Statistics from the MBA show outstanding commercial/multifamily mortgage debt  fell by 0.5% in the 4th quarter of 2010. FHA mortgage delinquencies decreased about 7% year over year. According to MDA DataQuick, 4,991 new and resale houses and condos sold in the Bay Area during February. Also, 27,320 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month.

In The News:

MBA - “Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding Fell by $67 billion, 2.7 Percent in 2010, Driven by CMBS Declines” (3-17-11)

“The level of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding decreased by 0.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2010, to $2.4 trillion, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) analysis of the Federal Reserve Board Flow of Funds data. On a year-over-year basis, the amount of mortgage debt outstanding at the end of 2010 was $67 billion lower than at the end of 2009, a decline of 2.7 percent.”

Housing Wire – “Senate committee delays foreclosure mediation bill again” (3-17-11)

“The Senate Judiciary Committee delayed voting on a bill that would authorize bankruptcy courts to establish a mediation program in foreclosure cases nationwide. It is the second delay in as many months.”

Housing Wire – “FHA delinquencies drop due to higher quality mortgage origination” (3-17-11)

“The serious delinquency rate for mortgages in the Federal Housing Administration portfolio declined about 7% in the first quarter of 2011 from one year ago. The 8.29% rate dropped from 8.9% a year earlier, according to a quarterly update from the FHA. In the fourth quarter of 2010, the delinquency rate was 8.84%.”

MDA DataQuick – “Bay Area Housing Market Stuck In Neutral; Investors, Cash Buyers Active” (3-17-11)

“A total of 4,991 new and resale houses and condos sold in the nine-county Bay Area last month. That was up 0.5 percent from 4,966 in January but down 0.9 percent from 5,035 in February 2010, according to San Diego-based DataQuick Information Systems.”

MDA DataQuick – “California February Home Sales” (3-17-11)

“An estimated 27,320 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was down 1.4 percent from 27,706 in January, and down 2.8 percent from 28,111 for February 2010. California sales for the month of February have varied from a low of 20,153 in 2008 to a high of 48,409 in 2004, while the average is 32,117. DataQuick’s statistics go back to 1988.”

Housing Wire – “Jobless claims drop 4%” (3-17-11)

“The number of initial jobless claims filed by unemployed Americans fell 4% last week to 385,000 initial claims filed on an seasonally adjusted basis, according to the most recent Labor Department survey.”

Housing Wire – “Small investors play big role in healing housing market” (3-17-11)

“Small, local investors who earn less than $100,000 a year are playing a major role in the housing recovery by acquiring distressed REO properties, fixing them up and renting them out to future buyers.”

NAHB - “Young Home Buyers Will Lead Housing Market Recovery, Says NAHB” (3-17-11)

“Generation X –young families and adults ages 31 to 45 – are likely to lead the home buying recovery as it gets underway, according to real estate experts who spoke at an educational webinar produced by the National Association of Home Builders”

Housing Wire – “RE/MAX: February home sales down 3%” (3-17-11)

“February home sales dropped 3% from one year ago, but increased from January, according to the RE/MAX national housing report.”

Looking Backing:

One year ago, the CBIA reported that new home sales decreased by 12 percent from January of 2009. Mortgage loan applications decreased by 1.9 percent from the previous week. HOPE NOW made over 99,000 modifications in January 2010, and HAMP made over 50,000.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Freddie Mac reports the average rate for 30-year mortgages increased to 4.81%. The Labor Department said jobless claims declined last week. Freddie Mac funded $15 billion worth of multifamily transactions through its multifamily whole loan and bond guarantee business in 2010. The Treasury Department expects the government to hit the $14.29 trillion debt limit before June.

In The News:

Smart Money – “Home Equity Lending Is Back” (2-3-11)

“some lenders are cautiously re-entering the second mortgage market. The effect hasn’t registered in the national statistics yet, but regional banks are reporting significant increases. In the Midwest, Associated Bank issued nearly three times more home equity loans in the second half of 2010 compared to the same period the year before. SunTrust Bank, which operates mostly in the south and Mid-Atlantic, has issued 25% more home equity lines of credit in the past six months compared to the first half of 2010.”

Mercury News – “Mortgage rates: Average on 30-year fixed loans rises to 4.81 percent” (2-3-11)

“Freddie Mac said Thursday the average rate rose to 4.81 percent this week from 4.80 percent the previous week. It hit a 40-year low of 4.17 percent in November.”

Housing Wire – “Investment in CRE expected to grow 25% worldwide in 2011: Jones Lang LaSalle” (2-2-11)

“Global investment volume will jump 20% to 25% in 2011 to more than $380 billion, according to a report by Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL: 97.95 +0.56%) released Wednesday. In 2010, volume increased 50% from the year prior, up to $319 billion.”

Housing Wire – “Jobless claims swing back to a decline” (2-3-11)

“The Labor Department said the seasonally adjusted figure of actual initial claims for the week ended Jan. 29 decreased by 42,000 to 415,000, which was a little lower than most analysts’ estimates. Initial claims for the prior week were 457,000, which was revised upward a few thousand by the Labor Department.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mac multifamily funding surged in second half of 2010″ (2-3-11)

“Freddie funded $15 billion worth of multifamily transactions through its multifamily whole loan and bond guarantee business in 2010. Funding volume, which encompasses the agency’s targeted affordable housing products, is down from $17 billion in 2009.”

Housing Wire – “Yahoo! and Zillow go live with largest online real estate network” (2-3-11)

“Last July, the two firms announced that the initiative to have Zillow power all for-sale listings on Yahoo! would be live by the end of 2010. Starting Thursday, any for-sale listing that appears on Zillow, even for-sale-by-owner listings, will automatically appear on Yahoo! Real Estate. At any given time, there are an average of 4 million listings available.”

Housing Wire – “Philly Fed scholar pushes for increased quality, not quantity, of homeownership” (2-3-11)

“Alan Mallach, a visiting scholar for the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, made the case for a future U.S. housing policy that still supports homeownership for low- to middle-income families but also focuses on quality over quantity.”

Bloomberg - “Failure to Raise U.S. Debt Ceiling Would Be Dangerous, Top Obama Aide Says” (2-3-11)

“The government will hit the $14.29 trillion debt limit by the end of May, a little later than initially projected because tax revenues have been more robust than expected, the Treasury Department said in a statement yesterday.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, mortgage application volume increased by 21 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from the previous week. Lender Processing Services reported that home delinquency rates increased to 10 percent from November. Inman and GMAC expected that job losses would increase in the real estate industry.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Resources:

JPMorgan: Annual homes sales must average 5.5 million to absorb liquidations

It’s Official: 2010 is Second-lowest Year on Record for Homebuilding in California 

Ten indicted in California mortgage fraud scheme 

New-home sales increase in December 

Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

Mortgage rates inch higher, Freddie Mac says

GOP introduces bill to eliminate HAMP

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Commerce Department said GDP growth increased 3.2% in the 4th quarter of 2010. Freddie Mac reports 30-year mortgage  rates averaged 4.8% this week. A representative of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York expects the foreclosure process to continue to weaken the economy for the rest of the year.

In The News:

NAHB - “Remodelers Expect Market Gains During 2011″ (1-28-11)

“The latest National Association of Home Builders’ (NAHB) Remodeling Market Index (RMI) edged up to 41.5 in the fourth quarter of 2010, compared to 40.8 in the third quarter. An RMI below 50 indicates that more remodelers say market activity is lower compared to the prior quarter than report it is higher. The RMI has been running below 50 since the final quarter of 2005.”

Housing Wire – “NY Fed official sees foreclosure procees weighing down home prices, construction” (1-28-11)

“While many economists are forecasting continued recovery in 2011, one official at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York expects the foreclosure process to remain a drag on the overall economy.”

Housing Wire – “GDP growth accelerates in 4Q” (1-28-11)

“The Commerce Department said GDP growth rose an inflation-adjusted 3.2% in the final three months of 2010, up from 2.6% growth for the third quarter. Analysts surveyed by Econoday projected fourth-quarter GDP growth of 3.5% with a range of estimates between 2.9% and 5.4%. Economists polled by MarketWatch were also expecting GDP growth of 3.5% for the quarter.”

Housing Wire - “Trepp sees correlation in CMBS payoffs, what’s owed investors” (1-28-11)

“Trepp broke down the eventual fate of the $30.2 billion in CMBS loans that were due to pay off in 2010. It found ‘a tight correlation between a loan’s debt yield and the likelihood that a loan would pay off.’ Analysts found that 28% of the loans with yields of 8% or less managed to pay off. That increased to 43% of loans with debt yields between 8% and 10%, and ballooned to 75% of loans with debt yield higher than 14%.”

Bloomberg - “Mozilo Predicted U.S. Housing Collapse as Fed Overlooked Risk” (1-28-11)

“Former Countrywide Financial Corp. Chief Executive Officer Angelo Mozilo warned as early as 2004 of a possible housing-market collapse while the Federal Reserve overlooked the threat a year later, according to documents released by the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission.”

Realty Times – “Bond Yields Rise and So Do Mortgage Rates” (1-28-11)

“30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.80 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending January 27, 2011, up from last week when it averaged 4.74 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.98 percent.”

Realty Times - “Property Rights of Unmarried Couples” (1-28-11)

“When a married couple gets divorced, the distribution of their marital property is governed by Domestic Relations law. But, what happens if unmarried property owners call it quits?”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell by 0.01 percent from the previous week. Research from RealtyTrac showed that California and Florida accounted for 17 of the nation’s 20 worst housing markets. The Federal Reserve declared that the U.S. economywas in recovery.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

According to Freddie Mac, rates on 30-year FRMs fell to 4.77% this week. Altos Research reports home prices fell 1.63% in December. Timothy Geithner requested from Congress to increase the national debt limit. The current debt limit is $14.29 trillion, and the nation’s current debt level is just $335 billion short of the limit.

In The News:

Research Institute for Housing America – “A Study of Real Estate Markets in Declining Cities” (1-6-11)

“many places will likely resume growth and fully recover within the next decade or so. This is almost certainly not to be the case for all metropolitan areas. In fact, a number of large metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) experienced severe recessions during the latter half of the 20th century and prior to the Great Recession and never fully recovered or took many years to do so”

USA Today – “30-year fixed mortgage rate dips to 4.77% average in latest week” (1-6-11)

“Freddie Mac says the average rate on 30-year mortgages dropped to 4.77% from 4.86% the previous week. It hit a 40-year low of 4.17% in November.”

Realty Times – “Consequences of Defaults and Foreclosures” (1-6-11)

“One of the most startling impacts of a foreclosure appears on one’s credit report. Your credit score may plummet by 200 to 300 points. In this economic climate, where credit lending standards are already tightened, you may then find it difficult to do everything from buying a car to renting an apartment. What’s worse is that the notation of foreclosure stays on your report for up to seven years.”

Housing Wire – “Altos: Home prices down 1.63% in December, new listings even lower” (1-6-11)

“Home prices fell 1.63% in December, but new listings are hitting the market well below that, according to analytics firm Altos Research. Prices fell in each of the 27 markets studied by Altos. Prices fell 4.77% in San Francisco — the steepest drop of any area, 3.71% in San Diego”

Housing Wire – “Commercial mortgage modifications become huge trend in just two years” (1-6-11)

“Of all loan modifications in the commercial mortgage industry over the past decade, 96% occurred in the last years, according to Standard & Poor’s. The rating agency said 354 commercial real estate loans with a principal balance $15.6 billion were modified from January through November, up significantly from 216 loans valued at $7.06 billion for all of 2009.”

Housing Wire – “DebtX November CRE loan volume down to 80.3%” (1-6-11)

“The decline in the value of commercial real estate loans in November was due primarily to an increase in Treasury rates”

Housing Wire – “Geithner urges Congress to increase national debt limit” (1-6-11)

“Geithner wrote a letter to Congress Thursday requesting an increase in the federal debt limit. According to his numbers, the current debt limit set last February is $14.29 trillion. As of the writing of the letter, the outstanding debt subject to the limit standards is $13.95 trillion — just $335 billion shy of the maximum.”

Housing Wire – “Equator’s Vella: Short sales set to swell 25% in 2011″ (1-6-11)

“With one in five borrowers underwater on their home and an estimated 1.5 million foreclosures scheduled for 2011, the opportunity for short sales will be better than ever. Investors usually see a 20% to 30% better execution on a short sale versus an REO sale when it comes to loss severity. With the foreclosure volume, current and pending REO inventories, servicers will be pressed to do more short sales in 2011.”

Housing Wire – “New Fannie interactive Web tool provides foreclosure avoidance options” (1-6-11)

“Fannie Mae’s new WaysHome interactive multimedia tool walks homeowners through options if they are struggling to pay the mortgage — even allowing them to select a character and be a part of an interactive video.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, California Governor Schwarzenegger announced a new home buyer tax credit. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications had increased by .4 percent from Christmas. The FOMC confirmed plans to buy $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed-securities from Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae. Eugene Ludwig believed that commercial real estate losses would break historical records in 2010.

For m ore information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Tom Wind of J.I. Kislak Mortgage expects refinancing activity to drop by nearly 66% in 2011. Moody’s Investor Service forecasts lower supply and higher demand for rental apartments in 2011. The 50 state attorneys general probing U.S. foreclosure practices will first settle with Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Ally Financial. Rick Sharga believes foreclosure activity will improve in Orange County during 2011.

In The News:

Bankrate.com – “Zero-down mortgages endure in rural areas” (1-3-11)

“borrowers must demonstrate they can afford the mortgage payments by meeting the USDA debt-to-income ratios of 29 percent for the housing payment and 41 percent for the overall debt to gross monthly income.”

Housing Wire – “J.I. Kislak expects higher purchase loan activity in 2011″ (1-3-11)

“Tom Wind, managing director of J.I. Kislak Mortgage, expects the refinancing activity to fall to $350 billion in 2011 from $1 trillion last year.”

Housing Wire – “Moody’s sees multifamily REIT credit strengthening in 2011″ (1-3-11)

“Moody’s Investors Service expects lower supply and higher demand to stoke growth in rental apartments and subsequently help the credit of multifamily real estate investment trusts.”

Housing Wire – “Ginnie Mae moves up multiple issuer deadline” (1-3-11)

“The cut-off time for issuers submitting multiple loan packages into real estate mortgage investment conduits (REMICs) was three days before the end of the month. Ginnie is now moving that up to six days before the end of the month.”

Bloomberg - “BofA Resolves Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Loan Dispute” (1-3-11)

“Bank of America Corp., the biggest U.S. lender by assets, paid $2.8 billion to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae after the U.S.-owned firms demanded the company buy back mortgages they said were based on faulty data.”

Bloomberg - “Foreclosure Deals to Start With Big Lenders, Iowa Says” (1-3-11)

“The 50 state attorneys general probing U.S. foreclosure practices will first settle with the five largest loan servicers, including Bank of America Corp. and JPMorgan Chase & Co., Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller said. No settlements have been reached yet, Miller said in a telephone interview today. The other three are Citigroup Inc., Wells Fargo & Co. and Ally Financial Inc., said Miller, the leader of the 50-state investigation. The five have 59 percent of the market, Miller said.”

Orange County Register – “Dip in O.C. foreclosures for 2011?” (1-3-11)

“Orange County foreclosure activity has been trending downward over the course of 2010, and may continue to improve marginally over the course of 2011. There are a number of reasons for this, including an unemployment rate that is better than elsewhere in the state, and the fact that Orange County doesn’t have as much excess housing inventory as other areas in California.”

Orange County Register – “No end to high-end foreclosures eyed for ’11″ (1-3-11)

“A recent study by the State Foreclosure Prevention Working Group found that nearly 3 years into the mortgage crisis, more than 60% of homeowners with seriously delinquent loans are still not involved in any loss mitigation/loan modification activity.”

For m ore information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Study Shows Mortgage Banker Production Profits Improved with Higher Refinancing Activity in Third Quarter 2010″ (12-14-10)

“Independent mortgage banks and subsidiaries made an average profit of $1,423 on each loan they originated in the third quarter of 2010, up from $917 per loan in the second quarter of 2010, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)’s 3rd Quarter 2010 Mortgage Bankers Performance Report released today.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding Down 1.3 Percent on Bank and CMBS Balances in 3Q 2010″ (12-14-10)

“The level of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding decreased in the third quarter, to $3.2 trillion, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) analysis of the Federal Reserve Board Flow of Funds data.”

Housing Wire – “Robo-signing hangover slows foreclosures in Western states” (12-14-10)

“Foreclosure sales in Arizona, California, Nevada, Oregon and Washington fell 38.7% in October and November, according to ForeclosureRadar.”

Los Angeles Times – “Survey: Consumers prefer small banks, credit unions” (12-14-10)

“Americans continue to prefer small banks and credit unions to larger institutions, according to an annual survey of satisfaction with financial services. Small banks held steady in this year’s American Customer Satisfaction Index, with a combined rating of 80 out of 100. Major banks scored mainly in the high 60s, with only Wells Fargo & Co. exceeding 70.”

CNN - “Obama’s mortgage mod plan is still lacking” (12-14-10)

“Last April, the Congressional Oversight Panel found the program to be struggling to get off the ground despite having been in action for a year and a half. The latest evaluation of the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) came out Tuesday and the result was — same deal.”

San Francisco Chronicle - “Loss of estate tax leaves hole in state budget” (12-14-10)

“The proposed tax deal in Congress would fail to deliver about $2.7 billion in estate tax revenues California was counting on receiving this fiscal year and next, but some say the state should never have expected those revenues in the first place.”

Housing Wire – “Strategic defaulters opt to continue paying on second liens” (12-14-10)

“Borrowers who strategically default on their first mortgage often continue to pay on home equity lines of credit, according to a new white paper from two authors with the Philadelphia Federal Reserve.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage fraud suspicious activity reports up 7% in first half of 2010″ (12-14-10)

“Lenders filed 35,135 suspicious activity reports indicating mortgage fraud in the first half of 2010, up 7% from the same period a year ago, according to the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network.”

Housing Wire – “Ginnie Mae earnings up 6% for fiscal year, issuance down” (12-14-10)

“Ginnie Mae earned $541.5 million in its fiscal year of 2010, up 6.2% from the previous year, but issuance dropped for the first time since 2006.”

Housing Wire – “LendingTree survey shows 40% of homeowners took first loan offer” (12-14-10)

“Roughly 40% of current homeowners surveyed by the online lender exchange LendingTree obtained just one mortgage loan quote before purchasing their home. LendingTree and the Harris Interactive surveyed 1,317 homeowners online, and of those 96% said they compare prices when shopping for anything – except mortgages. This, according to LendingTree, explains why only 28% surveyed feel confident they got the best possible deal on their loan.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Today’s News Synopsis:

Contrary to many recent forecasts regarding home price declines, Local Market Monitor believes many housing markets have bottomed, and may even improve over the next 2 years. Fitch Ratings reports delinquency rates on CMBS rose to 7.96% in November. American household net worth rose $1.2 trillion in the 3rd quarter.

In The News:

Washington Post – “Housing agencies clash over mortgage-relief program” (12-10-10)

“The Federal Housing Administration says the program could avert foreclosures, but the Federal Housing Finance Agency has concerns that the program, if expanded to include the government-controlled mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, could be a logistical nightmare that would cost taxpayers too much, the sources said.”

Wall Street Journal – “BofA Restarts Some Foreclosures” (12-10-10)

“The bank instructed its foreclosure attorneys this week to prepare new affidavits in 7,800 cases where court approval is required to foreclose on a home, out of a total of 102,000 frozen by the bank amid documentation concerns. In states where no court approval is required, attorneys were asked to lift the hold on 8,000 delayed foreclosure sales out of 30,000.”

Housing Wire – “Local Market Monitor finds many local markets hit bottom in 3Q” (12-10-10)

“Local Market Monitor reported a ‘definite bottom’ in Southern California, specifically the San Francisco Bay area, where the average home price stands at $642,159, a 17% drop from the peak in the third quarter of 2006. Analysts forecast that price to hold over the next year and possibly increase 1% over the next two years.”

Housing Wire – “Fitch Ratings says CMBS delinquencies rose to 7.96% in November” (12-10-10)

“The number of delinquencies in commercial mortgage-backed securities rose last month with increases across all property types, according to Fitch Ratings. Analysts said the delinquency rate rose to 7.96% in November from 7.78% the prior month led by $1.6 billion of new defaults on office- and retail-backed loans.”

Housing Wire – “Households and financial institutions decrease debt in 3Q” (12-10-10)

“American household net worth increased by $1.2 trillion in the third quarter as a result of debt deleveraging. According to the funds flow report, the average household net worth was $54.9 trillion, up from $53.7 trillion in the previous quarter. Net worth is measured as the difference between household assets and liabilities.”

Housing Wire – “Altos Research suspects government may eventually take total control of GSEs” (12-10-10)

“Real estate statistics firm Altos Research suggests the United States government may lean toward gaining complete control of government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.”

Realty Times – “ARMs Providing Unexpected Relief for Some Home Owners” (12-10-10)

“in recent weeks, for conforming, 30-year mortgages, the interest rate on FRMs have averaged about one percentage point higher than the 5-year Treasury indexed ARM. Fixed rate mortgages for conforming loans averaged 4.40 percent vs. 3.45 percent for the 5-year Treasury indexed ARM, according to Freddie Mac’s Nov. 24 Primary Mortgage Market Survey.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, foreclosure activity decreased  by 8 percent in November. Hanley Wood Market Intelligence reported that Orange County builders had their first positive month in October 09, after 13 months of contract declines. A survey from HomeGain showed that 48 percent of agents and brokers believe that home prices would stay the same, and 24 percent believe that prices would increase.  Data from the U.S. Treasury Department showed that 31,382 of the 1 million three-month modifications had become permanent.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Freddie Mac announced it will suspend foreclosure evictions from Dec. 20 to Jan. 3, 2011. Automatic Data Processing reports the U.S. economy added 93,000 private-sector jobs during November. The Federal Reserve shared information about more than 21,000 individual transactions which provided $3 trillion in liquidity for market stabilization. According to the MBA, mortgage applications decreased 16.5% last week.

In The News:

NAR - “Realtors® Say Mortgage Interest Deduction Vital to Home Ownership, Economy” (12-1-10)

“The tax deductibility of interest paid on mortgages is a powerful incentive for home ownership and has been one of the simplest provisions in the federal tax code for more than 80 years. In a new survey commissioned by NAR and conducted online in October 2010 by Harris Interactive of nearly 3,000 homeowners and renters, nearly three-fourths of homeowners and two-thirds of renters said the mortgage interest deduction was extremely or very important to them.”

Wall Street Journal – “Deficit-Panel Chiefs Urge Tax, Spending Changes” (12-1-10)

“A 59-page proposal from the co-chairmen of the White House’s deficit-reduction commission, which they labeled ‘The Moment of Truth,’ calls for sweeping changes in how the country spends money and collects taxes, the starting point for a long debate about how to tackle the U.S. debt.”

Inman - “Move Inc. launches mortgage site” (12-1-10)

“Like other sites and services that enable consumers to shop for mortgages online, MortgageMatch.com employs an automated pricing engine that allows consumers to see the loan products and rates offered by multiple lenders.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Refinance Activity Continues to Decline as Rates Rise in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (12-1-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 26, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 16.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. This week’s results include an adjustment to account for the Thanksgiving holiday. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 34.2 percent compared with the previous week.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA: Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Delinquency Rates Mixed in Third Quarter” (12-1-10)

“Delinquency rates for different commercial/multifamily mortgage investor groups were mixed in the third quarter, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Commercial/Multifamily Delinquency Report. The delinquency rate for loans held in CMBS is the highest since the series began in 1997. Delinquency rates for other groups remain below levels seen in the early 1990′s, some by large margins.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mac to suspend foreclosure evictions this holiday season” (12-1-10)

“Freddie Mac will suspend foreclosure evictions from Dec. 20 to Jan. 3, 2011, the company announced Wednesday. Freddie Mac’s mortgage portfolio stands at $39.6 billion as of October, according to its monthly summary report. Its serious delinquency rate stood at 3.82% in October as well.”

Housing Wire – “November employment increase largest in three years” (12-1-10)

“The U.S. economy added 93,000 private-sector jobs in November from the previous month, the largest gain in three years and a sign of a ‘brightening’ employment situation, according to the Automatic Data Processing report Wednesday. However, the improvement will not be enough to lower the unemployment rate, which according to ADP will likely remain above 9% for all of 2011.”

Housing Wire – “Bair says more regulation needed to restore integrity of mortgage servicing” (12-1-10)

“Bair said the robo-signing scandal spawned from misaligned incentives in the servicing industry, and called on the Financial Stability Oversight Council to fill in the regulatory gaps left by the Dodd-Frank Act. Regulation is needed to track the title of a loan and to properly document the foreclosure process, she said.”

Housing Wire – “Secret’s out: Federal Reserve reveals who got help in midst of financial crisis” (12-1-10)

“The Federal Reserve Board on Wednesday posted detailed information about more than 21,000 individual transactions that provided $3 trillion in liquidity to stabilize markets during the nation’s financial crisis.An analysis of the data by The Wall Street Journal showed Goldman Sachs used an emergency overnight loan program from the Fed 84 times for a total of nearly $600 billion. The Primary Dealer Credit Facility, announced in March 2008, was used 212 times by Morgan Stanley”

Bloomberg - “Fannie, Freddie Spar With Regulators on Foreclosures” (12-1-10)

“Acting Comptroller of the Currency John Walsh said in testimony prepared for a congressional hearing today that his agency is directing national bank servicers to suspend foreclosures for borrowers actively seeking to qualify for loan modifications.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR reported that pending home sales increased during October by 3.7 percent. The California Board of Equalization claimed that most homeowners would see a decline in property tax after a deflation of 0.237 percent.  According to Real Estate Econometrics LLC, the commercial mortgage default rate on loans held by U.S. banks increased to 3.4 percent in the third quarter of 09.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The NAR reports FHA, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac account for over 90% of the mortgage market. New California building codes, known as CALGreen, will be enforced on January 1st. Richard Fisher of the Dallas Federal Reserve believes the low interest rates are doing little to stimulate the economy. Fannie Mae acquired 85,340 REO properties in the 3rd quarter.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “Shared homeownership could mean paying your neighbors’ bills” (11-7-10)

“The Community Assns. Institute trade group recently reported that more than half of the nation’s 310,000 community associations are struggling with ‘serious’ or ‘severe’ financial woes. Some 59% of association managers reported that more than 3% of homes in their community groups were vacant, the study said, because the owners either had walked away from their mortgages or were unable to rent the homes. Some 65% of associations reported that more than 5% of their homeowners were delinquent on their monthly assessments.”

NAR - “Qualified Buyers Should Have Access to Credit, Say REALTORS®” (11-8-10)

“Currently, FHA, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac account for more than 90 percent of the mortgage market. Lenders refuse to make loans unless FHA will insure them or the GSEs will buy them. Stricter FHA and GSE underwriting rules eliminate many buyers with credit scores as high as 750, and lenders are imposing credit overlays of their own, restricting the availability of credit.”

The Daily Journal – “Cities preparing for building standards to get more green” (11-8-10)

“Come Jan. 1, cities throughout California will be required to enforce the new California Green Building Standards Code, or the CALGreen Code. Finalized earlier this year by California’s Building Standards Commission and the Department of Housing and Community Development, the guidelines represent the first statewide mandatory green building code for newly constructed buildings in the nation.”

Housing Wire – “QE2 gives green light for yield in MBS” (11-8-10)

“Analysts said the decision by the Federal Reserve to purchase another $600 billion of Treasury securities ‘gives the green light for yield’ in mortgage-backed securities, and the central bank may consider purchasing MBS if spreads widen significantly.”

Housing Wire – “Fed adviser worries greater mortgage disclosures put borrower privacy at risk” (11-8-10)

“The Federal Reserve is working on proposals forcing lenders to submit more detailed mortgage loan information to the government, but regulators are juggling the need for more transparency and how that information could cost borrowers their privacy.”

Housing Wire – “Dallas Fed president: low interest rates won’t spark demand” (11-8-10)

“The environment of exceedingly low interest rates is great for banks, according to Richard Fisher, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, but is doing little to help the overall economy get back on track.”

Housing Wire – “Monday morning cup of coffee” (11-8-10)

“Fannie Mae acquired 85,340 REO properties in the third quarter, up 23.9% from the amount acquired in the previous quarter, according to its quarterly financial statement released Friday.”

Bloomberg - “First-Time Mortgage Defaults in U.S. Rise for 1st Time in Year” (11-8-10)

“First-time defaults rose to 1.1 percent of previously ‘always performing’ mortgages based on payments due in September, up from 1 percent the prior month, according to a report from the Austin, Texas-based securities firm.”

Bloomberg - “Majority of Property Investors Plan Purchases as Prospects Rise” (11-8-10)

“Sixty percent of respondents said they plan to make commercial property purchases in the next year, mainly in their home markets, according to the report released by the Seattle- based adviser. Those looking abroad favor Hong Kong, Singapore, Sydney, London, New York, Washington, Chicago and San Francisco, the survey showed.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Household Debt Shrank 0.9% in Third Quarter, Fed Says” (11-8-10)

“Consumer indebtedness totaled $11.6 trillion at the end of September, down $110 billion, or 0.9 percent from the end of June, according to the New York Fed’s quarterly report on household debt and credit. Households have slashed about $1 trillion from outstanding consumer debts since the peak in the third quarter of 2008, the New York Fed said.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

John Schaub Real Estate Investor, Teacher and Author (Full Bio)

This week Bruce Norris is joined by John Schaub. John has prospered during 3 recessions as an investor. He has 35 years of real estate investing experience. His 2005 best selling book Building Wealth One House At a Time assisted more than 50,000 real estate investors. His 2007 book titled Building Wealth in a Changing Real Estate Market is available in bookstores and online.

In the early 1980s, we had a crash in real estate. We had high unemployment, high interest rates and a low volume of sales. Every down turn is different, and that is what makes real estate challenging. Charles Darwin once said, “It is not the strongest or the most intelligent of the species who survive, it is the ones most adaptable to change.” You have to be able to analyze a market, and adapt your strategy. Having 35 years is experience is important for being able to determine when change is occurring, and how to deal with that change.

Many of the people who have not survived the down turn have a lot of bank debt. Many of the people who did survive own a property free and clear, have cash in the bank, and didn’t refinance as often.

If you talk to an account and tell him/her that you own houses free and clear, they look at you as if you are making a big mistake. They don’t understand that owning a house free and clear helps you sleep at night. There are some days where it is hard to get work to pay the bills.

There was a time in Riverside County when real estate prices were dropping 4 percent per month. During that time, Bruce was happy to be able to sit patiently on the sidelines until opportunity presented itself. The market does not come out of a recession as fast as people expect, so if sales are going slow, be patient.

Right now is a great time to buy. The affordability index is looking great. If the credit market loosens up, we will have many buyers returning to the market. Unfortunately, the real estate market has some scars from the down turn, and those scars take time to heal. In times like these, when people are afraid to enter the market because of the cash they lost in the down turn, you can make a lot of money from conquering your fear.

Every one is trying to catch the bottom of the market, but that is just as difficult as catching the top. You should be happy with just being able to buy a property that cashflows well. There is a good chance that prices will go up in the next ten years. John was able to raise rent on all his properties this year without losing any renters.

John got into investing because he didn’t want a real job. Prior to investing, he had worked in retail and he had worked as a dishwasher in a restaurant. He knew there were jobs that required hard work and less money, but he wanted something that required less work and was more lucrative. He got his real estate license in college, and he sold an apartment building that he was managing. He used the check from that sale to start his investing career.

John prefers to buy and hold over buy and sell. Buying and holding a property does not require as much skill as buying and selling, because selling is a separate skill set. Also, you cannot be greedy with buying and selling; you have to be willing to accept a smaller profit from each property. Buying and holding requires patience. You have to wait for property values to increase over longer periods of time, and you need to have some sort of job to cover the bills while you are waiting. The properties that have made John the most money are the properties that he bought 30 to 40 years ago.

About ¾ of John’s properties are bought from private owners. John uses a variety of advertising methods. He doesn’t believe you can adequately rely on one method. John keeps track of properties for sale in neighborhoods where he owns properties. He lives in a city with a population of about 50,000, and he has about 12 neighborhoods within 10 minutes of his office. On a daily basis, John looks for empty houses and signs of distress within those neighborhoods. He also talks to neighbors about other people who might be interested in selling. John has not used direct mail or newspaper advertising for many years, but he did do this in the beginning of his career to create leads.

John’s ideal rental property is located within a well established neighborhood, has nice landscaping and is near to good schools. These neighborhoods tend to be more pricy. In order to buy that kind of property, you have to buy far below market value, or you must have a large down payment to decrease your monthly payments. John will not buy a house unless he can gain a positive cash flow from it. John’s ideal home typically sells for $300,000 to $400,000, and he tries to buy them for about $200,000. Those homes usually rent for about $1,550 per month.

If John was a beginning investor, he would look for a less expensive house. It is harder to make an expensive house cash flow, and they require larger down payments. Cheaper homes are sometimes not very pretty, but every house is someone’s dream house. For someone who lives under a bridge or inside a trailer, an ugly house may seem wonderful. There is money to be made even on less desirable properties. Generally, the people selling those homes are anxious to get rid of them, and the people who are interested in buying those homes are really happy to just have a house. John has sold hundreds of houses like this to young families who were willing to put in some sweat equity. John has been involved with Habitat for Humanity for years. Habitat for Humanity helps people get into a house with a small down payment. Because those people have to work their way into those homes, they value their homes more and they are more likely to be successful.

John was mentored by Warren Harding. He was a real estate salesman and a great teacher. When John first started taking classes, he couldn’t imagine that he would get his money’s worth out of the classes he was taking. He eventually realized that the $200 dollars he spent on his education gave him ideas that were worth millions. John still enjoys taking and teaching classes. The excitement of being able to learn new ideas to make money with keeps John motivated.

One of the benefits of being a teacher is that you have a bank of students that come up with their own investing ideas. Some of John’s students have come up with ideas that they have been able to use profitably.

John and his friend Jack Miller began teaching real estate in the 1970s. He was teaching a real estate law class at a local college for people interested in getting their real estate license. Later, he started teaching classes on investing in classes. He currently teaches about 4 times every year. He enjoys seeing people “light up” when he shows them how to make money. John teaches to a repetitive group. He teaches with Peter Fortunato and Jim Napier.

The first time Bruce taught, a man approached him saying, “I really need to figure this out, because my wife has cancer and I can’t afford the treatment.” Education can make a big difference in someone’s life.

When John’s father was in his 60s, he got his retirement benefit statement, and discovered that it wasn’t enough to retire. John was able to help him buy 4 houses. They sold one, and his father kept the other 3. That significantly improved his retirement income. John believes he teaches life changing material. If you follow good advice and find good teachers, you can not only help yourself but other people as well.

The title of John’s course is Making it Big on Little Deals. There are many seminars that try to teach people how to retire on one big deal. Those seminars are very popular, but they are impractical. The slow route has a much higher rate of success. Big deals have big risk. When you buy a highly valuable piece of property, there is a good chance that you will be negotiating with someone smarter than you. You have a major negotiating advantage when you are buying from homeowners, and when you are selling to people who want your house. If you are selling and buying from wealthy people, you need to be very good.

You can buy a house with a relatively small amount of money, but if you buy a bigger property like an apartment, then you had better have a reserve of cash, because something will probably go wrong along the way. If a house is empty for a couple months, you can probably survive. If an apartment is empty for a couple months, there is a good chance you won’t survive. One of the lessons Bruce has learned is to always have a reserve of cash. Having monthly cash flow and a reserve of money allows him to make sane investing decisions. When you have extra cash, you can analyze the market and determine whether or not it is a good time to buy or sell. Also, having extra money puts you into a good negotiating position, because you don’t have to buy or sell. You can just make deals that are good for you, rather than being forced into a deal because you need some quick cash.

Bruce knows some people that lost a lot during the down turn. Some of those people are in make up mode during a time that is difficult to make money. That is dangerous. John believes you need to have a good long term plan. If you buy today and don’t plan to sell for 10 years, then you don’t care about price drops that might occur within the next couple years. This allows you to patiently wait until prices come back to a desirable selling point.

Bruce and John will be teaching together for the first time on November 5^th and 6^th. Jon will be focusing on how to buy in today’s market. One thing that John does differently from Bruce is he uses a lot of owner financing. He will be teaching people how to buy properties without going to banks and hard money lenders. You cannot cash flow with a hard money loan, because you need a better interest rate, but hard money loans are good for buying and selling. With interest rates this low, owner financing is vey reasonable. John is getting loans for 15 years at 4%.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.