The Norris Group Blog

California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘investor’

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/7/11

Monday, February 7th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA reports $110 billion in commercial and multifamily mortgages were originated in 2010. 36,500 mortgages were modified through government and proprietary programs in December, according to Fitch Ratings. Altos Research announced plans to release a new, forward valuation model for real estate. S&P claims 80% of the loan modifications that took place over the last 3 years defaulted again within 2 years.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association“MBA: Strong Fourth Quarter Drives 2010 Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations 36 Percent Above 2009 Levels” (2-7-11)

“Mortgage bankers originated $110 billion of commercial and multifamily mortgages during 2010 – an increase of 36 percent from 2009″

Mortgage Bankers Association“MBA: Only 11 Percent of $1.4 trillion of Non-Bank Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Set to Mature in 2011″ (2-7-11)

“Of the $1.4 trillion balance of outstanding commercial/multifamily mortgages held by non-bank investors, only 11 percent of the total ($155 billion) will mature in 2011, and 9 percent ($125 billion) in 2012″

Press Enterprise“Surveys project Gen Y’s impact on for-sale and rental housing” (2-7-11)

“Gen Y forms a large consumer group–even a bit larger than the Baby Boomers, according to a report published by Meyers LLC, an Orange County based real estate research company. Meyers cites a report by the Marcus and Millichap commercial brokerage that 20-to-34 year olds constituted a 65 percent share of job gains in 2010.”

Washington Post“Republicans call for swift action to weaken Fannie and Freddie” (2-7-11)

“Republicans unveiled a four-point outline of how they want to overhaul the nation’s troubled mortgage system, including shrinking the number of mortgages owned by the troubled companies.”

Housing Wire - “Mortgage modifications drop 57% from 2009 peak: Fitch” (2-7-11)

“Servicers modified 36,500 mortgages through government and proprietary programs in December 2010, down 57% from the peak of 86,500 in April 2009, according to Fitch Ratings.”

Housing Wire“Altos unveils forward-looking valuation model” (2-7-11)

“The AltosEvaluate forward valuation modeling forecasts changes in a property’s sale price three, six, or 12 months into the future based on the strength or weakness of any local real estate market.”

Housing Wire - “BarCap reveals a new mess in mortgage servicing: Remittance reports” (2-7-11)

“For modified loans, remittance reports are not specifying the exact amount of forgiveness, forbearance and the recapitalization of principal. But they are added to the cash flows, confusing investors who can only see a hole of information between the beginning and ending loan balance.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Mae multifamily funding drops 14% in 2010″ (2-7-11)

“Fannie Mae financing for multifamily properties in 2010 dropped 14% compared to 2009, with substantial decreases in funding to manufactured housing communities and senior housing.”

Housing Wire“S&P: Loan mods fail to keep distressed borrowers afloat” (2-7-11)

“The New York-based rating agency said 80% of the loans cured by a modification in the time period stretching from 2007 to 2010 defaulted again within 24 months.”

Housing Wire“FDIC will base insurance charges to banks on risk, not deposits” (2-7-11)

“Banks that take more risk with their investments will be forced to pay more in insurance costs to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., according to rules finalized on Monday.”

Bloomberg - “REITs Seek to Lure Pension-Fund Money From Private Equity” (2-7-11)

“The National Association of REITs found that a portfolio 30 percent invested in commercial property shares delivered a higher return relative to one more heavily tilted toward private-equity funds, based on a study to be published today on the group’s website.”

Housing Wire - “U.S. Homeowners in Foreclosure Process Were 507 Days Late Paying” (2-7-11)

“U.S. homeowners in the foreclosure process were an average of 507 days late on payments at the end of last year as lenders handled a record rate of mortgage delinquencies, Lender Processing Services Inc. said today.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/2/11

Wednesday, February 2nd, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

Mortgage application volume increased 11.3% from last week, according to the MBA. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are raising risk fees they charge lenders on loans they buy for resale to investors. HOPE NOW reports 1.76 million homeowners received a mortgage modification in 2010. Statistics from DBRS show 50 percent of loan modifications result in re-default.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association“Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (2-2-11)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 28, 2011. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 11.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 13.2 percent compared with the previous week.”

USA Today“Costs for home mortgages rise as Fannie, Freddie hike fees” (2-2-11)

“For the first time since 2009, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are raising risk fees they charge lenders on loans they buy for resale to investors. The mortgage giants are also adding risk fees to more loans extended to people with stellar credit. To avoid a fee or to get a discount, most borrowers will need FICO scores of 740 or better and down payments of 25% or more. Lenders could absorb the cost, but most are expected to add it to loan costs within days, if they haven’t already, says Cameron Findlay, LendingTree economist.”

Los Angeles Times“Agency warns banks of foreclosure protection for military personnel” (2-2-11)

“The new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau warned banks not to violate laws that protect active-duty military personnel from home foreclosures and high interest rates.”

Housing Wire“Dow Jones closes above 12,000 for first time since 2008″ (2-1-11)

“The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 148.23 points at 12,040.16, the first time it ended a trading above 12,000 since just before the financial crisis in June 2008.”

Housing Wire“Mortgage modifications increase 42% in 2010: Hope Now” (2-2-11)

“Roughly 1.76 million homeowners received a modification on their mortgage in 2010, a 42% increase from the year before, according to the Hope Now alliance of servicers, investors, insurers and nonprofit counselors.”

Housing Wire“Private sector added 187,000 jobs in January” (2-2-11)

“The private sector added 187,000 jobs in January, led mostly by gains in small business, especially in the service industry, according to the ADP National Employment Report.”

Housing Wire“DBRS finds half of mortgage modifications redefault” (2-2-11)

“When a mortgage servicer modifies the loan of a distressed homeowner, chances are 50-50 that they’ll redefault, according to a 2010 review of the sector from credit rating agency DBRS.”

Housing Wire“CMBS takes a beating as delinquencies reach record high” (2-2-11)

“Commercial mortgage-backed securities delinquencies hit a record high, as the cumulative total jumped 20 basis points. According to a securitization report by Barclays Capital, 9.1% of all CMBS loans were 60 days or more delinquent as of Jan. 31.”

Orange County Register – “Dana Point homes take half a year to sell” (2-2-11)

“The newest ‘market time’ of Dana Point – Thomas’ math that tracks theoretical time it would take to sell all listed homes at the pace of new escrows opened — is 6.46 months. That is +11% (or roughly 19 days) in a year.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR’s index  showed that pending home sales increased by 1 percent in December. Commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations increased by 15 percent during the 4th quarter of 2009.  The FHA reported that borrower delinquencies increased by 6.5 percent from the previous year. Fannie Mae was offering a 3.5 percent discount to all people who buy REO properties.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

210-TNG Radio – Marsha Norris 1-29-11

Friday, January 28th, 2011

marsha-norris_small

Marsha Norris

Mother, Grandmother, 17 Year Cancer Fighter

streamitunes

download

rss

Marsha Norris lost her brave battle with cancer on January 22nd.  For the next several weeks, we honor her memory by re-airing three shows she recorded leading up to our I Survived Real Estate events that raised awareness and money for breast cancer.

A public memorial is to take place:
Sunday, January 30, 2011
3:00pm
The Grove Community Church
Riverside , California

Thank You for the notes, flowers, and prayers during this difficult time. We truly appreciate your concern and all the support over the years. We feel the love. We will deeply miss Marsha (Mom) but will forever cherish the wonderful memories.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/24/11

Monday, January 24th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

The CBIA reports total building permits issued during 2010 increased 23% from 2009. Statistics from Trulia show that owning a home is cheaper than renting one in 72% of the largest cities in the United States. Commercial property values rose 0.6% in November, according to Moody’s.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times“Estimate of mortgage interest tax deduction’s effect on federal deficit is lowered” (1-23-10)

“$88 billion less in revenue losses are now projected over the next three fiscal years — than the committee estimated early in 2010.”

CBIA - “It’s Official: 2010 is Second-lowest Year on Record for Homebuilding in California” (1-24-10)

“CBIA said just 44,601 permits were issued statewide last year for new homes, apartments, condominiums and townhomes, up 23 percent from 2009, but down 31 percent from 2008, which had held the distinction of the second-lowest total on record with 64,962 permits issued. Records began being kept in 1954 with the lowest yearly total set in 2009 with 36,421 permits issued.”

Inman - “Cheaper to buy than to rent in 72% of largest U.S. cities” (1-24-10)

“Despite the rising number of renters across the country, it is cheaper to buy a home rather than rent one in 72 percent of the 50 largest cities in the U.S., according to an index released by real estate search and marketing site Trulia.”

New York Times“Mortgage Giants Leave Legal Bills to the Taxpayers” (1-24-10)

“Since the government took over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, taxpayers have spent more than $160 million defending the mortgage finance companies and their former top executives in civil lawsuits accusing them of fraud.”

Housing Wire“Moody’s CPPI rose 0.6% for November, down 4.3% since May” (1-24-10)

“The price of commercial property rose 0.6% in November, marking the third-consecutive month of gains following sharp declines for the previous three months, according to Moody’s Investors Service.”

Housing Wire“Campbell Surveys: Strong distressed property sales bookend robo-signing debacle” (1-24-10)

“First-time homebuyer activity remained relatively strong last month, though still near historic lows, as purchasers rushed to close transactions before interest rates rise further, according to housing industry consultancy group Campbell Surveys. In December, the firm’s HousingPulse distressed property index shows these transactions make up 47.2% of the market, up from 44.5% in November and nearly matching the 47.5% peak reached in September.”

Housing Wire“JPMorgan: Annual homes sales must average 5.5 million to absorb liquidations” (1-24-10)

“JPMorgan Securities said existing home sales need to average about 5.5 million units a year to absorb a projected 2.25 million to 2.5 million in liquidations.”

Orange County Register – “Demand for O.C. homes jumps 10%” (1-24-10)

“Demand, the number of new pending sales over the prior month, increased by 10% in the past two weeks, adding an additional 194 homes, and now totals 2,154 pending sales. That’s virtually identical to 2009 when it posted 2,146. Last year, there were 393 additional pending sales, but everybody was poised to take advantage of the $8,000 first time home buyer tax. From here, expect demand to continue to improve as the market prepares to enter the spring market, the strongest time of the year for Orange County housing.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

208-TNG Radio – Norris Group 1-7-11

Friday, January 7th, 2011

Greg Norris

(Full Bio)

 

Craig Hill

(Full Bio)

The Norris Group

streamitunesdownloadrss

This week Bruce is joined again by Greg Norris and Craig Hill. Greg is the vice president of TNG Auctions. He buys properties and resells them. Craig has been working with Bruce for 15 years, and is responsible for speaking to all potential borrowers for The Norris Group.

TNG gets many calls from new investors who tend to have some misconceptions. One of the biggest misconceptions these investors have is that they don’t need to use personal cash when using hard money loans. Craig suggests that borrowers have $30,000 for every $100,000 you desire to borrow. Also, many people believe that having credit issues will disqualify them, but credit issues can be ignored if they have an appropriate amount of cash. On the other hand, there are some investors with 800 credit scores and minimal cash reserves who will probably be disqualified.

If a house is worth $100,000, $75,000 should be the total between the purchase price and repairs. People do not understand that you cannot effectively invest in a house with very little money.

There are many lenders who will make a loan regardless of whether or not it will be profitable for the investor. The Norris Group offers investors another level of protection, because we have an appraiser with an investor background. Craig estimates that TNG’s appraiser prevents 2 to 3 investors every week from getting a bad deal. Once someone gets a deal, Craig prefers that the investor send him the property info immediately. There are many people who overlook details like “year built” or “lot size”. People treat investing in real estate like people who gamble in Vegas; they believe they cannot lose.

Sometimes investors start with something that is above their level of experience. In Bruce’s bootcamp, he takes his students to a home that is above their experience level, and asks them to estimate repairs, so they can learn to stay away from those homes. Craig has noticed that many investors tend to undervalue the cost of repairs and overvalue the sale price. People have come to Craig with an interest in buying property, but he can easily tell whether or not those properties are profitable by seeing who is selling them. If Craig notices that the seller is an experienced investor, that gives him a clue the property is not selling undervalued.

Relying on other people to give you all your buying, repairing and selling numbers is probably not a good idea, especially if those people are on commission. If an agent claims he can sell a property for a certain price which is contrary to Craig’s judgment, Craig suggests the realtor should not charge for the purchase of the property, and only take commission after the sale.

Appraisals have gotten better, in Greg’s opinion. This is partly because of a more stable market. Many short sales are pristine. To determine whether or not a property’s value is accurate, you need to look at all the properties sold within the last 3 months and pending sales. Sometimes you will see houses pending at a high number, but are also short sales; that is obviously not the right number. Sometimes the sold properties in the MLS are not actually sold. You need to know when to speak to a Realist about whether or not a sale occurred.

One of Greg’s most difficult jobs is to appraise a property for the future. He has to take into account which season he will be selling in. This winter has been odd for TNG, because half our properties are pending. Usually properties take longer to sell in the winter. Greg attributes this to the lack of inventory. There are not an overwhelming number of REOs on the market, so sellers still have some power. Also, TNG probably has the only fully repaired product. Greg has gotten better at pricing as well.

It is still hard to know what an appraiser will appraise a TNG house for. Currently, Greg’s least likeable appraisers work for VA, and FHA appraisers are now better to deal with, because FHA allows Greg to use appraisers that understand how to properly appraise a fully repaired house. Appraisers have recently taken a cut in their pay, so they may not look closely at your property unless you get their attention.

Getting a hard money loan is very costly. Craig has received calls from investors who hung up immediately after hearing his hard money interest rates. However, using hard money over a regular, cheaper loan gives you more freedom to do more and make more. One benefit of using hard money loans is that you don’t have to fear not finding necessary cash. When you have a business relationship with someone who is counting on your closing, you cannot go knocking around the neighborhood to find a quick $100,000.

There are some occasions where people receive a “yes” from a lender, but later get cancelled on. If TNG says yes to a deal, the deal is done and funded. TNG only gives borrowers a hard time during the initial process, so that we can know the deal is going to be profitable. This is why agents and escrows like working with TNG, because they know that if TNG gives a commitment, then the deal is going to work.

People might think that TNG’s business model is very simple and easy to replicate, but it isn’t. We have built good relationships with our business partners, which allows us to do business with ease. TNG even passes on a few deals just to maintain respect from its partners. Building a team that trusts you can take years.

When Bruce and Craig first met, the common idea of value was what someone paid for it. If a piece of property was said to be worth $90,000 but was sold for $60,000, then the value was believed to be $60,000. Bruce and Craig disproved this idea, but it was very difficult for Craig to approve Bruce’s loan.

All of Bruce’s seminars make it easier for Craig to do business, because many of TNG’s new clients know a lot about the company. Many of TNG’s clients have had the opportunity to hear Bruce speak, and they’ve researched TNG through our website. This helps Craig as a lender because not only do his clients know how TNG conducts its business, but they also know that we are trustworthy. Some of Craig’s clients trust TNG’s decision making ability more than their own, and that is why they work with him.

Greg’s favorite type of inventory are standard track homes. Greg does not like properties on large lots. Anything over 20,000 square feet is usually bad inventory. Also, he does not like areas that are poorly planned. For example, there are some neighborhoods where there may be one property built in 1960 next to another property built in the 1970s. There are exceptions to this, but Greg prefers to buy safer inventory with more mass appeal. Newer homes are typically more attractive, and they require fewer repairs. Greg has been surprised by how many people are still more attracted to larger homes. He does not mind buying properties on small lots so long as that kind of inventory is selling well in its area.

When Greg is estimating a property’s value, he tries to think of what a property’s resale value will be after 30 days. He has to consider what it will take to attract a buyer within 30 days. There are occasions when he must cut his values, because 5 REOs drop into the market at one time. Greg reviews his asking price once a week for every property TNG owns.

Greg has had a lot of trouble with pool homes. He has spent $25,000 on pool repairs, which wiped out his profit. However, pool homes are not always problematic, and Greg has profited from buying them.

Greg prefers to rely on his own knowledge at a trustee sale. Sometimes he receives friendly advice from other people, but not often.

For m ore information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/6/11

Thursday, January 6th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to Freddie Mac, rates on 30-year FRMs fell to 4.77% this week. Altos Research reports home prices fell 1.63% in December. Timothy Geithner requested from Congress to increase the national debt limit. The current debt limit is $14.29 trillion, and the nation’s current debt level is just $335 billion short of the limit.

In The News:

Research Institute for Housing America“A Study of Real Estate Markets in Declining Cities” (1-6-11)

“many places will likely resume growth and fully recover within the next decade or so. This is almost certainly not to be the case for all metropolitan areas. In fact, a number of large metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) experienced severe recessions during the latter half of the 20th century and prior to the Great Recession and never fully recovered or took many years to do so”

USA Today“30-year fixed mortgage rate dips to 4.77% average in latest week” (1-6-11)

“Freddie Mac says the average rate on 30-year mortgages dropped to 4.77% from 4.86% the previous week. It hit a 40-year low of 4.17% in November.”

Realty Times“Consequences of Defaults and Foreclosures” (1-6-11)

“One of the most startling impacts of a foreclosure appears on one’s credit report. Your credit score may plummet by 200 to 300 points. In this economic climate, where credit lending standards are already tightened, you may then find it difficult to do everything from buying a car to renting an apartment. What’s worse is that the notation of foreclosure stays on your report for up to seven years.”

Housing Wire“Altos: Home prices down 1.63% in December, new listings even lower” (1-6-11)

“Home prices fell 1.63% in December, but new listings are hitting the market well below that, according to analytics firm Altos Research. Prices fell in each of the 27 markets studied by Altos. Prices fell 4.77% in San Francisco — the steepest drop of any area, 3.71% in San Diego”

Housing Wire“Commercial mortgage modifications become huge trend in just two years” (1-6-11)

“Of all loan modifications in the commercial mortgage industry over the past decade, 96% occurred in the last years, according to Standard & Poor’s. The rating agency said 354 commercial real estate loans with a principal balance $15.6 billion were modified from January through November, up significantly from 216 loans valued at $7.06 billion for all of 2009.”

Housing Wire“DebtX November CRE loan volume down to 80.3%” (1-6-11)

“The decline in the value of commercial real estate loans in November was due primarily to an increase in Treasury rates”

Housing Wire“Geithner urges Congress to increase national debt limit” (1-6-11)

“Geithner wrote a letter to Congress Thursday requesting an increase in the federal debt limit. According to his numbers, the current debt limit set last February is $14.29 trillion. As of the writing of the letter, the outstanding debt subject to the limit standards is $13.95 trillion — just $335 billion shy of the maximum.”

Housing Wire“Equator’s Vella: Short sales set to swell 25% in 2011″ (1-6-11)

“With one in five borrowers underwater on their home and an estimated 1.5 million foreclosures scheduled for 2011, the opportunity for short sales will be better than ever. Investors usually see a 20% to 30% better execution on a short sale versus an REO sale when it comes to loss severity. With the foreclosure volume, current and pending REO inventories, servicers will be pressed to do more short sales in 2011.”

Housing Wire“New Fannie interactive Web tool provides foreclosure avoidance options” (1-6-11)

“Fannie Mae’s new WaysHome interactive multimedia tool walks homeowners through options if they are struggling to pay the mortgage — even allowing them to select a character and be a part of an interactive video.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, California Governor Schwarzenegger announced a new home buyer tax credit. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications had increased by .4 percent from Christmas. The FOMC confirmed plans to buy $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed-securities from Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae. Eugene Ludwig believed that commercial real estate losses would break historical records in 2010.

For m ore information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/5/11

Wednesday, January 5th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

Altera Real Estate forecasts an increase in interest rates for 2011. Hope Now reports mortgage lenders completed nearly 1.65 million permanent loan modifications in November. President Obama signed the National Credit Union Stabilization Act.

In The News:

Orange County Register – “Realistic sellers eyed as key to stable prices” (1-5-11)

“There’s a ton of pressure on rates to increase. An increasing deficit with the Fed printing money at warp speed, a government unwilling to cut spending, and no leader anywhere in the world willing to come up with a definitive game plan to get us out of this pickle, translates to mounting pressure on interest rates.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“Mortgage Applications Drop the Week Before Christmas and Increase the Week After in Latest MBA Weekly Surveys” (1-5-11)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the weeks ending December 24, 2010 and December 31, 2010. For the week ending December 24, 2010, the Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 3.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from the prior week. For the week ending December 31, 2010, this index increased 2.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis.”

Housing Wire“Hope Now: November mortgage modifications doubled foreclosure sales” (1-5-11)

“Mortgage lenders completed about 1.65 million permanent loan modifications through November vs. 1 million foreclosure sales, according to Hope Now.”

Housing Wire“CMBS delinquencies hit record high in December” (1-5-11)

“The delinquency rate on commercial mortgage-backed securities reached 9.2% in December, the highest on record, according to analytics firm Trepp.”

Housing Wire“Treasury relaxes rules to free-up HAFA short sales” (1-5-11)

“The Treasury Department took action in December eliminating some rules it said have held back short sales through the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives program.”

Housing Wire“Obama signs credit union stabilization act for NCUA to avoid Treasury borrowing” (1-5-11)

“President Obama returned from his vacation to a heavy workload, and on Tuesday signed 35 bills into law (pictured below). One of which is the National Credit Union Stabilization Act.”

Housing Wire - “Trade groups urge Federal Reserve to adjust Reg Z’s rule on appraisal fees” (1-5-11)

“Four appraisal trade associations urged the Federal Reserve Board to require appraisal management companies to disclose their fees to consumers and to reconsider the language and implementation of an interim rule that requires AMCs to pay ‘customary and reasonable’ appraiser fees.”

Orange County Register“Great Park homebuilder gets financing” (1-5-11)

“FivePoint Communities, a company spun off by Miami-based builder Lennar Corp. to plan and build the Heritage Fields housing and other major projects, reportedly will get $400 million. Those funds will help FivePoint move forward on what is expected to eventually be a master-planned community with 5,000 new residences in Irvine. According to the WSJ, the fresh funds come from Boston-based State Street Bank & Trust Co. plus other investors.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, pending home sales decreased by 16 percent from October to November. The Mortgage Bankers Association believed that the third quarter of 2009 likely marked the end of the recession, but expected to see continuous trouble in the real estate market. Lockhart predicted there would be another spike in foreclosure activity. Realtors warned that buying REO properties can be risky for business.

For m ore information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/3/11

Monday, January 3rd, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

Tom Wind of J.I. Kislak Mortgage expects refinancing activity to drop by nearly 66% in 2011. Moody’s Investor Service forecasts lower supply and higher demand for rental apartments in 2011. The 50 state attorneys general probing U.S. foreclosure practices will first settle with Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Ally Financial. Rick Sharga believes foreclosure activity will improve in Orange County during 2011.

In The News:

Bankrate.com“Zero-down mortgages endure in rural areas” (1-3-11)

“borrowers must demonstrate they can afford the mortgage payments by meeting the USDA debt-to-income ratios of 29 percent for the housing payment and 41 percent for the overall debt to gross monthly income.”

Housing Wire“J.I. Kislak expects higher purchase loan activity in 2011″ (1-3-11)

“Tom Wind, managing director of J.I. Kislak Mortgage, expects the refinancing activity to fall to $350 billion in 2011 from $1 trillion last year.”

Housing Wire“Moody’s sees multifamily REIT credit strengthening in 2011″ (1-3-11)

“Moody’s Investors Service expects lower supply and higher demand to stoke growth in rental apartments and subsequently help the credit of multifamily real estate investment trusts.”

Housing Wire“Ginnie Mae moves up multiple issuer deadline” (1-3-11)

“The cut-off time for issuers submitting multiple loan packages into real estate mortgage investment conduits (REMICs) was three days before the end of the month. Ginnie is now moving that up to six days before the end of the month.”

Bloomberg - “BofA Resolves Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Loan Dispute” (1-3-11)

“Bank of America Corp., the biggest U.S. lender by assets, paid $2.8 billion to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae after the U.S.-owned firms demanded the company buy back mortgages they said were based on faulty data.”

Bloomberg - “Foreclosure Deals to Start With Big Lenders, Iowa Says” (1-3-11)

“The 50 state attorneys general probing U.S. foreclosure practices will first settle with the five largest loan servicers, including Bank of America Corp. and JPMorgan Chase & Co., Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller said. No settlements have been reached yet, Miller said in a telephone interview today. The other three are Citigroup Inc., Wells Fargo & Co. and Ally Financial Inc., said Miller, the leader of the 50-state investigation. The five have 59 percent of the market, Miller said.”

Orange County Register“Dip in O.C. foreclosures for 2011?” (1-3-11)

“Orange County foreclosure activity has been trending downward over the course of 2010, and may continue to improve marginally over the course of 2011. There are a number of reasons for this, including an unemployment rate that is better than elsewhere in the state, and the fact that Orange County doesn’t have as much excess housing inventory as other areas in California.”

Orange County Register“No end to high-end foreclosures eyed for ’11″ (1-3-11)

“A recent study by the State Foreclosure Prevention Working Group found that nearly 3 years into the mortgage crisis, more than 60% of homeowners with seriously delinquent loans are still not involved in any loss mitigation/loan modification activity.”

For m ore information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate Holiday News Roundup

Monday, January 3rd, 2011

In The News:

Housing Wire“Principal Real Estate Investors optimistic for economic recovery in 2011″ (12-29-10)

“Principal Real Estate Investors expects the Republican gains in Congress, stabilizing commercial real estate values, stronger corporate earnings, higher personal savings rates and the dynamics related to quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve will fuel economic growth in 2011.”

Housing Wire“Foreclosures jump 31% in third quarter: OCC” (12-29-10)

“Large banks and thrifts foreclosed on 382,000 homes in the third quarter, a 31.2% spike from the previous quarter, according to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Foreclosures increased 3.7% from a year ago, and more are coming. There are 1.2 million homes in the foreclosure process as of the end of the third quarter, up 4.5% from the previous quarter and an increase of 10.1% from a year ago.”

Housing Wire“Jobless claims fall by 34,000 to lowest point since July 2008″ (12-29-10)

“The Labor Department said the seasonally adjusted figure of actual initial claims for the week ended Dec. 25 fell by 34,000 from the previous week’s 422,000 that was revised upward by a few thousand.”

Housing Wire“2010 average rate for 30-year mortgage lowest since 1955: Freddie Mac” (12-30-10)

“the average rate for a 30-year, fixed mortgage rose to 4.86% for the week ending Thursday, up from 4.81% a week earlier. A year ago, the average rate was 5.14%.”

Housing Wire“OTS pins some higher REO volume on mortgage servicers” (12-30-10)

“The Office of Thrift Supervision updated its guidelines alerting examiners to the possibility that a higher level of repossessed homes could stem from poor servicer performance as much as lax underwriting standards.”

Housing Wire“S&P revises shadow inventory timeline upward, again” (12-30-10)

“In the last three months, an estimated liquidation timeline covering the nation’s backlog of distressed real estate actually increased, according to Standard & Poor’s. The ratings agency now estimates it will take 44 months — up 10% percent from an estimate made just three months ago and 25% annualized — to clear the so-called shadow inventory of homes in distress or foreclosure, but not yet on the resale market.”

Housing Wire“Senate removes extended tax exemptions for REIT investments” (12-28-10)

“Lawmakers removed larger exemptions for real estate investment trust stock purchases in a bill signed by President Obama Tuesday. The House of Representatives version of the Foreign Investment in Real Property Tax Act would have extended the tax exemption for REIT stock sold from 5% to 10% ownership interest.”

Housing Wire“Freddie Mac delinquency rate up slightly in November, Fannie rate drops” (12-28-10)

“Freddie Mac said the rate of single-family home loans more than 90-days delinquent inched up to 3.85% last month from 3.82% in October. The government-sponsored enterprise said the multifamily delinquency rate for November fell to 0.39% from 0.44% a month earlier.”

Housing Wire - “LPS: Nearly 2.2 million mortgages are more than 90 days delinquent” (12-28-10)

“Nearly 2.2 million loans are 90 days or more delinquent but not yet in foreclosure, according to LPS, a Jacksonville, Fla.-based mortgage technology and analytics firm.”

Housing Wire - “Lenders initiate 500,000 short sales through Equator in one year” (12-28-10)

“Lenders initiated more than 500,000 short sales on Equator’s automated platform in one year of operation, the technology provider said Tuesday.”

Housing Wire“Backlog on failed HAMP trials grows 22% since July” (12-28-10)

“The largest servicers participating in the Home Affordable Modification Program have not taken action on 266,136 delinquent mortgages that have either been canceled out of loan modification trials or never qualified for one as of October. This backlog has increased 22% since the 218,246 reported in July.”

Housing Wire“Consumer advocates claim new Fed rule encourages reverse mortgage predators” (12-28-10)

“The Fed filed the rule with the Federal Register on Sept. 24. The rule was designed to actually give consumers more disclosures on reverse mortgage paperwork, using simple language to highlight the basic features and risks. But the organizations, which include the Center for Responsible Lending, and the National Consumer Law Center, among others, say that the rule goes beyond the Fed’s authority and undermines the still-forming Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.”

Housing Wire“Housing price declines increase strategic default risk” (12-28-10)

“Home prices are expected to drop another 20% before hitting bottom, according to economists at A. Gary Shilling & Co., raising the risk that 40% of borrowers will walk away from their home in a strategic default.”

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Continue Recovery, Gradual Improvement Seen in 2011″ (12-28-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, rose 3.5 percent to 92.2 based on contracts signed in November from a downwardly revised 89.1 in October. The index is 5.0 percent below a reading of 97.0 in November 2009. The data reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months”

Orange County Register – “O.C. home sales taking 58% longer” (12-28-10)

“It would take 4.64 months for buyers to gobble up all homes for sale at the current pace vs. 2.93 months a year ago — that’s a 58% increase in theoretical selling time in 2010. Homes listed for under a million bucks have a market time of 4.14 months vs. 2.37 months a year ago — that’s a 74% increase in selling time.”

207-TNG Radio – Norris Group 1-1-11

Friday, December 31st, 2010

Greg Norris

(Full Bio)

 

Craig Hill

(Full Bio)

The Norris Group

streamitunesdownloadrss  

This week Bruce is joined by Greg Norris and Craig Hill. Greg is the vice president of TNG Auctions. He buys properties and resells them. Craig has been working with Bruce for 15 years, and is responsible for speaking to all potential borrowers for The Norris Group.  

Craig’s business was extremely busy during the first part of the year, but it became even busier toward the end as inventory decreased.  Inventory is down 75% for REO buyers.  

When Bruce and Craig first met, most of the business revolved around doing seconds for owner occupants in financial trouble. At this point, most of Craig’s business involves doing short term loans for investors who buy fixer properties and long term loans for investors who hold rental properties. This business works well for TNG, because banks do not want to loan money out to investors. Banks have stopped making common sense loans. The TNG hard money program allows investors to own property at 9.9% interest. These properties often cash flow well, and the monthly payment is often cheaper than rent.  

Greg has discovered that most homes found at trustee sales involve smaller rehabs, newer homes and bidder areas. Trustee sales have made Greg’s job simpler, because the best deals for REOs usually involve heavier REOs. Discounts on trustee sales are smaller than on REO sales, and trustee sales are much more competitive.  

The number of people who attend trustee sales depends on the amount of inventory and the kind of inventory. The largest number of people Greg has ever seen at a trustee sale is 50 to 70, but out of that group only about 8 to 10 were big investors.  

10 years ago, trustee sales did not involve drop-bids, people had equity, and the investors involved in the business had been doing it for a long time. In some ways, Greg thinks the changes that have occurred in the trustee sales have made it more difficult for individual investors, but in other ways, it has become easier. Some of the individual investors are using their own money, so they don’t have another investor they need to repay, and they do smaller volumes. Sometimes you cannot compete with those people, because they are doing their own rehabs and they only buy a few properties every year. Some of them will buy properties for $20,000 over what Greg would be willing to pay. Because those buyers have limited research ability, Greg prefers to simply wait for those buyers to leave.  

Greg’s typical day begins by doing research on properties with open bids, and other properties that may potentially drop into open bid. At 9AM, he attends the sales. After he attends the sales, he deals with real estate and repair contracts, and then prepares for the next day’s sales.  

TNG’s loan clients have an unmatched level of experience in the industry, and Craig truly appreciates this. Craig’s phone is nearly constantly ringing. Many people discover TNG’s program through the internet, referrals, and from Bruce’s many speeches. TNG has gained a lot of respect for being a Southern California only real estate business and for being in the investment business for a long time. The most rewarding referrals come from people who have heard about TNG from multiple people, and decide to talk to us out of curiosity. Sometimes investors in the field are referred to TNG from agents who tell the investors, “If you can get a preapproval letter from The Norris Group, I will accept the offer.” That speaks more than any referral, because it means people know that TNG only approves of deals that are closable.  

This year, Craig was surprised by how much volume picked up on long-term financing. There is a huge demand for this. Bruce believes TNG’s long term financing will perform at a very high level, because a lot of inventory will come out. This kind of financing will not work as often with an owner occupant as it will with an investor. A lot of rehabs and lower priced properties are turning into buy and holds, rather than flips. Craig believes it is challenging for investors to flip $100,000 to $150,000 homes in this market, because there are many investors willing to buy and hold. An investor who can buy and hold can probably pay more, because they will receive a cash flowing property that will give them a profit for 10 more years.  

Bruce believes the 203K FHA loan program will probably return next summer. The problem with that program is that it probably takes 45 days to fund it. That makes the loan hard to sell, because a deal can be closed much quicker than that. In some cases, TNG will do a deal in 7 days or less. The speed of the deal makes a big difference in an investor’s willingness to buy.  

The automation of TNG’s website has helped Craig tremendously, because it allows him to handle phone calls and it has automated TNG’s loan process. TNG’s loan business has doubled over the last 12 months, and the time to fund those loans has gone down.  

Greg only gets to see the inside of his potential property purchases about 5-10% of the time. Only 10-15% of those properties are unoccupied.  

Two of Greg’s employers, Joe and Kenneth, are responsible for going to every house, evaluating repairs, and talking to the owners to determine whether or not they are difficult to deal with. When Joe and Kenneth are not viewing houses, they are doing construction contracts.  

Guessing the cost of a rehab when you cannot see inside requires a lot of experience. Greg often guesses based on the age of the home. For example, a house built in the 80s will probably require more cabinets than a house in the 1990s or the 2000s. You can learn a lot more about this if you come to a TNG bootcamp.  

Realtors are very pleased with TNG homes, because they are in great condition and they are standard sales. Realtors get tired of wasting their time with REO and short sales. Also, TNG is easy to deal with so long as they do their job. Bruce Norris once attended a Realtor group meeting in which an agent stood up and said, “We wish The Norris Group would buy every REO in town, because of how they deal with properties, and how they turn out.”  

Finding a reliable contractor can be tough. TNG has improved its business because of the relationships it has built with contractors over an extended period of time. If you keep your rehabs consistent, then your rehabs will get easier for your contractors, and they will have your same mentality. When a contractor has done enough repetitive jobs with you, they can advise you on how to best rehab your properties based on previous jobs.  

It takes a while to build a good investment team, and your team doesn’t just involve your contractor; you need to have lenders and escrow partners. All those people will help you get to the finish line faster, and if you aren’t going to get to the finish line, then you will be notified sooner, so you don’t waste time on the market. Dishonest lenders do not want their deals to fall out, and will lie with the hope that some money might show up. Greg tries to make sure that he is working with a serious buyer by making them spend money to finish the deal.  

When Greg first started doing trustee sales, a lot of people were using all cash and conventional loans. A lot of people got fooled into feeling that they had to buy because of the government incentive. If they had waited 6 months, they would have gotten more than $10,000 back, because the market adjusted down. Right now, Greg is seeing a lot of VA and FHA offers, and very few conventional offers. Only 1 out of every 10 of Greg’s deals fall out. Greg does a good job of weeding out bad buyers before escrow. Bruce feels that Greg has made a wise decision to force potential buyers to put effort into the property before it goes to escrow.  

Every year or two, trends change in the loan business. In 2009, TNG dealt almost exclusively with REO. In 2010, we got more trustee sale buyer refinances. Those were people like Greg who would attend trustee sales, and then refinance to leverage the property. In the last six months, Craig has noticed an increase in people buying short sales. The short sale process is no longer a half year long process. Some short sales can be completed in less than 60 days. The bulk of TNG’s business is still REOs. This is probably due to the fact that TNG’s clients are experienced, and they have relationships with REO agents.  

Short sale agents do repetitive business with buyers they are comfortable with, so developing a relationship with an agent can lead to repetitive purchases. The nice thing about a short sale is that you get to see the inside of the property, title insurance, and it is less likely to be in bad condition.