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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/16/10

Wednesday, June 16th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Commerce Department reports housing starts fell 10% from April. According to the MBA, mortgage application volume increased 17.7 percent from last week. Fitch Ratings Ltd. forecasts that most borrowers who get lower mortgage payments under a federal government program will default within 12 months. New home sales were down 27% in May, according to a John Burns Real Estate Consulting builder survey.

In The News:

CNN - “New home construction sinks 10%” (6-16-10)

“Housing starts fell 10% from April to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 593,000 last month, the Commerce Department said. Economists were expecting housing starts to fall to only 655,000. On a year-over-year basis, starts rose 7.8% from May 2009.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Report Shows Economic Weakness Continues to Weigh on Commercial Mortgage Performance” (6-16-10)

“The delinquency rate for loans held in CMBS is the highest since the series began in 1997.  Delinquency rates for other groups remain below levels seen in the early 1990’s, some by large margins. Delinquency rates continued to increase in the first quarter for all commercial/multifamily mortgage investor groups, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Commercial/Multifamily Delinquency Report.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (6-16-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 11, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 17.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 29.7 percent compared with the previous week, which was a shortened week due to the Memorial Day holiday.”

Wall Street Journal – “High Default Rate Seen for Modified Mortgages” (6-16-10)

“Fitch Ratings Ltd. forecasts that most borrowers who get lower mortgage payments under a federal government program will default within 12 months. Among those with loans that aren’t backed by any federal agency, the redefault rate within a year is likely to be 65% to 75% under the Obama administration’s Home Affordable Modification Program, or HAMP, according to a report to be released Wednesday by Fitch, a New York-based credit-rating firm. Almost all of those who got loan modifications have already defaulted once.”

Housing Wire – “Builder Survey Reports New Home Sales Down 27% in May” (6-16-10)

“New home sales were down 27% in May, according to a John Burns Real Estate Consulting (JBREC) survey of builders. According to the monthly report, net sales per community were 1.35 units per community, down from last month’s 1.84 units per community. Builders also reported a decline in new housing starts in eight of 10 regions, as builders felt little hurry to start more homes. This echoes the results of a government report that showed the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts declined 10% in May.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Defaults, Foreclosures Drop Across California: ForeclosureRadar” (6-16-10)

“Mortgage defaults and foreclosure activity decreased in California from April to May, according to ForeclosureRadar, which tracks filings across the state. Notices of default fell 17% from April to May, and 43% from May 2009. Notices of trustee sale dropped 11% in May and decreased 35% from last year. Past foreclosures, the amount of properties banks repossessed, dropped 5% in May and 13% from a year ago.”

Housing Wire – “Reid Urges 3-Month Extension of Homebuyer Tax Credit” (6-16-10)

“Under the tax credit’s current deadline, qualifying purchases that were under contract by April 30 must close by June 30. Under the proposed amendment introduced by Reid, Isakson and Dodd, that closing deadline would be pushed to Sept. 30, 2010 in an effort to ensure the qualifying sales can close.”

Realty Times – “Should I Buy Older Construction?” (6-16-10)

“Without a full renovation, older homes usually come with a certain level of necessary repair. The electrical wiring may be dated, ungrounded, or made of undesirable material no longer in use. The telephone wiring may not accommodate highspeed data demands. Underground materials used for plumbing may have eroded, compromising the safety of water, or the structural integrity of the foundation. The foundation itself may not be as thick or rigid as newer structures. After all, the specifications for tension, and cement composition have advanced in the last several decades. Although many older homes have had their roofs repaired or replaced, some have gone decades without any care or maintenance. Air Conditioning units, water heaters, air ducts, and household appliances can all be dated and in need of substantial repair or replacement.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/14/10

Wednesday, April 14th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The U.S. Treasury reports more than 1.4 million borrowers have been offered trial modifications under HAMP. The MBA’s weekly survey shows that mortgage application volume decreased by 9.6 percent from last week. Banks required over 25 percent more time to foreclose a property in in California last month than in March 2009. According to statistics from the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, overall economic activity increased in nearly all parts of the country since March.

In The News:

MBA - “MBA’s Story Testifies on Revisions to the Home Affordable Modification Program” (4-14-10)

“According to Treasury, more than 1.4 million borrowers have been offered trial modifications under HAMP.  One million borrowers are in active modifications, of which almost 230,000 represent permanent modifications.  An additional 100,000 permanent modifications are pending borrower acceptance.  And servicers have substantially increased the pace with which permanent modifications are being done.”

MBA - “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (4-14-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 9, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 9.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 9.5 percent compared with the previous week.  This is the third lowest Market Index recorded in the survey since the end of June 2009.”

Inman - “Foreclosure process slows in California” (4-14-10)

“It took banks 27.9 percent longer, or 225 days, to foreclose on a property in California last month than it did in March 2009, and 0.45 percent longer than it did in February, according to data tracked by foreclosure data company ForeclosureRadar.com.”

CNN - “10 foreclosures for every home saved” (4-14-10)

“The Obama administration’s mortgage-modification program is not keeping pace with the deluge of foreclosures hitting the market, a government watchdog found. Only 168,708 homeowners have received long-term mortgage modifications under the president’s plan, as of February, a small fraction of the 6 million borrowers who are more than 60 days behind on their loans, according to the Congressional Oversight Panel’s latest report, released Wednesday.”

Mercury News – “Mortgage market: Government asks for advice on how to improve it” (4-14-10)

“The administration has not drafted any formal proposals to reform the housing finance system. Mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac nearly collapsed in September 2008. Propping them up has cost taxpayers about $126 billion so far. Among the questions the Treasury Department is asking are: What level should the federal government play in stabilizing the housing market? What kind of lending standards should be established? How should consumers be protected from abusive practices?”

Housing Wire – “Fed Beige Book Sees Increase in Housing Activity” (4-14-10)

“Overall economic activity increased in nearly all parts of the country, with many districts reporting increased activity in residential housing markets, according to the latest edition of the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book. The St. Louis district was the only one to not report an increase in overall economic activity, indicating a thaw may be in the works since the March edition of the Beige Book showed the toll taken by harsh winter weather.”

Housing Wire – “Donovan: Eliminating GSEs May Threaten Fragile Recovery” (4-14-10)

“Hasty action to quickly change the composition of the GSEs or to eliminate them would further drive down this housing market and cause taxpayer losses to increase”

Housing Wire – “One Year Down the Road, COP Says Success Still Escapes HAMP” (4-14-10)

“The private sector has found less success in modifying mortgages through HAMP than through other in-house strategies. According to testimony by Bank of America (BAC: 19.40 +3.91%) Home Loans president Barbara Desoer to the House Financial Services Committee this week, of BofA’s 14m mortgages, 1.4m are 60 or more days delinquent. All told, BofA completed 560,000 of its own modifications to those borrowers. Similar success escapes government-led initiatives as even though 391,000 borrowers at BofA were offered a HAMP mod, only 33,000 are now permanent through HAMP.”

Bloomberg - “FDIC Plans $1.97 Billion Sale of Loans From 22 Seized Banks” (4-14-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. is seeking bids on a $1.97 billion portfolio of loans from 22 seized banks, pushing the agency’s structured asset sales this year beyond the 2009 total. The sale consists of 1,739 loans mostly tied to commercial real estate, with borrowers late on payments for almost half the portfolio, according to a preliminary announcement obtained by Bloomberg News.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/3/10

Wednesday, March 3rd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Bruce Norris estimated that lenders may lose up to $2.1 to 3.8 trillion before all the bad loans are taken off their books. According to the MBA, mortgage application volume increased from last week. The FHFA reports that Orange County home values increased by 6.38 percent in 2009. Last year, nearly 1,400 lawsuits were filed against lenders by homeowners in foreclosure.

In The News:

Press Enterprise – “Loan losses from home foreclosures could more than double” (3-3-10)

“Lenders who already have realized $1.5 trillion in losses due to home foreclosures could see their losses mount to an estimated $2.1 trillion to $3.8 trillion before all the bad loans are wiped off their books, a Riverside real estate expert told a gathering over the weekend. Bruce Norris, a real estate analyst, investor and principal of the Riverside-based Norris Group, told more than 400 real estate brokers and investors meeting in Costa Mesa Saturday that he had compiled these figures from data and estimates he obtained from ForeclosureRadar.com, Bloomberg Financial, Goldman Sachs, the International Monetary Fund, RGE Monitor and T2Partners.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Refinance Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (3-3-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 26, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 14.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 15.5 percent compared with the previous week.”

Orange County Register – “O.C.: Hottest U.S. housing market?” (3-3-10)

“Orange County home values — by one FHFA index that derives values from purchase records — rose 6.38% in 2009. That’s tops among the 25 major U.S. markets tracked by this methodology. Yes, O.C. is No. 1! We’re followed by Denver (+5.48%); Houston (+3.71%); and Pittsburgh (+3.26%).”

Sign On San Diego – “Hefty tax bill may hit those who lost home” (3-3-10)

“With less than six weeks before taxes are due, an estimated 16,000 former homeowners statewide will owe $15 million in extra income taxes this year and $29 million through 2012.”

Mercury News – “Increasing numbers of Californians are suing lenders to avoid foreclosures” (3-3-10)

“In the last five years, the number of foreclosure lawsuits filed in federal court in California has ballooned — like an exploding adjustable-rate mortgage — from only 29 statewide in 2005 to nearly 1,400 last year.”

Housing Wire – “Winter Weather Slows Residential Real Estate Growth: Beige Book” (3-3-10)

“In the January Beige Book, all but two Fed districts reported increased activity or improved conditions, with Philadelphia and Richmond seeing mixed results. Residential real estate markets remained weak or softened further in the New York, Atlanta, and Chicago districts and there was little change in the San Francisco district, the Federal Reserve Board said.”

Orange County Register – “Why loan mods & short sales take so long” (3-3-10)

“Hard to collect all necessary documents from borrower/owner. This may be because the banks never seem to receive the documents until they’ve been faxed in 5 or 6 times. It may be because it takes the borrower/owner or agent some time to respond to requests for documents.”

Inman - “90% of agents down on HAMP” (3-3-10)

“A mere 10 percent of real estate agents think the Obama administration’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) is reducing foreclosures in their market, according to a survey released Wednesday by real estate media and marketing provider Homes and Land. The company’s Market Pulse Survey Report asked more than 100,000 real estate agents nationwide to participate in a 10-question survey to gauge the state of housing in local markets. Nearly 5,800 agents responded; 51 percent had been a Realtor for more than 10 years. The company conducted the survey in February.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Citigroup developed a plan which allowed unemployed homeowners to decrease their monthly payment to a minimum of $500. The NAR reported that home sales decreased by 7.7 percent within a month’s time. Bernanke claimed that the federal government needed to increase its fiscal involvement in the banking system. The government launched its $1 trillion TALF program.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/17/09

Thursday, December 17th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

Research from NAR shows that most small-scale, exterior home modificaitons, such as door replacements and wood deck additions, are the most profitable at resale. The Federal Reserve’s commercial/multifamily mortgage debt decreased by 0.8 percent from the second quarter 2009. Radar Logic estimates that housing will continue to have trouble in 2010, but does not believe that a second collapse will occur. According to ForeclosureRadar.com, foreclosure cancellations in California climbed 40% in November.

In The News:

NAR - “Exterior Remodeling Proves Best Bang for Your Buck, Realtors® Report” (12-17-09)

“Despite a slow market and a slight decrease in the resale value of most remodeling projects, Realtors® report that the smartest home improvement investments may also be some of the least expensive. Results from the 2009 Remodeling Cost vs. Value Report show that small-scale exterior projects are the most profitable at resale, according to estimates by Realtors® who completed a recent survey. On a national level, eight out of the top 10 projects in terms of costs recouped were exterior replacement projects that cost less than $14,000. Certain types of door and siding replacements, as well as wood deck additions all returned more than 80 percent of project costs upon resale. A steel entry door replacement – a new addition to this year’s list – recouped 128.9 percent of costs, followed by upscale fiber-cement sliding replacements at 83.6 percent. Wood deck additions recouped 80.6 percent of costs.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Study Shows Narrowing in Profit Margins For Independent Mortgage Bankers and Subsidiaries” (12-17-09)

“Independent mortgage bankers and subsidiaries made an average profit of $902 on each loan they originated in the third quarter of 2009, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).  This profit marks a decrease from the second quarter of 2009 when profits averaged $1,358 per loan, according to the MBA’s most recent Quarterly Mortgage Bankers Performance Report. This report measures the performance of independent mortgage bankers and subsidiaries of banks, thrifts and hedge funds.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Analysis: GSEs Increase Multifamily Mortgage Holdings; Banks Decrease Construction Loans and Increase Commercial/Multifamily Mortgages in Third Quarter 2009″ (12-17-09)

“The $3.43 trillion in commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding recorded by the Federal Reserve was a decrease of $28 billion or 0.8 percent from the second quarter 2009.  Multifamily mortgage debt outstanding dropped to $912 billion, a decrease of $1 billion or 0.1 percent from second quarter. The level of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding decreased in the third quarter, to $3.43 trillion, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) analysis of the Federal Reserve Board Flow of Funds data.”

Housing Wire – “Housing Won’t Collapse in 2010, says Radar Logic” (12-17-09)

“The US housing market could be in for some serious trouble in 2010, but predictions of a second collapse are ‘exaggerated,’ according to a report from Radar Logic, a real estate data and analytics company. Housing values could significantly recover in the spring of 2010 as low prices attract a blend of owner-occupiers and investors.”

Housing Wire – “Total Mortgage Has Record Origination Year” (12-17-09)

“Total Mortgage Services said it expects to originate a company-record $750m in mortgages in 2009. It’s a 67% increase from 2008’s level of $450m in originated loans for the Milford, Conn.-based lender, which originates mortgages in more than 20 states. Total Mortgage credits low interest rates for the boost in both purchase and refinance activity.”

Housing Wire – “Foreclosure Cancellations Rise 40% in California” (12-17-09)

“Foreclosure cancellations in California climbed 40% in November, according to a monthly report from ForeclosureRadar.com, which tracks foreclosures in California. Analysts adjusted the numbers to account for November’s four fewer filing days. Average daily foreclosure filings declined only 1%. Notice of trustee sales declined 13.4%, and the amount of real estate owned (REO) property increased 2.4%. Sales to third parties increased 8% on a daily average basis.”

Bloomberg – “Luxury-Home Owners in U.S. Use ‘Short Sales’ as Defaults Rise” (12-17-09)

“Homeowners with mortgages of more than $1 million are defaulting at almost twice the U.S. rate and some are turning to so-called short sales to unload properties as stock-market losses and pay cuts squeeze wealthy borrowers.”

Bloomberg - “General Growth Considering ‘Indications of Interest’” (12-17-09)

“General Growth Properties Inc., the mall owner seeking to emerge from bankruptcy next year, will consider all offers for the company and may sell shares to the public to raise capital. General Growth won permission this week from a bankruptcy judge to restructure about $10.25 billion in debt at some of its properties. The Chicago-based company is trying to restructure $3 billion of additional secured debt, it said today in a statement. ”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Mortgage Rates Rise to 4.94%, Freddie Mac Says” (12-17-09)

“Mortgage rates for fixed 30-year U.S. home loans rose for a second consecutive week after hitting a record low this month. The rate for the week ended today increased to 4.94 percent from 4.81 percent. It set a record low 4.71 percent in the week ended Dec. 3. The average 15-year rate was 4.38 percent, the McLean, Virginia-based company said today in a statement.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Lawrence Yun of the NAR estimated that commercial real estate would be damaged by job losses. CAR expected home prices to increase by 12 percent in 2008. Delinquencies for homes increased to 4.6 percent during the third quarter. The MBA reported that mortgage loan application volume increased during the week of December 12, 2008.

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