The Norris Group Blog

California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘distressed’

By Bruce Norris .

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/5/11

Tuesday, April 5th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

Two Wall Street firms claim housing prices will continue to fall through the present quarter. REIS reports the national office vacancy rate fell to 17.5% in the first quarter. A Harris Poll shows 22% of U.S. homeowners are having difficulty making their mortgage payments. A new RealtyTrac feature allows users checking home listings to see how much equity each property has.

In The News:

NAHB - “Home Builders Applaud Congressional Passage of 1099 Repeal” (4-5-11)

“The Senate today approved legislation supported by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) to repeal a burdensome tax paperwork requirement that could cost small businesses thousands of dollars each year. The bill now goes to President Obama for his approval.”

Orange County Register“59% of H.B. homes pending sale are distressed” (4-5-11)

“59% of homes in escrow are short sales, in foreclosure or bank owned. 42% of homes sold in March were distressed.”

Housing Wire“Democrats’ homeownership assistance bills face fiscal resistance” (4-5-11)

“Senate Bill 690 and H.R. 1238 — would create a new executive position under the Treasury Department to advocate for homeowners and free up remaining TARP funds to help distressed homeowners with legal assistance.”

Housing Wire“KBW says eight GSE reform bills barely dent mortgage market” (4-5-11)

“the proposed legislation addresses oversight issues, which means little structural change will manifest because of them, according to a report released by KBW Tuesday.”

CNBC - “No Spring Break in Housing: Prices Likely to Keep Falling” (4-4-11)

“Housing prices will not get a Spring bounce and will actually fall during the industry’s historically best season as buyers continue to wait for that elusive ‘housing bottom,’ according to surveys and analysis by two top Wall Street firms.”

Wall Street Journal“Lenders Near Pacts With Regulators in Foreclosure Probe” (4-4-11)

“Fourteen U.S. lenders are on the verge of agreements with federal bank regulators to overhaul their handling of foreclosures and treatment of delinquent borrowers in response to allegations of abuses that emerged last fall.”

Bloomberg - “KB Home Reports Wider First-Quarter Loss as Revenue and Orders Plunged” (4-5-11)

“KB Home (KBH), the Los Angeles-based homebuilder that targets first-time buyers, fell the most in four months in New York trading after reporting a bigger-than- expected loss as orders plunged.”

Bloomberg - “Office Market in U.S. Begins Recovery as Vacancy Rate Declines” (4-5-11)

“The national vacancy rate fell to 17.5 percent in the first quarter from 17.6 percent in the previous three months, Reis Inc. said in a report today. The drop was the first since July through September of 2007.”

Orange County Register“U.S.: World’s 7th worst housing market” (4-5-11)

“The United States had the 7th worst housing market in the world in the fourth quarter, according to year-to-year price changes tracked by the Knight Frank Global House Price Index.”

Orange County Register“32 million people struggling to pay mortgage” (4-5-11)

“A new Harris Poll shows that 22% of U.S. homeowners with mortgages — 32 million people — are having a tough time making payments, including 7% — 11 million folks — who say they’re experiencing ‘a great deal of difficulty’.”

Orange County Register“Irvine housing speeds up 17%” (4-5-11)

“Irvine’s housing market has 85 days worth of inventory of residences to sell vs. 96 days countywide. That’s according to the latest inventory math of Orange County broker Steve Thomas.”

Housing Wire“New RealtyTrac feature lists property equity” (4-5-11)

“RealtyTrac unveiled a new feature on its website Tuesday that enables users going through the home listings to see how much equity each property has.”

Housing Wire“Wells Fargo-Wachovia settles CDO claim with SEC for $11 million” (4-5-11)

“A Securities and Exchange Commission investigation into Wachovia Capital Markets’ sale of two collateralized debt obligations supported by residential mortgage-backed securities resulted in Wells Fargo Securities agreeing to pay $11 million in fines and penalties this week.”

Looking Back:

Pending home sales increased by 8.2 percent from January to February. A new rule will require all new lender applicants for FHA programs to possess a minimum net worth of $1 million. According to LPS, the average loan in foreclosure is 401 days delinquent.  A proposed bill, House Resolution 4935, will prohibit mortgage servicers from holding another mortgage on a property that also secures the serviced mortgage.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/8/11

Tuesday, March 8th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

The California Association of Realtors reports that fewer than 60% of short sales close in California. Approximately 23.1% of all mortgaged homes were underwater in the 4th quarter of 2010, according to CoreLogic. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods does not expect prepayment activity to increase over the next 18 months.

In The News:

CAR - “C.A.R. Short Sale Lender Satisfaction Survey” (3-8-11)

“Fewer than three of five short sales close in California, illustrating the complexity and difficulty of navigating lenders’ and servicers’ short sale procedures, according to a Short Sale Lender Satisfaction Survey conducted by the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®”

San Francisco Chronicle“Underwater mortgages rise as home prices fall” (3-8-11)

“About 11.1 million households, or 23.1 percent of all mortgaged homes, were underwater in the October-December quarter, according to report released Tuesday by housing data firm CoreLogic. That’s up from 22.5 percent, or 10.8 million households, in the July-September quarter.”

Housing Wire“Moody’s finds MERS fire at little risk of spreading” (3-8-11)

“MERS is reportedly listed as the owner of record and nominee for the lender on more than 50% of outstanding mortgage in the U.S.”

Housing Wire“BofA doubles default servicing staff, opening centers across the nation” (3-8-11)

“Bank of America (BAC: 14.69 +4.70%) doubled its staff to assist financially distressed homeowners, opened two regional customer assistance centers and plans to open four more.”

Housing Wire“KBW: Prepayment speeds unlikely to rise over next 12-18 months” (3-8-11)

“Prepayment activity is unlikely to increase over the next year to 18 months, as long as mortgage rates hover around 5%, according to one financial services investment bank. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods said while mortgage rates remain low, they have increased meaningfully since the middle of November while refinance activity dropped sharply during this period.”

Orange County Register“O.C. judge: Banks rush to foreclose, make errors” (3-8-11)

“An Orange County Superior Court judge who initiated a ‘foreclosure relief’ program that appears to be unique to California courts says that many banks have not been mediating in good faith with troubled borrowers to work out solutions and instead have rushed to repossess homes.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, multifamily home building was expected to become more expensive in San Diego, as a new water meter program gained popularity. One in every 25 Los Angeles homes received a notice of foreclosure in 2009. Silicon Valley Bank forecasted an increase in foreclosures in Napa Valley.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/28/11

Monday, February 28th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

MDA DataQuick reports 30.9% of all houses and condos sold in California during January were bought without a mortgage. The NAR claims pending home sales fell 2.8% in January. Approximately 25% of homeowners who sought assistance from Obama’s mortgage assistance program successfully had their payments reduced. A survey from Fannie Mae shows 19% of delinquent borrowers are considering a strategic default.

In The News:

MDA DataQuick - “Record Portion of California Homes Bought With Cash” (2-28-11)

“Last month 30.9 percent of all new and resale houses and condos sold statewide were bought without a mortgage – the highest level in at least 23 years, according to San Diego-based DataQuick Information Systems, whose statistics go back to 1988. Last month’s cash figure was up from 28.9 percent of sales in December and 28.5 percent a year earlier.”

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Decline in January” (2-28-11)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, declined 2.8 percent to 88.9 based on contracts signed in January from a downwardly revised 91.5 in December. The index is 1.5 percent below the 90.3 level in January 2010 when a tax credit stimulus was in place.”

The Wall Street Journal“Only 1 in 4 Got Mortgage Relief” (2-28-11)

“Just one in four of the 2.7 million homeowners who sought to participate in the Obama administration’s signature mortgage assistance program have succeeded in getting their monthly payments reduced.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Mae’s mortgage portfolio, delinquency rate decline in January” (2-28-11)

“Fannie Mae’s gross mortgage portfolio dropped at a compound annualized rate of 16.4% in January, according to the latest monthly report from the government-sponsored enterprise.”

Housing Wire“Fewer distressed borrowers consider defaulting on mortgage debt” (2-28-11)

“Only 19% of delinquent borrowers polled by Fannie in January said they are ‘seriously considering’ a strategic default. That compares to 25% in January of 2010.”

Housing Wire“Fitch Ratings: Lack of new CMBS leads to limited master servicers” (2-28-11)

“The number of loans in commercial mortgage-backed securities handled by master servicers and rated by Fitch Ratings rose by 5.2% in 2010, although the total amount of the loans fell by 1.2% to $1.51 trillion.”

Housing Wire“Warren Buffett sees housing recovery to start within a year” (2-28-11)

“Warren Buffett anticipates a recovery in the housing market to begin within one year and the investment guru said in his biennial letter to investors that mortgages written by his subsidiaries performed better than most of the competition through the financial crisis.”

Realty Times“Closing Costs Explained” (2-28-11)

“Loan Origination and Points: You may have agreed to pay ‘points’ in order to get a lower interest rate. Think of this as pre-paid interest. For each point purchased, the loan rate is typically reduced by 1/8%. An origination fee is what you must pay the lender to write and process your loan. This can be up to several thousand dollars.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/2/11

Wednesday, February 2nd, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

Mortgage application volume increased 11.3% from last week, according to the MBA. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are raising risk fees they charge lenders on loans they buy for resale to investors. HOPE NOW reports 1.76 million homeowners received a mortgage modification in 2010. Statistics from DBRS show 50 percent of loan modifications result in re-default.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association“Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (2-2-11)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 28, 2011. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 11.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 13.2 percent compared with the previous week.”

USA Today“Costs for home mortgages rise as Fannie, Freddie hike fees” (2-2-11)

“For the first time since 2009, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are raising risk fees they charge lenders on loans they buy for resale to investors. The mortgage giants are also adding risk fees to more loans extended to people with stellar credit. To avoid a fee or to get a discount, most borrowers will need FICO scores of 740 or better and down payments of 25% or more. Lenders could absorb the cost, but most are expected to add it to loan costs within days, if they haven’t already, says Cameron Findlay, LendingTree economist.”

Los Angeles Times“Agency warns banks of foreclosure protection for military personnel” (2-2-11)

“The new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau warned banks not to violate laws that protect active-duty military personnel from home foreclosures and high interest rates.”

Housing Wire“Dow Jones closes above 12,000 for first time since 2008″ (2-1-11)

“The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 148.23 points at 12,040.16, the first time it ended a trading above 12,000 since just before the financial crisis in June 2008.”

Housing Wire“Mortgage modifications increase 42% in 2010: Hope Now” (2-2-11)

“Roughly 1.76 million homeowners received a modification on their mortgage in 2010, a 42% increase from the year before, according to the Hope Now alliance of servicers, investors, insurers and nonprofit counselors.”

Housing Wire“Private sector added 187,000 jobs in January” (2-2-11)

“The private sector added 187,000 jobs in January, led mostly by gains in small business, especially in the service industry, according to the ADP National Employment Report.”

Housing Wire“DBRS finds half of mortgage modifications redefault” (2-2-11)

“When a mortgage servicer modifies the loan of a distressed homeowner, chances are 50-50 that they’ll redefault, according to a 2010 review of the sector from credit rating agency DBRS.”

Housing Wire“CMBS takes a beating as delinquencies reach record high” (2-2-11)

“Commercial mortgage-backed securities delinquencies hit a record high, as the cumulative total jumped 20 basis points. According to a securitization report by Barclays Capital, 9.1% of all CMBS loans were 60 days or more delinquent as of Jan. 31.”

Orange County Register – “Dana Point homes take half a year to sell” (2-2-11)

“The newest ‘market time’ of Dana Point – Thomas’ math that tracks theoretical time it would take to sell all listed homes at the pace of new escrows opened — is 6.46 months. That is +11% (or roughly 19 days) in a year.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR’s index  showed that pending home sales increased by 1 percent in December. Commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations increased by 15 percent during the 4th quarter of 2009.  The FHA reported that borrower delinquencies increased by 6.5 percent from the previous year. Fannie Mae was offering a 3.5 percent discount to all people who buy REO properties.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/24/11

Monday, January 24th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

The CBIA reports total building permits issued during 2010 increased 23% from 2009. Statistics from Trulia show that owning a home is cheaper than renting one in 72% of the largest cities in the United States. Commercial property values rose 0.6% in November, according to Moody’s.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times“Estimate of mortgage interest tax deduction’s effect on federal deficit is lowered” (1-23-10)

“$88 billion less in revenue losses are now projected over the next three fiscal years — than the committee estimated early in 2010.”

CBIA - “It’s Official: 2010 is Second-lowest Year on Record for Homebuilding in California” (1-24-10)

“CBIA said just 44,601 permits were issued statewide last year for new homes, apartments, condominiums and townhomes, up 23 percent from 2009, but down 31 percent from 2008, which had held the distinction of the second-lowest total on record with 64,962 permits issued. Records began being kept in 1954 with the lowest yearly total set in 2009 with 36,421 permits issued.”

Inman - “Cheaper to buy than to rent in 72% of largest U.S. cities” (1-24-10)

“Despite the rising number of renters across the country, it is cheaper to buy a home rather than rent one in 72 percent of the 50 largest cities in the U.S., according to an index released by real estate search and marketing site Trulia.”

New York Times“Mortgage Giants Leave Legal Bills to the Taxpayers” (1-24-10)

“Since the government took over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, taxpayers have spent more than $160 million defending the mortgage finance companies and their former top executives in civil lawsuits accusing them of fraud.”

Housing Wire“Moody’s CPPI rose 0.6% for November, down 4.3% since May” (1-24-10)

“The price of commercial property rose 0.6% in November, marking the third-consecutive month of gains following sharp declines for the previous three months, according to Moody’s Investors Service.”

Housing Wire“Campbell Surveys: Strong distressed property sales bookend robo-signing debacle” (1-24-10)

“First-time homebuyer activity remained relatively strong last month, though still near historic lows, as purchasers rushed to close transactions before interest rates rise further, according to housing industry consultancy group Campbell Surveys. In December, the firm’s HousingPulse distressed property index shows these transactions make up 47.2% of the market, up from 44.5% in November and nearly matching the 47.5% peak reached in September.”

Housing Wire“JPMorgan: Annual homes sales must average 5.5 million to absorb liquidations” (1-24-10)

“JPMorgan Securities said existing home sales need to average about 5.5 million units a year to absorb a projected 2.25 million to 2.5 million in liquidations.”

Orange County Register – “Demand for O.C. homes jumps 10%” (1-24-10)

“Demand, the number of new pending sales over the prior month, increased by 10% in the past two weeks, adding an additional 194 homes, and now totals 2,154 pending sales. That’s virtually identical to 2009 when it posted 2,146. Last year, there were 393 additional pending sales, but everybody was poised to take advantage of the $8,000 first time home buyer tax. From here, expect demand to continue to improve as the market prepares to enter the spring market, the strongest time of the year for Orange County housing.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

206-TNG Radio – Jon R. Daurio 12-25-10

Friday, December 24th, 2010

Jon Daurio

Chairman of Kondaur Capital


 

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This week Bruce is joined by Jon R. Duario. Jon is the chairman and chief exective officer of Kondaur Capital. He founded Park Place Capital in 2001, and sold it to Ameriquest Mortgage Company in 2002. After the sale, the name of the business changed to Sprint Funding Corp, and Jon remained as president through May 2006. He received his Juris doctorate and Masters from UFC, and his BA Cum Laude from Harvard. He is also a fifth degree black belt in Tae Kwon Do.

This week Bruce is joined once again by Jon Daurio.  Mr. Daurio is currently the chairman and chief executive officer of Kondaur Capital.  Previously, Mr. Daurio co-founded Parkplace Capital in 2001, sold that business to Ameriquest Mortgage Company in ’02.  After the sale the name of the business was changed to Sprint Funding Corp.  John remained with Sprint as president, general counsel through May of 06.  John founded Encore Capital Corp., a national wholesale residential mortgage banker.  Mr. Daurio received his juris doctorate and masters from USC and his bachelor of arts degree cum laude from Harvard, and somehow in his spare time managed to get a fifth degree black belt in Tae Kwon Do.

Note pools most frequently involve a competitive bid situation, but not always. When a large pool of loans, or any pool of loans for that matter, is being sold, the seller typically will sell those loans.  Most analogous to what I think people would understand to be a sealed bid, although it’s not literally in a sealed envelope or anything like that, so it is a competitive bid situation.  Many of our sellers that we’ve dealt with repeatedly though will sell or deal with us on a negotiated trade basis, meaning that they’ll deal directly with us, and I believe they do that because we have proven ourselves over the last 3 and a half years that we’ve been in business and buying these loans to be if not the most competitive bidder meaning we’re paying the highest prices for these loans, at least the most experienced and, I’ll use the term easiest, purchaser to deal with because the purchase of these loans is not an easy procedure, and there’s tons of laws and issues that have to be addressed when a loan is purchased and servicing is transferred.

Its hard to imagine the infrastructure you have to have to do diligence on for a pool of loans, especially if it’s all over the country. That’s one of the reasons Daurio’s company has almost 500 employees and growing.

The way the market works, which is the majority, on a competitive basis, a pool of loans is given with information about the loans, the address of the house, the credit history of the borrower, the terms of the existing loan, the payment history, especially since I focus on non-performing loans, when the last payment was made, where those payments were made and you get what’s called an indicative bid.  We at Kondaur as well as others give an indicative bid stating, “If all of the information that you’ve provided to us is true, this is what our price would be.  However, we need to conduct a due diligence review of the loans in order to A. verify that the data that you’ve given us is true, and B. determine what other types of compensating factors or issues that could change what we offer for loans.  I will note that Kondaur Capital Corporation is unique and has a reputation as being the nation’s only true loan level bidder, meaning when we receive a pool of loans; let’s say 1,000 loans, we give 1,000 individual loan prices and allow the seller to cherry pick us. Bruce was surprised to hear this.

Many of Daurio’s competitors are surprised when Daurio explains to them which loans he doesn’t like out of a pool of 1,000. For example, I might say, “Okay, well I like your prices on these 820 loans, but I don’t like it on this 180 loans.”  Many of our competitors in that situation will say, “Well wait a second, we’ve gotta re-price because we assumed we were going to purchase all the loans.”  And that’s in essence the difference.  It’s that we do a meticulous, an extensive review of each individual loan to the point that each individual price stands on its own.  So in answer to your question, ‘How long does that take?’  Typically that takes us between two and three weeks to complete.

This is not for the purpose of getting the indicative bid. The indicative bid is something that we do on a macro basis or a modeling basis that would give a price.  And then the final price takes us about two or three weeks.

The value of a loan I would say is what a ready, willing and able buyer would pay for that loan, and because I am a ready, willing and able buyer, my purchase price is an accurate depiction of what the value of that loan is.  And in turning the value of that loan, we spend a tremendous amount of efforts analyzing both what the expected sale price would be of the home securing the loan assuming that we’re going to take title to the house as part of the resolution effort which we do approximately 75% of the time.  The (indistinguishable) majority by paying for a deed in lieu of foreclosure as opposed to foreclosing on the loan, as well as an analysis of what is the current credit situation of the borrower, which we determine with very little information available to us because during that bidding process we’re not allowed to contact the borrower.  We have to rely on existing servicing and collection notes and the origination file that might or might not be available.

For every 100 loans purchases, Kondaur eventually owns the house as an REO about 75% of the time. For the other 25% of loan purchases, Kondaur is selling the loan on a one-by-one basis or refinancing it.  With the available FHA programs, Kondaur could successfully do a refinance of the loan about 4% of the time.  About 1% of the time the borrower’s actually able to come up with funds to give me a short payoff where Kondaur will forgive a fairly significant amount of the principle balance but they’ll be able to pay me.  Or Kondaur will modify the note either by principle forgiveness and/or payment reduction, but in that situation Kondaur won’t hold it; it’ll still sell the note or it’ll sell it as is.

Kondaur sells 100% of the REOs that it takes title on, even after we’ve taken property back.  As Jon said in the past segment, when Kondaur takes title to a house as REO it is very, very quick if there are people still in the house to go through any of the cash for keys process.  Or, if the occupant won’t cooperate, an eviction process, and then Kondaur rehabilitates the property to put it in turn-key condition, meaning that whoever buys the house doesn’t have to put any money into the house in order to live in it, and then sell it.  Typically, Kondaur has a REO off the books within about 3 months.

There are some opportunities for investors willing to come in and pay at a lesser price and close these things in a week.  This prevents Daurio from taking the 3 month journey. But again, we don’t take cash because we have a need for liquidity.  I’m very, very fortunate in this sense that my company is very well capitalized.  We have access to well over a billion dollars of capital.  But the reason why we do it is I am very pessimistic on a national basis and especially in the Inland Empire as to home prices in 2011 and 2012.  So if there is an expected, which I think in the Inland Empire could be as high as another 1% per month decrease in the value of the homes.  If I get cash today, it’s better than trying to get under contract in 3 months.  This is a side note:  we, with rare exception, will ever accept a purchase offer where the close of escrow is beyond 30 days.

FHA has about 555,000 people 90 days late or more, and they only have 50,000 current REOs.  Daurio is interested in getting pools of loans that are able to be purchased from the Department of Housing and Urban Development.  He is currently dealing with members of HUD.  He is trying to figure out how we might be able to buy and/or service their loans.

Another thing that makes Kondaur Capital somewhat unique in this market, especially relative to other people that are buying these loans, is I require only two representations and warranties on behalf of the seller: that they own the loan, and that they can sell it.  Meaning that if they breech either of those representations or warranties; they didn’t own the loan or they didn’t have the ability to sell it, I can mandate under contract that they have to buy it back.  Things like title, what leansare on the property, I take upon myself the responsibility for determining that, and the way we determine it is rarely by a full-blown title insurance policy, but there’s a product that many of the title companies make available called an ownership and encumbrance, or ONE report, and that’s what we rely on for trying to determine what leans exist against the property or what the situation is with who really owns the property and how title is held.

We never buy a loan that’s in the MERS system.   One of the things that we require before we close on the purchase of any loans is that the loans are out of MERS before we purchase them. From the day I started the company and built it we wanted it out of MERS.  I won’t say I anticipated these kinds of issues, but I always want to try to minimize the number of parties that are involved and the resolution of the loan.  One of the reasons why we do very few short sales is because typically in a short sale the borrower’s going to vacate the house by selling it, and we’d rather just pay them for a deed in lieu of foreclosure and then sell the house ourselves.

Daurio has noticed some attitude changes of the occupants in the 3 years that he has been doing this. This is because of the media making borrowers more aware that owners of loans, like myself, would be willing to pay them for a deed in lieu of foreclosure despite the fact that they haven’t made payments for months or even years.  We’ve seen some people that are more amiable to take that because they didn’t even know it was available.  Then we have some borrowers that because of the publicity of issues on litigation with respect to issues like modifications or MERS or the robo-signer issues or things like that they’re holding out.  I guess there’s actually a third thing, and the third thing is that people are just making economic decisions that unlike what we offer at Kondaur Capital Corporation to a borrower to vacate, the borrowers are making economic decisions saying, “Okay, you’re willing to give me X dollars, but I could stay in my house rent-free for X number of months,” and the two don’t equate.  So therefore it’s economically better for them to remain in their house rent-free than it is to accept what so many of my competitors offer which is simply a nominal amount of money.

There are many failed loan modifications within these pools. Potentially half of the loans I buy today are failed modifications. Bruce is very surprised by this. Bruce doesn’t understand why a lender would choose the pool method of selling as opposed to making it one at a time.  He would think they would net more by doing this. Daurio thinks it’s more ignorance or purposeful sticking your head in the sand to avoid the issue.  Let’s recall that there is a separation of the owner of the loan and the servicer of the loan.  Many servicers of these loans are the same servicers that were granted the right to service these loans when these were performing loans and therefore the amount of money that the servicers are being paid to service the loans is woefully inadequate for the servicer to properly staff both in terms of quantity and quality of people.  Quite frankly these servicers aren’t staffed to be able to service these loans on a one-by-one basis; and the owner of the loans, even if they get smart enough to realize that this is an issue, is unwilling to pay the servicers to adequately staff.  This is not that bad of a decision because so many of the relationships are adversarial in the sense that a servicer typically makes money on servicing fees and therefore liquidating the loan is not in their best interest.  But it may be for the owner of the loan.  That’s why at Kondaur, we’re an owner servicer.  We do third-party service for some, but those are the entities that understand and we actually make our self obligated to take the route that is the best for the owner of the loan and not necessarily for us.  Daurio tries to align those interests in the contracts he has with them.

This round of foreclosures and not receiving payments is probably creating a lot more overhead for the servicers than they were anticipating. At Kondaur Capital Corporation, when we service with third party service, in our servicing agreements we really retain a tremendous amount of flexibility and authority to do what we think is best.  In fact, I have not taken on third party servicing assignments where the owner of the loan wants to inject their opinion.  In other words, they want to put a limit on how much I could offer for a cash for keys or for a deed in lieu of foreclosure based on things like a percentage of what the loan is worth or a percentage of what the house is worth or a percentage of the unpaid principle balance, all things which I think are irrelevant in determining how much should be offered to a borrower for cash for keys.  What should be offered to a borrower for cash for keys should be the subject of two analyses.  One, if the borrower were to make an economic decision and continue to live rent-free, what is that value relative to what is being offered?  And then secondly, what is the benefit to getting the house quickly, especially when you are like I am where you think housing prices are still going to depreciate fairly significantly in the upcoming months and years.

Bruce just did some research on not just the pricing of California in terms of what homes are selling for, but the cost per month. Cal Poly Pomona does a report and has for several decades, and twice a year they reappraise the same address in many different cities in California.  I went back to 1990 level pricing and compared it to 2010, and I’ll just pick Lancaster/Palmdale.  The actual price is -11% for that 20 year period, dollar for dollar, not inflation adjusted.  Interest rates were 10.2% in 1990, and interest rates now are say 4 and a half.  So you have a 55% discount on the cost of a loan and you have income that’s increased.   So it’s interesting that the market is so unwilling to buy a product that’s virtually on sale at an all-time level monthly.

Daurio agrees, but there are other situations in which, for an owner of a loan such as himself, getting ownership of that house can be faster and better.  It’s not just because he expects housing prices to continue to deteriorate, but also because rent-free borrowers in the house are not expending money on maintenance, and so there is an increased amount of what we call deferred maintenance, which is a great cost.  Thirdly, when we take title to a house by paying a borrower for a deed in lieu of foreclosure, the borrowers are not vindictive as we have heard borrowers have been in other foreclosures where they rip out the piping or cabinetry or plumbing or things like that.  Most of Kondaur’s borrowers, nobody happy about the fact that they’ve lost their home, but they feel like they’re definitely treated better and better off than with their previous servicer.

Bruce feels that is a good point, because somebody can do an awful lot of damage in a bad mood in one day, no doubt about that. Daurio considers this sort of property damage to be criminal. Bruce has found it very hard for anyone to acknowledge that this might be true.  We buy at the trustees sales, and we have sometimes people very blatantly doing things that were detrimental to the property.   You can call the police; you can even go to the extent of a lawsuit and it would be very tough to justify the activity just because it doesn’t seem like you have too many people on your side.

Daurio believes there will be some different occurrences in 2011 from 2010. He see more loans going to default. Also, he see more loss severities, because he believes housing prices will depreciate more in 2011 than 2010.

Kondaur Capital Corporation will begin purchasing commercial loans. Daurio started a subsidiary company called Kondaur Commercial; and it is going to both third-party service and purchase initially small balance commercial loans. By small balance he means 5 million or less.

Kondaur Capital has purchased quite a number of land loans.  It’s just not as large a market as one to four family or small balance commercial. Bruce thinks this would probably entail holding it at this point.  Daurio disagrees saying, “No actually, again, it’s all of a function of so many things in real estate:  you make money on the buy.  We buy land loans when we think we have an exit strategy that is profitable.”

For m ore information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/09/10

Thursday, December 9th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to Freddie Mac, 30-year mortgage rates increased to 4.61%. The Labor Department reports jobless claims decreased 4% last week. Clear Capital claims national home prices dropped 5.8% in November. Fitch Ratings forecasts a 10% decline in home prices during 2011.

In The News:

NAHB - “NAHB’S Multifamily Production and Vacancy Indices Show Increased Confidence” (12-9-10)

“Serving as leading indicators for the sector, two composite multifamily indices produced from NAHB’s survey of multifamily builders and property managers showed improvement in the third quarter of 2010. The NAHB Multifamily Production Index (MPI) increased to a value of 35.6, up from the 26.6 level reported for the second quarter. This is the highest the MPI has been since 2007.”

Mercury News“Mortgage rate for 30-year fixed loans hits 4.61 percent” (12-9-10)

“Freddie Mac said Thursday that the average rate on a 30-year fixed loan increased sharply from last week’s rate. And it is well above the 4.17 percent rate hit a month ago — the lowest level on records dating back to 1971.”

Housing Wire“Jobless claims fell nearly 4% last week” (12-9-10)

“Initial jobless claims fell nearly 4% last week to 421,000 after coming in at the lowest level in two years a few weeks ago. The Labor Department said the seasonally adjusted figure of actual initial claims for the week ended Dec. 4 decreased by 17,000 from the previous week’s upwardly revised figure of 438,000.”

Housing Wire“Zillow: Home values crater by $1.7 trillion in 2010″ (12-9-10)

“U.S. homes are expected to lose more than $1.7 trillion in value this year, 63% more than the estimated $1 trillion lost in 2009, according to Zillow.”

Housing Wire“Double dip in some markets drag home prices down 5.8%: Clear Capital” (12-9-10)

“Home prices in November dropped 5.8% over the previous three months and are down 2.7% from a year ago, according to real estate analytics firm Clear Capital.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Mae survey finds traditional homeownership changing” (12-9-10)

“51% of survey respondents said the housing crisis has not affected their overall willingness to buy a home, 33% said they would be more likely to rent their next home than buy. In January, 30% of Americans surveyed said they would rent a home the next time around.”

Housing Wire“Fitch sees 10% drop in home prices in 2011, negative outlook for MBS” (12-9-10)

“Fitch Ratings expects another 10% decline in home prices in 2011, as the supply of distressed properties continues to weigh down the housing market. Accordingly, analysts maintained the agency’s negative outlook for the residential mortgage-backed securities space and said 53% of all investment-grade RMBS rated by Fitch have a negative outlook.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Gov. Schwarzenegger signed a bill which ensured that consumers could choose their own real estate service provider when purchasing a foreclosure. According to Zillow, Bay Area properties lost 3 percent of their value during the first 11 months of 2009. 18 percent of FHA loans were either delinquent or in foreclosure. Statistics from Freddie Mac showed that national home prices increased by .9 percent during the second quarter of 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/02/10

Thursday, December 2nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The NAR reports pending home sales increased 10.4% in October. According to RealtyTrac, foreclosure sales decreased 25% in the 3rd quarter. Statistics from the Labor Department show jobless claims rose 6.3% last week. Greg Lippmann of LibreMax Capital predicts national home prices will drop another 10%.

In The News:

NAR - “Strong Rebound in Pending Home Sales” (12-2-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, rose 10.4 percent to 89.3 based on contracts signed in October from 80.9 in September. The index remains 20.5 percent below a surge to a cyclical peak of 112.4 in October 2009, which was the highest level since May 2006 when it hit 112.6.”

San Francisco Chronicle“Mortgage rates rise to 4.46 pct. as economy lifts” (12-2-10)

“Freddie Mac said Thursday that the average rate for 30-year fixed loans rose to 4.46 percent from 4.40 percent last week. Three weeks ago, the rate hit 4.17 percent, the lowest level on records dating back to 1971.”

Los Angeles Times“Sales of foreclosed and distressed properties fall 25% in third quarter” (12-2-10)

“Irvine-based RealtyTrac, a company that publishes listings of foreclosed properties online, said in a report Wednesday that sales of U.S. properties in some stage of foreclosure dropped 25% in the third quarter from the previous quarter and 31% from the third quarter of 2009.”

Housing Wire“Jobless claims continue bouncing around with 6.3% rise last week” (12-2-10)

“Initial jobless claims rose 6.3% last week to 436,000 after coming in at the lowest level in two years the prior week. The Labor Department said the seasonally adjusted figure of actual initial claims for the week ended Nov. 27 increased by 26,000 from the previous week’s figure of 410,000, which was revised slightly upward.”

Wall Street Journal“Banks in Talks to End Bond Probe” (12-2-10)

“Banks churned out more than $1 trillion of CDOs. They often created them at the request of investors who made bets against the deals. Some banks made their own bearish bets. Such bets paid off when the mortgage market crashed, though financial firms also suffered steep losses from CDOs stuck on their books.”

Housing Wire“Basel 3 rules approved, banks still have years to comply” (12-2-10)

“banks have years to comply with key elements in the rules. For instance, a bank must hold a minimum Tier 1 capital ratio of 4.5% by 2013 and 6% by 2015. A bank’s minimum capital conservation buffer – a fund the bank can draw on in times of economic stress – must reach 0.625% by 2016 and 2.5% by Jan. 1, 2019.”

Housing Wire“Fed data shows 60% of TALF loans repaid” (12-1-10)

“Federal Reserve data released Wednesday show more than 60% of the $71 billion lent through the Troubled Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility has been repaid.”

Bloomberg - “Home Prices to Drop 10%, LibreMax’s Lippmann Says” (12-2-10)

“U.S. home prices will drop an additional 10 percent, according to Greg Lippmann, a founder of hedge fund LibreMax Capital LLC and former Deutsche Bank AG trader who gained fame for his bets against subprime-mortgage securities.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA’s weekly survey showed that mortgage applications increased by 2.1 percent from the previous week. Trepp reported that overall delinquency rates for commercial mortgage-backed securities increased to 5.65 percent. According to ADP Employer Services, 169,000 jobs were cut in one month.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/22/10

Monday, November 22nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to CoreLogic, shadow inventory levels increased to 2.1 million units in August. TransUnion reports mortgage delinquency rates fell to 6.7%. Data from Campbell Surveys shows the current foreclosure problems are significantly delaying closings.

In The News:

Orange County Register - “Calif. ranked 3rd best U.S. home market” (11-20-10)

“Tops on the list for year-over-year price gains for all transactions — distressed sales, included — was New York (up 2.67 percent) then North Dakota (a 1.73 percent gain.) After California came Nebraska (+.78 percent), and Virginia (+.77 percent).”

Inman - “Lenders scoring lower on customer satisfaction” (11-22-10)

“Customer satisfaction with mortgage originators is on the decline as the time from loan application to approval has grown to 27.5 days, up from 20 days last year, according to a study by J.D. Power and Associates.”

Wall Street Journal“Shadow Inventory of Homes Rising” (11-22-10)

“The ‘shadow inventory’ of unlisted bank-owned homes and potential foreclosures increased to 2.1 million units in August, up 10% from one year earlier, according to new estimates from CoreLogic, a real-estate research firm.”

Housing Wire - “Investors eye opportunities in distressed properties and loans” (11-22-10)

“Market indications, not just living on rumors of a billion dollar Pimco fund for distressed loans and properties, are such that global investors are also looking more at the U.S. According to a global distressed property monitor from the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors, investor interest in distressed sales is now double that of a year ago.”

Housing Wire“Moody’s: CRE prices rose 4.3% in Sept. to highest since May” (11-22-10)

“Commercial real estate property prices increased for the first time since May with a 4.3% gain for September, according to Moody’s Investors Service.”

Housing Wire“Mortgage delinquency rate tumbles 3.5% in 3Q: TransUnion” (11-22-10)

“The national mortgage delinquency rate fell 3.5% from the second to the third quarter to a rate of 6.7%, according to a report released Monday by TransUnion. This is the largest quarterly drop the firm witnessed since the fourth quarter of 2006. The rate still remains 3% higher than the third quarter of 2009, however.”

Housing Wire - “Foreclosure mess scares off homebuyers: Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance” (11-22-10)

“Servicing problems disrupted both short sales and REO sales. Survey results show that 24% of closings scheduled for October were delayed or canceled due to issues with short sales, while 12% were delayed or canceled due to REO title issues.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Documentation Failures Extend Past Securitizations, Cantor Says” (11-22-10)

“In some cases faulty files are lowering loan prices or extending the time it takes to complete sales, said Jason Kopcak, the head of whole-loan trading at the New York-based broker. Residential and commercial mortgages owned by banks looking to sell often lack the papers required by buyers, including documents needed to foreclose, Kopcak said.”

Orange County Register“O.C. homes: 4th costliest vs. income” (11-22-10)

“FiServ’s recent home-price outlook contained intriguing stats on 212 markets and the relationship between the median selling price of homes (for second quarter 2010) in major metropolitan areas across the nation and the local household median incomes from 2009.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/17/10

Wednesday, November 17th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA reports mortgage application volume decreased 14.4% this week.  According to CoreLogic, home prices have fallen 2.8% since September 2009.  Mortgage fraud has increased 20% from early 2009. Mortgage lenders are raising their minimum credit score requirements on FHA-insured loans.

In The News:

MBA - “Mortgage Applications Decline as Mortgage Rates Jump in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (11-17-10)

“The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 14.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. The results do not include an adjustment for Veterans Day. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 15.0 percent compared with the previous week.”

Washington Post“States, mortgage lenders in talks over fund for borrowers in foreclosure mess” (11-17-10)

“State attorneys general and the country’s biggest lenders are negotiating to create a nationwide fund to compensate borrowers who can prove they lost their home in an improper foreclosure, state and industry officials said.”

Housing Wire - “Fed proposal gives banks 2 years to comply with Volcker Rule” (11-17-10)

“The Federal Reserve issued a proposal Wednesday giving banks two years to bring investment activities in compliance with the Volcker Rule.”

Housing Wire“CoreLogic HPI for September down 2.8%” (11-17-10)

“The data analytics company said its HPI fell 2.8% in September from a year earlier, following a revised drop of 1.1% in August. Excluding sales of distressed properties, home prices decreased 0.73% from the year-ago September.”

Housing Wire“CoreLogic: Mortgage fraud up 20% from 2009″ (11-17-10)

“When CoreLogic (CLGX: 18.32 +1.05%) analyzed 7 million loan files in its database, it found the rate of mortgage fraud increased by more than 20% from early 2009 with specific processes and products being targeted.”

Housing Wire“U.S. housing starts unexpectedly plunge in October” (11-17-10)

“The U.S. housing market continues to show signs that it isn’t well, with housing starts falling 11.7 percent in October to an 18-month low, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. The annualized rate of new housing starts for last month came in at 519,000, well off consensus estimates of 600,000.”

Housing Wire“Foreclosure fund for robo-sign victims under consideration: Iowa AG” (11-17-10)

“A fund to compensate homeowners caught in the foreclosure robo-signing scandal is being considered but is not a done deal, according to Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller’s office.”

Bloomberg - “Home Ownership Gets Tougher on Restricted FHA Mortgages” (11-17-10)

“Mortgage lenders including Wells Fargo & Co. and Bank of America Corp., the two largest, have raised the minimum credit score on FHA-insured loans that they will buy to 640 from 620. About 6.3 million people fall within that range, according to FICO, which created the formula for the ratings.”

Bloomberg - “Bernanke’s `Cheap Money’ Stimulus Spurs Corporate Investment Outside U.S.” (11-17-10)

“Such spending sounds like just what the Federal Reserve had in mind in 2008 when it cut interest rates to near zero and started buying $1.7 trillion in securities to spur job growth. Yet Southern Copper, which raised $1.5 billion in an April debt offering, will use that money at its mines in Mexico and Peru, not the U.S., said Juan Rebolledo, spokesman for parent Grupo Mexico SAB de CV of Mexico City.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, home sales increased by 2.8 percent from September to October in Southern California. The MBA reported that 6.7 million households with mortgages were behind on their payments, or were in the foreclosure process. TransUnion conducted a study of 27 million credit files and found that 6.25 percent were delinquent.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.