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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/7/11

Thursday, April 7th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

CoreLogic said home prices fell 6.7% in February, and Clear Capital claims home prices in the West declined 4.3% in the previous quarter. According to Freddie Mac, mortgage rates increased to 4.87% last week. Analysts are concerned that a Federal shutdown would have dramatic effects on the California economy and the FHA.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “Home prices fall for seventh straight month: CoreLogic” (4-7-11)

“According to the CoreLogic (CLGX: 18.48 -1.75%) Home Price Index, prices fell 6.7% in February compared to the same month in 2010. This follows a 5.5% year-over-year drop in January.”

Housing Wire – “Jobless claims dip again in April” (4-7-11)

“The number of initial jobless claims filed by unemployed Americans dropped to 382,000 during the week of April 2, down from last week’s revised figure of 392,000, according to data from the U.S. Labor Department released Thursday.”

Sacramento Bee – “Summary Box: Fixed mortgage rates inch up” (4-7-11)

“Freddie Mac said the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage rose to 4.87 percent from 4.86 percent the previous week. The average rate on the 15-year fixed mortgage increased to 4.10 percent from 4.09 percent.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Federal shutdown would hit California hard” (4-7-11)

“Employees deemed essential, such as air traffic controllers, doctors at VA hospitals, border agents and military personnel, probably will remain on the job as they did during the last major shutdown in 1995. Others, such as Internal Revenue Service employees at 27 California locations, might find their offices closed on Monday.”

Housing Wire – “Analysts say FHA shutdown possible without budget consensus” (4-7-11)

“If the government were to shutdown, two important steps in the FHA origination process would be put on hold. FHA lenders may still be able to originate loans, but they would have to wait on obtaining case numbers and a mortgage insurance certificate to be issued.”

Housing Wire – “Hope Now reports a mixed-bag of results” (4-7-11)

“Hope Now, an alliance of mortgage servicers and home retention counselors who are pushing to save distressed properties, said the month of February brought mixed results with servicers reporting fewer loan modifications and falling delinquency rates. In February, the number of completed loan mods fell from 100,186 to 87,000.”

Bloomberg - “Mall Vacancies Climb to Highest in Decade as U.S. Store Closings Persist” (4-7-11)

“The vacancy rate climbed to 9.1 percent from 8.9 percent a year earlier and 8.7 percent in the fourth quarter, the research firm said in a report today. It was the highest since Reis began publishing data on regional malls in 2000.”

Housing Wire – “Home prices double-dip in West but flatten nationally: Clear Capital” (4-7-11)

“March home prices in the West declined 4.3% from the previous three months and reached a new low since 2001, according to real estate data provider Clear Capital.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported that 1.2 million households were lost from 2005 to 2008. Greenspan defended the fed’s lack of oversight in the subprime market claiming that consumer protection was a high priority at the time. A Fannie Mae survey showed 61 percent of homeowners and renters said the economy was on the wrong track. Fitch reported subprime RMBS delinquencies fell to 46.3% in March 2010.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/4/11

Monday, April 4th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

Ed Haldeman said less than 4% of Freddie Mac’s single family loans are delinquent. The government dismissed two counts of wire fraud in the case against the former CEO of Taylor, Bean and Whitaker. Treasury Secretary Geithner warned that severe economic hardship could impact the United States when the nation reaches its debt limit.

In The News:

NAR - “NAR Study Finds Americans Prefer Smart Growth Communities” (4-4-11)

“Americans favor walkable, mixed-use neighborhoods, with 56 percent of respondents preferring smart growth neighborhoods over neighborhoods that require more driving between home, work and recreation.”

Daily News – “Greg Wilcox: Realtors’ website focuses on short sales” (4-3-11)

“SHORT sales are complicated transactions and account for a big part of the real-estate market. Now the California Association of Realtors hopes to bring some clarity to the process. The Los Angeles-based trade association has launched shortsalescalifornia.org, which will provide resources, news and tips about homes that are valued at less than what is owed.”

Housing Wire – “Less than 4% of single-family loans are delinquent: Freddie CEO” (4-4-11)

“Freddie Mac Chief Executive Officer Ed Haldeman said less than 4% of the government-sponsored enterprise’s single-family home loans are at least three payments behind or heading into foreclosure.”

Housing Wire – “U.S. dismisses two wire fraud counts to speed up Taylor, Bean and Whitaker trial” (4-4-11)

“U.S. government prosecutors dismissed two counts of wire fraud in the case against Lee Farkas, the former CEO of failed mortgage lender Taylor, Bean and Whitaker.”

Housing Wire – “House Committee to vote on Republican bills for GSE wind down” (4-4-11)

“One bill in particular introduced by Rep. Scott Garrett (R-N.J.) hits a hot button issue on whether or not Fannie and Freddie should be exempt from the risk-retention standards of a qualified residential mortgage. According to Garrett’s bill, H.R. 1223 or the GSE Credit Risk Equitable Treatment Act, GSE securities would not be exempt from the risk-retention requirements of Dodd-Frank.”

Housing Wire – “Geithner warns of economic hardship unless U.S. debt ceiling is raised” (4-4-11)

“Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner sent a letter to U.S. Sen. Harry Reid Monday warning the lawmaker that severe economic hardship could impact the United States when the nation reaches its debt limit on May 16.”

Orange County Register – “Demand for O.C. homes jumps 22%” (4-4-11)

“Homes listed for under a million bucks have a market time of 2.85 months vs. 8.24 months for homes listed for more than $1 million.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. rent hikes run half U.S. increases” (4-4-11)

“MPF found Orange County’s effective rents for new tenants — the asking rates minus concessions — as of March rising 1.5 percent in a year — vs. 3.3 percent nationwide. From the fourth quarter, Orange County effective rent was up 0.8 percent vs. 1.1 percent nationwide.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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219-TNG Radio – Mike & Randy Grigg 4-2-11

Friday, April 1st, 2011

Randy and Mike Grigg

President and Chief Auctioneer of Elite Auctions 


 

(Full Bio)

 

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This week Bruce is joined by Randy and Mike Grigg. Randy is the President of Elite Auctions. Mike is Randy’s son, who gradually got involved in the auction business. Mike has won awards for “Best Auctioneer”. He is very involved in real estate and charity auctions. 

Randy got involved in purchasing real estate while he was in the agriculture business. He started slowly, buying 1 to 3 houses per year. He continued doing this consistently for 25 years. During those 25 years, he learned how to deal with tenants and structure deals. 

Because Randy had a career, he considered his rental properties to be a side job. He rarely had trouble with his tenants and they stayed for a long term, so purchasing houses was not a distraction for him. After a while, the number of properties he owned grew fairly large, so he had to figure out a program to manage those properties. 

When Randy first began buying real estate, the most popular trainers were Mark Harrilson, Albert Lawry, Robert Allen, John Schaub, and Pete Coronado. Randy was living in Bakersfield during this time, and he felt that gave him an advantage. He paid $27,000 for a house in Bakersfield and his rent was $350. Today, that same house would sell for $45,000 and rents for $800 per month. Randy’s first investment houses had negative cashflow, but as values increased over the years, they eventually accumulated positive cashflow. 

95% of Randy’s home purchases were bought from the owner. He attracted sellers through ads in the paper. He bought a lot of houses by taking over the sellers’ loans. 

Randy chose not to buy and sell because he already had a career, so he did not need the immediate money. Also, a lot of work and time goes into rehabbing properties for resale. There are also occasional, unfortunate surprises that come up from low appraisals, which can take 5% away from your selling price. 

Randy’s beginning instructors told him to buy and never sell. However, Randy did sell a few of them. 

Bakersfield has had almost no appreciation. In 26 years, there has been no appreciation, but you can get a 50% lower interest rate, and there have been wage increases. The payment for a 2011 home purchase in Lancaster is 31% less than the payment equivalent in 1985. 

Some builders are currently investing their money in trust deeds, because they do not have enough work. Also, the builders are not offering market rates on many of the homes they are selling. 

Randy’s life did not change much when the housing market went from boom to bust, because he chose to hold his properties. However, he does wish he had sold some of his properties, because he feels his age makes holding onto property less valuable. 

Mike worked on some of Randy’s houses when he was younger. He feels it was a good experience, because he was exposed to areas he did not want to live in, which motivated him to provide himself with a better life. 

Mike wants to buy and hold properties and he thinks right now is the best time to do it. Bruce believes he can still wait a couple years if he feels the need to. Bruce believes it is good for people to gradually work their way into property buying, because there can be big consequences if you do not. Sometimes people come to Bruce asking for a $1 million investment loan, and when Bruce looks at their profit estimates, he finds they are completely wrong. 

Randy does not often buy and then rehab for resale. Most of his properties involve very little rehabbing. Most of the people that Randy puts into his houses have good income and poor credit, and most of them have a strong desire for homeownership. Randy puts these sorts of people into his homes, because they rent with the hope of eventually buying the home, and Randy is willing to sell the home to them should they wish to. 

Randy has had a few tenants for over 20 years, but the average tenant length is 6 years. It is John Schaub’s philosophy that you will not make money on a rental for the first two years. Vacancy is the biggest expense in land-lording, because you then have to re-prepare the home for a new tenant. 

Randy will finance any repairs his renters wish to do on his houses, but the cost of the repairs is probably market value. 

Many of Randy’s current purchases are made for other investors. Those properties come out of the MLS. The rest of his properties come from ball room auctions in Bakersfield. Occasionally, Randy has the chance to bid against the lender in an online auction. Many online auctions have almost zero competition. 

Randy’s website is www.sellwithauction.com 

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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218-TNG Radio – Leslie Appleton-Young 3-25-11

Friday, March 25th, 2011

Leslie Appleton-Young

Vice President of C.A.R.

(Full Bio)


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This week Bruce is joined again by Leslie Appleton-Young. She is the Vice President and Chief Economist for the California Association of Realtors; a statewide trade organization with over 165,000 members. Leslie directs the activities of the association’s member information groups, she oversees the analysis of housing markets and broker industry trends, member communications and member development activities.  She is well known as a speaker in the California real estate community.

UCLA’s business school has projected that California’s unemployment will remain in the double digits until 2013. This does not surprise Leslie. We are experiencing cyclical job losses, because there are few sectors that have not been impacted. To some extent, our problem is structural. Sending jobs over seas to lower wage countries has been occurring for a long time.

During the downturn of the 90s, there were job losses concentrated in California due to a loss of migration. Leslie does not believe this is our main problem though. Our biggest issues are coming from the restructuring of corporations and businesses. 70% of costs are directly tied to labor, so the easiest way to become more efficient is to use fewer workers.

Leslie is uncertain of the impact that gas prices will have on real estate. Gas affects real estate because it impacts the overall economy. High prices means there will be less discretionary income available for purchasing. The cost of gas also impacts the ability of people to move further out. The UCLA forecast assumed there would be no significant long term reductions in gas supply, and that we would be able to weather the increases, but we do not know that.

Affordability is close to an all time high. The gap between California’s affordability and the U.S.’s affordability is much closer now as well. The California median home price peaked at $594,000, and the U.S. peaked at $230,000, so we were still over twice as expensive. California’s current median is $300,000, and the U.S. median is $170,000, so there is still a big gap between the two.

Bruce believes this all time low for housing affordability is going to give us a boost in migration. The challenge will be to provide job opportunities for the migration.

In a county like Riverside, where it is common to develop 250 to 300 subdivisions every year, there is going to be a huge increase in demand. The inventory that has been bought from lower priced years will be able to increase in value. Bruce notes that Riverside has only developed 10 subdivisions this year.

There has been a significant increase in household size over the last couple years, because families have been moving in with each other to weather the bad economy. Many people who chose to move in with their family will be looking to move once the economy improves, and that will create demand.

In another five years, Leslie believes down payment requirements and interest rates will be significantly higher. Getting rid of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will affect us for many years. The private sector will be demanding higher risk premiums to originate.

A number of surveys from Fannie Mae and others show that many people still aspire to own a home. Leslie does not believe this will change. However, financing will become a bigger burden. Leslie does not believe 30 year mortgages will be very popular in the future. Bruce believes that we must be heading towards a lower percentage of home ownership.

In business, when you have an advertising campaign that you know will work, that is called a control piece. The only way you change that control piece is by changing one thing at a time to see if something emerges as better or worse. We had a control piece called a zero down VA loan. This program produced less than 1% foreclosures, and FHA did the same thing for a long time. Unfortunately, we changed everything about how we performed loans within 5 years, and we got a bad result. Bruce does not understand why we won’t go back to the way things were before.

In 2005, the GSE delinquency rate was 7.8%, and the private label delinquency rate was 28.6%. In 2006, GSEs had a delinquency rate of 23.3%, and the private label delinquency rate was 45.1%. For loans originated in 2007, the GSE rate was 14.9%, and the private label rate was 42%. This information must have been overlooked by the people discussing what to do with our financial system in the future. Fannie and Freddie worked until 2005 and 2006 when then decided to get into the subprime and Alt-A market. Bruce is not sure if our sufferings would have been eased much had Fannie and Freddie not gotten involved in subprime lending. If they had not touched subprime, there still would have been a large amount of inventory being overpriced because of the easy financing available at that time. What we did wrong was pretend that it was okay to loan people money based on a stated income and without a down payment.

39% of defaults between 2006 and 2008 were due to home equity borrowing. Leslie does not believe it is healthy for people, as well as the real estate market, to borrow in such a way that they owe more on their home after a year of ownership. Bruce does not totally agree with that, because in the past that behavior was not as simple. Leslie believes it is bad for people to leave themselves no cushion. Bruce agrees with this statement.

In 1934, FHA did 80% LTV loans with 20 year terms. Gradually we went to 30 year terms, and the down payment requirements went to 10, to 5, to even 3%.

Bruce is concerned that if we lower loan limits, it will cause a significant price drop, and then you will have a continuous negative equity position. Bruce and Leslie hopes the government does not restrict the market too much in this manner. Leslie has noticed that the government’s decisions tend to be imbalanced.

When Bruce bought his first home and mowed the grass for the first time, it made him feel like a man. Being an owner changed the way he felt about himself. It is a big deal, and it is one of the big reasons for why people come to California.

Bruce was very frustrated when the president of MERS was questioned in front of the senate, because not one of the senators read his deposition. If you are going to make a huge decision against a very influential company like MERS, why not take an hour to try and understand the problem?

CAR’s website is www.car.org

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/21/11

Monday, March 21st, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

Existing home sales dropped 9.6%, according to the NAR. A San Joaquin County investor pleaded guilty to rigging foreclosure auctions, and is now facing a federal prison sentence and $1 million in fines. LPS claims the current mortgage delinquency rate is 8.8%.

In The News:

NAR - “February Existing-Home Sales Decline following Sustained Gains” (3-21-11)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, dropped 9.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.88 million in February from an upwardly revised 5.40 million in January, and are 2.8 percent below the 5.02 million pace in February 2010.”

Housing Wire – “California pending home sales spike in February” (3-21-11)

“The California Association of Realtors’ Pending Home Sales Index rose 20.6% in February to 112.1 from 93 in January. The index uses 2008 housing market activity as a baseline because it represents a more normal level of purchases and sales. An index reading of 100 corresponds with activity in 2008.”

Recordnet.com – “Guilty plea in home auction rigging” (3-21-11)

“A San Joaquin County investor pleaded guilty Friday in federal court to charges he illegally rigged bids with others at home foreclosure auctions in Stockton, the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Sacramento reported. Gregory L. Jackson is the sixth defendant so far to plead guilty in the federal probe. He faces a federal prison sentence and $1 million in fines under terms of the negotiated plea deal.”

Orange County Register – “‘Normal’ new-home market is 3-5 years off” (3-19-21)

“We decided to add Southern California (especially the O.C. market) into our business plan since we believe this market has bottomed. In today’s home building market, there is an imbalance between used and new homes in Orange County as a limited amount of new homes have been built over the last five years.”

Orange County Register – “Demand for O.C. homes at 7-month high” (3-21-11)

“Demand, the number of new pending sales over the past month, increased by 225 in just two weeks and now totals 2,982. At the beginning of the year, demand was at 1,856 pending sales. Since then, it has increased by 61%. Last year at this time there were 288 additional pending sales, propped up by the $8,000 first time homebuyer tax credit.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage delinquency rate drops 18.4% annually: LPS” (3-21-11)

“Out of the 40 million loans evaluated by LPS last month, 8.8% qualified as delinquent (30 days or more overdue). That delinquency rate is down 1.2% from January and 18.4% from February 2010.”

Housing Wire – “Stress tests suggest economy may slide back into crisis: IRA” (3-21-11)

“Recent stress tests conducted by the Federal Reserve suggest the banking industry and economy ‘may be sliding back into crisis’ because of deflation in the housing sector, according to a new report from Institutional Risk Analytics.”

Housing Wire – “Moody’s expects temporary GSE exemption from mortgage risk rules” (3-21-11)

“Analysts at Moody’s Investors Service said Monday regulators may exempt Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from upcoming mortgage risk retention rules – at least temporarily.”

Housing Wire – “Distressed property sales decline on foreclosure issues facing servicers” (3-21-11)

“Overall, investors stepped up their homebuying game last month even as distressed property sales fell, according to the latest Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance HousingPulse Tracking Survey. The report shows the HousingPulse Distressed Property Index — a barometer of distressed home sales — fell to 47.3% in February from 49.6% in January.”

Bloomberg – “Treasury to Sell Mortgage-Backed Holdings at Up to $10 Billion Per Month” (3-21-11)

“The U.S. Treasury Department plans to wind down its $142 billion portfolio of mortgage bonds guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac by selling as much as $10 billion per month.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/18/11

Friday, March 18th, 2011

Sources:
Bay Area Housing Market Stuck In Neutral; Investors, Cash Buyers Active
California February Home Sales
Southland February Home Sales At 3-year Low; Investor Interest High
Foreclosure activity slows in February: ForeclosureRadar
California Foreclosure Losses in Billions, Lawmaker Wants Banks to Pay
Congressional Panel Report Says Foreclosure Mitigation “Largely Failed”
Internet whistle-blower e-mails show loose link to Bank of America
GSEs inflated subprime balloon before it popped: Cato Institute
A Red Flag on Reverse Mortgages
Young Home Buyers Will Lead Housing Market Recovery, Says NAHB

Today’s News Synopsis:

The SEC may charge top executives of Fannie and Freddie with violations related to the financial crisis. RCA claims commercial real estate defaults dropped to 4.28% in the 4th quarter. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports Southern California rents rose by 1.3% in February. According to Freddie Mac, 30 year mortgage rates fell to 4.76% this week.

In The News:

Washington Post – “SEC moves to charge Fannie, Freddie execs” (3-18-11)

“The Securities and Exchange Commission is moving toward charging former and current Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac executives with violations related to the financial crisis, setting up a clash with the housing regulator that oversees the companies, according to sources familiar with the matter.”

Housing Wire – “Bill would provide HUD grants for foreclosure mediation” (3-18-11)

“Under the bill, HUD would create a competitive grants program for state and local governments to provide mediation programs to assist homeowners facing foreclosure. It would refer homeowners to a pro-bono attorney or a HUD-certified counselor. It would also require mediation between the homeowner and the lender as soon as practicable after a foreclosure proceeding is filed. If the homeowner doesn’t show up for the mediation, the requirement for a mediation conference is deemed to be fulfilled, according to the bill.”

Housing Wire – “CRE defaults fell for first time in four years in 4Q: RCA” (3-18-11)

“Commercial real estate defaults fell to 4.28% in the fourth quarter, down from 4.36%, according to RCA. The New York-based analytics firm also reported that defaulted loan balances fell to $45.8 billion after 17 consecutive quarterly increases.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Field Poll: Quality of life plunges in California” (3-18-11)

“The Golden State’s residents rated their quality of life at its lowest mark in almost 20 years, citing the economic downturn and stagnant personal finances, according to a joint UC Berkeley and Field Poll.”

Housing Wire – “House Republicans introduce bill to reform Fannie, Freddie” (3-18-11)

“Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-Texas) re-introduced legislation late Thursday that would end the bailouts of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and end their conservatorship in two years.”

Housing Wire – “Republican senators join fight to end HAMP” (3-18-11)

“Three Republicans submitted a bill in the U.S. Senate that would end the Home Affordable Modification Program, a companion to a bill that is scheduled for a vote in the GOP-controlled House of Representatives next week.”

Orange County Register – “SoCal rents rise for 6th straight month” (3-18-11)

“Rents in Southern California — at least, as measured by the local version of the Consumer Price Index — were rising in February at a 1.3% annual rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That rise compares to an increase at a 1.1% annual rate in the previous month. It was the sixth consecutive month of year-over-year increases and the biggest jump since July 2009 when rents were rising at a 1.7% annual rate.”

Realty Times – “30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage Drops Amid Japan Crisis” (3-18-11)

“Freddie Mac (OTC: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS), which shows the 30-year fixed-rate dropping to 4.76 percent while the 15-year fixed-rate hit its lowest rate at 3.97 percent since December 2010.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, statistics from MDA Dataquick showed that 4,987 homes and condos closed escrow within a month. Fannie Mae predicted the housing market would bounce back by the end of the year. Freddie Mac’s weekly survey showed that interest rates were at 4.96 percent, which was just .02 percent lower from the previous year. The MBA reported that commercial/multifamily mortgage debt decreased by 1.7 percent in the 4th quarter of 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/15/11

Tuesday, March 15th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

14,369 new and resale houses and condos sold in Southern California last month, according to MDA DataQuick. A survey shows the majority of large fund managers do not expect interest rates to increase in the near term. ForeclosureRadar said default notices in California decreased 29.6% year over year. A study from NAHB economists shows that a family earning $80,000 per year who buys a $200,000 house will receive $41,138 in tax benefits over the entire term of home ownership.

In The News:

MDA DataQuick – “Southland February Home Sales At 3-year Low; Investor Interest High” (3-15-11)

“Last month 14,369 new and resale houses and condos sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties. That was down 0.6 percent from 14,458 in January, and down 6.4 percent from 15,359 in February 2010, according to DataQuick Information Systems of San Diego.”

NAR - “Tax Time Less Taxing for Home Owners” (3-15-11)

“A number of tax deductions and credits are still available for home owners; these include deductions – with specific limits – for mortgage interest and capital gains on home sales, and credits for certain energy-efficient home improvements. Even with these benefits, home owners pay 80-90 percent of all U.S. federal income taxes.”

Housing Wire – “Housing needs mortgage servicing standards: OCC” (3-15-11)

“National mortgage servicing standards will be an essential part of the new housing market, acting comptroller of the currency John Walsh said Tuesday. But reaching a consensus on how to devise those standards is a struggle that will take more work, he conceded, while speaking to the American Bankers Association.”

Housing Wire - “Oil shocks hedge against U.S. interest rate hike” (3-15-11)

“Oil price shocks greatly reduce the probability of higher interest rates in the near term, the latest Bank of America Merrill Lynch Survey of Fund Managers said Tuesday.”

NAHB - “Builder Confidence Edges Up One Point in March” (3-15-11)

“After four consecutive months hovering at the same low level, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes improved by a single point in March, rising to 17 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This is the highest level the HMI has reached since May 2010, when the survey period corresponded with the final days of the federal home buyer tax credit program.”

Housing Wire – “Foreclosure activity slows in February: ForeclosureRadar” (3-15-11)

“Notice of default filings in California fell 29.6% on a year-over-year basis. The Golden State also experienced a 24.5% drop in sales back to the bank and a 20.3% decline in properties purchased by third parties.”

NAHB - “Tax Time Can Mean Big Savings for Homeowners” (3-15-11)

“A study from NAHB economists, ‘The Tax Benefits of Homeownership,’ details sample savings for a variety of income levels and homeownership situations. In one example, a household with an $80,000 annual income that buys a home with a $200,000 mortgage will save on average $1,765 in the first year—and realize a total benefit of $41,138 over the expected period of homeownership.”

NAHB - “Builder Confidence Edges Up One Point in March” (3-15-11)

“After four consecutive months hovering at the same low level, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes improved by a single point in March, rising to 17 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This is the highest level the HMI has reached since May 2010, when the survey period corresponded with the final days of the federal home buyer tax credit program.”

Housing Wire – “More than one-third of CMBS loans make scheduled balloon payments in February” (3-15-11)

“Trepp, a provider of commercial mortgage-backed securities data, said 38.4% of CMBS loans made their scheduled balloon payments in February, compared to 38.7% a month earlier.”

Housing Wire – “GSEs inflated subprime balloon before it popped: Cato Institute” (3-15-11)

“the researcher paints the government-sponsored enterprises as culprits in the subprime debacle by citing data showing Fannie and Freddie acquired 40% of all newly issued private-label subprime securities issued during the housing boom years of 2003 and 2004.”

Bloomberg - “Lehman Seeks Partner on Real Estate Development Projects” (3-15-11)

“Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (LEHMQ) sent requests to at least six homebuilders and developers seeking partners for 75 real estate projects in 19 states, according to executives at three companies who reviewed the solicitations.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, builder confidence decreased by over 10 percent within half of a month. Sacramento home sales decreased by 26 percent from 2009. According to LPS, the U.S. mortgage delinquency rate was at 10.25%. California contributed $2.6trn to the total $5.7trn of US housing wealth lost since the peak of 2006.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/11/11

Friday, March 11th, 2011

Sources:
Underwater mortgages rise as home prices fall
Foreclosure activity slows sharply in February
FHA Powers What’s Left of the Home Market
U.S. Budget Deficit Expanded to Monthly Record $222.5 Billion in February
NAHB Study: New Homes in 2015 will be Smaller, Greener and More Casual
Bank regulators push for principal write-downs
Proposed Servicer Settlement Met With Resistance
Obama threatens to veto bills killing foreclosure programs
House votes to end FHA Short Refi

Today’s News Synopsis:

The U.S. House voted 242-177 to cancel the Emergency Homeowner Loan Program. A new law will allow you to get your entire deduction in one year. Inman composed a list of ten real estate markets they believe will outperform others. Ginnie Mae guaranteed over $26.2 billion in mortgage-backed securities during February.

In The News:

Bloomberg - “U.S. House Votes to Cancel Emergency Homeowner Loan Program for Unemployed” (3-11-11)

“The U.S. House voted 242-177 to cancel a loan program for homeowners who have lost their jobs as Republicans move to eliminate funding for President Barack Obama’s anti-foreclosure efforts.”

Inman - “Don’t wait to deduct real estate equipment cost” (3-11-11)

“Section 179 doesn’t increase the total amount you can deduct, but it allows you to get your entire deduction in one year, rather than taking it a little at a time over the term of an asset’s useful life.”

Housing Wire – “S&P: CMBS loans originated in 2007 pose high potenial for losses” (3-11-11)

“The rating agency concluded the “loss risk level” for CMBS loans originated in 2011 will fall close to 2002 levels because of tighter underwriting conditions at the time of origination. The report estimates cumulative losses of about 2.5% for the 2002 vintage class of CMBS.”

Housing Wire – “Fed’s Dudley sees no reason to turn against QE2″ (3-11-11)

“William Dudley, CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, believes there’s no reason to back down on expansionary monetary policies already implemented by the Fed. He also told a crowd attending a Queens Chamber of Commerce event Friday that the economy is recovering even as housing sector remains a weak spot.”

Inman - “A futile search for economic answers” (3-11-11)

“The 10-year Treasury note has traded under 3.4 percent resistance, and mortgages are sliding toward 4.75 percent, both tied with four-month lows.”

Inman - “SUMMARY: 10 Real Estate Markets to Watch in 2011″ (3-11-11)

“Inman News examined housing, economic and demographic data for metropolitan areas nationwide in compiling a list of 10 housing markets that are showing signs of strength and may outperform other housing markets in 2011 in several key metrics.”

Housing Wire – “Ginnie Mae guarantees top $26 billion in February” (3-11-11)

“Ginnie Mae guaranteed more than $26.2 billion in mortgage-backed securities in February.”

Housing Wire – “HUD calls ending foreclosure programs ‘irresponsible’” (3-11-11)

“The Emergency Homeowners Loan Program will provide relief to tens of thousands of families who are still struggling to make ends meet after the deepest economic recession and housing crisis in a generation”

Looking Back:

According to the MBA, the delinquency rate for CMBS increased by 1.63 percent during the last half of 2009. Statistics from RealtyTrac show that 2 percent fewer homes entered the foreclosure process in February. Nineteen percent of home listings experienced a price reduction since March 1st.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/1/11

Tuesday, March 1st, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

The CBIA reports housing production decreased 56% from December, and the Commerce Department reports construction spending dropped 0.7%. A survey from Equity-Trax shows that short sales currently take around 4 to 9 months to complete. Lender Processing Services claims foreclosure starts fell 11.4% in January.

In The News:

CBIA - “California Housing Production Dips in January, CBIA Announces” (3-1-11)

“According to statistics compiled by the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB), permits were pulled for 2,920 total housing units in January, down 5 percent from the same month a year ago and down 56 percent from December. Permits for single-family homes totaled 1,506, down 24 percent from January 2010 and down 55 percent from the previous month, while multifamily permits totaled 1,414, up 28 percent from a year ago but down 57 percent from December.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Construction Spending Falls on Slump in Commercial Works” (3-1-11)

“The 0.7 percent drop brought the value of all projects down to a $791.8 billion annual rate, the lowest since August, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. Outlays on private non-residential works dropped 6.9 percent, the most since January 1994, which may in part reflect the influence of winter storms.”

Housing Wire – “Geithner wants Congress to act on Fannie, Freddie in next two years” (3-1-11)

“Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner asked lawmakers Tuesday to pass legislation on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac reform within the next two years.”

Housing Wire – “Short sales still take too long on average, report says” (3-1-11)

“Seventy-one percent of agents surveyed in a new study conducted by data analytics firm Equi-Trax Asset Solutions said it takes four to nine months on average to finish a short sale. About 10% of the transactions take more than 10 months, and 18.3% are finalized within the preferred three-month time frame, the report concluded after surveying 600 real estate agents.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mac mortgage purchases down 23% in January” (3-1-11)

“Mortgage purchases and issuances at Freddie Mac fell to $38.8 billion in January, down from $49.7 billion in December, according to Freddie’s latest monthly loan volume summary.”

Housing Wire – “Commercial real estate brought down failed banks in February” (3-1-11)

“Of the nonperforming loans on the balance sheets of the 12 banks that failed in February, 72% were for commercial real estate, according to analytics firm Trepp.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage lenders move more foreclosures back into delinquent bucket: LPS” (3-1-11)

“The number of foreclosure starts fell about 11.4% in January from a month earlier, but delinquency rates rose slightly because many lenders are moving loans out of foreclosure and back into the seriously delinquent category, according to Lender Processing Services”

Bloomberg - “Commercial-Property Deals May Double in U.S. as Blackstone Bets on Rebound” (3-1-11)

“Blackstone Group LP’s planned $9.4 billion purchase of U.S. shopping centers and Ventas Inc.’s proposed $5.7 billion buyout of a health-care real estate investment trust, one of two multi- billion dollar health care REIT deals announced yesterday, may mean a wave of commercial real estate acquisitions is coming as buyers regain confidence in the market.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, California officials considered implementing new builder fees. Home sales had generated $934 million from the previous year. Fannie mae lost 15.9 billion dollars during quarter 4 of 2009. Warren Buffet predicted the residential real estate market would begin to recover in 2011.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/22/11

Tuesday, February 22nd, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

A Survey from Harris Interactive shows 70% of Americans aspire to homeownership. According to S&P/Case-Shiller, national home prices fell 4.1% in the 4th quarter of 2010. FNC Residential seems to confirm this saying home prices fell 2.2% in December. CB Richard Ellis Group expects office rents to increase this year.

In The News:

Ventura County Star – “Apartments can be good investment as more people rent” (2-19-11)

“While construction in Ventura County has taken a significant hit since the downturn began, shedding about 7,700 jobs from June 2007 to June 2010, the pain has been uneven. Single-family homes have been hit hard and condominiums even harder, said Dawn Dyer, president of Dyer Sheehan Group, a Ventura real estate consulting firm.”

Los Angeles Times – “Homeownership loses its luster” (2-19-11)

“Two-thirds of Americans still see a home purchase as a safe investment, but that’s down from 83% in 2003, according to a study by Fannie Mae. Homeownership has fallen to 66.5% of the adult population, down from 69.2% in 2004. A Harris Interactive polls says 70% of Americans aspire to homeownership, down from 77% a year ago.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Consumer Confidence Index hits 3-year high” (2-22-11)

“The Conference Board says its Consumer Confidence Index climbed to 70.4 this month, up from a revised 64.8 in January, hitting its highest level since February 2008. It was the index’s fifth consecutive monthly increase. The figure topped economists’ expectations of a reading of 65, according to FactSet.”

CNN - “Home prices near 2009 lows — and may fall more” (2-22-11)

“National home prices fell 4.1% during the last three months of 2010, compared with 12 months earlier, according to the latest report from the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index, a closely watched indicator of market trends. They were down 1.9% compared with three months earlier.”

Housing Wire – “Fitch Solutions subprime credit default swap prices highest since October 2008″ (2-22-11)

“Analysts said the firm’s index for subprime swaps rose 5.2% in January on top of increases the prior two months, including a 7.2% gain in December. Fitch said the 2004 and 2007 vintages performed well last month with returns of more than 7% although constant default rates average 20% higher for the swaps from 2007.”

Housing Wire – “Moody’s finds commercial real estate eluding recovery” (2-22-11)

“After three consecutive months of increases, commercial real estate prices fell 0.9% in December, according to Moody’s Investors Service.”

Housing Wire - “Foreclosure sales weigh down home prices in 23 markets” (2-22-11)

“Home prices in 23 U.S. metropolitan areas fell 2.2% in December, the largest one-month drop for fiscal 2010, and a sign that foreclosed properties continue to weigh down home values across the nation, the FNC Residential Price Index revealed Monday.”

Bloomberg – “U.S. Office Rent Growth to Be ‘Modest’ in 2011, CB Richard Says” (2-22-11)

“U.S. office rents will increase for the first time in three years in 2011, with growth ‘modest and limited to key markets’ before a recovery accelerates in 2012, according to CB Richard Ellis Group Inc.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Moody’s reported that commercial property prices increased by 4.1 percent in December. A survey showed that 87 percent of homebuilders expected to lose money due to the new FHA guidelines. Short sales accounted for 15.9% of home purchases in January 2010. Janet Yellen predicted the U.S. economy would perform below potential throughout this year and the next.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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