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248-TNG Radio – I Survived Real Estate 2011 10-22-11

Friday, October 21st, 2011

I Survived Real Estate 2011

I Survived Real Estate 2011


(Full Bio)

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On October 14, 2011, The Norris Group returned with its award-winning event I Survived Real Estate. An expert line-up of industry specialists joined Bruce Norris to discuss current industry regulation, head-scratching legislation, and the opportunities emerging for savvy real estate professionals. 100% of the proceeds support the Orange County Affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure. This event would not have been possible without the generous help of the following platinum sponsors: ForeclosureRadar and Sean O’Toole, Housing Wire, the San Diego Creative Real Estate Investors Association and President Bill Tan, Investors Workshops with President Shawn Watkins and Angel Bronsgeest, Invest Club for Women and Iris Veneracion and Bobbie Alexander, San Jose Real Estate Investors Association and Geraldine Berry, Real Wealth Networks, Frye Wyles, MVT Productions, and White House Catering. The event video can be found on isurvived2011.com.

I Survived Real Estate started just four years ago. For those who had been there for a long time, it has gone by fast. It started with a simple formula, a conversation, and a cause. The last four years in real estate have been particularly difficult. Many who attended the live event would be considered survivors. Long gone are the days of condo hotel investing in Las Vegas, a realtor in every household, stated income loans, and 10% price increases every month. True professionals working in the environment today stay on top of trends, challenges, and all different facets that makes up the market. The event featured six special guests from all over the nation. Some have or soon will be representing their national organizations in Congress trying to influence change. The conversations on stage covered what we should expect in 2012 and how our businesses might change. 100% of the proceeds went to Susan G. Komen for the Cure, and this year alone they raised close to $80,000. The walkers alone raised $15,000. On September 30 several people walked in a breast cancer walk, and some joined the walk to earn a seat at I Survived Real Estate 2011. Over 50 people participated in the walk.

Rebecca Hultquist thanked the Norris family and everyone at the event for their support over the past three years. Over all the years they have raised over $250,000 for women in need in the Orange County area and other surrounding areas. Rebecca recently had a friend who was diagnosed, and because she was under the age of 40 was able to have a mammogram through the funds that Komen offered her. In turn, these funds came from the supporters of I Survived Real Estate, and with their donations they became advocates, volunteering and becoming a part of the movement. Rebecca herself is breast cancer survivor, which she first had when she was 33. She was a wife and a mom with three daughters, and if it wasn’t for a life-saving mammogram that she had that year, she would not be here today. It was stage 2 invasive breast cancer, through which she endured chemotherapy radiation and surgery. Through this, she became involved with Susan G. Komen for the cure. 75% of the funds raised stay in the area to help women in need through treatment and clinical mammograms. Women can get the treatment they need. Early detection was what saved Rebecca’s life and what will save the lives of the future women. Through the science being funded, we look forward to a day when our daughters, children, and granddaughters live in a world without breast cancer.

Aaron talked about his mother, Marsha Norris, who passed away last January after a 17 year brave fight against cancer. The first three years of I Survived Real Estate were launched with a radio show between Marsha and Bruce, and each of the past events really showed her spirit, her stubbornness, her unwillingness to give up, and her faith.

Bruce took a moment to talk about his wife Marsha. She started every day by doing two things. She said prayers for everyone in her family every day, and she took time to think of all the things that were blessings in her life. The one thing you could not mistake about her was that she was thankful for the smallest things. If you took her out for coffee, you never failed to hear her say thank you. Marsha was an amazing blend of stubborn determination and kindness. She had an iron will when it came to some things, and one of those things was dealing with breast cancer. She decided early on that breast cancer was not going to rule her life and that she was going to put it in a little corner and tell it to stay there. There were times she was afraid and was hurting, but that was dominated by her wanting to go on cruises and live a life. If you know somebody who has cancer, it’s a choice on how to handle it. Marsha handled it with such grace and dignity that it was amazing. The people in the audience put a smile on her face constantly during her 17-year journey with cancer. She received cards, calls, flowers, and she felt everyone’s love when she came to meetings.

This year’s I Survived Real Estate was the most important meeting they had, as there is a lot at stake for not only investors but collectively as well. Sometimes as investors we think of ourselves as the lone Mohican, but all of a sudden there is legislation that really deals with the entire industry, how it affects how people buy property, and how much down payment they have to have. We have a common enemy with everyone in the industry. On the other side of things, there is a lot going on in the world that Bruce never thought he would have to think about as a real estate investor. All of a sudden, Bruce found himself staying up late at night watching Europe to see if Greek is going to default. The goal at the event was to bat it around with people at the top of the industry. We had to have a lot of respect for the journey it took to have the positions the speakers had. It’s a lifetime commitment to get to where they are in the industry. They have dedicated themselves and therefore we have a lot more in common than not.

During the presentation, Bruce showed a property that The Norris Group had bought that sold at the peak of the market for $436,000 in Moreno Valley earlier. About two and a half years later, The Norris Group bought it for $64,000. They put $35,000 into it, and they rented it out for $1,400 a month. The property was much nicer when they fixed it up, and Bruce said this was exactly how they fixed their rentals. One of the things Bruce wanted people to realize is sometimes there is just an assumption that when you have rentals, then you are a slumlord. Not true. The reason The Norris Group does what they do with rentals is because they do not have any competition because no one is going to put granite into rentals unless they think like The Norris Group. The way they think is they are going to get the best tenant, the most applicants, the least amount of people to move out, and fix everything nice right now since labor is on sale right now.

Sometimes cities are worried about there being too big a percentage of rentals, but there were most likely a lot of people at the event who fix the houses the same way. One of the problems is someone bought the house across the street for $436,000, and they still owe this same amount. This house may be worth $150,000 or $170,000, but where the problem lies is we have a very large percentage of people who are upside down. In California, we have about 30% of the people who are upside down with another 4-5% who are very close. This is a big problem, and some of the cities are a lot worse. In one particular city, Hesperia, people owed twice as much as the house was worth on 9,000+ households; while 5,793 owe 120%-200%. If you add the entire negative up, you have 76.9% of the people in Hesperia who are not going anywhere; they cannot move up or out. This is a problem when 76% of your city is stationary and cannot go anywhere. This is an extreme example, but the whole state has problems.

One of the things that is occurring is we are having a decent volume in sales in California. This is a historic look at volume in the brown line. In 2010 there were about 500,000 sales, and in 2011 there were similar sales. The difference is the mix of sales. You look at the mix of sales released by the California Association of Realtors for August of 2011, and you see that you have about 43-44% of all sales either being short sales or REOs. If you think about a short sale or REO, the person that leaves that closing has damaged credit. They are not buying another house, so you have just lost 43% of your former owners to non-ownership status, which has never happened in the past. This is the average for the state of California. If you go to areas such as Riverside, it’s 65% combination of short sales and REOs. For every 1,000 sales, 650 buyers no longer emerge as an owner-occupant. They have to be sold to an investor, or you have to have new people migrate into the area.

In Riverside, we have about 15% unemployment, so the likelihood of them showing up is not as good as it once was. This is the dilemma because we have some dominoes to solve, so one of the things we have to ask is how we fix unemployment. In our area, you don’t fix unemployment without fixing construction; and you can’t fix construction until you have a price per square foot that makes a builder a profit. Unfortunately, we are a tad away from this. We have to figure out how to move a lot of properties to another group of people. CAR also released data showing a portion of sellers planning to repurchase, and it showed about 37% of people when they close escrow are saying they will buy another property right away. You have the damage group, but you also have the people who are mentally beat up. This could include people who just closed escrow who used to have a $400,000 house that closed for $190,000. These are the people who do not want to participate in another one right away. You have this lag effect that goes on when you are not too excited about real estate. Consequently, what is going on is the cash sales have exploded. You have people buying properties, but the problem is when we buy properties for cash we eventually run out of the cash. Therefore, we have to shove the same property in a better condition on the market. Instead of it being able to back up the truck with the REOs and unloading a lot of them, you are constantly competing with very nice inventory that is coming back around. If we can get financing, we would not have to do this.

33% of loans in foreclosure have not made a payment in over two years. 41% of the people have not made their payments in a year or more. People stay in foreclosure for a long time. There was a news article in the Riverside Press where a family being interviewed said they were actually pretty delighted about how their lifestyle had changed since they stopped making their house payments. They believed life was so much better: they had extra money for the business, went on a vacation, and bought a barbeque. The problem is eventually this inventory might show up, and this is the ball of inventory that is turning behind the scenes; 90 days late all the way through properties already foreclosed is 4 million properties. This is about 8% of the entire inventory in the country. If you think this is over with, it’s not. The question is why we are letting this happen and why this is the best strategy that is going on right now.

One of the things that is happening right now, and this is important for everyone in the industry, is there is trying to be a retooling of our minds toward ownership of homes. On the recent cover of Time Magazine, the title was “Rethinking Home Ownership: Why Owning a Home May No Longer Make Economic Sense.” They could have said anything else but that. You have half-priced real estate and interest rates at 4%. This is economically a bad idea. People need to call up their landlords and see if they can get a 30-year fixed rental rate. This is not going to happen. It’s not economically infeasible; it’s actually the smartest thing you could possibly do. However, what is interesting is we have decided that, media-wise, we are going to say that we have had it wrong the whole time about owning a home since it has damaged so many people recently.

Bruce was married when he was 17, and he did not catch on to work very well at the time. He was fired 5 times very quickly because he did not know how to disagree with an owner. The first time he came home with cash, Marsha was really happy, but after that she knew it was severance pay. When they were 21, they had a chance to buy a home in Mira Loma, and he had rectified his problems with working. They bought a house, and they did not know what they were doing at the time. The toilets flushed the wrong way, the windows did not work. The Sunday morning they fixed Sunday dinner, they had a swamp cooler that coughed dirt all over their dinner when they started it up, so they had to eat out. However, the next day Bruce got to mow his own grass for the first time. This was the first day he felt like a man.

To find out more, tune in next week for I Survived Real Estate 2011, part 2. The Norris Group would like to thank their gold sponsors for the event: Adrenaline Athletics, Coldwell Banker Pioneer Real Estate, Conaway and Conaway, Delmae Properties, Elite Auctions, Inland Empire Investors Forum, Inland Valley Association of Realtors, Keller Williams of Corona, Keystone CPA, Kucan & Clark Partners, LLC, Las Brisas Escrow, Leivas Associates, Mike Cantu, Northern California Real Estate Investors Association, Northern San Diego Real Estate Investors Association, Pacific Sunrise Mortgage, Personal Real Estate Magazine, Raven Paul and Company, Realty 411 Magazine, Rick and LeaAnne Rossiter, Southwest Riverside County Board of Realtors, Starz Photography, uDirect IRA, Wilson Investment Properties, Tony Alvarez, Tri-Emerald Financial Group, and Westin South Coast Plaza. Visit isurvived2011.com for more details.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Fannie Mae Chief Economist to Join I Survived Real Estate 2011 Panel

Thursday, September 29th, 2011

I Survived Real Estate 2011

Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae’s Vice President and Chief Economist, to join real estate analyst Bruce Norris and others in an Oct. 14th panel discussion on the nation’s continuing real estate crisis

YORBA LINDA, Calif., Sept. 28, 2011 – There’s no question there are fewer qualified buyers in today’s real estate market.

When 65 percent of all home sales in places like Riverside County are either short sales or foreclosures, that means there’s only 350 potential repurchasers for every 1,000 sales.

But that’s not the only problem. According to Fannie Mae’s National Housing Survey released in August, there’s growing consumer concern about the economy.

“It seems like just the idea of buying a house has become more complicated because people are being forced to consider other factors involved including employment stability, national debt, and foreign debt defaults,” said Bruce Norris of The Norris Group.

“You’re seeing a continued financial conservatism on the part of households as they attempt to get their household balance sheets back in order by reducing debt and increasing savings, all of which create a demand-side problem for housing,” said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae’s vice president and chief economist.

Duncan will join real estate analyst Bruce Norris of The Norris Group and other nationally known real estate experts at the Nixon Presidential Library on Oct. 14th to discuss potential solutions to the nation’s continuing real estate crisis.

The event, dubbed “I Survived Real Estate 2011,” is organized each fall by The Norris Group and features some of the most respected voices in real estate. This year’s lineup also includes:

  •  *  Doug Duncan, chief economist for Fannie Mae
  •  *  Eric Janszen, founder and president of iTulip, Inc.
  •  *  Debra Still, chairman elect of the Mortgage Bankers Association
  •  *  Sean O’Toole, president of Foreclosure Radar

Norris, who has built a following in the real estate community and with news reporters after producing consistently accurate real estate forecasts, said the panelists should provide a clearer picture of what we can expect to happen in real estate markets in California and elsewhere in the coming months in addition to identifying potential solutions to the crisis as well as opportunities for real estate professionals and investors.

In a recent interview on Norris’s weekly radio program, Duncan said housing is still a worthwhile long-term investment. “If you don’t own in the future,” he said, “the housing bill will always take the majority of your income. If you are able to buy and lock in a fixed rate, it will become less and less a percentage of your budget.”

Norris regularly interviews lenders, economists, builders and other housing experts on his weekly real estate radio talk show, which airs at 6 p.m. Saturdays on KTIE 590 AM in San Bernardino. Podcasts of Norris’s radio interviews can be accessed through his company website, www.thenorrisgroup.com.

Net proceeds from the Oct. 14th event will be donated to the Orange County affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure, the world’s largest grassroots organization dedicated to finding a cure for breast cancer.

The event has more than 25 sponsors, including Kucan & Clark Partners, LLC, Las Brisas EscrowLeivas AssociatesMike CantuNorthern California Real Estate Investors AssociationNorthern San Diego Real Estate Investors Association, and Pacific Sunrise Mortgage.

For tickets and other information involving the Oct. 14th event, please visit www.isurvived2011.com. Reporters seeking advance interviews with Norris and panel participants before or after the event should contact Aaron Norris at (951) 780-5856.

 

Eric Janszen joins the I Survived Real Estate Panel October 14th

Tuesday, September 27th, 2011

I Survived Real Estate 2011

Eric Janszen, author of “The Post Catastrophe Economy,” to join real estate analyst Bruce Norris and others in an Oct. 14th panel discussion on the continuing real estate crisis.

YORBA LINDA, Calif., Sept. 27, 2011 – Eric Janszen, who wrote a book last year titled “The Post Catastrophe Economy,” was one of the first analysts in the country to warn of a housing bubble, which he anticipated in 2000.

Janszen anticipated that the economic crisis caused by the bursting of the housing bubble would force significant changes in the structure of the U.S. economy. But that hasn’t happened, which is troubling given the continuing high levels of unemployment and malaise that have affected the U.S. economy in recent years.

On Oct. 14th, Janszen will join real estate analyst Bruce Norris of The Norris Group and other nationally known real estate experts at the Nixon Presidential Library to discuss solutions to the nation’s continuing real estate crisis.

The event, dubbed “I Survived Real Estate 2011,” is organized each fall by The Norris Group and features some of the most respected voices in real estate. This year’s lineup also includes

  •  *  Doug Duncan, chief economist for Fannie Mae
  •  *  Eric Janszen, founder and president of iTulip, Inc.
  •  *  Debra Still, chairman elect of the Mortgage Bankers Association
  •  *  Sean O’Toole, president of Foreclosure Radar

Norris, who has built a following in the real estate community and with news reporters after producing consistently accurate real estate forecasts, said the panelists should provide a clearer picture of what we can expect to happen in real estate markets in California and elsewhere in the coming months in addition to identifying potential solutions to the crisis as well as opportunities for real estate professionals and investors.

In a recent interview on Norris’s weekly radio program, Janszen warned that the U.S. government has wasted precious time and public credit trying to restart an economy in a global economic environment that is fundamentally different from the one that characterized the past 30 years. The government, he added, needs to be thinking about the changes and the investments that are needed right now to help the U.S. regain its competitive edge.

Norris regularly interviews lenders, economists, builders and other housing experts on his weekly real estate radio talk show, which airs at 6 p.m. Saturdays on KTIE 590 AM in San Bernardino. Podcasts of Norris’s radio interviews can be accessed through his company website, www.thenorrisgroup.com.

Net proceeds from the Oct. 14th event will be donated to the Orange County affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure, the world’s largest grassroots organization dedicated to finding a cure for breast cancer.

Norris regularly interviews lenders, economists, builders and other housing experts on his weekly real estate radio talk show, which airs at 6 p.m. Saturdays on KTIE 590 AM in San Bernardino. Podcasts of Norris’s radio interviews can be accessed through his company website, www.thenorrisgroup.com.

The event has more than 25 sponsors, including ForeclosureRadarHousingWire MagazineElite Auctions, Adrenaline AthleticsColdwell Banker Pioneer Real EstateConaway and ConawayDelmae PropertiesInland Empire Investors ForumKeller Williams of Corona, and Keystone CPA.

For tickets and other information involving the Oct. 14th event, please visit www.isurvived2011.com. Reporters seeking advance interviews with Norris and panel participants before or after the event should contact Aaron Norris at (951) 780-5856.

 

238-TNG Radio – Rick Solis and Andrea Esplin 8-13-11

Friday, August 12th, 2011

 

Rick Solis

Appraiser/Investor

(Full Bio)

Andrea-Esplin

Andrea Esplin

Appraiser/Investor

(Full Bio)

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This week Bruce is joined by Rick Solis and Andrea Esplin. Both are real estate investors in Southern California and have been doing it for a long time. Rick is also the appraiser that appraises most of The Norris Group’s hard money loan situations.

Andrea got started in real estate investing right around 2001/2002. Her timing could not have been better because everything she touched probably started to go up a little bit, but as she was going through ‘03/04 it started going up a lot. Andrea said at the time she was too ignorant to know that, so she lucked out in that sense. Bruce said one of the things that happens is you immediately assume that whatever you’re experiencing is normal. If that is the only blueprint you have, then you think it is really how it works. This has changed. Andrea has gone from the most ridiculous upswing to the most incredible crash. In Bruce’s opinion, her having gone through that is an interesting experience. Andrea started out buying notes, and the first house she bought was actually a result of her taking one of The Norris Group boot camps. After the bootcamp, she came back and followed everything to the T. The first house she bought was in December 2003 on Orangetree in Fontana. At the time she attracted it through a non-owner occupied mailer. Prior to 2001, Andrea had a bookstore in La Verne that sold books on tape, so she gained a lot of skills here that helped her in the property-buying business. It’s all about helping someone out and the different ways that can be accomplished in closing your transactions.

Rick bought his first house in 1998, a HUD repo in Montclair on Princeton Street. It’s easy for him to remember this because he closed escrow one week after his 20th birthday. He decided to start really early after watching the late night infomercials as well as when he was that age he was looking to get rich quick. At that time he thought he was going to be a millionaire by 25 and be all done. Both Andrea and Rick had opposite experiences. Rick came in at the end of the cycle when he would have been blindsided for what he thought would have been true for two years but ended up not being true for seven. Rick was actually blindsided twice because he thought the 90’s was just a fluke and wasn’t really going to go down. When things were booming again in 2001, he really thought things were going to stay the way they were. He overestimated the success and, although he sold a lot, didn’t sell everything he should have sold. He knew bad times were coming, but he never suspected things would be as bad as they were. No one suspected anything, even though Bruce wrote a report called “The Crash” where he talked about the worst case scenarios. Rick did not suspect the worst case scenario was going to happen; he thought things would only drop 20-30%.

When Rick bought his first property, he held it the whole time just by the skin of his teeth. He lived there for the first year, renting out the bedrooms to individual tenants. After that, he rented it out, but things were plunging at this time. He was having trouble keeping the property afloat, so he gave the new tenant an equity-split deal. The tenant took care of the maintenance and the payment. He finally sold the property in either 2005 or 2006, and it worked out pretty well. When Rick was younger, he was loading up on the “nothing down” concepts from Robert Allen. He had tons of books by him which he picked up from the bookstore every week. He was reading a lot on creative financing, and interestingly enough Rick has no interest in any creative financing now. If there is no equity in a deal, then he is not interested. When Rick got started in real estate at age twenty, he didn’t really tell anyone what he was doing and didn’t care what they thought. He came from a lower-income area, so he didn’t tell any friends and kept it pretty quiet from everyone. When Bruce was younger and was selling electrical supplies in hardware stores, he knew at that time in his life if you told anyone what you were planning to do with real estate, you wouldn’t get much support for it. A lot of the time it is solo for a while until you start cashing a few checks, then all of a sudden people come around, which is really nice.

Andrea met Rick through her bookstore, and she actually started buying seconds as a result of Rick. He was the one who referred her to the bootcamp. They had not planned to be in business together. She started buying seconds in 2001, which was a real safe time to make these purchases and therefore worked out well since they were not kept past 2006. Timing has a lot to do with how things work out. You can have the perfect blueprint for the wrong era and have a real problem. This is what is unique about the real estate business in that timing aspect might seem good but won’t work for another three years. Rick just started buying notes again. There is a lot more available to buy, but he has noticed it is much harder to get the borrowers to make any kind of payment now. Even if it’s in their best interest, you can’t even get them to pay $100 a month because they’re so used to not paying that it is a bit of a challenge. Andrea thinks this is because they have been dealing with the banks that were not doing anything about them not paying. They’re used to this, so when they’re sent a letter saying that their house will be foreclosed on, they think this means a year from now.

Andrea and Rick’s first property they worked on together was the house on Orangtree in Fontana in 2003. They held it a year before they sold it. The bought the house at $.60 on the dollar, and Rick remembers after walking out the door everyone was giving Andrea a hug. At first he couldn’t understand it because the customer had just given away $40 grand and was hugging Andrea like they were planning vacations and picnics with her. Andrea and Rick are partners in a business that is hard to be partners in. Most of the time it doesn’t work because in a lot of partnerships you have two people who would be incapable of doing the business alone, so they partner together and don’t do it well in pairs. This is not the case with Andrea and Rick. Both of them are very capable of doing it on their own. In the beginning, Andrea said she was ignorant about real estate. She and her employees put together a letter, which her employees mailed out. She knew how to close a deal; this was her only true gift. She thought she would be able to figure everything else out, but if she couldn’t close anything, then what’s the point of having the knowledge. Rick truly has real estate values, so they would both take phone calls. He did all the values in the beginning, while Andrea sent all the letters and did all the negotiating. It worked out that she didn’t know they were buying their first house so cheap because she thought she was doing a service to everybody and was going to solve their problems. They both had different strengths, which worked out well. The reason why they have stayed together is because they both have the same type of character but two different skill sets.

Rick does not really enjoy negotiating. He usually did the best and picked up the best deals where it was people who were just calling him, telling him what they had, and mailing him an offer. He did best where all he had to do was get them an offer in the mail, then perform quickly and close it. He is not really good at establishing relationships and getting back and forth, but he usually cuts to the chase. He asks them what they have, what they want, then tells them the offer and that he can close in ten days. Andrea is the best at closing the hard ones where they need to feel very comfortable with the person to whom they are selling the house. A lot of people don’t realize they have a lot of the tools that are important in the buy and sell business, but they think they can’t do it because they don’t know real estate. Bruce had a very similar experience when he went to work for a company in Orange County in 1981. He didn’t know a grant deed from a trust deed, but he was able to understand the concept of what they had as he had cash and the buyers had equity. He understood this clearly, but he would have made the same decision on most of the deals that he was sitting across from. It made sense for him to get a yes answer. Rick also looks at the customers problems and says it makes sense to him that it would be an acceptable solution to what he has. The belief of this is very important, as Andrea agrees. You have to believe that you truly are solving their problem. Both Rick and Andrea have done some wholesaling, so in a way they are making the same decision mentioned before, but at a different level. They understand they are leaving part of the pie for somebody else, and it’s perfectly okay. It’s a big step once you cross the barrier because you realize there are circumstances where a piece of something is so much better if it is quick than the whole pie six months down the road. When you do some wholesaling, you all of a sudden really get it. You understand the service and don’t even mind being on the other side of it. This really makes you more persuasive because it’s not like you’re trying to get somebody to do something and are then shocked when they say yes.

When Rick and Andrea started in the business back in the early 2000s, they were initially only going to sell most of the properties. However, the ones Rick saw were the most profitable were the ones that were held on for a little while. Initially, they did sell quite a few, but they actually regretted it years later. They walked out with $10-$20 grand profit, whereas the houses they held for even just a year profited over $100 grand in profit. This was an error they had never seen before and would be hard pressed to see again.

Around 2004/2005, the mood of the investors was they seemed like they had just come out of a pep rally seminar for Amway and were really pumped. This made having any type of discernment not necessary because it had a front door and was going to make dough. At this time it was hard to make mistakes. This is one of the hardest things coming from the era where Andrea obtained her experience. At that time you could misprice something and be forgiven for it and sometimes blessed. Also, you didn’t have to repair properties as well as you do right now because the retail buyer was of the same mindset that they had to get something. So if they had a front door, then they were not picky about what was on the other side of it. At that time they did not fix their properties; there was no granite or floors. They usually were not handed repair lists from the home inspector. This is hard to overcome mentally when you come from an era like that to what amounts to the Great Depression of California real estate. To overcome this, Rick said he just stopped looking in 2007. Andrea said some of the pains they have had were blessings because they were able to learn quickly from them. She learned more going through bad times than good. In good times there is not as much to learn because you think you’re doing everything right. When things change, you realize if you really were doing everything right then how come you are in a bad situation. There were a lot of houses Rick kept that he now realizes he should have dumped. Life would be better now if he had not kept them, but you later just write it off as experience. He and Andrea now have a new plan that should get them in the same place, which involves buying and holding. Andrea said she still has to do retailing to make a living, but they have been acquiring more rentals. Last year in particular they acquired several rentals by going by Tony Alvarez’s plan. This was the first chance Andrea had to buy a property and still have a cash flow. When she started out she knew the long-term wealth was in holding and cash flow. Especially in this cycle this is true because the margins are really tight for buy/sell because there are so many people trying to buy/hold that they will pay a different level than we can buying and selling. That margin is tight, and for the first time you can buy something you don’t even need a super deal on to cash flow. If you get a deal, then it makes even more sense. Ever since 1988 Rick has never been able to buy something where the rent is way higher than the house payment, even with a hard money loan. Yet you still don’t have people breaking down the doors wanting to buy, and if they do they are not qualified. There is not very much demand. Bruce cannot imagine the perspective of coming into the market for the first time here because you would get a picture where things are normal when it is anything but normal. There are a lot of people that could buy houses or even just a home to live in are not motivated at all and don’t realize what a gift this is. A lot if it is mental, both in lender policies and buyer decisions. About 25 people Bruce knows are in escrow right now, and for the first time in their life 25 people are looking at every article negative to real estate, biting their nails and asking if they should borrow money at 4 ½% at a price that is 60% off. They’re really tossing and turning over it because they don’t have support. People made decisions back in 2005 because it was overwhelming that that was the right decision even though they were paying a ridiculous price. Now, it’s just the opposite. You know that your rent is going to be higher than your payment would turn out to be, and yet signing the documents is so permanent that people hesitate to do it. Rick said they don’t realize that they’re always going to need a place to live.

When Bruce was speaking in front of people a lot, one of the questions he started asking was if anyone renting houses was willing to give a 30-year fixed rent. Imagine if your life was blessed with a 30-year fixed payment at this level because at some point you are going to make a lot more money. When Bruce first bought a home with Marsha, the payments seemed pretty high since they were at $209. They stepped up to the next house where it was $310, and it was stressful. All of a sudden, five years later, you realize you basically have two car payments on your hands and it’s basically a joke. This is the chance people have now, but that mental problem is they’re surrounded by everybody that has gotten damaged by the product. The memory of the 05/06 era is gone. The optimism has now turned into the mindset of, “How long has it been since you made your payment, or when are you getting booted out.” The optimism came back really fast last year when the tax credit was put out. Buyers flew back into the market so fast, and Rick does not understand what has changed their minds so much now. It’s kind of unusual now that they either cannot qualify or are simply not interested. $8,000 was basically a down payment when you have a nothing down loan program. People need to look at how these loans have performed that people got back $8 grand. They would have performed wonderfully. They got $8,000 back and paid $20,000 more for the house. What’s interesting is mindset currently going on is it is all geared toward down payments being bigger in the future, 20% down being mandatory in most cases. This concerns all of them, especially since they’re making that decision based on faulty information. There is an assumption that that loan pile is safer than any other one, the best performing pile of loans for forty years is a VA nothing down loan. It beats the 20% down Fannie Mae loan. Bruce wants the people at the Nixon library to see a chart of this and take it wherever they go because it really fights the nonsense and is undeniable. Nothing down beats 20% down because they have underwriting standards, so it makes sense. Usually their underwriting standards have nothing down, and you will have people coming out of the woodwork and a lot of people buying houses.

Join us next time to learn the work Andrea and Rick do on a daily basis and their thoughts going forward for being a real estate investor and how it might change in the next decade as opposed to what they just experienced.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/10/11

Tuesday, May 10th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

The NAR stated that home sales rose in 49 states during the first quarter. A study from the NAHB shows 72.8% of all U.S. homes sold last year were affordable for families earning the national median income. The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network said reports of mortgage fraud reached a record high. Trulia found that third-party syndicators of listings data which does not come from an MLS has an error rate of 21.3 percent for either a listing’s price or status.

In The News:

NAR - “Existing-Home Sales Rise in Most States in First Quarter; Metro Area Prices Mixed” (5-10-11)

“Existing-home sales continued to recover in the first quarter with gains recorded in 49 states and the District of Columbia, while 22 percent of the available metropolitan areas saw prices rise from a year ago, according to the latest survey by the National Association of Realtors®.”

NAHB - “New Data from NAHB Breaks Down Housing Affordability by Race/Ethinicity” (5-10-11)

“The HOI for all races/ethnic groups combined was 72.8 in 2010, meaning that 72.8 percent of all homes sold in the U.S. last year were affordable to families earning the national median income of $64,400.”

Wall Street Journal“Reports of Mortgage Fraud Reach Record Level” (5-10-11)

“The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, a Treasury agency, reported 70,472 ‘suspicious activity reports’ related to suspected mortgage fraud, up from 67,507 in 2009, or a 5% increase.”

Sacramento Bee“Sacramento-area home prices continue their slide” (5-10-11)

“For the eighth straight month home prices dropped when compared to the same month a year prior. The March 2011 median sale price was down 7.5 percent nationwide in March when compared to March 2010. The drop was even more pronounced in the four-county region of Sacramento, Yolo, El Dorado and Placer counties where the median in March was down 10.42 percent year over year.”

Orange County Register“A good time to buy an investment property?” (5-10-11)

“Before you answer the question as to whether now is a good time for you to purchase income property a few questions: Are you purchasing investment property for equity growth or for income? How long do you think you will hold onto to the property? Are you thinking of buying a single family residence or units?”

Bloomberg - “States Said to Alter Mortgage Accord as Banks, Republicans Balk” (5-10-11)

“U.S. states probing foreclosure practices revised a nationwide settlement proposal after banks and eight Republican attorneys general objected to mortgage loan principal cuts, two people familiar with the talks said. The provision of the original 27-page term-sheet submitted by the states and Justice Department would encourage defaults, the banks and eight attorneys general said”

Inman - “Trulia: Higher error rate in non-MLS sources of real estate listings data” (5-10-11)

“Trulia’s analysis found that third-party syndicators of listings data that did not come from an MLS had an error rate of 21.3 percent for either a listing’s price or status. Real estate professionals submit data to these sources but often don’t return to update their listings, Trulia said.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Fannie Mae asked for $8.4 billion in government aid. Serious delinquencies among US Alt-A residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) declined in April. First American CoreLogic reported that underwater mortgages and borrowers with less than 5% home equity accounted for 28% of all residential properties. Statistics from Zillow showed more than a fifth of U.S. mortgage holders owed more than their homes were worth in the first quarter of 2010.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

223-TNG Radio – Lance Martin 4-30-11

Friday, April 29th, 2011

Lance-Martin

Lance Martin

Owner of Coldwell Banker Pioneer Real Estate


(Full Bio)

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This week Bruce is joined again by Lance Martin. Lance has been in the real estate business for 24 years as broker/owner of Coldwell Banker Pioneer Real Estate which serves the Inland Empire. Lance is an expert in residential REO foreclosure sales.

During the downturn, Martin expected more tenants to show up on the market place. He expected rental vacancy to be near zero. Perhaps a lot of people moved in with family. Over the last six months, the demand for rental inventory has become much stronger. Martin’s rental vacancy is about 6%.

Bruce has noticed from data charts that vacancies increase when foreclosures increase. This seems counter intuitive, but part of the explanation for this is that people move out of California. When there is high unemployment, people find other places to work and households downsize.

Martin and his father realized in 2004 that the upward trend in prices was not sustainable.

Most agents want to be REO agents, but most of them do not realize how much work is involved in being an REO agent. You do not earn as much commission, so you have to work with a larger volume of sales. The expenses involved in the REO business are also much larger. Martin knows of a few REO agents who quit their job soon after receiving it, because they were quickly overwhelmed. The REO brokerage business is not the real estate business. There are no similarities between listing an REO property for sale and dealing with homeowners.

Bruce responded that when you are in the middle of an REO phase in California, you really don’t have time for real estate.  However, when you transition to real estate, you don’t have the standard clientele that you would have had as an REO agent.  You’re almost starting from scratch.  Lance said this was true, except that he is not an REO broker in the sense that he is an agent who sits in an office, works for a broker, and his whole world revolves around REO.  His REO business he has been maintaining for the last several years has helped him grow his office.  A big part of his business plan is to grow his offices.  Last year in 2010, he was out buying real estate offices, and at the time he had multiple people telling him they didn’t understand what he was doing.  But, he bought four properties and opened one brand new place himself, adding a total of five new offices for Pioneer Real Estate in Santa Ana, Claremont, Covina, and Redlands.  Part of his plan is not to fall into the trap of being stuck not knowing what to do when the REO cycle is over.  His company is consistently recruiting and bringing in new agents.  Lance said that most of the agents that are in the business today are tough and understand the business really well, but it’s only in the last few years they’re realizing that things are not the same as they were 8-9 years ago.  Part of his business plan in the future as REO begins to wind down is to run a more traditional shop, work as a broker, and continue to grow his shops.  The problem is nobody really knows when the REO business will wind down, so we don’t really have a true real estate market right now.  We’re just working with artificial government policy.  This artificial policy could be related to balance sheet policy being driven by the financial players or to the robo-signing scandal that’s preventing the banks from having all the legal documents necessary to push the properties through to foreclosure.

Bruce stated that there has been a change in people’s attitudes of whether they should own a piece of real estate property at all, something which he really dislikes.  We have gone from wanting to give everyone a loan, which was the attitude 5-6 years ago, to not wanting to give anybody loans and reconsidering whether owning a home is even the right decision.  To Bruce this is very frustrating because he doesn’t want the country to lose on being a part of making decisions and sharing a piece of real estate, which he says is who we are.  Lance stated that unfortunately this is what we do, and we have changed our attitudes about the market.  For example, Lance is starting to obtain some condos in Moreno Valley that his company is listing and selling for $40k.  This is what he calls an overcorrection, as this was the price they were selling them for back in the early 90’s.  Now, you look back and it’s hard to believe you were once able to buy a condo at that price.  In 2006, you were selling this exact same condo for $225K.  Now, we are going back the other direction towards lower prices, and people are asking, “Is now a good time to buy real estate?  Should I own, not own, rent?”  He thought there is still is some level of confidence out there in the market, and there’s always a good time to buy real estate.  However, you have to do you homework.  You need to figure out what it is you’re buying, where you’re buying it, what the market is like.  He used the example of last month when there were more pending sales in the Inland Empire multiple listings than there had been in at least two years.  There were over 9,000 units that went into escrow, which had not happened in over two years.  Bruce and Lance had discussed this before saying that 9,000 was a significant number but could have been made up of, for example, some short sales that wouldn’t work.  He also said there was a chart for closings where the numbers were really aggressive.  So there are a lot of opportunities to buy, but not every listing is a good opportunity to buy.  It is unfortunate that you have people out there who should be buying but instead are afraid to or are waiting for a specific reason.  Whether or not the price of the house has bottomed, Bruce didn’t think you could go wrong getting a 30-year loan for something that says 5% or less, for example.  You just do the math on it.  Even if you thought values were going to suffer a little bit this year in a specific location or neighborhood, if you factor in the interest rate, then you shouldn’t be afraid of what the market is going to do.  Lance said that CAR has reported a slight reduction in median price state wide by about 2-3%.  When are you going to see this again?

When Bruce first went into the business in 1981, he refinanced his house at 17.5% fixed FHA.  So he thinks it’s funny when people say interest rates are too high right now and they want to wait for them to go down before they make any move.  You just have to realize it’s a very different world now.

Bruce went on to discuss the actual process that Lance goes through as an REO agent when dealing with houses that are sometimes occupied.  He asked him what percentage of the properties that he ends up getting listings for are occupied by someone.  Lance answered the number is close to 75% and is significantly larger than it was in the past.  Many were former mortgage owners, many were tenants.  Bruce thinks the higher number was largely courtesy of the internet.  There is a phrase “Cash for keys” that they teach in some night classes, which Bruce said is expected to come soon.  Lance replied that back in the 90’s not many people understood that the banks would be willing to offer you money for a house.  In the recent cycle back in 2006, most of his clients would offer about $1,000.  Now, unfortunately, the market is upside-down.  Ridiculous amounts of money are being offered to people who really don’t deserve it, but the expectation of the occupants has changed.  They want to stay in their house, and they want money.  There are a lot of properties now that are a part of shadow inventory; basically properties that are not on the market but should be on the market.  For example, 20% of everything that Lance currently has in his inventory is, in effect, off the market because post-foreclosure, the tenant in the property was offered an opportunity to lease the property back for a period of time.  Therefore, the properties are now in rental inventory.  He called this ridiculous since there are several buyers willing to step in and buy the properties.  As a property manager or an investor buying a property, you need a tenant.  If your tenants are now occupying properties that are bank-owned, then those tenants are off the market.

Bruce asked if the word “option” is ever discussed with lease-back.   Lance answered that generally speaking it is.  However, it also depends on who you’re talking about; who’s buying the property.  For example, a tenant always has an option to purchase a property.  However, if it is a former borrower, then it is not discussed, at least not with Lance’s clients.  He actually has mixed feelings about this.  He said it may make sense given the volume of inventory he and his company are having, but it does get back to what he said earlier about not having a true real estate market but rather an artificial market.  Bruce reiterated saying that you can have a permanent artificial market if you continued down a government controlled path.  You can then have what feels like stability and know that if you look at the charts you can see this happen very quickly.  And this is what is scary.  Lance’s business plan is now much different than it otherwise would have been because he now has to take into account what is becoming a sense of “normalcy” when it comes to either inventory coming into the market or the policy for a specific client.  The part that scared him was if they allowed things to go back to normal, then his business plan was wrong.  Bruce said one of the nice things about having access to Foreclosure Radar was that you have a warning light and know the process.  Just because you foreclose on an REO property doesn’t mean that home is going to be up in the market for sale tomorrow.  It’s going to take months, or sometimes, years.  Lance has properties that are just now being brought into inventory where the foreclosure process for the property started 14 months ago.  This could have been the result of numerous things, whether a long eviction, a title issue, or a brief rental program.  You have to pay attention to the data you’re given, look at it daily to see if anything changes in the trend.  You have to always be up to date on everything in the market.

One of Bruce’s pet peeves is when people deliberately damage property and take things out of the house like they own them.  Lance has never been able to prosecute these people in his experience because most of the people he has done business with did not fall into this category.  They were not abusing the property in any way.  The individuals who were damaging the property either left before they arrived at the property or never answered the door.  Generally, the percentage of the properties damaged is close to 0%.  For one thing, it’s hard to determine who damaged the property.  It’s one thing if you were a witness to it, but the banks are usually not geared up to deal with it.  It is a sad state of affairs, as he has seen several properties that were completely destroyed.  He had seen cases where neighbors went in to other houses and took something out because they were missing it in their own house.  Bruce one time had his own carpet taken by people who needed carpet for their house, and Bruce had just the right kind that matched their model house.

To end off, Bruce asked Lance who was easier to deal with: tenants or past owners.  Lance answered tenants since they seemed more prepared than the owners who stayed in the property post-foreclosure.  Most of the tenants were well aware that the property had gone into foreclosure and were simply waiting for someone to knock on their door.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/26/11

Tuesday, April 26th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Commerce Department reports new home sales increased 11% in March. A study shows that short sales and foreclosures equally damage FICO scores. A survey from Pew shows 81% of adults believe purchasing a home is the best long-term investment a person can make. Morgan Stanley believes home prices will fall 6-11% this year.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association“Study Examines the Impact of Homebuyer Education and Counseling on Mortgage Performance” (4-26-11)

“Potential homeowners who participate in prepurchase education and counseling programs may be more likely to pay their mortgages on time, although the evidence on this point is not consistent and compelling, according to a study released today by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). The study also finds that those who participate in default counseling are more likely to have their loans modified.”

MSNBC - “Housing reality trumps dogma for some in GOP” (4-26-11)

“leading proponents of doing away with Fannie and Freddie aren’t predicting victory. As a precaution, they’re advancing eight bills taking bite-sized swipes at the issue. In the Democratic-led Senate, a sister measure by 2008 presidential candidate Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., faces long odds, and the Banking Committee’s top Democrat and Republican are wary of quickly reshaping the market for financing home purchases.”

CNN - “Home prices in ‘double dip’” (4-26-11)

“Home prices in February sank 3.3% to just above the post-crisis lows reached in April 2009. It was the seventh straight month of declines. Home values are down 32% from their peak set in May of 2006, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller index of home prices in 20 cities.”

Housing Wire“Harvard finds dwindling housing supply abolishes affordable rentals” (4-26-11)

“The Harvard University Joint Center for Housing Studies released a report Tuesday, analyzing conditions in the housing market from 1999 to 2010. The study found the price to rent a home is trending inversely to renters’ annual income, just one of many factors hindering growth in the rental space.”

Housing Wire“FHFA: 30-year fixed-rate mortgage passes 5%” (4-26-11)

“The average interest rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage reached 5.06% in March, an increase of 9 basis points from the previous month, according the Federal Housing Finance Agency.”

Housing Wire“Study finds recent housing counseling cuts made in the dark” (4-26-11)

“Republicans and Democrats struck a late-hour deal in April on how to continue funding the U.S. government. But among the cuts, was $88 million used to fund nonprofit counseling groups approved by the Department of Housing and Urban Development.”

Housing Wire“Freddie Mac mortgage purchases plummet 31%” (4-26-11)

“The amount of monthly mortgages purchased for securitization by Freddie Mac fell nearly 31% in March to $26.9 billion. The government-sponsored enterprise reported its total mortgage portfolio decreased at an annualized rate of 4.7% during the month to $2.14 trillion.”

Los Angeles Times - “New home sales rose in March after weak winter” (4-25-11)

“New-home sales rose 11 percent last month from February to a seasonally adjusted rate of 300,000 homes, the Commerce Department said Monday. That follows three straight monthly declines. Still, the pace remains far below the 700,000 homes a year that economists view as healthy.”

New York Times“Stimulus by Fed Is Disappointing, Economists Say” (4-24-11)

“Mr. Bernanke and his supporters say that the purchases have improved economic conditions, all but erasing fears of deflation, a pattern of falling prices that can delay purchases and stall growth. Inflation, which is beneficial in moderation, has climbed closer to healthy levels since the Fed started buying bonds.”

Housing Wire“Short sales and foreclosures equally degrade FICO scores” (4-25-11)

“homeowners that entered short-sales found themselves with FICO scores in the 575-to-595 range — the same range reported for parties with foreclosures on their records.”

Housing Wire“Homeownership still considered best long-term investment: Pew” (4-25-11)

“The housing crash seems to have had little impact on consumer confidence, as 81% of adults believe buying a home is the best long-term investment a person can make”

Housing Wire“Distressed property index rises in March: Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance”
(4-25-11)

“A distressed property index rose to 48.6% in March – the second highest level in the past 12 months while owner-occupant home purchases slowed during the same time period according to another index.”

Housing Wire“Wells economist: Foreclosure supply points to ‘long, arduous’ recovery” (4-25-11)

“Despite better-than-expected new home sales in March, a Wells Fargo (WFC: 28.56 +0.07%) economist said builders will continue to struggle until the foreclosure wave begins to recede.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Home Prices May Decrease 6% to 11% This Year, Morgan Stanley Says” (4-25-11)

“U.S. home prices will fall 6 percent to 11 percent this year, more than previously forecast, as mortgages become harder to obtain and distressed sales drive down values, according to Morgan Stanley. ”

Bloomberg - “Fed Officials Count on Untested Tool to Hold Off Inflation” (4-25-11)

“Raising the rate, currently at 0.25 percent, is intended to entice banks to keep their money on deposit at the Fed instead of loaning it out and stoking inflation.”

Bloomberg - “Sales of New U.S. Homes Probably Rose From Record Low as Market Struggled” (4-25-11)

“New-home sales, tabulated when contracts are signed, climbed 12 percent to a 280,000 annual pace last month, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 64 economists. Purchases slumped 17 percent in February to a 250,000 rate, the weakest in data going back to 1963.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the CIRB reported that permits were pulled for 3,714 total California housing units in March. Commercial mortgage delinquencies fell to 0.63% in Q1 of 2010. The MARI saw a 50 percent increase in appraisal fraud in 2009. Homeownership rates in Q1 of 2010 decreased to the lowest levels since 2000.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/15/11

Friday, April 15th, 2011

Sources:
March sales and price report
Southland Home Sales Still Slow, Prices Edge Down
Calif. Mortgage Defaults on the Rise
Self-Evident Truth in Market Variables: Longer Foreclosure Timelines
Fitch reports slowing subprime delinquencies, foreclosure sales
Sales up, Prices Down for Bay Area Housing Market
California March Home Sales
Jobless claims unexpectedly rise to 412,000 last week
Banks to Pay Victims of Botched Foreclosures in Settlement With Regulators
Feds announce partial settlement with ‘robo signing’ servicers
OCC Takes Enforcement Action Against Eight Servicers for Unsafe and Unsound Foreclosure Practices
2011 Enforcement Actions
Bill introduced to speed up short sales
http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2011/04/speed_sales

Today’s News Synopsis:

Bank of America expects a 25% downturn in the mortgage origination market, and has laid off 1,500 mortgage workers. Standard & Poor predicts the new risk-retention rule will further depress the housing market.

In The News:

Daily Bulletin“Casting a shadow: Housing market’s hidden inventory looms” (4-15-11)

“The shadow inventory is leading to the sentiment that any stability in today’s market is a false one, said Bruce Norris, president of The Norris Group, a Riverside-based real estate investment firm. Some delinquent homes will avoid foreclosure through loan modifications or short sales, but many will also go up for sale.”

Bloomberg - “Fed Policy Makers Differ Over Policy as Inflation Accelerates” (4-15-11)

“Fed Governor Elizabeth Duke said in Washington yesterday that rising commodity costs aren’t resulting from U.S. monetary policy and don’t warrant higher interest rates, while Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo said he sees no sign of inflation spreading more broadly. Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker and Philadelphia’s Charles Plosser indicated they’re more concerned about prices, with Lacker saying the central bank must tighten credit before inflation gains speed.”

Housing Wire“New Democrat Coalition unveils housing finance reform priorities” (4-15-11)

“The New Democrat Coalition wants to wind down Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and increase private-sector involvement in the residential mortgage market, according to a new document the group released Friday. The proposal includes preserving access to affordable loans, including the 30-year, fixed-rate loan, and strengthening taxpayer protections.”

Housing Wire“Bank of America lays off 1,500 mortgage workers” (4-15-11)

“Bank of America (BAC: 12.82 -2.36%) laid off 1,500 associates nationwide as the bank anticipates a 25% downturn in the mortgage origination market.”

Housing Wire“Risk retention will produce higher quality mortgages, depress housing: S&P” (4-15-11)

“The new risk-retention rule will produce higher quality originations, as intended, but will also constrict lending and further depress the housing market, according to Standard & Poor’s.”

Jacksonville - “Bank gives man foreclosed Jacksonville house for free” (4-15-11)

“Perry Laspina was in the middle of foreclosure with the possibility of losing the house he owned in Jacksonville. Then the mail came one day in late January telling him that the house was his. Despite the $72,000 mortgage that he barely paid anything on, despite the foreclosure … the house was his.”

Realty Times“Sell Your Home Now With These Tips” (4-15-11)

“That means that any and all pictures of your home should create web appeal — an instant attraction — drawing the buyer into your home for an in-person look. If your photos or videos are not properly composed with pleasant lighting and free of clutter and distractions, they won’t appeal to buyers browsing the web.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/12/11

Tuesday, April 12th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

81 percent of respondents to a Pew Research Center’s survey believe housing is the best investment a person can make. California foreclosure sales increased 35.1% in March, according to ForeclosureRadar. Altos Research claims home sale inventory rose 2.97% last month. HUD is being sued over a rule requiring a property heir to pay the full mortgage balance to keep the home, even if it exceeds the value of the property.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association“Weekly Applications Survey” (4-12-11)

“Mortgage applications decreased 6.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 8, 2011. ”

Housing Wire“Investors eager, but hold no great expectations for economic growth” (4-12-11)

“Investors are jumping back into the market and reducing their cash holdings even as the overall economic outlook suggests the world economy is facing ‘below-trend growth’ and ‘above trend’ inflation, according to the Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAC: 13.525 +0.26%) Survey of Fund Managers for April.”

Housing Wire“HUD halts foreclosures on reverse mortgage spouses” (4-12-11)

“The Department of Housing and Urban Development directed its reverse mortgage lenders and servicers to halt foreclosures on the borrower’s spouse, according to a letter sent out last week. The American Association of Retired Persons sued HUD in March on behalf of three spouses of reverse mortgage borrowers. HUD changed a previous policy from 1989, changed in 2008, that said than an heir, which includes a surviving spouse, must pay the full mortgage balance to keep the home, even if it exceeds the value of the property.”

Reuters - “Housing still best investment despite downturn: study” (4-12-11)

“The survey by the Pew Research Center’s Social and Demographic Trends project found that 81 percent of respondents see housing as the best investment a person can make, despite a slump in prices that has knocked nearly a third off home values since 2006.”

MSN - “Some real estate agents feeling spring chill” (4-12-11)

“Spring typically is the year’s busiest season for residential real estate, but this year some normally upbeat sales agents are showing signs of nervousness as they confront sluggish growth and tough lending standards.”

DSNews - “Self-Evident Truth in Market Variables: Longer Foreclosure Timelines” (4-12-11)

“in California foreclosure sales in March increased 35.1 percent on a month-over-month basis, but rose just 10.5 percent on a daily average basis. Nevada foreclosure sales, however, bounced back strongly after falling in February, rising 109.5 percent even on a daily average basis.”

Housing Wire“Mortgage industry workforce plummets 51% since 2006″ (4-12-11)

“The number of employees in the mortgage industry declined 51% between February 2006 and February 2011, which equates to a loss of 257,000 jobs. February 2006 marked the peak of employment in this sector at 505,000 individuals.”

Housing Wire“Fannie, Freddie lenders to submit electronic appraisals in June” (4-12-11)

“Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac notified lenders Wednesday that a new system will be available June 27 giving lenders the ability to upload appraisals electronically.”

Housing Wire“Housing inventory rises for spring selling season: Altos” (4-12-11)

“Home sale inventory was up 2.97% in March and up 6.83% over the three months ended in March, according to the Altos Research 10-City Composite Index.”

Orange County Register - “Who has too much power in America?” (4-12-11)

“A new Gallup Poll shows Americans think that lobbyists, major corporations, banks, and the federal government have too much power, while state and local governments, the legal system, organized religion, and the military have the right amount of power or too little of it.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, distressed home sales in Orange County were selling 34 percent under the typical market place. Fiserv estimated that home prices would not return to the past peak levels until 2025.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

220-TNG Radio – Mike & Randy Grigg 4-9-11

Friday, April 8th, 2011

Randy and Mike Grigg

President and Chief Auctioneer of Elite Auctions


(Full Bio)

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This week Bruce is joined again by Randy and Mike Grigg. Randy is the President of Elite Auctions. Mike is Randy’s son, who gradually got involved in the auction business. Mike has won awards for “Best Auctioneer”. He is very involved in real estate and charity auctions.

Randy began his career as an auctioneer because he had bough enough properties for long term investment, and he wanted to do something different. He tried buying and selling using Bruce’s and Mike Cantu’s strategies, but he discovered that their methods weren’t as easy as he expected. He began using auctions to escape some of the escrow difficulties that came with selling properties, and he experienced much more success using the auction method.

Mike Grigg began working in the auction business in 2002.

Bruce has always been intrigued by the auction business, and he tried to run his own auction once, but managed to fail during the boom period.

From 2002 to 2006, most people would not have thought of an auction, because it was easy to sell. However, people who used auctions during this time period experienced a good amount of success. Mike believes that auctions work best when the market is booming because the bidders are ferocious. Many times the price goes higher than a traditional sale.

75% of being a successful auctioneer is being able to comfortably speak in front of groups of people. Mike uses humor a lot during his auctions. His auction school was a week long course with 8 to 9 hour days of public speaking. Auctioning live stock is much faster than real estate. Also, there are many more frequent, professional bidders that attend live stock auctions. In a typical real estate auction, 50% of the bidders have never been to an auction before, and many of them are very nervous.

Bruce attended a live stock auction once, and he could not understand a word being said. Mike says that cattle auctioneers are not typically good candidates for real estate auctions, and vice versa.

There is a large difference between auctioning a property between 2005 and 2010. In 2005, the crowds were huge. Mike would sometimes have hundreds of people standing on someone’s front lawn. Two months ago it was hard to get bidders to come. This month it was a lot easier to get bidders to come. Next month could be a completely different story. Mike believes that buyers have a false sense that the market is coming back, which is encouraging many people to buy owner occupants.

The auction method requires 30 days of intense marketing. Mike’s company takes many calls from people who don’t know how an auction works. Sometimes people ask what a property will sell for, and Mike doesn’t want to do this, because everyone’s number is different.

Mike’s advertising campaign has become 50 to 75% less expensive over time. Most of Mike’s advertising is done over the internet. The newspaper has become very expensive, and it is not as effective.

Absolute auctions tend to get the biggest response, but Mike has not seen this kind of real estate auction take place in California over the past 5 years.

When Mike performs his advertising campaign, his goal is to get them to call, so that he can get them excited about the auction. After he talks to them over the phone, he tries to get them to come to an open house, and then hopefully they will come to the auction. Mike only holds 1 or 2 open houses for each house. Getting multiple bidders to come to the same open house shows the potential buyer that the house is popular and that Mike is running a legitimate company. Approximately 1 out of 3 people who come to the open house with come to the auction.

Mike’s most surprising auction involved a 6-plex apartment building. It was in a rent controlled zone in which they could not rebuild the property if it burned down. The property sold for $550,000, but it was appraised by 3 separate companies for only $350,000. Bruce has also been surprised by Mike’s auction results. Mike once auctioned a crummy, main street house for Bruce. Bruce was hoping that it would at least sell for $100,000, but did not have much hope. At the end of the auction, Mike informed Bruce that the home had sold for over $200,000.

Auctions work best for Bruce when he has owned a property for a long time and wants to get rid of it in a quick and low-hassle manner.

Mike got involved in charity auctions three years ago. His first charity auction was for Make A Wish. He is still performing this charity auction, and it has been more successful each year. These charities involved donated items, puppies, and trips. Mike is doing 10 charity auctions in the next month and a half. Mike makes money from charity auctions by offering a flat fee or a percentage of the earnings.

One of the ways Mike tries to break the ice in a charity auction is to have an opening center piece auction. During the center piece auction, one person from each table stands up and auctions their table’s center piece to the highest bidder at the table. The highest bidder of all the tables wins a small prize, such as a bottle of wine. Many of these auctions raise equal to or more than live auctions. Most of these charity auctions have 300 to 500 attendees. They are typically big events, in ballroom settings, with dinner and bands. Most of these charities occur annually.

Mike’s website for charity auctions is www.mikegriggauctions.com

Online auctions are very frowned upon by auctioneers. It can be hard to trust an online auctioneer, because you don’t know who they really are. However, if everything is disclosed properly and the investor gets the number he was approximately expecting, then there shouldn’t be a problem.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.