The Norris Group Blog

California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘Realpoint’

By Bruce Norris .

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/20/10

Wednesday, October 20th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Mortgage application volume decreased 10.5% from last week, said the Mortgage Bankers Association. RealPoint reports CMBS delinquencies increased 1.3% in August. The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book shows economic growth continued in September. Fannie Mae expects total economic growth for this year to equal approximately 2.5%.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (10-20-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending October 15, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 10.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index also decreased 10.5 percent compared with the previous week.”

North State Building Industry Association – “CA Mechanic’s Lien Law – Be Current on the Changes, eff 1/1/11″ (9-1-10)

“This presentation will provide critical updates to builders, suppliers, and subcontractors regarding changes in California Mechanic’s Lien Law that will take effect beginning January 1, 2011. The importance of the changes cannot be overstated – claimants will lose their lien rights if the changes are not taken into account on active construction projects after the first of the coming year.”

Los Angeles Times – “Investors pressure Bank of America to buy back bad mortgages” (10-20-10)

“Several major investment firms are moving to force Bank of America Corp. to buy back bad mortgages that were issued by Countrywide before the lender was acquired by the financial giant.”

Housing Wire – “Architectural billings positive for first time since 2008: AIA” (10-20-10)

“The Architectural Billings Index indicated a growth in design activity in September for the first time since January 2008. The index reached 50.4, according to the American Institute of Architects which released its data Wednesday. The index was 48.2 in August and has increased for four consecutive months.”

Housing Wire – “CMBS unpaid balances reach $62.19 billion, CRE CDO delinquencies up” (10-20-10)

“In its monthly delinquency report, Realpoint said the delinquent unpaid balance for CMBS last month rose 1.3% to $62.19 billion from $61.39 billion in August. The gain of $801.2 million in September is higher than the previous two months, but below the average of $3.14 billion a month during the first half of 2010, according to Realpoint. A year ago, the delinquent unpaid balance was $31.73 billion.”

Housing Wire – “Beige Book shows modest growth in economy” (10-20-10)

“The economy continued growing between September and early October but at a modest pace, according to the Federal Reserve. Still, the Beige Book, which gathers anecdotal evidence of economic conditions in the dozen Fed districts nationwide, showed lingering weakness in the housing market with lower home sales in most districts.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Mae puts 2011 economic growth at 2.5%” (10-20-10)

“In its October economic outlook, the government-sponsored entity’s economics and mortgage market analysis group said the economic outlook remains clouded. The GSE sees growth of less than 2% as 2010 closes, with modest gains in the first half of next year and a ‘strengthening’ in the second half of next year.”

Bloomberg - “Apartment Rents Rise in U.S. West as Foreclosures Boost Apartment Demand” (10-20-10)

“Apartment rents rose across the U.S. West and South for the third straight quarter as record foreclosures boosted demand for rental housing, RealFacts said. The average asking rent climbed to $958 a month from $950 in the second quarter, according to a report released today by the Novato, California-based research company. It declined 0.7 percent from a year earlier.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, RealtyTrac’s Rick Sharga believed that approximately 450,000 to 500,000 repossessed properties had not yet been placed on the market. Default notices in California had decreased by 10.3 percent from the previous quarter and had increased by 18.5 percent from the previous year. The Commerce Department reported that housing and apartment construction increased by .5 percent with 1 month.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/6/10

Tuesday, July 6th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to Lender Processing Services, the national mortgage delinquency rate increased to 9.2% in May. Reis reports national office vacancies increased by 0.1 percent in the second quarter to 17.4 percent. The former CEO of Irvine Co. believes the housing and commercial real estate market will be rocky for the next year or two due to the volume of underwater loans. The former secretary of labor under President Clinton, Robert Reich, believes the U.S. economy will have a very slow recovery, and may experience a double dip.

In The News:

Yahoo - “Mortgage rates scream buy, but who is listening?” (7-3-10)

“Under normal circumstances, 4.58 percent would be irresistible. A decade ago, if you’d told David Christensen, owner of Mountain Lake Mortgage in Lakeside, Mont., that rates would drop this low, he wouldn’t have believed you. And if rates did somehow fall this far, he never thought he would lack for customers, as he does now. Yet both have come true. Christensen argues that mortgage lending standards have tightened so much since the financial crisis that many people with decent but not-stellar credit can’t qualify. Lenders are demanding stronger credit scores and higher down payments or home equity.”

Robert Reich – “Slouching Toward a Double Dip or a Lousy Recovery at Best” (7-3-10)

“In June the nation added fewer jobs than necessary merely to keep up with population growth (private hiring rose by 83,000 after adding only 33,000 jobs in May). The typical workweek declined. Average earnings dropped. Home sales are down. Retail sales are down. Factory orders in May suffered their biggest tumble since March of last year. ”

Housing Wire – “National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Swells to 9.2% in May: LPS” (7-6-10)

“The national mortgage delinquency rate grew to 9.2% in May, up 2.3% from a month earlier and 7.9% from a year earlier, according to the latest report from mortgage performance data and analytics provider Lender Processing Services (LPS: 31.41 -0.16%).”

Bloomberg - “Profit Upgrades Clash With El-Erian’s Fading Recovery” (7-6-10)

“Analysts are raising earnings estimates for U.S. companies at the fastest rate since at least 2004 just as stocks post the biggest losses in 16 months on concern that the economy will sink back into a recession. Profit for Standard & Poor’s 500 Index companies will jump 34 percent in 2010, compared with a projected gain of 27 percent on March 29, according to more than 8,000 estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The revision, the most during any quarter in at least six years, came as lower-than-forecast home sales, manufacturing and private-sector job growth sent the benchmark gauge for American equities down 16 percent since April 23.”

Bloomberg - “Office Vacancy Rate in U.S. Climbs to 17-Year High, Reis Says” (7-6-10)

“Office vacancies in the U.S. rose to the highest level since 1993 in the second quarter as the sluggish economic recovery damps demand from corporate tenants, Reis Inc. said in a report. The vacancy rate climbed to 17.4 percent from 16 percent a year earlier and 17.3 percent in the first quarter, the New York-based research company said today in a statement. Effective rents, the amount tenants actually pay landlords, fell 5.7 percent from a year earlier and 0.9 percent from the previous three months, according to Reis.”

Bloomberg - “Property Bonds Slump Most Since ’09 on Slowdown: Credit Markets” (7-6-10)

“Bonds sold by real-estate companies are performing the worst compared with the rest of the market since March 2009 on concern the slowing economic recovery will cause more defaults. Yield premiums of bonds sold by real-estate investment trusts, shopping-mall owners and office landlords widened 9 basis points, or 0.09 percentage point, more than those on other debt in June, and continued to rise this month, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes.”

Orange County Register – “Adjustable mortgages back in fashion?” (7-6-10)

“DataQuick reports that 10% of Orange County home buyers who financed their home purchases in May used some sort of adjustable mortgage — the highest level of variable-loan use since August 2008. The bottom for adjustable-loan use was April and May of 2009, when just 2.4% of financed deals had variable financing.”

Orange County Register – “Real estate outlook ‘rocky’ for 2 years” (7-6-10)

“The former CEO and vice chairman of the Irvine Co. says that the outlook for housing and commercial real estate will be rocky for the next year or two because of the volume of underwater loans.”

Housing Wire – “CMBS Delinquency Rate Triples From a Year Ago, Passes 7%: Realpoint” (7-6-10)

“Delinquencies in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) in the US reached 7.2% in May from 6.9% in April, and more than triple the rate a year ago, according to the analytics firm Realpoint. Realpoint tracks delinquency data on nearly $800bn of CMBS pools for the monthly reports. In May, the total delinquent unpaid balance for these loans reached $57.3bn, a $2.9bn increase from the previous month.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, a study of 3.5 million mortgages nationwide found that in June loan servicers held 32,000 foreclosure sales. Vacancy rates for rental properties increased to 5.3% in the first quarter of 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/29/10

Monday, March 29th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

A study from USC shows that immigrants are more attracted to mid-size cities. Goodman claims HAMP is bound to fail because of its failure to address negative equity. According to Realpoint, the delinquency rate among commercial mortgage-backed securities reached 6 percent last month. First American CoreLogic estimates the average home experiencing negative equity will not obtain positive equity until late 2015.

In The News:

NAHB - “New CRE Limits Could Jeopardize Housing and Economic Recovery” (3-29-10)

“Proposals by federal banking regulators to tighten restrictions on commercial real estate (CRE) lending could further exacerbate a severe acquisition, development and construction (AD&C) credit crisis that is choking off new home building activity and threatening the fragile housing recovery now under way, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).”

Orange County Register – “317,000 properties to get tax-cut review” (3-29-10)

“The Orange County Assessor’s office has announced plans to review the taxable value of 317,000 parcels this year to determine if their owners are eligible for further property tax cuts. That’s 35% of the nearly 900,000 real estate parcels in the county.”

Los Angeles Times – “Consumer spending up, sign of decent recovery” (3-29-10)

“The Commerce Department reported Monday that consumers boosted their spending by 0.3 percent in February. That was a tad slower than the 0.4 percent increase registered in January and marked the smallest increase since September. Still, the increase in spending was considered a respectable showing, especially given the snowstorms that slammed the East Coast and kept some people away from the malls. It marked the fifth straight month that consumer spending rose.”

Inman - “Study: Mid-size cities attract immigrants” (3-29-10)

“A growing number of immigrants are attracted to mid-size cities with lower housing costs, less competition for jobs, and increasing numbers of other immigrants, according to a recent study by the University of Southern California Lusk Center for Real Estate.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (3-29-10)

“Goodman criticized the first incarnation of the Making Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) because it did not address negative equity. According to her analysis, as long as borrowers are deeply underwater, they are unlikely to pay in the long term. Thus, the re-default rate will be very high, and the dead weight costs of foreclosure have not been avoided.”

Housing Wire – “New CMBS Projections Push 2010 Delinquencies into Double Digits” (3-29-10)

“In February 2010, the delinquency rate among commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) pools reached 6%, up from 5.7% in January and, according to the analytics firm Realpoint, could be possibly heading toward 11-to-12% by the end of the year. Realpoint tracked delinquency data on $797bn of CMBS pools for the report. The total delinquent unpaid balance for CMBS increased $1.8bn in February, up to $47.8bn. It’s an almost 300% increase from one-year ago when $11.9bn was reported for February 2009 and is now 21 times more than the trough of $2.2bn in March 2007.”

Housing Wire – “Positive Equity Won’t Return For Most Underwater Borrowers Until 2015″ (3-29-10)

“First American CoreLogic estimates that the typical US homeowner who is in negative equity will not experience positive equity until late 2015 to early 2016. In severely depressed markets, the typical borrower in negative equity may not experience positive equity until 2020 or later. CoreLogic projects more than 11.3m — or 24% — of all residential properties with mortgages had negative equity at the end of the Q409. While the largest decreases in home prices appear to have already happened, it remains to be seen when borrowers will return to positive equity.”

Bloomberg - “Goldman Capitulation on Dollar Shows Reversal on U.S.” (3-29-10)

“The strengthening U.S. economy, subdued inflation and rising stock prices are propelling the dollar rally into its fifth month as traders seek refuge from Europe’s fiscal crisis and Japanese deflation. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Citigroup Inc. ended bets on a falling dollar last week after the trades lost 2.8 percent. Strategists are raising greenback forecasts at the fastest pace since last March, just before U.S. stimulus efforts that poured as much as $12.8 trillion into the economy ended the currency’s strongest rally in 28 years. Median predictions for the dollar against 47 currencies tracked in Bloomberg surveys rose an average of 1.4 percentage points in the month to March 24.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/25/10

Thursday, February 25th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

A CAR survey shows that 67 percent of home sellers chose to sell because of their inability to pay mortgage debt. The FHFA reports that U.S. home prices decreased by 1.2 percent in the fourth quarter. A survey shows that agents and brokers are growing increasingly pessimistic of the future of real estate. According to FHFA, the rate for 30-year FRMs increased to 5.1 percent in January.

In The News:

San Francisco Chronicle – “Newsom plan would defer up-front developer fees” (2-25-10)

“The mayor’s administration says the package of legislation, tentatively set to go before the Board of Supervisors’ land use committee March 15, would cut up-front costs for developers, making it easier to get financing in this recession. Newsom said his proposals would speed up start times on four specific projects by as much as two years, including the second tower in the One Rincon Hill development. Work on the four projects could start in two months, he said.”

CAR - “C.A.R. releases ’2009-2010 Survey of California Home Sellers’” (2-25-10)

“Changes in family and employment status as well as adjustments to monthly mortgage obligations played significant roles in California’s homeowners’ decisions to sell their homes in 2009, according to the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®’ (C.A.R.) ’2009-2010 Survey of California Home Sellers.’ According to the report, 67 percent of all sellers in California did so as a result of difficulties related to meeting their mortgage obligation.”

Bloomberg - “Home Prices Decline 1.2%, Smallest Drop in Two Years” (2-25-10)

“U.S. home prices fell 1.2 percent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, the smallest loss in two years, as a federal tax credit for homebuyers boosted demand. Prices were down 0.1 percent from the third quarter, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said today in a report. The year- over-year drop was the smallest since a 1.1 percent decline in 2007’s fourth quarter, the Washington-based agency said.”

Inman - “Agents, brokers less rosy on future” (2-25-10)

“Short-term views for the next three to six months deteriorated 2.89 percent, to 5.71, while long-term views for the next 12 to 18 months fell 4.1 percent to 6.32. The survey pointed to expected interest rate hikes, the poor jobs market, and the imminent April 30 deadline (for a home sale to be under contract) for the federal homebuyer tax credit program as participants’ major concerns.”

Housing Wire – “FHFA Mortgage Rate Tracker Posts Increase in January” (2-25-10)

“The average interest rate on conventional 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) with a principal of $417,000 or less was 5.1% in January, an increase from 5.05% in December, the FHFA said. The average interest rate on 15-year FRM of $417,000 or less stayed at 4.54% in January.”

Housing Wire – “Delinquent CMBS Triples as Spreads Stabilize” (2-25-10)

“Realpoint reviewed more than $797bn in CMBS pools for the January report. The firm calculated a 5.76% delinquency rate for the pools reviewed, up from 5.22% in December. The rate jumped by more than four times the rate in January 2009, when 1.2% of the reviewed loans fell delinquent. June 2007 held the lowest delinquency rate recorded by Realpoint, at 0.2%.”

Housing Wire – “Bankers Propose Mortgage Forebearance for Unemployed” (2-25-10)

“The program would give incentives to investors and servicers (through Treasury’s TARP) that place unemployed borrowers in a forbearance plan for up to 90 days — a period that can be renewed twice based on borrower’s financial circumstances. This plan would put a borrower in forbearance for up to nine months, at which time (or earlier, at re-employment status) eligibility for a HAMP trial can be determined.”

Bloomberg - “General Growth Is Biggest Real Estate Fight Since Equity Office” (2-25-10)

“The battle for General Growth Properties Inc., owner of more than 200 U.S. malls from Boston to Los Angeles, is turning into the biggest real estate fight since sale of Sam Zell’s Equity Office Properties Trust. Westfield Group, a Sydney-based property investor with stakes in 55 U.S. retail centers, signed an agreement letting it assess General Growth’s finances, a person familiar with the pact said yesterday. That may put Westfield in position to vie for the bankrupt company’s assets as part of a contest already embroiling Simon Property Group Inc. and Brookfield Asset Management Inc.”

Bloomberg - “Obama May Prohibit Home-Loan Foreclosures Without HAMP Review” (2-25-10)

“The Obama administration may expand efforts to ease the housing crisis by banning all foreclosures on home loans unless they have been screened and rejected by the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, existing home sales decreased by 5.3 percent. The MBA announced that mortgage loan application volume had decreased by 15 percent from the previous quarter. The Obama administration implemented a stress test of 19 banks. Bernanke claimed to be confident of the federal reserve’s ability to prevent inflation.

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