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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/18/10

Tuesday, May 18th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the U.S. Labor Department, construction firms added 14,000 jobs in April. MDA Dataquick reports sales of new and resale homes totaled 20,299 in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. Data from the MBA shows that in the first quarter of 2010 commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations were 12 percent higher than during the same period last year. The FHA will reduce allowable seller concessions from 6 percent to 3 percent.

In The News:

California Builder – “Overall Construction Employment Picture Brightens” (5-18-10)

“Employment numbers in the construction industry continued to show signs of improvement in April, according to figures released earlier this month by the U.S. Labor Department. Construction firms added 14,000 jobs in April, giving the industry a gain of 40,000 jobs since February. Those positive numbers ended a string of nearly three years of employment decreases, thanks in part to jobs created by stimulus-created projects.”

DQNews - “Southern California home sales dip, median price rises from ’09″ (5-18-10)

“Sales of new and resale homes totaled 20,299 in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was down 0.9 percent from 20,476 in March, and down 1.0 percent from 20,514 for April 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Study: First Quarter 2010 Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Originations Increase from Year Earlier, Though Levels Remain Low” (5-18-10)

“First quarter 2010 commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations were 12 percent higher than during the same period last year and 26 percent lower than during the fourth quarter of 2009, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Quarterly Survey of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations.”

Los Angeles Times – “Economic recovery will be rapid, San Francisco Fed researchers say” (5-18-10)

“Defying some analysts’ predictions of a slow and subpar U.S. recovery, researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco are predicting a rapid economic rebound. Citing growth in both consumer and business spending, economists Justin Weidner and John C. Williams said recovery “is likely to be faster than from the two previous recessions” in a report released Monday.”

The Press Enterprise – “Loan-modification dropouts rise” (5-18-10)

“The Treasury Department’s report Monday was the latest evidence of problems in the administration’s $75 billion program. While officials insist the program is helping the housing market turn around, critics say it is merely delaying an inevitable surge in foreclosures. More than 299,000 homeowners had received permanent loan modifications as of last month, Treasury said. That’s about 25 percent of the 1.2 million who started the program since its March 2009 launch. They are paying, on average, $516 less each month.”

Housing Wire – “FHA Set to Reduce Closing Cost Assistance This Summer” (5-18-10)

“The FHA will reduce allowable seller concessions — the percentage sellers can take from the sales price of a home to fund closing costs — from 6% to 3%. According to an announcement in January, the current level of 6% exposes the FHA to excess risk by creating incentives for appraisers to increase the value of these homes. The change will take place in ‘early summer,’ according to the FHA, but a spokesperson said no specific date has been set.”

Housing Wire – “Ocwen, HomeEq Hold Highest HAMP Conversion Percentage in April” (5-18-10)

“The Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. Through April 2010, the servicers have provided nearly 300,000 permanent modifications and started 1.2m three-month trials. Borrowers must make three monthly payments during the trial period before receiving the permanent modification. Servicers give a median price reduction of 36%, saving more than $500 a month.”

Housing Wire – “Housing Starts Up, But Permits Drop in Signal of Future Housing Decline” (5-18-10)

“According to the joint release, privately owned housing starts in April were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 672,000. That’s up from the upwardly revised March estimate of 635,000 and is 40.9% above the revised April 2009 rate of 477,000. Housing starts for the single-family sector were at a rate of 593,000 in April, up 10.2% above the upwardly revised March estimate of 538,000. The April rate for buildings with five or more units was 68,000, down 23.6% from March’s upwardly revised estimate of 89,000.”

Housing Wire – “Canceled HAMP Trials Jump 80% in April” (5-18-10)

“As of the end of April 2010, servicers participating in the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) had canceled 277,640 three-month trials since the program launched in March 2009, according to the Treasury Department. It’s an 80% increase from the 155,173 total in the previous month. Participating servicers have converted almost 300,000 trial modifications into permanent status since the Treasury launched HAMP in March 2009. Borrowers must make three monthly payments and submit all documentation during the trial period to receive a permanent modification.”

Bloomberg - “Feldstein Says Falling Permits May Signal U.S. Housing Slump” (5-18-10)

“A decline in U.S. homebuilding permits last month may indicate a renewed housing slump as demand weakens after the expiration of tax credits, Harvard University economics professor Martin Feldstein said.”

Inman - “Top 25 largest brokerages in the U.S.” (5-18-10)

“Online brokerage ZipRealty completed 34.6 percent more transaction sides in 2009 than in 2008, bumping it up to the fifth-largest brokerage ranked by real estate publishing and communications company Real Trends. ZipRealty had previously ranked ninth in transaction sides.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/30/10

Friday, April 30th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

MetLife is expecting a comeback in the commercial real estate market. According to LPS, More than 7.3m mortgages in the US are non-current or in REO status this month. Orange County apartment rent rates fell 5 percent during the first quarter of 2010. President Obama nominated Janet Yellen, Peter Diamond and Sarah Bloom Raskin for the Federal Reserve Board of Governors to the US Senate.

In The News:

Bloomberg - “D.R. Horton Gains After Quarterly Profit Tops Analyst Estimates” (4-30-10)

“D.R. Horton Inc., the second-largest U.S. homebuilder by revenue, climbed the most in three months after reporting its second straight quarterly profit on increased demand for houses. Net income was $11.4 million, or 4 cents a share, for the quarter ended March 31, compared with a loss of $108.6 million, or 34 cents, a year earlier, the Fort Worth, Texas-based company said today in a statement. The results beat the average of 11 estimates in a Bloomberg survey that showed analysts predicted the company would roughly break even.”

Bloomberg - “MetLife Expects Commercial Real Estate to Rebound” (4-30-10)

“MetLife Inc., the largest U.S. life insurer, said there are signs of a recovery in the commercial real estate market after property values dropped about 40 percent from their peak. The company gained the most in seven weeks in New York trading.”

Housing Wire – “Obama Nominates Three to Federal Reserve Board of Governors” (4-30-10)

“President Barack Obama on Thursday sent three nominations for the Federal Reserve Board of Governors to the US Senate. His nominees include Janet Yellen, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco; Peter Diamond, an institute professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT); and Sarah Bloom Raskin, commissioner of financial regulation for the State of Maryland.”

Housing Wire – “Geithner Threatens Crack-Down on HAMP Servicers” (4-30-10)

“‘I want to be clear that we do not believe servicers are doing enough to help homeowners, not doing enough to help them navigate the difficult and often frightening process of avoiding foreclosure,’ he said in prepared remarks.”

Housing Wire - “Non-Current Mortgages, REO Reach 7.3m in March: LPS” (4-30-10)

“More than 7.3m mortgages in the US are non-current or in REO status through March 2010, according to the Lender Processing Services (LPS) (LPS: 38.065 -0.41%) Mortgage Monitor report. Data and analytics firm LPS reported the modest improvements in the amount of loans becoming current has been overshadowed by this large pool of non-current assets, which represent more than 12% of all active loans in the country. The volume of distressed mortgages is up 19.3% from a year ago.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. apartment rent down 5%” (4-30-10)

“The average rent for a unit in a large Orange County apartment complex fell 4.8 percent during the first quarter of the year, down to $1,475 a month, according to RealFacts. However, the average asking rent pulled out of its nose dive, rising $2 a month from the previous quarter. Rents had fallen steadily for the previous 15 months.”

Orange County Register – “County seeks fee for property tax appeals” (4-30-10)

“An Orange County administrator wants to impose a $30 per parcel fee on property tax appeals this summer to help offset the costs of administering the hearings and to discourage fraudulent and frivolous actions. The proposal was made by Darlene Bloom, clerk of the Board of Supervisors, whose office administers appeals of property tax assessments.”

Realty Times – “Seniors Looking to Downsize, Seek Opportunities to Socialize in Urban Living Areas” (4-30-10)

“there’s a changing mindset emerging. ‘Senior citizens no longer want to be in an isolated place.’ Many are selling their homes and looking for a community connection in the location where they plan to purchase their next home. ‘Like the rest of America, there was this movement going out toward suburbia. Now, there’s a movement going back toward more urban areas and towns are starting to be challenged,’ says Matthews.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, foreclosure filings increased dramatically during March. The U.S. Senate rejected legislation letting U.S. bankruptcy judges cut mortgage terms to help borrowers avoid foreclosure. The average rate of a 30-year mortgage dropped to 4.78 percent.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/20/10

Tuesday, April 20th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to MDA DataQuick, 81,054 Notices of Default  were recorded at county recorder offices during the January-to-March period in California . Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services claims that the gap between monthly rents and mortgage payments is at its lowest level in almost 20 years, making it easier to rent. Cushman & Wakefield estimates the commercial real estate market will take the longest to recover. HAMP completed 230,000 permanent modifications over 12 months.

In The News:

DQNews - “California Foreclosure Activity Declines Again” (4-20-10)

“A total of 81,054 Notices of Default (”NODs”) were recorded at county recorder offices during the January-to-March period. That was down 4.2 percent from 84,568 for the prior quarter, and down 40.2 percent from 135,431 in first-quarter 2009, according to San Diego-based MDA DataQuick.”

Mercury News – “New Obama mortgage plan at risk from fraud, report says” (4-20-10)

“Recent changes to the Obama administration’s mortgage assistance program may make it more vulnerable to fraud, a government watchdog says. The changes, announced last month, are intended to make it easier for struggling homeowners to avoid foreclosure. But the administration hasn’t done enough to warn the public about fraud and hasn’t included sufficient safeguards to prevent abuse, said the special inspector general for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP.”

Daily News – “Should you buy or rent a home? Cost gap narrows” (4-20-10)

“Thinking of buying a home? Consider this: The gap between monthly rents and mortgage payments is at its lowest level in almost 20 years. In some markets, the difference can be less than $100, according to a national study conducted for The Associated Press by Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services.”

Housing Wire – “Regulators Say Lehman Failure Makes Case for Financial Reform” (4-20-10)

“Driven to bankruptcy by massive downgrades of its failed subprime mortgage-related assets, now-defunct Lehman Brothers presents several lessons for lawmakers writing the policy response to ongoing financial fallout, expert witnesses told the House Financial Services Committee today. Sen. Ed Perlmutter (D-Colo.) cited a recent report on the causes of the Lehman bankruptcy, which found regulators supposedly knew of accounting gimmicks that allowed the firm the liquidity freedom to take on increasingly risky investments, but did not enforce corrective action.”

Housing Wire – “C&W: Commercial Real Estate Recovery Uneven Across US” (4-20-10)

“The national real estate market is in better shape than analysts anticipated given the largest employment declines in more than 70 years, but regional markets with the highest job losses, and the related overabundance of commercial properties vacant as businesses fail, will take longer to dig out of the recession, according to a report from Cushman & Wakefield (C&W). C&W, a real estate advising firm, said in its Economic Pulse report, that the recession did not hit all real estate markets equally.”

Housing Wire – “Financial Services Authority Begins Investigation of Goldman Sachs” (4-20-10)

“The Financial Services Authority (FSA), the market watchdog in the UK, will begin a formal enforcement investigation into Goldman Sachs (GS: 159.98 -2.05%) in the wake of the recent action by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Last week, the SEC charged Goldman for allegedly defrauding investors in a financial product tied to subprime mortgages. The SEC alleges Goldman and Fabrice Tourre, a vice president in the firm, misled and even omitted key facts about a synthetic collateralized debt obligation (CDO), ABACUS 2007-AC1.”

Housing Wire – “TARP Watchdog Says HAMP Changes Could Impede Modifications” (4-20-10)

“While foreclosures and bank repossessions rose in Q110 above year-ago levels — 16% and 35%, respectively — HAMP results in ‘very little progress’ so far, SIGTARP said, with only 230,000 permanent modifications completed over 12 months of operation (illustrated below). This represents only 8.2% of the foreclosures initiated in 2009, and fewer than only the most recent quarter’s bank repossessions.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. REITs May Raise More Than $25 Billion in 2010, NAREIT Says” (4-20-10)

“Real estate investment trusts in the U.S. may exceed the $25 billion they raised last year in share sales as an economic recovery boosts investor confidence, according to the industry’s main lobbying group. The money raised in the stock market last year principally went toward improving balance sheets after companies became too highly leveraged, said Michael Grupe, executive vice president of research at the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts. REITs will seek funds to acquire properties this year, he said.”

Orange County Register – “Laguna Beach homes taking 32% less time to sell” (4-20-10)

“The community’s share of its new deals in escrow involving distressed properties — foreclosures or short sales — is 8% or -21.95 percentage points vs. countrywide share. Note that this community has 1.2% of all the deals in escrow countywide — and 1.1% of all distressed deals in the works. Meanwhile, the city of Laguna Beach has 4.0% of the entire supply of resale residences that are listed for sale in Orange County.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/14/10

Wednesday, April 14th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The U.S. Treasury reports more than 1.4 million borrowers have been offered trial modifications under HAMP. The MBA’s weekly survey shows that mortgage application volume decreased by 9.6 percent from last week. Banks required over 25 percent more time to foreclose a property in in California last month than in March 2009. According to statistics from the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, overall economic activity increased in nearly all parts of the country since March.

In The News:

MBA - “MBA’s Story Testifies on Revisions to the Home Affordable Modification Program” (4-14-10)

“According to Treasury, more than 1.4 million borrowers have been offered trial modifications under HAMP.  One million borrowers are in active modifications, of which almost 230,000 represent permanent modifications.  An additional 100,000 permanent modifications are pending borrower acceptance.  And servicers have substantially increased the pace with which permanent modifications are being done.”

MBA - “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (4-14-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 9, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 9.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 9.5 percent compared with the previous week.  This is the third lowest Market Index recorded in the survey since the end of June 2009.”

Inman - “Foreclosure process slows in California” (4-14-10)

“It took banks 27.9 percent longer, or 225 days, to foreclose on a property in California last month than it did in March 2009, and 0.45 percent longer than it did in February, according to data tracked by foreclosure data company ForeclosureRadar.com.”

CNN - “10 foreclosures for every home saved” (4-14-10)

“The Obama administration’s mortgage-modification program is not keeping pace with the deluge of foreclosures hitting the market, a government watchdog found. Only 168,708 homeowners have received long-term mortgage modifications under the president’s plan, as of February, a small fraction of the 6 million borrowers who are more than 60 days behind on their loans, according to the Congressional Oversight Panel’s latest report, released Wednesday.”

Mercury News – “Mortgage market: Government asks for advice on how to improve it” (4-14-10)

“The administration has not drafted any formal proposals to reform the housing finance system. Mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac nearly collapsed in September 2008. Propping them up has cost taxpayers about $126 billion so far. Among the questions the Treasury Department is asking are: What level should the federal government play in stabilizing the housing market? What kind of lending standards should be established? How should consumers be protected from abusive practices?”

Housing Wire – “Fed Beige Book Sees Increase in Housing Activity” (4-14-10)

“Overall economic activity increased in nearly all parts of the country, with many districts reporting increased activity in residential housing markets, according to the latest edition of the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book. The St. Louis district was the only one to not report an increase in overall economic activity, indicating a thaw may be in the works since the March edition of the Beige Book showed the toll taken by harsh winter weather.”

Housing Wire – “Donovan: Eliminating GSEs May Threaten Fragile Recovery” (4-14-10)

“Hasty action to quickly change the composition of the GSEs or to eliminate them would further drive down this housing market and cause taxpayer losses to increase”

Housing Wire – “One Year Down the Road, COP Says Success Still Escapes HAMP” (4-14-10)

“The private sector has found less success in modifying mortgages through HAMP than through other in-house strategies. According to testimony by Bank of America (BAC: 19.40 +3.91%) Home Loans president Barbara Desoer to the House Financial Services Committee this week, of BofA’s 14m mortgages, 1.4m are 60 or more days delinquent. All told, BofA completed 560,000 of its own modifications to those borrowers. Similar success escapes government-led initiatives as even though 391,000 borrowers at BofA were offered a HAMP mod, only 33,000 are now permanent through HAMP.”

Bloomberg - “FDIC Plans $1.97 Billion Sale of Loans From 22 Seized Banks” (4-14-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. is seeking bids on a $1.97 billion portfolio of loans from 22 seized banks, pushing the agency’s structured asset sales this year beyond the 2009 total. The sale consists of 1,739 loans mostly tied to commercial real estate, with borrowers late on payments for almost half the portfolio, according to a preliminary announcement obtained by Bloomberg News.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/12/10

Monday, April 12th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to First American CoreLogic, distressed home sales in Orange County are selling 34 percent under the typical market place. Altos Research reports a 0.5 percent in the national median home price. A modification becomes permanent through HAMP after the borrower makes all three monthly payments during the trial period. Fiserv estimates that home prices will not return to the past peak levels until 2025.

In The News:

My Desert – “Valley’s Housing Market Warming” (4-12-10)

“The median sales price of new and single-family homes rose 11 percent to about $200,000, about $20,000 higher than in February 2009. Home sales also rose 9.4 percent compared to the same period last year. Real estate sales have been outpacing sales from the previous year every month since October. Sales volume rose 31 percent in November, 29 percent in December, and 22.2 percent in January.”

Orange County Register – “Distressed home discounts at 6-month high” (4-12-10)

“Orange County homebuyers got a 34% price discount when they chose a distressed property vs. overall market prices in January, according to First American CoreLogic. That’s the biggest discount in six months.”

Wall Street Journal – “Second Mortgages Vex Borrowers” (4-12-10)

“Banks are coming under increasing political pressure to write off or at least write down second-lien and other junior mortgages as a way to help borrowers keep their homes or extract themselves from heavy debt. As the Wells Fargo suit shows, however, banks often are reluctant to give up on loans when they see a chance of recovering all or part of their money. This issue will be the focus of a hearing Tuesday by the House Financial Services Committee in Washington. Panel members are due to quiz executives from Wells Fargo, Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc. and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. about their junior-lien mortgage policies.”

Bloomberg - “Bank Profits Dimmed by Prospect of Home-Equity Losses” (4-12-10)

“Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. may have to set aside an additional $30 billion to cover possible losses on home-equity loans, an amount almost equal to analysts’ estimates of profit at the three banks this year. The cost of these reserves was calculated by CreditSights Inc., a New York-based research firm whose prediction almost four years ago proved prescient after banks reported unprecedented mortgage-related writedowns. Recognizing the home- equity loan losses is unfinished business from the housing bubble, CreditSights said in a March 29 report.”

Housing Wire – “So, Where Will Housing Double Dip?” (4-12-10)

“Put in more plain terms, a state with a 1% foreclosure rate and an 11% delinquency rate should be expected to feel the impact of distressed properties moving through the pipeline far more than a state with a 5% foreclosure rate and a 5% delinquency rate, for example. The reasoning is simple: distressed property sales (short sales or REOs) are a drag on retail home prices. In markets that have seen comparatively less foreclosures relative to the volume of delinquencies stuck in the pipeline, the impact of those delinquencies will be felt proportionately more strongly as they are finally dealt with.”

Housing Wire – “Altos Sees House Price Decline Decelerate in March” (4-12-10)

“The median house listing price declined 0.5% in the Altos Research 10-city composite in March, improved from February’s 1.3% decline in an indication the pace of decline may be decelerating. March, the eighth consecutive month of decline, brings the Q110 price decline to 1.8%. But weekly price changes have shown a modest upward trend in the past seven weeks, which means a uptick in house prices could arrive in the coming months, Altos said.”

Housing Wire – “BofA Completes 33,000 Permanent HAMP Mods” (4-12-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 18.66 +0.38%) completed almost 32,900 permanent mortgage modifications through the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) through March, up from 20,666 in February. The Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. When Treasury first reported permanent modifications in November 2009, BofA reported 98 permanent modifications. A modification becomes permanent through HAMP after the borrower makes all three monthly payments during the trial period.”

Housing Wire – “Despite HAMP, Mortgage Delinquency Grows 21% over 2009: LPS” (4-12-10)

“The number of mortgages delinquent at the end of February 2010 is 21.3% higher than the same time last year despite government-led modification efforts, according to the latest monthly report from Lender Processing Services (LPS: 37.61 +0.94%).”

Housing Wire – “Peak House Prices Will Return to Sand States after 2025: Fiserv” (4-12-10)

“Housing markets that experienced the greatest inflation in house prices — including certain metro areas in sand states California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada — will not see a return of peak-level home prices before 2025, according to financial services technology provider Fiserv.”

Wall Street Journal – “AIG, Goldman Unwind Soured Trades” (4-12-10)

” The derivatives unit of American International Group Inc. has unwound most of its soured mortgage trades with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. still left after the insurer was bailed out by the U.S. government in 2008, according to people familiar with the matter. The move by AIG Financial Products to terminate credit-default swaps insuring about $3 billion of mortgage-asset pools arranged by Goldman caused AIG to realize a $1.5 billion to $2 billion loss last year, the people said.”

Bloomberg - “Pimco Says Investors to Hold Down U.S. Mortgage Rates” (4-12-10)

“Investor demand for mortgage-backed securities will keep U.S. home-loan rates down after the Federal Reserve ended its purchases of the debt, said Pacific Investment Management Co., manager of the world’s biggest bond fund. The Fed’s unprecedented program to buy $1.25 trillion of the securities that guide home-loan costs stopped U.S. housing prices from falling, Scott Simon, who is in charge of investing in the notes at Pimco, wrote on the company’s Web site.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/29/10

Monday, March 29th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

A study from USC shows that immigrants are more attracted to mid-size cities. Goodman claims HAMP is bound to fail because of its failure to address negative equity. According to Realpoint, the delinquency rate among commercial mortgage-backed securities reached 6 percent last month. First American CoreLogic estimates the average home experiencing negative equity will not obtain positive equity until late 2015.

In The News:

NAHB - “New CRE Limits Could Jeopardize Housing and Economic Recovery” (3-29-10)

“Proposals by federal banking regulators to tighten restrictions on commercial real estate (CRE) lending could further exacerbate a severe acquisition, development and construction (AD&C) credit crisis that is choking off new home building activity and threatening the fragile housing recovery now under way, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).”

Orange County Register – “317,000 properties to get tax-cut review” (3-29-10)

“The Orange County Assessor’s office has announced plans to review the taxable value of 317,000 parcels this year to determine if their owners are eligible for further property tax cuts. That’s 35% of the nearly 900,000 real estate parcels in the county.”

Los Angeles Times – “Consumer spending up, sign of decent recovery” (3-29-10)

“The Commerce Department reported Monday that consumers boosted their spending by 0.3 percent in February. That was a tad slower than the 0.4 percent increase registered in January and marked the smallest increase since September. Still, the increase in spending was considered a respectable showing, especially given the snowstorms that slammed the East Coast and kept some people away from the malls. It marked the fifth straight month that consumer spending rose.”

Inman - “Study: Mid-size cities attract immigrants” (3-29-10)

“A growing number of immigrants are attracted to mid-size cities with lower housing costs, less competition for jobs, and increasing numbers of other immigrants, according to a recent study by the University of Southern California Lusk Center for Real Estate.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (3-29-10)

“Goodman criticized the first incarnation of the Making Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) because it did not address negative equity. According to her analysis, as long as borrowers are deeply underwater, they are unlikely to pay in the long term. Thus, the re-default rate will be very high, and the dead weight costs of foreclosure have not been avoided.”

Housing Wire – “New CMBS Projections Push 2010 Delinquencies into Double Digits” (3-29-10)

“In February 2010, the delinquency rate among commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) pools reached 6%, up from 5.7% in January and, according to the analytics firm Realpoint, could be possibly heading toward 11-to-12% by the end of the year. Realpoint tracked delinquency data on $797bn of CMBS pools for the report. The total delinquent unpaid balance for CMBS increased $1.8bn in February, up to $47.8bn. It’s an almost 300% increase from one-year ago when $11.9bn was reported for February 2009 and is now 21 times more than the trough of $2.2bn in March 2007.”

Housing Wire – “Positive Equity Won’t Return For Most Underwater Borrowers Until 2015″ (3-29-10)

“First American CoreLogic estimates that the typical US homeowner who is in negative equity will not experience positive equity until late 2015 to early 2016. In severely depressed markets, the typical borrower in negative equity may not experience positive equity until 2020 or later. CoreLogic projects more than 11.3m — or 24% — of all residential properties with mortgages had negative equity at the end of the Q409. While the largest decreases in home prices appear to have already happened, it remains to be seen when borrowers will return to positive equity.”

Bloomberg - “Goldman Capitulation on Dollar Shows Reversal on U.S.” (3-29-10)

“The strengthening U.S. economy, subdued inflation and rising stock prices are propelling the dollar rally into its fifth month as traders seek refuge from Europe’s fiscal crisis and Japanese deflation. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Citigroup Inc. ended bets on a falling dollar last week after the trades lost 2.8 percent. Strategists are raising greenback forecasts at the fastest pace since last March, just before U.S. stimulus efforts that poured as much as $12.8 trillion into the economy ended the currency’s strongest rally in 28 years. Median predictions for the dollar against 47 currencies tracked in Bloomberg surveys rose an average of 1.4 percentage points in the month to March 24.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/25/10

Thursday, March 25th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

New rules for the HAMP program may require servicers to screen borrowers for modification after only 31 days of delinquency. ForeclosureListings.com shows that California experienced an 11.9% increase in foreclosures. Freddie Mac reports the 30-year FRM rate is currently at 4.99 percent. According to the Comptroller of the Currency,  the re-default rate for modified loans is over 50 percent.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “Bank of America to reduce mortgage principal for some borrowers” (3-25-10)

“Amid increasing government pressure to stem foreclosures, Bank of America Corp. said Wednesday that it would offer to erase as much as $3 billion in principal owed by thousands of severely delinquent borrowers who owe more than their homes are worth.”

Mercury News – “Citigroup agrees to modify some second mortgages” (3-25-10)

“Citigroup on Thursday became the latest lender to commit to the government’s program to modify second mortgages as a recovery in the housing market appears to be in jeopardy. With Citi on board, now four big owners of home mortgages in the U.S. have joined the program — part of the Obama administration’s $75 billion loan modification plan aimed at reducing monthly payments to help customers stay in their homes. Bank of America, Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase already participate.”

Inman - “Home values rise in Boston, San Diego” (3-25-10)

“Radar Logic’s monthly RPX report, based on 28 days of price-per-square-foot data, found that the price per square foot rose most in Boston (up 15.5 percent, to $187.84 per square foot) year-over-year in January, and dropped most in Las Vegas (down 21.4 percent, to $76.18 per square foot) during that period.”

Housing Wire - “Treasury to Require HAMP Servicers to Step Up Outreach Efforts” (3-25-10)

“Allison announced that servicers must pursue early intervention, pre-screening every borrower that misses two or more payments to determine eligibility for HAMP and soliciting those qualifying borrowers for HAMP participation. This change encourages servicers to reach out to the borrower as early as 31 days of delinquency when the chance for homeownership retention is best, according to a supplemental directive on the changes provided to HousingWire.”

Housing Wire – “ForeclosureListings: Texas Leads Nation in Foreclosure Gains” (3-25-10)

“The 35% increase of Texas foreclosures in February was the highest monthly gain of any state in the country, according to data from ForeclosureListings.com, an online foreclosure marketplace. Michigan had the second highest increase at 17.5%, followed by California at 11.9% and Florida at 4.7%.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Rates Increase as Fed MBS Purchase Program Nears End” (3-25-10)

“Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.29 +0.78%) said the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) was 4.99% with an average 0.6 origination point for the week ending March 25, up from last week’s average of 4.96%. A year ago, the rate average was 4.85%. The Bankrate.com survey of large banks and thrifts put the average rate for a 30-year FRM at 5.11% with an average 0.41 origination point, up from last week’s average of 5.07%, but down from last year’s average of 5.19%.”

Bloomberg - “Half of U.S. Home Loan Modifications Default Again” (3-25-10)

“More than half of U.S. borrowers who received loan modifications on delinquent mortgages defaulted again after nine months, according to a federal report. The re-default rate of loans modified in the first quarter of 2009 was 51.5 percent by the end of the year, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision said in a joint report today. The figure, which measures payments at least 30 days late, climbed to 57.9 percent for changes made in the prior 12 months.”

Bloomberg - “Prepare to Pay 15% Less for New U.S. Homes: Chart of the Day” (3-25-10)

“New-home prices may have to tumble 15 percent in the U.S. before sales start to rebound, according to Michael Panzner, an author and financial blogger. ”

Looking Back:

One year ago, The MBA reported a 32 percent increase in mortgage applications from the previous season. One in five homeowners owed more on their mortgage than their house was worth. The Federal Reserve began purchasing long-term treasuries. New home sales in the U.S. increased by 4.7 percent within a month.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/22/10

Monday, March 22nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The total number of failed banks so far in 2010 has now reached 37. Geithner suggests that government officials listen more to harmed families and businesses than to large financial institutions while considering a financial overhaul bill. Lennar is investing over $3 billion into distressed real estate assets. California will offer about $3.1 billion in taxable debt sales this week.

In The News:

Washinton Post – “Geithner says bank overhaul must protect consumers” (3-22-10)

“Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner says the administration will not accept a financial overhaul bill that does not provide strong consumer protection and restraints on risk taking by large banks. Geithner urged lawmakers to listen to the families and businesses that were harmed by the financial crisis and not the financial institutions that brought on the crisis, the most severe to hit the country since the 1930s.”

Housing Wire - “In Housing, a Supply Problem of Epic Proportion” (3-22-10)

“Consider that 2.5 million loans, current at the start of 2009, had become 60+ days delinquent or in foreclosure by the end of January 2010, according to LPS. Compare that to the roughly 2 million loan modifications in process or processed in generally the same time frame—116,000 permanent HAMP mods + 830,000 trial HAMP mods + 1.0 million completed non-HAMP mods. It’s simple math: 2.5 million is greater than 2.0 million.”

Housing Wire – “TAVMA Questions Accuracy of Appraisal Fee Report” (3-22-10)

“Title/Appraisal Vendor Management Association (TAVMA) called the dataset misleading because it doesn’t include the fees AMCs pay to appraisers, excluding two-thirds of all the appraisals conducted in the United States.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (3-22-10)

“Regulators closed seven banks Friday, bringing the total number of failed banks to 37 so far in 2010. The weekly round of bank failures is estimated to cost the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.’s (FDIC) Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) $1.28bn.”

Bloomberg – “Lennar Looks to Distressed Debt as Slump Persists” (3-22-10)

“Lennar Corp., the third-largest U.S. homebuilder, is investing in failed bank loans and distressed real estate assets to boost revenue as demand for new houses shows few signs of revival. The Miami-based company’s purchase last month of a share of $3.05 billion of delinquent loans seized by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.”

Bloomberg – “U.S. Property Index Rises for Third Straight Month” (3-22-10)

“U.S. commercial property values rose for a third month in January as the economy grew, according to Moody’s Investors Service. The Moody’s/REAL Commercial Property Price Index climbed 1 percent from December, Moody’s said today in a report. Values are 40 percent lower than the peak in October 2007. The index fell 24 percent from a year earlier.”

Bloomberg – “California to Lead Year’s Biggest Week in Taxable Bond Sales” (3-22-10)

“California, the lowest-rated state, will lead about $3.1 billion in taxable debt sales in potentially the biggest week for such issues since December as investors gain confidence in Build America Bonds. The most-populous U.S. state will offer about $2 billion in taxable notes this week, including $1.3 billion in federally subsidized Build America securities, said Tom Dresslar, spokesman for California Treasurer Bill Lockyer. Oregon’s Transportation Department will sell $556.4 million of the debt and the Arizona Board of Regents will market $164.9 million on behalf of Arizona State University.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/19/10

Friday, March 19th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the Labor Department, 19 cities in California have unemployment rates above 15 percent. CBIA reports the construction employment rate reached 27.1 percent in February. 113 servicers provided 170,000 permanent modifications in February. Statistics from 10 populated U.S. cities show that listing prices decreased by 1.3 percent last month.

In The News:

CNN - “35 cities suffer unemployment above 15%” (3-19-10)

“In fact, there were 35 metropolitan areas with unemployment rates at or above 15% in January. California and Michigan remain the hardest hit, with 19 cities in California showing rates above 15%, according to the Labor Department. Michigan logged the next highest number, with 6.”

CBIA - “Job Losses Continue to Mount in Construction Industry” (3-19-10)

“The construction unemployment rate reached 27.1 percent in February, a 14-year high as another 64,000 workers lost jobs during the month, according to federal employment figures. The large job losses in construction kept the nation as a whole from gaining jobs during the month. Most of the losses came in the nonresidential sector, with 53,500 losses during the month compared to 10,600 residential construction job losses.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Credit scores can drop after getting loan help” (3-19-10)

“For borrowers who are making their payments on time but are on the verge of default, the Obama administration’s loan modification program can reduce their credit score as much as 100 points. That makes it harder to get a loan and can present a problem when applying for a new job. Housing counselors say it’s unfair, especially because the news often comes as a surprise to homeowners.”

Housing Wire – “FDIC Prepares $653m in RMBS Notes from Failed Bank” (3-19-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) is preparing a $653m structured financing offering, its third such platform, from assets seized from the failed Delaware-based Franklin Bank. The notes, which will carry an FDIC guaranty, are backed by prime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), DebtWire reports. The deal is part of the Structured Sale Guaranteed Notes 2010 platform. It follows the pricing of $1.81bn of notes backed by 103 non-agency RMBS. The RMBS are collateralized by 5,101 mortgages (primarily performing) and some REOs with a total unpaid balance of $1.2trn, according to the pre-sale report.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Requires Servicers to Offer Alternative for Failed HAMP Modifications” (3-19-10)

“The US Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. Through February, the 113 servicers provided 170,000 permanent modifications and placed more than 1m borrowers into the three-month trial modification. Though, Treasury officials admit the program is not for everyone.”

Housing Wire – “Moody’s Hikes Expected Losses for Second Lien, Subprime and HELOC RMBS” (3-19-10)

“Moody’s Investors Service revised its loss projections for 2005-2007 second lien, subprime and HELOC-based US residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS). Moody’s now expects cumulative losses to average approximately 25-55% of outstanding balance for non-subprime closed-end second (CES) pools, 70-85% for subprime CES pools and 40-50% for home equity line of credit (HELOC) pools. The revisions represent more than a 50% increase for expected cumulative losses on non-subprime CES, and nearly a 20% relative increase for subprime CES and HELOC pools.”

Housing Wire – “Home Prices Still Falling as Houses Continue to Sit on the Market: Altos” (3-19-10)

“The median home listing price declined 1.3% in the Altos Research 10-city composite, continuing a seven-month-long run of declining list prices in February. And even though the listing time is generally decreasing, for-sale houses still tend to go unsold for the first 100 days. The 10-city home price composite index was $479,781 in February 2010, up from the January 2009 bottom of $470,017, but down 5.75% from last year’s peak of $509,030 in July. All of the 26 markets Altos Research studies experienced a month-over-month listing price decrease, ranging from a the smallest, a 0.2% decline in Miami, to a 4.4% decrease in San Francisco.”

Housing Wire – “Congress Told HAMP Will Cost $53bn Less than Expected” (3-19-10)

“The US Treasury Department initially planned to spend $75bn on the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), but in a recent report to Congress, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projected the Treasury will spend a total $22bn on the program. This figure represents total expenditures from day one of HAMP until the program expires in 2012.”

Bloomberg - “Yale Cuts Hedge Funds to Hold More Private Equity, Real Assets” (3-19-10)

“Yale University, whose endowment is the top performer in the U.S., is cutting its target allocations in hedge funds to allow for bigger stakes in private equity and real estate, the asset classes that hurt the fund last year. Yale boosted the fund’s private equity target to 26 percent from 21 percent and its real assets allocation, which includes real estate and commodities, to 37 percent from 29 percent, at its June 2009 investment committee meeting, according to a report released yesterday. The report said Yale, in New Haven, Connecticut, anticipated capital gains in those asset classes.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, 5,032 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in the Bay Area within a month. The interest rate for 30-year FRMs dropped to 4.98 percent. The FHA reported an increase in loan defaults.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/17/10

Wednesday, March 17th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The CBIA reports that new home sales decreased by 12 percent from January of 2009. Mortgage loan application decreased by 1.9 percent from last week. HOPE NOW made over 99,000 modifications in January, and HAMP made over 50,000.

In The News:

CBIA - “California New-Home Market Begins 2010 Still in the Red, CBIA Announces” (3-17-10)

“The monthly CBIA/Hanley Wood Market Intelligence (HWMI) New-Home Sales and Pricing Report showed that sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 12 percent below January 2009. This was a slight improvement from the 15 percent year-over-year decline in December, but was still a lackluster pace. During January, 1,886 new homes and condominiums were sold in the subdivisions tracked by Costa Mesa-based HWMI, compared to 2,137 in January 2009. Sales of single-family homes were down by 17 percent, while sales of townhomes and “plexes” – duplexes, triplexes, etc. – rose by 8 percent and sales of condominiums were 4 percent lower than a year ago.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (3-17-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 12, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 1.7 percent compared with the previous week.”

Housing Wire – “Citi Mortgage Workouts Outnumber Foreclosures 15 to 1 in Q409″ (3-17-10)

“CitiMortgage, the mortgage servicing branch of Citigroup (C: 4.09 +0.99%), worked with nearly 128,000 borrowers in Q409 to avoid foreclosure on almost $19bn in mortgage loans, according to the company. Loan modifications in the distressed asset portfolios outpaced both foreclosures and delinquencies. Modifications increased 17% in Q409 from the previous quarter. For the entire year of 2009, Citi loan modifications increased 47% from 2008.”

Housing Wire – “HOPE NOW Modifies Mortgages Twice as Fast as HAMP” (3-17-10)

“HOPE NOW, an alliance between mortgage service professionals and non-profit counselors, reported 99,499 modifications in January, compared to 50,364 new permanent modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). January HOPE NOW modification numbers dropped only slightly from 104,423 non-HAMP modifications in December, compared to roughly 35,000 permanent modifications under HAMP in that same month.”

Housing Wire – “Industry Wants Risk Retention Exemption in Dodd Bill” (3-17-10)

“Senator Christopher Dodd (D-CT), chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, unveiled details of a new bill to Congress yesterday that aims to overhaul the financial regulatory system and establish the Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA). Under the Restoring American Financial Stability Act of 2010, financial firms would be required to hold a portion of the credit risk inherent in certain loan products on their books. This ‘risk retention’ is designed to make banks hold an interest in the financial products they create.”

Inman - “Fed to end MBS purchases” (3-17-10)

“Mortgage rates are expected to rise gradually as the Federal Reserve left a key short-term interest rate untouched Tuesday, but said it would wrap up $1.25 trillion in purchases of mortgage-backed securities this month. In a statement, the Federal Open Market Committee said its target for the federal funds overnight rate will remain in the range of zero to 0.25 percent, as inflation is likely to remain ’subdued for some time.’”

Looking Back:

One year ago, over 15,000 homes and apartments were sold in Southern California within a month. The NAHB reported that housing starts increased by 22 percent in February of 2009. Builder confidence was at a record low for over two months.

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