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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 9/13/10

Monday, September 13th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Many predictions are being made regarding the economy and the housing market. Most of the articles have an overall positive outlook on the economy, while most had a negative outlook for the housing market. New delinquencies decreased 8.5% in August. The FDIC said 119 banks failed so far this year.

In The News:

CNBC - “No Double Dip, Stimulus Did Help: IMF Chief” (9-13-10)

“There is unlikely to be a double-dip recession, while the fact that stimulus spending was helpful in containing the crisis is undisputable, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), told CNBC Monday.”

Housing Wire – “Economist calls latest Basel 3 timeline ‘nonsense’” (9-13-10)

“The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision adopted new standards for the capital requirements of the world’s largest financial firms, mandating the banks hold capital equal to 7% of assets. As HousingWire reported in the Monday Morning Cup of Coffee, the committee increased the minimum common-equity requirement to 4.5% from 2% and stipulated banks hold a capital conservation buffer of 2.5% to withstand potential stress, raising the total common-equity requirement to 7%.”

Housing Wire – “Radian’s new delinquencies drop 8.5% in August” (9-13-10)

“Mortgage servicers reported 9,084 in new delinquent loans insured by Radian Group (RDN: 7.865 +3.49%), a mortgage insurer based in Philadelphia. It’s an 8.5% drop from the 9,930 of newly delinquent loans for Radian in July. Radian’s primary inventory of delinquent mortgages did fall to 137,374 in August, too, down from 138,015 delinquent mortgages in July.”

Housing Wire – “REITs outperform Barclays expectations, long term outlook positive” (9-13-10)

“Real estate investment trusts (REITs) outperformed analyst expectations in the first quarter of 2010, according to a weekly report released today by Barclays Capital. Week-over-week, the National Association of Realtors’ (NAR) composite REIT return index dropped 0.9% to 3,153.3. Despite the decrease, the index is 0.9% higher than one month ago and 33.7% higher than one year ago. The composite return index year-to-date is up 17.2% from 2,690.1 for the same period last year.”

Housing Wire – “JPMorgan analysts bearish on housing recovery” (9-13-10)

“JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 41.20 +3.62%) analysts lowered estimates for a recovery in the housing market between next year and 2014 because the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit slowed demand and overall economic malaise pushed some indicators lower in July.”

Housing Wire – “BofA’s Moynihan see 25% chance of double dip recession” (9-13-10)

“The discussion now is whether we might have a so-called double dip recession – although our experts think the chance of that is low… we’re now putting the chances of a double-dip at around 25%.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (9-13-10)

“At June 30, Horizon Bank had total assets of $187.8 million total deposits of $164.6 million. The FDIC said 119 bank have failed this year, including 23 in Florida. The FDIC recently said the number of banks on its “problem list” is at the highest level since 1993.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Accelerates in 2011 as Demise of Consumer Is Exaggerated” (9-13-10)

“Debt payments as a share of disposable income fell to 12.46 percent in the first quarter from a peak of 13.96 percent in 2008 and are about in line with the 12.09 percent average of the last 30 years, based on Federal Reserve data. Berner sees the ratio falling to what he considers a sustainable range of 11 percent to 12 percent by year-end. This improvement will help the U.S. economy avoid a relapse into recession and put it on course for 3 percent growth next year, he said. The economy grew 1.6 percent in the second quarter.”

Bloomberg - “Fannie, Freddie Regulator Blames Mortgage-Loan Pools for Poor Performance” (9-13-10)

“Mortgage pools purchased as investments by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac during the housing boom included more risky and poor-performing loans than those guaranteed by the government-backed firms, their regulator said. So-called private-label securities bought by the two firms from 2001 through 2008 had a bigger share of mortgages with adjustable interest rates and more borrowers with credit scores below 660, two indicators of loans at higher risk of default, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said in a report today.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 8/9/10

Monday, August 9th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The percentage of American single-family homes with mortgages in negative equity decreased by 1.8% from the first to second quarter.  Freddie Mac is requesting $1.8 billion in federal aid after a $6 billion loss in the second quarter. Freddie Mac’s single-family inventory rose by 84.2% and its multifamily inventory doubled from last year. PIMCO fears the U.S. may be entering a period of deflation, and JPMorgan Chase expressed concerns that our financial system may crash in 2015.

In The News:

MSNBC - “Fewer U.S. homeowners have ‘underwater mortgages’” (8-9-10)

“The percentage of American single-family homes with mortgages in negative equity fell to 21.5 percent in the second quarter from 23.3 percent in the first quarter and 23 percent a year ago, according to the Zillow Real Estate Market Reports.”

Los Angeles Times – “Freddie Mac requests $1.8 billion in aid after loss” (8-9-10)

“Government-controlled mortgage buyer Freddie Mac is asking for $1.8 billion in additional federal aid after posting a larger loss in the second quarter. Freddie Mac said Monday it lost $6 billion, or $1.85 per share, in the April-to-June period. That takes into account $1.3 billion in dividends paid to the Treasury Department. It compares with a loss of $840 million, or 26 cents a share, in the second quarter a year ago.”

Housing Wire – “Flooded with Housing Inventory, Freddie REO Sales Surge Despite Foreclosure Alternatives” (8-9-10)

“Year-over-year, Freddie’s single-family portfolio increased 84.2% and the multifamily portfolio doubled. Monday morning’s quarterly results reveal a 655% increase in forbearance agreements, where distressed homeowners simply get more time to begin paying back the mortgage. These forbearance agreements numbered 21,673 at the end of the first half of 2010, up from 2,869 at the end of the first half of 2009.”

Housing Wire - “The Scope: JP Morgan Estimates Nearly 9m Mortgages Eligible for New FHA Refinancing” (8-9-10)

“There is $870bn worth of underwater mortgages that could be eligible for the new Federal Housing Administration (FHA) short refinance program announced last week, according to JPMorgan. Additionally, there could be as many as 8.9m loans eligible for the program, worth an aggregate balance of $2.3trn, which includes underwater borrowers and mortgages eligible for the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP).”

Housing Wire – “Zillow Sees 3.6% Dip in US Home Prices as More Underwater Mortgages Come up for Air” (8-9-10)

“For the 14th consecutive quarter, national US home values declined 3.2% year-over-year during Q210, according to a quarterly market report produced by real estate listing website Zillow. The average sales price for residential properties was $182,500 during the quarter, down 0.6% from the Q110 price of $183,700. In Q210, 21.5% of mortgage properties were in negative equity positions, compared with 23.3% in Q110.”

Housing Wire – “PIMCO: US On Verge of Turning Japanese?” (8-9-10)

“The US may be nearing a long period of limited growth with the risk of deflation that would bring the nation’s economy very close to that of Japan during the 1990s, according to investment-management firm PIMCO.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (8-9-10)

“Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said there are options to re-shape US housing finance that don’t involve government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. ‘There are a variety of organizational forms that might replace Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that could likely provide mortgage credit without the systemic risks associated with these institutions in the past,’ Bernanke said in a July 23 letter to Ohio Democrat Rep. Marcy Kaptur, according to reports by multiple media reports.”

Bloomberg - “Crash of 2015 Won’t Wait for Regulators to Rein in Wall Street” (8-9-10)

“The financial system experiences a crisis ‘every five to seven years,’ JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon told the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in January. By that measure, the next crash could come by 2015 — years before new banking reforms are in place. Many of the measures ordered by Congress and global regulators, aimed at cushioning the financial system in future crises, are years away from being implemented. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision plans to give the world’s banks until 2018 to comply with limits on how much they can borrow.”

Orange County Register – “Real estate loss hammers Calif. pensions” (8-9-10)

“The $200 billion California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS) earned 11.4 percent return in the year ended June 30 — despite losing 37.1% on its real estate bets through March 31. The $130 billion California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS) was up 12.3 percent in the same year after losing 12.4% on its property holdings.”

Orange County Register – “Unsold homes up 57% this year” (8-9-10)

“The number of homes for sale on the Orange County housing market has mushroomed to 11,414 in the 30 days ending last Thursday. That’s up 57% since ‘inventory’ began a steady rise at the start of the year, according to the latest report by Altera’s Steven Thomas.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/27/10

Tuesday, July 27th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The S&P home price index suggests that prices increased by 1.3 percent from April to May. 91 of the top 100 homebuying zip codes are in California. The vacancy rate for rental housing has remained flat at 10.6 percent for the past year. MPF Research reports the number of occupied apartments grew by 215,000 in the 64 largest U.S. markets in the first half of 2010.

In The News:

Associated Press – “Home prices increase 1.3 pct. in May from April” (7-27-10)

“The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index released Tuesday posted a 1.3 percent increase in May from April. Nineteen of 20 cities showed price gains month over month. Minneapolis and Atlanta led the way with 2.8 percent and 2 percent increases, respectively. And San Diego posted its 13th straight monthly gain.”

Inman - “California ‘hot’ among homebuyers” (7-27-10)

“Of the report’s 100 ‘hottest’ ZIP codes nationwide, 91 were in California. This means that, on average, homes in these ZIP codes sold for the most above listing price, while homes in the ‘coldest’ ZIP codes sold for the most under listing price.”

Housing Wire – “Housing Vacancy, Homeownership Rates Remain Level in Q210″ (7-27-10)

“The 2.5% vacancy rate of owner-occupant housing units was only 10 basis points (bps) below the previous quarter and remained level with the year-ago quarter. The rental housing market’s vacancy rate of 10.6% in Q210 was level with the previous quarter and year-ago quarter. Additionally, the homeownership rate slipped to 66.9%, nearly level with 67.1% in the previous quarter”

Housing Wire – “HUD Fines CitiMortgage $700,000 for Failure to Report Delinquencies” (7-27-10)

“The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) reached a $700,000 settlement with CitiMortgage, Inc. (CMI) after the company failed to report delinquent loans by the specified monthly deadline. The action was reported in a recently released notice of actions being taken against Federal Housing Administration (FHA) lenders that failed to comply with government standards for lending practices.”

Housing Wire – “FHFA Sees 30-Year Mortage Rate Dip to 5% June” (7-27-10)

“The average contract mortgage rate on conventional 30-year fixed-rate mortgages slipped to 5% in June, 12 basis points (bps) down from a month earlier, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). The rate had held at 5.12% for the past two months. The contract rate on the composite of all mortgage loans (both fixed- and adjustable-rate) fell 9 bps to 4.9%”

Bloomberg - “Apartment Rentals Surge in U.S. on Home Foreclosures, Job Gains” (7-27-10)

“The number of occupied apartments increased by 215,000 in the 64 largest U.S. markets in the first half, according to MPF Research. That’s almost double the units added in all of 2009 and the most since the firm began tracking the data in 1992. The vacancy rate declined to 6.6 percent last month from 8.2 percent in December.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Cities, Counties Poised to Cut 500,000 Jobs, Report Finds” (7-27-10)

“U.S. local governments may cut almost 500,000 jobs through next year to cope with sliding property taxes, a decline in state and federal aid and added need for social services, according to a report released today. The report, a result of a survey by the National League of Cities, the U.S. Conference of Mayors and the National Association of Counties, showed local governments are moving to cut the equivalent of 8.6 percent of their workforces from 2009 to 2011. That suggests 481,000 employees will lose their jobs, according to the report, which said the tally may yet rise.”

Orange County Register – “Hear why next housing peak ‘2016 or beyond’” (7-27-10)

“Economist Mark Schniepp of the California Forecast tells ocregister.com in a podcast interview that local housing will endure a recovery that’s ‘painstakingly frustrating’ in its modesty with improving but not impressive sales volumes and prices. But it will take a big turnabout in the employment picture before hosuing’s rebound become significant but it will still be ‘until 2016-2017 or beyond’ before the old peaks are surpassed.”

Housing Wire – “Big 4 Banks Add $9.5bn in Nonperforming, Foreclosed Properties in One Year” (7-27-10)

“Each of the ‘big-four’ banks, Bank of America (BAC: 14.19 +0.28%), Wells Fargo (WFC: 28.39 +1.72%), JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 40.69 +0.89%) and Citigroup (C: 4.16 +0.24%) released quarterly earnings reports for Q210 in July, reporting a total increase of $9.5bn in nonperforming or foreclosed properties from the same quarter last year.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, pools increased a homes value by up to 11 percent in Southern California. Fiserv predicted that California would be the hottest home market in 2010. New home purchases climbed 11 percent in June 2009.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/13/10

Tuesday, July 13th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

MDA DataQuick reports 23,871 homes were sold in Southern California last month. Statistics from CoreLogic show that prices in May grew 0.9% from the month before. According to Foreclosure Radar, lenders canceled nearly 22,000 California foreclosure sales in June. A comparative analysis from Credit Suisse shows that the cost of owning a home is cheaper than renting in multiple areas.

In The News:

DQNews - “Southland home sales edge up, prices level off” (7-13-10)

“A total of 23,871 new and resale homes were sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was up 7.2 percent from 22,270 in May, and up 2.6 percent from 23,262 for June 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Housing Wire – “Home Prices Increase for the Fourth Straight Month: CoreLogic” (7-13-10)

“Home prices on the CoreLogic home price index (HPI) have increased every month since the 0.3% yearly increase in February. The May increases come after a 2.6% yearly gain in April. Prices in May grew 0.9% from the month before, a smaller increase from the 1.3% gain from March to April. According to CoreLogic, sales in the bottom-tier of the market, those homes priced at 75% below the median, are driving the recent increases in overall prices.”

Sacramento Bee – “California tax assessments of homes to go down” (7-13-10)

“Sacramento County’s tax roll dropped nearly 2.2 percent to $128.8 billion. Yolo County’s is down about 1.9 percent. And El Dorado County and Placer County both saw the value of their taxable property drop more than 6 percent. The falling values represent good news for many homeowners, who will see lower property tax bills this October.”

Housing Wire – “HAFA Ushers Record Number of Foreclosure Sale Cancellations in California” (7-13-10)

“Lenders canceled nearly 22,000 California foreclosure sales in June, driven mostly by JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 40.48 +3.29%). It’s a 27% increase from May, a 153% growth from a year ago, and an all-time high, according to ForeclosureRadar, which tracks foreclosures in the state.”

Housing Wire – “Cost Spread Between Owning a Home and Renting is Narrowing: Credit Suisse” (7-13-10)

“With mortgage rates at record lows and housing markets stuffed to the gills with cheap distressed properties that’s led to declining home prices, the cost to own a home is sometimes cheaper than renting an apartment in many markets, according to analysts at Credit Suisse. While a segment of the renting population continues to rent, many are looking to dip their toes in the homeownership waters. Credit Suisse said the percentage of median household income needed to pay the mortgage on a median priced home is at a 30-year low, as seen in the below chart.”

Housing Wire – “Seriously Delinquent Prime RMBS Rise for 37th Straight Month: Fitch Ratings” (7-13-10)

“The 60-plus-day delinquency rate for US prime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) rose in the 37th consecutive month in June, according to Fitch Ratings. The credit-rating agency noted the ‘seriously’ delinquent rate — of 60 days or more — within prime jumbo RMBS rose to 10.4% in June, up from 10.3% in May and 6.4% at the same time last year.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/28/10

Monday, June 28th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Statistics from the Federal Reserve show the median borrower who ‘strategically’ defaults doesn’t walk away from the mortgage until the amount owed exceeds the value of the home by 62%. McGraw-Hill Construction reports new construction starts increased 3% in April. According to CoreLogic, more than 11 million borrowers currently owe more on their mortgage than it is worth. Experian statistics show that 19 percent of all defaults in 2009 were strategic.

In The News:

Press Enterprise – “Crash opens market for luxury apartments” (6-26-10)

“While homebuilders are aiming at a more frugal consumer by cutting frills, some apartment developments in San Bernardino and Riverside counties are going upscale with features like granite countertops and hardwood floors and rents comparable to a home mortgage. The Lewis Group of Cos., an Upland-based developer of master-planned communities and apartments, figures that partly because many people have been burned by the housing crash, there is demand from prospective tenants moving out of houses who want and can afford a house-like apartment experience.”

Chicago Tribune – “Moral bankruptcy?” (6-27-10)

“Some have struggled unsuccessfully to keep their homes, and others have just walked away. Phillips decided he wanted revenge and was willing to ruin his credit record for it. When a short sale didn’t work out as planned, the 32-year-old Chicagoan opted for Chapter 7 bankruptcy liquidation, a move that will leave Phillips with little except for the scant possessions in his one-bedroom condo. It also will leave his lender, Chase, with little except for, eventually, a condo that has lost value. Meanwhile, Phillips continues to live there, mortgage-free.”

Los Angeles Times – “Undone by their dreams” (6-26-10)

“In the last four years, according to the San Bernardino County assessor’s office, 373 of the 941 single-family homes in Mission Crest — nearly 40% — have been foreclosed on. Thirty-five have gone through foreclosure more than once. Properties that once sold for nearly $400,000 are worth less than $200,000.”

Mercury News – “Santa Clara County assessor adds Web tools to help homeowners” (6-28-10)

“More than 100,000 residents will be given access to a special website — tracking home sales by neighborhood — where they can see precisely why the assessor’s office decided to assign a particular home its worth.”

Wall Street Journal – “How Far Underwater Do Borrowers Sink Before Walking Away?” (6-28-10)

“At what point do borrowers who owe more than their homes are worth decide to stop paying the mortgage? A new study from economists at the Federal Reserve Board aims to answer that question. The research found that the median borrower who ‘strategically’ defaults doesn’t walk away from the mortgage until the amount owed exceeds the value of the home by 62%.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (6-28-10)

“The House Financial Services Committee issued a statement Sunday urging ‘bold action’ on the Dodd-Frank bill, the reconciled financial reform bill agreed to by a Congressional committee last week and named after Sen Christopher Dodd (D-CT) and Rep Barney Frank (D-MA). The final bill now travels to separate House and Senate votes and then, upon passage by Congress, to a Presidential signature into law.”

Housing Wire – “Surge in Nonresidential Building Boosts May Construction Starts” (6-28-10)

“New construction starts increased 3% from April to May, according to a monthly survey by McGraw-Hill Construction. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of total construction starts was $406.3bn in May, up 3% from $392,988bn in April. For the first five months of 2010, the unadjusted value of total construction starts was $162bn, down 2% from $165bn during the same period of 2009.”

Housing Wire – “The Slippery Slope of Short Sales” (6-28-10)

“More than 11 million borrowers currently owe more on their mortgage than it is worth, according to CoreLogic (CLGX: 18.11 +0.28%)—and this group of borrowers would love nothing more than to replace their current underwater mortgage with whatever the accepted ‘short sale price’ is deemed to be. I don’t know that such a response on the part of borrowers could be deemed irrational, either. Many will ask themselves why they have a mortgage at a higher amount, especially if the bank is willing to sell the house to another buyer for less money.”

Housing Wire – “G20 Applauds Dodd-Frank Bill in Pushing its own Global Financial Reform” (6-28-10)

“The meeting of G20 nations concluded this weekend in Toronto with communiqués reflecting a strong support for the US financial reform, called the Dodd-Frank bill. Indeed, information released from the summit show a mix of ambitious plans for growth, mixed with further calls to reduce spending, especially among countries with higher debt burdens.”

Housing Wire – “Experian Finds 19% of Mortgage Defaults in Q209 are Strategic” (6-28-10)

“Of all mortgage delinquencies in the second quarter of 2009 (Q209), nearly one in five — or 19% — were considered strategic defaults, according to the latest study of default trends by information services firm Experian.”

Bloomberg - “Commercial Mortgages Fail to Pay as Lending Increases” (6-28-10)

“Between 50 percent and 60 percent of loans on skyscrapers, hotels, shopping malls and apartment complexes failed to refinance within a few months of their maturity date this year, Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts said in a report. That compares with 15 percent to 20 percent in 2008, according to the analysts led by Roger Lehman in New York. About $11 billion in loans, or one-third of the 2010 total, had hit their expected maturity dates through late May.”

Bloomberg - “Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Should ‘Unwind’ Portfolios, Pimco Says” (6-28-10)

“Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the housing-finance companies supported by U.S. taxpayers, should take advantage of demand for government-backed mortgage debt and sell their holdings, according to Pacific Investment Management Co. ‘Since the government’s going to want to unwind them at some point anyway, why not do it at the best levels ever?’ Scott Simon, the mortgage-bond head at Newport Beach, California-based Pimco, manager of the world’s biggest fixed- income fund, said in a telephone interview.”

Inman - “Top 10 states for pending tax credit closings” (6-28-10)

“NAR estimates as many as 180,000 homebuyers who were under contract by April 30 may miss the June 30 closing deadline. To prod lawmakers into find a way to extend the deadline, NAR released a breakdown of how many home purchases are affected in each state.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Freddie Mac estimated that sales of new and existing homes might increase to an annual pace of 5.1 million in the 3rd quarter. Real Capital Analytics forecasted that $16 billion of office transactions would be completed by the end of 2009. The number of Orange County property owners disputing their taxes jumped 23% near last year’s deadline.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/24/10

Thursday, June 24th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the CIRB, building permits were pulled for 3,088 housing units in May. Statistics from Freddie Mac show the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.69% last week. Several large banks, such as JP Morgan, are hiring thousands of mortgage officers in preparation to make more loans. TIGTA estimates the IRS awarded $26.7 million to fraudulent home buyer tax credit claims.

In The News:

CBIA - “California Housing Production Up in May, CBIA Announces” (6-24-10)

“According to statistics compiled by the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB), permits were pulled for 3,088 total housing units in May, up 4 percent from the same month a year ago but down 6 percent from April. Permits for single-family homes totaled 1,902, down 19 percent from May 2009 and down 17 percent from the previous month, while multifamily permits totaled 1,186, up 87 percent from a year ago and up 17 percent from April.”

Market Watch – “Fixed-rate mortgages, 5-year ARMs hit lows: Freddie Mac” (6-24-10)

“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.69% for the week ending June 24, down from 4.75% last week and 5.42% a year ago. Fifteen-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 4.13%, down from 4.20% last week and 4.87% a year ago.”

CNN - “Banks: We’re hiring so we can make more home loans” (6-24-10)

“Several banks are gearing up to do a whole lot more mortgage lending in the future. Even though new homes sales were at a historical low in May and the housing market in general is in the doldrums, these banks are hiring hundreds of loan originators, getting ready for what they believe will be a significant pick-up in lending. JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500), one of the nation’s largest lenders, is in the midst of hiring 1,200 mortgage officers.”

New York Times – “Fed Leaves Rates, Citing Overseas Threats” (6-24-10)

“The Federal Reserve’s policy-making arm said on Wednesday that it had decided to keep short-term interest rates near zero for ‘an extended period,’ citing challenges to economic growth, including the effect of new financial troubles abroad.”

Housing Wire – “Treasury Watchdog Says 1,295 Prisoners Claimed Homebuyer Tax Credit” (6-24-10)

“The Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration (TIGTA) released its latest interim audit (download here) on Internal Revenue Service (IRS) efforts to identify and prevent fraudulent homebuyer tax credits. All told, TIGTA’s investigation estimates the IRS paid out $26.7m in erroneous credits, less than 1% of the estimated $13.6bn in homebuyer tax credits claimed. Of the approximately 1.2m individuals who claimed the credit, TIGTA estimates 14,132 — about 1.1% — are erroneous or fraudulent claims.”

Housing Wire – “AIA Economist: Desperate Architects Find Themselves in Heated Bidding Wars” (6-24-10)

“We’ve certainly seen the pendulum swing in the other direction, probably even further back than where it started at over the last five years. Homes have gotten smaller. There is much more emphasis on not over investing or over improving. There’s a greater concern over affordability. What can I sell this for when I want to sell it and not trying to over extend the household in this economic environment.”

Housing Wire – “Regulators Find More than Half of Mortgage Modifications in Trouble Again” (6-24-10)

“Of the more than 1m modifications done in 2008 and 2009, 53% are either delinquent or in foreclosure again in Q110, according to a report from Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS).”

Housing Wire – “FHFA Monthly 30-Year Mortage Rate Report Unchanged in May” (6-24-10)

“In its report, the FHFA said the average interest rate for a conventional, 30-year fixed-rate purchase mortgage with a principal of $417,000 or less was 5.12% in May, even from last month’s report.”

Bloomberg - “Betting Who’s Right on Home Prices: Baker vs Maki” (6-24-10)

“Dean Maki, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital, says the worst is over for the U.S. housing sector. Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, expects another painful decline. They reflect an almost even split among forecasters on the outlook for residential real estate, and whichever side turns out to be right will have made a call on more than just home prices. Housing will play a crucial role in the direction of the nation’s economy and global financial markets, just as it triggered a two-year recession that erased more than 8 million U.S. jobs and $37 trillion from world stock markets.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/9/10

Wednesday, June 9th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the MBA, mortgage loan application volumed decreased by 12.2 percent from last week. Economist Dr. Christopher Thornberg believes that government intervention is simply delaying inevitable declines in the housing market. Interthinx reports fraud risk in the national mortgage industry rose 4% in Q110.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (6-9-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 4, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 12.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. This week’s results include an adjustment to account for the Memorial Day holiday.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 21.1 percent compared with the previous week.”

Bloomberg - “Bank of America May Lead Banks in Home-Equity Losses” (6-9-10)

“Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. may lead 20 publicly traded U.S. banks that charge off as much as $40.9 billion on home-equity investments this year, Fitch Ratings said. In the worst-case scenario considered by Fitch, the three banks may write off a combined $31.2 billion as loans from the height of the housing market sour, analysts John Mackerey and Ken Ritz wrote in a report today. The 20 banks on the list, which includes only lenders with above-average exposure to the business, may charge off a total of as much as $76.7 billion in the two years through 2011, the New York-based rating company estimated.”

Housing Wire – “Christopher Thornberg: Short-Term Recovery Comes at Long-Term Cost” (6-9-10)

“While government intervention is boosting the US economy, including the housing market, it’s only delaying inevitable future declines in growth, Christopher Thornberg, an economist and the founding principal of San Rafael, Calif.-based Beacon Economics, said during a keynote address at REO Expo, currently underway in Dallas.”

Housing Wire – “RealtyTrac: 3.8m Homes to Receive Foreclosure Filing in 2010″ (6-9-10)

“An estimated 3.8m households will receive a foreclosure filing in 2010, said Rick Sharga, senior vice president at the online foreclosure marketplace RealtyTrac, in a speech at REO Expo.”

Housing Wire – “Bank of America Puts Short Sales Ahead of REO” (6-9-10)

“Bank of America, one of the largest lenders in the U.S., has instituted a policy of liquidating as many assets saddled with defaulted loans as possible before repossession, said Matt Vernon, the short sale and REO executive at BofA. Vernon took the position at BofA in February. He has since announced plans to add 1,000 employees to the short sale staff. BofA currently holds more than 477,000 loans eligible for the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), and has provided more than 600,000 modifications through HAMP and its own programs.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Fraud Risk Up 11% in Interthinx Yearly Index” (6-9-10)

“Fraud risk in the national mortgage industry rose 4% in Q110 from Q409, and 11% from the year-ago period, according to the latest report from mortgage software developer Interthinx.”

Realty Times – “Managing HOA Construction” (6-9-10)

“Your homeowner association may be faced with a large siding, dryrot or structural repair. These projects often involve a number of disciplines like carpentry, electrical, plumbing and engineering that must be properly integrated for a satisfactory end result. When it comes to accomplishing complex renovation projects, it makes sense to use the services of a professional Construction Manager (CM).”

Looking Back:

One year ago, The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) announced on May 29 that the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) will allow state housing finance agencies to provide second mortgages ‘monetizing’ the tax credit. Real Estate Econometrics estimated that rates on commercial mortgages would reach 4.1 percent by the end of 2009. 10 banks won U.S. Treasury approval to buy back $68 billion of government shares.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/13/10

Tuesday, April 13th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

MDA DataQuick reports 20,476 new and resale homes sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. Schwarzenegger signed a bill allowing taxpayers to be exempt from paying for forgiven mortgage debt. In 2008 and 2009, the income needed to buy a median-priced home decreased in 93 percent of U.S. markets. According to IAS, national house prices fell 0.6% in February.

In The News:

DQNews - “More Incremental Gains for Southland Real Estate Market” (4-13-10)

“A total of 20,476 new and resale homes sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was up 33.3 percent from 15,359 in February, and up 5.0 percent from 19,506 in March 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Sacramento Bee – “California won’t tax forgiven home debt” (4-13-10)

“Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger signed legislation Monday to spare thousands of Californians big tax bills on mortgage debt forgiven in 2009. The bill, signed days before Thursday’s tax filing deadline, will eliminate state taxes on forgiven mortgage debt from 2009 through the end of 2012. The U.S. government has already done the same.”

Los Angeles Times – “Washington Mutual created ‘mortgage time bomb,’ Senate panel says” (4-13-10)

“Before Washington Mutual collapsed in the largest bank failure in U.S. history, its executives knowingly created a ‘mortgage time bomb’ by making subprime loans they knew were likely to go bad and then packaging them into risky securities, a congressional investigation has found. In some cases, the bank took loans in which it had discovered fraudulent activity — such as misstated income by borrowers — and rolled them into mortgage securities sold to investors without disclosing the fraud, according to the report released Monday by the Senate’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations.”

Inman - “The workers homeownership left behind” (4-13-10)

“Between 2008 and 2009, the income needed to purchase a median-priced home fell in 93 percent of the markets studied, while the income needed fell a median of 9.1 percent, the study said.”

Housing Wire – “Top Four Banks Ready to Write-Down Second Liens” (4-13-10)

“In a hearing today before the House Financial Services Committee, representatives from Bank of America (BAC: 18.67 +0.05%), Citi (C: 4.62 -0.43%), JP Morgan Chase (JPM: 45.87 -0.59%) and Wells Fargo (WFC: 32.15 -0.83%) report that they do not feel efforts to satisfy second lien obligations represent a conflict of interest between the desires of investors and the needs of distressed borrowers. As a result, they are willing to write-down second liens if first lien lenders are doing the same. All four lenders are participants in the Second Lien Modification Program, known as 2MP, which is struggling to gain traction.”

Housing Wire – “Seven Months of House Price Declines Keep IAS Index Near 2004 Levels” (4-13-10)

“National house prices fell 0.6% in February, the seventh consecutive month of decline, keeping prices ‘only fractionally higher’ than levels seen in 2004, according to collateral valuation firm Integrated Asset Services (IAS). Although February’s decline is smaller than recent months — like 0.7% in December — the IAS house price index is now down 25% from its peak in July 2007.”

Housing Wire – “New Inspection Report Helps REO Holders Market Homes to FHA Borrowers” (4-13-10)

“Altisource Portfolio Solutions (ASPS: 25.61 -0.70%), a real estate portfolio services provider, introduced a new inspection report with increased data and repair information on subject properties. According to the company, while a traditional property inspection report outlines the general condition of a property, the new report includes information on the existence and condition of appliances, carpets or other flooring, and whether electrical systems are functioning.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage-Bond Yields That Guide Loan Rates Fall to 3-Week Low” (4-13-10)

“Fannie Mae’s current-coupon 30-year fixed-rate mortgage bonds fell about 0.01 percentage point to 4.44 percent as of 3:02 p.m. in New York, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s down from an eight-month high of 4.67 percent on April 5.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, distressed properties represented 25 percent of U.S. home sales. Jeff Greene confessed to his 2006 investment estimation that money could be quickly made by buying credit default swaps on mortgage backed securities. Experts warned that FHA loans would be the next biggest risk in the U.S. housing market.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/25/10

Thursday, March 25th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

New rules for the HAMP program may require servicers to screen borrowers for modification after only 31 days of delinquency. ForeclosureListings.com shows that California experienced an 11.9% increase in foreclosures. Freddie Mac reports the 30-year FRM rate is currently at 4.99 percent. According to the Comptroller of the Currency,  the re-default rate for modified loans is over 50 percent.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “Bank of America to reduce mortgage principal for some borrowers” (3-25-10)

“Amid increasing government pressure to stem foreclosures, Bank of America Corp. said Wednesday that it would offer to erase as much as $3 billion in principal owed by thousands of severely delinquent borrowers who owe more than their homes are worth.”

Mercury News – “Citigroup agrees to modify some second mortgages” (3-25-10)

“Citigroup on Thursday became the latest lender to commit to the government’s program to modify second mortgages as a recovery in the housing market appears to be in jeopardy. With Citi on board, now four big owners of home mortgages in the U.S. have joined the program — part of the Obama administration’s $75 billion loan modification plan aimed at reducing monthly payments to help customers stay in their homes. Bank of America, Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase already participate.”

Inman - “Home values rise in Boston, San Diego” (3-25-10)

“Radar Logic’s monthly RPX report, based on 28 days of price-per-square-foot data, found that the price per square foot rose most in Boston (up 15.5 percent, to $187.84 per square foot) year-over-year in January, and dropped most in Las Vegas (down 21.4 percent, to $76.18 per square foot) during that period.”

Housing Wire - “Treasury to Require HAMP Servicers to Step Up Outreach Efforts” (3-25-10)

“Allison announced that servicers must pursue early intervention, pre-screening every borrower that misses two or more payments to determine eligibility for HAMP and soliciting those qualifying borrowers for HAMP participation. This change encourages servicers to reach out to the borrower as early as 31 days of delinquency when the chance for homeownership retention is best, according to a supplemental directive on the changes provided to HousingWire.”

Housing Wire – “ForeclosureListings: Texas Leads Nation in Foreclosure Gains” (3-25-10)

“The 35% increase of Texas foreclosures in February was the highest monthly gain of any state in the country, according to data from ForeclosureListings.com, an online foreclosure marketplace. Michigan had the second highest increase at 17.5%, followed by California at 11.9% and Florida at 4.7%.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Rates Increase as Fed MBS Purchase Program Nears End” (3-25-10)

“Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.29 +0.78%) said the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) was 4.99% with an average 0.6 origination point for the week ending March 25, up from last week’s average of 4.96%. A year ago, the rate average was 4.85%. The Bankrate.com survey of large banks and thrifts put the average rate for a 30-year FRM at 5.11% with an average 0.41 origination point, up from last week’s average of 5.07%, but down from last year’s average of 5.19%.”

Bloomberg - “Half of U.S. Home Loan Modifications Default Again” (3-25-10)

“More than half of U.S. borrowers who received loan modifications on delinquent mortgages defaulted again after nine months, according to a federal report. The re-default rate of loans modified in the first quarter of 2009 was 51.5 percent by the end of the year, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision said in a joint report today. The figure, which measures payments at least 30 days late, climbed to 57.9 percent for changes made in the prior 12 months.”

Bloomberg - “Prepare to Pay 15% Less for New U.S. Homes: Chart of the Day” (3-25-10)

“New-home prices may have to tumble 15 percent in the U.S. before sales start to rebound, according to Michael Panzner, an author and financial blogger. ”

Looking Back:

One year ago, The MBA reported a 32 percent increase in mortgage applications from the previous season. One in five homeowners owed more on their mortgage than their house was worth. The Federal Reserve began purchasing long-term treasuries. New home sales in the U.S. increased by 4.7 percent within a month.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/11/10

Monday, January 11th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The national unemployment rate remained at 10 percent during December. LPS reports that 1 in every 7.5 fell into foreclosure or delinquency during November. According to Fitch Ratings, 2009 commercial delinquency rates ended at 4.71%.

In The news:

Bloomberg - “Shrinking U.S. Labor Force Keeps Unemployment Rate From Rising” (1-9-09)

“An exodus of discouraged workers from the job market kept the U.S. unemployment rate from climbing above 10 percent in December, economists said.”

Housing Wire – “More than 13% of Mortgages Delinquent or Foreclosed in November: LPS” (1-11-09)

“One in every 7.5 homeowners either fell into delinquency or foreclosure as of November 30, 2009, according to the December mortgage monitor report from Lender Processing Services (LPS), a mortgage data provider. The total amount of delinquencies reached a record high 9.97%, a 5.46% increase from the previous month and a 21.29% increase from November 2008. In a sign that homeowners continue their struggle to meet their monthly mortgage payments, loans falling into more severe delinquent categories reached 5.01% through November, compared to 1.52% of loans improved toward a current status.”

Housing Wire – “$47bn of Interest-Only RMBS Loans to Recast This Year, Fitch Says” (1-11-09)

“More than $47bn of collateral backing prime and Alt-A residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) is scheduled to recast over the next 12 months from an interest-only (IO) payment to a fully amortizing payment, Fitch Ratings said in market commentary Monday.”

Housing Wire – “Financial, Mortgage Hirings Up as Overall Employment Dips” (1-11-09)

“The DOL’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday said the national unemployment rate was 10% in December, unchanged from November. Despite the overall loss, the financial-activities sector gained a net 4,000 jobs in December, the first gain since summer 2007, according to a search of the Bureau of Labor Statistics online database. Jobs increased from November (7,691,000) to 7,695,00 in December.”

Housing Wire – “Q409 Losses on the Way for Banks: Citi” (1-11-09)

“Citigroup (C: 3.63 +1.11%) analysts expect Q409 losses for Morgan Stanley (MS: 32.04 -0.65%), Goldman Sachs (GS: 171.56 -1.58%), Bank of America (BAC: 16.93 +0.89%) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 44.53 -0.34%) due to a “substantial” decline in fixed-income, commodities and currencies (FICC) trading, according to a 2010 Outlook report.”

Housing Wire – “CMBS Delinquencies May Double by 2012, Says Fitch” (1-11-09)

“An increase in defaults across property types pushed total commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) delinquencies 42 bps higher, closing 2009 at 4.71% delinquent, according to credit-rating agency Fitch Ratings. The rate of growth in delinquent CMBS looks set to continue in coming years, with a potential peak at 12% in 2012.”

Housing Wire - “Redefault Rates ‘Tragic’, Says Amherst” (1-11-09)

“According to Amherst Securities Group, default and prepayment rates on non-agency, private-label mortgage-backed securities (MBS) were constant in November. However, re-performance rates, where payments return to less than two months delinquent, were down and re-default rates “tragic” in November, according to market commentary provided by the firm.”

Bloomberg - “Fed’s Bullard Says Asset-Purchase Adjustments Main Policy Issue” (1-11-09)

“Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said the main challenge for U.S. policy makers will be to adjust the asset-purchase program so as to continue supporting economic growth without stoking inflation. ”

Looking Back:

One year ago, some Realtors forecasted that condo prices would not bottom in 2009. Congressional budget analysts anticipated a $1.2 trillion deficit for 2009.

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