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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/22/10

Monday, February 22nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Moody’s reports that commercial property prices increased by 4.1 percent in December. A survey shows that 87 percent of homebuilders expect to lose money due to the new FHA guidelines. According to Campbell Surveys, short sales accounted for 15.9% of home purchases in January. Janet Yellen predicts that the U.S. economy will perform below potential throughout this year and the next.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “IRS issues new guidelines on obtaining home buyer tax credits” (2-21-10)

“Despite blizzards that shut federal offices for days, the Internal Revenue Service issued new guidance Feb. 12 on the two tax credit programs that are powering the country’s real estate markets — the $6,500 credit for repeat buyers and the $8,000 first-time buyer credit. The new IRS policy clarified documentation that taxpayers need to submit to successfully obtain either credit. When Congress revised the credit programs in November, it ordered the IRS to tighten its rules and monitoring to curtail widespread frauds that had emerged earlier in 2009.”

Sacramento Bee – “Schwarzenegger proclaims `the worst is over’ for California” (2-21-10)

“Despite the state’s high unemployment rate, California’s economy is making a slow comeback and ‘the worst is over,’ Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger said today.”

Housing Wire – “Commercial Real Estate Prices Up as Foreclosures Threaten Recovery” (2-22-10)

“US commercial real estate prices as measured by Moody’s Investors Service/Real Estate Analytics, Commercial Property Price Indices (CPPI) increased for the second month in a row in December, rising 4.1%, as the commercial real estate (CRE) market continues to face several challenges, such as the rising tide of defaults and subsequent foreclosures.”

Housing Wire – “Homebuilders Expect FHA Changes to Hurt Sales” (2-22-10)

“However, 87% of builders surveyed said they expect to lose sales due to new FHA guidelines. Half of the builders surveyed expect to lose 10% or more of sales. As HousingWire reported in January, the FHA raised insurance fees and down payments for borrowers with lower credit scores to address the FHA’s capital reserve ratio, which fell below the Congressionally mandated 2% threshold. Borrowers with a FICO score of less than 580 are now required to make a 10% down payment, up from the previous 3.5% down payment. In addition, seller concessions have been cut in half to 3%, from 6% and mortgage insurance fee at closing increased from 175 bps to 226 bps.”

Housing Wire – “Governors See Bad Economic Times Getting Worse for States” (2-22-10)

“General fund spending among the states dropped 3.4% in 2009 and 5.4% in 2010, based on enacted budgets. The only other annual decline in state spending occurred in 1983, when it dropped 0.7%.”

Housing Wire – “Survey Finds Short Sales Outnumber REO in January Purchases” (2-22-10)

“Short sales accounted for 15.9% of home purchases in January, surpassing the share of other distressed property activity, when real estate owned (REO) properties are measured separately, according to a monthly Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance (IMF) survey of more than 1,500 real estate agents, conducted by Campbell Surveys.”

Bloomberg - “Yellen Says U.S. Economy Will Perform Below Potential” (2-22-10)

“Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Janet Yellen said the U.S. economy will operate below potential this year and next and still needs low interest rates to gain strength. “

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/16/10

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to MDA Dataquick, the median home price in Southern California decreased by 6 percent from December. CBIA reports that home sales in new communities decreased by 15 percent from last month. John Burns estimates that 5 million houses and condominiums with delinquent mortgages will end up in foreclosure over the next few years. TransUnion reports that mortages over 60 days delinquent increased to 6.89% in quarter four of 2009.

In The News:

NAR - “NAR’s HouseLogic: The Logical Source for Today’s Homeowners” (2-16-10)

“Today the National Association of Realtors® launched HouseLogic, a new, comprehensive consumer Web site about all aspects of homeownership. HouseLogic helps homeowners make smart decisions and take responsible actions to maintain, protect and increase the value of their homes. The free Web site helps homeowners plan and organize their home projects and provides timely articles and news; home improvement advice and how-to’s; and information about taxes, home finances and insurance.”

DQNews - “Southland home sales, median price edge above year-ago level” (2-16-10)

“Southern California home sales eked out a modest gain in January compared with a year earlier but fell sharply – as they normally do – from December. The median price paid rose above the year-ago level for the second consecutive month, but fell 6 percent from December as foreclosures and lower-cost inland markets claimed a higher share of sales, a real estate information service reported. A total of 15,361 new and resale homes closed escrow last month in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties. That was down 31.2 percent from December’s 22,328, but up 0.9 percent from 15,227 in January 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

CBIA - “California New-Home Market Ends 2009 in Lackluster Condition, CBIA Announces” (2-16-10)

“The monthly CBIA/Hanley Wood Market Intelligence (HWMI) New-Home Sales and Pricing Report showed that sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 15 percent below December 2008. While the decline was disappointing, it remains an improvement from most months in 2009 in which year-over-year declines were substantially larger. During December, 1,372 new homes and condominiums were sold in the subdivisions tracked by Costa Mesa-based HWMI, compared to 1,607 in December 2008. Sales of single-family homes were down by 25 percent, while sales of townhomes and ‘plexes’ – duplexes, triplexes, etc. – were off by 5 percent and sales of condominiums were 18 percent higher than a year ago.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Resale prices steady for San Francisco condos” (2-16-10)

“San Francisco’s median resale condominium prices from November through January stayed steady from the same period a year ago, leading some analysts and real estate agents to conclude that values have settled into a range where they are likely to remain for some time. According to city data analyzed by the Polaris Group, a San Francisco real estate firm that crunches housing numbers, the median price for a resale condo in the city – as opposed to a newly built unit – was $638,000 in the threemonth period ending Jan. 31.”

Wall Street Journal – “Foreclosures Seen Still Hitting Prices” (2-16-10)

“The John Burns study estimates that five million houses and condominiums on which mortgages are now delinquent will go through foreclosure or related procedures that put them on the market over the next few years. That would represent the bulk of the estimated 7.7 million households behind on their mortgage payments.”

Housing Wire – “BofA Makes 12,700 HAMP Modifications Permanent” (2-16-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 15.16 +4.91%) reported 12,700 permanent modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) through January, an increase from 3,200 a month earlier. The US Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide capped incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. Through December, servicers provided 66,000 HAMP permanent modifications.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Delinquencies Rise for 12th Straight Quarter: TransUnion” (2-16-10)

“Mortgage delinquencies of 60 or more days rose for the 12th straight quarter, hitting a record high 6.89% in Q409, according to market research by credit bureau TransUnion. The rate of deceleration seen in previous quarters in the rise in delinquencies appears ’short lived,’ the credit bureau said. Year-over-year, the delinquency rate is up about 50% from 4.58% delinquent in Q408.”

Housing Wire – “Borrowers Overwhelmingly Pick Fixed-Rate Refinancings in Q4″ (2-16-10)

“Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.23 +0.82%) reported Monday that 95%of refinance loans during the last quarter of last year were of the fixed-rate variety. And while traditional 30-year fixed-rate mortgages are still the most preferred product among refinancings, 15-year fixed-rate mortgages gained favor among borrowers who previously held 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, balloon mortgages and adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), the GSE said in a statement.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Homebuilder Confidence Rises More Than Forecast” (2-16-10)

“The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo index of builder confidence increased to 17, higher than anticipated, from 15 the prior month, the Washington-based group said today. Readings below 50 mean most respondents view conditions as poor. ”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Congress considered making improvements to the $7,500 tax credit under the $789 billion economic stimulus package. A prediction was made that the 5 biggest banks would soon loose over $524 million.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/9/10

Tuesday, February 9th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Altera Real Estate foresees significant improvement in the Orange County real estate market. According to IAS, national home prices have returned to 2004 levels. Forecasters from iEmergent expect approximately $580 billion in mortgage refinancing during 2010.

In The News:

Orange County Register – “Housing market warming along south coast?” (2-9-10)

“Steven Thomas of Altera Real Estate claims in his latest biweekly report that this is the strongest demand has looked in Orange County’s real estate market since 2005.”

Housing Wire – “Pulte Posts Loss Despite $917m Tax Refund” (2-9-10)

“Pulte Homes (PHM: 11.08 -0.45%) posted a net loss of $117m, $0.31 per share, in Q409, even though it will receive a $917m tax refund later this year. The Michigan-based homebuilder said $800m of the tax refund comes from the extension of the net operating loss (NOL) carryback allowance”

Housing Wire – “New Program Rewards Current Mortgage Borrowers” (2-9-10)

“if a borrower has a $200,000 mortgage and the value dropped to $150,000, a bank using the RH Reward program could give a $25,000 incentive to the borrower if the borrower remains current. How that reward is monetized depends on the borrower.”

Housing Wire – “December Drop Brings IAS Index Back to 2004 Levels” (2-9-10)

“The index is a county-level measure of median sales price of single-family residences in five US Census Bureau regions, nine Census divisions and 360 counties. After five months of declines, the index is now 5.3% below its 2008 level. In 2008, the index declined 11.7% from its 2007 level. The index is now at a level last seen in mid-2004, IAS said.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Financing Poised to Drop in 2010: iEmergent” (2-9-10)

“Mortgage volumes in 2010 will not reach the same levels as 2009 as the slide toward the collapse-curve bottom continues, according to iEmergent, the market research and advisory firm for the financial services industry. The firm projects the purchase-to-refinancing ratio will reach a 49% to 51% split in 2010. Forecasters predict between $531bn and $643bn in refinancing volume in 2010. Refinance volumes will be less than half of 2009 levels, and lenders relying on those transactions in 2009 will be at a great risk in 2010, according to the report.”

Wall Street Journal – “No Exit in Sight for U.S. As Fannie, Freddie Flail” (2-9-10)

“Nearly a year and a half after the outbreak of the global economic crisis, many of the problems that contributed to it haven’t yet been tamed. The U.S. has no system in place to tackle a failure of its largest financial institutions. Derivatives contracts of the kind that crippled American International Group Inc. still trade in the shadows. And investors remain heavily reliant on the same credit-ratings firms that gave AAA ratings to lousy mortgage securities.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, two thirds of Americans expressed support for the $15,000 first time home buyer program, which the senate was considering. The MBA expected $171 billion in mortgages to mature in 2009. A government official announced plans to buy troubled assets.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/21/10

Thursday, January 21st, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

MDA DataQuick reports that 7,828 new and resale houses and condos were sold in the Bay Area during December. According to OCC, seriously delinquent loans of 60 or more days increased to 6.2 percent of the servicing portfolio. Radar Logic’s study of 25 metropolitan markets shows that home sales increased by 46.7%. Freddie Mac’s weekly survey shows that mortgage rates on 30-year U.S. loans fall to 4.99%.

In The News:

DQNews - “Bay Area December home sales strongest in three years” (1-21-10)

“A total of 7,828 new and resale houses and condos were sold in the nine-county region last month. That was up 13.8 percent from 6,878 in November, and up 13.6 percent from 6,889 for December 2008, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

OCC - “OCC and OTS Mortgage Metrics Report” (1-21-10)

“Overall, mortgage performance continued to decline as a result of continuing adverse economic conditions including rising unemployment and loss in home values. The percentage of current and performing mortgages fell to 87.2 percent of the servicing portfolio. Seriously delinquent mortgages— loans 60 or more days past due and loans to delinquent bankrupt borrowers—rose to 6.2 percent of the servicing portfolio. Foreclosures in process increased to 3.2 percent, while new foreclosure actions remained steady for the third consecutive quarter at 369,209. Of particular note, delinquencies among prime mortgages, the largest category of mortgages, continued to climb. The percentage of prime mortgages that were seriously delinquent in the third quarter was 3.6 percent, up 19.6 percent from the second quarter and more than double the percentage of a year ago.”

Housing Wire – “BarCap Expects ‘Little Bite’ from FHA Underwriting Changes” (1-21-10)

“Recently-announced underwriting changes to the Federal Housing Administration’s (FHA) mortgage insurance program might be ‘all bark, little bite’ according to commentary Thursday by Barclays Capital (BarCap) researchers. The FHA changes include increases in the mortgage insurance premium, increased downpayment for low FICO borrowers, reduced ability to roll closing costs into the loan and increased lender recourse to FHA lenders.”

Housing Wire – “Radar Logic Says Housing Market is Poised for Recovery” (1-21-10)

“Residential real estate showed some signs of life in November, according to Radar Logic’s monthly Residential Property Index (RPX). November home sales volume increased year-over-year in all of the 25 metropolitan markets the RPX report covers. Sales volume increased 46.7% year-over-year and 1.5% month-over-month.”

Housing Wire – “PNC Posts $2.4bn Gain, 61 Permanent HAMP Mods in 2009″ (1-21-10)

“The PNC Financial Services Group (PNC: 55.70 -5.26%) reported a Q409 net income of $1.1bn, or $2.17 per diluted common share, an increase from the $559m gain in Q309. The company’s net income for the year reached $2.4bn, or $4.36 per diluted common share, compared to $914m, or $2.44 per share, in 2008.”

Housing Wire – “Investors Ask Fed for $1.4bn of TALF Loans to Buy Legacy CMBS” (1-21-10)

“The Federal Reserve Bank of New York on Wednesday received requests for $1.45bn of government loans to buy securities backed by commercial mortgages.”

Bloomberg - “BlackRock Proposes New Consumer Bankruptcy Option” (1-21-10)

“Consumers need a new type of bankruptcy that would better aid homeowners and be fairer for mortgage-bond investors than the existing U.S. loan-modification program, BlackRock Inc. Vice Chairman Barbara Novick said. BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, proposes creating a bankruptcy option under which terms of a consumer’s mortgage can be eased, though only after other debts are eliminated, Novick said in a telephone interview. Judges would need to follow a formulaic approach, she said.”

Bloomberg - “Homebuilders Turn to Private Equity for Financing” (1-21-10)

“More than 40 U.S. homebuilders have teamed up with private equity firms to acquire and complete unfinished subdivisions as banks cut construction lending. The investments will pay off for the builders and their investors if the prices are low enough and the locations are in areas where demand is recovering, said Megan McGrath, a home building industry analyst at Barclays Capital Inc. in New York.”

Bloomberg - “Bank Failures Should Destroy CEOs, Buffett Tells Fox” (1-21-10)

“President Barack Obama’s proposal to regulate banks should include a requirement that chief executive officers and their spouses forfeit their assets when companies fail, billionaire Warren Buffett said on Fox Business Network.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Rates on 30-Year U.S. Loans Fall to 4.99%” (1-21-10)

“Mortgage rates in the U.S. dropped for a third week, lowering borrowing costs for consumers and supporting government efforts to boost the housing market. The rate for 30-year fixed U.S. home loans fell to 4.99 percent for the week ended today from 5.06 percent, mortgage finance company Freddie Mac said in a statement today. The average 15-year rate declined to 4.4 percent from 4.45 percent, according to the McLean, Virginia-based company.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Life Insurers May Face More Real Estate Losses” (1-21-10)

“U.S. life insurers, a group led by MetLife Inc. and Prudential Financial Inc., may face $15 billion in additional commercial real estate losses, most of which will be recognized in the next two years, Fitch Ratings said.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAHB reported that builder confidence had decreased to a record low. Dataquick reported that foreclosures represented more than half of all sales.  Research from the Construction Industry Research Board showed that Orange County governments issued 3,156 building permits to homebuilders in 2008.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/19/10

Tuesday, January 19th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

MDA Dataquick’s monthly report shows that 22,328 homes were sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange County last month. AFIRE conducted a survey in which 51 percent of foreign investors claimed the US provides the best opportunity for capital appreciation. According to the NAHB, builder confidence decreased from last month. Fitch Ratings sees many positive signals for housing and other related industries which may soon lead to a strong recovery.

In The News:

DQNews - “Southland home sales, median price up over last year” (1-19-10)

“A total of 22,328 new and resale homes sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was up 16.4 percent from November’s 19,181, and up 12.1 percent from 19,926 in December 2008, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Housing Wire – “New Home Builds Strengthen Though Sector Remains Weak: Fitch” (1-19-10)

“There are more positive signals and developments for housing and related industries than at any time in the past three years, Fitch Ratings analysts wrote in a quarterly outlook report, but despite having fewer competitors, public builders will continue to be challenged and need to maintain tight controls over costs and expenses in 2010.”

Housing Wire – “Washington Federal Earnings Drop 61% in Q409, Driven by Large REO Expenses” (1-19-10)

“Washington Federal, the parent company of Washington Federal Savings, reported $7.9m in earnings for Q409 or $0.07 per share. Earnings dropped 61% from $20.1m or $0.23 per share in Q408, due to higher credit costs including the provision for loan losses and real estate owned (REO) expenses. Those expenses reached $82.5m in Q409, a 128% jump from $46.2m in Q408.”

Housing Wire – “Foreign Investors Revive Optimism in US Real Estate” (1-19-10)

“AFIRE conducted the survey in Q409 among its nearly 200 members. Respondents own more than $842bn of global real estate, including $304bn in the US. In the survey, 51% of respondents said the US provides the best opportunity for capital appreciation, an increase from 37% in 2008, 26% in 2007 and 23% in 2006. It’s the highest positive perception for US real estate since the same number in 2003.”

Housing Wire – “Citi Posts $7.6bn Q4 Loss After TARP Repayment” (1-19-10)

“Citigroup repaid $6.2bn of Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) funds during Q409, exiting its loss-sharing agreement with the federal government. Excluding the TARP payment, Citigroup would have lost $1.4bn, or $0.06 per share, in Q409.”

Housing Wire – “Google Teams with Tech Firms for Online Mortgage Search Tool” (1-19-10)

“Search giant Google (GOOG: 587.62 +1.31%) is partnering with mortgage technology companies for the launch of a new feature that allows consumers to search for mortgage products and rates through its site.”

Bloomberg - “Treasury Delay on Home-Equity Debt Imperils Housing” (1-19-10)

“The U.S. Treasury Department has failed to win agreements to get struggling borrowers’ home- equity debt reworked, among the biggest roadblocks to reducing foreclosures that may reach a record 3 million this year. None of the lenders holding a combined $1.05 trillion of the debt has signed contracts requiring participation in the second-mortgage modification plan announced eight months ago. The largest banks remain ‘committed’ to joining, Meg Reilly, a department spokeswoman, said in an e-mail.”

Bloomberg - “Homebuilder Confidence in U.S. Unexpectedly Decreases” (1-19-10)

“The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo index of builder confidence decreased to 15 from 16 the prior month, the Washington-based group said today. Readings below 50 mean most respondents view conditions as poor. The report showed traffic slowed to a 10-month low, indicating the government’s extension and expansion of its first-time buyer program has, so far, not drawn in new demand after propelling total sales to an almost three-year high in November. A projected record 3 million foreclosures this year may also pressure prices, making it more difficult for homebuilders to turn a profit.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, MDA Dataquick reported that statewide home sales from 2008 to 2009 increased by 25.7 percent. Home sales in Southern California increased by 50.5 percent from 2007 to 2009. The Commerce Department reported that home starts had decreased to an annual rate of 605,000.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/13/10

Wednesday, January 13th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the CBIA, condominium sales were 39 percent higher from last year. The MBA’s weekly survey shows that mortgage loan application volume increased by 14.3 percent from last week. Jumbo residential mortgage-backed securities increased to 9.2 percent from December 2008 to December 2009. All but two of the Federal Reserve districts reported increased activity or improved conditions.

In The News:

CBIA - “California New-Home Market Dips Slightly in November, CBIA Announces” (1-13-10)

“The monthly CBIA/Hanley Wood Market Intelligence (HWMI) New-Home Sales and Pricing Report showed that sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 4 percent below November 2008, representing a less impressive result than last month’s year-over-year increase, but was nevertheless an improvement from most months in 2009. During November, 1,860 new homes and condominiums were sold in the subdivisions tracked by Costa Mesa-based HWMI, compared to 1,934 in November 2008. Sales of single-family homes were down by 18 percent, while sales of townhomes and “plexes” – duplexes, triplexes, etc. – were up 8 percent and sales of condominiums were 39 percent higher than a year ago thanks to strong sales at projects in the Los Angeles and San Diego areas.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Refinance Applications Increase While Purchase Applications Remain Flat in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (1-13-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 8, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 14.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 66.0 percent compared with the previous week, which was a shortened week due to the New Year’s holiday.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “State adopts greenest building codes in U.S.” (1-13-10)

“The new code, dubbed Calgreen, will take effect next January and requires builders to install plumbing that cuts indoor water use, divert 50 percent of construction waste from landfills to recycling, use low-pollutant paints, carpets and floorings and, in nonresidential buildings, install separate water meters for different uses. It mandates the inspection of energy systems by local officials to ensure that heaters, air conditioners and other mechanical equipment in nonresidential buildings are working efficiently. And it will allow local jurisdictions, such as San Francisco, to retain their stricter existing green building standards, or adopt more stringent versions of the state code if they choose.”

Housing Wire – “Prime Jumbo RMBS Delinquencies Swell to 9.2%: Fitch” (1-13-10)

“Delinquency of more than 60 days among prime jumbo residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) nearly tripled to 9.2% in December 2009, from 3.2% at the end of 2008, according to Fitch Ratings.”

Housing Wire – “GSEs Could Lose $448bn of MBS Guarantee Business, Says Amherst” (1-13-10)

“Losses on the combined credit-guarantee books of government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.41 +2.17%) and Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.14 +1.79%) could reach 9.6% – or $448bn – according to market analysis by Amherst Securities Group.”

Housing Wire – “Housing Sales Up, Prices Remain Steady: Beige Book” (1-13-10)

“All but two Fed districts reported increased activity or improved conditions, with Philadelphia and Richmond seeing mixed results. In the December 2 edition of the Summary of Commentary on Current Economic Conditions, commonly called the Beige Book, eight districts reported an uptick in their perspectives economy. The book is published eight times a year and is a nationwide economic indicator compiled from the 12 Fed districts.”

Housing Wire – “Government to Earn Billions on Bailouts” (1-13-10)

“The US Treasury Department expects profits of at least $19bn from bank investment programs under the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), according to market commentary Wednesday by the American Bankers Association (ABA). Originally projected to cost $76bn according to the ABA, the outlook for TARP bank programs was updated in December in anticipation of actual profits.”

Housing Wire – “FinestExperts Ranks Top 2010 Real Estate Investment Markets” (1-13-10)

“FinestExpert.com named Dallas-Fort Worth as the hottest real estate investment market for 2010. After analyzing more than 10,000 real estate markets to identify stable, growth-oriented for investors, San Francisco-based FinestExpert.com formed its first top-20 hottest real estate investment market list for 2010.”

Housing Wire – “Cancelled Foreclosures Outnumber Sales in California: ForeclosureRadar” (1-13-10)

“The amount of California foreclosure cancellations increased 26.5% in December to 13,243, primarily due to loan modifications. And for the first time this number overtook foreclosures reaching real-estate owned (REO) status, according to ForeclosureRadar, which tracks foreclosure activity in the state. In December, the amount of foreclosures heading back to the banks, REO, dropped 11.9% from the previous month to 12,437. Significant declines in foreclosure discounts by lenders drove the decrease in sales to third parties, according to the report.”

Bloomberg - “Obama to Announce Fee on 20 Banks to Recoup TARP” (1-13-10)

“President Barack Obama will announce tomorrow his intention to impose a fee on roughly 20 of the country’s largest banks and financial institutions to help recoup taxpayer bailout money and trim the federal budget deficit. Obama will outline his proposal to raise as much as $120 billion at 11:45 a.m. local time at the White House, Obama’s press secretary, Robert Gibbs, told reporters. Gibbs said the president’s economic team has worked on a structure to prevent the levy from being passed onto consumers.”

Bloomberg - “Real Estate Bull Laub Sees Unprecedented Workout From Bad Debt” (1-13-10)

“Kenneth Laub has been through three commercial real estate boom and bust cycles during almost five decades as a broker and consultant to corporations such as Hess Corp. and International Paper Co. He says the current downturn will overshadow all of the others, Bloomberg Markets reports in its February 2010 issue.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAHB encouraged congress to use a portion of the $700 billion bailout to increase credit for home purchases, and to stem foreclosures. California lost a total of 144,000 people from 2008 to 2009. Ben Bernanke warned that a fiscal stimulus would not cause an economic recovery. In November of 2008, 4 percent of homes were bought with adjustable rate mortgages.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/7/10

Thursday, January 7th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Home equity delinquencies increased to 4.3 percent of all accounts. Many construction companies reported an increase in profit during the 4th quarter of 2009. REIS Inc. reports that U.S. apartment vacancies rose to 8 percent last quarter. According to Freddie Mac, mortgage rates decreased to 5.09 percent from last week.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “Lennar Posts Quarterly Profit, Expects $320M Tax Refund” (1-7-09)

“Miami-based homebuilder Lennar (LEN: 15.70 +14.60%) reported net earnings of $35.6m, $0.19 per share, for its fiscal year fourth quarter that ended Nov. 30 and said it will receive a tax refund of $320m as a result of legislation that temporarily allowed companies to recoup losses from taxes paid in profitable years.”

Housing Wire – “Invesco Mortgage Capital Planning Another Share Sale” (1-7-09)

“Seeing a growing appetite for deals from investors, Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR: 22.37 -2.10%), a real estate investment trust (REIT), plans to offer 7m shares of its common stock for sale in order to fund the acquisition of residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities (RMBS and CMBS) and leveraged mortgage loans.”

Housing Wire – “Delinquency Grows in Home Equity Loans, Lines of Credit: ABA” (1-7-09)

“Housing-related loans continued to show stress. Home equity loan delinquencies hit another record in the quarter, jumping 29 bps to 4.3% of all accounts. Home equity lines of credit rose 20 bps to 2.12% of all accounts. Mobile home delinquencies increased to 3.63% of all accounts, from 3.53% the previous quarter.”

Housing Wire – “Beazer to Offer 18m Shares, $50m in Convertible Debt” (1-7-09)

“Beazer Homes (BZH: 5.06 +6.08%) will issue new common stock and convertible subordinate debt, the Atlanta-based homebuilder said in a pair of Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings. According to the filings, Beazer will issue 18m shares of common stock and $50m in convertible subordinate debt which will convert to stock shares in 2013.”

Bloomberg - “Job Growth Erodes as Housing Bust Pushes Mobility to Record Low” (1-7-09)

“Some households are staying put because they owe more on their mortgages than their properties are worth; others have trouble selling houses in depressed areas, economists say. The S&P/Case-Shiller composite index of home prices in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas was down 29 percent in October from its July 2006 peak.”

Bloomberg - “Principal Cuts on Lender Menus as Foreclosures Rise” (1-7-09)

“While interest-rate reductions or extending loan terms reduce homeowners’ monthly payments, they don’t give much comfort to borrowers who owe more on their homes than their properties are worth. Borrowers who don’t have equity in their homes are more likely to hand over the keys when they run into trouble.”

Bloomberg - “Lennar Leads Builders Higher on Report of Unexpected Profit” (1-7-09)

“Lennar Corp. led U.S. homebuilders higher after the company reported an unexpected quarterly profit as it took advantage of a tax change in the way it accounts for land sales. A Standard & Poor’s measure of 12 home construction companies rose as much as 5.4 percent, the most since November. Lennar climbed as much as 13 percent. KB Home, M/I Homes Inc., Toll Brothers Inc. and D.R. Horton Inc. all gained.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Rates on 30-Year U.S. Loans Fall to 5.09%” (1-7-09)

“Mortgage rates in the U.S. fell for the first time in five weeks, lowering borrowing costs and offering a boost to potential buyers. The rate for 30-year fixed U.S. home loans fell to 5.09 percent for the week ended today from 5.14 percent, mortgage finance company Freddie Mac said. Rates hit a record low 4.71 percent the week of Dec. 3. This week’s average 15-year rate was 4.50 percent, Freddie Mac said in today’s statement. ”

Bloomberg - “Record U.S. Apartment Vacancies Force Landlords to Cut Rents” (1-7-09)

“U.S. apartment vacancies rose to a record 8 percent in the fourth quarter and rents fell the most in three decades as unemployment cut demand, according to Reis Inc.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications were decreasing. Statistics from Default Research showed that foreclosures and defaults had significantly increased across California. Apartment rents fell and vacancy rates increased to a 4 year high. Freddie Mac reported that mortgage rates fell for the 9th week in a row.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/4/09

Monday, January 4th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Forty percent of national home sales in 2009 were foreclosures or short sales. Economists and real estate experts are complaining that Obama’s $75 billion foreclosure prevention program has damaged the market. The CIRB reports that builder permits for single-family houses fell 3.5 percent. According to The Institute for Supply Management, most companies showed an increased rate of expansion in December.

In The News:

San Francisco Chronicle – “Foreclosures weigh on home appraisals” (1-4-09)

“Roughly 40 percent of all home sales this year were foreclosures or short sales, meaning the property sold for less than the mortgage. In some markets, like Las Vegas and Phoenix, they’ve hit more than 50 percent.”

New York Times – “U.S. Loan Effort Is Seen as Adding to Housing Woes” (1-4-09)

“The Obama administration’s $75 billion program to protect homeowners from foreclosure has been widely pronounced a disappointment, and some economists and real estate experts now contend it has done more harm than good.”

Market Watch – “Low rates didn’t cause bubble, Bernanke says” (1-3-09)

“it was lax supervision of toxic mortgages by the Fed and other bank regulators — along with excessive flows of capital around the globe — that inflated the bubble, setting up the world economy for what may have been the worst economic crisis in modern history, Bernanke said.”

Bloomberg - “GMAC Said to Discuss U.S. Aid Package of $3 Billion or More” (1-4-09)

“GMAC Inc., the home and auto lender that counts the U.S. government as the largest stakeholder, is discussing with the Obama administration a third bailout of $3 billion to $4 billion, said a person familiar with the matter.”

Bloomberg - “Companies in U.S. Expand at Fastest Pace Since 2006″ (1-4-09)

“Companies in the U.S. expanded in December at the fastest pace in almost four years, signaling the economic recovery is gaining speed heading into 2010. The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago Inc. said today its barometer rose to 60, exceeding the most optimistic estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News and the highest level since January 2006. The gauge, in which readings greater than 50 signal expansion, showed companies boosted production and employment as orders climbed.”

Orange County Register – “Did housing’s troubles double?” (1-4-09)

“Well, things don’t look so harsh when your spyglass is 10 years long and short-run bumps and bruises are smoothed out. The median selling price for all residences in Orange County in the Zeros was $431,000, roughly double the pricing of the 1990s.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. builders near worst year since WW II” (1-4-09)

“Through November, local building permits for single-family homes filed by developers fell 3.5% from what had been the slowest year since World War II, the Construction Industry Research Board reports.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/10/09

Thursday, December 10th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to RealtyTrac, foreclosure activity decreased  by 8 percent in November. Hanley Wood Market Intelligence reports that Orange County builders had their first positive month in October, after 13 months of contract declines. A survey from HomeGain shows that 48 percent of agents and brokers believe that home prices will stay the same, and 24 percent believe that prices will increase.  Data from the U.S. Treasury Department shows that 31,382 of the 1 million three-month modifications have become permanent.

In The News:

DSNews - “Foreclosure Activity Recedes for Fourth Straight Month: RealtyTrac” (12-10-09)

“The foreclosure tide appears to be subsiding, according to the latest numbers from RealtyTrac. The company said Thursday that foreclosure activity fell 8 percent in November, compared to October – it’s the fourth consecutive month that RealtyTrac’s data has shown a decrease in foreclosure filings.”

CBIA - “California New-Home Market Breaks into Positive Territory, CBIA Announces” (12-10-09)

“The monthly CBIA/Hanley Wood Market Intelligence (HWMI) New-Home Sales and Pricing Report showed that sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 25 percent above October 2008, a strong improvement from the lingering year-over-year decline last month and represents the first notable increase since the start of the housing downturn. During October, 2,294 new homes and condominiums were sold in the subdivisions tracked by Costa Mesa-based HWMI, compared to 1,838 in October 2008. Sales of single-family homes were up by 4 percent, while sales of townhomes and ‘plexes’ – duplexes, triplexes, etc. – were up 36 percent and sales of condominiums were 94 percent higher than a year ago thanks to strong sales at projects in the Los Angeles and San Francisco areas.”

Orange County Register – “Losing streak ends for O.C. builders” (12-10-09)

“Hanley Wood Market Intelligence says after 13 straight months of annual declines in new home sales contracts, Orange County builders recorded their first up month in October. According to the Costa Mesa research firm, homebuyers signed 90 contracts to buy a new Orange County home that month, up 13.9% from October 2008.”

Inman - “Survey: Hopeful on home prices” (12-10-09)

“Forty-eight percent of agents and brokers surveyed think home prices will stay the same and 24 percent think prices will go up, the company reported. That’s a slight increase from the third-quarter survey, when those numbers were 46 percent and 23 percent, respectively. This marks a major change from HomeGain’s first-quarter survey when 36 percent thought prices would remain flat and 11 percent thought prices would increase. The survey had 928 respondents.”

Housing Wire – “30,000 Trial HAMP Mods Go Permanent” (12-10-09)

“Of the 1m homeowners who have been offered three-month trial modification under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), 31,382 have received a permanent modification, according to from the US Treasury Department.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Volume to Decline in 2010, Says Dorado” (12-10-09)

“Mortgage origination volume will decline next year compared to 2009 levels, but the use of software-as-a-service (SAAS) applications will rise, San Mateo, Calif.-based SAAS developer Dorado Corporation said in its projections for next year. Dorado projects more than 30% of mortgages created next year will be originated with SAAS applications, which generally work as Web-based tools a developer hosts on its own servers and distributes access through subscription licenses.”

Housing Wire – “Treasury Used $364bn of TARP funds in 2009″ (12-10-09)

“The Treasury Office of Financial Stability (OFS) used $364bn of the $700bn available funds, mostly in investments according to the report, and $73bn of the TARP funds have already been repaid. Bank of America last week committed to repaying the $45bn it received through the program.”

Housing Wire - “Mortgage Rates Rise off Record Lows” (12-10-09)

“Freddie Mac’s (FRE: 1.12 +0.90%) survey put the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) at 4.81% with an average 0.7 point for the week ending Dec. 10, up from the previous week when it was a record low average of 4.71%. A year ago, Freddie Mac put the 30-year FRM at 5.47%.”

Bloomberg – “Wells Fargo Cuts as Much as 30 Percent in Principal” (12-10-09)

“Wells Fargo & Co., the bank that gained a portfolio of option adjustable-rate mortgages when it bought Wachovia Corp. last year, cut the principal for delinquent borrowers in some loans by as much as 30 percent. Wells Fargo has forgiven an average of $46,000 in principal, or 15 percent, for the 43,500 option-ARM loans it has modified this year through September, said Franklin Codel, chief financial officer at the bank’s home-lending unit.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Orange County tax collectors reported that property tax collections decreased by $145 million. One hundred twenty-seven financial companies received preliminary approval for $60.4 billion from TARP.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/04/09

Friday, December 4th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

The unemployment rate declined to 10 percent during November. As of September, less than 0.3 percent of all trial modifications have become permanent. The FDIC announced plans that may require some lenders to make principal reductions on mortgages, rather than forbearing payment and reducing interest rates.

In The News:

Wall Street Journal – “Unemployment Rate Falls to 10%” (12-4-09)

“U.S. job losses in November posted the smallest drop since the start of the recession and the unemployment rate unexpectedly declined, a sign the labor market is finally healing as the economy recovers.”

Time - “Why the Loan-Modification Program Isn’t Working” (12-4-09)

“The problem the Administration is out to tackle is related to the structure of the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). The first three months of a mortgage rewrite are something of a probation period— and very few homeowners are making it out of that trial. More than 650,000 borrowers have been placed in trial modifications, but as of September, fewer than 2,000 had become permanent.”

Housing Wire – “Moody’s Links Option ARM, Subprime Performance” (12-4-09)

“More than $200bn of outstanding pay-option adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) originated and securitized from ‘04-’07, according to market commentary by Moody’s Investors Service this week. This sector shows ‘dismal’ performance, with more than 40% of borrowers 60 or more days past due on payments. And many of these loans have yet to experience a recast event, when initial minimum monthly payments jump as much as 60%, according to sources interviewed by HousingWire for an upcoming issue.”

Housing Wire – “Forget Forbearance; FDIC Eyes Principal Forgiveness” (12-4-09)

“Institutions that acquire failed banks taken over by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) may soon be required to cut principal off mortgages instead of simply forbearing a portion until a later day or lowering interest rates, according to comments and FDIC official made to Bloomberg this week. The principal forgiveness might apply to as much as $45bn of mortgages from failed banks. Regulators so far in 2009 shut down 124 banks, costing the FDIC’s insurance fund billions of dollars and putting billions more in assets up for acquisition.”

Housing Wire – “Foreclosure Activity Outpaces Mods in October: Hope Now” (12-4-09)

“The mortgage servicing industry completed 271,563 total loan workouts in October, according to Hope Now, the private sector alliance of mortgage servicers, investors, insurers and non-profit counselors. Workouts included 198,373 repayment plans and 73,190 modifications. At the same time, the industry completed 94,450 foreclosure sales and initiated another 222,107 foreclosure starts.”

Press Enterprise - “Low interest rates are no panacea for region’s housing” (12-4-09)

“Inland experts say a shortage of inventory is suppressing sales of existing homes. Also, the high cost of land that home builders acquired makes it impossible for most of them to construct houses that can sell cheaply enough to compete with the foreclosure-ridden resale market.”

Mercury News – “Now’s really the time to buy a home, many say” (12-4-09)

“Mortgage rates are hovering at historic lows, home prices are just starting to edge up from total collapse, and the government is offering tax breaks to first-time and move-up buyers. It all adds up to this: In the real estate agent’s overworked phrase, there may never be a better time to buy a house. And this might not last for long, brokers and real estate agents say, especially since mortgage rates are probably headed up.”

Inman - “Buyer discounts continue slide” (12-4-09)

“For the ninth month this year, buyer discounts — the price paid compared to the last listing price of homes — shrank in October to a median of 2.7 percent, according to Zillow’s Real Estate Market Reports. That’s down from 2.9 percent in September and 4.6 percent in January.”

Bloomberg - “Banks Take Losses on Short Sales as Foreclosures Soar” (12-4-09)

“Banks are beginning to go along with short sales in increasing numbers, three years into a U.S. housing slump that pushed the economy into a recession and cut resale values by 30 percent from the peak in July 2006. Short sales almost tripled to 40,000 in the first six months of 2009 from the same period a year earlier. Yet for each short sale, there were 25 foreclosures started or completed in the first half of this year, according to data from the Office of Thrift Supervision and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. ”

Looking Back

One year ago, a little over 42,293 new and resale houses and condos were sold for the year. Orange County was listed as the 9th riskiest home lending market. Bernanke estimated that as many as 20 percent of all homeowners owed more on their homes than their homes were worth.

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