The Norris Group Blog

California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘realtor’

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/17/10

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

 CBIA announced that housing affordability has decreased in 22 of California’s 28 metropolitan areas. The Commerce Department reports that housing and apartment construction increased by 2.8 percent last month. According to SFAR, there is a 3.5 month supply of housing inventory in the San Francisco market. A survey shows that large investment companies are spending more on REIT investments.

In The News:

CBIA“California Housing Affordability Continues Slide in Fourth Quarter, CBIA Announces” (2-17-10)

“Housing affordability in California continued to fall throughout most of the state during the fourth quarter of 2009, the California Building Industry Association said today. The quarterly National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index found that homes were less affordable in 22 of the state’s 28 metro areas included in the report.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (2-17-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 12, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 0.5 percent compared with the previous week.”

Los Angeles Times“Housing construction rises 2.8 percent in Janury” (2-17-10)

“The Commerce Department said Wednesday that construction of new homes and apartments rose 2.8 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 591,000 units. That was better than the 580,000 annual pace that economists were forecasting.”

Housing Wire“Continental Conflicts Arising Over Banker Pay” (2-17-10)

“The majority of banking executives oppose government intervention in setting bank compensation parameters, according to a bank executive survey conducted from Nov. 17-Dec. 3, 2009 by US audit firm Grant Thornton. The sentiment, however, is not as greatly embraced abroad. The survey found 96% of 246 respondents do not agree the government should play a role in determining compensation, while 61% do not think a requirement to evaluate compensation will reduce excessive risk-taking.”

Housing Wire“San Francisco Inventory at 3.5 Month Supply” (2-17-10)

“Despite a lull in luxury home sales, prices are up and inventory is down in the San Francisco market, according to a joint research report released by the Rosen Consulting Group and the San Francisco Association of Realtors. The report said there is a 3.5-month supply of single-family homes on the market, down from 5.8 months in January 2009. Condo inventory was at a 4.1-month supply, down from 9.5 months in January 2009.”

Housing Wire“FHFA Proposes New Performance Goals for Fannie, Freddie” (2-17-10)

“The FHFA required, as the first goal for single-family housing, that 27% of the total number of mortgages purchased by Fannie and Freddie be of low-income family housing. The FHFA defined low-income as not exceeding 80% of the area median income.”

Inman - “5 arguments for open houses” (2-17-10)

“Want to pick a fight in a roomful of real estate agents? Ask them whether they think open houses are worthwhile. We did the virtual equivalent of that, sending out an online request for comments from real estate agents about the effectiveness of open houses — and they responded by filling up the old inbox faster than we could clean it out. Their responses range from passionate conviction that open houses are ‘a must,’ to cynical observations that they’re of benefit to no one other than to agents who are trolling for new clients.”

Realty Times“Investor Report: REITs” (2-17-10)

“New York and London-based research firm Preqin reports that 62 percent of the large investment companies it surveyed said they plan to buy into – or add to their holdings – of private equity REITs, or real estate investment trusts. That’s up from 45 percent in a similar survey Preqin conducted in early 2009.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAHB reported that builder confidence reached an all-time low. CBIA claimed that the pace of new home sales was continuing on a decreasing trend. The California government ended 20,000 jobs. S&P estimated that commercial real estate defaults would reach 3.5 percent by the end of 2009.

Tip of the iceberg by Bruce Norris, An Introduction in Parts

Friday, February 5th, 2010

By request we have broken up the introduction into smaller pieces so viewing is faster.  In these four video sections, Bruce Norris discusses his upcoming California market timing udpate, Tip of the Iceberg. Tip of the Iceberg explores micro trends in California and helps prepare real estate professionals for the years ahead. Some of the conclusions might surprise you!

To register for the seminar, visit our event portion of the website http://www.thenorrisgroup.com/training/tip-of-the-iceberg

Who should attend: investors, Realtors, mortgage professionals, and market timing nerds (you know who you are).

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/20/10

Wednesday, January 20th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA’s Market Composite Index shows that loan application volume increased by 9.1 percent. Policy changes for FHA will consequently cause borrowers to pay more on their FHA-insured mortgages. HUD reports that housing starts declined 4% in December. Regional housing inflation rose 0.2% in Southern California.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association“Refinance Applications Increase as Mortgage Rates Fall in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (1-20-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 15, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 9.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 10.4 percent compared with the previous week and decreased 52.3 percent compared with the same week one year earlier.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“MBA Comments on Changes to FHA Credit Policy” (1-20-10)

“Borrowers may have to pay a little more for their FHA-insured mortgages or certain borrowers will have to put more money down for their home, but these changes are necessary given the stress that the housing downturn has put on the FHA program.”

Housing Wire“Commercial Real Estate Investor Demand to Grow in 2010″ (1-20-10)

“The start of 2010 is showing signs of growing investor demand in US commercial real estate, and potentially in related secondary markets, despite the lagging performance of underlying collateral. The pick-up is also predicted to be mirrored in similar markets in Europe and Asia; areas expected to see comparatively better performance. In a report from the rating agency Moody’s, analysts project some pick-up in commercial real estate (CRE) demand after Q409, which would help markets after little movement for much of the year.”

Housing Wire“Housing Starts Drop, Permits Up in December” (1-20-10)

“After jumping up 8.9% one month earlier, housing starts declined 4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 557,000 in December, according to the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the Commerce Department’s Census Bureau.”

Housing Wire - “BofA Posts $5.2bn Loss in Q409 After TARP Repayment” (1-20-10)

“In the same quarter of 2008, BofA posted a net less of $2.4bn, or $0.48 per diluted share. Excluding the $4bn TARP repayment, BofA had a net loss of $194m in Q409, which narrowed from the $1.8bn loss from a year earlier. For all of 2009, BofA reported a net income of $6.3bn, an improvement from $4bn in 2008.”

Housing Wire“Morgan Stanley Posts $413m Q409 Profit as Real Estate Gains” (1-20-10)

“Firm-wide results for the full year reflected $1.9bn of net losses on real estate investments ‘amidst the ongoing industry-wide decline in this market,’ Morgan Stanley said in the earnings statement.”

Housing Wire“Wells Fargo Posts Record $12.3bn Annual Net Income” (1-20-10)

“Wells Fargo said mortgage originations and servicing revenue was $3.4bn in the quarter, and its total mortgage banking noninterest income accounted for 15% of the company’s consolidated Q409 revenue. The bank had $1.2bn in income from mortgage origination and sales activities on $94bn of residential mortgage originations and $144bn of applications.”

Bloomberg - “‘Tranche Warfare’ Erupts as Property Owners Slide Into Default” (1-20-10)

“Infighting among lenders with different classes of debt, called tranches, is on the rise in the hotel industry and throughout the $3.5 trillion market for commercial real estate loans after property prices fell more than 40 percent from their peak in 2007. Commercial mortgage defaults more than doubled to 3.4 percent in last year’s third quarter from a year earlier.”

Bloomberg - “Property Bonds Beat Corporates as Simon Sells: Credit Markets” (1-20-10)

“Real estate borrowers are leading the rally in U.S. corporate bonds as investors add to bets property companies will weather an increase in commercial mortgage defaults. Bonds sold by real-estate investment trusts, shopping-mall owners and office landlords have gained 3.27 percent this month, exceeding 3.18 percent for all of the fourth quarter, and BBB rated commercial mortgage bonds returned 3.59 percent, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes. The gains are the biggest among investment-grade issuers, which returned 1.65 percent so far in 2010, the indexes show.”

Orange County Register“SoCal housing inflation lowest in 32+ years” (1-20-10)

“Overall regional housing inflation rose 0.2% for the year, lowest since they started this data series in 1977. Household energy costs fell 8.8% last year, biggest drop in the series that dates to 1977.”

Orange County Register“408 south coast homes in default on loans” (1-20-10)

“There are hundreds of homes in Dana Point, Laguna Beach and San Clemente that are in default on their mortgages and in danger of being foreclosed. According to Trulia.com, a total of 408 homes in these south coastal communities have received a notice of default from their bank, which typically follows one or often a series of missed mortgage payments and a late notice.”

Inman - “Zillow, Trulia slip in Hitwise ratings” (1-20-10)

“Realtor.com remained the dominant Web site in the real estate category, with 6.79 percent market share. Rounding out the top 10 Web sites were Yahoo! Real Estate (3.8 percent), Zillow (3.5 percent), ZipRealty (2.91 percent), eBay’s Rent.com (2.57 percent), Service Magic (2.27 percent), Trulia.com (2.16 percent), Homes.com (1.99 percent), MSN Real Estate (1.78 percent) and Apartments.com (1.32 percent).”

Inman - “Google, RPR and the future” (1-20-10)

“Marty Frame, president of NAR’s Realtors Property Resource, which seeks to create a national database of property information and a new property-valuation system for Realtors to access, discusses RPR plans with Dale Ross, RPR CEO.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, congress voted to use the second half of the $700 billion TARP bailout. FHA was offering 3.5%-down mortgages to qualified buyers. Nouriel Roubini predicted that the U.S. financial crisis may reach $3.6 trillion. Dataquick reported that foreclosures made up just 6 percent of resales in August 2007.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/5/09

Wednesday, January 6th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the NAR, pending home sales decreased by 16 percent from October to November. The Mortgage Bankers Association believes that the third quarter of 2009 likely marked the end of the recession, but expects to see continuous trouble in the real estate market. Lockhart predicts there will be another spike in foreclosure activity. Realtors warn that buying REO properties can be risky for business.

In The News:

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Down from Surge but Higher than a Year Ago” (1-5-09)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in November, fell 16.0 percent to 96.0 from an upwardly revised 114.3 in October, but is 15.5 percent higher than November 2008 when it was 83.1.”

Mortgage Bankers AssociationCommercial/Multifamily Real Estate Market Continues to Feel Effects of Economic Downturn” (1-5-09)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Commercial Real Estate/Multifamily Finance Quarterly Data Book for the third quarter of 2009. Though technically the third quarter likely marked the end of the recession, strains on various parts of the commercial/multifamily real estate market continue to be felt. This analysis focuses on the overall state of the economy and the resulting impacts on real estate fundamentals, mortgage originations, mortgage debt outstanding and mortgage performance in the third quarter.”

Sacramento BeeAid offered to first-time homebuyers” (1-5-09)

“Roseville has been awarded $1.3 million to help first-time buyers who meet an income qualification to buy bank-owned homes, according to the city’s Web site. To qualify for the down-payment assistance, households need to earn less than 80 percent of the area median income, adjusted for household size. For example, the maximum income for a two-person household is $46,600 and four-person household is $58,250.”

CNBC - “Time To Reduce Mortgage Principal Payments: Lockhart” (1-5-09)

“Although the latest Case-Shiller Index indicates the housing market has been improving for the last five months, there could be another spike in foreclosures, said Lockhart. While banks and investors have already marked down mortgages on their books, he said, that benefit has not yet been passed onto homeowners.”

Bloomberg - Silicon Valley ‘Bloodbath’ Leaves Entire Office Buildings Empty” (1-5-09)

Silicon Valley is beset by the biggest office property glut since the dot-com bust, leaving the U.S. technology hub with empty high-rises and office parks that make it impossible for landlords to sustain average rents. More than 43 million square feet (4 million square meters) — the equivalent of 15 Empire State Buildings — stood vacant at the end of the third quarter, the most in almost five years, according to CB Richard Ellis Group Inc. San Jose, Sunnyvale and Palo Alto have 11 empty office buildings with about 3 million square feet of the best quality space.”

Inman - “Foreclosure.com files for bankruptcy” (1-5-09)

“The parent company of Foreclosure.com and a stable of more than 150 other Web sites says its doors will remain open after two lawsuits forced it to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection”

Inman - “REOs are risky business” (1-5-09)

“Bank-owned, foreclosed properties — also known as REOs — represent a huge opportunity for real estate agents and buyers alike, but can also pose a huge risk for your business.”

Realty Times“Real Estate Outlook: 2010 Stark Contrast to 2009″ (1-5-09)

“Home sales have been rising for months, thanks in part to the federal tax credit programs; new home starts and permits are up in most parts of the country; and prices generally are trending up in most of the markets that got shell-shocked in the bust.”

Realty Times“Part 1: 10 Essentials For Avoiding A Bad Real Estate Agent When Selling Your Home” (1-5-09)

“If performance and track record mean anything to you, make sure you ask each Realtor to bring a current copy of their MLS ‘inventory report’ for the last 2 years so you can see for yourself how many homes they have actually “sold!” This will also reveal exactly how many homes they have Active, In Escrow, Closed, Expired and so on. The inventory report is basically a report card that almost nobody ever asks for, but every agent could easily provide. The results are real, tangible, and will separate the top producers from the casual part timers and other poor performing real estate agents.”

Realty Times“Compound Advantages in 2010″ (1-5-09)

“Compound interest is interest on interest. That is, interest on the original amount, the principal, and also interest charged on accumulating interest. For instance, with semi-annual compounding, the amount of interest charged over six months is added to the balance to create a new amount on which to calculate interest. Compounding is a savings boost for investors, but a debt accelerator in mortgages and other compound-interest debts.”

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/13/09

Friday, November 13th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

The FHA told Congress that its cash reserve fund has decreased to $3.6 billion. According to Move.com, the number of consumers displaying interest in purchasing a home has doubled since March of 2009.  Realtors and mortgage brokers are expressing dissatisfaction with HVCC because of its poor use of appraisal management companies.

In The News:

DSNews - “FHA Audit Shows Reserve Funds Below Mandated Limit” (11-13-09)

“The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) told Congress and reporters Thursday that its cash reserve fund has deteriorated to $3.6 billion – the lowest it’s been in the agency’s 75-year history.”

DSNews - “Low-Cost Foreclosures Attract Investors” (11-13-09)

“According to a homeownership survey released Wednesday by Move.com, the number of consumers interested in investing in real estate has doubled since March 2009. The number of buyers planning to purchase a home as an investment property increased to 12.1 percent, compared to 5.6 percent just seven months ago.”

DSNews - “Trade Group Challenges Critics’ Claims of ‘Out-of-Town’ Appraisers” (11-13-09)

“Realtors and mortgage brokers have voiced the most opposition to the HVCC rule, with one of their primary criticisms being that appraisal management companies (AMCs) assign properties to appraisers regardless of their geographic competency, resulting in low-quality and low-ball appraisals that impede home sales.”

Housing Wire“FDIC Asks Banks for $45Bn of Prepaid Assessments” (11-13-09)

“FDIC expects to collect around $45bn in prepaid assessments, which will strengthen the cash position of the Deposit Insurance Fund at a time when weekly bank failures take substantial hits on the fund. Institutions must prepay their estimated risk-based assessments for Q409 through Q412 along with the assessment for Q309, FDIC said in a financial institution letter. This prepayment, due December 30, will not immediately affect bank earnings, FDIC said, as the industry’s liquid reserve balances totaled more than $1.3trn as of June 30.”

Bloomberg - “Central Plains Recovery to Outpace Rest of U.S., Moody’s Says” (11-13-09)

“Central Plains states and cities are showing signs of recovery sooner than the rest of the U.S., thanks to strong commodities prices, lower unemployment and more stable housing, Moody’s Investors Service said.”

Inman - “MLSCloud.com looms larger” (11-13-09)

“An online network of public-facing multiple listing Web sites, launched six months ago, now features dozens of participating associations and MLSs that together represent about 612,000 Realtors, according to an announcement Thursday, which is more than half of the U.S. Realtor population. MLSCloud.com serves as a consumer portal to its participants’ individual public-facing property-search Web sites, and features a clickable U.S. map to bring consumers to the most relevant sites.”

Orange County Register“Home prices, sales up in 20 O.C. ZIPs” (11-13-09)

“37 of O.C.’s 83 ZIP codes had gains in their respective median selling price. Overall, prices were +4.8% vs. a year ago. 6 of 83 O.C. ZIPs had median sales prices above $1 million in the period vs. 11 million-dollar ZIPs when the county median price peaked in June 2007.”

Orange County Register“Best homebuying October in 4 years?” (11-13-09)

“Shoppers bought 3,082 residences — that is +9.2% vs. year-ago buying activity. (From 1997-2006, monthly sales averaged 4,304 per month.) Assuming the month finished at the last reported sale space, this would be the most active October for local homebuying since 2005!”

Realty Times“Challenges for Sales Professionals” (11-13-09)

“The proper screening of calls by an effective gatekeeper can save hours weekly. Too often, issues, problems, and challenges that could be handled by another penetrate the walls and enter our world. These problems could be minor or major in nature, but granting unfiltered access creates large amounts of lost time for many sales people. There should be a limit in terms of time and people who have access to you. Successful people have a short list of people who have unfiltered access to them. They do not deviate from this short list of people. These people on the short list can interrupt the schedule any hour of the day based on their importance. ”

Realty Times“Sixteen Ways to Keep Your Seller Happy” (11-13-09)

“1) Notify him as soon as the listing hits the MLS and send him a copy of the listing. 2) Send him links to all your online advertising (Realtor.com, Craigslist, Postlets, your virtual tour, your own blog, etc.). 3) Send him a copy of the home brochure before it goes to print and ask for feedback.”

Looking Back:

Last year, CitiGroup eliminated 50,000 jobs. Goldman Sachs was accused of attempting to make a profit at the expense of their clients by naked short selling. Housing starts were expected to hit a half-century low.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/11/09

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

The CBIA report shows that September sales for new-home communities have decreased by 11 percent from 2008. Foreclosure activity increased by 5 percent from August to September. According to Trulia, nearly 26 percent of homes were decreased in price from the previous month, and the total value of those price reductions is $28.1 billion.

In The News:

CBIA - “California New-Home Sales Down Again in September, CBIA Announces” (11-11-09)

“The monthly CBIA/Hanley Wood Market Intelligence (HWMI) New-Home Sales and Pricing Report showed that sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 11 percent below September 2008, an improvement from the 13 percent year-over-year decline last month and the much higher declines in previous months. During September, 2,310 new homes and condominiums were sold in the subdivisions tracked by Costa Mesa-based HWMI, compared to 2,580 in September 2008. Sales of single-family homes were down by 17 percent, while sales of townhomes and ‘plexes’ – duplexes, triplexes, etc. – were down 11 percent and sales of condominiums were 12 percent higher than a year ago.”

Orange County Register“Foreclosure notices hit record 8,800″ (11-11-09)

“September’s total was up 5% from August and 90% from a year ago. The chart (click for larger image) shows outstanding auction notices going back to January 2007. Auction notices, also known as notices of trustee’s sale, are a warning that a property will be offered for sale, usually at a local courthouse.”

Los Angeles Times“Existing-home prices slide in most metropolitan areas” (11-11-09)

“The U.S. median sale price for an existing single-family home was $177,900, an 11.2% drop from the same period a year earlier, according to the National Assn. of Realtors in Washington. Distressed sales continued to weigh on prices despite a popular tax credit fueling the volume of deals. Still, the median was higher than in the second quarter of this year, when it was $174,200.”

Housing Wire“CMBS TALF May Bring New Issue in November: Sources” (11-11-09)

“Industry reports indicate a number of firms are gearing up to sell the first round of debt under the Fed’s CMBS TALF program for new issuance. The firms include Developers Diversified Realty Corp. (DDR: 9.02 +5.99%), which in October said it obtained new first mortgage financing of $400m from Goldman Sachs Commercial Mortgage Capital, an affiliate of Goldman Sachs & Co.”

Housing Wire“Loss Severity May Reverse Recent Stability: Amherst” (11-11-09)

“the firm sees ‘temporary’ stabilization of house prices, as 7.5m units or 13.5% of US homeowners are in non-payment status. Amherst previously explained its reasoning for calculating 7m of those are ‘destined’ to liquidate, which hangs a shadow of distressed inventory over the positive signs seen in the US housing market.”

Housing Wire“Refinancing Interest Boosts MBA’s Weekly Mortgage Apps” (11-11-09)

“MBA’s refinance index increased 14.5% from the previous week. The association’s purchase index decreased 1.8%. Refinance applications took a 66.1% share of all applications, up from 62.3% in the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of all applications decreased to 6.1% from 6.9%.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Home Sellers Slash Prices by $28.1 Billion, Trulia Says” (11-11-09)

“The average discount was 10 percent, little changed from a month earlier, the San Francisco-based real estate data provider said today. Almost 26 percent of homes for sale were reduced at least once. Luxury properties — those costing $2 million or more — accounted for 25 percent of the dollar value of reductions and less than 2 percent of listings, Trulia said. ”

Inman - “Realogy in the black for Q3″ (11-11-09)

“Real estate franchisor and brokerage Realogy Corp. said it turned a $58 million profit in the third quarter, thanks in part to a debt restructuring that allowed the company to claim a $75 million gain and stay in compliance with agreements governing nearly $3 billion in loans.”

Inman - “GMAC Real Estate unites with Real Living” (11-11-09)

“A major real estate brokerage company merger gives GMAC Real Estate a new name while expanding the Real Living real estate brand and growing the U.S. operations of Canada-based Brookfield Residential Property Services. The merger of GMAC Real Estate and Real Living, which will operate under the Real Living name and under parent company Brookfield, represents the second sizable U.S. expansion of Brookfield operations in the past two years.”

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/7/09

Wednesday, October 7th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

New housing regulations set for 2010 will increase the required down payment for FHA loans to 5 percent. According to John Burns Real Estate Consulting, home prices will likely decrease again as delayed REOs hit the market. Both the NAR and the MBA are in favor of extending the first time home buyer tax credit, and have expressed their concerns to Congress. A survey from the California Association of Realtors shows that 46 percent of California Realtors use some sort of social networking website in their work. Another article focuses on vacancies in the market.

In The News:

Housing Wire“FHA Confusion Surrounds Mortgage Finance Regulation Change” (10-7-09)

“As new housing finance regulations take effect and even more are set for the beginning of 2010, a number of questions have arisen on the impact to Federal Housing Administration (FHA)-insured loans. A bill that calls for an increase to the down payment requirement for FHA loans from 3.5% to 5% would also prohibit borrowers from including closing costs in the principal of the mortgage.”

Housing Wire“Startup Wholesale Lender Tops $1bn Origination Volume” (10-7-09)

“NetMore America, a two-year-old wholesale and retail mortgage lender based in Walla Walla, Washington, announced it funded more than $1bn in loans during the fiscal year ending on Sept. 30. The company, which operates a wholesale channel in 22 states that accounts for 60% of its business, as well as retail branch system with 18 locations. Netmore said its origination business is 40% purchase loans and 60% refinancings, split evenly between Federal Housing Administration (FHA) loans and government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) mortgages.”

Housing Wire“REO Module Added to Portfolio Management Software” (10-7-09)

“San Diego-based servicing software developer xplair Technology updated its Web-based mortgage portfolio management platform, illumair Management System (iMS). The illumair platform connects financial institutions and investors with servicers and loss mitigation agents, where all parties can access comparative analytics, risk metrics and interactive charts on the mortgages that comprise a portfolio.”

Housing Wire“Delayed REO Sales will Drive Down House Prices, Says John Burns” (10-7-09)

“Despite recent projections that the housing market reached its trough and will recover in as little as 24 months, observers should expect a second leg down in what may shape up to be a “W”-shaped recovery, according to John Burns Real Estate Consulting.”

NAR - “Homebuyer Tax Credit Best Tool for Sustaining Housing Recovery, Says NAR” (10-7-09)

“The best available tool for sustaining the still-fragile housing market is the $8,000 homebuyer tax credit, and it is essential that Congress extend the credit into 2010, the National Association of Realtors® testified at a hearing of the U.S. House Small Business Committee today.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey; Third Consecutive Week 30-Year Fixed Rates Below Five Percent” (10-7-09)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending October 2, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 16.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index also increased 16.4 percent compared with the previous week.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Office Vacancies Reach Five-Year High of 16.5%, Reis Says” (10-7-09)

“U.S. office vacancies rose to a five- year high in the third quarter, as job losses deepened and employers abandoned space in the recession, property research firm Reis Inc. said. Vacancies climbed to 16.5 percent from 13.7 percent in the year since Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed for bankruptcy, New York-based Reis said in a report. Effective rents, the amount actually paid by tenants, fell 8.5 percent, the biggest year-over-year drop since 1995.”

Bloomberg - “Starwood Makes Winning Corus Bid in Jostle for Loans” (10-7-09)

“A group led by Starwood Capital LLC and TPG beat out seven other bidders to buy the assets of failed lender Corus Bankshares Inc. as investors vie to acquire commercial real estate loans at a fraction of their face value. The winning consortium, which also includes Perry Capital and WLR Lefrak, paid 60 cents on the dollar, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. said yesterday. The group will spend $554.4 million for a 40 percent managing stake in a company set up by the FDIC to hold $4.5 billion in mostly condominium loans, while the regulator will keep a 60 percent holding. ”

CAR - “C.A.R. releases ‘Use of Technology Survey’” (10-7-09)

“Forty-six percent of California REALTORS® surveyed report they use some type of social networking Web site to stay on top of trends in their business, according to the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®’ (C.A.R.) annual ‘Use of Technology Survey,’ released today at Tech Tuesday. The most popular social networking site among REALTORS® surveyed was LinkedIn (34 percent), followed by YouTube (13 percent) and MySpace (12 percent).”

Bloomberg - “California House Prices Forecast to Rise in 2010, Realtors Say” (10-7-09)

“The median price for detached, single-family homes in the most populous U.S. state likely will rise 3.3 percent to $280,000 next year, the California Association of Realtors said in its annual housing forecast, issued today. The number of sales will probably drop 2.3 percent to 527,500, following an estimated 23 percent increase this year.”

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 9/25/09

Friday, September 25th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Commerce Department reports that new home sales increased by .7 percent to a 429,000 annual pace. The Federal Reserve has decided to pump $1.25 trillion more dollars into the mortgage market. Freddie Mac’s 30 year fixed mortgage rates survey shows that rates are currently at an average of 5.04 percent.

In The News:

Bloomberg - “New-Home Sales in U.S. Climb to Almost One-Year High” (9-25-09)

“Sales increased 0.7 percent to a 429,000 annual pace, less than anticipated, figures from the Commerce Department showed today in Washington. Other reports showed orders for durable goods unexpectedly fell and consumer sentiment climbed.”

Bloomberg - “KB Home’s Net Loss Exceeds Estimates; Shares Fall” (9-25-09)

“KB Home, the Los Angeles-based homebuilder that sells to first-time buyers, reported a third- quarter loss exceeding analysts’ estimates and said a housing recovery isn’t imminent. The shares fell as much as 8.4 percent.”

Bloomberg - “Fed’s Strategy Reduces U.S. Bailout to $11.6 Trillion” (9-25-09)

“The Federal Reserve decided to keep pumping $1.25 trillion of new money into the mortgage market to focus on rescuing the U.S. economy as the financial system revives and banks ask for less help. The Fed is allowing some of the 10 support programs it created or expanded after the credit crisis began in August 2007 to expire or shrink. That caused the first decline in the amount of money the U.S. has committed on behalf of taxpayers to end the recession, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.”

Orange County Register“O.C. home prices slip in early Sept.” (9-25-09)

“Single-family homes resell for 32% less than their peak pricing (June ‘07) while condos sell 38% below their peak in March 2006. Builder prices for new homes are 46% below their February ‘05 top.”

Inman - “Tax credit big factor for first-timers” (9-25-09)

“Nearly one in five prospective first-time homebuyers say an extension of the tax credit for first-time homebuyers would be the biggest factor in deciding whether to buy a home by the end of 2010, according to a survey by real estate listings and valuation site Zillow.com.”

Inman - “Mortgage rates stay at 3-month lows” (9-25-09)

“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 5.04 percent with an average 0.6 point for the week ending Sept. 24, unchanged from a week ago and down from 6.09 percent a year ago, Freddie Mac said in releasing the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey.”

Realty Times“More Biz in a Tough Market: The One Question More Realtors Need to Ask” (9-25-09)

“go out of your way to position yourself as a problem solver. In other words, if someone says they’re interviewing several Realtors™, and she’d like to talk to you about the possibility of working together, go out of your way to understand her situation and add value where you can.”

Realty Times“Simplifying The Landlord Job” (9-25-09)

“A new site called PayYourRent.com aims to ease the process, eliminate the headaches for landlords, property managers, and tenants, and help facilitate rents payments. ‘What we do is we set up a merchant account that will send funds directly from the tenant’s account right into the owner’s account. It’s all completely electronic. The owner will receive an email that the payment has been made and the money will be deposited into the account,’ says Kevin Eberly, CEO of PayYourRent.com.”

131-TNG Radio – Pat Combs 7-18-09

Friday, July 17th, 2009

Pat-Combs

Pat Vredevoogd Combs

2007 President of the National Association of Realtors

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This week Bruce is joined by Pat Vredevoogd Combs. Pat is a Realtor from Grand Rapids, Michigan. She is the immediate past president of the National Association of Realtors. NAR is America’s largest professional association representing more than 1.3 million members involved in all aspects of residential and commercial industries.

In 2005-2006, Bruce had to change his hairstylist every few months because they would quit hairstyling and they would get into real estate. It seemed like everyone was getting a real estate license. Bruce asks Pat if this was true. Pat says that there were many people getting their license in California, Florida, and Nevada, but not in places like Michigan. The state you live in can greatly affect your perspective on real estate. In Michigan, real estate was in a down market while California and Florida were still booming.

Bruce asks if people are confused by the messages of profit being sent out by the media. When you listen to national news it seems like all markets are the same, and when Realtors work with buyers, the buyers expect this to be true. In 2006, the NAR released a lot of positive information, but many of its members were going through tough times. The NAR had to be very careful about which ads they used in different areas, because each market is different. They were once able to send the same general message to every market, but within the last few years they have had to do a better job of looking at each market individually in order to decide which ads were appropriate.

In 2009, there are multiple states going through a disastrous real estate market, and they are in a severe recession. Bruce asks if there is a tendency for new legislation to be made, in these kinds of economic scenarios, in order to fix the problem. Pat says that this does occur on a national basis. People once said, “If you can breathe, you can get a loan.” Right now, this is not the case. There are some good buyers who are having difficulty getting loans today.

Bruce asks if Pat was surprised when lenders decided that these new strict lending policies were okay. Pat claims that she was surprised by this. NAR partnered with The Center for Responsible Lending to do research on this subject and when they looked at the results of their research they realized that these lending policies were going to cause trouble. Pat testified before Congress in 2006 and 2007, claiming that these policies were going to cause trouble.

There are many groups within real estate who do not look at other real estate groups as partners. Bruce and Pat think that if these groups would work together that these groups could get much more done for the industry. The NAR meets with companies like Mortgage Bankers Association, Habitat for Humanity, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac. Bruce asks Pat if investors like himself might have something to contribute to these meetings. The Rental Property Association and other major national associations do come together to contribute to these meetings.

NAR just celebrated its 100th birthday, it has 1.3 million members around the United States, it has a staff of lobbyists in Washington, D.C., and it also has relationships with 64 countries. These factors contribute to their ability to be heard in Congress.

Bruce thinks that the input NAR gives in congress is vital, because he doubts that many of the Congress members have the time to read through the bills they sign. NAR’s lobbyists are very well respected and well rated. NAR also has a great grassroots groups. There are Realtors involved in politics and they have the ability to influence members in Congress.

Bruce asks what NAR’s lobbyists do on a regular basis. NAR’s lobbyist help educate Congress. They can take a 400 page document and give Congress members a general idea of what it means and what effect it will have on the U.S. They really help educate.

Hastily created legislation can have unintended consequences. Bruce asks how the Home Valuation Code of Conduct has affected the market. Pat does not think that this legislation has really impacted the market yet. What Realtors are discovering is that all appraisals must go through a new agency that has been formed and this agency is using appraisers who are more desperate. These appraisers are doing appraisals for areas that they are not familiar with, and they are doing these jobs for very low pay.

Pat understands that this agency was formed because people wanted impartial appraisals, but you cannot do an impartial appraisal when you do not know the market. Pat has had trouble completing transactions because these foreign appraisers would appraise her homes at low prices while the sale was being processed. Bruce runs into this kind of problem every time he tries to sell a house. The appraisers are falsely comparing the value of his well fixed homes to vacant REOs. Bruce and Pat think that it would be best if HVCC was annulled. NAR members are meeting with people in Washington and New York to get this legislation changed.

Bruce asks how important the first time home buyer tax credit has been for business. Pat thinks that this tax credit has been fabulous, and she wishes that this tax credit was given to all buyers. In Michigan, first time buyers who were not previously interested in buying real estate are now occupying homes because of this tax credit. A lot of inventory is getting taken off the inventory. Now that those homes are being sold, the sellers are going to able to move themselves up in the market place. Pat also thinks that it would be good if the dollar amount of the tax credit was increased. This tax credit is different from the subprime deals, because people have to qualify for this credit and they must have a down payment. They can now use the $8,000 dollar credit as part of their closing costs, but it is troublesome to go through that process, and Pat has not seen many people doing that.

FHA is becoming more influential in the financing market. Bruce asks Pat if there are any changes she would like to see in that program. NAR is currently working to push the FHA’s maximum price limit increased. For years, no one in California could get an FHA loan because California’s real estate was too expensive. Pat and Bruce are using FHA on almost all of their sales. Bruce dislikes the program that restricts investors from quickly fixing houses so that they can be quickly resold. This program does not allow sellers to use FHA loans for 90 days after the house has been bought. There is a loan for owner occupants right now called the 203K. The 203K helps people buy homes that need fixing. Bruce asks if Pat has seen many of these loans take place in her market. Pat says that she has not. Right now, lenders do not seem to be even suggesting it.

Bruce asks Pat if she is afraid that Congress might try to take tax dollars from interest reductions. Pat is opposed to changing mortgage interest deductions. Every time Congress creates legislation to create money for one thing, they end up taking money away from something else. She knows that the current administration is interested in doing this, but she thinks that it would be a mistake to do that. This market needs as much help as it can get, and doing this might have a devastating effect on markets that are improving.

Pat is a native of Grand Rapids, Michigan and is a REALTOR with Coldwell Banker AJS Schmidt Realty. Pat was a broker/part-owner of AJS Realty before selling in 2006 to Coldwell Banker Schmidt.

Pat is married to team member Guy Combs and is the proud mother and step-mom to six great kids and grandmother of Ethan, Anna, Claire, Violet and Elsa.

Her career in Real Estate began in 1971 as an agent – then on to getting her Broker’s license and many higher education designations which are: ABR (Accredited Buyer’s Agent), CRS (Certified Residential Specialist), E-Pro, GRI (Graduate Real Estate Institute), PMN (Performance Management Network – Woman’s Council).

Many of Pat’s years were busy serving not only her clients but also her community and her professional associations. Here are a few things of note: 2007 President of the National Association of REALTORS, 2005 – 2008 Officer of the National Association of REALTORS, 2002 – REALTOR of the Year for the State of Michigan, 2002 – Chairman of the Michigan Real Estate Commission, 1997 – Regional Vice President – National Association of REALTORS, 1995 – President of the Michigan Association of REALTORS, 1990 – President of the Grand Rapids Association of REALTORS, and 1986 – President of the Michigan Woman’s Council of REALTORS,

For Many Years over the past 35+ years: Board Member of Baxter Community Center, Board Member of West Michigan Fair Housing Center, 4-H Leader (Horse Program), Cascade Township 4th of July Parade Float Contest Sponsor, Board Member of Cascade Township Foundation, Major Gift Chair for WGVU Public TV Auction, Guest on WGVU “Ask the Realtor” TV Program, and Testified before the US Congress and the US Senate.

124-TNG Radio – Elite Auctions 5-30-09

Friday, May 29th, 2009

elite-auctions

Elite Auctions

Randy Grigg and Mike Grigg

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This week, Bruce is joined again by Randy and Mike Grigg who head Elite Auctions. Randy Grigg is President of Elite Auctions and Mike Grigg is the Chief Auctioneer.

Last week, Bruce, Randy, and Mike discussed a Riverside auction in which a man bought a home out of the MLS. Because of the price deterioration in the market, Bruce said that the man should flip the property via auction. In the end, the buyer earned a large profit after the property sold. Bruce asks about the costs to market.

Randy and Mike Grigg discuss marketing and advertising and what the auction company does to attract attention. They are also able to show all their results to their clients, so that they know where their money is being spent. Bruce asks Mike and Randy how many people showed up to a particular open house they had. They had approximately 60 to 80 people come in to view their property. They typically have a successful auction when there are that many people attending their open house.

Whenever someone attends one of their auctions, they always ask the attendees how they heard about their auction. Only about 30 percent of their attendees go to the open house. In this case, the winning bidder did not go to the open house. The winning bidder owned rental properties in that same area, and he was attracted to the property from a post card advertisement. Altogether, 38 bidders showed up at the auction, and they all had $5,000 dollar cashiers checks. The home being sold needed paint, carpet, and the kitchen was in bad shape. Just down the street from their auction, REDC was selling similar inventory for $98,000. The final sale price for this house was $147,400. The investor bought the home for $75,000. What a fantastic deal. They closed the property in 12 days.

Bruce goes on to discuss what people consider to be a “deal”. Bruce believes that if that buyer owned homes in that same neighborhood then he might have paid more for every house that he owns than that particular one. People are used to thinking that real estate is so cheap, that they have forgotten that real estate used to be 2 or 3 times the current price. Sarah, Bruce’s daughter, bought a house very recently. From Bruce’s perspective, her deal was the interest rate she received. The market was at 5%. The man who bought this property knew the area he was buying in, so the purchase worked well for him.

Auctioning properties is challenging right now, because buyers are very cautious. In a market where prices are escalating quickly, the auctioneer will be ahead of the prices in the MLS. The consumers prove how much the auctioned property is worth when there is competition. Bruce believes that his properties in Rosamond would have sold better if they had been auctioned. Bruce is surprised builders don’t use this method instead.

Bruce asks what Mike’s duties are as the president of the California Auction Association. Mike’s main duty is following California government legislation in regards to real estate auctions. He also assists other auctioneers by showing them what they need to do to be a legitimate auctioneer. Mike arranges conferences where speakers come and talk about their specialties. The main goal is to better California’s auctioneers, so that they can offer better service to their clients.

Bruce asks Mike if there are California rules that trump national rules and vice versa. Mike says that auctioning rules vary greatly state to state, and that California is actually very lenient. Mike would like to see more legislation to stop people from holding deposits for lengthy amounts of time after the bid is rejected from the lender. Bidding on behalf of auctioneers is also something that needs to be addressed by legislation. Instead of an auctioneer having to be licensed like a realtor, there should be a separate real estate auction test. It’s very different.

Bruce asks Mike what C.A.R. thinks of real estate auctioning. Mike does not think that C.A.R. views auctions as a bad thing. There are some Realtors that view auctions as a threat to their business, but it is not . Mike and Randy pay Realtors if they bring in buyers and sellers.

Approximately 10 percent of the time a Realtor represents a client for his auctions. Occasionally, Realtors get confused by the process because they are not used to that method, but Mike does not feel that this has affected his ability to close a deal.

In the United States people have viewed auctioning as a necessary evil. Bruce asks Mike if he thinks that auctioning will have a strong foot hold in the real estate business in the future. Mike thinks that auctioning will become more important for real estate sales in the future. California seems to be far behind the rest of the United States in regards to understanding the value in auction sales.

Bruce believes that the key going forward is to have repetitive clients. If investors get the idea that they can efficiently sell houses in auctions then it would be constantly viewed by retail people as a respectable selling method. Mike believes that as the real estate market returns many of the big auction houses will go back to land auctions, but Mike and Randy’s business will stay as a local California business.

Bruce asks Randy what kind of perception change has taken place in the auction industry. Randy thinks that much of the public still view auctions as a fire sale, but many investors believe that it is an effective way to sale inventory. It depends on who you talk to.

Bruce discusses how variable the results can be when selling properties through auctions. The right person for the sale may or may not be attending. Often the problem with auction sales lies within the seller’s expectations. When people own properties, which they have assigned a feeling of value to, it can distort one’s perception of whether or not a property is being sold at the right price. Randy believes that houses sold through auctions are priced properly about 80 to 90 percent of the time.

Bruce asks Mike how different it is to auction real estate in comparison to other auctions. In real estate you do not get paid immediately. You have to go through escrow, and you have to understand how to deal with Realtors. An antique seller is not going to understand real estate, just as a real estate auctioneer will not understand antiques. In the rest of the auctioneer industry, you usually get paid immediately after the sale. Online auctions are also much different than the on site real estate auctions that Mike and Randy handle.

The number for Elite Auction is 661-325-6500, and their website is www.sellwithauction.com