Today’s News Synopsis:
Bank of America Merrill Lynch stated that house owners may have to default their underwater mortgages in order to take care of their debt. Last October, pending home sale prices rose 10.4%, according to Realty Times. Prices on commercial property rose for the second month in a row according to Moody’s Investors Service and are expected to continue to fluctuate, according to Moody’s Investors Service. According to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, consumer cofidence in newly-built houses declined 4 points from November in the West. In other news, Moody’s Investors Service reported that prices of commercial property increased 1.3% in October.
In The News:
Housing Wire - “Households likely to deleverage debt with underwater mortgage defaults: Report” (12-20-10)
“Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts said the most likely way households will deleverage roughly $1 trillion in excess debt is through the default of more underwater mortgages. Home prices in the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city index have dropped 28.6% from the peak in the summer of 2006. This has led to more than 10.8 million homes, or 22.5% of the entire U.S. market in negative equity as of the third quarter, according to the analytics firm CoreLogic.”
Realty Times- “Real Estate Outlook: Existing Pending Sales Rise” (12-20-10)
“Existing pending sales may have jumped a staggering 10.4 percent in October, the strongest pace since April of this year, but interest rates are on the rise. According to Frank Notehaft, chief economist for Freddie Mac, investors moved from U.S. Treasury debt to European markets — where improvements are being made to the debt crisis. This in turn caused ‘bond yields to rise and mortgage rates along with them,’ he says.”
Housing Wire - “Recent CMBS modifications, sales prompt Trepp to warn investors” (12-20-10)
“Loan modifications and note sales in the commercial real estate space have analysts at Trepp warning investors to be vigilant with their trading. According to the data firm’s latest report, two specific CMBS deals incurred severe losses when they were modified or sold, and wiped out several investor classes.”
San Francisco Chronicle – “U.S. Commercial Property Prices Rise, Moody’s Says” (12-20-10)
“U.S. commercial property prices rose 1.3 percent in October from the previous month, the second consecutive monthly gain, Moody’s Investors Service said. The Moody’s/REAL Commercial Property Price Index climbed 3.2 percent from a year earlier, Moody’s said in a report today.”
Housing Wire – “Commercial real estate investors hungrier for more risk in fourth quarter: PwC” (12-20-10)
“Commercial real estate investors see slight but promising signs in the U.S. economy during the fourth quarter and are more willing to look for riskier buying opportunities going forward, according to the PricewaterhouseCoopers Korpacz Real Estate Investor Survey.”
Fortune – “Riding the unlikely commercial real estate rebound” (12-20-10)
“For years commercial real estate has been billed as the next big train wreck. So why are some investors shouting all aboard? A slowly recovering economy is part of it, though no one expects to make a quick killing on loans and securities tied to office buildings, hotels, shopping malls and the like. The bigger drivers of this rally are the low rates pushing investors to reach for yield by taking on more risk, and the wide open junk bond market that has allowed lots of companies once left for dead to refinance loans and trudge forth.”
Orange County Register – “Western builder confidence drops” (12-20-10)
“Homebuilder confidence weakened in the West again.”
Housing Wire – “Moody’s expects commercial real estate prices to remain ‘choppy’” (12-20-10)
“The price of commercial property has been fluctuating all year and prices rose for the second-consecutive month in October with a 1.3% increase, according to Moody’s Investors Service. The ratings agency said the gains in September and October followed significant declines the prior three months. For the first 10 months of the year, prices rose five times and fell five times”
RisMedia – “Foreclosures Intrigue Home Buyers Looking for Deals” (12-20-10)
“In a survey released last week, conducted by Harris Interactive, on behalf of Trulia and RealtyTrac, nearly half, or 49% of U.S. adults admitted they were at least somewhat likely to consider buying a foreclosed property.
That’s up from 45% in May.”
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