The Norris Group Blog

California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘CMBA’

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/26/10

Monday, April 26th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The CIRB reports that permits were pulled for 3,714 total California housing units in March. Commercial mortgage delinquencies fell to 0.63% in Q1 of 2010. The MARI saw a 50 percent increase in appraisal fraud in 2009. Homeownership rates in Q1 of 2010 decreased to the lowest levels since 2000.

Looking Back:

CBIA - “Housing Starts Climb for Third Straight Month in March, CBIA Announces” (4-26-10)

“According to statistics compiled by the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB), permits were pulled for 3,714 total housing units in March, up 4 percent from the same month a year ago and up 7 percent from February. Permits for single-family homes totaled 2,231, up 17 percent from March 2009 and up 24 percent from the previous month, while multifamily permits totaled 1,483, down 11 percent from a year ago and down 12 percent from February.”

Bloomberg“Fed May Keep Rates Low as Tight Credit Impedes Small Businesses” (4-26-10)

“Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said in an April 7 speech that while a U.S. economic recovery is under way, ‘we are far from being out of the woods,’ in part because of tight credit.”

Bloomberg - “Bankers Said ‘Anything’ to Get High Rating, S&P Ex-Analyst Says” (4-26-10)

“Just past midnight on May 3, 2005, Standard & Poor’s analyst Chui Ng e-mailed co-workers to broker a solution to demands by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. bankers that he said violated two or more of the ratings company’s internal guidelines. Goldman Sachs was adding $200 million in debt at the ‘last minute’ to a $1.5 billion bond pool called Adirondack Ltd., Ng wrote. That meant the New York investment bank would originate 13 percent of the pool itself, two-and-a-half times the 5 percent limit set by S&P.”

Housing Wire - “Xerox Aims to Lead Originators into Paperless Mortgage World” (4-26-10)

“The latest venture in mortgages for Xerox Corp. (XRX: 11.35 +0.27%) is a move to make the name synonymous with paperless electronic mortgage origination, according to the company. The company is now focusing efforts on its eVault, an off-site digital storage repository for electronic loan documents, as a way to try to grab more market share in paperless origination. Currently the company holds more than 35,000 mortgages in the vault. The software-as-a-service (SaaS) is offered on a per-loan basis, which the company said makes it more affordable for originators with varying levels of loan volume.”

Housing Wire“California Commercial Mortgage Delinquencies Drop in Q110″ (4-26-10)

“In California, the delinquency rate of commercial mortgages fell to 0.63% in Q110, a 34-basis point (bp) drop from 0.97% at the end of 2009, according to the California Mortgage Bankers Association (CMBA). On a dollar basis, the delinquent rate reached 0.63%, which translates to a 0.29% delinquent rate on a loan-volume basis. Of the more than 6,400 commercial loans surveyed by the CMBA, 19 loans totaling $344.6m were more than 90 days delinquent. The survey included 16 mortgage banking firms and $54.7bn in commercial and multi-family loans.”

Housing Wire“Appraisal Fraud Jumps 50% in 2009: MARI” (4-26-10)

“The Mortgage Asset Research Institute (MARI), whose subscribers represent 70% of the mortgage finance space, reports today appraisal fraud is taking a larger proportion of trickery alleged in suspicious activity reports (SARs) filed with the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN). In 2008, suspected appraisal/valuation fraud stood at 22% of mortgage fraud reports. In 2009, that jumped to 33%, said MARI in a conference call on its yearly results.”

Housing Wire“Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (4-26-10)

“Regulators closed seven banks Friday — all based in the state of Illinois — at a total cost to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) of nearly $974m.”

Housing Wire - “Homeownership Hits Lowest Rates Since 2000″ (4-26-10)

“Fewer Americans own homes in Q110 than in any quarter since the beginning of 2000, according to data from the Census Bureau. The seasonally adjusted homeownership rate fell to an average of 67.2% percent of qualifying Americans who own homes in Q110, dropping 1bp from 67.3% in Q409. It was the lowest rate since the 67.1% mark in the first quarter of 2000. The rate reached its height in Q105 at 69.2%, according to the Census.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Existing, single-family home sales increased 63.8 percent in one month. 19.1 million homes stood unoccupied in the first quarter of 2009. Simon Property Group attempted to buy General Growth prior to its bankruptcy. Rent rates decreased in 19 of the 23 O.C. cities.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/6/09

Friday, November 6th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

Fannie recently developed the “Deed-for-Lease” program which allows qualified borrowers to deed their properties back to Fannie and continue to live in the house for up to 12 months. Fannie Mae is asking for $15 billion in support from the Treasury Department. Ronald Pressman from GE Capital Real Estate believes that the commercial real estate market is far from a recovery. The U.S. unemployment rate increased to 10.2 percent in October.

In The News:

Housing Wire“BarCap Sees ‘Limited Use’ of Fannie’s Deed-for-Lease Program” (11-6-09)

“The Deed-for-Lease (D4L) program allows qualified borrowers to voluntarily deed the property back to Fannie and remain in the home on lease for up to 12 months. It targets borrowers that do not qualify for other workout alternatives like the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), which allocates federal incentives to servicers that pursue modifications before foreclosure.”

Housing Wire“Higher Unemployment Means Many More Distressed Properties to Come” (11-6-09)

“The US Conference of Mayors, a nonpartisan organization that represents cities with populations greater than 30,000, is sending out an industry warning that they expect employment rates to continue to climb in 2010, reaching levels as high as 15% in some municipalities. Servicers in these areas should prepare to face a much heavier distressed asset portfolio as borrowers struggle to cope with lose of income, says Dave Gatton, a director at the firm.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Asks Treasury for $15Bn, May Sell Housing Tax Credits” (11-6-09)

“Financial fallout at mortgage giant Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.0299 -8.04%) continues to develop following the $19.8bn quarterly net loss, with the agency’s conservator confirming Fannie may sell as much as $2.6bn of low-income housing tax credits to investors and is requesting another $15bn in support from the US Treasury Department.”

Housing Wire“Calif. Commercial Delinquency Rate Drops to 0.23%: CMBA” (11-6-09)

“The delinquency rate for commercial loans in California slipped 3bps from 0.26% to 0.23% in Q309, according to a survey conducted by the California Mortgage Bankers Association (CMBA).”

Housing Wire“Fed Buys Another $16Bn of Agency MBS” (11-6-09)

“The Federal Reserve Bank of New York bought $16bn of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) from housing finance agencies Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.19 -4.80%), Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.03 -8.04%) and Ginnie Mae in the week ending November 4. The Fed bought $3.27bn from Freddie, $12.55bn from Fannie and $175m from Ginnie. For the first week in months, were no MBS sales listed in the week ending November 4.”

Bloomberg - “Commercial Property ‘Long Way’ From Rebound, GE’s Pressman Says” (11-6-09)

“The U.S. commercial property market is far from recovery and needs job growth, sustained low interest rates and further government support, said GE Capital Real Estate Chief Executive Officer Ronald Pressman. ”

Reuters - “Surge in temp jobs points to stronger U.S. economy” (11-6-09)

“U.S. temporary staffing — historically one of the first areas to show evidence of a jobs recovery — surged in October, adding about 34,000 jobs in a positive sign for the overall economy even as the overall employment rate rose above 10 percent.”

Orange County Register – “1 in 4 Surf City home sales distressed” (11-6-09)

Three charts are displayed which contain data on Huntington Beach listings and escrows.

Inman - “15 best iPhone apps for mobile agents” (11-6-09)

“Home Tracker. You’ve seen a lot of homes and it can make your head spin. Home Tracker keeps track for you. Store information on each property such as address, ZIP code, price and size; add notes; take photos; rate the property condition, location and appeal; star your favorites; map the property; and best of all, e-mail the summary of home tours to your clients.”

Realty Times“Is Your Agent Experienced in Distressed Properties?” (11-6-09)

“the National Association of Realtors (NAR) is coming to the rescue with real estate agents specifically schooled in those subjects. A new Short Sales and Foreclosure Certification Program (SFR) trains agents how to manage short-sales, foreclosures, and real estate owned (REO or bank owned) transactions, and keeps agents current on national and state-specific information and regulations on these issues.”

Wall Street Journal“Broader U-6 Unemployment Rate Hits 17.5%” (11-6-09)

“The U.S. jobless rate jumped up 0.4 percentage point to 10.2% in October, the highest level since April 1983. The government’s broader measure of unemployment shot up even more, rising half a point to 17.5%.”

Wall Street Journal – “Real Time Economics” (11-6-09)

“The bad news is that the jobs situation seems to have stalled out after improving dramatically through the summer. Private payroll declines actually widened slightly in September and in October. Thus, while we still strongly believe based on anecdotes, surveys, and other statistics that the labor situation is improving and that job losses will come to an end within a few months, the payroll numbers themselves do not indicate much positive momentum. In contrast to the payroll survey results, the household survey data were unambiguously negative. The unemployment rate surged to 10.2%, as the household gauge of employment plunged by almost 600,000 on top of September’s 785,000 drop. –Stephen Stanley, RBS”

85-TNG Radio – I Survived Real Estate 9-13-08

Saturday, August 30th, 2008

isurvived2008

I Survived Real Estate 2008

Part Three

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Part three of “I Survived Real Estate 2008” picks up with Bruce Norris introducing Philip Tirone who is author of the “7 Steps to a 720 Credit Score” and President of the Mortgage Equity Group. Philip brings to the table experience from the lending and consumer side of the equations.

Philip talks about people still wanting stated income and how much harder consumers are have to work to get financing. Banks are going after co-borrowers more aggressively and doing much more background checking.

Philip discusses the issue of consumers that owe much more on their home as a similar home in the same neighborhood because of the market at the desire to buy the new one and foreclosure on the current home. Philip says that lenders are catching on to this practice and has revised lending policy accordingly. As of August 1st, if a consumer wants to buy a home in the same neighborhood, it needs to make logical sense that the consumer needs the new home due to extra bedroom, more space, etc. And if the consumer has less than 30% equity, the consumer cannot accept rental income on previous home and must have 6 months reserves.

Philip discusses the top three lending strategies for investors. Many investors that have purchased for cash want to refinance. The best financing is available within the first 60 days. If buying in an LLC, Philip says a single member LLC will get an investor a better rate. Philip also says to go to portfolio lenders for loans. They don’t have the limitations that Fannie and Freddie currently have in place.

For sellers, Philip discusses the natural inclination for sellers to drop price if a property is not selling. Instead of dropping price, Philip thinks sellers should consider buying down the buyer’s interest rate. This could save the consumer a great deal of money and also support prices in the area. Philip also addresses buyers that don’t qualify because lack of down payment. If buyers don’t have down payment, FHA allows gifts for down payments. Philip says that although there is a seasoning rule for FHA, investors should make sure all due diligence is done up front so at the 90 day mark the loan will fund quickly.

Philip also says consumers and investors should manage their credit actively. 80% of people have an error on their credit report that could possibly hinder them from getting a loan. Philip says credit is really easy to manage and scores can swing 100 points. Using credit to your advantage isn’t as hard as many people think.

Bruce then introduces Annemaria Allen who is President of the Compliance Group who specializes in loan complains and is the representative for the California Mortgage Bankers Association.

Annemaria talks about the lending industry yesterday being full of unsophisticated borrows, greedy lenders, minimal loan compliance, and inflated home prices. Today, a complete overhaul is taking place. Lending has somewhat stabilized because subprime is gone and full document loans are back. She calls it “back to the basics” of underwriting. Annemaria says automatic underwriting isn’t used as much and lenders are doing much more due diligence.

Annemaria thinks home prices still are too high and that we haven’t seen the worst of it. The adjustable rate mortgages will cause more problems in the next year. HERA (Housing Economic Recovery Act) was signed into law by Bush in July. The Safe Act that passed seeks to protect consumers by requiring loan originators, lenders, and brokers will have to register with the system. Some of these news acts are several hundred pages long and are still being reviewed.

Regulation Z means more disclosures to consumers. It is supposed to capture all subprime and Alt-A loans. There will be more advertising restrictions and more disclosures.

California has 30 bills in legislature to help with current issues. Foreclosure prevention laws are being passed nationwide along with loan modification and servicing laws. The Non-Traditional Mortgage Guidelines are being adopted nationawide.

Annemaria feels it’s a little too late but the biggest solution moving forward will be consumers being more educated and for the industry to prevent fraud. Annemaria feels stronger standards in compliance and safety will prevent this from happening in the future.

Bruce then brings forward the CEO of the California Builders Industry Association of the Southern California, Richard Lambros.

Richard discusses real estate as a speculative investment and the cycles. Richard warns us not to think of it as a cycle because that means we can have no influence over the outcome. Total new home production is down and will produce the lowest number of homes in history. In the building industry, they say it’s a building depression. In three years, production has been cut by one third.