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By Bruce Norris .

270-TNGRadio – Bill Shipp 3-24-12

Friday, March 23rd, 2012

Bill-Shipp

Bill Shipp

California Investor


(Full Bio)

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This week Bruce Norris is joined by Bill Shipp. Bill has been one of the largest wholesale buyers of real estate in Riverside for many years. He has a unique system that can even be done from a distance, which he proves every day by living in another state.

Bruce interviewed Bill on the show last year, and he was one of the bigger hits. On the show there were a lot of knowledgeable investors who were very enthralled with his system. When you can impress the people who work every day in the field, then that is pretty good. Bill has been buying real estate full-time since 1986, but he has been dabbling in it since the early ‘70s. He bought a five-unit apartment in Long beach as a rental, and he found it he could sell it and make more money than if he had kept it as a rental. Before that, the first property he ever bought was a little lot in Quail Valley outside of Canyon Lake, which he bought from a family member. He had it for a few years when he saw he could sell it and make more money than what he paid for it.

Bruce wondered why there was a gap between the ‘70s and 1986. Bill said during this time he had gone to work for the corporate world where he worked for U.S. Suzuki for about six years. He worked his way up to be distribution manager. He then quit this and went to work for a logistics company down in Long Beach, which was millions of square feet of warehouse and inventory. He was in charge of distribution and trucking. It was at this time his friend told him about real estate. This was in 1986. He took vacation for a week and used this time to attend a real estate boot camp with a gentleman named Alla Peter. He was very heavy into buying the VA repose and the HUD repose back when the VAs were up to 7% commission. At this time you could buy them as an investor with 10% down. After the commission and after buying them, you are in it for a whole 3%. This was what started him in the rental business, which he bought quite a few. At his peak he had 42 rentals; now he has one.

It took him a long time to sell rentals in the 90s when it was really hurting everybody, so he did not like rentals in the 90s. He went through the boot camp for a week, and he was convinced to quit the corporate world. He was not even making six figures at this time, but he was responsible for a lot of people and inventory. He really did not know what the status of his job would be as he could be fired any day, or the company could be bought out and transferred. With the real estate, he really liked the idea of being his own boss and having all the inventory in Southern California that he could get a hold of. Inventory cost was nothing until you owned it.

Bruce wondered if anyone in Bill’s tight circle looked at his decision and wondered if he had made the wrong decision. Bill said yes that indeed people were thinking this, especially the people he worked for. He literally went through the boot camp, went back into his company, and gave his two-week notice. He quit and started selling.

Bruce said it is always interesting to him when people get into the business because it gives them a certain bend on the way you think things work. 1986-1989 was a heck of a run. If you touched a property, it would be tough to make a mistake. The prices were quickly escalating, and interest rates were not reasonable although they were more reasonable than in ’80 and ’81. At this time they were 8%. When Bruce got into the business in 1981, he refinanced his house at 17 ½%. This tainted how he looked at real estate because it was not something where you could cash flow. You had to touch it and let it go. There was no way to finance things like this and make it work.

In 1986 when Bill was getting a 7% commission and only having to put 10% down, he was able to buy a lot of houses. The same thing happened from 2005-2007 when everybody thought the answer was to buy rentals or flip. Back in 1986, people were buying houses, and money was pretty available. This was what Bill did, and he was very excited about it. He was seeing his net worth go up and was having some positive cash flow off of it. Then, when 1990 hit, he had a negative cash flow, and his houses were down $30,000 a house, he lost about $1 million. Fortunately, he had friends who thought this was still a good time to buy. They went in50% as partners with him to take care of his houses, and this was able to keep him alive. They infused him with some liquidity, which helped with the negative cash flow since now instead of the $300-$400 a month; he was down to $150 a month.

This impresses Bruce because this is creative. Not many people would ask how they would extricate themselves and still have properties. Bill Shipp found a way to do this. He probably found money partners who did not exactly have the same skills and used them. Bill found good things. The people who helped Bill out were his corporate friends, people who were accountants of financial planners who say you should buy real estate now since it is down. It was an easy win-win for them. Bill now had good money behind him. His other option was to walk from them, which a lot of people at that time did. Bill didn’t and was glad because he has a great credit score to this day where he can go out and get financing anytime he wants. If he had let them go, he probably still would have received financing but would have been charged a lot.

Bill did hard money loans when he first started flipping. It was back in 1988 and 1989 when he was into full-time flipping. He paid 13% and 3 to 5 points, maybe even 15%; which is still normal. At the time he thought he was high, but it worked. If you have access to money and the profit is there, then it really doesn’t matter what your interest rate is or your points. It is when you look at it and you’re done with it; if you have made money on it, it’s okay.

When he started in 1986, the name Bill Shipp was not the household name that it is now. When he first started in real estate, he went to work for an office in Riverside since this was where the houses were. At the time he was living down in Newport Beach and commuting out to Riverside. He thought he needed to move to Riverside, which he did. He started in real estate by selling to investors. He sold houses to some of his corporate friends, who were buy and hold people rather than buy and sell. He had flipped a couple houses before; then he saw the money they were making and said he was not going to work with clients anymore and started buying full-time for himself. His name got out when he was in Riverside as an agent. He was buying the HUD and VA repose as well as talked to different agents. He started talking to the agents who if they found something, he would buy from them and let them represent him. This was where he started. He started really promoting himself by actually going into real estate offices and giving talks to them.

Bruce said he remembered sending a flyer back in the ‘90s when he was buying a fair amount of properties; he had calculated how much agents had made on commission. It was not an organized plot, but rather had just happened. He decided he needed to do the same kind of thing and sent out a flyer which said how much realtors had made the previous year, and it was ridiculous. It was around $300,000 on his transactions, and he wanted to do more of this. Therefore, 1200 of these flyers went into everybody’s slot. He got no phone calls from any of this. What was interesting about all this was this was not necessarily where realtors were excited to go with their time to work with investors. This may have been because they had an experience with a particular investor who did not do what they said they were going to do. Or the managers of the offices said they should not work with investors. When Bill was an agent, his whole career was only with investors. He never worked with a homeowner. How you get started sometimes really colors what you think is wise to do.

One thing about investors is a multiple transaction is possible with each one of them. On the other hand, if somebody buys a house and we don’t see them until five years from now, then that is a big difference. Also, once a real estate agent has worked with a successful investor, they will probably not work with a regular customer. He does not want to deal with them, but rather with someone who makes decisions immediately and makes them for different reasons. You don’t have to look at a house and wish it had a nine-foot ceiling; you just want to know if the numbers make sense. When an agent is working with Bill, he does not have to go get all his family members to look at the property. A decision is made, they like it, and they will not have to have an open house. This was the way Bill created his business by working with real estate agents and passing out the flyers. He then followed up with meetings and talked to the real estate agents in their office meetings and would find one agent out of the forty-fifty there who was interested in talking to him. You can then show them your history, and this gets them excited. You then go into training them.

Bill has trained every agent that he has worked with on how to work with an investor. They already know how to work with a customer as a homeowner, but they don’t know how to work with an investor. Bruce wondered what the difference was between the two between agents who deal with the investors and those who don’t. Bill said for one there really isn’t any emotion, especially for him. He spends more time buying a hat for himself than a house, so there is really not much emotion to it. A lot of the agents probably would not even walk in some of the houses that Bruce and Bill buy. A typical agent who is out there doing their farms, working in a nice neighborhood, dealing with the family, listing the house, and doing their flyers would be afraid to walk in certain houses. It takes a special person to look at a type of house and be able to figure the numbers out with the investor and tell them whether it’s good or not.

Since Bill does his kind of work from a distance in Park City, Bruce wondered if this puts a dent in his buying ability. However, he said his best buying year was 2010 when he was living in Park City full-time. Most people are absolutely enthralled with this because they are trying to do their work really well locally, and Bill is doing the work from a distance with a team. Bill works with the team and is really specific about his areas. He had a call at a house in San Bernardino, and he said it was really not his area because he has to ask a lot of questions such as what it is worth and how the neighborhood is. He does not want to spend the time to do this, and he cannot do it from Park City. He has agents in Park City who he plays tennis with who want him to flip in Salt Lake. He responded saying he has no clue about Salt Lake because when they tell him about a house on the street, he has no idea what the value is or what it is going to cost to fix it. However, when an agent calls and tells him about a house in Riverside, he knows exactly what the value is going to be and how much it is going to cost since he has been dealing with the same contractor for ten years.

Somebody hearing the story may think he is really delegating a lot, but the truth is you really have an awful lot of personal knowledge that gets you 90% there before you have to rely on someone on your team to fill in the gap. With the team and agent that Bill works with, when he calls and tells him a house is worth $185,000, he knows that it is worth $185,000. He never will deal with an agent or somebody who says they think they could get around $190-$200. As soon as they start talking like that, you really need to sit them down and say you don’t need this spread and show them what you think you can sell it for. If you are making $20,000 on a house and they tell you the spread is $10,000, then that is 50% of your profit. You cannot do this. Bill said most of his sales prices are literally within a few thousand of what he thought. It is not $10, $20, or $30,000 off. What is so important about that is this is a competitive market, so your spread cannot be that big because you would have somebody else competitively bidding against you that knew exactly what it was worth and would have a tighter bid than yours. Either this or your profit would disappear completely, which gets old pretty fast.

Bill hears all the time about competition, and he has never worried about it. He has also talked about in the past what people think about the future, about what Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac is going to do, or about Greece. He really does not care. Also, when an agent tells him to hold onto something for a year it should be worth $20,000 more, he really doesn’t care what a year is. His whole time in 2010 was 89 days, so he cared what was happening in the next 90 days. In 2011 he was a little nervous since it went up to about 104 days. It really doesn’t matter six months to a year from now; he just wants to know what the price is today.

Bruce wondered if Bill is typically buying something at this point that is owned by a lender, which Bill said he is. Short sales are not a big part of it as he has only bought two or three short sales in his whole career. There are some short sales when there were not a lot of lender-owned things, such as ’85-’89. Bruce wondered if it was privately owned, to which Bill said privately owned was when he used to have some ladies who worked for him who were like bird dogs who followed the notices of defaults and trusteed sales. This was more in the early ‘90s. The late ‘80s were VA and HUD repos. There were a lot especially from ’87-’89, even at the strength of the market. It was at this time people were paying a 7% commission trying to get rid of them. Bill bought his first VA repo in 1986 at the time when Bruce was running ads in the newspaper saying he bought houses. Bill said he never did anything like running an ad or hanging flyers on a telephone pole, although Bruce said by doing this you can understand trends better because your calls change. Bruce was doing very well between ’86 and ’90, then all of a sudden the calls tripled when no one had equity. Bruce was almost in the counseling business. He owed $130,000 when it was only worth $95,000, so he had to figure out what to do.

When Bill worked in the corporate world in a management position, he really delegated a lot. He used this in his real estate business for going out and knocking on doors. This was something he did about two or three times. He then trained other people to do it, and he had a couple people who all they did was knock on doors. These people would set up the appointments, tell Bill what the people owed, and then have the people fill out a form so Bill knew if they had a first or second trust deed. Bill had done his comps on the properties, figured out what they were worth, then went in and tried to put a deal together. He did not really knock on the doors himself but rather had a team that broke the ice. When dealing with VAs, this other method was fairly successful. The VAs died up around ’89, and this was when he started a new system. He was not going to try to keep doing the same thing if there wasn’t any.

Prior to 2006, there were very few REOs, and Bill was buying out of the MLS. Bill said he has always bought out of the MLS as this has always been there. There are some really good deals here; there are just some people who don’t get it yet. For example, Bill had just come from a long vacation; and while he was gone he told his contractor he was going to be gone and was going to let him buy his deals while he was gone. He bought four while Bill was gone, and one of them was in a great neighborhood in Riverside. He bought a house for $70,000 under market value out of the MLS.

This was at the time when there were no REOs, the market was going up drastically every month, and people were saying there was no way you could buy great deals out of the MLS. However, you can always do two errors by agents. This particular error was about 400 square feet on the square footage of the house. They turned in their BPO, and it was 400 square feet off and priced accordingly. This was the case of a typical builder who had a bonus room that could have been finished or not finished. A lot of times it got finished and was never caught in the building permits and updated with the MLS. This was an example of a great deal just because of input error. When the prices were drastically going up starting in 2003, the errors were made by opinion of value by the real estate agent. Therefore, houses were listed way under what they should have been. This was at the time he was buying houses when they were going up $10,000 a month. Therefore, there are always different reasons why you can always buy in the MLS.

Part of the situation is you know this is true and the agent knows it’s true. There is an expectation that things are going to work, and it comes across to whoever has the listing. If there is expectation that an offer is a stupid one and you are embarrassed to present it, this comes across too. Some people just do not want to submit because they get embarrassed. Even nowadays the property is not owned by a person, but by a bank. One of the things with the cycle is you are usually not dealing with a human being who has a loss at stake, but rather it is a lender. In one example, Bruce had a listing that he gave to someone named Dave Cooley who used to be a bog realtor in Grand Terrace. He had an offer from an investment company; but what he did not realize was within about a week of him getting this listing; Bruce had the chance to buy a big 5-bedroom house for $76 grand. If he sold this house and one other house he owned, he could pay in cash. However, he needed to do it quickly. Dave had an offer from a big company, but he was embarrassed to tell Bruce about it. It took him three days to finally apologize for the offer. Bruce told him he would not only take that offer, but would like the same offer on his residence and would do both of them. Dave almost fell off his chair, but he did not realize Bruce’s circumstances had changed. He had a profit motive to say yes to two discounted deals.

Ben Gay III has a great sales book, but one of the questions he asks is if you would own one and would do the process yourself. Bruce said there are times when he would say yes. He would say yes to the offers he is making that are simple and all cash as opposed to doing what normally has to be done to sell a house. One thing that is not a secret to people like Bruce and Bill is they go through the sales process and know it is not a fun journey to go through the normal retail sale. The reason why you did these was because it was opportunity. On one side you are willing to give up $10-$15,000 because you are making $50,000 on the other side. You cannot be stubborn about the $10 grand. What seemed like a big discount was really a big profit center.

Tune in next week for the second part of Bruce’s interview with Bill Shipp.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

252-TNG Radio – I Survived Real Estate 2011 part 5 11-19-11

Friday, November 18th, 2011

I Survived Real Estate 2011

I Survived Real Estate 2011


(Full Bio)

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On October 14, 2011, The Norris Group returned with its award-winning event I Survived Real Estate. An expert line-up of industry specialists joined Bruce Norris to discuss current industry regulation, head-scratching legislation, and the opportunities emerging for savvy real estate professionals. 100% of the proceeds support the Orange County Affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure. This event would not have been possible without the generous help of the following platinum partners: ForeclosureRadar and Sean O’Toole, Housing Wire, the San Diego Creative Real Estate Investors Association and President Bill Tan, Investors Workshops with President Shawn Watkins and Angel Bronsgeest, Invest Club for Women and Iris Veneracion and Bobbie Alexander, San Jose Real Estate Investors Association and Geraldine Berry, Real Wealth Networks, Frye Wyles, MVT Productions, and White House Catering. The event video can be found on isurvived2011.com.

Bruce continued his discussion with the panel on an interesting appraisal they had. Someone with no experience in a very unusual area where you received a lot of money for a certain located lot had a $1.3 million comp for the model-match house. They had the right location, but The Norris Group did not. They had a home for sale for about $700,000 for 90 days, which is not worth $1.3 million. When they went pending, the home was appraised for $1.3 million because it was a model-match house; someone had come in from out of the area who did not have a clue that it mattered there. This did, however, help lock in the sale.

Bruce wondered what the intent is on the mortgage side. He asked what the function of the appraisal management company was and if they are really supposed to just make sure that appraisal independence is accomplished. Sara confirmed saying this is the main function, and it was intended to be the main function to begin with. Unfortunately, it has become a clearing house for fees lower. The management company is going to make the money, and Sara said what her company finds is that when many consumers close a loan are confronted with an amount for an appraisal that includes not only the appraiser’s fee but also the management company fee. Sometimes the management company fee is more than what the appraiser is actually making on the particular sale. Sara related to Bruce on a personal instance where she had a friend who called and asked her if about $300 the usual in customary fee for a residential appraisal. Sara said this sounded a little high an asked her to call the appraiser. When she called the appraiser, she found out that a good part of the fee that she was going to be paying for the appraisal was actually going to the management company and not to the appraiser.

To earn their cut, the management company usually engages the appraiser and is responsible for the documentation securing the appraisal, getting the appraisal back to the file, and getting it to the lender. They act as the middle man. Bruce jokingly said they basically take an email and forward it. They do not necessarily have to have expertise as appraisers, however. In a lot of states like Arkansas and most likely in California, they have certain requirements for AMCs. The Appraisal Institute has been very active in trying to monitor the appraisal management companies and try to obtain some kind of regulation process, some bonding or some kind of law that supports the appraiser in the event that there is some kind of argument with regard to fee and process. In some states they are not regulated at all, and in other states they are closely regulated. This actually brings up a confusing situation. Bruce wondered if the Appraisal Institute has national and state regulations that overlap or contradict, which Sara confirmed.

Debra Still began talking about how her company works in 29 states and files 29 states worth of appraisal regulations, fees, forms, disclosures, and predatory lending. The variation is pretty stunning. The Dodd-Frank Act had tried to solve the reasonable customary fee, and Bruce wondered if this has changed in practice where the appraiser is now getting paid what they used to. However, Sara said this is not the case as there is still a big issue in this area. When Sara testified before the Congressional Subcommittee in July, this was one of the things that she continued to talk about with the subcommittee. The idea of reasonable and customary and the intent of Dodd-Frank was never to include the AMC fee into the reasonable and customary estimation. The Appraisal Institute has done a lot of research, a lot of study, and they have looked at VA schedules and others to try to help these AMCs and try to help the Congressional Subcommittee to take a look at what a reasonable and customary fee might be to an appraiser. They would like to see the HUD-1 form simply separate the fees. The appraisal fee needs to be on one line and one transparent number, and the appraisal management fee should be on another. An appraiser needs to be paid for the time, the education, the professionalism that they have and that they bring to the experience. The AMC should also be compensated for the work that it is doing. There are pretty severe fines for not paying reasonable fees. In the Legislation, it gets into the millions, and it is uncertain if any of these fines have been levied.

One thing that existed at one time and it is good that it does not anymore is undue pressure. However, Bruce gets the feeling it actually does exist but on the back end. He feels like there are buyers who are willing to say about a house that it is the one they want at the price they want it, but somewhere along the line there is pressure to get it at a lower price. He doesn’t know if it is the review appraisal process, an automated system, or it is an underwriter who says it should be lowered. He really doesn’t know, but he does know that as a seller he is confused sometimes why it comes back less. It’s not reasonable. People look out for their own best interests. For example, a seller checks out the market and goes pending, to Bruce this is a comp. If it disagrees with all the other comps severely, then this might be a problem. When The Norris Group fixes up houses, they might spend $30,000, but they do not automatically think about if they will receive $50,000 back for it. There are, however, times where a buyer looks at this and says they would not be able to do it for $30,000, and a $20 grand price difference at 4% interest is so minimal per month that the answer is they will take the $30,000 over the $50,000, especially when you have 70% comps against REOs and short sales. This is a problem. The real question is how they are viewed. One does not show up and say a property is a comp but it does not have a kitchen. You can’t get the truth with the push of a button.

Sara said all this points out the need for local market expertise, for people who are trained professionals, people who are trained to go to the market and interview the buyer and seller, to investigate the comparables, and make sure they are comparables. Secondly, Sara believes that a lot of appraisers, as they begin to turn in their appraisal reports, face a lot of undue pressure, for example, added comparables, extra questions, and more scrutiny placed on their valuation and their judgment. Bruce wondered if for some reason the pressure is there or a review appraiser disagrees that they could lose business because they came in at a higher number than the review appraiser. Sara said this is something that might happen on some instances, but it really falls to the appraiser to defend himself over and over again. If the information is there and the valuation has been done to the best of the appraiser’s ability, then you need to just get to the point in time where you have to say, “This is it; this is all I can do.” Sara said often times when this situation confronts the people at the company, they will say, “Could we pick you up? Could we drive those comps and take a look at them?” A lot of times you are talking to somebody who is sitting at a desk who never looks at the property and never goes to the particular comparable. He never inspects the interior and doesn’t have any information. It is a communication problem sometimes because as an appraiser and as a person who is writing the report, the communication skill needs to be there to convey extraordinary measures you may or may not have taken to include the sale and why. It is a difficult environment, and it is very difficult sometimes to meet the requirements that are piled on, that are additional, and seem perfect in terms of the final valuation result.

Debra Still said you do have underwriting guidelines and some investor overlays that are now causing some of this challenge where you might have an investor that requires that two comps be outside the community. Outside the community possibly means a foreclosure. This is one of the homebuilders’ top 4 issues. As we see some of these sub-markets beginning to heal and prices starting to stabilize, we have to think about how do we move forward and recognize that in a declining area we might have a very stable sub-market. How do we recognize that some investors want four comps or six comps or justify the time valuation? It becomes very complex when you combine both the appraiser’s work and the underwriter’s work on top of it.

Bruce gave an example of something that really changed their business model. They bought a property in Moreno Valley for $52,000, without a kitchen and other necessities, and they fixed it for around $25,000. They put it up for sale and went pending for $123,000, and they had seven offers within two days. This is a pretty good statement of market value. The appraisal came in at $100,000, and the review came in at $80,000. Consequently, they kept it as a rental at $1100, and they rented it in one day. The statement basically by the appraisal said that given $100,000 at 5%, the rental payment was worth twice as much as the value when you consider what it was worth in mortgage payment. What it prevented was them fixing the next 50 properties in Moreno Valley because what it told them was due to the changes that HVCC brought in, the appraiser was incapable of coming to that decision because no one would allow him to do it. This is a challenge for the industry right now, especially in the areas that have the overwhelming vacant REO as the comp. One of the reasons they concentrate in a specific area is because they provide their own evidence that a decision has been made before, which is what you are in a way stuck with as an appraiser. You have evidence that somebody made a decision.

Sara said one of the other things the aforementioned points out is a relationship with the purchaser and with the person who is going to be working with the mortgage as well as conversation and dialogue on the front end certainly might help to solve some of the problems. The Appraisal Institute is beginning to look at how they can develop some relationships in sub-markets that would allow them to try to take a look at what they have in the market in which they are working. The technique, theory, and ideas going forward are pretty new, and therefore they may have a lot of risk in them for a lot of lenders. It goes back to educating both the lender, the appraiser purchaser, and the investor in what is going on in the market and how they can handle some of the consequences of the downturn that we have seen.

Debra Still said this is one of the things that is difficult with HVCC. The spirit of the HVCC was right on target, not doing anything to exert undue influence on an appraiser. On the other hand, it is now law; and having those good, constructive conversations are very delicate. You have to be very careful and very thoughtful, and there is a protocol to have an appropriate dialogue with an appraiser as you are trying to get to the right place. It is using coercion when it really just needs to have better information.

In order for a company to not require an appraisal management company to act as the middle man and go directly to the independent appraiser, they would have to be a reasonably large lender. Debra Still’s company has a national subdivision processing department, so everything that has to do with properties is done by a department that is outside of the origination, the processing, the underwriting, and the closing. As long as you can set up an arms length environment, you don’t have to use an AMC. Most companies, however, would use that as their way to ensure arms length and to stay within the law. Sara said this is a big factor with a lot of lenders right now as they do not want to cross the line.

There is definitely a sense that there is some rotation system that is necessary where no matter what the experience level or knowledge of an area, it is just a specific person’s turn to obtain an appraisal. Debra Still’s company does a 1 in 5 rotation in each sub-market and probably has about 300 appraisers nationally that they use. It is very important not to use one person solely for a community. There needs to be team partners. All of the appraiser’s business would be dependent upon the company giving, so they have to do at least a 1 in 5 rotation. This is how they have set up their due diligence. They will review the appraisals, review for error, review any quality control audits, and they would make sure they have qualified individuals on their appraiser panel. Sara believes in this type of environment you would have more control over the quality of the appraiser. This is one of the things she does not find happening with a lot of the AMCs. They will gravitate toward cheap and quick and possibly overlook the qualifications that the appraiser has such as market expertise, which Sara says is extremely important. What really matters is the person who is willing to travel, to finish the appraisal, and turn it in completed. A quick turn-around time might be a day to a day and a half. There is no way that if you are not familiar with the market you can simply march in, collect the comparables, talk with the buyers and the sellers, get a sense of what is going on in the market, make the inspection, get a feel for what the property contributes, what are its overall attributes in relationship to the others that are on the market or the other sales that have occurred, go back to make the appraisal, and then write and convey it in a quick amount of time. It just cannot be done. Bruce said it is hard to want to do this if you are getting paid half of the appraisal fee. It may not even be feasible to spend as much time because you just cannot possibly do it. You might as well just go to Multi-list and get a couple of comps and move on.

When asked about broker-price opinions, Sara said one of the things about this is in some instances it might be a good vehicle, but for mortgage-lending purposes and for decisions a lender has to make; by in large the opinions are unregulated. An appraisal that is put forth and signed by a state-certified appraiser, which is what the Appraisal Institute does, has some education. They are unbiased and a third party out there taking a look at the property. They really don’t have anything more in the game than just to report and analyze the market. Sara believes sometimes in the terms of broker-price opinion you have a disinterested person. They are an advocate for the property owner and for another entity. They are certainly not regulated like the appraiser is in terms of adherence to certain educational requirements. There are so many things that are missing. The broker-price opinion might have its place in some part of the real estate picture, but certainly not in terms of making a decision to buy or sell. It’s a different approach; it’s a different mindset, and it should be for a different use.

Bruce speculated that when there is an REO created, there is a series of things that happen including a couple of BPOs and an appraisal. It’s uncertain which is weighed heavier, but there is evidence that everybody is getting a turn in saying what the value is.

Bruce asked the panel if they see anything in Dodd-Frank or the changes in qualified mortgages that threaten a 30-year mortgage for some of the stratuses of loans. Debra said she does not really see anything in the QM or the QRM that would specifically attack the 30-year mortgage. For the most part this has been a product that housing in America has depended on for many years.

To find out more, tune in next week for I Survived Real Estate 2011, part 6. The Norris Group would like to thank their gold sponsors for the event: Adrenaline Athletics, Coldwell Banker Pioneer Real Estate, Conaway and Conaway, Delmae Properties, Elite Auctions, Inland Empire Investors Forum, Inland Valley Association of Realtors, Keller Williams of Corona, Keystone CPA, Kucan & Clark Partners, LLC, Las Brisas Escrow, Leivas Associates, Mike Cantu, Northern California Real Estate Investors Association, Northern San Diego Real Estate Investors Association, Pacific Sunrise Mortgage, Personal Real Estate Magazine, Raven Paul and Company, Realty 411 Magazine, Rick and LeaAnne Rossiter, Southwest Riverside County Board of Realtors, Starz Photography, uDirect IRA, Wilson Investment Properties, Tony Alvarez, Tri-Emerald Financial Group, and Westin South Coast Plaza. Visit isurvived2011.com for more

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

191-TNG Radio – Mike Novak-Smith 9-11-10

Monday, September 13th, 2010

Mike-Novak-Smith

Mike Novak-Smith

REO Agent


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September 17th, 2010, The Norris Group returns with its award winning event I Survived Real Estate 2010. The Norris Group has assembled an incredible line up of industry experts to discuss the state of REO from the inside. Topics will include regulatory intervention and aftermath, bulk buying, myths and facts, and opportunities emerging for real estate professionals. 100 percent of the proceeds support the Orange County affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure. This event would not be possible without generous help from the following platinum partners: Foreclosure Radar and Sean O’Toole, the San Diego Creative Real Estate Investors Association and Bill Tan, Investors Workshops and Shawn Watkins and Angel Bronsgeest, Invest Club for Women and Iris Veneracion and Bobby Alexander, Claudia Buys Houses, The Business Press, Frye Wiles, MVT Productions, and White House Catering.

This week Bruce is joined by Mike Novak-Smith. Mike has been a household name in the REO business since the 90s. He has gained national recognition for his work in the REO industry.

The first REO Mike ever closed was in January of 1991. RT Resolution Trust Corporation was the first REO client he ever had. That company took care of the failed savings and loans assets from the 80s. He thought using that company was a good idea because he sensed a changed in the market at that time. Resolution Trust called and offered him listings that no one else was interested in, and Mike believed he could handle them.

Mike reads a lot and he pays attention to the market. He viewed REOs as a way to survive every month. He knew that if he got 2.5 percent of the deals on the market, then he could make the house and car payment. Once he started doing it, he liked it, because it was more like a business than chasing deals. The audition for the business was hard, but once you have experience, its much less stressful.

There are a few surprises for agents wanting to get into the REO business. First, you have to do a lot of work. Second, you have to put out a lot of money to get properties sold. Third, you get treated rather harshly, because the people you work with are busy and they don’t have time to sugar coat their messages to you. A lot of people can’t wait to be an REO agent, until they become one. You have to be a superior skill level to do REO work in comparison to retail work. It is a very competitive business. If you make a mistake, there are 100 people who want your place.

In the 90s, the peak years for Mike were from 96 to 98. Mike had been in the business for a few years prior to 91 doing retail jobs. All the way through January, 2004, he had a lot of REO deals. From 04 to 05, he did not have any REO deals.

In 2003, Mike closed 110 REO deals. When the REO deals started drying up, Mike was one of the last people his clients were using. When the REO deals came back in 2005, he had 3 REOs within the first month.

Most of the people that Mike knew from the 90s have moved onto bigger things. If they did well during that time period, then they probably moved up to corporate positions.

In the 90s, much of Mike’s inventory consisted of new 4 bedroom, 3 bath houses. Mike gets a lot of new homes as well. He even gets homes that haven’t finished construction.

Currently, Mike’s business is somewhat unpredictable. He might have a several week period where he gets a large number of REO deals, but then the following week he will get zero. This could be a function of the trustee sales changing their bid prices.

The people REO brokers work with do not entirely know the policies of their employees. You hear a lot of rumors, but the only people who really know, are the ones working at the top of the business. Mike occasionally receives calls from corporate leaders in which they ask for his opinion on certain policy changes. Mike does not believe that anyone has complete control over policy changes, because the government makes frequent policy changes as well.

At the peak of this cycle, Mike had over 900 files, and maybe 600 active files in the MLS. Currently, properties spend months in preparation before being listed. Once they are listed, they usually sell fairly quickly.

Properties now require a bit of time before they become vacant. Occupants understand now that they can get money to move out. The magic number for convincing an occupant to move out tends to be between $2,000 to $4,000. Some of these occupants have severe financial problems, but for many of them, its just a game.

The length of time it takes for a property to become an REO after delinquency is 15-18 months. When the property actually goes into foreclosure, the renting tenants are often surprised. Mike advises renters to get their rental property from a broker who manages rentals. Don’t try to just rent a house off of CraigsList. Quite frequently, people will begin renting a house and end up in foreclosure two months later. Bruce was once personally asked by his own potential tenants if he had a loan on the rental house and if it was current. These renters had obviously had this experience in the past.

Most asset managers now communicate through proprietary websites. Offers come in electronically through email. There is not a lot of verbal communication, and fax machines aren’t being used either.

Asset managers have the power to take offers when the asking price is normal, but when an offer is unusual, then the offer must be taken to the next level.

When Mike gets a listing, he often gets the property directly from the lender, but there are also many properties that are outsourced to other companies. Some lenders have received too many REOs for their own labor force, so they have to outsource their work. Outsourcers typically use the same system as the lender.

Mike gets paid back 99 percent of the time if he follows the lenders standards. You cannot do all the work yourself. You must have staff to take on the work load of an REO agent. As an REO broker, you wear many hats, and accountant is one of them.

In 2007, lenders were openly admitting that they would list their properties with the highest broker opinion. Bruce believed that was the perfect system to fail. Lenders have now become more willing to listen to reasonable BPOs, and they often ask for multiple price opinions. Many BPOs today are being performed by inexperienced brokers who will do the work for cheap. Mike thinks this is unwise. When BPOs are done by experienced brokers, the price opinions usually come out fairly similar.

Short sales are becoming more popular right now. Mike closed a couple short sales last year, and he is doing more right now.  He does not prefer short sale deals, because those deals can often take more time than they are worth. Bruce is confounded by the length of time required to do a short sale. Short sales should not take six months to finish. The last short sale Mike finished took six weeks to close. Many short sales involve PMI companies, loan investors, servicers, and possibly an HOA law suit. You have to get all the people involved in the deal to take a loss, and that negotiation takes some time.

There is no compensation for an REO broker until he finishes the short sale. Someone getting into the short sale business could be six months away from a check for every deal they work with. If the broker cannot get someone to help with the paper work, then that short sale is not worth the time.

Mike sees REO levels increasing in 2011. These REOs will come from failed loan modifications and state programs. Short sales will probably increase as well. In the 90s, short sales were very popular, but loan servicers and investors eventually realized that it was easier just to foreclose, because then they could control the process.

Right now, if an inexperience broker attempts to perform a short sale, they often take up to six months to get the deal done. When this happens, the loan servicer will choose to have an REO.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Thank you for being a Gold Sponsor for I Survived Real Estate 2010: Adrenaline Athletics, Benton Investment Group, Community RE-Invest Group, Delmae Properties, Elite Auctions, Entrust California, Everlast Photography, Inland Empire Investors Forum, Keystone CPA, Landwood Title, Las Brisas Escrow, Leivas Financial Services, Mike Cantu, North San Diego Real Estate Investors Association, Northern California Real Estate Investors Association, Personal Real Estate Investor Magazine, Realty 411 Magazine, San Jose Real Estate Investor Association, Rick and LeeAnne Rossiter, San Jose Real Estate Investor Association, Starz Photography, Summit Solutions, Tony Alvarez, Wealth Point, and Westin South Coast Plaza.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/2/10

Tuesday, February 2nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The NAR’s index  shows that pending home sales increased by 1 percent in December. According to the MBA, commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations increased by 15 percent during the 4th quarter of 2009.  The FHA reports that borrower delinquencies increased by 6.5 percent from the previous year. Fannie Mae is offering a 3.5 percent discount to all people who buy REO properties.

In The News:

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Stabilize, Remain Above Year-Ago Levels” (2-2-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in December, increased 1.0 percent to 96.6 from 95.6 in November, and remains 10.9 percent above December 2008 when it was 87.1. In November, the monthly index had fallen by 16.4 percent from surging activity in preceding months.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“MBA Study: Originations of Commercial and Multifamily Mortgages Increased in Fourth Quarter 2009″ (2-2-10)

“Fourth quarter 2009 commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations were 12 percent higher than during the same period last year and 15 percent higher than during the third quarter of 2009, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Quarterly Survey of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations.”

Washington Post“Rising FHA default rate foreshadows a crush of foreclosures” (2-2-10)

“About 9.1 percent of FHA borrowers had missed at least three payments as of December, up from 6.5 percent a year ago, the agency’s figures show.”

Housing Wire“First American Offers Appraiser Reviews of BPOs” (2-2-10)

“First American Valuation and Property Solutions – the Dallas-based subsidiary of the First American Corporation (FAF: 30.68 +1.86%) – added appraiser reviews of broker price opinion (BPO) reports to its new property valuation offering. The move to add appraiser reviews allows firms without on-staff appraisers to outsource BPO verification operations – a trend sources say is catching on.”

Housing Wire“HUD 2011 Budget Drops to $41.6bn on Higher FHA Premiums” (2-2-10)

“The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) budget proposal for 2011 dipped 5% below the budget in 2010 to $41.6bn after raising annual Federal Housing Administration (FHA) insurance premiums by 50 bps to 2.25% earlier this month.”

Housing Wire“CMBS Performance Slides Again: Trepp” (2-2-10)

“The rate of 30-plus-day delinquency in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS)reached a new record high of 6.49% in January, according to commercial real estate data provider Trepp.”

Housing Wire - “Fannie Gives 3.5% REO Discount” (2-2-10)

“Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.02 -0.97%) will provide a 3.5% discount to those purchasing a real-estate owned (REO) property listed as part of its HomePath division, according to a company notice.”

Bloomberg - “D.R. Horton Climbs Most in 10 Months on Profit Gain” (2-2-10)

“D.R. Horton Inc., the second-largest U.S. homebuilder by revenue, climbed the most in 10 months after the company reported its first quarterly profit since 2007 on sales and profit margins that exceeded analysts’ estimates.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Vacancy Rate Increases as Banks Seize More Homes” (2-2-10)

“The homeowner vacancy rate increased to 2.7 percent from 2.6 percent in the third quarter, the U.S. Census Bureau said in a report today. There were 2.09 million empty properties on the market, up from 1.99 million, according to the report.”

Inman - “First-timers are fastest-growing segment” (2-2-10)

“First-time homebuyers not only account for the largest share of home sales in many markets, but represent the fastest-growing segment of home sales in nearly half of those markets, brokers surveyed by Inman News report. Second homes and move-up homes, on the other hand, are the most rapidly shrinking segment of their business, brokers responding to the survey said.”

Looking Back:

One year ago,  a $5 billion increase in mortgage debt investment by foreign banks was noted by Morgan Stanley. San Francisco analysts predicted that condominium prices in the SF area would significantly decrease. Obama exclaimed that he would require banks receiving bailout money to increase lending to borrowers.