The Norris Group Blog

California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘REIS’

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/6/12

Friday, January 6th, 2012

Sources:

Job Growth Accelerates
Apartment-Vacancy Rate Tumbles to 2001 Level
S&P: Home prices back to 2001 levels
November Pending Home Sales Index
Rescuing redevelopment
California high court puts redevelopment agencies out of business
2011 Migration Patterns
Fed Identifies Markets Primed for Bulk REO-to-Rental Programs
Federal Reserve System

Today’s News Synopsis:

In this week’s video, Aaron Norris gives the news of the week in the world of real estate and other big events. DS News reported an 8.5% drop in unemployment with the addition of 200,000 new jobs.  In another big story, the Federal Reserve released a white paper showing support for a bulk-buy-to-rent program to help stabilize hard-hit markets.  New York and New Jersey are among the worst hit states for foreclosures.

In The News:

Bloomberg“U.S. Office Vacancies Fell in Fourth Quarter as Economy Recovered Slowly” (1-5-12)

“U.S. office (BBREOFPY) vacancies fell in the three months through December, extending a yearlong recovery, as a dearth of new supply helped counter sluggish economic growth, Reis Inc. said in a report today.”

Housing Wire - “LPS reports mortgage delinquencies are going nowhere” (1-6-12)

“The latest mortgage monitor from Lender Processing Services (LPS: 15.82 +1.35%) shows the level of homeowners 90 days or more behind on their house payments stayed essentially flat over the second half of 2011.”

Mortgage Bankers Association - MBA Statement on Fed’s Housing Policy White Paper “ (1-6-12)

“‘The Fed’s white paper is a thoughtful document that raises a number of very interesting issues that policymakers ought to consider as they seek to solve the ongoing ills of the housing market.  The Fed staff’s comments validate much of what we have been saying, as it relates to the balance between credit availability and consumer protection, as well as the role that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could play in stabilizing and revitalizing the mortgage market’.

Realty Times - “30-year Fixed-rate Mortgage Matches All-time Record Low” (1-6-12)

“In Freddie Mac’s results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® the average fixed mortgage rates starting the year at or near their all-time lows. The 30-year fixed averaged 3.91 percent matching its all-time record low amid recent data showing signs of improvement in the housing market and manufacturing industry.”

DS News - “Unemployment Rate Falls to 8.5%” (1-6-12)

“The nation’s unemployment rate continues to trend down. It slipped to 8.5 percent during the month of December as the economy added 200,000 new jobs, the U.S. Department of Labor said Friday morning.”

Bloomberg - “Foreclosures Worsen in New York, New Jersey as Arizona Improves” (1-6-12)

“The number of homes in the foreclosure (HOMFCLOS) pipeline is increasing in states including New York,New Jersey and Connecticut, where the process is slowed by courts, as Arizona, California and Nevada digest their backlog.”

Housing Wire - “Fitch: CMBS delinquencies down to 8.37% in December” (1-6-12)

“Delinquencies tied to commercial mortgage-backed securities experienced five-straight months of declines in 2011, but late payments on office properties are likely to challenge CMBS in 2012, Fitch Ratings said Friday.”

San Francisco Chronicle - “Apartment vacancies at decade low as rents climb” (1-6-12)

“U.S. apartment vacancies dropped to a 10-year low in the fourth quarter,  allowing for rent increases that are likely to continue this year, property  research firm Reis said.”

Bloomberg - “Obama’s Consumer Watchdog Targest Mortgage, Payday Lenders” (1-6-12)

“Richard Cordray’s appointment as director of the U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau moves the new agency nearer to fulfilling its intended role as a one-stop shop for borrower safeguards.”

Housing Wire“Veros sees slow housing recovery with 1.3% decline in home prices in 2012″ (1-6-12)

“Home prices over the next 12 months will remain relatively unchanged, with the strongest markets seeing a 4% uptick in appreciation and the weakest markets dropping by 6%, Veros Real Estate Solutions said Friday.”

Hard Money Loan Closed

San Bernardino, California hard money loan closed by The Norris Group private lending. Real estate investor received loan for $80,000 on a 5 bedroom, 2 bathroom home appraised for $147,000.

California Real Estate Investor Events:

The Norris Group posted a new event. Bruce Norris will be speaking at the Real Estate Rewind at IRCA Los Angeles on January 3, 2012.

The Norris Group will be at the Real Estate Investor Rewind at CVREIA on January 10, 2011.

Looking Back:

According to Freddie Mac, rates on 30-year FRMs fell to 4.77% the week of January 6, 2011. Altos Research reported home prices fell 1.63% in December 2010. Timothy Geithner requested from Congress to increase the national debt limit. The debt limit at that time was $14.29 trillion, and the nation’s debt level was just $335 billion short of the limit.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/7/11

Thursday, April 7th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

CoreLogic said home prices fell 6.7% in February, and Clear Capital claims home prices in the West declined 4.3% in the previous quarter. According to Freddie Mac, mortgage rates increased to 4.87% last week. Analysts are concerned that a Federal shutdown would have dramatic effects on the California economy and the FHA.

In The News:

Housing Wire“Home prices fall for seventh straight month: CoreLogic” (4-7-11)

“According to the CoreLogic (CLGX: 18.48 -1.75%) Home Price Index, prices fell 6.7% in February compared to the same month in 2010. This follows a 5.5% year-over-year drop in January.”

Housing Wire“Jobless claims dip again in April” (4-7-11)

“The number of initial jobless claims filed by unemployed Americans dropped to 382,000 during the week of April 2, down from last week’s revised figure of 392,000, according to data from the U.S. Labor Department released Thursday.”

Sacramento Bee“Summary Box: Fixed mortgage rates inch up” (4-7-11)

“Freddie Mac said the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage rose to 4.87 percent from 4.86 percent the previous week. The average rate on the 15-year fixed mortgage increased to 4.10 percent from 4.09 percent.”

San Francisco Chronicle“Federal shutdown would hit California hard” (4-7-11)

“Employees deemed essential, such as air traffic controllers, doctors at VA hospitals, border agents and military personnel, probably will remain on the job as they did during the last major shutdown in 1995. Others, such as Internal Revenue Service employees at 27 California locations, might find their offices closed on Monday.”

Housing Wire“Analysts say FHA shutdown possible without budget consensus” (4-7-11)

“If the government were to shutdown, two important steps in the FHA origination process would be put on hold. FHA lenders may still be able to originate loans, but they would have to wait on obtaining case numbers and a mortgage insurance certificate to be issued.”

Housing Wire“Hope Now reports a mixed-bag of results” (4-7-11)

“Hope Now, an alliance of mortgage servicers and home retention counselors who are pushing to save distressed properties, said the month of February brought mixed results with servicers reporting fewer loan modifications and falling delinquency rates. In February, the number of completed loan mods fell from 100,186 to 87,000.”

Bloomberg - “Mall Vacancies Climb to Highest in Decade as U.S. Store Closings Persist” (4-7-11)

“The vacancy rate climbed to 9.1 percent from 8.9 percent a year earlier and 8.7 percent in the fourth quarter, the research firm said in a report today. It was the highest since Reis began publishing data on regional malls in 2000.”

Housing Wire“Home prices double-dip in West but flatten nationally: Clear Capital” (4-7-11)

“March home prices in the West declined 4.3% from the previous three months and reached a new low since 2001, according to real estate data provider Clear Capital.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported that 1.2 million households were lost from 2005 to 2008. Greenspan defended the fed’s lack of oversight in the subprime market claiming that consumer protection was a high priority at the time. A Fannie Mae survey showed 61 percent of homeowners and renters said the economy was on the wrong track. Fitch reported subprime RMBS delinquencies fell to 46.3% in March 2010.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/4/11

Tuesday, January 4th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

Nearly 5% of Freddie Mac’s single-family mortgages are seriously delinquent. The FOMC chose to keep the federal funds target rate between 0 to 0.25%. Office buildings added 2.5 million square feet of occupied space in the 4th quarter, according to REIS. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports jobless rates rose in 49% of all U.S. metro areas.

In The News:

Yahoo - “10 resourceful real estate tips for 2011″ (1-4-11)

“If your home has been on the market far too long, there’s a good chance you’re not facing market realities. The value of your home isn’t what the tax assessor says it is, or the sum on that two-year-old appraisal you have filed away. It’s not what a similar-size home that sold across town. It’s what a buyer is willing to pay today.”

Housing Wire“Freddie Mac’s seven facts about the foreclosure process” (1-4-11)

“Freddie owns or guarantees 12.4 million single-family mortgages, and roughly 500,000 are seriously delinquent, roughly 10% of all serious delinquencies in the industry. However, Freddie reported $13.5 billion in homes that were already repossessed through foreclosure, adding $6.8 billion in the third quarter.”

Housing Wire“FOMC minutes show little motivation to change QE2, ZIRP” (1-4-11)

“At its Dec. 14 meeting, the FOMC chose to keep the federal funds target rate at next to nothing – 0% to 0.25% — as it has for two full years now, and maintained plans to reinvest principal payments from its securities holdings into about $75 billion of long-term Treasury securities each month through the end of the second quarter.”

Housing Wire - “BofA pact represents 44% of total Fannie repurchase claims” (1-4-11)

“Fannie Mae said the agreement reached with Bank of America regarding repurchase requests on mortgages sold to the GSE by Countrywide Financial Corp. addresses about 44% of the $7.7 billion in repurchase claims the company had outstanding with all of its seller servicers as of Sept. 30.”

Housing Wire“Amherst finds mortgage market underestimates looming defaults” (1-3-11)

“Mortgage-backed securities analysts at the fixed income dealer took a look at $1.3 trillion in outstanding nonagency mortgages from a year ago to see how they’re doing as of November 2010. They found that the $485 billion of nonperforming loans, those more than 60 days delinquent, dropped to $414 billion through either modification or liquidation.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Office Market Has First Gain in Occupied Space Since 2007, Reis Says” (1-4-11)

“Office buildings added 2.5 million square feet (232,000 square meters) of occupied space in the fourth quarter, compared with a loss of 14 million square feet a year earlier, Reis said in its report. It was the first rise in net absorption since the fourth quarter of 2007.”

Bloomberg - “Wall Street Banks Preparing $4 Billion of Commercial Mortgage-Bond Sales” (1-4-11)

“Deutsche Bank and UBS are teaming up to issue as much as $2.5 billion in commercial mortgage-backed securities linked to loans on office buildings, shopping malls and hotels in what would be the largest offering of its kind since the market froze in June 2008, according to a person familiar with the deal. JPMorgan plans to sell $1.5 billion in similar debt, a person familiar with that sale said.”

Inman - “Broker launches first-time-buyer education site” (1-4-11)

“A Portland, Ore.-based real estate broker has launched a national homebuyer education website. FearlessHomebuyer.com walks first-time homebuyers through the real estate transaction process, from deciding whether or not to buy, to obtaining financing, to estimating fix-up costs.”

Inman - “Jobless rates rise in 49% of U.S. metros” (1-4-11)

“Metropolitan areas in California continue to register the highest unemployment rates in the nation, according to the latest figures released today from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Of the 13 metros with unemployment rates above 15 percent in November, 11 were in California.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, forty percent of national home sales were foreclosures or short sales. Economists and real estate experts were complaining that Obama’s $75 billion foreclosure prevention program had damaged the market. The CIRB reported that builder permits for single-family houses fell 3.5 percent. According to The Institute for Supply Management, most companies showed an increased rate of expansion in December 09.

For m ore information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/5/10

Tuesday, October 5th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The CAR predicts the housing market will require a more lengthy amount of time to recover. Trepp reports CMBS delinquencies increased to 9.05% last month. Zillow claims California’s 30-year mortgage rate decreased to 4.18%.

In The News:

The Press Enterprise“Forecasters: Inland housing comeback ‘long, bumpy’” (10-5-10)

“While the housing sector has led the nation out of previous recessions, this time it will take longer for housing to revive because of an unprecedented fall in home values that was caused by a crisis in the financial market, the California Association of Realtors said in releasing its 2011 forecast.”

Housing Wire“ABA: Bank card delinquencies on the decline” (10-5-10)

“Consumer past due balances also generally improved on home equity loans and auto loans. The report defines delinquency as an account that is 30 days overdue. The report looks at credit cards that are issued by banks. Bank card delinquencies fell 26 basis points from 3.88% to about 3.6%, below the 15-year average of just under 4%. It’s also the lowest delinquency rate since the first quarter of 2001.”

Housing Wire“Trepp: CMBS delinquency rate tops 9% for first time in September” (10-5-10)

“The delinquency rate on commercial mortgage-backed securities surpassed 9% for the first time in September, according to analytics firm Trepp. The rate for loans more than 30-days delinquent has increased steadily the past 12 months to 9.05% last month, up from 4.36% a year ago and 13 basis points higher than 8.92% for August.”

Housing Wire“Radar Logic sees foreclosure halts dragging down housing recovery” (10-5-10)

“In lieu of the robo-signing scandal that caused states and lenders suspending home foreclosures, many economists are evaluating how this temporary lull in the housing market will affect the economic recovery. Radar Logic analysts said Tuesday they are skeptical that the market will improve in the meantime.”

Housing Wire“Zillow: 30-year FRMs hit record low at 4.16%” (10-5-10)

“The 30-year, fixed-mortgage rate decreased from a week earlier, setting a new record low at 4.16%, according to the Zillow Mortgage Marketplace weekly update. California’s rate decreased to 4.18% from 4.21%”

Bloomberg - “`Underwater’ Mortgages Threaten Rally in Jumbo Debt, Seer’s Weingord Says” (10-5-10)

“The rally in securities tied to the biggest U.S. home loans probably has gone too far because defaults are set to rise for properties worth less than the mortgages on them, according to hedge-fund firm Seer Capital Management LP.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Office Rent Decline Slowed in Third Quarter, Reis Says” (10-5-10)

“Actual rents paid by office tenants, known as effective rents, dropped 3.6 percent from a year earlier to an average of $22.05 a square foot, Reis said in a statement today. They were little changed from the second quarter’s $22.06 a square foot.”

Bloomberg - “Fed May Buy More Assets Buys to Spur U.S. Growth, Pimco Says” (10-5-10)

“Pimco, which runs the world’s biggest mutual fund, estimates U.S. gross domestic product growth will be in a range of 1.5 percent to 2 percent for the next year, versus 1.7 percent that the Commerce Department reported for the second quarter. Inflation will slow to a band of 0.75 percent to 1.25 percent, McCulley said in his report. The figure was 1.4 percent in August from the year before, Commerce Department data show.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, First American CoreLogic expected about 10 percent of all U.S. mortgages to adjust over the next few years. FHA planned to reduce the maximum lending amount that seniors could receive for reverse mortgages. Consumers were claiming that Wells Fargo was guilty of cutting their credit lines for no apparent reason. Whitehouse spokesman Robert Gibbs confirmed that president Obama was in favor of extending the first time home buyer tax credit.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/8/10

Thursday, July 8th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to Freddie Mac, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate dropped to 4.57 percent. International Monetary Fund warns a double dip recession is still possible, despite its prediction that GDP will increase over the next year. Fitch Ratings predicts home improvement spending will increase 3.5% this year. Clear Capital reports national housing prices rose 5.2% during the last quarter.

In The News:

Associated Press - “Mortgage rates drop to new low of 4.57 pct.” (7-8-10)

“The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage dropped to 4.57 percent this week, mortgage company Freddie Mac reported Thursday. That’s down from the previous record low of 4.58 percent set last week.”

Housing Wire“International Monetary Fund Warns of Housing Double-Dip Risk” (7-8-10)

“Signs of recovery in the US economy and housing market are stronger than expected, due to policy response from the federal government, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). While IMF expects US gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 3.25% in 2010 and 3% in 2011, unemployment is projected to remain above 9%.”

Housing Wire“Fitch: Homebuyer Tax Credit Will Boost Home Improvement Spending” (7-8-10)

“Fitch Ratings expects home improvement spending to increase 3.5% in 2010 over 2009 levels, partly due to an influx of home sales incentivized by the first-time homebuyer tax credit”

Housing Wire“Wells Fargo to Lay Off 3,800 Employees, Leave Non-Prime Space” (7-8-10)

“In a restructuring of its financial division, Wells Fargo (WFC: 26.64 -0.08%) said it will eliminate 2,800 positions in the next two months and another 1,000 people by the end of the year. The bank will close 638 financial stores in the US as it will stop originating non-prime portfolio mortgage loans.”

Housing Wire“Fannie, Freddie Dropped from New York Stock Exchange” (7-8-10)

“The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) directed the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) in June to de-list from the NYSE and any other national securities exchange. The direction came after the price of their common stock hovered near the minimum average closing price of $1 for more than 30 days for most months since the conservatorship took effect in September 2008.”

Housing Wire“House Prices Soar 8.8% from 2009: Clear Capital” (7-8-10)

“House prices rose in June across the US in both the rolling quarter and the previous-year data, according to real estate asset valuation data provider Clear Capital. National prices rose 5.2% over the previous three-month period and 8.8% since June 2009. The quarterly and yearly growth seen in June builds on already positive data, after prices climbed 6.8% in May from the year before.”

Housing Wire“John Burns Sees Housing Market Hit Bottom with Little Downside to Investing” (7-8-10)

“The housing market has improved in the last two years to the extent that John Burns Real Estate Consulting sees the market as possibly approaching the beginning of its next up cycle.”

Bloomberg“Apartment Vacancies in U.S. Drop From 30-Year High, Reis Says” (7-8-10)

“The vacancy rate for apartment properties was 7.8 percent, down from a 30-year high of 8 percent in the first quarter and up from 7.7 percent a year earlier, according to a report today by the real estate research firm. First-quarter vacancies were the highest since 1980, when Reis began tracking the data.”

Orange County Register“O.C. builders rank among U.S. top 40″ (7-8-10)

“Seven homebuilding companies based in Orange County or having a strong presence here ranked in Builder Magazine’s newest list of the nation’s Top 100 Builders. Five of them were among the nation’s top 40 builders.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, 68 percent of recent home buyers said price decreases encouraged them to buy a house. PMI forecasted that home prices would decrease through 2011. Default rates doubled for commercial properties valued at more than $108 billion.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/6/10

Tuesday, July 6th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to Lender Processing Services, the national mortgage delinquency rate increased to 9.2% in May. Reis reports national office vacancies increased by 0.1 percent in the second quarter to 17.4 percent. The former CEO of Irvine Co. believes the housing and commercial real estate market will be rocky for the next year or two due to the volume of underwater loans. The former secretary of labor under President Clinton, Robert Reich, believes the U.S. economy will have a very slow recovery, and may experience a double dip.

In The News:

Yahoo - “Mortgage rates scream buy, but who is listening?” (7-3-10)

“Under normal circumstances, 4.58 percent would be irresistible. A decade ago, if you’d told David Christensen, owner of Mountain Lake Mortgage in Lakeside, Mont., that rates would drop this low, he wouldn’t have believed you. And if rates did somehow fall this far, he never thought he would lack for customers, as he does now. Yet both have come true. Christensen argues that mortgage lending standards have tightened so much since the financial crisis that many people with decent but not-stellar credit can’t qualify. Lenders are demanding stronger credit scores and higher down payments or home equity.”

Robert Reich“Slouching Toward a Double Dip or a Lousy Recovery at Best” (7-3-10)

“In June the nation added fewer jobs than necessary merely to keep up with population growth (private hiring rose by 83,000 after adding only 33,000 jobs in May). The typical workweek declined. Average earnings dropped. Home sales are down. Retail sales are down. Factory orders in May suffered their biggest tumble since March of last year. ”

Housing Wire“National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Swells to 9.2% in May: LPS” (7-6-10)

“The national mortgage delinquency rate grew to 9.2% in May, up 2.3% from a month earlier and 7.9% from a year earlier, according to the latest report from mortgage performance data and analytics provider Lender Processing Services (LPS: 31.41 -0.16%).”

Bloomberg - “Profit Upgrades Clash With El-Erian’s Fading Recovery” (7-6-10)

“Analysts are raising earnings estimates for U.S. companies at the fastest rate since at least 2004 just as stocks post the biggest losses in 16 months on concern that the economy will sink back into a recession. Profit for Standard & Poor’s 500 Index companies will jump 34 percent in 2010, compared with a projected gain of 27 percent on March 29, according to more than 8,000 estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The revision, the most during any quarter in at least six years, came as lower-than-forecast home sales, manufacturing and private-sector job growth sent the benchmark gauge for American equities down 16 percent since April 23.”

Bloomberg - “Office Vacancy Rate in U.S. Climbs to 17-Year High, Reis Says” (7-6-10)

“Office vacancies in the U.S. rose to the highest level since 1993 in the second quarter as the sluggish economic recovery damps demand from corporate tenants, Reis Inc. said in a report. The vacancy rate climbed to 17.4 percent from 16 percent a year earlier and 17.3 percent in the first quarter, the New York-based research company said today in a statement. Effective rents, the amount tenants actually pay landlords, fell 5.7 percent from a year earlier and 0.9 percent from the previous three months, according to Reis.”

Bloomberg - “Property Bonds Slump Most Since ’09 on Slowdown: Credit Markets” (7-6-10)

“Bonds sold by real-estate companies are performing the worst compared with the rest of the market since March 2009 on concern the slowing economic recovery will cause more defaults. Yield premiums of bonds sold by real-estate investment trusts, shopping-mall owners and office landlords widened 9 basis points, or 0.09 percentage point, more than those on other debt in June, and continued to rise this month, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes.”

Orange County Register“Adjustable mortgages back in fashion?” (7-6-10)

“DataQuick reports that 10% of Orange County home buyers who financed their home purchases in May used some sort of adjustable mortgage — the highest level of variable-loan use since August 2008. The bottom for adjustable-loan use was April and May of 2009, when just 2.4% of financed deals had variable financing.”

Orange County Register“Real estate outlook ‘rocky’ for 2 years” (7-6-10)

“The former CEO and vice chairman of the Irvine Co. says that the outlook for housing and commercial real estate will be rocky for the next year or two because of the volume of underwater loans.”

Housing Wire“CMBS Delinquency Rate Triples From a Year Ago, Passes 7%: Realpoint” (7-6-10)

“Delinquencies in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) in the US reached 7.2% in May from 6.9% in April, and more than triple the rate a year ago, according to the analytics firm Realpoint. Realpoint tracks delinquency data on nearly $800bn of CMBS pools for the monthly reports. In May, the total delinquent unpaid balance for these loans reached $57.3bn, a $2.9bn increase from the previous month.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, a study of 3.5 million mortgages nationwide found that in June loan servicers held 32,000 foreclosure sales. Vacancy rates for rental properties increased to 5.3% in the first quarter of 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/14/10

Monday, June 14th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Christopher Cagan from First American predicts a dip in housing prices in the near future. A study from Harvard University seems to show that high unemployment is fueling the foreclosure crisis. Christopher Thornberg of Beacon Economics believes the recession is currently over, but he expects economic conditions to get worse over the next two years. REIS Inc predicts U.S. apartments may lead a rebound in commercial real estate.

In The News:

Orange County Register – “‘Double dip’ decline seen for housing” (6-13-10)

“In the short to near term, I expect a double dip.  This is the logical aftermath of the sugar shot from the Federal first time buyer tax credit.  It borrowed buyers from the future, and we are now going into that future.  Also we are not too far from the end of the traditional SoCal buying season.  I have already seen asking prices reduced 5% or so in May from April.”

Wall Street Journal“Trading Down: Can It Still Bankroll Your Retirement?” (6-13-10)

“Trading down to a smaller home is a retirement-planning staple. According to an April study by the Society of Actuaries, 20% of not-yet retirees say they plan to downsize after the last child leaves the nest.”

Los Angeles Times - “Home shortages could develop as recovery unfolds” (6-13-10)

“A housing deficiency isn’t a sure thing, but the potential is certainly there, says David Crowe, chief economist at the National Assn. of Home Builders, who paints a rather ominous scenario in which house and apartment builders won’t be able to keep up with the demand. Wherever the new households come from — adult children moving out for the first time or leaving the nest a second or third time after returning to Mom and Dad’s to weather the economic storm, roommates uncoupling and going their separate ways or young couples starting families — most of them are typically renters. Therefore, the multifamily sector is apt to feel the pinch first, if only because it takes so much longer to build apartments than houses.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Housing Market Recovery Dependent on Jobs Growth, Harvard Report Says” (6-14-10)

“Job growth will be the key factor in whether the U.S. real estate market can extend a recovery after the end of the federal homebuyer tax credit, according to a Harvard University study. High unemployment is fueling the foreclosure crisis and discouraging the household formation that drives property demand, according to the State of the Nation’s Housing report issued today by Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing Studies.”

Housing Wire“Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (6-14-10)

“The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) is preparing a nationwide crackdown on mortgage fraud, with arrests expected to count in the hundreds, beginning as early as this week, the Financial Times reported.”

Housing Wire“Negative GDP Growth in Q3? Really?” (6-14-10)

“Thornberg essentially noted in his speech that while the recession is over, for now, we’re not there yet in terms of a sustainable economic recovery. He exhorted attendees to enjoy 2010, as he expects the year to be a relatively good one compared to what we may see in 2011 and 2012.”

Housing Wire“Subprime Mortgage Performance Improving as Delinquencies Drop” (6-14-10)

“The performance of historical subprime mortgages is improving according to two separate reports from Moody’s Investors Service and the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS). And the rate of homeowners behind on their subprime mortgage is lower across all levels of days past due, albeit at different speeds.”

Housing Wire“Fiserv Sees Buyer ‘Optimism’ Behind Home Price Increases” (6-14-10)

“Home prices trended up in more than 40% of metropolitan areas (155 of 384 markets) in Q409, including markets in California, Ohio, Michigan and Washington DC, according to analysis of price trends by financial data services provider Fiserv. On average, home prices were down 2.5% in Q409 from the year-ago quarter, which Fiserv noted could be due to continued high unemployment levels, rising interest rates and a high volume of distressed property in markets like Florida, Arizona and Nevada. The data studied for the quarterly report is based on the Fiserv Case-Shiller Indexes.”

Bloomberg - “Equity Residential May Start California Project Within a Year” (6-14-10)

“Equity Residential, the largest publicly traded U.S. apartment landlord, may start building a new development in California within the next year, Chief Executive Officer David Neithercut said. U.S. apartments may lead a rebound in commercial real estate as the economy adds jobs, property research firm Reis Inc. said in May. Vacancies probably will peak at 8.2 percent in 2010 and start to decline in 2011.”

Orange County Register“Portola Hills homes quickest to sell” (6-14-10)

“The ‘hardest’ O.C. town to find a home to buy in terms of ‘market time’ (supply of homes for sale vs. new purchase deals inked in past month) is Portola Hills at 1.3 months to theoretically sell all for-sale homes at the current buying pace. Or, looking at it another way: quickest to sell. A year ago, this town was at 0.6 months.”

Orange County Register“Home demand off 20% without tax break” (6-14-10)

“March and April’s surge due to the housing credit robbed May and June of normal activity. There is nothing cyclical about the recent swings in demand, but it is making its way back to normal. It should be back on track by July. Demand, the number of new pending sales over the prior month, decreased by 136 in the past two weeks and now totals 3,167. That is after a 603 home drop two weeks ago. For the first time since March 2008, demand is less than the prior year with 485 fewer pending sales.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/6/10

Tuesday, April 6th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

A recent Fannie Mae survey shows that approximately two-thirds of Americans would still prefer to own a home. Independent mortgage bankers and subsidiaries made an average profit of $890 on each loan they originated in the fourth quarter of 2009. The National Bankruptcy Research Center claims that bankruptcies could total over 1.5 million this year. According to Reis Inc, rent prices declined by 1.6 percent from last year.

In The News:

CBIA - “Road to Recovery” (4-6-10)

“The economic downturn has put California in a critical position, but homebuilders could play a major role in helping with the state’s recovery. CBIA has focused on six pieces of legislation this session that could help lead the state on that road. None is more important than an extended homebuyer tax credit, but all six are vital to helping the state, and the building industry, move forward.”

CNN - “With caution, Americans still want a house” (4-6-10)

“Nearly two-thirds of Americans would still prefer to own a home, although the recent housing market turmoil and uncertain economy have made them a little more cautious about how and when, according to a survey released Tuesday. A nationwide survey conducted by mortgage lender Fannie Mae found 65% of the homeowners and renters believe there is still value in owning a home.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“Production Profits Held Steady in 4th Quarter 2009, According to MBA Study of Independent Mortgage Bankers and Subsidiaries” (4-6-10)

“Independent mortgage bankers and subsidiaries made an average profit of $890 on each loan they originated in the fourth quarter of 2009, down from $902 per loan in the third quarter of 2009, but up from $296 in the fourth quarter of 2008, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).”

Sacramento Bee“California expected to cancel tax on forgiven mortgage debts” (4-6-10)

“Relief appears imminent for thousands of Sacramento homeowners hit with state tax bills for mortgage debts forgiven in 2009. State lawmakers said Monday they plan to cancel the state tax obligations with a vote Thursday.”

Inman - “Bankruptcies could exceed 1.5M this year” (4-6-10)

“More consumers filed for bankruptcy in March than in any other month after Congress overhauled federal bankruptcy laws in 2005, according to a release by the American Bankruptcy Institute. Monthly filings for March reached 149,268, a 34 percent increase from the month before when filings totaled 111,693, and a 23 percent year-over-year increase when consumers submitted 121,413 filings, the institute said. The findings are based on data from the National Bankruptcy Research Center.”

Housing Wire“Lenders Look to Prevent Mortgage Fraud Before Origination With New Software” (4-6-10)

“Wells Fargo (WFC: 32.10 +1.87%) recently implemented mortgage fraud detection software, called LoanSafe Fraud Manager and developed by First American CoreLogic. At least 10 other lenders are following Wells’ lead and testing out the software to see how well it works against their current systems.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Apartment Rents Decline as Vacancies at Record, Reis Says” (4-6-10)

“U.S. apartment rents dropped in the first quarter and the vacancy rate remained at a record as unemployment near a 26-year high limited tenant demand. Actual rents paid by tenants, known as effective rents, declined 1.5 percent from a year earlier, Reis Inc. said in a report today. Asking rents fell 1.6 percent, according to the New York-based property research firm. Vacancies were unchanged at 8 percent, the highest level since 1980, when Reis began tracking the number, said Victor Calanog, director of research.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, General Growth announced that its bankruptcy would not occur quickly. Altera Real Estate reported a total of 4,092 distressed properties in Orange County. One-third of California’s 267,000 foreclosure sales in 2008 were rental units

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/7/10

Thursday, January 7th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Home equity delinquencies increased to 4.3 percent of all accounts. Many construction companies reported an increase in profit during the 4th quarter of 2009. REIS Inc. reports that U.S. apartment vacancies rose to 8 percent last quarter. According to Freddie Mac, mortgage rates decreased to 5.09 percent from last week.

In The News:

Housing Wire“Lennar Posts Quarterly Profit, Expects $320M Tax Refund” (1-7-09)

“Miami-based homebuilder Lennar (LEN: 15.70 +14.60%) reported net earnings of $35.6m, $0.19 per share, for its fiscal year fourth quarter that ended Nov. 30 and said it will receive a tax refund of $320m as a result of legislation that temporarily allowed companies to recoup losses from taxes paid in profitable years.”

Housing Wire“Invesco Mortgage Capital Planning Another Share Sale” (1-7-09)

“Seeing a growing appetite for deals from investors, Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR: 22.37 -2.10%), a real estate investment trust (REIT), plans to offer 7m shares of its common stock for sale in order to fund the acquisition of residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities (RMBS and CMBS) and leveraged mortgage loans.”

Housing Wire“Delinquency Grows in Home Equity Loans, Lines of Credit: ABA” (1-7-09)

“Housing-related loans continued to show stress. Home equity loan delinquencies hit another record in the quarter, jumping 29 bps to 4.3% of all accounts. Home equity lines of credit rose 20 bps to 2.12% of all accounts. Mobile home delinquencies increased to 3.63% of all accounts, from 3.53% the previous quarter.”

Housing Wire“Beazer to Offer 18m Shares, $50m in Convertible Debt” (1-7-09)

“Beazer Homes (BZH: 5.06 +6.08%) will issue new common stock and convertible subordinate debt, the Atlanta-based homebuilder said in a pair of Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings. According to the filings, Beazer will issue 18m shares of common stock and $50m in convertible subordinate debt which will convert to stock shares in 2013.”

Bloomberg - “Job Growth Erodes as Housing Bust Pushes Mobility to Record Low” (1-7-09)

“Some households are staying put because they owe more on their mortgages than their properties are worth; others have trouble selling houses in depressed areas, economists say. The S&P/Case-Shiller composite index of home prices in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas was down 29 percent in October from its July 2006 peak.”

Bloomberg - “Principal Cuts on Lender Menus as Foreclosures Rise” (1-7-09)

“While interest-rate reductions or extending loan terms reduce homeowners’ monthly payments, they don’t give much comfort to borrowers who owe more on their homes than their properties are worth. Borrowers who don’t have equity in their homes are more likely to hand over the keys when they run into trouble.”

Bloomberg - “Lennar Leads Builders Higher on Report of Unexpected Profit” (1-7-09)

“Lennar Corp. led U.S. homebuilders higher after the company reported an unexpected quarterly profit as it took advantage of a tax change in the way it accounts for land sales. A Standard & Poor’s measure of 12 home construction companies rose as much as 5.4 percent, the most since November. Lennar climbed as much as 13 percent. KB Home, M/I Homes Inc., Toll Brothers Inc. and D.R. Horton Inc. all gained.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Rates on 30-Year U.S. Loans Fall to 5.09%” (1-7-09)

“Mortgage rates in the U.S. fell for the first time in five weeks, lowering borrowing costs and offering a boost to potential buyers. The rate for 30-year fixed U.S. home loans fell to 5.09 percent for the week ended today from 5.14 percent, mortgage finance company Freddie Mac said. Rates hit a record low 4.71 percent the week of Dec. 3. This week’s average 15-year rate was 4.50 percent, Freddie Mac said in today’s statement. ”

Bloomberg - “Record U.S. Apartment Vacancies Force Landlords to Cut Rents” (1-7-09)

“U.S. apartment vacancies rose to a record 8 percent in the fourth quarter and rents fell the most in three decades as unemployment cut demand, according to Reis Inc.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications were decreasing. Statistics from Default Research showed that foreclosures and defaults had significantly increased across California. Apartment rents fell and vacancy rates increased to a 4 year high. Freddie Mac reported that mortgage rates fell for the 9th week in a row.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/8/09

Thursday, October 8th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

A government report shows that the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury spent $1.2 trillion dollars on the U.S. mortgage market in fiscal 2009. The Department of Labor announced that the weekly unemployment claims decreased by 33,000.  Statistics from Freddie Mac show that mortgage rates for 30-year fixed U.S. home loans fell to 4.87 percent from 4.94 percent last week. Trulia reports that U.S. home sellers reduced their price by a total of $28.4 billion.

In The News:

Mortgage Orb“Fed Proposes Changes To TALF Collateral Assessments” (10-6-09)

“The board has proposed a rule that would establish criteria for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to determine the Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations (NRSROs) whose ratings are accepted for determining the eligibility of ABS to be pledged as collateral at the TALF.”

Mortgage Orb“Frank To Propose Loan Plan For Unemployed Borrower” (10-6-09)

“With the unemployment rate having reached a 26-year high of 9.8% in September, Rep. Barney Frank, D-Mass., asserts that Troubled Asset Relief Program funds repaid by banks should be used to help unemployed borrowers avoid foreclosure.”

DSNews - “Community Mortgage Banks Organize to Temper Re-regulation Efforts” (10-8-09)

“Community banks complain that the Secure and Fair Enforcement for Mortgage Licensing Act of 2008 imposes burdensome requirements on non-deposit-taking lenders, while exempting federally regulated deposit institutions. The community banks are also concerned that the proposed Consumer Financial Protection Agency will end up imposing new regulations that will disadvantage smaller institutions.”

DSNews - “White House Won’t Commit to Homebuyer Tax Credit; Economists Remain Split” (10-7-09)

“The tax benefit for first-time purchasers – an emergency measure that was approved as part of the federal government’s stimulus to the ailing residential housing sector – is set to expire on Nov. 30. But despite appeals by trade advocacy groups to extend the credit, the White House said this week that it hadn’t made a decision on the matter.”

DSNews - “Feds Spent $1.2 Trillion to Keep Fannie, Freddie, Others Afloat in FY 2009″ (10-7-09)

“The U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve pumped a total of $1.2 trillion in investments into the U.S. mortgage market in fiscal 2009, according to a report by the government last week.”

Department of Labor“UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE WEEKLY CLAIMS REPORT” (10-8-09)

“In the week ending Oct. 3, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 521,000, a decrease of 33,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 554,000. The 4-week moving average was 539,750, a decrease of 9,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 548,750. The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 4.5 percent for the week ending Sept. 26, a decrease of 0.1 percentage point from the prior week’s unrevised rate of 4.6 percent.”

Inman - “The right time for bulk buyers?” (10-8-09)

“According to Chris Wiley, co-founder of REOLynx, the most aggressive bulk-package bidders he’s seen are typically local and regional investors whose bids have been 35 percent to 45 percent less than the average sales price or listing price of the development’s units.”

Bloomberg - “Corus May Be Model as Investors Seek Troubled Assets” (10-8-09)

“Starwood Capital Group LLC and TPG’s agreement to buy $4.5 billion of Corus Bankshares Inc.’s real estate assets shows investors are ready to bet on distressed property — as long as the U.S. helps finance the deals.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Rates in U.S. Fall to 4.87%, Freddie Says” (10-8-09)

“Mortgage rates for 30-year fixed U.S. home loans fell for the second consecutive week, pushing borrowing costs to near record lows. The average U.S. 30-year rate dropped to 4.87 percent from 4.94 percent last week. The 15-year rate was 4.33 percent, mortgage buyer Freddie Mac of McLean, Virginia, said today in a statement.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Retail Center Vacancies Rise to 17-Year High, Reis Says” (10-8-09)

“Vacancies at U.S. shopping centers rose in the third quarter to a 17-year high as unemployment climbed, consumers cut spending and stores closed, real estate research company Reis Inc. said.”

Bloomberg - “Home Sellers in U.S. Cut Prices by $28.4 Billion, Trulia Says” (10-8-09)

“U.S. home sellers cut their asking prices by a total of $28.4 billion to attract buyers as the real estate recovery stalled, Trulia Inc. said. The average discount was 10 percent as of Oct. 1, the San Francisco-based real estate data provider said today. Homes listed for more than $2 million were cut the most, with owners taking an average of 14 percent off the original price. Luxury homes accounted for 25 percent of all of the reductions.”

Bloomberg - “Marriott Reports Loss for Third Quarter on Timeshares” (10-8-09)

“Marriott International Inc., the biggest U.S. hotel chain, reported a third-quarter loss after a $752 million pretax charge for its timeshare business. The net loss in the 12 weeks ended Sept. 11 was $466 million, or $1.31 a share, compared with a profit of $94 million, or 25 cents, a year earlier, the Bethesda, Maryland- based company said in a statement today.”

Housing Wire“Moody’s Projects Default Rates to Fall in 2010″ (10-8-09)

“The US speculative-grade default rate swelled in Q309 as the economy continued to work its way through recession, unemployment remained high and loan performance remained weak, but analysts expect a sharp decline by this time next year, according to a report from Moody’s Investment Services. Moody’s analysts project the default rate of issuers reached 12.9% in Q309 on varying types of loan collateral from mortgages to automobiles. The quarterly US default rate rose from 11.5% in the previous quarter and spiked from 3.2% at this time last year, according to the report.”

Housing Wire“Buyer Discount Off Listing Price Drops in August, Says Zillow” (10-8-09)

“Buyers paid a median of 3% below the last listing price for properties in August. While that amounts to $6,525 in savings for homebuyers, it’s less than the median 3.3% — $7,018 — buyers paid below asking price in July, according to the latest Zillow Real Estate Market Report.”