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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 9/23/10

Thursday, September 23rd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Existing home sales increased 7.6% last month, according to the NAR. The MBA reports commercial and multifamily mortgage debt decreased to $3.24 trillion in the second quarter. The CAR’s monthly analysis shows  California home sales rose 1.8 percent from July. Freddie Mac said mortgage rates did not change this week, despite Zillow’s claim they decreased.

In The News:

NAR - “Existing-Home Sales Move Up in August” (9-23-10)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 7.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.13 million in August from an upwardly revised 3.84 million in July, but remain 19.0 percent below the 5.10 million-unit pace in August 2009.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Analysis: Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding Declined $52 Billion or 1.6 Percent in 2Q 2010″ (9-23-10)

“The level of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding decreased in the second quarter, to $3.24 trillion, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) analysis of the Federal Reserve Board Flow of Funds data.”

CAR - “August sales and price report” (9-23-10)

“California home sales edged up 1.8 percent from July, but were down 14.9 percent from August 2009, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today. The statewide median home price also increased 1.2 percent from July and was up 8.6 percent from a year ago.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Mae adds broker bonuses, downpayment aid to move REO” (9-23-10)

“Fannie Mae will give REO agents and brokers who sell a previously foreclosed property to an owner-occupant a $1,500 bonus per sale. The government-sponsored enterprise will also give qualified homebuyers 3.5% of the final sales price that can be used toward the closing cost, including home warranty. Eligible offers must be submitted on or after Sept. 23 and must close by Dec. 31, 2010. Fannie said the sale must close within 60 days of the accepted offer.”

Housing Wire – “MacroMarkets survey shows 2.2% drop in housing prices for 2H10″ (9-23-10)

“While many market participants provided a somewhat rosier outlook for home prices in a new survey, the average of the respondents still projects a 2.2% decline in the second half of the year. MacroMarkets said data from its September home price expectations survey show market analysts expect a 0.8% drop in home prices the full year with no improvement next year. Previous surveys showed steeper declines.”

Housing Wire – “Weekly jobless claims up 2.6%, first increase in a month” (9-23-10)

“Initial jobless claims rose for the first time in a month last week with a 2.6% increase to 465,000, which is higher than consensus analysts’ estimates. The Labor Department said the unadjusted figure of actual initial claims for the week ended Sept. 18 increased by 12,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 453,000.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage surveys vary slightly, but weekly rates still at or near record lows” (9-23-10)

“Freddie Mac said mortgage rates were unchanged this week, while another rate survey set new record lows. The Freddie Mac weekly survey put the average for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 4.37% with an average 0.7 point for the week ending Sept. 23, stable from last week’s slight increase. A year ago, the average rate was 5.04%.”

Housing Wire – “FHA’s Stevens to Senate: Capital ratio timeline would have ‘unintended impacts’” (9-23-10)

“Congress mandates that the FHA’s secondary reserves meet 2% of the total amount of its insurance guaranteed. Currently, it is at 0.53%. Last year, the FHA forecast it would be three to four years before that 2% ratio would be reached, and that he remains committed to that timeline.”

Housing Wire – “NY Fed researchers expect wages to decline” (9-23-10)

“Researchers from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said new data show the uncertainty of inflation expectations has abated since the middle of 2008 and there is a continuing expectation that real wages will decline.”

Bloomberg - “GMAC Drew `False Testimony’ Sanction Years Before Eviction Halt” (9-23-10)

“Ally Financial Inc.’s GMAC Mortgage unit, which suspended evictions in 23 states last week after finding employees didn’t verify foreclosure documents, was sanctioned in 2006 for similar practices, court records show. GMAC gave ‘false testimony’ when it justified foreclosures by submitting sworn affidavits signed by a mortgage executive who later said in a deposition she didn’t actually review the loan documents or sign in the presence of a notary, according to a 2006 court order filed in Duval County, Florida.”

Bloomberg - “Credit Union Regulator in U.S. Seeks Bids on $800 Million in Property Debt” (9-23-10)

“The federal agency that regulates credit unions and insures more than 90 million U.S. accounts sought bids on about $800 million in bonds backed by commercial mortgage debt, according to a spokesman for the group.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, a study from the NAR showed that realtors were seeing a 13.6 percent decline in their median income. According to the MBA’s weekly survey, the mortgage loan application volume increased 12.8 percent from the previous season. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke was expected to announce the end of the recession, and planned to keep rates at the record low. A report showed that state foreclosure prevention programs were failing to keep borrowers from losing their homes.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 8/24/10

Tuesday, August 24th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Existing home sales experienced a dramatic decrease of 27.2 percent in July, according to the NAR. Housing production decreased by 10 percent in June. The CAR reports California home sales decreased 20.8 percent in July. Statistics from the California Employment Development Department show that 7,100 jobs were lost from July 2009.

In The News:

NAR - “July Existing-Home Sales Fall as Expected but Prices Rise” (8-24-10)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, dropped 27.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.83 million units in July from a downwardly revised 5.26 million in June, and are 25.5 percent below the 5.14 million-unit level in July 2009.”

CBIA - “California Housing Production Increases in July, CBIA Announces” (8-24-10)

“According to statistics compiled by the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB), permits were pulled for 4,165 total housing units in July, up 35 percent from the same month a year ago but down 10 percent from June. Permits for single-family homes totaled 1,951, down 9 percent from July 2009 and down 31 percent from the previous month, while multifamily permits totaled 2,214, up 134 percent from a year ago and up 25 percent from May.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Wells Fargo Tops U.S. Commercial/Multifamily Servicers in MBA Mid-Year Rankings Report” (8-24-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its mid-year ranking of commercial and multifamily mortgage servicers as of the end of June 30, 2010. Topping the list of firms is Wells Fargo with $462.8 billion in U.S. master and primary servicing, followed by PNC Real Estate/Midland Loan Services with $307.9 billion, Berkadia Commercial Mortgage with $202.6 billion, Bank of America Merrill Lynch with $133.4 billion and KeyBank Real Estate Capital with $124.7 billion.”

CAR - “July sales and price report” (8-24-10)

“California home sales decreased 20.8 percent in July compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 10.4 percent from July 2009, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.”

Housing Wire – “Disappointing Homes Sales Unlikely to Reverse Course” (8-24-10)

“Predictions that home prices may drop into double digits continue to drag down sales. Bill Gross, managing director of the world’s biggest bond fund, PIMCO remarked that the idea of a rebound anytime soon is ‘ludicrous.’ In a meeting at the US Treasury last week, Gross called for combining the government-sponsored entities into one entity that insures the majority of current and future originations.”

Housing Wire – “60% of Delinquent Mortgages Not in Loss Mitigation” (8-24-10)

“According to a study from the State Foreclosure Prevention Working Group (SFPWG), 60% of borrowers with mortgages delinquent by 60 days or more are not being forwarded to the servicer’s loss mitigation department.”

Bloomberg - “Purchases of Existing Homes in U.S. Probably Slumped in July” (8-24-10)

“Sales of U.S. previously owned homes probably plunged in July to the lowest level since March 2009, evidence the market is restrained by foreclosures and limited job growth, economists said before a report today. Purchases dropped 13.4 percent from June to a 4.65 million annual rate, according to the median of 73 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey. A decline would be the third in a row.”

Orange County Register – “Corona del Mar is O.C.’s ‘coldest’ market” (8-24-10)

“The pricier the town, the harder it is to sell a home there right now, the latest O.C. home inventory report from Steve Thomas at Altera Real Estate shows. Corona del Mar, for example, was Orange County’s ‘coldest’ market in the past 30 days. In theory, it would take 11 1/2 months to sell all the homes on the market there at the current sales pace, the highest ‘market time’ for any O.C. community in the 30 days ending on Aug. 19. Other ‘cold’ markets likewise tend to be home to some of O.C.’s most expensive housing.”

Orange County Register – “Real estate, building jobs down 5% in July” (8-24-10)

“Indeed, construction suffered the largest year-over-year decline among every employment category, the state Employment Development Department reported. Construction jobs fell by 7,100 positions from July 2009, down nearly 10%. Construction jobs totaled 65,700 in July, state figures show.”

Orange County Register – “Broker: No tsunami of repo’d homes to hit market” (8-24-10)

“This shadow inventory has to be worked through, but is not going to occur as a tsunami of distressed properties to hit the market all at once. Instead, we are going to witness slow increases and drops over the next few years. This slow absorption will not pull down values like it did at the beginning of this downturn and it will keep a lid on any substantial appreciation. Once employment improves, the pathway to an eventual healthy and stable recovery will occur.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, 45,079 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide in one month. Home sales in the Bay Area hit a 4 year high. The Federal Reserve accepted $2.3 billion in investor requests for financing to purchase legacy commercial mortgage-backed securities.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 8/3/10

Tuesday, August 3rd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis

According to the NAR, pending home sales declined 2.6 percent in June. Data from the Southern California Multiple Listing Service shows that 25 percent of home sold in Orange County are sold for less than the owner in June went for less than the seller owed on the mortgage. Zillow reports the average 30-year mortgage rate decreased to 4.28 percent from last week. 84 percent of buyers begin searching for homes online.

In The News:

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Ease in Post-Tax Credit Market” (8-3-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, declined 2.6 percent to 75.7 based on contracts signed in June from an upwardly revised level of 77.7 in May, and is 18.6 percent below June 2009 when it was 93.0. The data reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months.”

Orange County Register – “Short sales top 700 in June” (8-3-10)

“One out of every four homes sold in Orange County in June went for less than the seller owed on the mortgage, according to the latest figures from the Southern California Multiple Listing Service. Thanks to falling home prices, about 14% to 19% of all O.C. homeowners owe more for their homes than they’re worth. In a short sale, lenders eat the difference between the amount paid and the amount owed.”

Housing Wire – “Zillow: Rate on 30-Year-Mortgage Drops to Record Low Week-to-Week” (8-3-10)

“The 30-year fixed-mortgage rate (FRM) dropped week-to-week nationally averaging 4.28%, according to Zillow Mortgage Marketplace’s weekly update. This is down 0.1% and a new record low according to their data. Last week’s averages remained steady.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Launches Distressed Borrower Education Site” (8-3-10)

“Fannie Mae today is launching a borrower-facing outreach site designed to educate distressed homeowners on potential retention strategies and foreclosure alternatives. The online education resource — available in both English and Spanish — offers calculators to demonstrate to borrowers the mechanics of refinance, repayment, forbearance and modification options. It also offers information on Fannie’s Deed-For-Lease program, which allows borrowers to become renters in the same property after pursing deed-in-lieu of foreclosure.”

Bloomberg - “Banks `Throw in Towel’ to Add Most Mortgage Bonds in 18 Months” (8-3-10)

“The biggest banks are adding government-backed mortgage bonds at the fastest pace in 18 months, breaking with an unusual pattern in which they shunned the debt as their loan portfolios shrank during the economic slump, according to Barclays Plc. Large U.S. commercial banks added $51.4 billion of so- called agency mortgage-backed securities in the two weeks ended July 21, according to the latest data released by the Federal Reserve.”

Orange County Register – “Does unemployment pay mean no loan?” (8-3-10)

“No, you will not not qualify because you filed for unemployment insurance last year, or the year before. We are getting fairly used to seeing income streams in which our clients may have been unemployed for part of the previous two years. While we cannot use the unemployment income (**asterisk alert** : keep reading for when we can use this income) your receiving it does not disqualify you from qualifying. We will need to show a two year history of employment so if you were unemployed for three months we will need to show employment going back at least 27 months.”

Realty Times - “Staging a Photo Ready Home” (8-3-10)

“Your home’s first impression may not be one that is face to face with a prospective buyer. In today’s world, 84 percent (National Association of Realtors) of home buyers start their search online. That’s an impressive figure, and one that means your home needs to make a strong virtual impression.”

Realty Times – “California Law To Require Carbon Monoxide Detectors” (8-3-10)

“On May 7, 2010, California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger signed into law Senate Bill 183 (Lowenthal), a bill that will require the placement of carbon monoxide detectors in all California dwelling units. The bill also requires that the presence or absence of these devices must be disclosed when residential real estate is transferred.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, construction spending increased by 0.3 percent within one month. The chief economist of the CAR predicted the housing market had not bottomed. Fannie Mae issuance of mortgage-backed securities jumped 44% in June 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/22/10

Thursday, July 22nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

CAR reports California home sales decreased 4.2 percent in June. Statistics from the NAR show existing home sales 5.1 percent in June. Ascension Capital Group predicts total bankruptcy filings will top 1.63m in 2010, and increase nearly 10% in 2011. Eight million homeowners are currently not paying their mortgage.

In The News:

CAR - “June sales and price report” (7-22-10)

“Home sales decreased 4.2 percent in June in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 13.6 percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.”

NAR - “Existing-Home Sales Slow in June but Remain Above Year-Ago Levels” (7-22-10)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, fell 5.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.37 million units in June from 5.66 million in May, but are 9.8 percent higher than the 4.89 million-unit pace in June 2009.”

Housing Wire – “Servicers Dissect HAMP, Short Sales at Loss Mit Conference” (7-22-10)

“While Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) often gets a bad rap in the press, panelists at the loss mitigation conference in Dallas Thursday were less inclined to call the program a failure although they pointed to some weaknesses.”

Housing Wire - “HUD to Probe Claims of Mortgage Discrimination” (7-22-10)

“The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) announced Wednesday that it will launch a series of investigations to determine if the lending practices used by certain mortgage lenders violated the Fair Housing Act. Questions arose after the New York Times published an article demonstrating that firms may have illegally denied mortgages to expectant mothers and families experiencing short-term disability.”

Housing Wire – “Bankruptcy Creates Many Problems in Mortgage Loss Mit” (7-22-10)

“Total bankruptcy filings are projected to top 1.63m in 2010, and increase nearly 10% and nearly 9% in 2011 and 2012, respectively, according John Griggs, chief operating officer of Fort Worth-based Ascension Capital Group. Griggs said the rate of bankruptcy filings closely follows rates of foreclosure, unemployment and strategic default. Ascension projects unemployment will remain high through the end of 2010, then flatten out and reduce and hover around 8% by late 2011 or early 2012.”

Inman – “Record low rates spur refis but not sales” (7-22-10)

“The survey showed 30-year fixed-rate loans averaging 4.56 percent with 0.7 point, essentially unchanged from last week’s 4.57 percent reading, but down from 5.2 percent a year ago and a new low in records dating to 1971. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage also hit a low in records dating to 1991, falling from 4.06 percent last week to 4.03 percent with an average 0.7 point. At this time a year ago, those loans averaged 4.68 percent.”

Inman - “A view on 62% homeownership” (7-22-10)

“Eight million homeowners are currently not paying their mortgage, and we believe 6 million of them will lose their home to the bank in the next two years. This will reduce the homeownership rate to 62 percent”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/24/10

Monday, May 24th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the NAR, Existing home sales increased 7.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.77 million units in April. The CIRB reports permits were pulled for 3,314 total housing units in April. Statistics from CAR show California home sales decreased 8.1 percent in April. The Federal Reserve doesn’t intend to sell any of its assets until after it begins raising interest rates.

In The News:

NAR - “Existing-Home Sales Continue to Improve in April” (5-24-10)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 7.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.77 million units in April from an upwardly revised 5.36 million in March, and are 22.8 percent higher than the 4.70 million-unit pace in April 2009. Monthly sales rose 7.0 percent in March.”

CBIA - “California Housing Starts Dip in April, CBIA Announces” (5-24-10)

“According to statistics compiled by the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB), permits were pulled for 3,314 total housing units in April, down 6 percent from the same month a year ago and down 9 percent from March. Permits for single-family homes totaled 2,252, down 6 percent from April 2009 and down 5 percent from the previous month, while multifamily permits totaled 1,062, down 7 percent from a year ago and down 16 percent from March.”

CAR - “April 2010 sales and price report” (5-24-10)

“Home sales decreased 8.1 percent in April in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 21 percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.”

Wall Street Journal – “Mortgage Rates Decline” (5-24-10)

“The housing industry had been bracing for months for a period of rising mortgage rates, triggered by the end of the Federal Reserve’s $1.25 trillion mortgage-securities purchase program. Conventional wisdom held that mortgage rates would rise as the Fed pulled back from propping up the market. Instead, many in the industry now say rates could drift as low as 4.5% this summer from 4.86% now, instead of rising to 6% as some economists projected, making for significantly lower payments for Americans buying homes or refinancing their mortgages.”

Bloomberg - “Fed Won’t Sell Mortgage-Backed Assets Until it Raises Rates” (5-24-10)

“The Federal Reserve doesn’t intend to sell any of its assets, including more than $1.1 trillion in mortgage-backed securities, until after it begins raising interest rates, the central bank said in a report to Congress.”

Housing Wire – “FDIC Sells $233m of Commercial Mortgage-Backed Notes” (5-24-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) sold $233m in notes backed by performing and non-performing commercial real estate loans from 22 financial institutions under receivership. The underlying mortgages bear an aggregate unpaid principal balance of $1bn.”

Bloomberg - “FHA Home-Financing Volume Sign of ‘Very Sick System’” (5-24-10)

“The FHA, which backs loans with down payments as low as 3.5 percent, insured $52.5 billion of home-purchase mortgages in the first quarter, compared with $46 billion of purchases of the debt by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, according to data compiled by Washington-based Potomac Partners. The FHA and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which regulators seized in 2008, have been financing more than 90 percent of U.S. home lending after a retreat by banks and the collapse of the market for mortgage bonds without government-backed guarantees.”

Bloomberg - “Defaults on Apartment-Building Loans Set Record for U.S. Banks” (5-24-10)

“Defaults on apartment-building mortgages held by U.S. banks climbed to a record 4.6 percent in the first quarter, almost twice the year-earlier level, as more borrowers failed to repay debt approved near the market peak, said Real Capital Analytics Inc. in a report. Defaults on so-called multifamily mortgages rose from 4.4 percent in the fourth quarter and from 2.4 percent during the same period in 2009, the New York-based real estate research firm said today. Commercial-mortgage defaults also rose in the first quarter for loans against office, retail, hotel and industrial properties, Real Capital said.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Subprime Hunt Targets Goldman, May Skip Cassano: Timeline” (5-24-10)

“Federal prosecutors don’t plan to bring charges against former American International Group Inc. executive Joseph Cassano after a two-year probe of the insurer’s collapse, according to a person familiar with the investigation. Justice Department investigators found there is insufficient evidence to charge Cassano, the former head of AIG’s Financial Products division, the person said.”

Inman - “3 fatal flaws of real estate negotiation” (5-24-10)

“Agents have a wealth of places both online and offline to find strategies that work. Agent blogging sites are rich with great suggestions, many of which are from the best agents in the business. Nevertheless, many of these strategies still use manipulation or one-upmanship. The result is that these old approaches often undermine the agent’s success.”

My Desert – “Short sales on the rise” (5-23-10)

“Real estate experts say they’re seeing spurts of multiple bids and cash buys on homes priced below $250,000 by investors with deep pockets, buyers from other states or residents with equity in their home, a move-up mentality or frazzled nerves from a volatile stock market.”

Washington Post – “Anger at the root of mortgage default problem, study finds” (5-22-10)

“Now White has published a paper based on the personal accounts of 356 strategic defaulters and homeowners on the verge of doing the same. His finding: People who intentionally default on their loans are not as economically rational or calculating in their decision-making as widely thought. In fact, he said, their decisions to pull the plug ‘may not turn out to be economically rational.’ But they walk anyway, in large part because they are at the end of their emotional rope. They have transitioned from feelings of anxiety and hopelessness to outright anger at their lenders, the government and a financial system they consider unfair.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/29/10

Friday, January 29th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Foresight Analytics estimates that between 2010 and 2014, $770bn in commercial loans will be on properties in negative equity. According to the Commerce Department, the U.S. economy expanded in the 4th quarter at a six year record pace. RealtyTrac forecasts that foreclosures probably will reach 3 million this year. Henry Paulson claimed that Russia encouraged China to force a bailout of the largest U.S. mortgage-finance companies.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “DoJ Mortgage Probes May Overextend Authority: K&L Gates” (1-29-10)

“The Department of Justice (DoJ) initiative to beef up investigations of discriminatory mortgage lending and servicing practices will result in more numerous and forceful reviews of mortgage lenders and servicers, including investigations that appear to merge fair lending and consumer protection principles, according to an analysis of the proposal written by global law firm K&L Gates. The firm also warns that the DoJ may be over-extending departmental authority in doing so.”

Housing Wire – “Tougher Times Coming for Commercial Real Estate” (1-29-10)

“Between 2010 and 2014, $770bn in commercial loans will be on properties in negative equity, and may need to be written down, according to a study by Foresight Analytics, a real estate research firm. The report is likely to only add to the woes surrounding the current commercial real estate (CRE) sector.”

Housing Wire – “Fed MBS Purchases 93% Complete with Another $12bn” (1-29-10)

“The Federal Reserve Bank of New York in the week ending January 27th continued to buy mortgage assets from government-sponsored entities as the program winds-down to a close by the end of the quarter. The Fed bought a total of $12.5bn in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) – $5.1bn Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.1799 -0.01%) MBS, $4.7bn Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.9868 -1.32%) MBS and $2.7bn Ginnie Mae MBS, according to a summary of purchases. The New York Fed also sold $500m of MBS in the same week, bringing the net purchases to $12bn, the same as last week.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Economy: Growth Jumps 5.7%, Fastest Pace in Six Years” (1-29-10)

“The U.S. economy expanded in the fourth quarter at the fastest pace in six years as factories cranked up assembly lines, indicating the recovery may be strong enough to be weaned from government support. The 5.7 percent increase in gross domestic product reported by the Commerce Department in Washington today exceeded the 4.8 percent median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Separate reports showed consumer sentiment and a barometer of business activity rose more than forecast in January.”

Bloomberg - “Obama Housing Rescue Threatened by Foreclosures, Unemployment” (1-29-10)

“Foreclosures probably will reach 3 million this year, surpassing the record of 2.82 million in 2009, according to Irvine, California-based RealtyTrac Inc. That would more than offset an estimated 448,000-unit rise in home sales, based on the average forecast of the National Association of Realtors, the Mortgage Bankers Association and Fannie Mae.”

Bloomberg - “Paulson Says Russia Urged China to Dump Fannie, Freddie Bonds” (1-29-10)

“Russia urged China to dump its Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bonds in 2008 in a bid to force a bailout of the largest U.S. mortgage-finance companies, former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said.”

Orange County Register – “Will buyers rush to cash in on tax credit?” (1-29-10)

“the spring and summer buying seasons are about to kick in. The tax credit deadline will likely add to the sales volume, but it’s critical to remember that ‘first timer’ and ’second home’ contracts must not only be signed by April 30 – escrows must close by June 30! Short sale property escrows have a very hard time closing within 60 days right now.”

Realty Times – “Aging Buyers Want Easy, Comfortable Homes with First-Floor Master Bedroom” (1-29-10)

“The Baby Boomer generation makes up about 28 percent of the population and has some interesting statistics. According to BabyBoomerMagazine.com, this group has greater wealth than any other, controls 70 percent of the total net worth of American households, and accounts for 40 percent of total consumer demand.”

In The News:

One year ago, the CBIA announced that 65,380 building permits were issued from 2008 to 2009. The Commerce Department reported that sales of single-family homes decreased by 14.7 percent. The House of Representatives approved a $819-billion stimulus package. Freddie Mac reported that the 30-year fixed mortgage dipped to 5.10 percent.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/5/09

Wednesday, January 6th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the NAR, pending home sales decreased by 16 percent from October to November. The Mortgage Bankers Association believes that the third quarter of 2009 likely marked the end of the recession, but expects to see continuous trouble in the real estate market. Lockhart predicts there will be another spike in foreclosure activity. Realtors warn that buying REO properties can be risky for business.

In The News:

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Down from Surge but Higher than a Year Ago” (1-5-09)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in November, fell 16.0 percent to 96.0 from an upwardly revised 114.3 in October, but is 15.5 percent higher than November 2008 when it was 83.1.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Commercial/Multifamily Real Estate Market Continues to Feel Effects of Economic Downturn” (1-5-09)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Commercial Real Estate/Multifamily Finance Quarterly Data Book for the third quarter of 2009. Though technically the third quarter likely marked the end of the recession, strains on various parts of the commercial/multifamily real estate market continue to be felt. This analysis focuses on the overall state of the economy and the resulting impacts on real estate fundamentals, mortgage originations, mortgage debt outstanding and mortgage performance in the third quarter.”

Sacramento Bee – “Aid offered to first-time homebuyers” (1-5-09)

“Roseville has been awarded $1.3 million to help first-time buyers who meet an income qualification to buy bank-owned homes, according to the city’s Web site. To qualify for the down-payment assistance, households need to earn less than 80 percent of the area median income, adjusted for household size. For example, the maximum income for a two-person household is $46,600 and four-person household is $58,250.”

CNBC - “Time To Reduce Mortgage Principal Payments: Lockhart” (1-5-09)

“Although the latest Case-Shiller Index indicates the housing market has been improving for the last five months, there could be another spike in foreclosures, said Lockhart. While banks and investors have already marked down mortgages on their books, he said, that benefit has not yet been passed onto homeowners.”

Bloomberg - “Silicon Valley ‘Bloodbath’ Leaves Entire Office Buildings Empty” (1-5-09)

“Silicon Valley is beset by the biggest office property glut since the dot-com bust, leaving the U.S. technology hub with empty high-rises and office parks that make it impossible for landlords to sustain average rents. More than 43 million square feet (4 million square meters) — the equivalent of 15 Empire State Buildings — stood vacant at the end of the third quarter, the most in almost five years, according to CB Richard Ellis Group Inc. San Jose, Sunnyvale and Palo Alto have 11 empty office buildings with about 3 million square feet of the best quality space.”

Inman - “Foreclosure.com files for bankruptcy” (1-5-09)

“The parent company of Foreclosure.com and a stable of more than 150 other Web sites says its doors will remain open after two lawsuits forced it to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection”

Inman - “REOs are risky business” (1-5-09)

“Bank-owned, foreclosed properties — also known as REOs — represent a huge opportunity for real estate agents and buyers alike, but can also pose a huge risk for your business.”

Realty Times – “Real Estate Outlook: 2010 Stark Contrast to 2009″ (1-5-09)

“Home sales have been rising for months, thanks in part to the federal tax credit programs; new home starts and permits are up in most parts of the country; and prices generally are trending up in most of the markets that got shell-shocked in the bust.”

Realty Times – “Part 1: 10 Essentials For Avoiding A Bad Real Estate Agent When Selling Your Home” (1-5-09)

“If performance and track record mean anything to you, make sure you ask each Realtor to bring a current copy of their MLS ‘inventory report’ for the last 2 years so you can see for yourself how many homes they have actually “sold!” This will also reveal exactly how many homes they have Active, In Escrow, Closed, Expired and so on. The inventory report is basically a report card that almost nobody ever asks for, but every agent could easily provide. The results are real, tangible, and will separate the top producers from the casual part timers and other poor performing real estate agents.”

Realty Times – “Compound Advantages in 2010″ (1-5-09)

“Compound interest is interest on interest. That is, interest on the original amount, the principal, and also interest charged on accumulating interest. For instance, with semi-annual compounding, the amount of interest charged over six months is added to the balance to create a new amount on which to calculate interest. Compounding is a savings boost for investors, but a debt accelerator in mortgages and other compound-interest debts.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/29/09

Tuesday, December 29th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

The S&P/Case-Schiller index shows that home prices increased in 20 major U.S. cities in October. A Bloomberg study shows that broker commissions decreased by 6.2 percent from last year. Steve Thomas of Altera Real Estate reports that Orange County home sales take half as much time in comparison to last year. O.C. distressed property sales decreased by 53 percent from last year.

In The News:

Bloomberg - “Home Prices in 20 U.S. Cities Rose for Fifth Month” (12-29-09)

“Home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose in October for a fifth consecutive month, putting the housing market and economy farther along the path to recovery. The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index increased 0.4 percent from the prior month on a seasonally adjusted basis, after a 0.2 percent rise in September, the group said today in New York. The gauge was down 7.3 percent from October 2008, the smallest year- over-year decline since October 2007. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News anticipated a 7.2 percent drop.”

Bloomberg - “Housing Recovery Fails to Bolster Broker Commissions” (12-29-09)

“A surge in home purchases by first- time U.S. buyers is doing little to help real estate agents and brokers who close the deals. Commissions in 2009 fell to the lowest level in seven years, driven down by sales of low-priced homes to first-time buyers using the federal tax credit. Commissions through November dropped 6.2 percent from a year earlier to $40.6 billion, according to Bloomberg calculations based on the average commission rates from Real Trends Inc. and on home price and sales data from the National Association of Realtors.”

Inman - “Approach 2010 with curiosity, not dread” (12-29-09)

“Given the immense global economic expansion under way and the shortage of the commodity, its price ought to go up. Then again, given cost of production at $600 an ounce and doubled price, nobody knows at what point balance will appear. If you want an inflation indicator, watch inflation. Currency values are relative to each other, not absolute, and are effect, not cause. In the old days you could assume that a weak currency brought inflation, or that you got some benefit from having a strong currency. Today, China has no inflation problem and tries like hell to keep its currency cheap. Watch economies themselves.”

Inman - “3 steps to a better marketing strategy” (12-29-09)

“Cummings points out that more wealth is created during recessions than at any other time. Recessions do end. While you can’t control when your market will shift, you can control your reaction to the market.”

Realty Times – “Washington Report: Estate Taxes” (12-29-09)

“If the Senate fails to pass a bill preserving current estate tax rates, as the House did before heading home for the holidays, the estate tax will totally disappear January first. While that might sound like outstandingly good news for people who want to pass along real estate to children or grandchildren tax-free, there’s a major complication here. If the estate tax disappears in 2010 because the Senate couldn’t get its act together in 2009, the disappearance will only be temporary, for one year. Then, under a legislative deal worked out nearly a decade ago, the estate tax will suddenly spring back to life in 2011 with higher tax rates and lower exclusions.”

Orange County Register – “Home-selling time sliced by half in 2009″ (12-29-09)

“The latest O.C. home inventory report from Steve Thomas at Altera Real Estate in Aliso Viejo — the last one for 2009 — tells you that the typical home officially on the market today takes half the time to sell than it did a year ago!”

Orange County Register - “Distressed homes for sale cut 53% in a year” (12-29-09)

“the number of O.C. distressed properties (homes listed by agents in the MLS system as foreclosures or short sales) was 2,537 last week — down 53% in a year.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/01/09

Tuesday, December 1st, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

The NAR reports that pending home sales increased during October by 3.7 percent. The California Board of Equalization claims that most homeowners will see a decline in property tax after a deflation of 0.237 percent.  According to Real Estate Econometrics LLC, the commercial mortgage default rate on loans held by U.S. banks increased to 3.4 percent in the third quarter.

In The News:

NAR - “Nine Consecutive Gains for Pending Home Sales” (12-1-09)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in October, increased 3.7 percent to 114.1 from 110.0 in September, and is 31.8 percent above October 2008 when it was 86.6. The rise from a year ago is the biggest annual increase ever recorded for the index, which is at the highest level since March 2006 when it was 115.2.”

Sacramento Bee – “Most California property tax bills will fall slightly in 2010″ (12-1-09)

“The Board of Equalization said Monday that most California homeowners will see a slight decline in property tax bills, based on the board’s preliminary estimates of deflation at 0.237 percent.”

Housing Wire – “$1trn in Commercial Real Estate Equity Lost, Say Analysts” (12-1-09)

“Property values are down 40% and about $1trn commercial real estate (CRE) equity was lost since the sector peaked in 2007, according to research by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods.”

Housing Wire – “Lend America Out of Business” (12-1-09)

“The FHA’s action prevents Lend America and Ideal from originating and underwriting FHA-insured mortgages or participating in FHA’s single-family insurance program. FHA also charged $512,500 in civil money penalties in the wake of a civil lawsuit that HousingWire previously reported reveals a pattern of mortgage fraud spanning more than 20 years across a number of mortgage firms.”

Housing Wire – “Short Sale Incentives Coming in 2010, Treasury Says” (12-1-09)

“HAFA allows the borrower to receive pre-approved short sale terms before the property is listed and frees them from future liability for the debt. Also, servicers utilizing the program are prohibited from requiring a reduction in the real estate commission agreed to in the listing agreement. The borrower also receives a $1,500 incentive for relocation after the transaction. The servicer receives a $1,000 incentive to cover administration and processing costs, and investors will be paid a maximum of $1,000 for allowing up to $3,000 in short-sale proceeds to be paid out to subordinate lien holders. In total, each transaction under HAFA will cost the Treasury up to $3,500 of incentive payments.”

Housing Wire – “RealtyBid.com Discounts Fees in December” (12-1-09)

“RealtyBid.com, online home auction company, discounted its standard listing fee from $150 to $25 through the end of December. Real estate agents looking to market property listings through an online auction can take advantage of the offer. If the property sells, RealtyBid.com will cut its sales fee, or the buyer’s fee, from 1% to a flat fee of $500.”

Bloomberg - “Commercial Mortgage Defaults at U.S. Banks Reach 3.4%” (12-1-09)

“The commercial mortgage default rate on loans held by U.S. banks more than doubled to 3.4 percent in the third quarter as vacancies rose and rents declined, Real Estate Econometrics LLC said.”

Bloomberg - “Construction Spending in U.S. Unchanged After Falling in Sept.” (12-1-09)

“Construction spending in the U.S. was unchanged in October after declining five straight months as rising office and retail vacancies deterred the building of commercial projects. Spending in September, previously reported as an increase, fell 1.6 percent, according to Commerce Department data released today in Washington. Construction spending declined on office buildings and commercial projects, while homebuilding increased.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the government announced its plans to spend $800 billion dollars on mortgage-backed securities and consumer-debt securities.  Treasury yields dropped to record lows. Bernanke announced that the federal reserve was considering lowering interest rates.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/11/09

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

The CBIA report shows that September sales for new-home communities have decreased by 11 percent from 2008. Foreclosure activity increased by 5 percent from August to September. According to Trulia, nearly 26 percent of homes were decreased in price from the previous month, and the total value of those price reductions is $28.1 billion.

In The News:

CBIA - “California New-Home Sales Down Again in September, CBIA Announces” (11-11-09)

“The monthly CBIA/Hanley Wood Market Intelligence (HWMI) New-Home Sales and Pricing Report showed that sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 11 percent below September 2008, an improvement from the 13 percent year-over-year decline last month and the much higher declines in previous months. During September, 2,310 new homes and condominiums were sold in the subdivisions tracked by Costa Mesa-based HWMI, compared to 2,580 in September 2008. Sales of single-family homes were down by 17 percent, while sales of townhomes and ‘plexes’ – duplexes, triplexes, etc. – were down 11 percent and sales of condominiums were 12 percent higher than a year ago.”

Orange County Register – “Foreclosure notices hit record 8,800″ (11-11-09)

“September’s total was up 5% from August and 90% from a year ago. The chart (click for larger image) shows outstanding auction notices going back to January 2007. Auction notices, also known as notices of trustee’s sale, are a warning that a property will be offered for sale, usually at a local courthouse.”

Los Angeles Times – “Existing-home prices slide in most metropolitan areas” (11-11-09)

“The U.S. median sale price for an existing single-family home was $177,900, an 11.2% drop from the same period a year earlier, according to the National Assn. of Realtors in Washington. Distressed sales continued to weigh on prices despite a popular tax credit fueling the volume of deals. Still, the median was higher than in the second quarter of this year, when it was $174,200.”

Housing Wire – “CMBS TALF May Bring New Issue in November: Sources” (11-11-09)

“Industry reports indicate a number of firms are gearing up to sell the first round of debt under the Fed’s CMBS TALF program for new issuance. The firms include Developers Diversified Realty Corp. (DDR: 9.02 +5.99%), which in October said it obtained new first mortgage financing of $400m from Goldman Sachs Commercial Mortgage Capital, an affiliate of Goldman Sachs & Co.”

Housing Wire – “Loss Severity May Reverse Recent Stability: Amherst” (11-11-09)

“the firm sees ‘temporary’ stabilization of house prices, as 7.5m units or 13.5% of US homeowners are in non-payment status. Amherst previously explained its reasoning for calculating 7m of those are ‘destined’ to liquidate, which hangs a shadow of distressed inventory over the positive signs seen in the US housing market.”

Housing Wire – “Refinancing Interest Boosts MBA’s Weekly Mortgage Apps” (11-11-09)

“MBA’s refinance index increased 14.5% from the previous week. The association’s purchase index decreased 1.8%. Refinance applications took a 66.1% share of all applications, up from 62.3% in the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of all applications decreased to 6.1% from 6.9%.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Home Sellers Slash Prices by $28.1 Billion, Trulia Says” (11-11-09)

“The average discount was 10 percent, little changed from a month earlier, the San Francisco-based real estate data provider said today. Almost 26 percent of homes for sale were reduced at least once. Luxury properties — those costing $2 million or more — accounted for 25 percent of the dollar value of reductions and less than 2 percent of listings, Trulia said. ”

Inman - “Realogy in the black for Q3″ (11-11-09)

“Real estate franchisor and brokerage Realogy Corp. said it turned a $58 million profit in the third quarter, thanks in part to a debt restructuring that allowed the company to claim a $75 million gain and stay in compliance with agreements governing nearly $3 billion in loans.”

Inman - “GMAC Real Estate unites with Real Living” (11-11-09)

“A major real estate brokerage company merger gives GMAC Real Estate a new name while expanding the Real Living real estate brand and growing the U.S. operations of Canada-based Brookfield Residential Property Services. The merger of GMAC Real Estate and Real Living, which will operate under the Real Living name and under parent company Brookfield, represents the second sizable U.S. expansion of Brookfield operations in the past two years.”

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