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206-TNG Radio – Jon R. Daurio 12-25-10

Friday, December 24th, 2010

Jon Daurio

John R. Daurio

Chairman of Kondaur Capital


 

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This week Bruce is joined by Jon R. Duario. Jon is the chairman and chief exective officer of Kondaur Capital. He founded Park Place Capital in 2001, and sold it to Ameriquest Mortgage Company in 2002. After the sale, the name of the business changed to Sprint Funding Corp, and Jon remained as president through May 2006. He received his Juris doctorate and Masters from UFC, and his BA Cum Laude from Harvard. He is also a fifth degree black belt in Tae Kwon Do.

This week Bruce is joined once again by Jon Daurio.  Mr. Daurio is currently the chairman and chief executive officer of Kondaur Capital.  Previously, Mr. Daurio co-founded Parkplace Capital in 2001, sold that business to Ameriquest Mortgage Company in ’02.  After the sale the name of the business was changed to Sprint Funding Corp.  John remained with Sprint as president, general counsel through May of 06.  John founded Encore Capital Corp., a national wholesale residential mortgage banker.  Mr. Daurio received his juris doctorate and masters from USC and his bachelor of arts degree cum laude from Harvard, and somehow in his spare time managed to get a fifth degree black belt in Tae Kwon Do.

Note pools most frequently involve a competitive bid situation, but not always. When a large pool of loans, or any pool of loans for that matter, is being sold, the seller typically will sell those loans.  Most analogous to what I think people would understand to be a sealed bid, although it’s not literally in a sealed envelope or anything like that, so it is a competitive bid situation.  Many of our sellers that we’ve dealt with repeatedly though will sell or deal with us on a negotiated trade basis, meaning that they’ll deal directly with us, and I believe they do that because we have proven ourselves over the last 3 and a half years that we’ve been in business and buying these loans to be if not the most competitive bidder meaning we’re paying the highest prices for these loans, at least the most experienced and, I’ll use the term easiest, purchaser to deal with because the purchase of these loans is not an easy procedure, and there’s tons of laws and issues that have to be addressed when a loan is purchased and servicing is transferred.

Its hard to imagine the infrastructure you have to have to do diligence on for a pool of loans, especially if it’s all over the country. That’s one of the reasons Daurio’s company has almost 500 employees and growing.

The way the market works, which is the majority, on a competitive basis, a pool of loans is given with information about the loans, the address of the house, the credit history of the borrower, the terms of the existing loan, the payment history, especially since I focus on non-performing loans, when the last payment was made, where those payments were made and you get what’s called an indicative bid.  We at Kondaur as well as others give an indicative bid stating, “If all of the information that you’ve provided to us is true, this is what our price would be.  However, we need to conduct a due diligence review of the loans in order to A. verify that the data that you’ve given us is true, and B. determine what other types of compensating factors or issues that could change what we offer for loans.  I will note that Kondaur Capital Corporation is unique and has a reputation as being the nation’s only true loan level bidder, meaning when we receive a pool of loans; let’s say 1,000 loans, we give 1,000 individual loan prices and allow the seller to cherry pick us. Bruce was surprised to hear this.

Many of Daurio’s competitors are surprised when Daurio explains to them which loans he doesn’t like out of a pool of 1,000. For example, I might say, “Okay, well I like your prices on these 820 loans, but I don’t like it on this 180 loans.”  Many of our competitors in that situation will say, “Well wait a second, we’ve gotta re-price because we assumed we were going to purchase all the loans.”  And that’s in essence the difference.  It’s that we do a meticulous, an extensive review of each individual loan to the point that each individual price stands on its own.  So in answer to your question, ‘How long does that take?’  Typically that takes us between two and three weeks to complete.

This is not for the purpose of getting the indicative bid. The indicative bid is something that we do on a macro basis or a modeling basis that would give a price.  And then the final price takes us about two or three weeks.

The value of a loan I would say is what a ready, willing and able buyer would pay for that loan, and because I am a ready, willing and able buyer, my purchase price is an accurate depiction of what the value of that loan is.  And in turning the value of that loan, we spend a tremendous amount of efforts analyzing both what the expected sale price would be of the home securing the loan assuming that we’re going to take title to the house as part of the resolution effort which we do approximately 75% of the time.  The (indistinguishable) majority by paying for a deed in lieu of foreclosure as opposed to foreclosing on the loan, as well as an analysis of what is the current credit situation of the borrower, which we determine with very little information available to us because during that bidding process we’re not allowed to contact the borrower.  We have to rely on existing servicing and collection notes and the origination file that might or might not be available.

For every 100 loans purchases, Kondaur eventually owns the house as an REO about 75% of the time. For the other 25% of loan purchases, Kondaur is selling the loan on a one-by-one basis or refinancing it.  With the available FHA programs, Kondaur could successfully do a refinance of the loan about 4% of the time.  About 1% of the time the borrower’s actually able to come up with funds to give me a short payoff where Kondaur will forgive a fairly significant amount of the principle balance but they’ll be able to pay me.  Or Kondaur will modify the note either by principle forgiveness and/or payment reduction, but in that situation Kondaur won’t hold it; it’ll still sell the note or it’ll sell it as is.

Kondaur sells 100% of the REOs that it takes title on, even after we’ve taken property back.  As Jon said in the past segment, when Kondaur takes title to a house as REO it is very, very quick if there are people still in the house to go through any of the cash for keys process.  Or, if the occupant won’t cooperate, an eviction process, and then Kondaur rehabilitates the property to put it in turn-key condition, meaning that whoever buys the house doesn’t have to put any money into the house in order to live in it, and then sell it.  Typically, Kondaur has a REO off the books within about 3 months.

There are some opportunities for investors willing to come in and pay at a lesser price and close these things in a week.  This prevents Daurio from taking the 3 month journey. But again, we don’t take cash because we have a need for liquidity.  I’m very, very fortunate in this sense that my company is very well capitalized.  We have access to well over a billion dollars of capital.  But the reason why we do it is I am very pessimistic on a national basis and especially in the Inland Empire as to home prices in 2011 and 2012.  So if there is an expected, which I think in the Inland Empire could be as high as another 1% per month decrease in the value of the homes.  If I get cash today, it’s better than trying to get under contract in 3 months.  This is a side note:  we, with rare exception, will ever accept a purchase offer where the close of escrow is beyond 30 days.

FHA has about 555,000 people 90 days late or more, and they only have 50,000 current REOs.  Daurio is interested in getting pools of loans that are able to be purchased from the Department of Housing and Urban Development.  He is currently dealing with members of HUD.  He is trying to figure out how we might be able to buy and/or service their loans.

Another thing that makes Kondaur Capital somewhat unique in this market, especially relative to other people that are buying these loans, is I require only two representations and warranties on behalf of the seller: that they own the loan, and that they can sell it.  Meaning that if they breech either of those representations or warranties; they didn’t own the loan or they didn’t have the ability to sell it, I can mandate under contract that they have to buy it back.  Things like title, what leans are on the property, I take upon myself the responsibility for determining that, and the way we determine it is rarely by a full-blown title insurance policy, but there’s a product that many of the title companies make available called an ownership and encumbrance, or ONE report, and that’s what we rely on for trying to determine what leans exist against the property or what the situation is with who really owns the property and how title is held.

We never buy a loan that’s in the MERS system.   One of the things that we require before we close on the purchase of any loans is that the loans are out of MERS before we purchase them. From the day I started the company and built it we wanted it out of MERS.  I won’t say I anticipated these kinds of issues, but I always want to try to minimize the number of parties that are involved and the resolution of the loan.  One of the reasons why we do very few short sales is because typically in a short sale the borrower’s going to vacate the house by selling it, and we’d rather just pay them for a deed in lieu of foreclosure and then sell the house ourselves.

Daurio has noticed some attitude changes of the occupants in the 3 years that he has been doing this. This is because of the media making borrowers more aware that owners of loans, like myself, would be willing to pay them for a deed in lieu of foreclosure despite the fact that they haven’t made payments for months or even years.  We’ve seen some people that are more amiable to take that because they didn’t even know it was available.  Then we have some borrowers that because of the publicity of issues on litigation with respect to issues like modifications or MERS or the robo-signer issues or things like that they’re holding out.  I guess there’s actually a third thing, and the third thing is that people are just making economic decisions that unlike what we offer at Kondaur Capital Corporation to a borrower to vacate, the borrowers are making economic decisions saying, “Okay, you’re willing to give me X dollars, but I could stay in my house rent-free for X number of months,” and the two don’t equate.  So therefore it’s economically better for them to remain in their house rent-free than it is to accept what so many of my competitors offer which is simply a nominal amount of money.

There are many failed loan modifications within these pools. Potentially half of the loans I buy today are failed modifications. Bruce is very surprised by this. Bruce doesn’t understand why a lender would choose the pool method of selling as opposed to making it one at a time.  He would think they would net more by doing this. Daurio thinks it’s more ignorance or purposeful sticking your head in the sand to avoid the issue.  Let’s recall that there is a separation of the owner of the loan and the servicer of the loan.  Many servicers of these loans are the same servicers that were granted the right to service these loans when these were performing loans and therefore the amount of money that the servicers are being paid to service the loans is woefully inadequate for the servicer to properly staff both in terms of quantity and quality of people.  Quite frankly these servicers aren’t staffed to be able to service these loans on a one-by-one basis; and the owner of the loans, even if they get smart enough to realize that this is an issue, is unwilling to pay the servicers to adequately staff.  This is not that bad of a decision because so many of the relationships are adversarial in the sense that a servicer typically makes money on servicing fees and therefore liquidating the loan is not in their best interest.  But it may be for the owner of the loan.  That’s why at Kondaur, we’re an owner servicer.  We do third-party service for some, but those are the entities that understand and we actually make our self obligated to take the route that is the best for the owner of the loan and not necessarily for us.  Daurio tries to align those interests in the contracts he has with them.

This round of foreclosures and not receiving payments is probably creating a lot more overhead for the servicers than they were anticipating. At Kondaur Capital Corporation, when we service with third party service, in our servicing agreements we really retain a tremendous amount of flexibility and authority to do what we think is best.  In fact, I have not taken on third party servicing assignments where the owner of the loan wants to inject their opinion.  In other words, they want to put a limit on how much I could offer for a cash for keys or for a deed in lieu of foreclosure based on things like a percentage of what the loan is worth or a percentage of what the house is worth or a percentage of the unpaid principle balance, all things which I think are irrelevant in determining how much should be offered to a borrower for cash for keys.  What should be offered to a borrower for cash for keys should be the subject of two analyses.  One, if the borrower were to make an economic decision and continue to live rent-free, what is that value relative to what is being offered?  And then secondly, what is the benefit to getting the house quickly, especially when you are like I am where you think housing prices are still going to depreciate fairly significantly in the upcoming months and years.

Bruce just did some research on not just the pricing of California in terms of what homes are selling for, but the cost per month. Cal Poly Pomona does a report and has for several decades, and twice a year they reappraise the same address in many different cities in California.  I went back to 1990 level pricing and compared it to 2010, and I’ll just pick Lancaster/Palmdale.  The actual price is -11% for that 20 year period, dollar for dollar, not inflation adjusted.  Interest rates were 10.2% in 1990, and interest rates now are say 4 and a half.  So you have a 55% discount on the cost of a loan and you have income that’s increased.   So it’s interesting that the market is so unwilling to buy a product that’s virtually on sale at an all-time level monthly.

Daurio agrees, but there are other situations in which, for an owner of a loan such as himself, getting ownership of that house can be faster and better.  It’s not just because he expects housing prices to continue to deteriorate, but also because rent-free borrowers in the house are not expending money on maintenance, and so there is an increased amount of what we call deferred maintenance, which is a great cost.  Thirdly, when we take title to a house by paying a borrower for a deed in lieu of foreclosure, the borrowers are not vindictive as we have heard borrowers have been in other foreclosures where they rip out the piping or cabinetry or plumbing or things like that.  Most of Kondaur’s borrowers, nobody happy about the fact that they’ve lost their home, but they feel like they’re definitely treated better and better off than with their previous servicer.

Bruce feels that is a good point, because somebody can do an awful lot of damage in a bad mood in one day, no doubt about that. Daurio considers this sort of property damage to be criminal. Bruce has found it very hard for anyone to acknowledge that this might be true.  We buy at the trustees sales, and we have sometimes people very blatantly doing things that were detrimental to the property.   You can call the police; you can even go to the extent of a lawsuit and it would be very tough to justify the activity just because it doesn’t seem like you have too many people on your side.

Daurio believes there will be some different occurrences in 2011 from 2010. He see more loans going to default. Also, he see more loss severities, because he believes housing prices will depreciate more in 2011 than 2010.

Kondaur Capital Corporation will begin purchasing commercial loans. Daurio started a subsidiary company called Kondaur Commercial; and it is going to both third-party service and purchase initially small balance commercial loans. By small balance he means 5 million or less.

Kondaur Capital has purchased quite a number of land loans.  It’s just not as large a market as one to four family or small balance commercial. Bruce thinks this would probably entail holding it at this point.  Daurio disagrees saying, “No actually, again, it’s all of a function of so many things in real estate:  you make money on the buy.  We buy land loans when we think we have an exit strategy that is profitable.”

For m ore information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/06/10

Monday, December 6th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Federal Reserve expects housing starts to reach 600,000 by the end of the year. Fannie Mae is suspending foreclosure evictions from Dec. 20 through Jan. 3, 2011. HUD representative Shaun Donovan claims the Homeless Prevention and Rapid Re-housing Program prevented or ended homelessness for 750,000 Americans.

In The News:

Army Times“Consumer Watch: Walking away from your mortgage” (12-6-10)

“Nationwide, about 2.5 million homeowners have lost their homes in the last four years, according to the Center for Responsible Lending. Even some homeowners who could afford to make their payments have walked away because their homes have lost so much in value. Meredith says he won’t go that route. ‘I could not in good conscience walk away and dump the burden on the bank, who would then ask the taxpayers for another handout,’ he said.”

Orange County Register“Calif. housing recovering, coast first” (12-4-10)

“The housing market has begun to stabilize in some of the coastal regions in the state. While credit unions have been willing and able to lend, demand for mortgages has been lean, despite the historically low interest rates. Members are either over leveraged, or concerned about future employment to make such a large purchase. Once individuals feel more secure about their income, they will be much more likely to make long-term purchases.”

Wall Street Journal“US Housing Market To Rebound In 2011 -Freddie Mac Economist” (12-6-10)

“Macroeconomic factors suggest the U.S. housing market will improve in 2011, Freddie Mac’s chief economist said in a note Monday.”

USA Today - “Bernanke: Economy is fragile ‘very close to the border’” (12-6-10)

“Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is stepping up his defense of the Fed’s $600 billion Treasury bond-purchase plan, saying the economy is still struggling to become ‘self-sustaining’ without government help.”

Housing Wire“Chicago Fed sees housing sector improvement in 2011″ (12-6-10)

“The Fed forecasts that housing starts will reach 600,000 by the end of the fourth quarter of 2010 and increase to a total of 690,000 starts in 2011. The total number of housing starts in 2009 was 550,000.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Mae to suspend foreclosure evictions for the holidays” (12-6-10)

“Fannie Mae will suspend foreclosure evictions from Dec. 20 through Jan. 3, 2011. The government-sponsored enterprise routinely halts the foreclosure process during the holiday season. Fannie currently holds a 4.56% serious delinquency rate on its mortgage portfolio, totaling more than $798 billion worth of loans as of October.”

Housing Wire - “HUD program keeps 750,000 Americans from homelessness” (12-6-10)

“The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development prevented or ended homelessness for 750,000 Americans through its Homelessness Prevention and Rapid Re-housing Program, the department’s secretary Shaun Donovan said Thursday.”

Housing Wire“MBA says FHA indemnification proposal penalizes responsible mortgage lenders” (12-6-10)

“In October, the FHA proposed a new regulation forcing lenders to reimburse the government for insurance claims on defaulted mortgages that did not meet its guidelines within five years of the endorsement. It would require all new and existing lenders with the ability to insure loans on behalf of the Department of Housing and Urban Development to meet stricter performance standards.”

Bloomberg - “Your Underwater Mortgage Needs a Blow-Up Raft: Caroline Baum” (12-6-10)

“How can such a small sector of the $13.3 trillion economy exert such a strong downward pull on the whole thing? Real residential investment, as it’s formally known in the gross domestic product report, accounted for 2.4 percent of GDP in the third quarter. At its frothiest, in 2005, that share stood at 6.2 percent, a three-decade high.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/01/10

Wednesday, December 1st, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Freddie Mac announced it will suspend foreclosure evictions from Dec. 20 to Jan. 3, 2011. Automatic Data Processing reports the U.S. economy added 93,000 private-sector jobs during November. The Federal Reserve shared information about more than 21,000 individual transactions which provided $3 trillion in liquidity for market stabilization. According to the MBA, mortgage applications decreased 16.5% last week.

In The News:

NAR - “Realtors® Say Mortgage Interest Deduction Vital to Home Ownership, Economy” (12-1-10)

“The tax deductibility of interest paid on mortgages is a powerful incentive for home ownership and has been one of the simplest provisions in the federal tax code for more than 80 years. In a new survey commissioned by NAR and conducted online in October 2010 by Harris Interactive of nearly 3,000 homeowners and renters, nearly three-fourths of homeowners and two-thirds of renters said the mortgage interest deduction was extremely or very important to them.”

Wall Street Journal“Deficit-Panel Chiefs Urge Tax, Spending Changes” (12-1-10)

“A 59-page proposal from the co-chairmen of the White House’s deficit-reduction commission, which they labeled ‘The Moment of Truth,’ calls for sweeping changes in how the country spends money and collects taxes, the starting point for a long debate about how to tackle the U.S. debt.”

Inman - “Move Inc. launches mortgage site” (12-1-10)

“Like other sites and services that enable consumers to shop for mortgages online, MortgageMatch.com employs an automated pricing engine that allows consumers to see the loan products and rates offered by multiple lenders.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“Refinance Activity Continues to Decline as Rates Rise in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (12-1-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 26, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 16.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. This week’s results include an adjustment to account for the Thanksgiving holiday. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 34.2 percent compared with the previous week.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“MBA: Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Delinquency Rates Mixed in Third Quarter” (12-1-10)

“Delinquency rates for different commercial/multifamily mortgage investor groups were mixed in the third quarter, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Commercial/Multifamily Delinquency Report. The delinquency rate for loans held in CMBS is the highest since the series began in 1997. Delinquency rates for other groups remain below levels seen in the early 1990′s, some by large margins.”

Housing Wire“Freddie Mac to suspend foreclosure evictions this holiday season” (12-1-10)

“Freddie Mac will suspend foreclosure evictions from Dec. 20 to Jan. 3, 2011, the company announced Wednesday. Freddie Mac’s mortgage portfolio stands at $39.6 billion as of October, according to its monthly summary report. Its serious delinquency rate stood at 3.82% in October as well.”

Housing Wire“November employment increase largest in three years” (12-1-10)

“The U.S. economy added 93,000 private-sector jobs in November from the previous month, the largest gain in three years and a sign of a ‘brightening’ employment situation, according to the Automatic Data Processing report Wednesday. However, the improvement will not be enough to lower the unemployment rate, which according to ADP will likely remain above 9% for all of 2011.”

Housing Wire“Bair says more regulation needed to restore integrity of mortgage servicing” (12-1-10)

“Bair said the robo-signing scandal spawned from misaligned incentives in the servicing industry, and called on the Financial Stability Oversight Council to fill in the regulatory gaps left by the Dodd-Frank Act. Regulation is needed to track the title of a loan and to properly document the foreclosure process, she said.”

Housing Wire“Secret’s out: Federal Reserve reveals who got help in midst of financial crisis” (12-1-10)

“The Federal Reserve Board on Wednesday posted detailed information about more than 21,000 individual transactions that provided $3 trillion in liquidity to stabilize markets during the nation’s financial crisis.An analysis of the data by The Wall Street Journal showed Goldman Sachs used an emergency overnight loan program from the Fed 84 times for a total of nearly $600 billion. The Primary Dealer Credit Facility, announced in March 2008, was used 212 times by Morgan Stanley”

Bloomberg - “Fannie, Freddie Spar With Regulators on Foreclosures” (12-1-10)

“Acting Comptroller of the Currency John Walsh said in testimony prepared for a congressional hearing today that his agency is directing national bank servicers to suspend foreclosures for borrowers actively seeking to qualify for loan modifications.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR reported that pending home sales increased during October by 3.7 percent. The California Board of Equalization claimed that most homeowners would see a decline in property tax after a deflation of 0.237 percent.  According to Real Estate Econometrics LLC, the commercial mortgage default rate on loans held by U.S. banks increased to 3.4 percent in the third quarter of 09.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/4/10

Monday, October 4th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

GMAC Mortgage, JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America may have to reconsider past evictions due to poor foreclosure processing procedures. According to the NAR, pending home sales rose 4.3% in August. The CAR expects 2010 home sales to be 10% lower than the total number of sales in 2009. 10.2% of all mortgages in the nation’s top-100 most populated areas are over 90 days delinquent.

In The News:

New York Times“Flawed Paperwork Aggravates a Foreclosure Crisis” (10-3-10)

“The flawed practices that GMAC Mortgage, JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America have recently begun investigating are so prevalent, lawyers and legal experts say, that additional lenders and loan servicers are likely to halt foreclosure proceedings and may have to reconsider past evictions.”

Wall Street Journal“Number of the Week: 41.7 Million Spend Too Much on Housing” (10-2-10)

“As of 2009, some 41.7 million U.S. households, or 36.7% of the total, faced housing costs that exceeded 30% of their pretax income — a level typically defined as the threshold of affordability. That’s an increase of 1.5 million from 2007, despite a sharp drop in house prices and policy makers’ extraordinary efforts to bring down mortgage payments.”

Washington Post“Paperwork storm hits nation’s biggest bank” (10-2-10)

“A Bank of America executive, Renee Hertzler, said in a February deposition in Massachusetts that she signed as many as 8,000 foreclosure documents a month without reviewing them.”

Orange County Register“When real estate riches turn to rags” (10-4-10)

“Bankruptcy court records show that nearly 700 mostly elderly investors entrusted their savings in PPA, as the firm is known. Attorneys estimate that they lost $80 million to $90 million – most, if not all, the money that investors put in. PPA raised cash from investors with plans to buy apartment buildings, fix them up and sell them for a profit, promising returns of up to 15 percent a year.”

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Show Another Gain” (10-4-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, rose 4.3 percent to 82.3 based on contracts signed in August from a downwardly revised 78.9 in July, but is 20.1 percent below August 2009 when it was 103.0. The data reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months.”

CAR - “C.A.R. 2011 California Housing Market Forecast” (10-4-10)

“California home sales for 2010 are forecast to decline 10 percent from the 2009 sales figure of 546,500 homes sold. Sales in 2011 are projected to increase a lackluster 2 percent to 502,000 units compared with 492,000 units (projected) in 2010. After two consecutive years of record-setting price declines, the median home price in California will climb 11.5 percent in 2010 to $306,500 and increase another 2 percent in 2011 to $312,500, according to the forecast.”

Housing Wire - “Study shows one in 10 mortgages seriously delinquent” (10-4-10)

“Working with the Local Initiatives Support Corp., and the Urban Institute gathered and analyzed delinquency data on 366 U.S. metro areas. Seriously delinquent mortgages are behind on payments by 90-plus days or in foreclosure. According to the study 10.2% of all mortgages in the top-100 populated areas were in this category, up from 7.7% in March 2009.”

Housing Wire“New FHA data requirements for sponsored origination effective today” (10-4-10)

“New data requirements for loans originated by sponsored originators for securities backed by the Federal Housing Administration take effect today. If a lender plans to use a sponsored originator, they must be registered in the FHA database and included on all loan application documents.”

Housing Wire“Fed official hints at second round of quantitative easing” (10-4-10)

“Federal Reserve Bank of New York Executive Vice President Brian Sack is dropping hints that the Fed will soon begin to purchase mortgage-backed securities as part of quantitative easing and larger economic stimulus.”

Housing Wire - “2010 consumer bankruptcy filings hit highest level since 2005″ (10-4-10)

“Consumer bankruptcy filings increased 3.3% from August, to 130,329. Chapter 13 filings accounted for 30% of those, also a slight increase from the month previous. The American Banking Institute it expects the number of bankruptcy filings to steadily increase.”

Housing Wire“Home prices drop for fourth straight month: Altos Research” (10-4-10)

“Home prices in the Altos Research 10-city composite index dropped 1.5% to an average median price of $465,968 in September after a 1% drop the month before.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/1/10

Friday, October 1st, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

9 of the nation’s top 20 most stressed housing markets are in California. The Commerce Department reports construction spending increased 0.4 percent in August. Multiple housing analysts predict evictions to decrease dramatically. President Obama signed the bill to extend higher-loan limits for GSEs.

In The News:

Inman - “Bill targets private transfer fees” (10-1-10)

“Private transfer fee covenants typically allow a third party, such as a developer, to collect a fee equal to 1 percent of a property’s sale price every time its sold. The covenants are often in place for as long as 99 years.”

Wall Street Journal “Which Cities Face Biggest Housing Risks?” (10-1-10)

“Within more than 500 metro areas, the top 20 most stressed include nine in California and six in Florida, where the housing bust has been particularly acute. Among the most populous cities, Miami tops the list, followed by California’s Inland Empire, Los Angeles and San Diego.”

Sacramento Bee“August construction spending up 0.4 percent” (10-1-10)

“Construction spending edged up 0.4 percent in August following a 1.4 percent drop in July, the Commerce Department reported Friday. While spending on government projects rose 2.5 percent, spending on private construction projects dropped to the lowest level in 12 years.”

New York Times“Foreclosures seen slowing as document flaws emerge” (10-1-10)

“Evictions are expected to slow sharply, housing analysts said, as state and national law enforcement officials shine a light on questionable foreclosure methods revealed by two of the country’s biggest home lenders in the last two weeks.”

Housing Wire“Obama signs bill to extend higher-loan limits for GSEs” (10-1-10)

“President Obama signed a bill into law Thursday that extends higher-loan limits for the government sponsored enterprises, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, for one year. The provisions under H.R. 3081 also allocate $20 billion to the Federal Housing Administration General and Special Risk Insurance Funds to continue making loans through the end of 2010.”

Housing Wire“Foreclosure robo-signers put homebuyers’ tax credit at risk” (10-1-10)

“Homebuyers who were set to close on the purchase of a foreclosed home may not qualify now for the homebuyer tax credit after lenders suspended those sales in 23 states, real estate agents tell HousingWire.”

Housing Wire“California AG demands JPMorgan Chase halt foreclosures” (10-1-10)

“California Attorney General Jerry Brown is the latest to call for JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 38.81 +1.97%) to halt foreclosures in the state. California is not one of the 23 states Ally Financial, formerly GMAC, and JPMorgan Chase suspended foreclosure sales in. Brown already ordered Ally to suspend foreclosures in his state.”

Housing Wire“Fannie, Freddie instruct servicers to review foreclosures” (10-1-10)

“Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will provide instructions to servicers Friday to review foreclosure processes, ensuring each is in compliance with state law. Major lenders and servicers are reviewing foreclosure processes following announcements from Ally Financial, formerly GMAC Mortgage, and JPMorgan Chase suspended foreclosure sales and cases in 23 states when faulty documentation was detected. Employees at those two companies were signing affidavits without knowledge of the documentation or a notary present.”

Housing Wire“Amherst: Principal reductions could ‘re-equify’ 11m in imminent default” (10-1-10)

“The housing market is quite fragile and if government policy doesn’t change 20% of American homeowners — roughly 11 million — are in danger of losing their home, according to Amherst Mortgage Insight.”

Bloomberg - “FDIC Plans to Sell $1.12 Billion in Property Loans Seized in Bank Failures” (10-1-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. plans to seek bids for about $1.12 billion of commercial and residential real estate loans as part of the agency’s sale of assets seized from failed banks.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index showed that sales increased by 6.4 percent in August. Research from Deutsche Bank Securities showed that 26 percent of borrowers owed more than their home was worth.  A survey displayed that realtors were in favor of expanding the $8,000 dollar tax credit. Regulation Z changes came into effect.  Realtors were interested in expanding first-time tax credit to repeat buyers.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

190-TNG Radio – Peter Wayman 9-4-10

Friday, September 3rd, 2010

Andrew-Waite

Peter Wayman

Senior REO Sales Director for Freddie Mac


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September 17th, 2010, The Norris Group returns with its award winning event I Survived Real Estate 2010. The Norris Group has assembled an incredible line up of industry experts to discuss the state of REO from the inside. Topics will include regulatory intervention and aftermath, bulk buying, myths and facts, and opportunities emerging for real estate professionals. 100 percent of the proceeds support the Orange County affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure. This event would not be possible without generous help from the following platinum partners: Foreclosure Radar and Sean O’Toole, the San Diego Creative Real Estate Investors Association and Bill Tan, Investors Workshops and Shawn Watkins and Angel Bronsgeest, Invest Club for Women and Iris Veneracion and Bobby Alexander, Claudia Buys Houses, The Business Press, Frye Wiles, MVT Productions, and White House Catering.

This week Bruce is joined by Peter Wayman. Peter is the Senior REO Sales Director for Freddie Mac. He oversees the design of sales strategies and how those strategies are applied across the REO portfolio. His group oversees the retail sales process, auctions and investor sales. Peter is responsible for the Affordable Housing Strategy: selling homes to organizations engaged in neighborhood stabilization. Peter came to Freddie Mac with 32 years of executive relocation experience. In that position, he has won national awards and is in the hall of fame.

The major product offered by the relocation industry has been the purchase of the transferee’s home. Peter is accustomed to valuing and selling on a cost plus basis. He does not have to foreclose and evict transferees, but he does have to call executives of companies and tell them the value of their homes. The relocation industry operates globally.

Freddie Mac’s primary method for selling homes is to put them in the hands of great brokers. Also, special incentives are offered to owner occupants to encourage purchasing. Freddie Mac’s focus is to make home buying possible, and to do that by positioning their homes fairly for owner occupants. To effectively use this strategy, homes must be conditioned for financing, buyer’s closing costs must be addressed, and home warrantee programs are offered as well. Freddie is biased towards getting owner occupants into homes.

History shows that if an owner occupant lives in a house, their occupancy improves their neighborhood. Freddie Mac is concerned with neighborhood stabilization. When owner occupants invest their money into a house, they connect more with the community and have more pride in their community.

In 2009, Freddie Mac ended the year with 71% of its homes going to owner occupants. This year, we are slightly under that percentage. We are in a prime selling season now, and Freddie Mac is finishing one of their special programs for owner occupants.

The ratio of 70:30 for owner occupants to other types of owners is considered acceptable by Freddie Mac. Freddie realizes that some of their properties are not currently suitable for occupants. Freddie puts the Neighborhood Stabilization funds into the hands of an NSP grantee for properties in bad condition. The NSP grantee uses the funds to renovate the home, add green energy options to it, and then sell it to an affordable buyer. These homes often receive $30,000 in renovations, which is not something that many private investors can do. Most of these funds are targeting extremely hard hit areas and some homes are even being considered for tear down.

Not all investors do a bad job of renovating properties, but Freddie Mac has to deal with a wide scope of investors. Freddie Mac considers responsible investors to be a viable option for getting rid of inventory.

NSP funds are delivered from a city or county. The largest portions of the funds come from the federal government, but state governments, land banks, and non-profit associations are also engaged in neighborhood stabilization. Freddie Mac is open to working with all of these companies.

Companies with NSP funds have an advantage when looking for properties owned by Freddie Mac. Freddie Mac uses an NCST (National Community Stabilization Trust), which provides access to grantees with NSP funds. The NCST works with a large number of grantees and servicers. It creates an interchange which shows all of the servicer’s properties on a google-type map. The grantees may then look to see if there are properties being offered in their designated census tracks for neighborhood stabilization. They then immediately have the opportunity to ask the servicer for a home’s price. All of this happens during the pre-list phase of moving REO inventory, so grantees have the opportunity to view properties while Freddie Mac is still valuing the properties.

Some cities have had trouble spending their funds for damaged properties. This may be due to the difference in reaction time when compared to a private investor. Some of the NSP-1 funds had to be committed as of today, but there are also NSP-2 and NSP-3 funds. Each grantee takes a different approach on assembling their programs. Some of them got started more quickly than others.

Freddie Mac has been heavily involved in the modification process and in foreclosure alternatives. Peter believes those two tools are becoming much more effective, because the servicers and Freddie Mac are developing more effective automation. Also, staff training has improved, and the real estate community is becoming more educated. All of these things have helped make modifications and foreclosure alternatives more effective.

Banks are beginning to address serious delinquencies. At the end of the 4th quarter of 2009, serious delinquencies peaked at 4.13 percent of all mortgages. This percentage has been coming down for 5 months in a row.

We are also seeing the REO inventory increasing. In January 2009, we had 21,000 REO homes, and in January 2010, we had 45,000. At the end of July 1st, we had 62,000 REOs. That 62,000 represents inventory in redemption, eviction, pre-list, listed, sold and going into closing. Generally speaking, over 50 percent of REO inventory is in redemption, eviction, and pre-list. That number is currently closer to 55 percent.

Peter believes it has been proven that losses are lessened by modifications. The sooner you address the problem, the lower the costs are in the process. A foreclosure should be considered a last resort.

Modifications had a 60 percent failure rate. Peter believes that as the modification process has gone to using written verification and careful coaching, the failure rate has gone down.

In September, Peter will be a part of the I Survived Real Estate 2010 panel. He will be speaking in front of about 400 eager investors, who will be trying to figure out how to get their share of Freddie Mac’s properties, and possibly even get a chance at a bulk purchase.

Peter is very excited to work with this charity program. Freddie Mac has to be primarily concerned with getting rid of properties at the lowest cost to the tax payer. Freddie Mac has discovered that nothing works better than listing properties with a great real estate broker, exposing it to the entire market, having a property priced and conditioned right, and allowing that exposure to drive a retail sale within 90 to 120 days. This focus tends to work extremely well. There are some assets that do not sell within that time frame. When assests don’t sell well, Freddie Mac turns to ballroom auctions and online auctions, and finally to bulk sales for investors. Investor bulk sales are not perceived as having the highest potential recovery rate. Less than 0.5 percent goes through bulk investor sales. Freddie Mac is currently developing a better strategy for bulk sales. There should be more bulk sale activity in the future.

Some states have different real estate problems, and there are some problems that necessitate different solutions. In Florida, Freddie Mac has a waver on REO condo requirements, so Florida condos make great candidates for bulk sales. Properties with Chinese drywall, low values, no insurance options, no occupancy certificates, or environmental problems will be more likely to end up in a bulk sale. Lots of investors contact Freddie Mac asking to buy all the $200,000 properties in California and Arizona. Peter responds to those investors saying, “You mean all those properties that I get multiple offers on within the first two weeks of being listed on the market?” Freddie Mac does not need investors to buy those properties.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Thank you for being a Gold Sponsor for I Survived Real Estate 2010: Adrenaline Athletics, Benton Investment Group, Community RE-Invest Group, Delmae Properties, Elite Auctions, Entrust California, Everlast Photography, Inland Empire Investors Forum, Keystone CPA, Landwood Title, Las Brisas Escrow, Leivas Financial Services, Mike Cantu, North San Diego Real Estate Investors Association, Northern California Real Estate Investors Association, Personal Real Estate Investor Magazine, Realty 411 Magazine, San Jose Real Estate Investor Association, Rick and LeeAnne Rossiter, San Jose Real Estate Investor Association, Starz Photography, Summit Solutions, Tony Alvarez, Wealth Point, and Westin South Coast Plaza.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/3/10

Monday, May 3rd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Construction activity increased by 0.2 percent in March, according to the Commerce Department. Statistics from RealtyTrac show 35 percent of the population owns their property free and clear and that less than 1 percent of all homes nationally are in foreclosure. Sellers are advised to stage their homes prior to selling, and to pay extra attention to the bathroom areas.

In The News:

Sign on San Diego“March construction activity posts unexpected gain” (5-3-10)

“The Commerce Department said Monday that construction activity increased by 0.2 percent in March, the first advance since last October. The small gain took economists by surprise. They had been forecasting a 0.3 percent drop. The strength came from a 2.3 percent rise in public building projects, the biggest increase in 13 months. That helped offset declines in the private sector, where activity fell to the lowest point since January 1999.”

Housing Wire“Down the Rabbit Hole: Unraveling the Latest Delinquency Statistics” (5-3-10)

“Delinquencies almost always tend to decline month-over-month in February and March of each year, as households use their tax refunds to play catch-up and/or stay ahead of the collection calls (and as holiday foreclosure and REO eviction moratoriums expire, too). We saw this effect last year, actually, in most product types, too; the seasonal pattern in the DQ numbers had fallen apart in 2007 and 2008, however, as mortgage loans were going bad at what seemed to be a parabolic rate each and every month.”

Orange County Register“Newport Beach hardest place to sell a home” (5-3-10)

“The ‘hardest’ O.C. town to find a home to buy in terms of ‘market time’(supply of homes for sale vs. new purchase deals inked in past month) is Aliso Viejo at 1.1 months to theoretically sell all for-sale homes at the current buying pace. A year ago, this town was at 1.9 months.”

Orange County Register“Supply of O.C. homes for sale up 31%” (5-3-10)

“Over the past two weeks, the inventory has increased by 174 homes to 9,351, a 2% increase. We started the year at 7,165 listings and have added 2,186 homes to the active inventory to date. Last year, the inventory continued to drop from mid-March to the New Year. The increase seems gradual, but when looked at since the beginning of the year, a 31% increase is pretty profound. Agents in the trenches are stating that there are more overpriced, unrealistic sellers placing their homes on the market. Prior to the start of the year I forecasted that the discretionary seller would return; however, if more and more homes are placed on the market at unrealistic values, the inventory will continue to rise. This rise in inventory could dampen demand. This is a trend that we will have to continue to watch”

Inman - “6 mindsets that hurt agents’ business” (5-3-10)

“Did you know that 35 percent of the population owns their property free and clear and that less than 1 percent of all homes nationally are in foreclosure, according to a recent RealtyTrac report. In other words, there are plenty of opportunities to buy and sell property that do not require you to work with a distressed property. The reasons people move have not changed. People still buy because of weddings and divorces, changes in family size, retirements and transfers. There are ample opportunities out there if you are open to finding them.”

Realty Times“Being a Wimp on the Weak Side” (5-3-10)

“The buyer side is the weak side. It is a refuge for agents who don’t prepare. I know these are harsh statements; however, agents who continually think about this business, practice in this business, and are successful in this business consistently carry large listing inventories. As I have said many times before, having listings is your least expensive and most effective way to find buyers. Even the top agents, who loathe spending their day as a tour guide and hire a buyer’s agent at 50% of gross, still work with the occasional buyer generated from a listing.”

Realty Times“Preparing For Home Showings” (5-3-10)

“Luxurious bathrooms are a must. A bathroom that is clean and full of comfort is appealing to most every buyer. Arrange new towels and rugs, as well as burn fresh smelling candles. Consider adding rich decor, such as paintings.”

Housing Wire“‘Cheap Homes’ Tops Real Estate Web Searches in Q110″ (5-3-10)

“Searches for rental properties increased 171%, while searches for real estate for sale were up 32% in Q110 compared to Q109. The rental terms that experienced the greatest increase were ‘cheap homes for rent’ (128%), ‘house for rent by owner’ (94%) and ‘home for rent by owner’ (84%).”

47-TNG Radio – Ward Hanigan 12-22-07

Friday, December 21st, 2007

Ward_Hanigan

Ward Hanigan

Foreclosure Specialist

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Bruce Norris is joined once again by California foreclosure expert Ward Hanigan. Bruce and Ward in this session discuss new litigation which could mean big trouble for lenders, the bill being introduced that would allow “cram downs,” the lost art of assumptions, selling real estate today in San Diego, what Ward’s students are doing now, why the real estate industry at large was so unprepared for the downturn, percentage hit in price in San Diego so far, the rental market, predicted bottom of the market, Ward’s favorite title holding entity, the Land Trust, three different entities to hold properties, and subject to.

Ward Hanigan is a full-time foreclosure specialist and trainer in San Diego County. He brings you over 37 years of real estate experience, with a degree in Economics and a Doctorate in Law. He has worked in California’s foreclosure market exclusively since 1982, and as a consequence he has extensive experience finding cash, researching title, handling evictions, rehabbing, reselling, consulting, and is a “one-on-one” trainer and mentor to some of the most successful foreclosure practitioners in the Western United States.

46-TNG Radio – Ward Hanigan 12-15-07

Saturday, December 15th, 2007

Ward_Hanigan

Ward Hanigan

Foreclosure Specialist

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Bruce Norris is joined by Southern California foreclosure expert and president of ForeclosureForum.com, Ward Hanigan. Bruce and Ward discuss how Ward got started in the forclosure business, investing in the 1980s, why Ward went for a law degree, Ward’s early mentors, California trustee sale market in the 1980s, what the trustee sale market is doing now, Ward’s Dingbat Retirement Program, how he has set up a reoccurring income stream, what properties he finds attractive, why tenants can make or break an investment, finding your customer and finding out what they want, Section 8, how San Diego has changed since late 2005, current conversion rates of trustee sales, deal breakers when looking at trustee sale properties, Ward’s take on the new subprime solutions, what lenders will be dealing with in 2008.

Ward Hanigan is a full-time foreclosure specialist and trainer in San Diego County. He brings you over 37 years of real estate experience, with a degree in Economics and a Doctorate in Law. He has worked in California’s foreclosure market exclusively since 1982, and as a consequence he has extensive experience finding cash, researching title, handling evictions, rehabbing, reselling, consulting, and is a “one-on-one” trainer and mentor to some of the most successful foreclosure practitioners in the Western United States.