According to Freddie Mac, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate dropped to 4.57 percent. International Monetary Fund warns a double dip recession is still possible, despite its prediction that GDP will increase over the next year. Fitch Ratings predicts home improvement spending will increase 3.5% this year. Clear Capital reports national housing prices rose 5.2% during the last quarter.

In The News:

Associated Press - “Mortgage rates drop to new low of 4.57 pct.” (7-8-10)

“The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage dropped to 4.57 percent this week, mortgage company Freddie Mac reported Thursday. That’s down from the previous record low of 4.58 percent set last week.”

Housing Wire – “International Monetary Fund Warns of Housing Double-Dip Risk” (7-8-10)

“Signs of recovery in the US economy and housing market are stronger than expected, due to policy response from the federal government, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). While IMF expects US gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 3.25% in 2010 and 3% in 2011, unemployment is projected to remain above 9%.”

Housing Wire – “Fitch: Homebuyer Tax Credit Will Boost Home Improvement Spending” (7-8-10)

“Fitch Ratings expects home improvement spending to increase 3.5% in 2010 over 2009 levels, partly due to an influx of home sales incentivized by the first-time homebuyer tax credit”

Housing Wire – “Wells Fargo to Lay Off 3,800 Employees, Leave Non-Prime Space” (7-8-10)

“In a restructuring of its financial division, Wells Fargo (WFC: 26.64 -0.08%) said it will eliminate 2,800 positions in the next two months and another 1,000 people by the end of the year. The bank will close 638 financial stores in the US as it will stop originating non-prime portfolio mortgage loans.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie, Freddie Dropped from New York Stock Exchange” (7-8-10)

“The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) directed the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) in June to de-list from the NYSE and any other national securities exchange. The direction came after the price of their common stock hovered near the minimum average closing price of $1 for more than 30 days for most months since the conservatorship took effect in September 2008.”

Housing Wire – “House Prices Soar 8.8% from 2009: Clear Capital” (7-8-10)

“House prices rose in June across the US in both the rolling quarter and the previous-year data, according to real estate asset valuation data provider Clear Capital. National prices rose 5.2% over the previous three-month period and 8.8% since June 2009. The quarterly and yearly growth seen in June builds on already positive data, after prices climbed 6.8% in May from the year before.”

Housing Wire – “John Burns Sees Housing Market Hit Bottom with Little Downside to Investing” (7-8-10)

“The housing market has improved in the last two years to the extent that John Burns Real Estate Consulting sees the market as possibly approaching the beginning of its next up cycle.”

Bloomberg – “Apartment Vacancies in U.S. Drop From 30-Year High, Reis Says” (7-8-10)

“The vacancy rate for apartment properties was 7.8 percent, down from a 30-year high of 8 percent in the first quarter and up from 7.7 percent a year earlier, according to a report today by the real estate research firm. First-quarter vacancies were the highest since 1980, when Reis began tracking the data.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. builders rank among U.S. top 40″ (7-8-10)

“Seven homebuilding companies based in Orange County or having a strong presence here ranked in Builder Magazine’s newest list of the nation’s Top 100 Builders. Five of them were among the nation’s top 40 builders.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, 68 percent of recent home buyers said price decreases encouraged them to buy a house. PMI forecasted that home prices would decrease through 2011. Default rates doubled for commercial properties valued at more than $108 billion.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Freddie Mac announced the average rate for 30-year fixed loans sank to 4.58 percent this week. According to the NAR, pending home sales decreased 30 percent from April. President Obama is expected to sign the extension to the home buyer tax credit. RealtyTrac reports that foreclosure sales took up 31% of all home sales in the US through Q110.

In The News:

Associated Press – “Mortgage rates drop to another low, 4.58 pct.” (7-1-10)

“Mortgage company Freddie Mac said Thursday the average rate for 30-year fixed loans sank to 4.58 percent this week. That’s down from the previous record of 4.69 percent set last week and the lowest since the mortgage company began keeping records in 1971. The last time they were cheaper was the 1950s, when most long-term home loans lasted just 20 or 25 years.”

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Drop as Expected” (7-1-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, dropped 30.0 percent to 77.6 based on contracts signed in May from a reading of 110.9 in April, and is 15.9 percent below May 2009 when it was 92.3. The falloff comes on the heels of three strong monthly gains as home buyers rushed to take advantage of the tax credit.”

CNN - “Homebuyer credit extension heads to Obama” (7-1-10)

“First-time homebuyers will have until Sept. 30 to close on their purchases and land an $8,000 tax credit under a bill passed by the Senate late Wednesday. President Obama is expected to sign the bill, which was overwhelmingly approved by the House on Tuesday. The deadline had been June 30.”

Housing Wire – “Short Sale Discounts Vary Widely from State to State” (7-1-10)

“This week, RealtyTrac released a report that foreclosure sales took up 31% of all home sales in the US through Q110. According to the report, there were 88,000 pre-foreclosure sales, often short sales, in Q110, for an average discount from retail home prices of 14.7%. By comparison, REO discounts in the US averaged 34%.”

Housing Wire – “CoreLogic’s Mark Fleming: The Recovery Looks Like a ‘U’, Not a ‘W’” (7-1-10)

“Our economists have been more concerned about a U-shaped recovery, rather than a double dip. What they see as more likely is a long bottom drifting up slowly, following the same ‘U’ shape as the 2000 recession, only with a longer, more pronounced bottom.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Updates Appraisal Policies” (7-1-10)

“Fannie will now require interior photographs of specific rooms and areas of the house in the appraisal report. The GSE provided guidance on when an appraisal is considered deficient and when a lender can make changes to the opinion of market value based on underwriter judgment, automated valuation models or other methodology. The policy changes take effect for all mortgage loan applications dated on or after Sept. 1, 2010.”

Orange County Register - “12,300 O.C. building jobs lost in year” (7-1-10)

“O.C. building trades shed 12,300 jobs in the past year, according to a recent analysis of federal employment data by the Associated General Contractors of America. In all, Orange County construction employment fell by 16% from May 2009 to May 2010.”

Realty Times – “Should You Buy A Condo?” (7-1-10)

“Maintenance. Most condominiums require very little maintenance from their tenants. Yard work and the like are done and paid for through your monthly dues. Reserve funds are saved up by the condo association for larger periodic repairs, such as roof replacement and painting. Amenities. In many condominium communities you’ll find you have access to a clubhouse, pool, exercise facilities, concierge, or even door security. These great perks cost you nothing extra and are quite the draw for many buyers.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR reported that pending home sales remained relatively flat from April to May. Mortgage application volume decreased 18.9 percent within one week. Kenneth Rosen, an economist from the University of California, predicted that as many as one in five U.S. hotel might default by the end of 2010.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Sources:
http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/06/may_strong_pace
http://www.nahb.org/news_details.aspx?newsID=10966
http://www.car.org/newsstand/newsreleases/maysalesprice/
http://lansner.ocregister.com/2010/06/23/calif-s-first-time-buyer-tax-credit-almost-gone/69971/
http://www.ftb.ca.gov/aboutFTB/press/2010/Release_29.shtml
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-06-23/bank-of-america-hires-2-000-staff-to-handling-troubled-real-estate-loans.html?source=patrick.net
http://oversight.house.gov/images/stories/Hearings/Committee_on_Oversight/2010/062410_HAMP_II/TESTIMONY-Desoer.pdf
http://gov.ca.gov/index.php?/print-version/press-release/15395/
http://www.calhfa.ca.gov/about/publications/press-releases/2010/pr2010-05.pdf
http://gov.ca.gov/index.php?/print-version/press-release/15395/
http://www.calhfa.ca.gov/about/publications/press-releases/2010/pr2010-05.pdf
http://www.keepyourhomecalifornia.com/
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/audit-shows-prison-inmates-received-9m-in-homebuyer-tax-credits-2010-06-24
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703615104575328020013164184.html?mod=djemalertNEWS

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Commerce Department reports the economy increased by 2.7 percent in the first quarter. Fannie Mae is implementing new rules requiring servicers to verify income, liabilities, and monthly expenses for all borrowers prior to granting a permanent standard Fannie Mae mortgage modification. Also, Fannie Mae will hold strategic defaulters accountable for all associated costs of getting the house back on the market. California unemployment was 12.4 percent in May.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “House, Senate lawmakers reach a deal on financial reform” (6-25-10)

“Ending more than two weeks of often-contentious negotiations, House and Senate lawmakers reached agreement early Friday on the most far-reaching rewrite of financial rules since the Great Depression. The final details, including creation of an agency to protect consumers in the financial marketplace and new regulations to reduce risk-taking by large banks and limit their trading of complex derivatives, were hashed out in a marathon 20-hour session that began Thursday morning.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Economy faces tough road ahead with slower growth” (6-25-10)

“The Commerce Department said Friday that the economy grew at an annual rate of 2.7 percent in the first quarter, offering its third and final estimate for the period. It was slower than initially thought because consumers spent less and imports rose faster that previously calculated.”

Housing Wire – “Unemployed Homeowner Provision Survives Reform Bill Compromise” (6-25-10)

“The provision provides $1bn to unemployed homeowners and is patterned after a program introduced by Fattah when he was a Pennsylvania state legislator. Pennsylvania’s Homeowner’s Emergency Mortgage Assistance Program (HEMAP) has provided $236m to tens of thousands of unemployed workers to stave off the foreclosure, according to Fattah’s office. Fattah had originally sought $3bn for the federal reform bill provision.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Mae Mortgage Modifications Now Require Proof of Financial Hardship” (6-25-10)

“After announcing this week that it intends to crack down on strategic defaulters, Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.3886 +2.26%) issued a servicing guide (download here) Friday implementing another new policy — requiring servicers to verify income, liabilities, and monthly expenses for all borrowers prior to granting a permanent standard Fannie Mae mortgage modification.”

Housing Wire – “Most Borrowers Would Benefit from Mortgage Refinance, But Can’t Qualify: Credit Suisse” (6-25-10)

“But even so, according to fixed income researchers at Credit Suisse (CS: 38.90 +1.33%), the majority of borrowers remain unable to take advantage of the exceptionally low rates that would reduce monthly payments. They find that only 38% of borrowers that could benefit from a refinance can actually do so due to a variety of barriers.”

Housing Wire – “KB Home Posts Q210 Loss, But Sees Deliveries Up” (6-25-10)

“KB Home (KBH: 11.195 -8.39%) reported a net loss of $30.7m, or $0.40 per share, for its fiscal year Q210 ending May 31, narrowed losses for the Los Angeles-based builder, which said it saw home deliveries increase for the first time in more than three years. The Q210 loss is 61% less than its Q110 loss of $78.4m, or $1.03 per share. At the end of its 2009 fiscal year, KB Home posted a $100m quarterly profit, the result of a nearly $192m tax return made possible by a temporary change to tax law.”

Bloomberg - “States of Crisis for 46 Governments Facing Greek-Style Deficits” (6-25-10)

“Californians don’t see much evidence that the worst economic contraction since the Great Depression is coming to an end. Unemployment was 12.4 percent in May, 2.7 percentage points higher than the national rate. Lawmakers gridlocked over how to close a $19 billion budget gap are weighing the termination of the main welfare program for 1.3 million poor families or borrowing more than $9 billion in the bond market. California, tied with Illinois for the lowest credit rating of any state, is diverting a rising portion of tax revenue to service debt, Bloomberg Markets magazine reports in its August issue.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Mae to Charge Strategic Defaulters, for Everything” (6-25-10)

“Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.3871 +1.87%) is sifting through borrower data to determine who is strategically defaulting and who is not after announcing more efforts this week to crack down on those who walk away from their homes. And if the GSE determines someone strategically defaulted, then they say they will hold the borrower accountable for all associated costs of getting the house back on the market, in areas that lawfully allow deficiency judgments.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

According to the MBA, the level of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding decreased to $3.31 trillion in the first quarter. The NAR reports existing home sales decreased by 2.2 percent last month. California home sales increased 1.2 percent last month. An amendment to the Wall Street Reform Bill being debated today in Congress would eliminate the hotly contested Home Valuation Code of Conduct.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Analysis: Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding Declined 0.9 Percent in First Quarter 2010″ (6-22-10)

“The level of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding decreased in the first quarter, to $3.31 trillion, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) analysis of the Federal Reserve Board Flow of Funds data. Declines were driven by drops in commercial and multifamily mortgages held in CMBS and construction loans held by banks and thrifts. The $3.31 trillion in commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding recorded by the Federal Reserve was a decrease of $31 billion or 0.9 percent from the fourth quarter of 2009. Multifamily mortgage debt outstanding rose to $852 billion, an increase of $3 billion or 0.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2009.”

NAR - “May Shows a Continued Strong Pace for Existing-Home Sales” (6-22-10)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.66 million units in May, down 2.2 percent from an upwardly revised surge of 5.79 million units in April. May closings are 19.2 percent above the 4.75 million-unit level in May 2009; April sales were revised to show an 8.0 percent monthly gain.”

California Builder – “Market Your Way Out of Tough Times” (6-22-10)

“Many businesses think ‘keeping your name in front of the public’ is a valid advertising strategy. It’s questionable at best, but it’s way too risky and low-yield in tough times. Instead, make sure your advertising is only in publications that reach your best prospects, and – this is the most important part – make a specific offer and call to action to get readers of the ad to call you.”

CAR - “May sales and price report” (6-22-10)

“Home sales increased 1.2 percent in May in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 23.2 percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.”

Sacramento Bee – “California personal income grows in quarter” (6-22-10)

“Personal income in California grew $14 billion to $1.57 trillion in the first quarter compared with the last quarter of 2009, according to statistics released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The 0.9 percent gain matched personal income growth for the United States, but California ranked 27th among all states.”

Inman - “Social networking sites gobble more traffic” (6-22-10)

“Social networking sites and websites hosting forums grew their market share by nearly 62 percent during the year ending in May — the largest gain among any real estate-related category, according to a new quarterly report from online metrics firm Hitwise. Visits to websites in the real estate category during May were down 24.3 percent from a year ago — the 12th consecutive month of year-over-year traffic declines dating to June 2009, the report said.”

Inman - “California may restrict lender claims over refis” (6-22-10)

“SB 1178, which passed the state Senate in a 30-4 vote on June 3, would extend protection from deficiency judgments to homeowners who have refinanced, but only up to the amount of their original loan. In other words, if the original mortgage was $300,000, and the homeowner refinanced and defaulted on a $350,000 loan, they would not be liable to repay the first $300,000.”

Housing Wire – “House Members Look to Eliminate HVCC, Change Appraisal Process” (6-22-10)

“An amendment to the Wall Street Reform Bill being debated today in Congress would eliminate the hotly contested Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC), which has changed much of the home appraisal process since its introduction last year. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) implemented HVCC in May 2009 in an attempt to improve the independence of appraisers by prohibiting lenders and third parties from influencing appraisals. It also limits the interactions between the appraisers and those originating the loan.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie and Freddie Servicers Refinance 53% More Loans in Q110: FHFA” (6-22-10)

“Mortgage servicers refinanced 53% more Fannie Mae Mae and Freddie Mac loans under the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) in Q110 than in the previous quarter, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). Delinquencies are improving as well in the Fannie and Freddie portfolios. According to the FHFA, the amount of loans behind by 60 or more days declined for the first time in two years, dropping by more than 23,000 to roughly 1.7m in Q110.”

Housing Wire – “Real Estate Owned Inventory to Peak in Summer 2011: BarCap” (6-22-10)

“The amount of REO inventory held by lenders is expected to peak in August 2011 at 545,000 properties, according to analysts at Barclays Capital. In April, REO remained relatively flat, increasing 0.8% from March to 526,000. The influx was primarily due to an increase in REO from the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), according to BarCap.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Fannie Mae said it would no longer guarantee mortgages on condos in buildings where fewer than 70% of the units have been sold. The Mortgage Bankers Association lowered its forecast of mortgage originations for 2009 to $2.03 trillion. Many lawmakers and businesses were calling for an extension of the $8,000 tax credit.\

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Sources:
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/house-republicans-want-penalties-for-strategic-defaulters-2010-06-17
http://www.housingwire.com/2010/06/09/congress-to-consider-fha-reform-mortgage-insurance-hike
http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=h111-5072
http://www.housingwire.com/2010/06/15/reid-urges-3-month-extension-of-homebuyer-tax-credit
http://www.housingwire.com/2010/06/16/mortgage-defaults-foreclosures-drop-across-california-foreclosureradar
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/fhfa-orders-fannie-freddie-to-delist-stock-from-nyse-2010-06-16
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/fbis-mortgage-fraud-crackdown-expected-to-yield-hundreds-of-arrests-2010-06-14
http://www.fbi.gov/pressrel/pressrel10/financialfraud_061710.htm
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/fitch-projects-steep-re-default-rates-on-hamp-modifications-2010-06-16

Today’s News Synopsis:

Statistics from MDA DataQuick shows 40,965 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. The state Franchise Tax Board has received applications claiming about 80 percent of the funds allocated for the home buyer tax credit. Mortgage brokers and realtors are complaining that the HVCC has produced low-ball appraisals that have blown up deals, while appraisers argue the change has harmed appraisal quality. A survey from Coldwell Banker Real Estate shows that 52 percent of single homeowners prefer buying in suburb areas.

In The News:

DQNews - “California May Home Sales” (6-18-10)

“An estimated 40,965 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was up 9.3 percent from 37,481 in April, and up 4.9 percent from 39,051 for May 2009. California sales for the month of May have varied from a low of 32,223 in 1995 to a peak of 67,958 in 2004, while the average is 47,024. MDA DataQuick’s statistics go back to 1988.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “First-time home-buyer credit may vanish soon” (6-18-10)

“The state Franchise Tax Board has received applications claiming about 80 percent of the funds allocated for the credit. Although it’s hard to predict, tax board spokeswoman Denise Azimi says the credit could be gone within a few weeks.”

Wall Street Journal – “Realtors, Brokers Target Home-Appraisal Rule” (6-18-10)

“The mortgage-broker and real-estate industries are pushing to have a measure that would kill new home-appraisal rules inserted into pending legislation to overhaul financial-sector regulation. The Home Valuation Code of Conduct, adopted in May 2009 to ensure appraiser independence, bars mortgage brokers and bank loan officers from selecting appraisers. Mortgage brokers and realtors complain that the rules have produced low-ball appraisals that have blown up deals, while appraisers argue the change has harmed appraisal quality.”

Inman - “Singles flock to suburbs” (6-18-10)

“While young Millennials seem to have a preference for suburbs, they’re not the only ones. Singles of all ages are more likely to buy a home in the burbs, according to the results of a survey by national brokerage company Coldwell Banker Real Estate. The company conducted a national online survey of 1,050 single homeowners in April. It found that 52 percent of singles chose to buy in suburbia rather than getting ‘bachelor or bachelorette pads’ in urban or rural areas.”

Housing Wire – “GSEs Plan Chinese Drywall Mortgage Forbearances” (6-18-10)

“Under the authority of its ‘Unusual Hardships’ policy, Fannie is directing its mortgage servicers to provide borrowers impacted by Chinese drywall up to six months of forbearance on their monthly mortgage payment and to minimize the derogatory credit impact for borrowers who are current on their loans and complying with the terms of the forbearance.”

Housing Wire – “FinCEN Says Foreclosure Scam Reports Rose Dramatically in 2009″ (6-18-10)

“The number of suspicious activity reports (SARs) from financial institutions related to foreclosure scams dramatically increased last year, according to a new report from the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN). The report also noted that the type of foreclosure scams also evolved during the reporting period, which covered Jan. 1, 2004, through Dec. 31, 2009. FinCEN said foreclosure rescue scams increased substantially in the last eight months of 2009.”

Orange County Register – “Pimco: No quick recovery for big properties” (6-18-10)

“Distressed properties may be hard to sell, making a quick recovery unlikley. Commercial real estate prices will remain 30% to 40% below 2007 peaks for three to five years and may not return to 2007 peaks until end of the decade.”

Realty Times – “Developing The Skill Of Qualifying Buyers” (6-18-10)

“The longer the time the buyer has been looking, the lower the motivation. We have to wonder why a buyer has not been able to find a home in six months. Are they looking for something that doesn’t exist? Are their expectations too high for the marketplace? Do they just enjoy the process of kicking foundations? When someone said to me that they had been looking for more than 90 days, I wanted to know what they were looking for and the reasons why they hadn’t found it yet.”

Realty Times – “Little Change Seen in Mortgage Rates This Week” (6-18-10)

“Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.75 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending June 17, 2010, up from last week when it averaged 4.72 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.38 percent.”

Realty Times – “How To Make Buyers Want Your Home” (6-18-10)

“Countertops are fixtures in homes. So making sure that you select the best material to endure the daily wear and tear is important. If we’re talking about the kitchen, for instance, there are many options: granite, tile, recycled glass (for a green option), solid steel, composite stone, butcher block, laminate, and even concrete. Yes, that last one sounds surprising but concrete is being used for countertops and laminate isn’t necessarily trying to mimic other materials anymore. Instead, homeowners are embracing laminate’s own unique high-tech look.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the median price paid for a home in the nine-county Bay Area region rose to $341,500. The Federal Reserve’s total amount of commercial/residential mortgage debt decreased by $33 million from 2008 to 2009. Economists from Chapman University claimed that an economic recovery would begin during the second half of 2009. The average 30-year FRM rate dropped to 5.38 percent.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

A scammer in Orange County was recently caught renting out houses which he did not own. The Business Forecasting Center predicts California unemployment will stay above 12 percent for the remainder of 2010. According to the MBA, mortgage loan application volume increased to 13.6 percent from last week. Trulia reports that 20 percent of homes in the U.S. received a deduction in asking asking price from April 2009 to April 2010.

In The News:

MSN - “Forecast: Recession over, but recovery slow” (4-21-10)

“The Great Recession may be over, but the great recovery will likely take several years in Northern California, according to a report released Wednesday. California’s jobless rate – already at a modern-day record – will remain above 12 percent for the remainder of the year, and double-digit territory through 2011. The jobless rate should dip below 10 percent in 2012, according to the Business Forecasting Center at the University of the Pacific.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (4-21-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 16, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 13.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 13.9 percent compared with the previous week.”

Wall Street Journal – “Land Prices Jump as Home Builders Move In” (4-21-10)

“Nationally, finished-lot prices, which saw low-single digit increases in the first quarter, are up nearly 20% from the trough, largely considered early 2009, according to a land survey released this week by housing-research firm Zelman & Associates. Lot prices in Phoenix and Southern California’s Inland Empire have soared more than 60%. Sacramento, Orlando and Los Angeles are up between 30% and 40%.”

Housing Wire – “Trulia Sees 26% Decline in Number of Listings with Price Reductions” (4-21-10)

“The rate of house listings where the seller made at least one reduction in asking price declined 26% in April 2010 compared to the same month one year ago, according to research by Trulia.com. Trulia said 20% of asking prices for current home listings were reduced at least once, compared to 27% of asking prices in April 2009. Las Vegas experienced a 54% decrease in listings with at least one price reduction, from 28% in April 2009 to 13% in April 2010. San Diego experienced a similar decrease at 52%. San Francisco and New York both experienced a 45% year-over-year decline and Los Angeles experienced a 40% drop.”

Housing Wire – “CMBS Defaults to Pass 11% by 2011: Fitch” (4-21-10)

“Commercial mortgage loan defaults look likely to rise through the end of the year, with another 4.4% likely in 2010 and the overall default rate expected to pass 11% among securities rated by Fitch Ratings, the credit-rating agency said today. New CMBS defaults increased more than five-fold last year, totaling 1,464 loans worth $17.75bn, Fitch said.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Urges 12-Month Forbearance in Flood Areas” (4-21-10)

“Government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.48 -0.67%) said today it is extending mortgage relief to borrowers whose houses were affected by recent floods in Massachusetts, New Jersey, Rhode Island and West Virginia. Freddie is giving its servicers discretion to reduce or suspend mortgage payments for up to 12 months for borrowers with Freddie-owned mortgages, although each case must be individually assessed to determine the appropriate alternative.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Servicer Profits May Threaten Obama Housing Programs” (4-21-10)

“Mortgage servicers may have to take a pay cut to participate in President Barack Obama’s programs to modify home loans and advance the sale of properties in default. Starting this month, the Treasury Department is paying companies that collect mortgage payments and examine pleas for assistance a $1,500 stipend for approving the sale of homes for less than the loan balance, known as a short sale. The servicers also get $1,000 for each completion under the government’s year- old mortgage modification program, and additional stipends over three years if borrowers stay current on their payments.”

Orange County Register – “Anaheim businessman collects rent on vacant homes he does not own” (4-21-10)

“California’s foreclosure crisis has spawned an unusual operation by a bankrupt Orange County businessman who takes control of vacant homes and rents them out, according to police, property records and neighbors. From an office at an Anaheim massage clinic, Blair Hanloh has recorded deeds on at least 12 vacant houses in Southern California that he does not own. Property records show no evidence that the owners deeded interest to him—and five owners interviewed by The Orange County Register said that they had not.”

The U.S. Treasury reports more than 1.4 million borrowers have been offered trial modifications under HAMP. The MBA’s weekly survey shows that mortgage application volume decreased by 9.6 percent from last week. Banks required over 25 percent more time to foreclose a property in in California last month than in March 2009. According to statistics from the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, overall economic activity increased in nearly all parts of the country since March.

In The News:

MBA - “MBA’s Story Testifies on Revisions to the Home Affordable Modification Program” (4-14-10)

“According to Treasury, more than 1.4 million borrowers have been offered trial modifications under HAMP.  One million borrowers are in active modifications, of which almost 230,000 represent permanent modifications.  An additional 100,000 permanent modifications are pending borrower acceptance.  And servicers have substantially increased the pace with which permanent modifications are being done.”

MBA - “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (4-14-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 9, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 9.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 9.5 percent compared with the previous week.  This is the third lowest Market Index recorded in the survey since the end of June 2009.”

Inman - “Foreclosure process slows in California” (4-14-10)

“It took banks 27.9 percent longer, or 225 days, to foreclose on a property in California last month than it did in March 2009, and 0.45 percent longer than it did in February, according to data tracked by foreclosure data company ForeclosureRadar.com.”

CNN - “10 foreclosures for every home saved” (4-14-10)

“The Obama administration’s mortgage-modification program is not keeping pace with the deluge of foreclosures hitting the market, a government watchdog found. Only 168,708 homeowners have received long-term mortgage modifications under the president’s plan, as of February, a small fraction of the 6 million borrowers who are more than 60 days behind on their loans, according to the Congressional Oversight Panel’s latest report, released Wednesday.”

Mercury News – “Mortgage market: Government asks for advice on how to improve it” (4-14-10)

“The administration has not drafted any formal proposals to reform the housing finance system. Mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac nearly collapsed in September 2008. Propping them up has cost taxpayers about $126 billion so far. Among the questions the Treasury Department is asking are: What level should the federal government play in stabilizing the housing market? What kind of lending standards should be established? How should consumers be protected from abusive practices?”

Housing Wire – “Fed Beige Book Sees Increase in Housing Activity” (4-14-10)

“Overall economic activity increased in nearly all parts of the country, with many districts reporting increased activity in residential housing markets, according to the latest edition of the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book. The St. Louis district was the only one to not report an increase in overall economic activity, indicating a thaw may be in the works since the March edition of the Beige Book showed the toll taken by harsh winter weather.”

Housing Wire – “Donovan: Eliminating GSEs May Threaten Fragile Recovery” (4-14-10)

“Hasty action to quickly change the composition of the GSEs or to eliminate them would further drive down this housing market and cause taxpayer losses to increase”

Housing Wire – “One Year Down the Road, COP Says Success Still Escapes HAMP” (4-14-10)

“The private sector has found less success in modifying mortgages through HAMP than through other in-house strategies. According to testimony by Bank of America (BAC: 19.40 +3.91%) Home Loans president Barbara Desoer to the House Financial Services Committee this week, of BofA’s 14m mortgages, 1.4m are 60 or more days delinquent. All told, BofA completed 560,000 of its own modifications to those borrowers. Similar success escapes government-led initiatives as even though 391,000 borrowers at BofA were offered a HAMP mod, only 33,000 are now permanent through HAMP.”

Bloomberg - “FDIC Plans $1.97 Billion Sale of Loans From 22 Seized Banks” (4-14-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. is seeking bids on a $1.97 billion portfolio of loans from 22 seized banks, pushing the agency’s structured asset sales this year beyond the 2009 total. The sale consists of 1,739 loans mostly tied to commercial real estate, with borrowers late on payments for almost half the portfolio, according to a preliminary announcement obtained by Bloomberg News.”

According to the NAR, existing home sales decreased by 0.6 percent last month. The California senate has approved of a new homebuyer tax credit, which awaits approval from Governor Schwarzenegger. Nothaft claims the 30-year fixed mortgage rate will reach 5.6 percent by the end of 2010.  The Los Angeles-based home builder, KB Homes, experienced a profit loss beyond which was previously expected.

In The News:

NAR - “February Existing-Home Sales Ease with Mixed Conditions Around the Country” (3-23-10)

“Existing-home sales, which are finalized transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, slipped 0.6 percent nationally to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.02 million units in February from 5.05 million in January, but are 7.0 percent higher than the 4.69 million-unit pace in February 2009.”

CBIA - “Legislature Approves New Homebuyer Tax Credit” (3-23-10)

“The committee quickly acted on the proposal and sent it to the full Senate, where it passed by a 29-1 vote. It moved immediately to the Assembly, which approved the legislation minutes later by a 67-2 vote. It now awaits the Governor’s signature, which is expected Thursday since the proposal came from Schwarzenegger during his January State of the State address. Since then, he has made several public pitches for the tax credit, and last week sent a stern letter to legislative leaders seeking action on the tax credit and other proposals in his economic package.”

Bloomberg - “KB Home Reports Loss on Lower Revenue; Shares Fall” (3-23-10)

“KB Home, the Los Angeles-based homebuilder that sells to first-time buyers, reported a wider fiscal first-quarter loss than analysts expected as revenue declined and order growth slowed. The net loss in the quarter ended Feb. 28 was $54.7 million, or 71 cents a share, KB Home said in a statement today. It narrowed from a loss of $58.1 million, or 75 cents, a year earlier because of fewer inventory writedowns. Analysts predicted a loss of 41 cents a share, according to the average of 11 estimates in a Bloomberg survey. Revenue fell 14 percent to $264 million, the company said.”

Realty Times – “Real Estate Outlook: Freddie Mac Predicts Positive Recovery” (3-23-10)

“Notehalf’s econometric models point to expansion of the U.S. economy in the 3.3 to 3.5 percent range, as measured by the Gross Domestic Product (or GDP) through 2011. In economic terms, that’s sort of a ‘not too hot, not too cold’ scenario that helps keep interest rates low and inflation under control. Nothaft forecasts average 30-year mortgage rates around 5.6 percent by the end of the year – up from today’s rates but still in historically low territory and not high enough to seriously constrain housing demand or sales.”

Housing Wire – “Morgan Stanley Raises $370m to Invest in Private Equity Real Estate Funds” (3-23-10)

“Investment bank Morgan Stanley (MS: 29.53 -0.24%) is looking to seize opportunities in investing in private equity real estate funds with its recently created Phoenix Global Real Estate Secondaries platform. And so far, Phoenix is seeing success as the initial $250m capital-raising target exceeded the mark with an additional $120m raised.”

Housing Wire – “House Republicans Want to Wind Down GSEs” (3-23-10)

“Republicans in the House of Representatives, led by Financial Services Committee ranking member Rep. Spencer Bachus (R-AL), authored a list of principals they wish to see as part of ‘immediate’ legislative efforts to plan for the future of the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs).”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR reported a 5.1 percent increase in existing home sales within 1 month. Commercial and multifamily mortgage debt increased by $23 billion during the 4th quarter of 2008. The country’s 10 largest banks owned a total of $327.6 billion in commercial mortgages.

Bruce Norris claims that the government’s aid will not be enough to prevent the U.S. economy from sliding back into recession. The NAR reports that national pending home sales decreased by 7.6 percent in January. According to Trepp, commercial real estate delinquencies decreased in February. The delinquency rate for Fannie Mae loans increased to 5.38% last month.

In The News:

Orange County Register – “Hear why housing will slump again” (3-4-10)

“Norris tells ocregister.com in a podcast interview that he believes that all the government aid that’s going to the housing market won’t be enough to keep real estate — and the entire economy — from sliding back into a second wave of recessionary conditions.”

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Down; Severe Weather Impacting Market” (3-4-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in January, fell 7.6 percent to 90.4 from an upwardly revised 97.8 in December, but remains 12.3 percent higher than January 2009 when it was 80.5.”

CBIA - “Metro Regions” (3-4-10)

“Curious about housing numbers for a particular area of the state? This is the place to find all the numbers for an individual area.”

Recordnet.com – “Region’s future bright, experts say” (3-4-10)

“San Joaquin County, as well as the entire San Joaquin Valley, holds tremendous potential for growth even as it struggles to emerge from the recession, a panel of development experts, business and government leaders said Wednesday. The county could see gains of more than 30,000 new jobs in the next three years, paying wages and benefits of $1.5 billion.”

Housing Wire – “Valeo Fund Targets $1trn in Maturing Commercial Mortgages” (3-4-10)

“The private equity firm Valeo Fund is recruiting investors to go after $1trn of commercial mortgages set to mature between 2010 and 2013. The move comes as opportunities are begin to hit the entire commercial market, which has been bracing for struggles.”

Housing Wire – “Commercial Mortgages Showing Signs of a Brighter Road Ahead” (3-4-10)

“The blistering climb of commercial real estate delinquency rates, which crossed the 6% threshold in December, started to slow in February, according to the analytics firm Trepp, which monitors collateral performance on related commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS). The amount of commercial loans at least 30-days delinquent grew 23 basis points (bps) to 6.72% in February, the smallest increase in six months.”

Housing Wire – “General Growth Gets Extension for Reorganization, Plans NYSE Re-listing” (3-4-10)

“A bankruptcy judge granted mall real estate investment trust (REIT) General Growth Properties (GGP: 1.05 0.00%) a nearly five-month extension period to file a plan of reorganization for the company to exit bankruptcy.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Single-Family Mortgage Delinquencies Grow to 5.38%” (3-4-10)

“The serious delinquency rate at government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.005 +2.11%) rose nine basis points (bps) to 5.38% in the single-family mortgage book. Its a slight increase from 5.29% last month.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Says Mortgage Rates Dip Below 5%” (3-4-10)

“Freddie Mac said the average interest for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 4.97% with a 0.7 origination point for the week ending March 4, down from 5.05% one week ago. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.15%.”

Housing Wire – “Home Prices Continue Climb from 2009 Levels: Clear Capital” (3-4-10)

“US home prices climbed 5% in February from a year ago, despite an incoming wave of REOs that could saddle the market for another three years, according to the Clear Capital Home Data Index. Prices grew on a yearly basis for the first two months of 2010. The 5% uptick in February bested the 2.3% yearly increase in January. However, prices remained unchanged on a rolling quarterly basis.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported that mortgage applications decreased by 12.6 percent within one week. Statistics from First American CoreLogic showed that 20 percent of mortgages were underwater. Radar Logic claimed that foreclosures increased home sales by approximately 7 percent during 2008. Federally regulated banks filed 62,084 reports of suspected mortgage fraud during the mid-summer of 2008.

The MBA reports that mortgage loan application volume decreased 8.5 percent from last week. According to the Commerce Department, purchases of new single-family homes decreased by 11.2 percent in January. Informa Research Services announced that the average interest rate on 30-year fixed-rate jumbos dropped to 5.79%. Freddie Mac’s net losses for 2009 ended at $25.7bn.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (2-24-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 19, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 8.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 7.3 percent compared with the previous week.”

Los Angeles Times – “Jumbo mortgage market is beginning to thaw” (2-24-10)

“Two weeks ago, the average interest rate on 30-year fixed-rate jumbos dropped to 5.79%, a nearly five-year low, according to rate tracker Informa Research Services of Calabasas. It edged up to 5.88% on Tuesday, still very attractive by historical standards. The average is down from well above 7% in late 2008.”

Washington Post - “New home sales hit record low in January” (2-24-10)

“Purchases of new single-family homes dropped 11.2 percent in January from December to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 309,000, the Commerce Department reported. Sales fell in every region of the country except the Midwest, and the raw number of new homes on the market rose for the first time in nearly three years.”

Inman - “CAR: Home prices up, sales down” (2-24-10)

“Median home prices increased 15 percent year-over-year in January, according to a report by the California Association of Realtors. Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes fell 10.6 percent year-over-year, to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 539,040 units, and fell 3 percent month-to-month, the report said.”

Housing Wire – “The GSEs Might Save Mortgage Rates After the Fed After All!” (2-24-10)

“Fed purchases since January 2009 consumed most of the new pass-through supply coming into the market from Fannie and Freddie (and a chunk of Ginnie’s too); Its demand has been a powerful tractor-beam pulling the spread between pass-through yields and mortgage rates over other high quality debt instruments to historic lows; Removing that demand could allow pass-through yields and mortgage rates to widen dramatically”

Housing Wire – “Backlog of California Homes Declines in January” (2-24-10)

“Nationwide, the credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P) estimated the “shadow inventory” of bank-repossessed properties, as well as distressed mortgages facing foreclosure, will take nearly three years to clear at the current national sales rate. As for the total amount of homes in the shadow inventory, Amherst Securities places the total at 7m. The Royal Bank of Scotland found 2.7m, and First American CoreLogic counted 1.7m.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mac’s Losses Narrow in Q409″ (2-24-10)

“Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.22 +1.67%) posted a loss of $7.8bn, or $2.39 per share, in Q409, bringing the government-sponsored enterprise’s (GSE) total loss in 2009 to $25.7bn. But Freddie said its net worth as of December 31, 2009 was $4.4bn, and no additional funding was required from the Treasury Department under the terms of the purchase agreement for the fourth quarter.”

Housing Wire – “NAR to Congress: Turn Fannie and Freddie into Non-Profits” (2-24-10)

“A trade organization for real estate agents, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) is recommending to Congress that the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.02 +2.11%) and Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.22 +1.67%) be converted into non-profit secondary market authorities.”

Bloomberg - “Toll Says Loss Narrowed as Homebuilder Reduced Costs” (2-24-10)

“Toll Brothers Inc., the largest U.S. luxury-home builder, said its first-quarter loss narrowed as costs fell 31 percent. Orders almost doubled. The net loss for the three months ended Jan. 31 shrank to $40.8 million, or 25 cents a share, from $88.9 million, or 55 cents, a year earlier, the Horsham, Pennsylvania-based company said today in a statement. The average estimate of 10 analysts in a Bloomberg survey was for a loss of 29 cents a share.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the CBIA announced that housing production fell to a record low. Ben Bernanke claimed that 2010 could be a year of recovery, if foreclosures stabilized. Case-Schiller reported that home prices declined at a record pace in the 4th quarter of 2009.