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187-TNG Radio – Sean O’Toole 8-14-10

Friday, August 13th, 2010

Sean O’Toole

Founder and CEO of ForeclosureRadar


 

 

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September 17th, 2010, The Norris Group returns with its award winning event I Survived Real Estate 2010. The Norris Group has assembled an incredible line up of industry experts to discuss the state of REO from the inside. Topics will include regulatory intervention and aftermath, bulk buying, myths and facts, and opportunities emerging for real estate professionals. 100 percent of the proceeds support the Orange County affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure. This event would not be possible without generous help from the following platinum partners: Foreclosure Radar and Sean O’Toole, the San Diego Creative Real Estate InvestorsAssociation and Bill Tan, Investors Workshops and Shawn Watkins and Angel Bronsgeest, Invest Club for Women and Iris Veneracion and Bobby Alexander, San Jose Real Estate Investors Association and Geraldine Barry, Claudia Buys Houses, Frye Wiles, MVT Productions, and White House Catering.

This week Bruce is joined by Sean O’Toole. Sean is the Founder and CEO of ForeclosureRadar.com. ForeclosureRadar is the only company that tracks every foreclosure in California, Arizona, Nevada, Washington and Oregon. It makes updates daily on all foreclosure auctions. Prior to ForeclosureRadar, Sean spent 15 years building and launching software companies. In 2002, Sean entered the foreclosure business, and bought and sold over 150 properties.

Bruce thinks everyone who is a trustee sale buyer should be a member of ForeclosureRadar. When Sean started Foreclosure Radar, there were only about 40 trustee sale buyers who bought the majority of the deals within the state, but now there are thousands. The invention of the lower bid has created activity. We wish they would drop their opening bids even lower.

5 to 10 billion dollars worth in properties go to the courthouse steps every month. 80 percent of those properties go back to the bank as REOs. The number of REOs have decreased 50 percent from July 2008. However, there are still a huge number of properties being taken back by banks. From a historical perspective, we still have an outrageously high number of REOs.

People tend to have this mentality that nothing bad can happen from here on out, because they don’t think the lenders will unload a bunch of inventory into the market. However, in 2007 and 2008, that is exactly what they did. Up until the end of 2008, regulations required you to file a notice of default after 60 to 90 days of delinquency. In September of 2008, Paulson changed the rules, and since then, they have changed the rules to mark to market. Lenders now have this mentality that discourages them from foreclosing so long as there is some hope of receiving payment at some point in the future.

People are wondering when all the shadow inventory is going to show up and ruin everyone’s day. Shadow inventory has a few different holding tanks. The banks are holding it and not releasing it. In 2008, there was growing evidence that banks had inventory that were not being listed. In 2009, banks started selling more foreclosures than they were taking back. In the mean time, we had delinquencies that were over 90 days delinquent and were not going into foreclosure. Some properties are as much as 180 days delinquent. We have 1 million homeowners in California that are not making payment, but only 200,000 in foreclosure, and only 15,000 to 20,000 being foreclosed on per month.

There is a report claiming that “once a person is behind, the odds of them making that payment current again without a loan modification is 1%”. Sean thinks that may be true historically, but right now, the situation is worse than that. In the past, people went delinquent because of job problems, but this time, they are going late because we had a massive credit bubble that doubled home prices fictitiously. We have now corrected those prices, but we have 4 trillion dollars in excess mortgage debt. People are realizing that they are never going to get that money back, and paying the interest doesn’t help them.

ForeclosureRadar noticed an increase in investor activity in 2009. Subscriptions increased slightly around that time. Right now, people are concerned that the economy and housing might double-dip. Bruce thinks that a double-dip will probably occur.

A lot of ForeclosureRadar’s growth has come from builders and commercial real estate brokers. The court house steps have become much more competitive because of these two groups. They can’t just stop working because their niche isn’t doing well.

From 2002 to 2006, good investors could get a 50 to 75 percent return on capital. In 2007, the market went away because the banks weren’t dropping the bids. In 2008 and 2009, Sean heard plenty of stories about investors getting an 80 percent return on capital. It got really good for a little while, but over the past six months, the market got a lot more competitive. There are plenty of risks with buying at auctions. Bruce believes that someone makes a mistake every day at the courthouse that alters their financial life for a while.

The government has decided that it is better to avoid taking a property back to the lender. ForeclosureRadar is tracking the lenders who are willing to work problems out. Investor short sales concern Sean, especially if the deal is being bought to be flipped. Some people are claiming you can make a lot of money by doing a short sale through a double escrow. Sean thinks people who do that are going to get themselves into trouble. Bruce interviewed the FBI on this subject, and the FBI described the people who do double escrows as perpetrators. There are short sale opportunities out there, but there is a lot of risk involved. It can be difficult to convince lenders that you have added a significant amount of value to a recent short sale.

Lenders understand that auctioned properties are being sold at a discount. On a short sale, lenders believe that a market sale is being made, and they will not like the idea of selling a short sale at $100,000 below market.

Deutsche Bank recently made a report on mortgage servicers and how long it takes to do a short sale. With prime mortgages, GMAC took six months on average, CitiGroup took 7.5 months, Wells Fargo took 8 months, and Countrywide took 13 months. There is a buyer attached to the end of these deals, and no one is going to wait 13 months.

People involved with HAFA brag about their ability to sell within six months, and Bruce thinks that is ridiculous. The problem is that people are not coming to terms with the losses they are going to take. The government also has a few policies that are affecting speed. If Bruce was attached to that business, he would be very frustrated.

Mortgage insurance companies know they will have a better income and have less of a loss with a short sale, but if they have that loss right now, then they’ve got a payout to make. If they do not approve a short sale, and force a property into foreclosure, they may not have to payout for 8 or 9 months.

Sean believes that companies are moving away from principal reductions. Freddie claimed that they are not going to do principal reductions, because they have been tasked with protecting tax payer funds and they cannot just give out principal. If GSEs, who hold a lot of the mortgage debt, start giving out principal reductions, then that comes directly at the cost of the taxpayers. Freddie has a deed-in-lieu lease back program with a lease option. If someone does a deed-in-lieu under this program, they have a two year waiting period before they get to buy a property, and Bruce has the feeling that the property they will buy is that same property they were previously in. That would cause less volatility in the market, because it would discourage buyers from moving around.

Sean recently did some research for American Banker Magazine on jumbo loans. Loans under $417,000 are the fastest to be foreclosed on. Mini jumbos, which range from $417,000 to $729,000, take 30 days longer to foreclose on, and it takes even longer to foreclose on big jumbos. If lenders are struggling to deal with reality anywhere, it is at the high end of the market. Lenders sometimes try to aggressively foreclose with the hope of scaring the borrower into paying, but when they don’t get scared, the borrowers will simply vacate and move, and then the foreclosure gets cancelled. When lenders do not foreclose because they do not want the house, they are usually cancelling foreclosure by the masses. These lenders are often working to get people into the HAFA program, so that they can get a short sale or deed-in-lieu. Sean thinks the HAFA program is just like HAMP last year. It is not meant to conclude a bunch of short sales, it is meant to put people through another six months of delay only to tell them that they do not qualify.

Sean O’Toole’s website is www.foreclosureradar.com

Sean will be on the I Survived Real Estate 2010 panel in September.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Thank you for being a Gold Sponsor for I Survived Real Estate 2010: Delmae Properties, Elite Auctions, Entrust California, Inland Empire Investors Forum, Keystone CPA, Las Brisas Escrow, Leivas Financial Services, Mike Cantu, North San Diego Real Estate Investors Association, Northern California Real Estate Investors Association, Personal Real Estate Investor Magazine, Realty 411 Magazine, San Jose Real Estate Investor Association, Tony Alvarez, and Westin South Coast Plaza.

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186-TNG Radio – Daniel Phelan 8-7-10

Friday, August 6th, 2010

Daniel-Phelan

Daniel Phelan

CEO of Pacific Southwest Realty Services


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September 17th, 2010, The Norris Group returns with its award winning event I Survived Real Estate 2010. The Norris Group has assembled an incredible line up of industry experts to discuss the state of REO from the inside. Topics will include regulatory intervention and aftermath, bulk buying, myths and facts, and opportunities emerging for real estate professionals. 100 percent of the proceeds support the Orange County affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure. This event would not be possible without generous help from the following platinum partners: Foreclosure Radar and Sean O’Toole, the San Diego Creative Real Estate InvestorsAssociation and Bill Tan, Investors Workshops and Shawn Watkins and Angel Bronsgeest, Invest Club for Women and Iris Veneracion and Bobby Alexander, San Jose Real Estate Investors Association and Geraldine Barry, Claudia Buys Houses, Frye Wiles, MVT Productions, and White House Catering.

This week Bruce is joined by Daniel Phelan. Daniel is the CEO of Pacific Southwest Realty Services. He is responsible for this company’s mortgage operations. Pacific Southwest Realty Services is an investment firm focused on commercial real estate. It represents and advises both real estate clients and institutional investors in debt. It is involved in equity placement, strategic planning, property sales and loan administration.

In 2006, Daniel’s company was heavily involved in the financing of commercial real estate. His company financed $1.5 billion of commercial real estate per year for every year of the boom.

Daniel does not think that investors perceived a high level of risk in the prices they were paying for real estate during the boom. Prices had been steadily increasing since July 1993. Commercial real estate had a continuous growth pattern all the way to 2007. If you had only been in the business for 15 years and had only seen positive growth, then you probably wouldn’t feel at risk.

The lending side was probably looking at the boom similarly. There was a lot of competition, because Wall Street entered the market. There was a tremendous amount of debt capital in the market, and it was extremely competitively priced. These prices made real estate investments that much more enticing. People saw the need to get their capital invested in some form, and commercial real estate was perceived to be a safe investment.

In 2006 to 2007, down payments were reduced because of the confidence of the market. Borrowers were getting into commercial properties with only 20 percent. Historically, you could probably get most properties financed with 25 to 30 percent down. However, 75 percent is considered to be a more appropriate and safe number.

There are two tiers of debt. Most banks is recourse, but most non-bank debt is nonrecourse. 99.9 percent of the debt for life insurance companies and pension funds is nonrecourse. Because Daniel’s company works with these kinds of firms, they could only look to the real estate for satisfaction of a debt following a default. From 2005 to 2007, many banks backed off their recourse loans and went nonrecourse.

The source of capital during the boom came from portfolio lenders, such as life insurance companies and banks, and nonportfolio lenders, such as securitized lenders and Wall Street lenders. If you were trying to accomplish high loan to value with lower rates, then you probably got involved in the commercial mortgage backed securities market. You would expect a rate of 110-120 over treasuries. Those loans would be pooled into $2 billion pools, and then sold on Wall Street.

Mortgages made near 2006 are not doing well right now. Underwriting standards were very loose at that time. The default rates for those issuances are above 5 percent, and sometimes above 10 percent.

Mezzanine financing can be compared to second trust deed. It is a debt placed behind a first trust deed. It is used for taking cash out of a property, cover tenant improvements, or buy out existing partners to recapitalize the partnership.

During the boom, mezzanine debt could be taken at a 7 to 8 percent rate on the low end. The mezzanine debt today is going for above 10 percent. It is not available for the same loan to value rate. In 2006, you could get 90 percent loan to value. Today, you would be lucky if you got mezzanine debt for 65 percent loan to value. You may not be able to get it at all.

If you intend to occupy a commercial building, you could get 90 percent financing from a bank loan. This is only available to owner occupants, and it is only available in a purchase situation, not a refinance situation. If you were buying a multi-tenant investment property, you probably would get financing from life insurance companies. Banks are beginning to come back to the commercial investment market. With these deals, banks are looking for a full relationship with bank accounts and operating accounts. During the second quarter, the commercial mortgage backed securities market starting coming back. However, this market is not coming back quickly. Daniel’s company funded its first two cmbs loans since 2007.

Daniel’s company always looks at the operating history and income of a property, and then he makes a reasonable expectation of how well that property will operate over time. The projection for those properties is typically not very good. In 2006-07 we had not been hit by unemployment. Most tenants were performing well, and occupancy rates were above 90 percent.

Many commercial loans are coming due in 2012. These loans were underwritten in 2002. These loans are going to cause a big problem. In 2002, underwriting standards were not that “out of wack”. Prices have come down a lot, but they are still greater than what they were in 2002. Daniel think there is plenty of capital to refinance the debt on those properties, and in many cases, lenders are willing to roll over those loans. The bigger problem comes in during 2014 to 2017. During these years, you will have loans on properties with significantly diminished values. At that time, you may start having tenant default issues.

Construction on commercial real estate is not going to perform well. Daniel does not know of any bank that did a commercial construction loan in 2008-09. However, there are some banks now that are willing to loan on a multifamily property now.

Residential real estate is beginning to experience a large number of strategic defaults. Commercial loans are also beginning to default, but not as badly. Commercial property owners can make their payments so long as 70 percent of the tenants are making their payments. Commercial loans are made based on the ability of a property to make income. The commercial property owners that will experience difficulty are the ones that have let go of workers. They may have a large amount of space, but are only using a small portion of it. When their leases come due, these owners will probably move out to a smaller space. This will hurt larger commercial properties.

Most cap rates during the peak were around 6 to 7 percent. For multifamily properties and apartments, cap rates were around 5 percent. As of last year, most cap rates have moved up to 8 to 9 percent. The reason why we have not experienced a dramatic change in cap rates is because of Fannie and Freddy’s involvement.

Daniel believes we are going to see more problems in 2010 rather than improvement. Sales are going to start again, but they are going to have to pay 35 percent down rather than 25 percent.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Thank you for being a Gold Sponsor for I Survived Real Estate 2010: Delmae Properties, Elite Auctions, Entrust California, Inland Empire Investors Forum, Keystone CPA, Las Brisas Escrow, Leivas Financial Services, Mike Cantu, North San Diego Real Estate Investors Association, Northern California Real Estate Investors Association, Personal Real Estate Investor Magazine, Realty 411 Magazine, San Jose Real Estate Investor Association, Tony Alvarez, and Westin South Coast Plaza.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/23/10

Friday, July 23rd, 2010

Sources:
http://money.cnn.com/2010/07/20/real_estate/housing_starts/
http://www.inman.com/news/2010/07/20/fha-raising-fico-floor-reducing-seller-concessions
http://www.housingwire.com/2010/07/19/june-home-sales-prices-up-from-2009-remax-survey
http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/07/ehs_june_above
http://www.mbaa.org/NewsandMedia/PressCenter/73447.htm
http://www.dqnews.com/Articles/2010/News/California/CA-Foreclosures/RRFor100721.aspx
http://www.car.org/newsstand/newsreleases/junereport/

Today’s News Synopsis:

The HVCC will be eliminated in less than 90 days. A national survey from Citi shows that 62 percent of Americans believe the economy has not bottomed. Mortgage purchase and issuance at Freddie Mac totaled $179 billion during the first half of 2010.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “Obama Signs Bill Eliminating HVCC” (7-23-10)

“When President Barack Obama signed the Dodd-Frank Act this week to reform the financial markets, the Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC) was officially set for elimination in 90 days.”

Housing Wire – “Citi Survey: Most Americans Don’t See Economic Recovery Any Time Soon” (7-23-10)

“According to a nationwide survey released Thursday by Citi and Hart Research Associates, nearly two-thirds of Americans (62%) believe the economy still has yet to hit bottom, with a lack of jobs and troubles managing debt largely responsible for the gloomy outlook.”

Housing Wire – “Fed Off to Slow Start Unwinding Billions in Mortgage Assets” (7-23-10)

“The Federal Reserve, which responded to the financial crisis with unprecedented monetary policy, is off to a slow start in settling mortgage assets it bought from government-sponsored enterprises, according to Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (FRBC) vice presidents John Carlson and Joseph Haubrich and research assistant John Linder.”

Housing Wire – “If HAMP Is a Band-Aid, HAFA’s an Exit Strategy” (7-23-10)

“I bought my home in 2006 for $500,000 and put $50,000 down, and I got a loan for $450,000 at 7% for 30 years. I could afford the payment, and I paid on time. Fast forward to 2009. I am not making the bonuses I was in 2006, and my wife’s hours have been cut so our family income is not what it was. It seems that the HAMP program was made for me. Now comes the real question. Do I want to stay in the house? I owe essentially $450,000 on my home. From 2006 through 2009 the value of my home decreased from $500,000 to $240,000. I now owe $450,000 on an asset that is worth $240,000. Even if I were offered a mod to 3% and the term extended to 40 years do I really want continue to pay on a loan when the asset is worth about half of what I owe?”

California Builder - “Five Common Mistakes When Remodeling Your Kitchen” (7-23-10)

“Make sure you have the specs in the contractors’ hands prior to cabinets being ordered. This will result in a better fit for the appliance into the cabinets — especially wall ovens, built-in microwaves, cook tops and large fridges.”

Orange County Register - “Home sales up in only 42 of 83 ZIPs” (7-23-10)

“Only 42 of 83 O.C. ZIPs had year-over-year sales gains in the period. 5 of 83 O.C. ZIPs has sales gains of 100% or more in the period. Overall, countywide sales were +9% vs. a year ago.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie’s Mortgage Purchase and Issuance Reaches $179bn in H110″ (7-23-10)

“Mortgage purchase and issuance at Freddie Mac rose to $30.9bn in June, from $25.1bn in May, bringing the year-to-date total to $179bn for the first half of 2010 (HI10), according to a monthly volume summary (download here). Freddie’s total mortgage portfolio decreased at an annualized rate of 0.9% in June. Total guaranteed Participation Certificates (PCs) and structured securities issued fell at an annualized rate of 0.6%.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the average 30-year mortgage rate increased to 5.2 percent. The National Association of Realtors said that home sales rose annual rate of 4.89 million. The FBI documented nearly 29,000 mortgage fraud SARs in the first two months of 2009.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/16/10

Friday, July 16th, 2010

Sources:
http://www.latimes.com/business/realestate/la-fi-foreclosures-20100715,0,5786857.story
http://www.boston.com/business/articles/2010/07/09/banks_fight_changes_to_accounting_rules/
http://www.aba.com/Industry+Issues/FASB_advocacy.htm
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/gses-face-lawsuit-over-resistance-to-going-greener-energy-loans-2010-07-15
http://portal.hud.gov/portal/page/portal/HUD/press/press_releases_media_advisories/2010/HUDNo.10-150
http://portal.hud.gov/portal/page/portal/HUD/press/press_releases_media_advisories/2010/HUDNo.10-145
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/senate-approves-landmark-financial-reform-legislation-2010-07-15
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/senate-approves-landmark-financial-reform-legislation-2010-07-15
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66E4FP20100715

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to MDA DataQuick, 43,964 new and resale houses and condos were sold in California last month. The California Employment Development Department reports that unemployment levels remained stagnant in June while 400,000 people lost their unemployment benefits. The SEC is charging Goldman Sachs with a $550 million fee for misleading its investors. HR 4173, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, is expected to be signed. This bill will end the HVCC.

In The News:

DQNews - “California June Home Sales” (7-15-10)

“An estimated 43,964 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was up 7.3 percent from 40,965 in May, and down 0.5 percent from 44,167 for June 2009. California sales for the month of June have varied from a low of 35,202 in 2008 to a peak of 76,669 in 2004, while the average is 50,405. MDA DataQuick’s statistics go back to 1988.”

Los Angeles Times – “California job climate stagnant in June” (7-16-10)

“California’s jobs climate stagnated in June as part-time federal census workers lost their jobs and about 400,000 out-of-work people lost their unemployment benefits. Although the monthly, seasonably adjusted unemployment rate crept down a tenth of a percentage point to 12.3%, the economy lost 27,600 jobs, according to the California Employment Development Department. The state’s unemployment rate was 11.6% in June 2009. Nationally, it hit 9.5% last month.”

Sacramento Bee – “Home Front: Idea to reduce principal is gaining” (7-16-10)

“The financial system, federal government and California’s state government have favored loan modifications, and more recently, short sales. Both are chaotic. Neither has proved equal to the problem of negative equity. About 45 percent of Sacramento-area borrowers still owe more than their houses are worth. About 12 percent of Sacramento-area home loans are delinquent or headed toward foreclosure.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Bill would shield homeowners’ credit ratings” (7-16-10)

“Struggling homeowners who get loan modifications to stave off foreclosure often discover that their credit score takes a big hit. A bill introduced on Thursday by U.S. Rep. Jackie Speier, D-Hillsborough, would shield homeowner credit ratings after a loan modification.”

Housing Wire – “Goldman to Pay $550m and Reform Subprime Mortgage Investment Activity” (7-15-10)

“The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) today announced that Goldman, Sachs & Co. (GS: 146.45 +0.85%) will pay the largest-ever penalty by a Wall Street firm.”

Housing Wire – “House Approves Flood Insurance Reform” (7-15-10)

“The US House of Representatives on Thursday approved a flood insurance reform bill that would reauthorize the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) for five years. The provision, which extends the program to Sept. 30, 2015, passed by a wide margin, 329 to 90, with support from both Democrats and Republicans.”

Housing Wire – “Home Asking Prices, Listing Inventory Up in Q210: Altos Research” (7-16-10)

“The June median listing sales price for single-family existing homes was $477,937 in June, down $146, about 0.03%, below the May 2010 median of $478,083 for homes in Boston, Chicago, Denver, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, San Diego, San Francisco, and Washington DC.”

Bloomberg - “Housing Bubble Leaves $4 Trillion Hangover: Chart of the Day” (7-16-10)

“The bursting of the U.S. housing bubble has left homeowners buried under about $4 trillion of excess mortgage debt, according to Dhaval Joshi, the chief strategist at RAB Capital. The CHART OF THE DAY compares the total amount of home loans outstanding with the value of residential real estate, as compiled by the Federal Reserve, for the past two decades. The latter is adjusted to reflect the average 40 percent debt-to- value ratio that prevailed from 1990 to 2005. Mortgage balances were $3.64 trillion higher than the adjusted figure as of March 31, as shown in the top panel. The actual ratio, which stood at 62 percent at the end of the first quarter, appears in the bottom panel.”

Inman - “Goodbye, Home Valuation Code of Conduct” (7-16-10)

“HR 4173, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, includes appraisal independence requirements and provides grant funding for state oversight and enforcement of those regulations. The bill creates a new Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection that’s charged — among many things — with drafting new interim final regulations that specifically define acts or practices that violate the bill’s appraisal independence requirements. The regulations are to be drafted within 90 days of the bill’s signing, superseding the Home Valuation Code of Conduct, rules adopted by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in May 2009.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, 44,167 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide in June. The Commerce Department announced that housing starts increased by 3.6 percent. The government was considering a proposal to allow homeowners to stay in their home as renters after a foreclosure. Voit Real Estate Services reported that office vacancies increased to 16.3% from April to May 2009.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/12/10

Monday, July 12th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

A study from Wells Fargo suggests that California may not experience a double dip in the real estate market. FICO Inc reports 25.5 percent of customers  now have a credit score of 599 or below. HUD is offering a 10 percent discount on its REO properties for non-profit buyers. Orange County housing inventory has inflated by 48% since the beginning of the year.

In The News

Orange County Register – “Homebuilders face ’slow climb’ to recovery” (7-11-10)

“It’s a challenging market, no doubt about it. But builders can find a way to sell homes as long as they pay close attention to their potential buyers. We’ve never subscribed to the idea that the same floor plan and the same marketing campaign will be effective in every situation. It just doesn’t work that way. Builders need to understand exactly what price point, what square footage, what location and what product type will speak to the buyers in a given community. When you understand all those elements, your homes will sell. Take the live-work model, which many builders have struggled with. Earlier this year we opened a live-work community in Stanton, with prices starting at $350,000. So far we have sold all but four units.”

Orange County Register – “Short sales up 74% in region” (7-11-10)

“Riverside County had 3,444 short sales this year, the second-highest number in the region. That’s up 116% from 2009, when the county had 1,593 short sales. San Bernardino County short sales increased 96.7%, to 2,089. During the first five months of 2009, the county had 1,062 short sales.”

Orange County Register – “Tips for the first-time homebuyer” (7-10-10)

“Be prepared. You will be asked for the amount and source of your income; the same for funds for down payment and closing costs; your credit and debt obligations; and permission to run a credit report. Gather your most recent federal tax returns; W2s or 1099s, depending on how you are paid; most recent pay stubs, if salaried; and your most recent statements for bank, investment or retirement accounts. If there are recent large and unusual deposits, be ready to explain where the money came from.”

Sacramento Bee – “Wells Fargo: Housing double-dip not likely in California” (7-12-10)

“San Francisco-based Wells Fargo Bank just released its new California Economic Outlook, saying widespread fears of a derailed housing recovery aren’t likely to materialize in California.”

MSNBC - “Gov’t tries to recoup some Fannie, Freddie losses” (7-12-10)

“The regulatory agency said it has issued 64 subpoenas seeking loan files and other documents to determine whether the sellers of those securities made any false statements or omissions. Fannie and Freddie had tried to do so themselves but have faced resistance in getting the loan documents, said the agency, which was given subpoena power two years ago.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “More consumer credit scores dip to new lows” (7-12-10)

“Figures provided by FICO Inc. show that 25.5 percent of consumers – nearly 43.4 million people – now have a credit score of 599 or below, marking them as poor loan risks. It’s unlikely they will be able to get credit cards, auto loans or mortgages under the tighter lending standards banks now use. And it could be years before this group can restore their scores, even if they had strong credit histories in the past.”

Housing Wire – “HUD Gives Nonprofits, Governments 10% Discount on REO” (7-12-10)

“The Department of Housing and Urban and Development (HUD) will give state and local governments and nonprofits participating in the Neighborhood Stabilization Program (NSP) preference to buy its REO at 10% below the appraised value.”

Orange County Register – “Corona del Mar homes hardest to sell” (7-12-10)

“‘Hardest’ market to sell a home in terms of ‘market time’ (supply of homes for sale vs. new purchase deals inked in past month) is Corona Del Mar. Its market time was 15.3 months to theoretically sell all for-sale homes at the current buying pace. A year ago, this town was at 8.3 months.”

Orange County Register – “‘Unrealistic’ sellers flood O.C. home market” (7-12-10)

“Orange County housing inventory has inflated by 48% since the beginning of the year on the backs of unrealistic sellers. … The bottom line: sellers really need to take a hard look in the mirror and ask whether or not they really can drop to the realistic fair market value of their home. If not, they need to stop wasting everybody’s time and pull their home off of the market.”

Orange County Register – “O.C.’s distressed home market grows by 29%” (7-12-10)

“The active distressed inventory has increased from 2,555 homes at the beginning of the year to 3,307, levels not seen since May of 2009. The distressed inventory now represents 31% of the current active inventory. Last year at this time, there were 2,766 distressed homes on the market, 541 fewer than today.”

Realty Times – “Three Levels of Lead Generation” (7-12-10)

“you should have 6 pictures that show off the house to prospective buyers in under a minute and these should include: 1. The front of the house (try to skip the double garage doors!) 2. The Living Room or Area 3. The Kitchen (2 shots of the kitchen focusing on different aspects from different angles if possible) 4. The master bedroom 5. The master bathroom (put the toilet seat down!) 6. The backyard or area”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/9/10

Friday, July 9th, 2010

Sources:
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/09/business/economy/09rich.html?_r=2
http://blogs.wsj.com/wealth/2010/06/29/mansion-foreclosures-surge/
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/money_co/2010/07/30year-mortgage-rate-edges-down-to-new-record-low.html
http://www.boston.com/business/articles/2010/07/09/banks_fight_changes_to_accounting_rules/
http://www.aba.com/Industry+Issues/FASB_advocacy.htm
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/fannie-mae-adopts-new-rules-for-pre-mod-income-verification-2010-06-28
http://www.lpsvcs.com/NewsRoom/IndustryData/Documents/06-2010%20Mortgage%20Monitor/LPS_Mortgage_Monitor_May_2010_Final.pdf

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to Greg Paquin, Sacramento new home sales decreased by 21.3 percent in the second quarter. Foreign home buyers purchased $66 billion of US residential property during the year ending May 2010. The VP of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland believes that the high foreclosure rate is likely to continue for some time. Multiple economic statistics show that the tax credits may have simply hid an ongoing recession in real estate.

In The News:

Sacramento Bee – “New-home sales plunge in Sacramento area” (7-9-10)

“Second-quarter new-home sales in the Sacramento area fell 21.3 percent from the first quarter and by 50.1 percent from the already dismal second quarter of 2009, said Greg Paquin, a Folsom consultant who issued the sales report.”

Housing Wire – “REITs Raised $22bn for Real Estate Investments in 2010: NAREIT” (7-9-10)

“The US Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) raised $22bn in initial, debt and equity capital offerings in 2010, and as a whole the industry owns $500bn of commercial real estate assets, approximately 10% to 15% of total institutionally owned commercial real estate, according to a mid-year report by the National Association of REITs, NAREIT.”

Housing Wire – “International Investment in US Housing Market Rises: NAR” (7-9-10)

“Foreign home buyers — those with residency outside the US as well as recent immigrants and temporary visa holders — purchased $66bn of US residential property, or 7.27% of the market, in the year ending March 2010, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Based on NAR’s existing home sales information, $907bn of residential sales occurred in the 12 months ending March 2010.”

Housing Wire – “DebtX Sees Commercial Mortgage Values Recover Slightly in May” (7-9-10)

“The aggregate value of commercial real estate (CRE) loans that collateralize commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) rose to 76.6% of the original balance in May, from 76.4% in April, according to loan sale advisor DebtX. Values are up from 75.9% in March and 76.5% in February. CRE loan values are down from 77.6% in May 2009, according to DebtX.”

Housing Wire - “High Foreclosure Rate Likely to Persist, Cleveland Fed VP Says” (7-9-10)

“If past recessions are a guide, the nation’s high foreclosure rate is likely to persist, according to authors at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.”

Housing Wire – “Bank Bailout May Turn a Profit for Treasury, KB&W Report Finds” (7-9-10)

“The Capital Purchase Program, $205bn in financial firm relief funds from the Treasury’s $700bn stimulus package, the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), is nearly repaid in full and likely to turn a profit, according to a report from broker/dealer investment bank Keefe, Bruyette and Woods.”

Housing Wire – “Ginnie Guarantees $33.4bn of MBS in June” (7-9-10)

“The Government National Mortgage Association — or Ginnie Mae — guaranteed more than $33.4bn of mortgage backed securities (MBS) in June.”

Inman - “Tax credits hid ongoing real estate slide?” (7-9-10)

“The economic data that did arrive confirmed a slipping recovery, but not a double-dip. The Institute for Supply Management service-sector report for June followed last week’s pattern: softer than prior month, and well below forecast (May 55.4, forecast 55, actual 53.8). New claims for unemployment insurance came down 21,000 last week to 454,000, but have been stuck in that range all year long. Mortgage refi applications have begun to rise, but purchase ones fell again, by 2 percent last week, now 42 percent below the end of April.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the government-insured (FHA and VA loans) share of mortgage applications was 35.9 percent. The average 30-year rate dropped to 5.2 percent. UCLA economists predicted that commercial real estate demand would not return to 2006 levels until 2014. The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network reported that suspicious mortgage activities were increasing significantly.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/28/10

Monday, June 28th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Statistics from the Federal Reserve show the median borrower who ‘strategically’ defaults doesn’t walk away from the mortgage until the amount owed exceeds the value of the home by 62%. McGraw-Hill Construction reports new construction starts increased 3% in April. According to CoreLogic, more than 11 million borrowers currently owe more on their mortgage than it is worth. Experian statistics show that 19 percent of all defaults in 2009 were strategic.

In The News:

Press Enterprise – “Crash opens market for luxury apartments” (6-26-10)

“While homebuilders are aiming at a more frugal consumer by cutting frills, some apartment developments in San Bernardino and Riverside counties are going upscale with features like granite countertops and hardwood floors and rents comparable to a home mortgage. The Lewis Group of Cos., an Upland-based developer of master-planned communities and apartments, figures that partly because many people have been burned by the housing crash, there is demand from prospective tenants moving out of houses who want and can afford a house-like apartment experience.”

Chicago Tribune – “Moral bankruptcy?” (6-27-10)

“Some have struggled unsuccessfully to keep their homes, and others have just walked away. Phillips decided he wanted revenge and was willing to ruin his credit record for it. When a short sale didn’t work out as planned, the 32-year-old Chicagoan opted for Chapter 7 bankruptcy liquidation, a move that will leave Phillips with little except for the scant possessions in his one-bedroom condo. It also will leave his lender, Chase, with little except for, eventually, a condo that has lost value. Meanwhile, Phillips continues to live there, mortgage-free.”

Los Angeles Times – “Undone by their dreams” (6-26-10)

“In the last four years, according to the San Bernardino County assessor’s office, 373 of the 941 single-family homes in Mission Crest — nearly 40% — have been foreclosed on. Thirty-five have gone through foreclosure more than once. Properties that once sold for nearly $400,000 are worth less than $200,000.”

Mercury News – “Santa Clara County assessor adds Web tools to help homeowners” (6-28-10)

“More than 100,000 residents will be given access to a special website — tracking home sales by neighborhood — where they can see precisely why the assessor’s office decided to assign a particular home its worth.”

Wall Street Journal – “How Far Underwater Do Borrowers Sink Before Walking Away?” (6-28-10)

“At what point do borrowers who owe more than their homes are worth decide to stop paying the mortgage? A new study from economists at the Federal Reserve Board aims to answer that question. The research found that the median borrower who ‘strategically’ defaults doesn’t walk away from the mortgage until the amount owed exceeds the value of the home by 62%.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (6-28-10)

“The House Financial Services Committee issued a statement Sunday urging ‘bold action’ on the Dodd-Frank bill, the reconciled financial reform bill agreed to by a Congressional committee last week and named after Sen Christopher Dodd (D-CT) and Rep Barney Frank (D-MA). The final bill now travels to separate House and Senate votes and then, upon passage by Congress, to a Presidential signature into law.”

Housing Wire – “Surge in Nonresidential Building Boosts May Construction Starts” (6-28-10)

“New construction starts increased 3% from April to May, according to a monthly survey by McGraw-Hill Construction. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of total construction starts was $406.3bn in May, up 3% from $392,988bn in April. For the first five months of 2010, the unadjusted value of total construction starts was $162bn, down 2% from $165bn during the same period of 2009.”

Housing Wire – “The Slippery Slope of Short Sales” (6-28-10)

“More than 11 million borrowers currently owe more on their mortgage than it is worth, according to CoreLogic (CLGX: 18.11 +0.28%)—and this group of borrowers would love nothing more than to replace their current underwater mortgage with whatever the accepted ‘short sale price’ is deemed to be. I don’t know that such a response on the part of borrowers could be deemed irrational, either. Many will ask themselves why they have a mortgage at a higher amount, especially if the bank is willing to sell the house to another buyer for less money.”

Housing Wire – “G20 Applauds Dodd-Frank Bill in Pushing its own Global Financial Reform” (6-28-10)

“The meeting of G20 nations concluded this weekend in Toronto with communiqués reflecting a strong support for the US financial reform, called the Dodd-Frank bill. Indeed, information released from the summit show a mix of ambitious plans for growth, mixed with further calls to reduce spending, especially among countries with higher debt burdens.”

Housing Wire – “Experian Finds 19% of Mortgage Defaults in Q209 are Strategic” (6-28-10)

“Of all mortgage delinquencies in the second quarter of 2009 (Q209), nearly one in five — or 19% — were considered strategic defaults, according to the latest study of default trends by information services firm Experian.”

Bloomberg - “Commercial Mortgages Fail to Pay as Lending Increases” (6-28-10)

“Between 50 percent and 60 percent of loans on skyscrapers, hotels, shopping malls and apartment complexes failed to refinance within a few months of their maturity date this year, Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts said in a report. That compares with 15 percent to 20 percent in 2008, according to the analysts led by Roger Lehman in New York. About $11 billion in loans, or one-third of the 2010 total, had hit their expected maturity dates through late May.”

Bloomberg - “Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Should ‘Unwind’ Portfolios, Pimco Says” (6-28-10)

“Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the housing-finance companies supported by U.S. taxpayers, should take advantage of demand for government-backed mortgage debt and sell their holdings, according to Pacific Investment Management Co. ‘Since the government’s going to want to unwind them at some point anyway, why not do it at the best levels ever?’ Scott Simon, the mortgage-bond head at Newport Beach, California-based Pimco, manager of the world’s biggest fixed- income fund, said in a telephone interview.”

Inman - “Top 10 states for pending tax credit closings” (6-28-10)

“NAR estimates as many as 180,000 homebuyers who were under contract by April 30 may miss the June 30 closing deadline. To prod lawmakers into find a way to extend the deadline, NAR released a breakdown of how many home purchases are affected in each state.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Freddie Mac estimated that sales of new and existing homes might increase to an annual pace of 5.1 million in the 3rd quarter. Real Capital Analytics forecasted that $16 billion of office transactions would be completed by the end of 2009. The number of Orange County property owners disputing their taxes jumped 23% near last year’s deadline.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/22/10

Tuesday, June 22nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the MBA, the level of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding decreased to $3.31 trillion in the first quarter. The NAR reports existing home sales decreased by 2.2 percent last month. California home sales increased 1.2 percent last month. An amendment to the Wall Street Reform Bill being debated today in Congress would eliminate the hotly contested Home Valuation Code of Conduct.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Analysis: Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding Declined 0.9 Percent in First Quarter 2010″ (6-22-10)

“The level of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding decreased in the first quarter, to $3.31 trillion, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) analysis of the Federal Reserve Board Flow of Funds data. Declines were driven by drops in commercial and multifamily mortgages held in CMBS and construction loans held by banks and thrifts. The $3.31 trillion in commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding recorded by the Federal Reserve was a decrease of $31 billion or 0.9 percent from the fourth quarter of 2009. Multifamily mortgage debt outstanding rose to $852 billion, an increase of $3 billion or 0.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2009.”

NAR - “May Shows a Continued Strong Pace for Existing-Home Sales” (6-22-10)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.66 million units in May, down 2.2 percent from an upwardly revised surge of 5.79 million units in April. May closings are 19.2 percent above the 4.75 million-unit level in May 2009; April sales were revised to show an 8.0 percent monthly gain.”

California Builder – “Market Your Way Out of Tough Times” (6-22-10)

“Many businesses think ‘keeping your name in front of the public’ is a valid advertising strategy. It’s questionable at best, but it’s way too risky and low-yield in tough times. Instead, make sure your advertising is only in publications that reach your best prospects, and – this is the most important part – make a specific offer and call to action to get readers of the ad to call you.”

CAR - “May sales and price report” (6-22-10)

“Home sales increased 1.2 percent in May in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 23.2 percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.”

Sacramento Bee – “California personal income grows in quarter” (6-22-10)

“Personal income in California grew $14 billion to $1.57 trillion in the first quarter compared with the last quarter of 2009, according to statistics released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The 0.9 percent gain matched personal income growth for the United States, but California ranked 27th among all states.”

Inman - “Social networking sites gobble more traffic” (6-22-10)

“Social networking sites and websites hosting forums grew their market share by nearly 62 percent during the year ending in May — the largest gain among any real estate-related category, according to a new quarterly report from online metrics firm Hitwise. Visits to websites in the real estate category during May were down 24.3 percent from a year ago — the 12th consecutive month of year-over-year traffic declines dating to June 2009, the report said.”

Inman - “California may restrict lender claims over refis” (6-22-10)

“SB 1178, which passed the state Senate in a 30-4 vote on June 3, would extend protection from deficiency judgments to homeowners who have refinanced, but only up to the amount of their original loan. In other words, if the original mortgage was $300,000, and the homeowner refinanced and defaulted on a $350,000 loan, they would not be liable to repay the first $300,000.”

Housing Wire – “House Members Look to Eliminate HVCC, Change Appraisal Process” (6-22-10)

“An amendment to the Wall Street Reform Bill being debated today in Congress would eliminate the hotly contested Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC), which has changed much of the home appraisal process since its introduction last year. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) implemented HVCC in May 2009 in an attempt to improve the independence of appraisers by prohibiting lenders and third parties from influencing appraisals. It also limits the interactions between the appraisers and those originating the loan.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie and Freddie Servicers Refinance 53% More Loans in Q110: FHFA” (6-22-10)

“Mortgage servicers refinanced 53% more Fannie Mae Mae and Freddie Mac loans under the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) in Q110 than in the previous quarter, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). Delinquencies are improving as well in the Fannie and Freddie portfolios. According to the FHFA, the amount of loans behind by 60 or more days declined for the first time in two years, dropping by more than 23,000 to roughly 1.7m in Q110.”

Housing Wire – “Real Estate Owned Inventory to Peak in Summer 2011: BarCap” (6-22-10)

“The amount of REO inventory held by lenders is expected to peak in August 2011 at 545,000 properties, according to analysts at Barclays Capital. In April, REO remained relatively flat, increasing 0.8% from March to 526,000. The influx was primarily due to an increase in REO from the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), according to BarCap.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Fannie Mae said it would no longer guarantee mortgages on condos in buildings where fewer than 70% of the units have been sold. The Mortgage Bankers Association lowered its forecast of mortgage originations for 2009 to $2.03 trillion. Many lawmakers and businesses were calling for an extension of the $8,000 tax credit.\

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/21/10

Monday, June 21st, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

436,000 people have dropped out of the mortgage modification program since March 2009. A survey from Grant Thornton LLP shows that 45% of bankers expect economic conditions to improve over the next 6 months. According to CoreLogic, national housing prices increased 2.6% in April 2010 compared to April 2009. Analyst Meredith Whitney believes the U.S. housing market will experience a second recession.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “Borrowers face foreclosure after Obama loan assistance program fails to provide help” (6-21-10)

“More than a third of the 1.24 million borrowers who have enrolled in the $75 billion mortgage modification program have dropped out. That’s more than the 27 percent who have managed to have their loan payments reduced to help them keep their homes. Last month alone, 150,000 borrowers left the program — bringing the total to 436,000 who have exited since it began in March 2009.”

Housing Wire – “More Bankers Expect Economic Improvement before 2011: Grant Thornton” (6-21-10)

“The majority of bankers are optimistic about the US economy in coming months, with 45% expecting conditions to improve over the next six months, according to a survey by US audit firm Grant Thornton LLP. It marks a significant improvement over the same survey six months earlier, which found 24% of respondents expected conditions to improve.”

Housing Wire – “SEC Charges Investment Advisor with CDO of Mortgage-Backed Securities Fraud” (6-21-10)

“The Securities and Exchange Commission is charging Thomas Priore, owner and president of ICP Asset Management, with the fraudulent management of investment products tied to the mortgage finance markets. It is alleged that ICP and three affiliated firms misrepresented four multi-million-dollar collateralized debt obligation (CDO) platforms backed by mortgage securities (MBS). The SEC claims the CDOs lost tens of millions of dollars, while Priore collected tens of millions of dollars in advisory fees and undisclosed profits at the expense of their clients and investors.”

Housing Wire – “Total Number of HAMP Permanent Modifications Passes 340,000″ (6-21-10)

“Servicers participating in the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) conducted 340,459 permanent modifications through May 2010 since the program launched in March 2009, up from 299,092 through April, according to the Treasury Department. The Treasury launched HAMP to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of mortgages on the verge of foreclosure. In order to receive a permanent modification, borrowers must make three monthly payments during the trial period and submit all documentation.”

Housing Wire – “Architecture Firms See Business Increase with Demand for Smaller Houses: AIA” (6-21-10)

“AIA conducted a survey of 500 architecture firms that concentrate practices in the residential sector. AIA also found that American homebuyers are showing greater interest in smaller homes and lot sizes. According to the survey, the economic downturn and growing concerns over rising utility costs have created a demand for smaller homes and lot sizes.”

Housing Wire – “CoreLogic Home Price Index Up 2.6% in April” (6-21-10)

“National housing prices increased 2.6% in April 2010 compared to April 2009 in the CoreLogic (CLGX: 18.335 -2.16%) monthly home price index (HPI). It’s the second month in a row that prices have increased from the same month one year ago. The April increase comes after a 2.3% year-over-year increase in March. The HPI was upwardly revised from an original projection of a 1.7% increase for March.”

Bloomberg - “Whitney Says She Sees ‘Double Dip’ in Housing Market” (6-21-10)

“The U.S. housing market will experience a second recession, forcing banks to post additional loan-loss reserves, analyst Meredith Whitney said.”

Orange County Register – “House price per sq. ft. highest in 2 years” (6-21-10)

“The median price per square foot paid to buy an Orange County house hit $296.32 in May, the highest that measure has been since August 2008, figures from MDA DataQuick show. The price per square foot for an existing, single-family home has been on an upsurge after bottoming out in January 2009, increasing from the month before in 10 of the past 13 months.”

Orange County Register – “5 O.C. hot spots for home-price cuts” (6-21-10)

“As of June 1, 29% of homes on the market in Orange County have seen at least one price reduction, according to online home tracker Trulia.com. Nationwide, 22% of listings had at least one price trim, with the average reduction 10% off the original asking price.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/8/10

Thursday, April 8th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

John Husing estimates that 10,500 new jobs will be created in Riverside during 2010. First American CoreLogic reports distressed sales accounted for 29 percent of the U.S. market. According to the Clear Capital Home Price Index, US home prices dipped 3.9% in the first quarter of 2010. The current rate for 30-year FRM loans is at 5.21%.

In The News:

The Press Enterprise – “Inland economy to improve in 2010: forecast” (4-7-10)

“Inland Southern California will start regaining some of the jobs it lost in the last two years, the area’s leading economist told a gathering of business leaders Wednesday. John Husing, whose forecast each spring is considered one of the clearest snapshots of the region’s economy, said Riverside and San Bernardino county residents will see about 10,500 new jobs created in 2010. If it happens, it would be the first annual growth for the area’s job base in three years.”

Housing Wire – “Distressed Sales Reach 29% of Entire Market: First American” (4-8-10)

“Distressed sales, including short sales and real estate owned (REO) transactions, accounted for 29% of the entire US market in January, according to First American CoreLogic. It’s the highest level since April 2009 and close to the February number calculated by Clear Capital, another analytics firm, which released a report showing how those transactions are pressing home prices down. Distressed sales took the largest chunk of the market in January 2009 when 32% of sales fell into that category, according to First American.”

Housing Wire – “REO Sales Push Home Prices Down 3.9% in March: Clear Capital” (4-8-10)

“After nine months of quarterly gains, US home prices dipped 3.9% from January to March as real-estate owned (REO) property takes more of the market, according to the Clear Capital Home Price Index. Home prices did grow 5.1% from last year, a sign that increases are flattening. In February, prices grew 5% on a yearly basis as well. All four US regions reported positive yearly gains for the first time since spring 2006. However, when Clear Capital analysts drilled down to the quarterly scale, they found renewed declines in regional prices.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mac Mortgage Rates Continue Climb for Fourth Week” (4-8-10)

“The Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.34 0.00%) weekly survey put the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) at 5.21% with an average 0.6 point for the week ending April 8, up from the previous week, when the average was 5.08%, and up from the same time last year, when the average rate was 4.87%. It’s the highest average rate for 30-year FRM since August 13, 2009, when it averaged 5.29%. It is the fourth week Freddie’s rates have inched upward.”

Orange County Register - “Homebuilder’s future in doubt?” (4-8-10)

“California Coastal Communities filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in October to gain more time to repay $182 million in debt due this spring. That debt grew to $204 million by the end of 2009, according an annual report the company filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 30.”

Inman - “ZipRealty: Data shows rising median price” (4-8-10)

“A monthly review of multiple listing service data in 26 market areas found that the median price of for-sale homes rose 1.07 percent in March, to $263,753, according to real estate brokerage company ZipRealty. Prices have been reduced on 40.35 percent of homes that were for sale in March, which is down slightly from February. And the median price reduction on for-sale homes fell 3.02 percent in March, to $20,200.”

Realty Times – “Top 10 Home Buying Mistakes” (4-8-10)

“Going solo Buying a house is a complex transaction. It should be a team effort. You’ll need a real estate agent, lender, inspector, insurer, perhaps a lawyer and other team members to help you through each step of the way. Team build before you start the search. Love at first sight If you believe in fairy tales you probably shouldn’t be buying a home. You won’t live happily ever after if you emote your way through the home buying process. Your home should fit your real needs, not your yen for drama. Buy a home that fits your budget and your lifestyle. Be sure the home is in a community and neighborhood you desire. Visit neighborhoods several times before you buy to check out schools, noise and traffic patterns.”

Realty Times – “Nonresidential Construction Industry Continues to Struggle” (4-8-10)

“Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) reports that its Construction Backlog Indicator (CBI) sharply declined by 9 percent between November 2009 and January 2010. CBI has slipped 16.3 percent during the last year and currently stands at 5.5 months, the lowest point reported in the 15 months ABC has gathered data. CBI is a forward-looking indicator that measures the amount of construction work under contract to be completed in the future.”

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