increase in people buying short sales. The short sale process is no longer a half year long process. Some short sales can be completed in less than 60 days. The bulk of TNG’s business is still REOs. This is probably due to the fact that TNG’s clients are experienced, and they have relationships with REO agents.  

Short sale agents do repetitive business with buyers they are comfortable with, so developing a relationship with an agent can lead to repetitive purchases. The nice thing about a short sale is that you get to see the inside of the property, title insurance, and it is less likely to be in bad condition.

206-TNG Radio – Jon R. Daurio 12-25-10

Friday, December 24th, 2010

Jon Daurio

John R. Daurio

Chairman of Kondaur Capital


 

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This week Bruce is joined by Jon R. Duario. Jon is the chairman and chief exective officer of Kondaur Capital. He founded Park Place Capital in 2001, and sold it to Ameriquest Mortgage Company in 2002. After the sale, the name of the business changed to Sprint Funding Corp, and Jon remained as president through May 2006. He received his Juris doctorate and Masters from UFC, and his BA Cum Laude from Harvard. He is also a fifth degree black belt in Tae Kwon Do.

This week Bruce is joined once again by Jon Daurio.  Mr. Daurio is currently the chairman and chief executive officer of Kondaur Capital.  Previously, Mr. Daurio co-founded Parkplace Capital in 2001, sold that business to Ameriquest Mortgage Company in ’02.  After the sale the name of the business was changed to Sprint Funding Corp.  John remained with Sprint as president, general counsel through May of 06.  John founded Encore Capital Corp., a national wholesale residential mortgage banker.  Mr. Daurio received his juris doctorate and masters from USC and his bachelor of arts degree cum laude from Harvard, and somehow in his spare time managed to get a fifth degree black belt in Tae Kwon Do.

Note pools most frequently involve a competitive bid situation, but not always. When a large pool of loans, or any pool of loans for that matter, is being sold, the seller typically will sell those loans.  Most analogous to what I think people would understand to be a sealed bid, although it’s not literally in a sealed envelope or anything like that, so it is a competitive bid situation.  Many of our sellers that we’ve dealt with repeatedly though will sell or deal with us on a negotiated trade basis, meaning that they’ll deal directly with us, and I believe they do that because we have proven ourselves over the last 3 and a half years that we’ve been in business and buying these loans to be if not the most competitive bidder meaning we’re paying the highest prices for these loans, at least the most experienced and, I’ll use the term easiest, purchaser to deal with because the purchase of these loans is not an easy procedure, and there’s tons of laws and issues that have to be addressed when a loan is purchased and servicing is transferred.

Its hard to imagine the infrastructure you have to have to do diligence on for a pool of loans, especially if it’s all over the country. That’s one of the reasons Daurio’s company has almost 500 employees and growing.

The way the market works, which is the majority, on a competitive basis, a pool of loans is given with information about the loans, the address of the house, the credit history of the borrower, the terms of the existing loan, the payment history, especially since I focus on non-performing loans, when the last payment was made, where those payments were made and you get what’s called an indicative bid.  We at Kondaur as well as others give an indicative bid stating, “If all of the information that you’ve provided to us is true, this is what our price would be.  However, we need to conduct a due diligence review of the loans in order to A. verify that the data that you’ve given us is true, and B. determine what other types of compensating factors or issues that could change what we offer for loans.  I will note that Kondaur Capital Corporation is unique and has a reputation as being the nation’s only true loan level bidder, meaning when we receive a pool of loans; let’s say 1,000 loans, we give 1,000 individual loan prices and allow the seller to cherry pick us. Bruce was surprised to hear this.

Many of Daurio’s competitors are surprised when Daurio explains to them which loans he doesn’t like out of a pool of 1,000. For example, I might say, “Okay, well I like your prices on these 820 loans, but I don’t like it on this 180 loans.”  Many of our competitors in that situation will say, “Well wait a second, we’ve gotta re-price because we assumed we were going to purchase all the loans.”  And that’s in essence the difference.  It’s that we do a meticulous, an extensive review of each individual loan to the point that each individual price stands on its own.  So in answer to your question, ‘How long does that take?’  Typically that takes us between two and three weeks to complete.

This is not for the purpose of getting the indicative bid. The indicative bid is something that we do on a macro basis or a modeling basis that would give a price.  And then the final price takes us about two or three weeks.

The value of a loan I would say is what a ready, willing and able buyer would pay for that loan, and because I am a ready, willing and able buyer, my purchase price is an accurate depiction of what the value of that loan is.  And in turning the value of that loan, we spend a tremendous amount of efforts analyzing both what the expected sale price would be of the home securing the loan assuming that we’re going to take title to the house as part of the resolution effort which we do approximately 75% of the time.  The (indistinguishable) majority by paying for a deed in lieu of foreclosure as opposed to foreclosing on the loan, as well as an analysis of what is the current credit situation of the borrower, which we determine with very little information available to us because during that bidding process we’re not allowed to contact the borrower.  We have to rely on existing servicing and collection notes and the origination file that might or might not be available.

For every 100 loans purchases, Kondaur eventually owns the house as an REO about 75% of the time. For the other 25% of loan purchases, Kondaur is selling the loan on a one-by-one basis or refinancing it.  With the available FHA programs, Kondaur could successfully do a refinance of the loan about 4% of the time.  About 1% of the time the borrower’s actually able to come up with funds to give me a short payoff where Kondaur will forgive a fairly significant amount of the principle balance but they’ll be able to pay me.  Or Kondaur will modify the note either by principle forgiveness and/or payment reduction, but in that situation Kondaur won’t hold it; it’ll still sell the note or it’ll sell it as is.

Kondaur sells 100% of the REOs that it takes title on, even after we’ve taken property back.  As Jon said in the past segment, when Kondaur takes title to a house as REO it is very, very quick if there are people still in the house to go through any of the cash for keys process.  Or, if the occupant won’t cooperate, an eviction process, and then Kondaur rehabilitates the property to put it in turn-key condition, meaning that whoever buys the house doesn’t have to put any money into the house in order to live in it, and then sell it.  Typically, Kondaur has a REO off the books within about 3 months.

There are some opportunities for investors willing to come in and pay at a lesser price and close these things in a week.  This prevents Daurio from taking the 3 month journey. But again, we don’t take cash because we have a need for liquidity.  I’m very, very fortunate in this sense that my company is very well capitalized.  We have access to well over a billion dollars of capital.  But the reason why we do it is I am very pessimistic on a national basis and especially in the Inland Empire as to home prices in 2011 and 2012.  So if there is an expected, which I think in the Inland Empire could be as high as another 1% per month decrease in the value of the homes.  If I get cash today, it’s better than trying to get under contract in 3 months.  This is a side note:  we, with rare exception, will ever accept a purchase offer where the close of escrow is beyond 30 days.

FHA has about 555,000 people 90 days late or more, and they only have 50,000 current REOs.  Daurio is interested in getting pools of loans that are able to be purchased from the Department of Housing and Urban Development.  He is currently dealing with members of HUD.  He is trying to figure out how we might be able to buy and/or service their loans.

Another thing that makes Kondaur Capital somewhat unique in this market, especially relative to other people that are buying these loans, is I require only two representations and warranties on behalf of the seller: that they own the loan, and that they can sell it.  Meaning that if they breech either of those representations or warranties; they didn’t own the loan or they didn’t have the ability to sell it, I can mandate under contract that they have to buy it back.  Things like title, what leans are on the property, I take upon myself the responsibility for determining that, and the way we determine it is rarely by a full-blown title insurance policy, but there’s a product that many of the title companies make available called an ownership and encumbrance, or ONE report, and that’s what we rely on for trying to determine what leans exist against the property or what the situation is with who really owns the property and how title is held.

We never buy a loan that’s in the MERS system.   One of the things that we require before we close on the purchase of any loans is that the loans are out of MERS before we purchase them. From the day I started the company and built it we wanted it out of MERS.  I won’t say I anticipated these kinds of issues, but I always want to try to minimize the number of parties that are involved and the resolution of the loan.  One of the reasons why we do very few short sales is because typically in a short sale the borrower’s going to vacate the house by selling it, and we’d rather just pay them for a deed in lieu of foreclosure and then sell the house ourselves.

Daurio has noticed some attitude changes of the occupants in the 3 years that he has been doing this. This is because of the media making borrowers more aware that owners of loans, like myself, would be willing to pay them for a deed in lieu of foreclosure despite the fact that they haven’t made payments for months or even years.  We’ve seen some people that are more amiable to take that because they didn’t even know it was available.  Then we have some borrowers that because of the publicity of issues on litigation with respect to issues like modifications or MERS or the robo-signer issues or things like that they’re holding out.  I guess there’s actually a third thing, and the third thing is that people are just making economic decisions that unlike what we offer at Kondaur Capital Corporation to a borrower to vacate, the borrowers are making economic decisions saying, “Okay, you’re willing to give me X dollars, but I could stay in my house rent-free for X number of months,” and the two don’t equate.  So therefore it’s economically better for them to remain in their house rent-free than it is to accept what so many of my competitors offer which is simply a nominal amount of money.

There are many failed loan modifications within these pools. Potentially half of the loans I buy today are failed modifications. Bruce is very surprised by this. Bruce doesn’t understand why a lender would choose the pool method of selling as opposed to making it one at a time.  He would think they would net more by doing this. Daurio thinks it’s more ignorance or purposeful sticking your head in the sand to avoid the issue.  Let’s recall that there is a separation of the owner of the loan and the servicer of the loan.  Many servicers of these loans are the same servicers that were granted the right to service these loans when these were performing loans and therefore the amount of money that the servicers are being paid to service the loans is woefully inadequate for the servicer to properly staff both in terms of quantity and quality of people.  Quite frankly these servicers aren’t staffed to be able to service these loans on a one-by-one basis; and the owner of the loans, even if they get smart enough to realize that this is an issue, is unwilling to pay the servicers to adequately staff.  This is not that bad of a decision because so many of the relationships are adversarial in the sense that a servicer typically makes money on servicing fees and therefore liquidating the loan is not in their best interest.  But it may be for the owner of the loan.  That’s why at Kondaur, we’re an owner servicer.  We do third-party service for some, but those are the entities that understand and we actually make our self obligated to take the route that is the best for the owner of the loan and not necessarily for us.  Daurio tries to align those interests in the contracts he has with them.

This round of foreclosures and not receiving payments is probably creating a lot more overhead for the servicers than they were anticipating. At Kondaur Capital Corporation, when we service with third party service, in our servicing agreements we really retain a tremendous amount of flexibility and authority to do what we think is best.  In fact, I have not taken on third party servicing assignments where the owner of the loan wants to inject their opinion.  In other words, they want to put a limit on how much I could offer for a cash for keys or for a deed in lieu of foreclosure based on things like a percentage of what the loan is worth or a percentage of what the house is worth or a percentage of the unpaid principle balance, all things which I think are irrelevant in determining how much should be offered to a borrower for cash for keys.  What should be offered to a borrower for cash for keys should be the subject of two analyses.  One, if the borrower were to make an economic decision and continue to live rent-free, what is that value relative to what is being offered?  And then secondly, what is the benefit to getting the house quickly, especially when you are like I am where you think housing prices are still going to depreciate fairly significantly in the upcoming months and years.

Bruce just did some research on not just the pricing of California in terms of what homes are selling for, but the cost per month. Cal Poly Pomona does a report and has for several decades, and twice a year they reappraise the same address in many different cities in California.  I went back to 1990 level pricing and compared it to 2010, and I’ll just pick Lancaster/Palmdale.  The actual price is -11% for that 20 year period, dollar for dollar, not inflation adjusted.  Interest rates were 10.2% in 1990, and interest rates now are say 4 and a half.  So you have a 55% discount on the cost of a loan and you have income that’s increased.   So it’s interesting that the market is so unwilling to buy a product that’s virtually on sale at an all-time level monthly.

Daurio agrees, but there are other situations in which, for an owner of a loan such as himself, getting ownership of that house can be faster and better.  It’s not just because he expects housing prices to continue to deteriorate, but also because rent-free borrowers in the house are not expending money on maintenance, and so there is an increased amount of what we call deferred maintenance, which is a great cost.  Thirdly, when we take title to a house by paying a borrower for a deed in lieu of foreclosure, the borrowers are not vindictive as we have heard borrowers have been in other foreclosures where they rip out the piping or cabinetry or plumbing or things like that.  Most of Kondaur’s borrowers, nobody happy about the fact that they’ve lost their home, but they feel like they’re definitely treated better and better off than with their previous servicer.

Bruce feels that is a good point, because somebody can do an awful lot of damage in a bad mood in one day, no doubt about that. Daurio considers this sort of property damage to be criminal. Bruce has found it very hard for anyone to acknowledge that this might be true.  We buy at the trustees sales, and we have sometimes people very blatantly doing things that were detrimental to the property.   You can call the police; you can even go to the extent of a lawsuit and it would be very tough to justify the activity just because it doesn’t seem like you have too many people on your side.

Daurio believes there will be some different occurrences in 2011 from 2010. He see more loans going to default. Also, he see more loss severities, because he believes housing prices will depreciate more in 2011 than 2010.

Kondaur Capital Corporation will begin purchasing commercial loans. Daurio started a subsidiary company called Kondaur Commercial; and it is going to both third-party service and purchase initially small balance commercial loans. By small balance he means 5 million or less.

Kondaur Capital has purchased quite a number of land loans.  It’s just not as large a market as one to four family or small balance commercial. Bruce thinks this would probably entail holding it at this point.  Daurio disagrees saying, “No actually, again, it’s all of a function of so many things in real estate:  you make money on the buy.  We buy land loans when we think we have an exit strategy that is profitable.”

For m ore information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

200-TNG Radio – Alvarez, Cantu, & Solis 11-13-10

Friday, November 12th, 2010

Tony Alvarez

Veteran Investor

(Full Bio)

Mike Cantu

Veteran Investor

(Full Bio)

Rick  Solis

Veteran Investor, Appraiser

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This week Bruce is joined by Mike Cantu, Rick Solis and Tony Alvarez. Mike Cantu has been an investor in the Inland Empire for over 25 years. He has been a builder, rehabber and property manager. Rick Solis appraises all of The Norris Group’s loans, and he is also an investor. Tony Alvarez has been an appraiser, residential and commercial property buyer and author. This is The Norris Group’s 200th radio show.

Bruce begins by asking Mike about what he learned from the 90s that helped in the most recent down turn. All things come full circle. A good market will eventually become a bad market. The down turn took longer this time, but it hit much harder. Sales dropped off the cliff, but fortunately, Mike began preparing for the down turn in 2004. Tony agrees with Mike.

During the evening of Obama’s election, a newsletter was put out, which was titled “Obama Administration Sings New Tune on Foreclosures”. The article is laughable. The media went from saying “no foreclosures” to “foreclosures are the answer to this problem”.

Rick began investing in 1989. He was not very active in the 90s. The main thing he learned from the 90s was that you can miss many opportunities when you ignore the market. A lot of people are afraid of the market right now, but Rick won’t let that fear control his investing plans.

Bruce believes that fear certainly is affecting the market now. People are afraid to buy properties despite the fact that prices have dropped 50% and interest rates are historically low. Its hard to believe that not buying could be perceived as a rational decision. Rick Solis has never seen a better time to buy houses since he began investing. Bruce definitely believes that it is the best time to buy and hold.

Tony just bought a completely rehabbed duplex. In 2007, it sold for $175,000, but he bought it for $35,000. The saddest part is that the duplex sold with multiple offers. The reason why so many people are afraid of buying is because they are paying too much attention to the media’s opinion.

Mike knows many investors, but only a small number of them are still investing. The number one problem that caused them to fall out of investing is their overly expensive life style. A lot of people learned how to make money in real estate, but not many people learned how to keep it. The investor pool has shrunken significantly. Many people would like to invest in real estate right now, but they made bad decisions at the top of the market, which handicapped them from buying. Mike agreed with Rick and Tony when they said that now is the time to buy.

Mike is a fairly frugal person. Bruce laughed when he saw Mike’s 1998 Toyota truck. It has 441,000 miles, but it runs like a champ. When a dog gets old, you don’t get rid of it, you just take better care of it. Mike has a hard time spending money on a vehicle when you can get a rental house for the cost of a new car. Every time Mike sets money aside for a new truck he ends up spending it to buy a new house, and he realizes that his truck is just fine.

Mike’s daughter recently began investing in real estate. Mike helped her develop a 5 year plan for buying cash flow houses in good neighborhoods. Their goal is to help her get $3,500 of cash flow per month, and they are half way there.

If Tony could have done anything differently throughout his career, he would have focused harder on one segment of the market place. He wishes he had been more aware of the value of his time. Tony spent a lot of time driving to deals that didn’t have much potential.

Tony prefers to buy and sell, but he currently owns 40 rentals. Before the peak, he had 100 homes. He wanted to get out before the peak, but Bruce encouraged him to not sell for another 3 years. Bruce’s advice helped Tony gain an extra $3 million in profit. Tony is now buying some of the same houses that he sold near the peak. In the past, Tony would buy almost any property he could. Some of the properties he bought and sold were in such a terrible condition that they have now been destroyed. He doesn’t buy properties that are that terrible any more, but he is still willing to buy wood structure homes and other properties that people tend to stray away from.

If Rick could have done anything differently in his career, he would have sold all his properties by 2006. Rick has accumulated quite a few properties, and he is glad to have them, but he is not looking forward to managing them.

Mike chose not to sell his properties despite the fact that values were sinking, and he does not regret that decision at all. Mike got into real estate for the cash flow, so that all his expenses would be taken care of. He knows people who are struggling right now and have to make a deal every month to keep food on the table. The value of his rental properties is immaterial to him. He has not had to reduce rents by any more than $50, and he has had no difficulty in keeping them occupied.

Mike was the person who introduced Tony to the concept of exchanged junky homes for quality rental homes. Exchanging for quality rental properties allows you to keep rentals in competitive areas, and it helps reduce the amount of time spent on property management.

Bruce has learned a lot from observing the business models of other people. When Mike told Bruce that he wanted to obtain 10 rental properties, Bruce decided to try and do the same. Having free and clear properties gives you sanity when making investment decisions. If you are playing catch up on equity, or if you are relying on today’s deals to pay tomorrow’s meals, you tend to make riskier decisions. Bruce and Mike don’t have to make potentially risky decisions because they both have enough cash flow to get by.

One of the big differences that Tony has noticed between 2010 and 2009 is that many investors have left his market. Also, approximately 80% of his purchases went from being new listings from agent calls to pending deals. Fifty percent of the deals occurring in Tony’s area fall out of escrow 1 to 3 times. This has caused Tony to become more cautious when buying. He has dropped his rents by 20% in the last 12 months. He has also lost some of his tenants.

Rick noticed that when the stimulus program was going on, entry level properties experienced up to a 10% increase in value. Moreno Valley and Corona had a big increase in activity. That 10% increase has now disappeared. Rick will not buy a house right now unless the deal can work as a rental. Many investors have recently bought homes they thought would easily resell, and they are now stuck with them. Bruce will not buy a home on leased land.

From the beginning of 2009 to the end, we went from a period of market uncertainty to confidence. In 2008, Mike decided not to do a retail deals unless he could keep those houses as rentals. Mike does not use any July comps any more; comps must be within the months of August, September and October. There is a 5 to 20% difference between homes being sold now and homes sold in July.

Mike believes there are still a lot of people who will not accept the fact that their home values have significantly decreased. A lot of the private market is still in denial.

Rick invests primarily in Rialto, Hesperia and Victorville. Rick and his business partner work with rehab properties. He rents his properties slightly below market value and they are in good shape, so he has a lot of demand. Many times he has a security deposit and a tenant lined up before he closes escrow. He does not have any trouble with rents dropping. His typical house is a 3 bedroom, 2 bath. He loves it when he can squeeze a 4th bedroom into the house by cutting the living room in half. He usually rents the 3 bedroom houses for $1,000, and the 4 bedroom houses for $1,100.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/29/10

Friday, October 29th, 2010

Sources:
California Housing Starts Post Decline in September, CBIA Announces
September Existing-Home Sales Show Another Strong Gain
Foreclosures increase in 65% of MSAs in 3Q: RealtyTrac
Commercial Property Prices in U.S. Decline to Eight-Year Low, Moody’s Says
California Mortgage Defaults Rise in Third Quarter
Banks `Want to Sit Down’ With States to Discuss Foreclosures
Wells Fargo Will File More Foreclosure Affidavits After Lapses
NYC Judge Foreclosure Smackdown Shows Problems With Bank “Technicalities” Defense
Title insurers seek to insulate themselves from foreclosure losses
Insurers Ease on Amnesty
FICO Mortgage Score

Today’s News Synopsis:

Fannie Mae intends to end the Payment Reduction Plan. McGraw-Hill Construction (MHP: 37.65 +0.32%) expects construction starts in 2011 to increase 8%. According to a survey from the Washinton Post, 1/3 of Americans are concerned about their ability to continue making their housing payments. The U.S. economy grew at a 2 percent annual rate in the 3rd quarter.

In The News:

Inman - “Most are worried about housing payments” (10-29-10)

“More than half of Americans are worried about not having enough money to pay their mortgage or rent, according to a survey from the Washington Post released today. A third of respondents were ‘very concerned’ about their ability to make housing payments, while a fifth were ‘somewhat concerned,’ adding up to 53 percent of respondents. This contrasts to the results of similar surveys the newspaper conducted in February 2009 and December 2008.”

San Francisco Chronicle“U.S. Economy Picked Up in Third Quarter on Consumer Spending” (10-29-10)

“The U.S. economy grew at a 2 percent annual rate in the third quarter as consumer spending climbed the most in almost four years, a sign the expansion is developing staying power. The increase in gross domestic product matched the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News and followed a 1.7 percent gain the prior three months, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington.”

The Sacramento Bee“$8.3 million available in Cash for Appliances” (10-29-10)

“California’s Cash for Appliances program had about $8.3 million in rebate funds remaining as of Tuesday night.”

Housing Wire“LPS: no defects in related foreclosures, no fee-splitting” (10-29-10)

“Lender Processing Services (LPS: 28.84 +4.87%) began reducing its foreclosure signing services back in 2008 and stands by its mortgage processing services. Further, when the firm caught a manager robo-signing foreclosure documents, the only such case it says it found, that manager was immediately dismissed and documents remediated.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Mae retires HAMP option for mortgage payment reductions” (10-29-10)

“Fannie Mae will end its Payment Reduction Plan (PRP), a program designed to give borrowers ineligible for the Home Affordable Modification Program temporary payment relief while the servicer works toward another foreclosure alternative.”

Housing Wire“Construction market to rise 8% in 2011: McGraw-Hill” (10-29-10)

“McGraw-Hill Construction (MHP: 37.65 +0.32%) said construction starts in 2011 are expected to advance 8% to $445.5 billion, with single-family and multifamily starts leading the way.”

Housing Wire“Barclays Capital sees limited impact to CMBS from MERS litigation” (10-29-10)

“Barclays Capital analysts don’t expect potential lawsuits against Mortgage Electronic Registration Systems to result in any significant issue in commercial mortgage-backed securities valuations.”

Inman - “Risk and rewards in Fed’s plan” (10-29-10)

“Monetary ‘easing’ is a central bank’s standard antidote to recession, tried and effective hundreds of times here and elsewhere. The central bank cuts its cost of money and ‘injects’ reserves into banks by buying Treasurys from them with invented money. These operations ignite lending and borrowing, and we recover.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Moody’s estimated that prices would continue to decline until Q3 of 2010. According to Freddie Mac, interest rates on 30-year fixed rate loans increased to 5.03 percent. The U.S. Census Bureau reported that the number of vacant properties rose to 18.7 million, but the homeownership rate maintained at 67.6 percent.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/5/10

Tuesday, October 5th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The CAR predicts the housing market will require a more lengthy amount of time to recover. Trepp reports CMBS delinquencies increased to 9.05% last month. Zillow claims California’s 30-year mortgage rate decreased to 4.18%.

In The News:

The Press Enterprise“Forecasters: Inland housing comeback ‘long, bumpy’” (10-5-10)

“While the housing sector has led the nation out of previous recessions, this time it will take longer for housing to revive because of an unprecedented fall in home values that was caused by a crisis in the financial market, the California Association of Realtors said in releasing its 2011 forecast.”

Housing Wire“ABA: Bank card delinquencies on the decline” (10-5-10)

“Consumer past due balances also generally improved on home equity loans and auto loans. The report defines delinquency as an account that is 30 days overdue. The report looks at credit cards that are issued by banks. Bank card delinquencies fell 26 basis points from 3.88% to about 3.6%, below the 15-year average of just under 4%. It’s also the lowest delinquency rate since the first quarter of 2001.”

Housing Wire“Trepp: CMBS delinquency rate tops 9% for first time in September” (10-5-10)

“The delinquency rate on commercial mortgage-backed securities surpassed 9% for the first time in September, according to analytics firm Trepp. The rate for loans more than 30-days delinquent has increased steadily the past 12 months to 9.05% last month, up from 4.36% a year ago and 13 basis points higher than 8.92% for August.”

Housing Wire“Radar Logic sees foreclosure halts dragging down housing recovery” (10-5-10)

“In lieu of the robo-signing scandal that caused states and lenders suspending home foreclosures, many economists are evaluating how this temporary lull in the housing market will affect the economic recovery. Radar Logic analysts said Tuesday they are skeptical that the market will improve in the meantime.”

Housing Wire“Zillow: 30-year FRMs hit record low at 4.16%” (10-5-10)

“The 30-year, fixed-mortgage rate decreased from a week earlier, setting a new record low at 4.16%, according to the Zillow Mortgage Marketplace weekly update. California’s rate decreased to 4.18% from 4.21%”

Bloomberg - “`Underwater’ Mortgages Threaten Rally in Jumbo Debt, Seer’s Weingord Says” (10-5-10)

“The rally in securities tied to the biggest U.S. home loans probably has gone too far because defaults are set to rise for properties worth less than the mortgages on them, according to hedge-fund firm Seer Capital Management LP.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Office Rent Decline Slowed in Third Quarter, Reis Says” (10-5-10)

“Actual rents paid by office tenants, known as effective rents, dropped 3.6 percent from a year earlier to an average of $22.05 a square foot, Reis said in a statement today. They were little changed from the second quarter’s $22.06 a square foot.”

Bloomberg - “Fed May Buy More Assets Buys to Spur U.S. Growth, Pimco Says” (10-5-10)

“Pimco, which runs the world’s biggest mutual fund, estimates U.S. gross domestic product growth will be in a range of 1.5 percent to 2 percent for the next year, versus 1.7 percent that the Commerce Department reported for the second quarter. Inflation will slow to a band of 0.75 percent to 1.25 percent, McCulley said in his report. The figure was 1.4 percent in August from the year before, Commerce Department data show.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, First American CoreLogic expected about 10 percent of all U.S. mortgages to adjust over the next few years. FHA planned to reduce the maximum lending amount that seniors could receive for reverse mortgages. Consumers were claiming that Wells Fargo was guilty of cutting their credit lines for no apparent reason. Whitehouse spokesman Robert Gibbs confirmed that president Obama was in favor of extending the first time home buyer tax credit.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.