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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/10/10

Wednesday, March 10th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA reports that mortgage loan application volume increased by 0.5 percent. The percent of first-time buyers increased to 47 percent in 2009. FHFA is being sued over attempts to secure records of political contributions from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. John Burns claims that the real estate market is still in bad shape.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Purchase Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (3-10-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 5, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 1.2 percent compared with the previous week.”

Mercury News – “San Jose council agrees to levy fee on affordable housing developers” (3-10-10)

“The San Jose City Council on Tuesday agreed to amend a city ordinance that for 22 years has given affordable housing developers a pass on paying to build parks. The city now will require those developers to pay 50 percent of the parkland fee that other developers pay. While preserving an incentive to build apartments for lower-income residents, the new agreement will provide the cash-strapped city more money to build or improve parks or trails near housing projects.”

CAR - “C.A.R. releases ‘State of the California Housing Market’ report” (3-10-10)

“Affordable home prices, tax credits for home buyers, historically low interest rates, and a large number of distressed properties prompted many first-time home buyers to enter the market in 2009, according to the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®’ (C.A.R.) 2009-2010 ‘State of the California Housing Market’ report released today. The percent of first-time buyers increased dramatically in 2009, from 35.9 percent in 2008 to 47 percent in 2009, according to the report. The share of first-time buyers exceeded the long-run average of 38.6 percent and was the highest since 1995, when more than half of all buyers were first timers.”

Housing Wire – “Watchdog Sues FHFA Over Fannie and Freddie Records” (3-10-10)

“A watchdog group is fighting a legal battle with the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) over attempts to secure records of political contributions made by Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.10 +2.80%) and Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.31 +2.34%) since 2005. Judicial Watch filed its suit after the FHFA denied a May 29, 2009 Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request, the group said in a press statement. According to the Judicial Watch, the FHFA claimed that while Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac might possess the requested documents, the FHFA was not obligated to release them under FOIA”

Housing Wire – “Housing Gets D+ in Latest John Burns Report Card” (3-10-10)

“The US Housing Market got a grade of D+ in the monthly John Burns Real Estate Consulting (JBREC) report card. The housing supply received a grade of F; steady from last month, albeit at very low levels, JBREC said. New home completions were down, but housing starts were up.”

Housing Wire – “Lend America, VP Ashley Banned from FHA” (3-10-10)

“Michael Ashley, the embattled former vice president of Federal Housing Administration (FHA)-backed mortgage originator Lend America, and the company he worked for, were permanently banned from doing business in the industry last week. The court judgment, issued in New York on March 3, brings to a close a nearly five-month-long ordeal that began in October when the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s (HUD) Mortgagee Review Board issued a notice of violation against Ideal Mortgage Bankers, parent company of Lend America and Lending Key.”

Bloomberg - “Apollo Said to Triple Property Assets With Citi Unit Purchase” (3-10-10)

“Apollo Management LP agreed to buy Citigroup Inc.’s real estate investment unit in a move that will more than triple the value of the private-equity firm’s property assets, a person with knowledge of the deal said yesterday. The purchase of Citi Property Investors will give New York- based Apollo 65 real estate investments in 26 countries with a net asset value of $3.5 billion, said the person, who asked not to be named because the negotiations are private. Apollo’s global head of real estate, Joseph Azrack, helped assemble the portfolio when he led the Citigroup unit from 2004 to 2008.”

Inman - “ZipRealty posts $2.1M Q4 loss” (3-10-10)

“ZipRealty Inc. boosted revenue by 14.6 percent in 2009, to $120.7 million, helping the company trim its annual loss to $12.9 million, down 3.4 percent from 2008. In the final three months of the year, the Emeryville, Calif.-based brokerage company handled 6,355 transactions, a 46.6 percent increase from the same period a year ago.”

Orange County Register - “24% of new South Coast homes: short sales” (3-10-10)

“There are 6,867 total pending sales in all of Orange County. Of those, 4,254 are short sales, 62%. Yet, only 27% of all closed residential resales in February were short sales. Most short sales are simply not closing. They are waiting on lender, or in many cases lenders, approval of the sale. Of the 4,254 pending short sales, only 757 have been pending for less than a month. 1,488 have been pending for over three months. The data does not even capture the short sales where a frustrated buyer walks away after waiting too long.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, homebuilder Hovnanian reported its 10th consecutive quarterly loss. JP Morgan feared that Obama’s mortgage-modification plan would require too many modifications to be made. Broker commissions decreased by 18 percent.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/22/10

Monday, February 22nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Moody’s reports that commercial property prices increased by 4.1 percent in December. A survey shows that 87 percent of homebuilders expect to lose money due to the new FHA guidelines. According to Campbell Surveys, short sales accounted for 15.9% of home purchases in January. Janet Yellen predicts that the U.S. economy will perform below potential throughout this year and the next.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “IRS issues new guidelines on obtaining home buyer tax credits” (2-21-10)

“Despite blizzards that shut federal offices for days, the Internal Revenue Service issued new guidance Feb. 12 on the two tax credit programs that are powering the country’s real estate markets — the $6,500 credit for repeat buyers and the $8,000 first-time buyer credit. The new IRS policy clarified documentation that taxpayers need to submit to successfully obtain either credit. When Congress revised the credit programs in November, it ordered the IRS to tighten its rules and monitoring to curtail widespread frauds that had emerged earlier in 2009.”

Sacramento Bee – “Schwarzenegger proclaims `the worst is over’ for California” (2-21-10)

“Despite the state’s high unemployment rate, California’s economy is making a slow comeback and ‘the worst is over,’ Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger said today.”

Housing Wire – “Commercial Real Estate Prices Up as Foreclosures Threaten Recovery” (2-22-10)

“US commercial real estate prices as measured by Moody’s Investors Service/Real Estate Analytics, Commercial Property Price Indices (CPPI) increased for the second month in a row in December, rising 4.1%, as the commercial real estate (CRE) market continues to face several challenges, such as the rising tide of defaults and subsequent foreclosures.”

Housing Wire – “Homebuilders Expect FHA Changes to Hurt Sales” (2-22-10)

“However, 87% of builders surveyed said they expect to lose sales due to new FHA guidelines. Half of the builders surveyed expect to lose 10% or more of sales. As HousingWire reported in January, the FHA raised insurance fees and down payments for borrowers with lower credit scores to address the FHA’s capital reserve ratio, which fell below the Congressionally mandated 2% threshold. Borrowers with a FICO score of less than 580 are now required to make a 10% down payment, up from the previous 3.5% down payment. In addition, seller concessions have been cut in half to 3%, from 6% and mortgage insurance fee at closing increased from 175 bps to 226 bps.”

Housing Wire – “Governors See Bad Economic Times Getting Worse for States” (2-22-10)

“General fund spending among the states dropped 3.4% in 2009 and 5.4% in 2010, based on enacted budgets. The only other annual decline in state spending occurred in 1983, when it dropped 0.7%.”

Housing Wire – “Survey Finds Short Sales Outnumber REO in January Purchases” (2-22-10)

“Short sales accounted for 15.9% of home purchases in January, surpassing the share of other distressed property activity, when real estate owned (REO) properties are measured separately, according to a monthly Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance (IMF) survey of more than 1,500 real estate agents, conducted by Campbell Surveys.”

Bloomberg - “Yellen Says U.S. Economy Will Perform Below Potential” (2-22-10)

“Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Janet Yellen said the U.S. economy will operate below potential this year and next and still needs low interest rates to gain strength. “

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/19/10

Friday, February 19th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the MBA, the delinquency rate for one-to-four unit residential properties decreased to 9.47 percent. President Obama is starting a $1.5 billion housing support program for California, Arizona, Nevada, Florida and Michigan. A homeowner mentality survey from Zillow shows that 20 percent of homeowners believe their homes decreased in value during 2009. The Federal Reserve recently bought $11.3bn in mortgage-backed securities from Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, and Ginnie Mae.

In The News:

MBA - “Delinquencies, Foreclosure Starts Fall in Latest MBA National Delinquency Survey” (2-19-10)

“The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties fell to a seasonally adjusted rate of 9.47 percent of all loans outstanding as of the end of the fourth quarter of 2009, down 17 basis points from the third quarter of 2009, and up 159 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased 50 basis points from 9.94 percent in the third quarter of 2009 to 10.44 percent this quarter.”

CNN - “Housing help for unemployed, underwater borrowers” (2-19-10)

“Under pressure to do more for troubled homeowners, President Obama announced Friday a $1.5 billion program to help borrowers in the five states hit hardest by the housing crisis. The initiative calls for pumping money into state housing agencies in California, Arizona, Nevada, Florida and Michigan to fund programs to prevent foreclosure for people who are unemployed or who owe more than their homes are worth.”

Housing Wire – “Some Homeowners Overly Cynical on Home Property Values: Zillow” (2-19-10)

“According to the quarterly survey, one in five, or 20%, of the 2,200 homeowners surveyed believed their property value increased during 2009. That’s the lowest percentage in seven quarters. In reality, 28% of homes increased in value during the year, according to Zillow’s Fourth Quarter Real Estate Market Reports.”

Housing Wire – “Capital Returns on Commercial Real Estate Reach Record Low: IPD” (2-19-10)

“The report monitors the trends in underlying market value and returns of $76.5bn of assets held by real estate funder managers in the US. Capital returns fell 23.9% in 2009 for a total decline of 33.4% from the peak of real estate values in December 2007. Capitalization rates – or the ratio between the net income from the asset and its original price – sunk another 140 bps over 2009 to 7.1%, the highest level in six years.”

Housing Wire – “Fed MBS Purchases 96% Complete With Another $11bn” (2-19-10)

“The Fed bought a total of $11.3bn in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) – $4.47bn Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.23 +0.82%) MBS, $3.97bn Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.02 0.00%) MBS and $2.85bn Ginnie Mae MBS, according to a summary of purchases. The New York Fed also sold $300m of MBS in the same week, bringing the net purchases to $11bn, the same as last week.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Mae Approves Four New Mortgage Insurers” (2-19-10)

“Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.02 0.00%) approved four new mortgage insurers for conventional first mortgage loans, according to a letter sent to lenders. With the new approvals, Fannie is ready to accept loans with mortgage insurance from Essent Guranty, MGIC Indemnity Corp., PMI Mortgage Assurance Co. (PMAC) and Republic Mortgage Insurance Company of North Carolina.”

Bloomberg - “Fed Discount-Rate Move Signals End to Emergency Steps” (2-19-10)

“The Federal Reserve Board sent its most explicit signal yet that the emergency supply of liquidity to financial markets is done and the most aggressive monetary policy easing in its 96-year history will eventually reverse. Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and his colleagues at the Board of Governors raised the rate charged to banks for direct loans by a quarter-point to 0.75 percent, effective today. It was the first increase in the discount rate since June 2006.”

Inman - “Home-price declines ease in December” (2-19-10)

“National home prices were down 3.7 percent from a year ago in December, a ’significant improvement’ over November’s 5.3 percent decline, according to a home-price index compiled by First American CoreLogic.”

Realty Times – “Clean Homes Show Better–Five Areas To Scrub to Make Yours Sparkle” (2-19-10)

“Tile. When you’re showing your house, hopefully, you’ll get lots of foot traffic. This, however, can lead to very dirty flooring and grout. Yes, you can supply those footies and the sign placed by the door asking buyers to remove their shoes or put the footies on before entering your home, but, the truth is, not all will comply. Still, the tile and the condition of the grout will matter to buyers should they decide to make an offer. There are certainly many products to get the dirt out of those tiny grout lines; one that I’ve had success with is called Heavy Duty Acidic Cleaner for tile.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR reported that broker activity decreased by 6 percent in the 4th quarter of 2008. Research from the NAHB showed that 62.4 percent of all new and existing homes that were sold in the final quarter of 2008 were affordable to citizens earning the median income. Statistics collected by DQNews displayed that the median home price in the Bay Area dropped to approximately $300,000. California’s legislative branch approved of a plan for tax increases, spending cuts and borrowing to close a $40 billion deficit.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/11/10

Thursday, February 11th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the NAR, home sales increased in 32 states from the 3rd quarter of 2009. Statistics from the CBIA show that the construction industry currently provides only one sixth of the jobs it provided in 2005. Some speculate that Fannie and Freddie’s purchasing of debt could get rid of all mortgage debt within a year. RealtyTrac reports that foreclosure filings increased by 15 percent from last year.

In The News:

NAR - “Fourth Quarter Existing-Home Sales Surge in Most States, Prices Up in More Areas” (2-11-10)

“Sales increased from the third quarter in 48 states and the District of Columbia; 32 states saw double-digit gains. Year-over-year sales were higher in 49 states and D.C.; all but three states had double-digit annual increases. Total state existing-home sales, including single-family and condo, jumped 13.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate 1 of 6.03 million in the fourth quarter from 5.29 million in the third quarter, and are 27.2 percent above the 4.74 million-unit level in the fourth quarter of 2008. Distressed property accounted for 32 percent of fourth quarter transactions, down from 37 percent a year earlier.”

CBIA - “Study Shows Housing Industry is Vital to California’s Economic Recovery” (2-11-10)

“Preliminary numbers from the report found that new housing construction in California contributed $14.3 billion dollars to the state’s economy in 2009 and supported nearly 80,000 jobs, representing just a fraction of the $67.7 billion dollars and 487,000 jobs that the industry had contributed in 2005.  The report also found that every dollar spent on new housing construction in California generates another $0.8 in total economic activity and that each job created through residential construction supports an additional 1.2 jobs.”

Inman - “ZipRealty: Fewer sellers slash prices” (2-11-10)

“Fewer sellers cut their list prices for the fifth straight month in January, according to a report by real estate brokerage ZipRealty. The report covered 27 of 36 U.S. metropolitan areas in which the brokerage operates. The statistics in the monthly report reflect the brokerage’s multiple listing service data as of Jan. 4.”

Bloomberg - “Fannie, Freddie Loan Purchases May Spur ‘Wad of Cash’” (2-11-10)

“Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s plan to step up purchases of delinquent loans may boost prepayments on their securities to rates that in some cases would erase all of the debt within a year. Yields over government notes on some of their bonds fell to 17-year lows on speculation the move would lead to reinvestments in the mortgage market. ”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Foreclosure Filings Top 300,000 for 11th Month” (2-11-10)

” U.S. foreclosure filings rose 15 percent in January from a year earlier and exceeded 300,000 for the 11th consecutive month as modification programs failed to keep delinquent borrowers in their homes, RealtyTrac Inc. said. A total of 315,716 properties received a notice of default, auction or bank seizure last month, or one in 409 households, the Irvine, California-based seller of default data said today in a statement. Filings fell 10 percent from December.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Rates on 30-Year U.S. Loans Fall to 4.97%” (2-11-10)

“Mortgage rates in the U.S. fell for the fifth time in six weeks, making home purchases and refinancing more affordable. The rate for 30-year fixed U.S. home loans fell to 4.97 percent for the week ended today from 5.01 percent, mortgage finance company Freddie Mac said in a statement today. The average 15-year rate was 4.34 percent, according to the Mclean, Virginia-based company.”

Bloomberg - “TARP Watchdog Says Commercial Real Estate Loans Pose Danger” (2-11-10)

“Commercial real estate loans have the potential to go sour and wreck the U.S. economy unless regulators prepare now, according to a report today from a watchdog Congress created for the government’s financial bailout program. The report should be a ‘red flag’ that prompts regulators to increase preparations for staving off another banking crisis, said Elizabeth Warren, a Harvard law professor and chairman of the Congressional Oversight Panel of the Troubled Asset Relief Program. The panel was created in October 2008 to monitor the Treasury’s efforts to rescue the banking system from the worst financial crisis in decades. ”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported that mortgage applications decreased by 44 percent from 2008. A budge proposal in California would have significantly increased income, sales, gas taxes, and car fees. 76 percent of all U.S. homes declined in value in 2008, but only 57 percent of homeowners recognized this decline.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/8/10

Monday, February 8th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The U.S. Treasury Department reported 66,465 permanent loan modifications over 8 months. Delinquencies on prime jumbo loans increased to 10 percent in January. According to Altera Real Estate, distressed property sales increased in Dana Point and Laguna Beach. Unemployment in the U.S. construction industry increased to 24.7 percent in January.

In The News:

California Builder – “2010 Economic Forecast: The Bear Turns Bullish” (2-8-10)

“In April of 2009, we reversed our tune and called for a ‘W,’ which would be an improvement in the market until the tax credit expired. However, with the federal tax credit extended through June for all buyers, and affordability far better than we imagined at the time, the risk of a second leg down has been significantly reduced.”

Housing Wire – “House Committee Investigates HAMP ‘Effectiveness’” (2-8-10)

“The US Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to allocate capped incentives to borrowers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. After eight months in the program, the Treasury reported 66,465 permanent loan modifications in December, up from 31,382 permanent modifications in November.”

Housing Wire – “Fitch Says Prime Jumbo RMBS Near 10% Delinquent” (2-8-10)

“The performance of US prime jumbo loan performance within residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) slipped again in January as serious delinquencies (60+ days past due) rose for the 32nd consecutive month and edged closer to 10%, according to the latest market commentary from Fitch Ratings.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (2-8-10)

“The editorial argues the $111bn in mortgage losses covered by the Treasury Department was justifiable as an emergency measure to keep the housing market from collapsing entirely. But with continued losses projected in 2011 and 2012, covering the GSEs in perpetuity would cost more than $1.6trn, on top of the national debt of $12.3trn.”

Housing Wire – “BofA Lends $758bn in 2009″ (2-8-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 14.48 -3.47%) said it extended more than $758bn in credit in 2009, including nearly $180bn in Q409. BofA originated $87bn in first mortgages to fund purchase or refinance loans for more than 400,000 borrowers in Q409. That total includes $23bn in mortgages made to 151,000 low- and moderate-income borrowers. For the year, BofA originated $378bn in first mortgages for more than 1.7m customers, including $87bn in mortgages to more than 561,000 low- and moderate-income borrowers. In Q409, BofA originated $3bn in home equity and reverse mortgage loans, bringing the total for 2009 to $13bn.”

Orange County Register – “South coast: short sales, foreclosures up” (2-8-10)

“Most of our south coast cities went against the grain and reflected the opposite of the countywide trend by seeing an increase in distressed properties for sale. Two weeks ago, Dana Point’s percentage of short sales and foreclosures was 24.7%, which has risen just slightly to 24.8%, according to a biweekly report by Steven Thomas of Altera Real Estate. Laguna Beach also saw a slight increase in distressed properties. The percentage of short sales and foreclosures rose from 9% two weeks ago to 9.3%.”

Orange County Register – “1-in-4 U.S. construction workers jobless” (2-8-10)

“The U.S. construction industry’s unemployment rate hit 24.7% in January as another 75,000 American construction workers lost their jobs.”

Realty Times – “Developing Referral Relationships” (2-8-10)

“The primary objective of your first contact, like the objective of any other first sales call to a new prospect, is to book an appointment. The first appointment might take the form of an exploratory session aimed at determining the wants, needs, and desires of the lead, or it might be an appointment to conduct a buyer consultation or listing presentation. The secondary objective of your first contact is to open the door, establish trust and respect, demonstrate your knowledge, and establish your position as a reliable resource.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA ranked Wachovia as the leading national commercial and multifamily loan servicer. Geithner promised that lenders receiving financial rescue would be required to offer mortgage modifications. A total of 70 banks were shut down within the first month of 2009.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/2/10

Tuesday, February 2nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The NAR’s index  shows that pending home sales increased by 1 percent in December. According to the MBA, commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations increased by 15 percent during the 4th quarter of 2009.  The FHA reports that borrower delinquencies increased by 6.5 percent from the previous year. Fannie Mae is offering a 3.5 percent discount to all people who buy REO properties.

In The News:

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Stabilize, Remain Above Year-Ago Levels” (2-2-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in December, increased 1.0 percent to 96.6 from 95.6 in November, and remains 10.9 percent above December 2008 when it was 87.1. In November, the monthly index had fallen by 16.4 percent from surging activity in preceding months.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Study: Originations of Commercial and Multifamily Mortgages Increased in Fourth Quarter 2009″ (2-2-10)

“Fourth quarter 2009 commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations were 12 percent higher than during the same period last year and 15 percent higher than during the third quarter of 2009, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Quarterly Survey of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations.”

Washington Post – “Rising FHA default rate foreshadows a crush of foreclosures” (2-2-10)

“About 9.1 percent of FHA borrowers had missed at least three payments as of December, up from 6.5 percent a year ago, the agency’s figures show.”

Housing Wire – “First American Offers Appraiser Reviews of BPOs” (2-2-10)

“First American Valuation and Property Solutions – the Dallas-based subsidiary of the First American Corporation (FAF: 30.68 +1.86%) – added appraiser reviews of broker price opinion (BPO) reports to its new property valuation offering. The move to add appraiser reviews allows firms without on-staff appraisers to outsource BPO verification operations – a trend sources say is catching on.”

Housing Wire – “HUD 2011 Budget Drops to $41.6bn on Higher FHA Premiums” (2-2-10)

“The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) budget proposal for 2011 dipped 5% below the budget in 2010 to $41.6bn after raising annual Federal Housing Administration (FHA) insurance premiums by 50 bps to 2.25% earlier this month.”

Housing Wire – “CMBS Performance Slides Again: Trepp” (2-2-10)

“The rate of 30-plus-day delinquency in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS)reached a new record high of 6.49% in January, according to commercial real estate data provider Trepp.”

Housing Wire - “Fannie Gives 3.5% REO Discount” (2-2-10)

“Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.02 -0.97%) will provide a 3.5% discount to those purchasing a real-estate owned (REO) property listed as part of its HomePath division, according to a company notice.”

Bloomberg - “D.R. Horton Climbs Most in 10 Months on Profit Gain” (2-2-10)

“D.R. Horton Inc., the second-largest U.S. homebuilder by revenue, climbed the most in 10 months after the company reported its first quarterly profit since 2007 on sales and profit margins that exceeded analysts’ estimates.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Vacancy Rate Increases as Banks Seize More Homes” (2-2-10)

“The homeowner vacancy rate increased to 2.7 percent from 2.6 percent in the third quarter, the U.S. Census Bureau said in a report today. There were 2.09 million empty properties on the market, up from 1.99 million, according to the report.”

Inman - “First-timers are fastest-growing segment” (2-2-10)

“First-time homebuyers not only account for the largest share of home sales in many markets, but represent the fastest-growing segment of home sales in nearly half of those markets, brokers surveyed by Inman News report. Second homes and move-up homes, on the other hand, are the most rapidly shrinking segment of their business, brokers responding to the survey said.”

Looking Back:

One year ago,  a $5 billion increase in mortgage debt investment by foreign banks was noted by Morgan Stanley. San Francisco analysts predicted that condominium prices in the SF area would significantly decrease. Obama exclaimed that he would require banks receiving bailout money to increase lending to borrowers.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/29/10

Friday, January 29th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Foresight Analytics estimates that between 2010 and 2014, $770bn in commercial loans will be on properties in negative equity. According to the Commerce Department, the U.S. economy expanded in the 4th quarter at a six year record pace. RealtyTrac forecasts that foreclosures probably will reach 3 million this year. Henry Paulson claimed that Russia encouraged China to force a bailout of the largest U.S. mortgage-finance companies.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “DoJ Mortgage Probes May Overextend Authority: K&L Gates” (1-29-10)

“The Department of Justice (DoJ) initiative to beef up investigations of discriminatory mortgage lending and servicing practices will result in more numerous and forceful reviews of mortgage lenders and servicers, including investigations that appear to merge fair lending and consumer protection principles, according to an analysis of the proposal written by global law firm K&L Gates. The firm also warns that the DoJ may be over-extending departmental authority in doing so.”

Housing Wire – “Tougher Times Coming for Commercial Real Estate” (1-29-10)

“Between 2010 and 2014, $770bn in commercial loans will be on properties in negative equity, and may need to be written down, according to a study by Foresight Analytics, a real estate research firm. The report is likely to only add to the woes surrounding the current commercial real estate (CRE) sector.”

Housing Wire – “Fed MBS Purchases 93% Complete with Another $12bn” (1-29-10)

“The Federal Reserve Bank of New York in the week ending January 27th continued to buy mortgage assets from government-sponsored entities as the program winds-down to a close by the end of the quarter. The Fed bought a total of $12.5bn in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) – $5.1bn Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.1799 -0.01%) MBS, $4.7bn Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.9868 -1.32%) MBS and $2.7bn Ginnie Mae MBS, according to a summary of purchases. The New York Fed also sold $500m of MBS in the same week, bringing the net purchases to $12bn, the same as last week.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Economy: Growth Jumps 5.7%, Fastest Pace in Six Years” (1-29-10)

“The U.S. economy expanded in the fourth quarter at the fastest pace in six years as factories cranked up assembly lines, indicating the recovery may be strong enough to be weaned from government support. The 5.7 percent increase in gross domestic product reported by the Commerce Department in Washington today exceeded the 4.8 percent median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Separate reports showed consumer sentiment and a barometer of business activity rose more than forecast in January.”

Bloomberg - “Obama Housing Rescue Threatened by Foreclosures, Unemployment” (1-29-10)

“Foreclosures probably will reach 3 million this year, surpassing the record of 2.82 million in 2009, according to Irvine, California-based RealtyTrac Inc. That would more than offset an estimated 448,000-unit rise in home sales, based on the average forecast of the National Association of Realtors, the Mortgage Bankers Association and Fannie Mae.”

Bloomberg - “Paulson Says Russia Urged China to Dump Fannie, Freddie Bonds” (1-29-10)

“Russia urged China to dump its Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bonds in 2008 in a bid to force a bailout of the largest U.S. mortgage-finance companies, former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said.”

Orange County Register – “Will buyers rush to cash in on tax credit?” (1-29-10)

“the spring and summer buying seasons are about to kick in. The tax credit deadline will likely add to the sales volume, but it’s critical to remember that ‘first timer’ and ’second home’ contracts must not only be signed by April 30 – escrows must close by June 30! Short sale property escrows have a very hard time closing within 60 days right now.”

Realty Times – “Aging Buyers Want Easy, Comfortable Homes with First-Floor Master Bedroom” (1-29-10)

“The Baby Boomer generation makes up about 28 percent of the population and has some interesting statistics. According to BabyBoomerMagazine.com, this group has greater wealth than any other, controls 70 percent of the total net worth of American households, and accounts for 40 percent of total consumer demand.”

In The News:

One year ago, the CBIA announced that 65,380 building permits were issued from 2008 to 2009. The Commerce Department reported that sales of single-family homes decreased by 14.7 percent. The House of Representatives approved a $819-billion stimulus package. Freddie Mac reported that the 30-year fixed mortgage dipped to 5.10 percent.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/25/10

Monday, January 25th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the NAR, existing home sales decreased by 16.7 percent in December. The HVCC repeal bill, named HR 1728, has passed in the House of Representatvies and is waiting approval from Congress. The FDIC took over 5 more failed banks last week. FTN Financial reports that declining home values have had little effect on the nation’s economic recovery.

In The News:

NAR - “December Existing-Home Sales Down but Prices Rise; 2009 Sales Up” (1-25-10)

“Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – fell 16.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 5.45 million units in December from 6.54 million in November, but remain 15.0 percent above the 4.74 million-unit level in December 2008.”

Washington Post – “Stakes are high as government plans exit from mortgage markets” (1-25-10)

“Over the past year, these programs have enabled prospective home buyers to get cheap loans, helping those buying and selling property as well as those eager to refinance existing mortgages. If the end of the initiative drives up interest rates, say from 5 percent to 5.5 percent, homeowners could be deterred from refinancing, industry officials say. A sharper increase in rates could make homes too expensive for many buyers, forcing them from the market and causing the recent pickup in home sales to stall.”

Inman - “Bailout’s impact on deficit debated” (1-25-10)

“The cost of subsidizing the operations of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should be accounted for in the federal budget as if they were federal agencies, the Congressional Budget Office argues in a new report — an accounting change that would add nearly $400 billion to the growing national deficit. The Obama administration has argued that only cash the Treasury Department pumps directly into Fannie and Freddie — about $95.6 billion since the mortgage guarantors were placed into conservatorship in September 2008 — should be included as budget expenditures.”

Housing Wire - “FHA Cracks Down on 4 Mortgage Lenders” (1-25-10)

“The lenders losing approval are: Strategic Mortgage Corporation, ProMortgage, Americare Investment Group, which does business as Premier Capital Lending and TopDot Mortgage. The MRB suspended FHA approval on Home Mortgage Inc. (HMI) for six months. In addition to losing its FHA approval, TopDot faces action from the Government National Mortgage Association, or Ginnie Mae.”

Housing Wire – “Home Valuation Code of Conduct is Better for Business, AMCs Say” (1-25-10)

“A trade group for the appraisal management company (AMC) industry warned that if proposed legislation repealing the Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC) is passed, it may lead to the same damaging business practices that puts undue pressure put on property appraisers. The specific legislation that catches the ire of the Title/Appraisal Vendor Management Association (TAVMA) is HR 1728 which passed the House of Representatives and is awaiting Senate approval. The financial reform bill includes a provision to repeal the HVCC.”

Housing Wire – “FDIC May Securitize Assets of Failed Banks” (1-25-10)

“There is a large supply of failed bank assets on-hand, with the latest round of five failures on Friday leaving the FDIC with at least $20.1m in total assets for later disposition. The FDIC is said to be diversifying its options for offloading failed banks when no buyer can be found.”

Housing Wire – “Foreclosure and Price Decline is not Fatal to Recovery, Says FTN Financial” (1-25-10)

“Declines in house prices mixed with increases in foreclosures are not showing a hugely negative knock-on impact for the nation’s overall economic recovery, according to a weekly report by FTN Financial, a portfolio manager and analytics provider for the investment and banking industry.”

Bloomberg - “Fannie Mortgage-Bond Spreads Unchanged After Widening Four Days” (1-25-10)

“Yields on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage securities were unchanged relative to government notes after widening for four days. The difference between yields on Washington-based Fannie Mae’s current-coupon 30-year fixed-rate mortgage bonds and 10- year Treasuries remained at about 0.75 percentage point, after climbing as high as 0.77 percentage point, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The spread has grown since reaching 0.66 percentage point on Jan. 6, the tightest in more than 17 years.”

Orange County Register – “South coast distressed homes slip, slide” (1-25-10)

“Two weeks ago, Dana Point’s percentage of short sales and foreclosures was 23.3%, which has risen to 24.7% this week, according to a biweekly report by Steven Thomas of Altera Real Estate. San Clemente also saw an increase in distressed properties. Two weeks ago, 30.8 percent of the city’s active home stock was distressed. Now, 32.8% of homes for sale are distressed.”

Orange County Register - “Smallest apartments get biggest rent cuts” (1-25-10)

“The biggest percentage cuts were made in rents for ‘junior one-bedroom’ units — essentially a small one-bedroom or a studio apartment with an alcove or space that can be used as a bedroom. The average rent for those units fell 11.4% to $1,172 a month. Studio apartments, one-bedroom and two-bedroom units had the next biggest percentage cuts, with reductions of just over 7%.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, California’s unemployment rate increased to 9.3 percent. Proposition 13 prevented California from raising property taxes for the budget crisis. Mortgage rates increased by 0.5 percent within a week and a half. The Federal Reserve was expected to keep its rates at a record low.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/29/09

Tuesday, December 29th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

The S&P/Case-Schiller index shows that home prices increased in 20 major U.S. cities in October. A Bloomberg study shows that broker commissions decreased by 6.2 percent from last year. Steve Thomas of Altera Real Estate reports that Orange County home sales take half as much time in comparison to last year. O.C. distressed property sales decreased by 53 percent from last year.

In The News:

Bloomberg - “Home Prices in 20 U.S. Cities Rose for Fifth Month” (12-29-09)

“Home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose in October for a fifth consecutive month, putting the housing market and economy farther along the path to recovery. The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index increased 0.4 percent from the prior month on a seasonally adjusted basis, after a 0.2 percent rise in September, the group said today in New York. The gauge was down 7.3 percent from October 2008, the smallest year- over-year decline since October 2007. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News anticipated a 7.2 percent drop.”

Bloomberg - “Housing Recovery Fails to Bolster Broker Commissions” (12-29-09)

“A surge in home purchases by first- time U.S. buyers is doing little to help real estate agents and brokers who close the deals. Commissions in 2009 fell to the lowest level in seven years, driven down by sales of low-priced homes to first-time buyers using the federal tax credit. Commissions through November dropped 6.2 percent from a year earlier to $40.6 billion, according to Bloomberg calculations based on the average commission rates from Real Trends Inc. and on home price and sales data from the National Association of Realtors.”

Inman - “Approach 2010 with curiosity, not dread” (12-29-09)

“Given the immense global economic expansion under way and the shortage of the commodity, its price ought to go up. Then again, given cost of production at $600 an ounce and doubled price, nobody knows at what point balance will appear. If you want an inflation indicator, watch inflation. Currency values are relative to each other, not absolute, and are effect, not cause. In the old days you could assume that a weak currency brought inflation, or that you got some benefit from having a strong currency. Today, China has no inflation problem and tries like hell to keep its currency cheap. Watch economies themselves.”

Inman - “3 steps to a better marketing strategy” (12-29-09)

“Cummings points out that more wealth is created during recessions than at any other time. Recessions do end. While you can’t control when your market will shift, you can control your reaction to the market.”

Realty Times – “Washington Report: Estate Taxes” (12-29-09)

“If the Senate fails to pass a bill preserving current estate tax rates, as the House did before heading home for the holidays, the estate tax will totally disappear January first. While that might sound like outstandingly good news for people who want to pass along real estate to children or grandchildren tax-free, there’s a major complication here. If the estate tax disappears in 2010 because the Senate couldn’t get its act together in 2009, the disappearance will only be temporary, for one year. Then, under a legislative deal worked out nearly a decade ago, the estate tax will suddenly spring back to life in 2011 with higher tax rates and lower exclusions.”

Orange County Register – “Home-selling time sliced by half in 2009″ (12-29-09)

“The latest O.C. home inventory report from Steve Thomas at Altera Real Estate in Aliso Viejo — the last one for 2009 — tells you that the typical home officially on the market today takes half the time to sell than it did a year ago!”

Orange County Register - “Distressed homes for sale cut 53% in a year” (12-29-09)

“the number of O.C. distressed properties (homes listed by agents in the MLS system as foreclosures or short sales) was 2,537 last week — down 53% in a year.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/09/09

Wednesday, December 9th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

Gov. Schwarzenegger signed a bill which ensures that consumers may choose their own real estate service provider when purchasing a foreclosure. According to Zillow, Bay Area properties have lost 3 percent of their value during the first 11 months of 2009. 18 percent of FHA loans are either delinquent or in foreclosure. Statistics from Freddie Mac show that national home prices increased by .9 percent during the second quarter of this year.

In The News:

Managing REO – “Buyer’s Choice Act Signed Into Law” (12-10-09)

“Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has signed an assembly bill into law that protects consumers by ensuring that they have the right to choose their own real estate service providers when purchasing foreclosed properties. Also known as the Buyer’s Choice Act, the law prohibits sellers of REO properties from requiring the buyer to use a particular title company, escrow settlement or other real estate service provider. The Escrow Institute of California says this ‘unethical, anti-competitive practice’ drives up costs for homebuyers and takes business away from locally owned companies.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Decline in home values levels off” (12-9-09)

“Homes in the nine-county Bay Area lost $38.1 billion in value in the first 11 months of this year, a 3 percent drop, according to real estate site Zillow.com. Gargantuan though that sounds, it’s a pittance compared with the $233.1 billion in home values wiped out in 2008, which was a 15.7 percent plunge from the previous year.”

Los Angeles Times – “Geithner: bailout program extended to October” (12-9-09)

“Money from the $700 billion taxpayer-funded bailout program has helped rescue big Wall Street firms, auto companies and others. That’s angered many Americans, who feel the government hasn’t provided them with relief from high unemployment and rising home foreclosures. Geithner said the Troubled Asset Relief Program that Congress passed in October 2008, will be extended until Oct. 3, 2010. He has the authority to extend the TARP simply by notifying lawmakers.”

Inman - “Home prices rise 0.9% in Q3″ (12-9-09)

“Home prices rose for the second quarter this year, according to Freddie Mac’s quarterly national Conventional Home Price Index (CMHPI) Purchase-Only Series released Tuesday, adding evidence the nation’s housing market is warming up. The government mortgage entity’s home-price-growth index rose 0.9 percent in the third quarter, following an upwardly revised 2 percent pickup in the second quarter. The increases of the past two quarters made up for about two-fifths of the declines registered during the final quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009. U.S. home-sale prices were down 3.9 percent year-over-year.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Condo rules could shut out buyers, hit builders” (12-9-09)

“The tighter lending standards are designed to protect the financial health of the FHA. Roughly 18 percent of loans insured by the FHA are either delinquent or in foreclosure and the agency’s financial cushion has dipped below the federal minimum. But the move is a blow to condo buyers because the FHA has become a key source of mortgage financing. The agency insures roughly one in four new loans today because buyers need only have a 3.5 percent down payment.”

Housing Wire – “‘Toxic Titles’ Worth Less than Cost of Foreclosure: Fed’s Duke” (12-9-09)

“‘In the most devastated neighborhoods, some lenders do not even complete the foreclosure process or record the outcome of foreclosure sales because the cost of foreclosing exceeds the value of the property,’ Duke said. These ‘toxic titles,’ she added, have placed a large number of properties in legal limbo. High rates of abandonment pushed many cities such as Flint, Mich. and Cleveland to pursue plans to ‘right size’ by demolishing vacant properties and create land banks, Duke said.”

Housing Wire – “Deutsche Sees New Year’s Surge of Fannie, Freddie Buyouts” (12-9-09)

“The pace of buyouts in delinquent loans in Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.92 0.00%) and Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.11 0.00%) mortgage-backed securities portfolios (MBS) is set to boom in 2010 as new accountancy rules come into effect, changing the nature of securitization.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (12-9-09)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 4, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 8.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 54.0 percent compared with the previous week, which was a shortened week due to the Thanksgiving holiday.”

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