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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 8/24/10

Tuesday, August 24th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Existing home sales experienced a dramatic decrease of 27.2 percent in July, according to the NAR. Housing production decreased by 10 percent in June. The CAR reports California home sales decreased 20.8 percent in July. Statistics from the California Employment Development Department show that 7,100 jobs were lost from July 2009.

In The News:

NAR - “July Existing-Home Sales Fall as Expected but Prices Rise” (8-24-10)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, dropped 27.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.83 million units in July from a downwardly revised 5.26 million in June, and are 25.5 percent below the 5.14 million-unit level in July 2009.”

CBIA - “California Housing Production Increases in July, CBIA Announces” (8-24-10)

“According to statistics compiled by the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB), permits were pulled for 4,165 total housing units in July, up 35 percent from the same month a year ago but down 10 percent from June. Permits for single-family homes totaled 1,951, down 9 percent from July 2009 and down 31 percent from the previous month, while multifamily permits totaled 2,214, up 134 percent from a year ago and up 25 percent from May.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Wells Fargo Tops U.S. Commercial/Multifamily Servicers in MBA Mid-Year Rankings Report” (8-24-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its mid-year ranking of commercial and multifamily mortgage servicers as of the end of June 30, 2010. Topping the list of firms is Wells Fargo with $462.8 billion in U.S. master and primary servicing, followed by PNC Real Estate/Midland Loan Services with $307.9 billion, Berkadia Commercial Mortgage with $202.6 billion, Bank of America Merrill Lynch with $133.4 billion and KeyBank Real Estate Capital with $124.7 billion.”

CAR - “July sales and price report” (8-24-10)

“California home sales decreased 20.8 percent in July compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 10.4 percent from July 2009, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.”

Housing Wire – “Disappointing Homes Sales Unlikely to Reverse Course” (8-24-10)

“Predictions that home prices may drop into double digits continue to drag down sales. Bill Gross, managing director of the world’s biggest bond fund, PIMCO remarked that the idea of a rebound anytime soon is ‘ludicrous.’ In a meeting at the US Treasury last week, Gross called for combining the government-sponsored entities into one entity that insures the majority of current and future originations.”

Housing Wire – “60% of Delinquent Mortgages Not in Loss Mitigation” (8-24-10)

“According to a study from the State Foreclosure Prevention Working Group (SFPWG), 60% of borrowers with mortgages delinquent by 60 days or more are not being forwarded to the servicer’s loss mitigation department.”

Bloomberg - “Purchases of Existing Homes in U.S. Probably Slumped in July” (8-24-10)

“Sales of U.S. previously owned homes probably plunged in July to the lowest level since March 2009, evidence the market is restrained by foreclosures and limited job growth, economists said before a report today. Purchases dropped 13.4 percent from June to a 4.65 million annual rate, according to the median of 73 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey. A decline would be the third in a row.”

Orange County Register – “Corona del Mar is O.C.’s ‘coldest’ market” (8-24-10)

“The pricier the town, the harder it is to sell a home there right now, the latest O.C. home inventory report from Steve Thomas at Altera Real Estate shows. Corona del Mar, for example, was Orange County’s ‘coldest’ market in the past 30 days. In theory, it would take 11 1/2 months to sell all the homes on the market there at the current sales pace, the highest ‘market time’ for any O.C. community in the 30 days ending on Aug. 19. Other ‘cold’ markets likewise tend to be home to some of O.C.’s most expensive housing.”

Orange County Register – “Real estate, building jobs down 5% in July” (8-24-10)

“Indeed, construction suffered the largest year-over-year decline among every employment category, the state Employment Development Department reported. Construction jobs fell by 7,100 positions from July 2009, down nearly 10%. Construction jobs totaled 65,700 in July, state figures show.”

Orange County Register – “Broker: No tsunami of repo’d homes to hit market” (8-24-10)

“This shadow inventory has to be worked through, but is not going to occur as a tsunami of distressed properties to hit the market all at once. Instead, we are going to witness slow increases and drops over the next few years. This slow absorption will not pull down values like it did at the beginning of this downturn and it will keep a lid on any substantial appreciation. Once employment improves, the pathway to an eventual healthy and stable recovery will occur.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, 45,079 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide in one month. Home sales in the Bay Area hit a 4 year high. The Federal Reserve accepted $2.3 billion in investor requests for financing to purchase legacy commercial mortgage-backed securities.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 8/12/10

Thursday, August 12th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Freddie Mac’s claims the average rate for 30-year fixed loans this week fell to 4.44 percent. RealtyTrac reports that national foreclosures increased 3.6% from last month. Initial unemployment insurance claims increased this week by 2,000 to 484,000, according to the Department of Labor. Foreclosure Radar announced notices of default filings in California slipped 4.8% from June, and notices of trustee sale fell 18.9%.

In The News:

NAHB - “Active Adult Home Builder Activity, Confidence Drop” (8-12-10)

“Builder confidence in the mature-housing market retreated during this year’s second quarter, according to data from the National Association of Home Builders’ 55+ Housing Market Index (55+ HMI) – a quarterly survey of the association’s builder members engaged in the production of mature-market housing. This past quarter’s index values dropped for all areas surveyed, compared to the previous year’s second quarter.”

Associated Press – “Mortgage rates hit low of 4.44 pct.” (8-12-10)

“Mortgage buyer Freddie Mac says the average rate for 30-year fixed loans this week was 4.44 percent, down from 4.49 percent last week. That’s the lowest since Freddie Mac began tracking rates in 1971.”

Inman - “FHA premium changes pushed to Oct. 4″ (8-12-10)

“FHA Commissioner David Stevens announced last week that upfront premiums for FHA mortgage insurance would be rolled back from 2.25 percent to 1 percent on Sept. 7, while annual premiums would nearly double. FHA had raised upfront premiums from 1.75 percent to 2.25 percent in April, to cope with rising losses on FHA-guaranteed loans. The Obama administration promised to reduce upfront premiums if Congress gave it the authority to raise annual premiums beyond their statutory limit of 0.55 percent.”

CNN - “Foreclosures rise in July” (8-12-10)

“The latest foreclosure numbers carried a mixed message: They’re up 3.6% from the month before but down 9.7% from 12 months earlier. In July there were more than 325,000 foreclosure filings — including notices of default, auctions notices and bank repossessions. That is the 17th month in a row total filings exceeded 300,000, said RealtyTrac’s CEO, James Saccacio.”

Sacramento Bee – “42,000 of California’s jobless will get help with mortgages” (8-12-10)

“More than 42,000 laid-off California homeowners are about to get a break. Starting Nov. 1, the government will help them make mortgage payments while they look for another job. Wednesday, the U.S. Treasury Department added $476.2 million to a $64 million state program that will pay jobless homeowners up to $1,500 a month.”

Housing Wire – “Weekly Jobless Claims Swell to 484,000″ (8-12-10)

“The number of initial unemployment insurance claims grew by 2,000 to 484,000 in the week ending August 7, swelling more than expected after last week’s initial figure was revised upward. The four-week moving average rose to 473,500, from the previous week’s revised average of 459,250, according to new data today from the US Department of Labor (DOL).”

Housing Wire - “California Foreclosure Activity Remains Mixed in July” (8-12-10)

“California mortgage defaults and foreclosure activity remained mixed in July, according to ForeclosureRadar, which tracks filings across the state. Foreclosure filings and cancellations dropped in July after rising in June while foreclosure sales rose after dropping last month. Notices of default filings slipped 4.8% from June and 47% from the same month last year. Notices of trustee sale fell 18.9% from June and 30.5% from July 2009″

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mac Economist Finds Growing Investor Preference for Hard Cash” (8-12-10)

“In Freddie Mac’s report, ‘Where Have All the Originations Gone?’ released Wednesday, the government sponsored entity (GSE) said that 25% of 2010 existing home sales are all-cash transactions. This proves to be a growing trend in home buying as the percentage of cash transactions was between 5% and 10% just a few years ago.”

Wall Street Journal - “Foreclosed On—By the U.S.” (8-12-10)

“The Federal Reserve Bank of New York is facing the prospect of foreclosing on a number of properties in the coming months, from homes to commercial buildings, a result of a souring mortgage portfolio it took over when it helped bail out Bear Stearns in 2008.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 8/11/10

Wednesday, August 11th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA’s weekly survey shows mortgage application volume increased by 0.6 percent. The Obama will provide the Treasury Department and HUD with $3 billion for aiding homeowners. The NAR reports that most U.S. metro areas experienced a decrease in home prices during the second quarter, and distressed homes accounted for 32 percent of second quarter sales.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Essentially Unchanged Despite Lowest Rates in MBA Weekly Survey” (8-11-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 6, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 0.4 percent compared with the previous week.”

Associated Press - “Obama administration to provide $3B in housing aid” (8-11-10)

“The Treasury Department says it will send $2 billion to 17 states that have unemployment rates higher than the national average for a year. They will use the money for programs to aid unemployed homeowners. Some of those states have already designed such programs. Another $1 billion will go to a new program being run by the Department of Housing and Urban Development. It will provide homeowners with emergency zero-interest rate loans of up to $50,000 for up to two years.”

NAR - “Broad Stabilization in Second Quarter Metro Area Home Prices with Strong Sales” (8-11-10)

“In the second quarter, 100 out of 155 metropolitan statistical areas1 (MSAs) had higher median existing single-family home prices in comparison with the second quarter of 2009, including 14 with double-digit increases; two were unchanged and 53 metros showed price declines. In the first quarter of this year 91 areas had higher prices, while only 26 MSAs experienced annual price gains in second quarter of 2009. The national median existing single-family price was $176,900 in the second quarter, up 1.5 percent from $174,200 in the same period of 2009. The median is where half sold for more and half sold for less. Distressed homes accounted for 32 percent of second quarter sales, down from 36 percent a year ago.”

Sign on San Diego – “Price reductions on San Diego homes increase” (8-11-10)

“As of Aug. 1, 23 percent of all the homes for sale in the City of San Diego had seen a price reduction, says a report by Trulia.com, a real estate website. That’s compared to July where 20 percent of the homes for sale in San Diego had experienced a price cut. The average price reduction was 8 percent. On a national level, Trulia estimated that 25 percent of all home listings have had at least one price reduction. The average size of the cut was 10 percent of the original list price, chopping an estimated $30.1 billion in value.”

Housing Wire – “Foreclosures Down 5% in First Half of 2010: Foreclosure Listings Nationwide” (8-11-10)

“Foreclosure Listings Nationwide said second-quarter foreclosures rose 1% from the year ago and declined 4% from the prior quarter. More than 1.6m properties began the foreclosure process during the six months ending June 30, representing a nearly 7% decline from a year ago.”

Housing Wire – “Fitch Sees $100bn in Special Servicing CMBS Loans by Year End” (8-11-10)

“Commercial real estate loans that require special servicing continue to climb with the total volume projected to reach $100bn by the end of 2010. These loans are used as collateral in commercial backed mortgage securitizations (CMBS).”

Housing Wire – “FHA Postpones Premium Changes until October” (8-11-10)

“Last week, Federal Housing Administration (FHA) commissioner David Stevens announced plans for implementing FHA’s new mortgage insurance premium structure. Based on industry feedback to the announcement, the FHA postponed the premium fee changes on all new case numbers for one month, and will now implement them on Oct. 4, 2010.”

Housing Wire – “Most Borrowers Choose Fixed-Rate Mortgages for Refinancing, Freddie Says” (8-11-10)

“Borrowers who are refinancing their homes are taking advantage of the lowest fixed-mortgage rates in the past 50 years, according to Freddie Mac’s quarterly Product Transition Report today. The report indicates 95% of refinance loans completed in Q210 were processed with a fixed-rate mortgage (FRM).”

Bloomberg - “Fed Reverses Exit Plans, Sets $2 Trillion Floor for Holdings” (8-11-10)

“Officials directed the New York Fed’s trading desk to reinvest what economists estimate will be $15 billion to $20 billion a month in maturing agency and mortgage-backed securities back into U.S. Treasuries. The purchases will help keep Treasury yields and mortgage costs low and prevent the level of monetary stimulus from shrinking further.”

Realty Times – “Top 10 Things You Need to Know About Self-Directed IRAs” (8-11-10)

“IRAs Can Purchase Almost Anything. A common misconception about IRAs is that purchasing anything other than CDs, stocks, mutual funds or annuities is illegal in an IRA. This is false. The only prohibitions contained in the Internal Revenue Code for IRAs are investments in life insurance contracts and in ‘collectibles.’ Since there are so few restrictions contained in the law, almost anything else which can be documented can be purchased in your IRA. A ‘self-directed’ IRA allows any investment not expressly prohibited by law. Common investment choices include real estate, both domestic and foreign, options, secured and unsecured notes, including first and second liens against real estate, C corporation stock, limited liability companies, limited partnerships, trusts and a whole lot more.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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186-TNG Radio – Daniel Phelan 8-7-10

Friday, August 6th, 2010

Daniel-Phelan

Daniel Phelan

CEO of Pacific Southwest Realty Services


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September 17th, 2010, The Norris Group returns with its award winning event I Survived Real Estate 2010. The Norris Group has assembled an incredible line up of industry experts to discuss the state of REO from the inside. Topics will include regulatory intervention and aftermath, bulk buying, myths and facts, and opportunities emerging for real estate professionals. 100 percent of the proceeds support the Orange County affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure. This event would not be possible without generous help from the following platinum partners: Foreclosure Radar and Sean O’Toole, the San Diego Creative Real Estate InvestorsAssociation and Bill Tan, Investors Workshops and Shawn Watkins and Angel Bronsgeest, Invest Club for Women and Iris Veneracion and Bobby Alexander, San Jose Real Estate Investors Association and Geraldine Barry, Claudia Buys Houses, Frye Wiles, MVT Productions, and White House Catering.

This week Bruce is joined by Daniel Phelan. Daniel is the CEO of Pacific Southwest Realty Services. He is responsible for this company’s mortgage operations. Pacific Southwest Realty Services is an investment firm focused on commercial real estate. It represents and advises both real estate clients and institutional investors in debt. It is involved in equity placement, strategic planning, property sales and loan administration.

In 2006, Daniel’s company was heavily involved in the financing of commercial real estate. His company financed $1.5 billion of commercial real estate per year for every year of the boom.

Daniel does not think that investors perceived a high level of risk in the prices they were paying for real estate during the boom. Prices had been steadily increasing since July 1993. Commercial real estate had a continuous growth pattern all the way to 2007. If you had only been in the business for 15 years and had only seen positive growth, then you probably wouldn’t feel at risk.

The lending side was probably looking at the boom similarly. There was a lot of competition, because Wall Street entered the market. There was a tremendous amount of debt capital in the market, and it was extremely competitively priced. These prices made real estate investments that much more enticing. People saw the need to get their capital invested in some form, and commercial real estate was perceived to be a safe investment.

In 2006 to 2007, down payments were reduced because of the confidence of the market. Borrowers were getting into commercial properties with only 20 percent. Historically, you could probably get most properties financed with 25 to 30 percent down. However, 75 percent is considered to be a more appropriate and safe number.

There are two tiers of debt. Most banks is recourse, but most non-bank debt is nonrecourse. 99.9 percent of the debt for life insurance companies and pension funds is nonrecourse. Because Daniel’s company works with these kinds of firms, they could only look to the real estate for satisfaction of a debt following a default. From 2005 to 2007, many banks backed off their recourse loans and went nonrecourse.

The source of capital during the boom came from portfolio lenders, such as life insurance companies and banks, and nonportfolio lenders, such as securitized lenders and Wall Street lenders. If you were trying to accomplish high loan to value with lower rates, then you probably got involved in the commercial mortgage backed securities market. You would expect a rate of 110-120 over treasuries. Those loans would be pooled into $2 billion pools, and then sold on Wall Street.

Mortgages made near 2006 are not doing well right now. Underwriting standards were very loose at that time. The default rates for those issuances are above 5 percent, and sometimes above 10 percent.

Mezzanine financing can be compared to second trust deed. It is a debt placed behind a first trust deed. It is used for taking cash out of a property, cover tenant improvements, or buy out existing partners to recapitalize the partnership.

During the boom, mezzanine debt could be taken at a 7 to 8 percent rate on the low end. The mezzanine debt today is going for above 10 percent. It is not available for the same loan to value rate. In 2006, you could get 90 percent loan to value. Today, you would be lucky if you got mezzanine debt for 65 percent loan to value. You may not be able to get it at all.

If you intend to occupy a commercial building, you could get 90 percent financing from a bank loan. This is only available to owner occupants, and it is only available in a purchase situation, not a refinance situation. If you were buying a multi-tenant investment property, you probably would get financing from life insurance companies. Banks are beginning to come back to the commercial investment market. With these deals, banks are looking for a full relationship with bank accounts and operating accounts. During the second quarter, the commercial mortgage backed securities market starting coming back. However, this market is not coming back quickly. Daniel’s company funded its first two cmbs loans since 2007.

Daniel’s company always looks at the operating history and income of a property, and then he makes a reasonable expectation of how well that property will operate over time. The projection for those properties is typically not very good. In 2006-07 we had not been hit by unemployment. Most tenants were performing well, and occupancy rates were above 90 percent.

Many commercial loans are coming due in 2012. These loans were underwritten in 2002. These loans are going to cause a big problem. In 2002, underwriting standards were not that “out of wack”. Prices have come down a lot, but they are still greater than what they were in 2002. Daniel think there is plenty of capital to refinance the debt on those properties, and in many cases, lenders are willing to roll over those loans. The bigger problem comes in during 2014 to 2017. During these years, you will have loans on properties with significantly diminished values. At that time, you may start having tenant default issues.

Construction on commercial real estate is not going to perform well. Daniel does not know of any bank that did a commercial construction loan in 2008-09. However, there are some banks now that are willing to loan on a multifamily property now.

Residential real estate is beginning to experience a large number of strategic defaults. Commercial loans are also beginning to default, but not as badly. Commercial property owners can make their payments so long as 70 percent of the tenants are making their payments. Commercial loans are made based on the ability of a property to make income. The commercial property owners that will experience difficulty are the ones that have let go of workers. They may have a large amount of space, but are only using a small portion of it. When their leases come due, these owners will probably move out to a smaller space. This will hurt larger commercial properties.

Most cap rates during the peak were around 6 to 7 percent. For multifamily properties and apartments, cap rates were around 5 percent. As of last year, most cap rates have moved up to 8 to 9 percent. The reason why we have not experienced a dramatic change in cap rates is because of Fannie and Freddy’s involvement.

Daniel believes we are going to see more problems in 2010 rather than improvement. Sales are going to start again, but they are going to have to pay 35 percent down rather than 25 percent.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 8/5/10

Thursday, August 5th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Freddie Mac reports 30-year fixed mortgage rates have fallen below 4.5%. Home prices increased 8.1% from this time last year, according to Clear Capital. Statistics from the Department of Labor show initial unemployment insurance claims rose 19,000 last week.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “Home loan rates decline again as inflation fears abate” (8-5-10)

“Record low mortgage rates are still declining, according to Freddie Mac, which said lenders were offering 30-year fixed loans at less than 4.5% this week and 15-year loans at less than 4%. ”

Inman - “Agent, broker confidence hits low point” (8-5-10)

“Real estate broker and agent confidence fell to a new low in July, according to a survey by real estate marketing and technology provider Point2 Technologies. Point2′s Real Estate Confidence Index (RECI) fell 8.85 percent last month to 5.24, from 5.76 in June. The index is based on survey responses on a 10-point scale; one equals ‘bad’ or ‘pessimistic,’ and 10 equals ‘good’ or ‘optimistic.’”

Mortgage Bankers “MBA Applauds Senate Passage of Bills to Help Stabilize FHA Multifamily and Single Family Programs” (8-5-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today lauded Senate passage of H.R. 5872, a bill to increase the Federal Housing Administration’s (FHA) multifamily commitment authority, and H.R. 5981, which would allow FHA to increase its annual premiums for its single family program. Both bills passed the Senate last night and will now go to the President for his signature.”

Housing Wire - “Valuation Partners CEO: HVCC Will Have Lasting Impact” (8-5-10)

“While HVCC is ending, it will have a lasting impact. Important tenets of the HVCC were clearly reinforced by the recent Dodd-Frank legislation, such as appraiser independence, and the separation between appraiser engagement and loan production activities remains. In fact, this separation has been further embedded in the seller servicing guidelines of the GSEs and with most major acquirers of mortgage loans. I would expect future oversight, guidelines, and legislation to largely parallel these fundamentals.”

Housing Wire – “Tax Credit Tailwind Lifts July Home Prices 8%: Clear Capital” (8-4-10)

“July house prices gained 8.1% from the same point last year, slowing somewhat from the 8.8% growth measured in June as the effect of the homebuyer tax credit begins to fade, according to data provider Clear Capital. Clear Capital’s Home Data Index Market Report tracks housing prices along a rolling quarter-by-quarter basis. July house prices increased 7.9% from the previous three months, an improvement from the 5.2% growth seen in June. Alex Villacorta, senior statistician at Clear Capital said home prices are continuing their growth from the beginning of the year.”

Housing Wire – “Weekly Jobless Claims Rise More than Expected, to 479,000″ (8-5-10)

“Initial unemployment insurance claims rose 19,000 in the week ending July 31, marking a departure from market expectations of a small decline last week. Jobless claims rose to a seasonally adjusted 479,000 from the previous week’s downwardly revised figure of 460,000, according to new data today from the US Department of Labor. The four-week moving average rose 5,250 to 458,500.”

Inman - “7 sales strategies for any market” (8-5-10)

“Van Stensel says she has no problems obtaining seller permission for price reductions. The reason is simple. To work with her, the sellers must agree to reduce their price by 3 percent after every 10 showings or every three weeks — whichever comes first.”

Inman - “FHA premiums face new restructuring” (8-5-10)

“Faced with rising losses on FHA-guaranteed loans, the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) hiked upfront premiums in April, raising them from 1.75 percent of the loan being insured to 2.25 percent. Applications for FHA-guaranteed loans fell nearly 20 percent after the increase went into effect, according to a weekly survey conducted by the Mortgage Bankers Association.”

Orange County Register – “Home-price gains called ‘anomaly’” (8-5-10)

“One clear weak point is the housing market, which crammed two years of sales into six months (in response to tax credits). Even those recent gains in median home prices grossly overstate the reality. Home prices are up from a year ago, but the gains in median prices is a statistical anomaly, driven primarily by the shift in the sales mix. In early 2009, home loans were only available up to $417,000, which meant almost no homes sold for over $500,000. The return of jumbo mortgages has dramatically increased the sales of higher priced homes while the inventory of lower prices homes evaporated in response to the homebuyer tax credit.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 8/3/10

Tuesday, August 3rd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis

According to the NAR, pending home sales declined 2.6 percent in June. Data from the Southern California Multiple Listing Service shows that 25 percent of home sold in Orange County are sold for less than the owner in June went for less than the seller owed on the mortgage. Zillow reports the average 30-year mortgage rate decreased to 4.28 percent from last week. 84 percent of buyers begin searching for homes online.

In The News:

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Ease in Post-Tax Credit Market” (8-3-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, declined 2.6 percent to 75.7 based on contracts signed in June from an upwardly revised level of 77.7 in May, and is 18.6 percent below June 2009 when it was 93.0. The data reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months.”

Orange County Register – “Short sales top 700 in June” (8-3-10)

“One out of every four homes sold in Orange County in June went for less than the seller owed on the mortgage, according to the latest figures from the Southern California Multiple Listing Service. Thanks to falling home prices, about 14% to 19% of all O.C. homeowners owe more for their homes than they’re worth. In a short sale, lenders eat the difference between the amount paid and the amount owed.”

Housing Wire – “Zillow: Rate on 30-Year-Mortgage Drops to Record Low Week-to-Week” (8-3-10)

“The 30-year fixed-mortgage rate (FRM) dropped week-to-week nationally averaging 4.28%, according to Zillow Mortgage Marketplace’s weekly update. This is down 0.1% and a new record low according to their data. Last week’s averages remained steady.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Launches Distressed Borrower Education Site” (8-3-10)

“Fannie Mae today is launching a borrower-facing outreach site designed to educate distressed homeowners on potential retention strategies and foreclosure alternatives. The online education resource — available in both English and Spanish — offers calculators to demonstrate to borrowers the mechanics of refinance, repayment, forbearance and modification options. It also offers information on Fannie’s Deed-For-Lease program, which allows borrowers to become renters in the same property after pursing deed-in-lieu of foreclosure.”

Bloomberg - “Banks `Throw in Towel’ to Add Most Mortgage Bonds in 18 Months” (8-3-10)

“The biggest banks are adding government-backed mortgage bonds at the fastest pace in 18 months, breaking with an unusual pattern in which they shunned the debt as their loan portfolios shrank during the economic slump, according to Barclays Plc. Large U.S. commercial banks added $51.4 billion of so- called agency mortgage-backed securities in the two weeks ended July 21, according to the latest data released by the Federal Reserve.”

Orange County Register – “Does unemployment pay mean no loan?” (8-3-10)

“No, you will not not qualify because you filed for unemployment insurance last year, or the year before. We are getting fairly used to seeing income streams in which our clients may have been unemployed for part of the previous two years. While we cannot use the unemployment income (**asterisk alert** : keep reading for when we can use this income) your receiving it does not disqualify you from qualifying. We will need to show a two year history of employment so if you were unemployed for three months we will need to show employment going back at least 27 months.”

Realty Times - “Staging a Photo Ready Home” (8-3-10)

“Your home’s first impression may not be one that is face to face with a prospective buyer. In today’s world, 84 percent (National Association of Realtors) of home buyers start their search online. That’s an impressive figure, and one that means your home needs to make a strong virtual impression.”

Realty Times – “California Law To Require Carbon Monoxide Detectors” (8-3-10)

“On May 7, 2010, California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger signed into law Senate Bill 183 (Lowenthal), a bill that will require the placement of carbon monoxide detectors in all California dwelling units. The bill also requires that the presence or absence of these devices must be disclosed when residential real estate is transferred.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, construction spending increased by 0.3 percent within one month. The chief economist of the CAR predicted the housing market had not bottomed. Fannie Mae issuance of mortgage-backed securities jumped 44% in June 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/29/10

Thursday, July 29th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

RealtyTrac reports foreclosure filings increased in 75% of the nation’s metro areas during the first 2 quarters. Statistics from the Department of Labor show unemployment insurance claims fell by 11,000 last week. According to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey, the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage decreased to 4.54%. Fiserv predicts that single-family home prices will fall 4.9 percent during the next 12 months.

In The News:

NAHB - “Remodeling Dips but Shows Signs of Stabilization” (7-29-10)

“The remodeling market slid backward during the second quarter, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders’ (NAHB) Remodeling Market Index (RMI). The RMI (combining current and future market indicators) sunk to 40.7 from 43.8 in the first quarter. Current market conditions slid back to 42.6 from 44.5 in the previous quarter. Future indicators of remodeling business declined to 38.9 from 43.1 in the last quarter.”

CNN - “Foreclosures climb in 75% of metro areas” (7-29-10)

“Foreclosure filings climbed in 75% of the nation’s metro areas during the first half of 2010, according to a report issued Thursday. RealtyTrac, an online marketer of foreclosed homes, said that California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada continue to lead the nation in the rate of foreclosures. Las Vegas was the worst-hit city.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Feds put up $1 billion more for mortgage relief” (7-29-10)

“Congress has just come up with an extra $1 billion to help people who can’t pay their mortgage because of unemployment or a medical problem. Under this new Emergency Mortgage Relief program, eligible homeowners who are at least three months delinquent can get up to $50,000 apiece in federal loans to pay their mortgages.”

Housing Wire – “Weekly Jobless Claims Beat Consensus, Slip to 457,000″ (7-29-10)

“Initial unemployment insurance claims fell 11,000 in the week ending July 24, beating the market consensus of a 4,000-claim drop. Jobless claims slipped to a seasonally adjusted 457,000 from the previous week’s upwardly revised figure of 468,000, according to new data today from the US Department of Labor. The four-week moving average slipped 4,500 to 452,500 this week.”

Housing Wire – “Weekly Mortgage Rates Hit New Lows” (7-29-10)

“The Freddie Mac survey put the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) at 4.54% with an average 0.7 origination point for the week ending July 29, down from last week’s average of 4.56% and a year ago, when the average was 5.25%. It’s a new record low for the survey, which began in 1971.”

Housing Wire – “Fiserv Sees More Pain Ahead in House Prices, Projects 4.9% Decline” (7-29-10)

“Fiserv (FISV: 49.22 +0.70%), financial services technology provider, found that national average house prices rose 2% in Q110 from a year before — the first yearly gain since 2006. Fiserv projects that single-family house prices are likely to fall another 4.9% over the next 12 months as tight economic circumstances continue. Continued high unemployment and a large number of distressed properties remaining in markets like Florida, Arizona and Nevada are weighing on the housing market.”

Housing Wire – “SEC Charges Citigroup $75m for Misrepresentation of Subprime Assets” (7-29-10)

“The Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) today charged Citigroup Inc. with misleading investors about the company’s exposure to subprime mortgage assets targeting two Citi executives for their roles in the incident that will cost the company $75m. Citigroup will not dispute the fine, the SEC said, and will pay the full amount.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported that mortgage application volume decreased by 6.3 percent within a week. A bill was being supported by 276 members of the House, which would have audited central banks. About $2.2 trillion of U.S. commercial properties bought or refinanced since 2004 became less valuable than their original price, said Real Capital Analytics in 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/22/10

Thursday, July 22nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

CAR reports California home sales decreased 4.2 percent in June. Statistics from the NAR show existing home sales 5.1 percent in June. Ascension Capital Group predicts total bankruptcy filings will top 1.63m in 2010, and increase nearly 10% in 2011. Eight million homeowners are currently not paying their mortgage.

In The News:

CAR - “June sales and price report” (7-22-10)

“Home sales decreased 4.2 percent in June in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 13.6 percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.”

NAR - “Existing-Home Sales Slow in June but Remain Above Year-Ago Levels” (7-22-10)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, fell 5.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.37 million units in June from 5.66 million in May, but are 9.8 percent higher than the 4.89 million-unit pace in June 2009.”

Housing Wire – “Servicers Dissect HAMP, Short Sales at Loss Mit Conference” (7-22-10)

“While Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) often gets a bad rap in the press, panelists at the loss mitigation conference in Dallas Thursday were less inclined to call the program a failure although they pointed to some weaknesses.”

Housing Wire - “HUD to Probe Claims of Mortgage Discrimination” (7-22-10)

“The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) announced Wednesday that it will launch a series of investigations to determine if the lending practices used by certain mortgage lenders violated the Fair Housing Act. Questions arose after the New York Times published an article demonstrating that firms may have illegally denied mortgages to expectant mothers and families experiencing short-term disability.”

Housing Wire – “Bankruptcy Creates Many Problems in Mortgage Loss Mit” (7-22-10)

“Total bankruptcy filings are projected to top 1.63m in 2010, and increase nearly 10% and nearly 9% in 2011 and 2012, respectively, according John Griggs, chief operating officer of Fort Worth-based Ascension Capital Group. Griggs said the rate of bankruptcy filings closely follows rates of foreclosure, unemployment and strategic default. Ascension projects unemployment will remain high through the end of 2010, then flatten out and reduce and hover around 8% by late 2011 or early 2012.”

Inman – “Record low rates spur refis but not sales” (7-22-10)

“The survey showed 30-year fixed-rate loans averaging 4.56 percent with 0.7 point, essentially unchanged from last week’s 4.57 percent reading, but down from 5.2 percent a year ago and a new low in records dating to 1971. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage also hit a low in records dating to 1991, falling from 4.06 percent last week to 4.03 percent with an average 0.7 point. At this time a year ago, those loans averaged 4.68 percent.”

Inman - “A view on 62% homeownership” (7-22-10)

“Eight million homeowners are currently not paying their mortgage, and we believe 6 million of them will lose their home to the bank in the next two years. This will reduce the homeownership rate to 62 percent”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/16/10

Friday, July 16th, 2010

Sources:
http://www.latimes.com/business/realestate/la-fi-foreclosures-20100715,0,5786857.story
http://www.boston.com/business/articles/2010/07/09/banks_fight_changes_to_accounting_rules/
http://www.aba.com/Industry+Issues/FASB_advocacy.htm
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/gses-face-lawsuit-over-resistance-to-going-greener-energy-loans-2010-07-15
http://portal.hud.gov/portal/page/portal/HUD/press/press_releases_media_advisories/2010/HUDNo.10-150
http://portal.hud.gov/portal/page/portal/HUD/press/press_releases_media_advisories/2010/HUDNo.10-145
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/senate-approves-landmark-financial-reform-legislation-2010-07-15
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/senate-approves-landmark-financial-reform-legislation-2010-07-15
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66E4FP20100715

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to MDA DataQuick, 43,964 new and resale houses and condos were sold in California last month. The California Employment Development Department reports that unemployment levels remained stagnant in June while 400,000 people lost their unemployment benefits. The SEC is charging Goldman Sachs with a $550 million fee for misleading its investors. HR 4173, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, is expected to be signed. This bill will end the HVCC.

In The News:

DQNews - “California June Home Sales” (7-15-10)

“An estimated 43,964 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was up 7.3 percent from 40,965 in May, and down 0.5 percent from 44,167 for June 2009. California sales for the month of June have varied from a low of 35,202 in 2008 to a peak of 76,669 in 2004, while the average is 50,405. MDA DataQuick’s statistics go back to 1988.”

Los Angeles Times – “California job climate stagnant in June” (7-16-10)

“California’s jobs climate stagnated in June as part-time federal census workers lost their jobs and about 400,000 out-of-work people lost their unemployment benefits. Although the monthly, seasonably adjusted unemployment rate crept down a tenth of a percentage point to 12.3%, the economy lost 27,600 jobs, according to the California Employment Development Department. The state’s unemployment rate was 11.6% in June 2009. Nationally, it hit 9.5% last month.”

Sacramento Bee – “Home Front: Idea to reduce principal is gaining” (7-16-10)

“The financial system, federal government and California’s state government have favored loan modifications, and more recently, short sales. Both are chaotic. Neither has proved equal to the problem of negative equity. About 45 percent of Sacramento-area borrowers still owe more than their houses are worth. About 12 percent of Sacramento-area home loans are delinquent or headed toward foreclosure.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Bill would shield homeowners’ credit ratings” (7-16-10)

“Struggling homeowners who get loan modifications to stave off foreclosure often discover that their credit score takes a big hit. A bill introduced on Thursday by U.S. Rep. Jackie Speier, D-Hillsborough, would shield homeowner credit ratings after a loan modification.”

Housing Wire – “Goldman to Pay $550m and Reform Subprime Mortgage Investment Activity” (7-15-10)

“The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) today announced that Goldman, Sachs & Co. (GS: 146.45 +0.85%) will pay the largest-ever penalty by a Wall Street firm.”

Housing Wire – “House Approves Flood Insurance Reform” (7-15-10)

“The US House of Representatives on Thursday approved a flood insurance reform bill that would reauthorize the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) for five years. The provision, which extends the program to Sept. 30, 2015, passed by a wide margin, 329 to 90, with support from both Democrats and Republicans.”

Housing Wire – “Home Asking Prices, Listing Inventory Up in Q210: Altos Research” (7-16-10)

“The June median listing sales price for single-family existing homes was $477,937 in June, down $146, about 0.03%, below the May 2010 median of $478,083 for homes in Boston, Chicago, Denver, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, San Diego, San Francisco, and Washington DC.”

Bloomberg - “Housing Bubble Leaves $4 Trillion Hangover: Chart of the Day” (7-16-10)

“The bursting of the U.S. housing bubble has left homeowners buried under about $4 trillion of excess mortgage debt, according to Dhaval Joshi, the chief strategist at RAB Capital. The CHART OF THE DAY compares the total amount of home loans outstanding with the value of residential real estate, as compiled by the Federal Reserve, for the past two decades. The latter is adjusted to reflect the average 40 percent debt-to- value ratio that prevailed from 1990 to 2005. Mortgage balances were $3.64 trillion higher than the adjusted figure as of March 31, as shown in the top panel. The actual ratio, which stood at 62 percent at the end of the first quarter, appears in the bottom panel.”

Inman - “Goodbye, Home Valuation Code of Conduct” (7-16-10)

“HR 4173, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, includes appraisal independence requirements and provides grant funding for state oversight and enforcement of those regulations. The bill creates a new Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection that’s charged — among many things — with drafting new interim final regulations that specifically define acts or practices that violate the bill’s appraisal independence requirements. The regulations are to be drafted within 90 days of the bill’s signing, superseding the Home Valuation Code of Conduct, rules adopted by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in May 2009.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, 44,167 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide in June. The Commerce Department announced that housing starts increased by 3.6 percent. The government was considering a proposal to allow homeowners to stay in their home as renters after a foreclosure. Voit Real Estate Services reported that office vacancies increased to 16.3% from April to May 2009.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/9/10

Friday, July 9th, 2010

Sources:
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/09/business/economy/09rich.html?_r=2
http://blogs.wsj.com/wealth/2010/06/29/mansion-foreclosures-surge/
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/money_co/2010/07/30year-mortgage-rate-edges-down-to-new-record-low.html
http://www.boston.com/business/articles/2010/07/09/banks_fight_changes_to_accounting_rules/
http://www.aba.com/Industry+Issues/FASB_advocacy.htm
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/fannie-mae-adopts-new-rules-for-pre-mod-income-verification-2010-06-28
http://www.lpsvcs.com/NewsRoom/IndustryData/Documents/06-2010%20Mortgage%20Monitor/LPS_Mortgage_Monitor_May_2010_Final.pdf

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to Greg Paquin, Sacramento new home sales decreased by 21.3 percent in the second quarter. Foreign home buyers purchased $66 billion of US residential property during the year ending May 2010. The VP of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland believes that the high foreclosure rate is likely to continue for some time. Multiple economic statistics show that the tax credits may have simply hid an ongoing recession in real estate.

In The News:

Sacramento Bee – “New-home sales plunge in Sacramento area” (7-9-10)

“Second-quarter new-home sales in the Sacramento area fell 21.3 percent from the first quarter and by 50.1 percent from the already dismal second quarter of 2009, said Greg Paquin, a Folsom consultant who issued the sales report.”

Housing Wire – “REITs Raised $22bn for Real Estate Investments in 2010: NAREIT” (7-9-10)

“The US Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) raised $22bn in initial, debt and equity capital offerings in 2010, and as a whole the industry owns $500bn of commercial real estate assets, approximately 10% to 15% of total institutionally owned commercial real estate, according to a mid-year report by the National Association of REITs, NAREIT.”

Housing Wire – “International Investment in US Housing Market Rises: NAR” (7-9-10)

“Foreign home buyers — those with residency outside the US as well as recent immigrants and temporary visa holders — purchased $66bn of US residential property, or 7.27% of the market, in the year ending March 2010, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Based on NAR’s existing home sales information, $907bn of residential sales occurred in the 12 months ending March 2010.”

Housing Wire – “DebtX Sees Commercial Mortgage Values Recover Slightly in May” (7-9-10)

“The aggregate value of commercial real estate (CRE) loans that collateralize commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) rose to 76.6% of the original balance in May, from 76.4% in April, according to loan sale advisor DebtX. Values are up from 75.9% in March and 76.5% in February. CRE loan values are down from 77.6% in May 2009, according to DebtX.”

Housing Wire - “High Foreclosure Rate Likely to Persist, Cleveland Fed VP Says” (7-9-10)

“If past recessions are a guide, the nation’s high foreclosure rate is likely to persist, according to authors at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.”

Housing Wire – “Bank Bailout May Turn a Profit for Treasury, KB&W Report Finds” (7-9-10)

“The Capital Purchase Program, $205bn in financial firm relief funds from the Treasury’s $700bn stimulus package, the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), is nearly repaid in full and likely to turn a profit, according to a report from broker/dealer investment bank Keefe, Bruyette and Woods.”

Housing Wire – “Ginnie Guarantees $33.4bn of MBS in June” (7-9-10)

“The Government National Mortgage Association — or Ginnie Mae — guaranteed more than $33.4bn of mortgage backed securities (MBS) in June.”

Inman - “Tax credits hid ongoing real estate slide?” (7-9-10)

“The economic data that did arrive confirmed a slipping recovery, but not a double-dip. The Institute for Supply Management service-sector report for June followed last week’s pattern: softer than prior month, and well below forecast (May 55.4, forecast 55, actual 53.8). New claims for unemployment insurance came down 21,000 last week to 454,000, but have been stuck in that range all year long. Mortgage refi applications have begun to rise, but purchase ones fell again, by 2 percent last week, now 42 percent below the end of April.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the government-insured (FHA and VA loans) share of mortgage applications was 35.9 percent. The average 30-year rate dropped to 5.2 percent. UCLA economists predicted that commercial real estate demand would not return to 2006 levels until 2014. The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network reported that suspicious mortgage activities were increasing significantly.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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