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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/28/10

Monday, June 28th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Statistics from the Federal Reserve show the median borrower who ’strategically’ defaults doesn’t walk away from the mortgage until the amount owed exceeds the value of the home by 62%. McGraw-Hill Construction reports new construction starts increased 3% in April. According to CoreLogic, more than 11 million borrowers currently owe more on their mortgage than it is worth. Experian statistics show that 19 percent of all defaults in 2009 were strategic.

In The News:

Press Enterprise – “Crash opens market for luxury apartments” (6-26-10)

“While homebuilders are aiming at a more frugal consumer by cutting frills, some apartment developments in San Bernardino and Riverside counties are going upscale with features like granite countertops and hardwood floors and rents comparable to a home mortgage. The Lewis Group of Cos., an Upland-based developer of master-planned communities and apartments, figures that partly because many people have been burned by the housing crash, there is demand from prospective tenants moving out of houses who want and can afford a house-like apartment experience.”

Chicago Tribune – “Moral bankruptcy?” (6-27-10)

“Some have struggled unsuccessfully to keep their homes, and others have just walked away. Phillips decided he wanted revenge and was willing to ruin his credit record for it. When a short sale didn’t work out as planned, the 32-year-old Chicagoan opted for Chapter 7 bankruptcy liquidation, a move that will leave Phillips with little except for the scant possessions in his one-bedroom condo. It also will leave his lender, Chase, with little except for, eventually, a condo that has lost value. Meanwhile, Phillips continues to live there, mortgage-free.”

Los Angeles Times – “Undone by their dreams” (6-26-10)

“In the last four years, according to the San Bernardino County assessor’s office, 373 of the 941 single-family homes in Mission Crest — nearly 40% — have been foreclosed on. Thirty-five have gone through foreclosure more than once. Properties that once sold for nearly $400,000 are worth less than $200,000.”

Mercury News – “Santa Clara County assessor adds Web tools to help homeowners” (6-28-10)

“More than 100,000 residents will be given access to a special website — tracking home sales by neighborhood — where they can see precisely why the assessor’s office decided to assign a particular home its worth.”

Wall Street Journal – “How Far Underwater Do Borrowers Sink Before Walking Away?” (6-28-10)

“At what point do borrowers who owe more than their homes are worth decide to stop paying the mortgage? A new study from economists at the Federal Reserve Board aims to answer that question. The research found that the median borrower who ’strategically’ defaults doesn’t walk away from the mortgage until the amount owed exceeds the value of the home by 62%.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (6-28-10)

“The House Financial Services Committee issued a statement Sunday urging ‘bold action’ on the Dodd-Frank bill, the reconciled financial reform bill agreed to by a Congressional committee last week and named after Sen Christopher Dodd (D-CT) and Rep Barney Frank (D-MA). The final bill now travels to separate House and Senate votes and then, upon passage by Congress, to a Presidential signature into law.”

Housing Wire – “Surge in Nonresidential Building Boosts May Construction Starts” (6-28-10)

“New construction starts increased 3% from April to May, according to a monthly survey by McGraw-Hill Construction. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of total construction starts was $406.3bn in May, up 3% from $392,988bn in April. For the first five months of 2010, the unadjusted value of total construction starts was $162bn, down 2% from $165bn during the same period of 2009.”

Housing Wire – “The Slippery Slope of Short Sales” (6-28-10)

“More than 11 million borrowers currently owe more on their mortgage than it is worth, according to CoreLogic (CLGX: 18.11 +0.28%)—and this group of borrowers would love nothing more than to replace their current underwater mortgage with whatever the accepted ’short sale price’ is deemed to be. I don’t know that such a response on the part of borrowers could be deemed irrational, either. Many will ask themselves why they have a mortgage at a higher amount, especially if the bank is willing to sell the house to another buyer for less money.”

Housing Wire – “G20 Applauds Dodd-Frank Bill in Pushing its own Global Financial Reform” (6-28-10)

“The meeting of G20 nations concluded this weekend in Toronto with communiqués reflecting a strong support for the US financial reform, called the Dodd-Frank bill. Indeed, information released from the summit show a mix of ambitious plans for growth, mixed with further calls to reduce spending, especially among countries with higher debt burdens.”

Housing Wire – “Experian Finds 19% of Mortgage Defaults in Q209 are Strategic” (6-28-10)

“Of all mortgage delinquencies in the second quarter of 2009 (Q209), nearly one in five — or 19% — were considered strategic defaults, according to the latest study of default trends by information services firm Experian.”

Bloomberg - “Commercial Mortgages Fail to Pay as Lending Increases” (6-28-10)

“Between 50 percent and 60 percent of loans on skyscrapers, hotels, shopping malls and apartment complexes failed to refinance within a few months of their maturity date this year, Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts said in a report. That compares with 15 percent to 20 percent in 2008, according to the analysts led by Roger Lehman in New York. About $11 billion in loans, or one-third of the 2010 total, had hit their expected maturity dates through late May.”

Bloomberg - “Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Should ‘Unwind’ Portfolios, Pimco Says” (6-28-10)

“Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the housing-finance companies supported by U.S. taxpayers, should take advantage of demand for government-backed mortgage debt and sell their holdings, according to Pacific Investment Management Co. ‘Since the government’s going to want to unwind them at some point anyway, why not do it at the best levels ever?’ Scott Simon, the mortgage-bond head at Newport Beach, California-based Pimco, manager of the world’s biggest fixed- income fund, said in a telephone interview.”

Inman - “Top 10 states for pending tax credit closings” (6-28-10)

“NAR estimates as many as 180,000 homebuyers who were under contract by April 30 may miss the June 30 closing deadline. To prod lawmakers into find a way to extend the deadline, NAR released a breakdown of how many home purchases are affected in each state.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Freddie Mac estimated that sales of new and existing homes might increase to an annual pace of 5.1 million in the 3rd quarter. Real Capital Analytics forecasted that $16 billion of office transactions would be completed by the end of 2009. The number of Orange County property owners disputing their taxes jumped 23% near last year’s deadline.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/23/10

Wednesday, June 23rd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the Commerce Department, new home sales decreased by 33 percent in May. The MBA’s weekly survey shows mortgage application decreased by 5.9 percent last week. The Franchise Tax Board announced 80% of the credits for first-time home buyers program in California has been applied for. Borrowers who strategically default will be banned from obtaining new mortgages backed by Fannie Mae for seven years from the date of foreclosure.

In The News:

Associated Press – “New-home sales plunge 33 pct with tax credits gone” (6-23-10)

“Sales of new homes collapsed in May, sinking 33 percent to the lowest level on record as potential buyers stopped shopping for homes once they could no longer receive government tax credits.”

Mortgage Bankers Association - “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (6-23-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 18, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 5.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 6.0 percent compared with the previous week.”

Orange County Register – “Calif.’s first-time buyer tax credit almost gone” (6-23-10)

“Less than eight weeks after California’s home-buyer tax credits became available, nearly 80% of the credits for first-time home buyers has been applied for, the state Franchise Tax Board has announced. Meanwhile, home buyers have applied for more than $36 million of a separate $100 million tax credit program for new home sales, the state reported.”

Los Angeles Times – “California, 4 other states to get more housing aid” (6-23-10)

“The Obama administration has approved five state-designed plans to help homeowners as part of a $1.5 billion effort to assist areas slammed by the U.S. housing bust. Treasury Department officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the decisions had not yet been made public, said plans for Arizona, California, Florida, Michigan and Nevada had received approval. The states estimate that the plans are projected to help up to 93,000 homeowners. That’s a small part of the administration’s main existing $75 billion mortgage assistance program, which is widely viewed as a disappointment.”

Bloomberg - “Fannie Mae Will Deny New Loans to Homeowners Who Walk Away” (6-23-10)

“Borrowers who have the means to make mortgage payments and don’t work with lenders to restructure loans will be banned from obtaining new mortgages backed by Fannie Mae for seven years from the date of foreclosure, the company said today in a statement. Washington-based Fannie Mae, along with McLean, Virginia-based rival Freddie Mac, own or guarantee more than half of the $10.7 trillion U.S. mortgage market.”

Bloomberg - “IRS Audits Block 10% of First-Time Homebuyer Credits” (6-23-10)

“About $1.22 billion of the $12.6 billion in tax credits claimed through February were denied or frozen after audits, the report from the Treasury Department’s Inspector General for Tax Administration said. The IRS estimated that about 1.8 million taxpayers sought the benefit, which totals as much as $8,000, from the inception in April 2008.”

Realty Times – “Buyers Should Be Careful About Credit Use Prior to Closing” (6-23-10)

“Buyers and their agents need to be aware that it is a very bad idea for buyers to increase their credit balances or to open new lines of credit shortly before they close escrow on their new home. More specifically, they should avoid such activity during the period of time between loan application and closing. This is because policies under Fannie Mae’s Loan Quality Initiative, effective June 1, 2010, requires lenders to ‘refresh’ a borrower’s credit report just prior to closing.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, existing home sales increased by 2.4 percent in one month. The MBA forecasted $2.034 trillion of originations of mortgages for one- to four-family homes in 2009. U.S. home prices fell 6.8 percent in April from 2008.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/4/10

Friday, June 4th, 2010

Sources:
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/banks-have-recognized-60-of-expected-loan-charge-offs-moodys-2010-06-03
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/more-than-172000-loan-mods-completed-in-april-hope-now-2010-06-03
http://www.hopenow.com/industry-data/HOPE%20NOW%20Data%20Report%20(April)%2005-28-2010.pdf
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/bank-of-americas-principal-reduction-program-is-underway-2010-06-02
http://www.car.org/newsstand/newsreleases/1178senatevote/
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a0FzoElM6T4A&pos=2
http://www.housingwire.com/2010/06/02/freddie-mac-details-hafa-initiative-for-distressed-homeowners
http://www.housingwire.com/2010/06/02/california-set-to-vote-on-foreclosure-mediation-bill

Today’s News Synopsis:

The California Senate passed a new bill requiring mortgage servicers to notify borrowers of a right to seek options that would avoid foreclosure. Freddie Mac reports the average interest rate for 30-year FRMs increased by 0.01 percent from last week. Total U.S. non-farm payrolls grew by 431,000 in May. According to SNL Financial, the total value of foreclosed properties held by US banks reached $41.5bn in Q110.

In The News:

Housing Wire - “California Senate Passes Foreclosure Legislation” (6-4-10)

“Senate Bill (SB) 1275 requires mortgage servicers to notify borrowers of a right to seek options that would avoid foreclosure and attach an application for a loan modification or other alternatives before issuing a notice of default (NOD). Also before filing an NOD, servicers must evaluate a borrower who submits a written request for a loan modification. For those denied one, a separate letter must be mailed to the borrower informing them of the denial and reasons why.”

Housing Wire – “CoreLogic Expands Data Coverage to Reach 3,100 Counties” (6-4-10)

“CoreLogic (CLGX: 20.26 -0.39%) the data analytics group spun off by First American Financial (FAF: 13.70 -0.94%), expanded its data-set coverage to 3,100 counties, representing 99.8% of the US population. According to CoreLogic, the public record county assessor data includes land dimensions, legal descriptions, ownership, and tax and value information. The company then links the information to current and historic transaction data such as deeds, mortgages, pre-foreclosure and other involuntary liens.”

Housing Wire – “Rep Sherman Joins Call for Credit-Rating Agency Reform” (6-4-10)

“Credit-rating agencies (CRAs) are often criticized for assigning triple-A status to risk-laden securities that were ultimately written down when the underlying subprime and Alt-A mortgages defaulted. Sherman compared this practice with a baseball team picking its own umpire.”

Bloomberg - “Fannie Mae’s Duncan Says Homebuyer Tax Credit Shifted Demand” (6-4-10)

“The federal homebuyer tax credit shifted demand in the U.S. housing market without having a lasting impact on prices, according to Douglas Duncan, chief economist of Fannie Mae, the largest mortgage financier.”

Realty Times – “Transform Your Home with Home Staging” (6-4-10)

“De-clutter: I know we all accumulate lots of clutter and then get used to living with it. But really, clutter is a big distraction for buyers. Often they simply can’t imagine what the home would look like without all that clutter. So, make it easy for them. Start with a clutter-free home when you list it for sale. De-Personalize: do you want buyers spending more time looking at your personal photos or your home? Easy answer…so, put away the photos and trinkets. Besides, you’re moving…you need to pack them up anyway.”

Realty Times – “Long- and Short-Term Rates Nearly Unchanged From Last Week” (6-4-10)

“Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.79 percent with an average 0.8 point for the week ending June 3, 2010, up slightly from last week when it averaged 4.78 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.29 percent.”

Housing Wire – “Day of Swings Puts Dow Below 10,000 at Close” (6-4-10)

“The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) lost around 324 points on the day to close below 10,000, marking one of the worst daily declines all year. The fall escalated on disappointing jobs data published this morning by the Department of Labor (DOL). Total non-farm payrolls grew by 431,000 in May as the 2010 Census added 411,000 temporary employees, according to the DOL. The figures fell short of economist expectations. Private-sector employment grew by more than 41,000 in May, below analyst projections of 55,000.”

Housing Wire – “Foreclosed Properties Held by Banks Up 12.4% in Q110: SNL Financial” (6-4-10)

“Foreclosed properties held by US banks reached $41.5bn in Q110, a 12.4% increase from the previous quarter, according to data analysis firm SNL Financial. The amount of foreclosed properties jumped from $36.9bn at the end of 2009. At the end of the first quarter in 2008, that number was $11.7bn. Andrew Schukman, an analyst at SNL Financial said that the amount of one-to-four family properties in some stage of the foreclosure process (and not yet an REO) reached $78.6bn in Q110, up 9.1% from the end of last year.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, rates on 30-year home loans surged above 5 percent. Santa Maria became the latest California jurisdiction to reduce development impact fees it charges homebuilders. Economists at IHS Global Insight claimed that Orange County homes were 11% undervalued in the first quarter of 2009. Statistics from The Pew Hispanic Center showed that homeownership rates amongst minorities had climbed significantly since 1995.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/3/10

Thursday, June 3rd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Stats from Freddie Mac show the average rate for 30-year FRMs increased to 4.79 percent. Moody’s Investor Service reports commercial property values are down 42% from the peak in 2007. According to Trulia, many areas in the United States are now becoming cheaper to rent than own in. The US Department of Labor (DOL) received 10,000 fewer initial unemployment claims in the week ending May 29 than the previous week.

In The News:

Time - “The ‘Free Rent’ Approach: When Homeowners Just Stop Paying their Mortgages” (6-1-10)

“The average borrower in foreclosure has been delinquent for 438 days before actually being evicted, up from 251 days in January 2008, according to LPS Applied Analytics”

Los Angeles Times – “A foreclosure fix” (6-2-10)

“Banks foreclosed on almost 200,000 homes in California last year, and this year’s toll is expected to be even higher. State lawmakers have tried to encourage banks to do more loan modifications that help both sides, keeping borrowers in their homes while cutting lenders’ losses. Yet homeowner advocates say a serious problem remains. Overwhelmed and disorganized, lenders continue to foreclose on borrowers who are in the process of negotiating new loan terms. At a time when the market is flooded with repossessed properties, that’s just inexcusable.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Refinance Applications Increase Slightly, Purchase Applications Decline Further in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (6-2-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 28, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 0.3 percent compared with the previous week.”

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Surge Continuing” (6-2-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, rose 6.0 percent to 110.9 based on contracts signed in April, from an upwardly revised 104.6 in March, and is 22.4 percent higher than April 2009 when it was 90.6. That follows gains of 7.1 percent in March and 8.3 percent in February.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. buyers grab 56% more new homes” (6-2-10)

“Buyers signed contracts to purchase 523 new homes in Orange County during this year’s winter quarter. That’s the highest number of sales contracts for any quarter since the spring of 2008.”

Orange County Register – “Realtors fight to expand loan protections” (6-2-10)

“At issue is a proposal that would forbid lenders from seeking unpaid portions of a refinanced mortgage after a home goes through foreclosure. Currently lenders can’t do that if the loan was issued at the time the home was purchased. In a law dating to the 1930s, the homeowner’s liability is limited to the amount the lender recovers from the property at a foreclosure sale — even if that’s less than the amount owed.”

Orange County Register – “Really? Problem banks list grows to 775″ (6-2-10)

“BAD DEBT: The FDIC’s confidential list of ‘problem’ banks grew to 775 in the first quarter, with U.S. banks collapsing amid losses on residential and commercial real estate loans. EXTEND AND PRETEND: At least 25% of commercial real estate loans are doomed to foreclosure, experts in Arizona say. Another 50% could go either way.”

Mercury News – “Mortgage rates up from yearly lows, Freddie Mac says” (6-3-10)

“Rates on 30-year fixed mortgages ticked up this week from the lowest level of the year. Freddie Mac said Thursday that the average rate rose to 4.79 percent, up from 4.78 percent last week. A year ago, the rate averaged 5.29 percent.”

Wall Street Journal – “Looking for Lending” (6-3-10)

“Compared to peak prices in October 2007, commercial property values are down 42%, according to Moody’s Investors Service Inc. Price index reports compiled by Moody’s and Real Capital Analytics Inc. show that as of March 2010, the cost of industrial and office space fell 32% in the last two years. Retail space also plummeted 28%.”

Housing Wire – “REIT Activity Picks Up in 2010 After Five Year Doldrum” (6-3-10)

“In 2005, publicly traded US REITs completed 6,351 acquisitions and 2,812 dispositions, compared to 360 acquisitions and 994 dispositions in 2009. The largest decrease in acquisitions was in the retail/other sector, which declined from 1,720 in 2005 to 65 in 2009, a decrease of 96.2%. The healthcare also saw a deep decline. In that sector, there were 103 acquisitions in 2009, compared to 402 in 2005, a drop of 74.4%.”

Housing Wire – “In Some Cities, Trulia Finds It’s Now Cheaper to Rent than Own” (6-3-10)

“The top areas where house prices worked out to be more expensive than renting were New York, Seattle, Portland, and San Francisco. Omaha, Neb., Oklahoma City, Okla., and Kansas City, Mo. also cracked the top-10 list.”

Housing Wire – “Jobless Claims Ease Ahead of May Unemployment Data” (6-3-10)

“The US Department of Labor (DOL) received 10,000 fewer initial unemployment claims in the week ending May 29 than the previous week, on a seasonally adjusted basis. The news of fewer initial claims arrives a day ahead of officially updated unemployment rate figures. Economists anticipate the fragile recovery added 55,000 jobs to private sector employment and 700,000 to total non-farm payrolls in May.”

Housing Wire – “May House Prices Show Highest Increase Since 2006″ (6-3-10)

“House prices climbed 6.8% in May 2010 from last year, the largest yearly increase since July 2006, according to a report from real estate data provider Clear Capital. In June 2009, Clear Capital reported a 19.3% drop in May house prices, a ‘far cry’ from the increase shown in this report a year later, said Alex Villacorta, senior statistician at Clear Capital. The rolling quarter-over-quarter number, which measures houses prices against those three months ago showed a 1.8% decline, an improvement from the 5% drop in April.”

Housing Wire – “Delayed Mortgage Liquidation Hikes Risk of RMBS Write-Downs” (6-3-10)

“The back-loading of defaults draws out liquidation timelines, impacting the expected losses to senior tranches of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), according to Toronto-based credit rating agency DBRS. And in some cases, this raises the occurrence of write-downs by one-third, or 33%. Distressed loans move from 30 to 60 to 90-days delinquent and then follow the foreclosure timeline set forth in the appropriate state before entering REO status. Following this process, loans are liquidated from the RMBS trust.”

Housing Wire – “California Set to Vote on Foreclosure Mediation Bill” (6-3-10)

“Assembly Bill 1639 was introduced by a trio of Democratic members of the assemby — Pedro Nava (Santa Barbra), Ted Lieu (Torrance) and speaker emeritus Karen Bass (Los Angeles). If passed, the bill would establish the Facilitated Mortgage Workout (FMW) program. Through it, lenders are required to meet with borrowers to develop a modification plan before foreclosure. The loan must have originated before Jan. 1, 2009, and the home must be occupied by the borrower as a principal residence. The principal balance on the mortgage cannot exceed $729,750.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, MBA statistics showed that mortgage application volume decreased by 16 percent within one week. J.P. Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and American Express owed the government $38.4 billion. The FHA loan limit was raised to nearly $730,000 in Orange County, and was accepting 3.5% down on purchases.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/28/10

Friday, May 28th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Of the homeowners receiving foreclosure counseling through the National Foreclosure Mitigation Counseling (NFMC) program, 58% listed unemployment as the main reason for default. According to MDA DataQuick, Sales of both new and resale houses and condominiums were down 1.3 percent year-over-year. Weekly claims for unemployment insurance have now failed to improve for five straight months. Web searches for rental properties have increased by 45 percent from April 2009.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “Stewart Lender Services Sees Loss Mitigation Business Jump Ten-Fold” (5-28-10)

“Houston-based Stewart Lender Services (SLS), a wholly owned subsidiary of Stewart Title Company, is disclosing that business in its loss-mitigation departments increased ten-fold in the last 18 months. In a conversation with HousingWire, the company reported processing more than 725,000 troubled mortgage loans and generated more than 1m lines of outreach to delinquent borrowers in the past year.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Clarifies Mortgage Insurance Standards for Loan Purchases” (5-28-10)

“In updating its requirements on finance mortgage insurance for loans it purchases, Fannie introduced the concept of a ‘prepaid mortgage insurance transaction,’ in which the borrower finances all or part of the premium and monthly escrows into the loan amount of a refinance. In this case, the mortgage insurance coverage amount is based on the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio after all closing costs and mortgage insurance are included in the loan amount.”

Housing Wire – “NeighborWorks Finds Unemployment Drives Most Mortgage Defaults” (5-28-10)

“Of the homeowners receiving foreclosure counseling through the National Foreclosure Mitigation Counseling (NFMC) program, 58% listed unemployment as the main reason for default.”

Housing Wire – “Home Builders Quick to Praise Proposed Government-Backed Construction Loans” (5-28-10)

“The Government Printing Office has yet to publicly forward a copy of HR 5409, but the bill, which seeks to establish a construction loan guarantee program for residential builders, is already gaining support from the trade body representing the industry.”

Inman - “Agents sell more higher-priced homes in California” (5-28-10)

“Real estate professionals in California sold slightly fewer homes in April than they did a year ago, according to a report by real estate data company MDA DataQuick. Sales of both new and resale houses and condominiums were down 1.3 percent year-over-year, to an estimated 37,481 units. That a 0.5 percent increase from March, however. The median price for a home in the Golden State stayed flat month-to-month at $255,000, but was a 15.4 percent increase from April 2009.”

Inman - “Low rates won’t fix economy” (5-28-10)

“Nothing has changed in the fundamentals behind the rate decline, certainly not in Europe. U.S. manufacturing has enjoyed temporary inventory rebuilding and export sales (April orders for durable goods soared 2.9 percent), but the overall economy is more ‘L’ than ‘U.’ April personal spending was flat, and weekly claims for unemployment insurance have now failed to improve for five straight months.”

Inman - “Hitwise: Rental sites gaining ground” (5-28-10)

“Popular search terms indicate that consumer interest in rentals is growing, according to a webinar presentation by Web metrics firm Experian Hitwise. The firm’s data indicates that despite recent upticks in home sales, real estate-related searches fell 22 percent year-over-year in April — the 11th straight month of year-over-year declines, the firm said. For the past 10 months, however, searches related to rentals have been increasing. In a custom real estate website category for rentals (excluding vacation rentals), searches climbed 45 percent year-over-year in April, the firm said. Heather Dougherty, the company’s director of research, gave the presentation.”

Orange County Register – “VACATION RECOVERY” (5-28-10)

“Even in a damaged market, the vacation rental industry is making a rebound this season, with demand up in Orange County beach cities and more homes available to rent than last year. The National Association of Realtors reported recently that the vacation home market is mending its wounds – sales are up 8 percent nationwide, according to an investment and vacation home buyers survey.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties was 8.22 percent. New home sales increased 0.3 percent to an annual pace of 352,000. C.A.R. reported a 49 percent increase in California home sales in April 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/12/10

Friday, February 12th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

California Senator Roy Ashburn has proposed new legislation to extend the home buying tax credit. According to CAR, 64 percent of households can afford to buy an entry-level home in California. The Federal Reserve reports that the total U.S. equity increased by nearly $1 trillion from the recession’s nadir in the first quarter of 2009. Statistics from NAR show that existing home sales increased by 13.9% in Q4 of 2009.

In The News:

Recordnet.com – “More tax credits may be on the horizon” (2-12-10)

“A second round of tax credits may become available to 20,000 California home buyers before summer arrives. State Sen. Roy Ashburn, R-Bakersfield, has introduced legislation that would provide $200 million worth of $10,000 tax credits to buyers of both new and resale homes.”

CAR - “Fourth quarter housing affordability” (2-12-10)

“The percentage of households that could afford to buy an entry-level home in California remained at 64 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009, compared with 61 percent (revised) for the same period a year ago, according to a report released today by the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.).”

Los Angeles Times – “30-year fixed mortgages dip below 5% again” (2-12-10)

“Average interest rates for traditional 30-year fixed mortgages have fallen below 5% again, Freddie Mac said Thursday. The giant mortgage buyer’s weekly survey, conducted Monday through Wednesday, pegs the average rate nationally at 4.97%, with 0.7% of the loan balance on average paid in upfront charges, or points.”

Washington Post – “Good real estate news: Home equity is rising again” (2-12-10)

“According to the Fed’s most recent “flow of funds” survey, homeowners’ net equity grew by nearly $1 trillion from the recession’s nadir in the first quarter of 2009 through the third quarter. From June 30 to Sept. 30, net equity rose by $418 billion.”

Housing Wire – “Existing Sales Volume Narrows Home Price Declines” (2-12-10)

“Existing-home sales, including single-family and condo, jumped 13.9% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.03m in the Q409 from 5.29m in the Q309, and are 27.2% above the 4.74m-unit level in the Q408, NAR reported, adding distressed properties accounted for 32% of Q409 transactions, down from 37% a year ago. The improvement comes after sales plummeted in December to close out the year.”

Housing Wire – “Citi Pilots New Foreclosure Alternative Across 6 States” (2-12-10)

“CitiMortgage, the servicing arm of Citigroup (C: 3.18 -0.93%), will pilot a new Foreclosure Alternatives Program that allows distressed borrowers to stay in their homes an additional six months in exchange for the deed.”

Housing Wire – “Commercial Real Estate Woes Will Cost Banks $300bn: COP” (2-12-10)

“Financial institutions could face $300bn in losses related to commercial real estate in 2011 and beyond, putting smaller banks at the most risk, according to a report from the Congressional Oversight Panel (COP). Congress established COP in October 2008 to oversee the spending of the $700bn from the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). Between 2010 and 2014, the Panel found that $1.4trn in commercial real estate will mature, and almost half are currently underwater.”

Bloomberg - “AIG Decides to Keep Unprofitable Mortgage Insurer” (2-12-10)

“American International Group Inc., the insurer divesting assets to repay a government bailout, opted to keep its money-losing U.S. mortgage guarantor after selling Canadian and Israeli subsidiaries of the unit.”

Bloomberg - “Fannie, Freddie Spreads Narrowest in 17 Years: Credit Markets” (2-12-10)

“Traders are driving relative yields on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage bonds that most influence the interest rates consumers pay to the lowest in 17 years, speculating cash the companies use to buy delinquent loans will be recycled back into the securities. The difference between yields on Fannie Mae’s current- coupon 30-year securities, which trade closest to face value, and 10-year Treasuries narrowed 0.01 percentage point today to 0.66 percentage point as of 11:10 a.m. in New York, matching the lowest since 1992, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/9/10

Tuesday, February 9th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Altera Real Estate foresees significant improvement in the Orange County real estate market. According to IAS, national home prices have returned to 2004 levels. Forecasters from iEmergent expect approximately $580 billion in mortgage refinancing during 2010.

In The News:

Orange County Register – “Housing market warming along south coast?” (2-9-10)

“Steven Thomas of Altera Real Estate claims in his latest biweekly report that this is the strongest demand has looked in Orange County’s real estate market since 2005.”

Housing Wire – “Pulte Posts Loss Despite $917m Tax Refund” (2-9-10)

“Pulte Homes (PHM: 11.08 -0.45%) posted a net loss of $117m, $0.31 per share, in Q409, even though it will receive a $917m tax refund later this year. The Michigan-based homebuilder said $800m of the tax refund comes from the extension of the net operating loss (NOL) carryback allowance”

Housing Wire – “New Program Rewards Current Mortgage Borrowers” (2-9-10)

“if a borrower has a $200,000 mortgage and the value dropped to $150,000, a bank using the RH Reward program could give a $25,000 incentive to the borrower if the borrower remains current. How that reward is monetized depends on the borrower.”

Housing Wire – “December Drop Brings IAS Index Back to 2004 Levels” (2-9-10)

“The index is a county-level measure of median sales price of single-family residences in five US Census Bureau regions, nine Census divisions and 360 counties. After five months of declines, the index is now 5.3% below its 2008 level. In 2008, the index declined 11.7% from its 2007 level. The index is now at a level last seen in mid-2004, IAS said.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Financing Poised to Drop in 2010: iEmergent” (2-9-10)

“Mortgage volumes in 2010 will not reach the same levels as 2009 as the slide toward the collapse-curve bottom continues, according to iEmergent, the market research and advisory firm for the financial services industry. The firm projects the purchase-to-refinancing ratio will reach a 49% to 51% split in 2010. Forecasters predict between $531bn and $643bn in refinancing volume in 2010. Refinance volumes will be less than half of 2009 levels, and lenders relying on those transactions in 2009 will be at a great risk in 2010, according to the report.”

Wall Street Journal – “No Exit in Sight for U.S. As Fannie, Freddie Flail” (2-9-10)

“Nearly a year and a half after the outbreak of the global economic crisis, many of the problems that contributed to it haven’t yet been tamed. The U.S. has no system in place to tackle a failure of its largest financial institutions. Derivatives contracts of the kind that crippled American International Group Inc. still trade in the shadows. And investors remain heavily reliant on the same credit-ratings firms that gave AAA ratings to lousy mortgage securities.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, two thirds of Americans expressed support for the $15,000 first time home buyer program, which the senate was considering. The MBA expected $171 billion in mortgages to mature in 2009. A government official announced plans to buy troubled assets.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/11/09

Friday, December 11th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

Mark Greene of FICO forecasts that credit-card and mortgage defaults will increase during the next six months. Former director of the FHFA James B. Lockhart III, claims that the housing downturn may not be finished. Statistics from both Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings show that the default rate for CMBS increased during November.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Comment on Passage of Regulatory Reform” (12-11-09)

“Regrettably, the House moved forward and passed a bill that could adversely impact borrowers and lenders alike. By not creating a uniform, national regulatory standard, the bill continues the conflicting and confusing patchwork of state and local laws that result in increased costs for borrowers.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage ‘Cram-Down’ Amendment Fails in U.S. House” (12-11-09)

“The U.S. House rejected a mortgage ‘cram-down’ amendment that would have given federal judges the power to lengthen mortgage terms, cut interest rates and reduce loan balances for homeowners in bankruptcy court. Lawmakers voted 241-188 today against the amendment, which was to be part of broader legislation reining in excessive risk taking on Wall Street. All but four of the Republicans who voted opposed the amendment, pulling with them 71 Democrats to defeat the measure.”

Bloomberg - “Defaults to Rise as Credit Issues Remain, Greene Says” (12-11-09)

“The next six months will bring more credit-card and mortgage defaults, said Mark Greene, chief executive officer of FICO, maker of the credit-scoring formula most widely used by U.S. lenders.”

Bloomberg - “Lockhart Says Housing May Take ‘Another Leg Down’” (12-11-09)

“James B. Lockhart III, vice chairman of WL Ross & Co. and the former director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, said the U.S. housing decline may not be over. Lockhart said at a conference in New York that he’s concerned there may be ‘another leg down’ because of the pace of foreclosures. Foreclosures will ’spike’ unless the Obama administration’s programs to spur home loan modifications do more to reduce homeowners’ debts, he said.”

Housing Wire – “CMBS Delinquency Jumps Most in November: Moody’s” (12-11-09)

“The delinquency rate among US commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) jumped in November, according to separate surveys by Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings. Moody’s saw a 46bps increase over last month’s delinquency rate — the largest monthly increase of the current downturn — bringing CMBS conduit and fusion loans to 4.47% delinquent.”

Inman - “Feds: BofA lagging in loan mods” (12-11-09)

“Bank of America — which has more mortgages eligible for the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) than any other participating loan servicer — continues to lag behind the industry average in modifying troubled borrowers’ loans, according to the latest report from the Treasury Department. Through the end of November, Bank of America had made trial or permanent modifications on only 14 percent of the estimated 1 million HAMP-eligible loans it’s servicing that were delinquent by 60 days or more, the Treasury Department said”

Realty Times – “Short Sales May Rise Due to New Government Incentives” (12-11-09)

“‘The push right now is for servicers to avoid foreclosure and the push is coming not only from The Obama administration and the Treasury but also from the owners of the loans such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. And the focus right now is on short sales. So, I think in 2010, you’re going to see a lot more short sales and hopefully reduced foreclosures,’ says Travis Hamel Olsen, chief operating officer of Loan Resolution Corporation.”

In The News:

One year ago, Bank of America announced plans to cut 30,000 to 35,000 jobs.  U.S. Regulator James Lockhart claimed that mortgage rates would fall below 4 percent. An estimated forecast from UCLA showed that home-price declines since 2006 had amounted to $4.5 trillion.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/04/09

Friday, December 4th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

The unemployment rate declined to 10 percent during November. As of September, less than 0.3 percent of all trial modifications have become permanent. The FDIC announced plans that may require some lenders to make principal reductions on mortgages, rather than forbearing payment and reducing interest rates.

In The News:

Wall Street Journal – “Unemployment Rate Falls to 10%” (12-4-09)

“U.S. job losses in November posted the smallest drop since the start of the recession and the unemployment rate unexpectedly declined, a sign the labor market is finally healing as the economy recovers.”

Time - “Why the Loan-Modification Program Isn’t Working” (12-4-09)

“The problem the Administration is out to tackle is related to the structure of the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). The first three months of a mortgage rewrite are something of a probation period— and very few homeowners are making it out of that trial. More than 650,000 borrowers have been placed in trial modifications, but as of September, fewer than 2,000 had become permanent.”

Housing Wire – “Moody’s Links Option ARM, Subprime Performance” (12-4-09)

“More than $200bn of outstanding pay-option adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) originated and securitized from ‘04-’07, according to market commentary by Moody’s Investors Service this week. This sector shows ‘dismal’ performance, with more than 40% of borrowers 60 or more days past due on payments. And many of these loans have yet to experience a recast event, when initial minimum monthly payments jump as much as 60%, according to sources interviewed by HousingWire for an upcoming issue.”

Housing Wire – “Forget Forbearance; FDIC Eyes Principal Forgiveness” (12-4-09)

“Institutions that acquire failed banks taken over by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) may soon be required to cut principal off mortgages instead of simply forbearing a portion until a later day or lowering interest rates, according to comments and FDIC official made to Bloomberg this week. The principal forgiveness might apply to as much as $45bn of mortgages from failed banks. Regulators so far in 2009 shut down 124 banks, costing the FDIC’s insurance fund billions of dollars and putting billions more in assets up for acquisition.”

Housing Wire – “Foreclosure Activity Outpaces Mods in October: Hope Now” (12-4-09)

“The mortgage servicing industry completed 271,563 total loan workouts in October, according to Hope Now, the private sector alliance of mortgage servicers, investors, insurers and non-profit counselors. Workouts included 198,373 repayment plans and 73,190 modifications. At the same time, the industry completed 94,450 foreclosure sales and initiated another 222,107 foreclosure starts.”

Press Enterprise - “Low interest rates are no panacea for region’s housing” (12-4-09)

“Inland experts say a shortage of inventory is suppressing sales of existing homes. Also, the high cost of land that home builders acquired makes it impossible for most of them to construct houses that can sell cheaply enough to compete with the foreclosure-ridden resale market.”

Mercury News – “Now’s really the time to buy a home, many say” (12-4-09)

“Mortgage rates are hovering at historic lows, home prices are just starting to edge up from total collapse, and the government is offering tax breaks to first-time and move-up buyers. It all adds up to this: In the real estate agent’s overworked phrase, there may never be a better time to buy a house. And this might not last for long, brokers and real estate agents say, especially since mortgage rates are probably headed up.”

Inman - “Buyer discounts continue slide” (12-4-09)

“For the ninth month this year, buyer discounts — the price paid compared to the last listing price of homes — shrank in October to a median of 2.7 percent, according to Zillow’s Real Estate Market Reports. That’s down from 2.9 percent in September and 4.6 percent in January.”

Bloomberg - “Banks Take Losses on Short Sales as Foreclosures Soar” (12-4-09)

“Banks are beginning to go along with short sales in increasing numbers, three years into a U.S. housing slump that pushed the economy into a recession and cut resale values by 30 percent from the peak in July 2006. Short sales almost tripled to 40,000 in the first six months of 2009 from the same period a year earlier. Yet for each short sale, there were 25 foreclosures started or completed in the first half of this year, according to data from the Office of Thrift Supervision and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. ”

Looking Back

One year ago, a little over 42,293 new and resale houses and condos were sold for the year. Orange County was listed as the 9th riskiest home lending market. Bernanke estimated that as many as 20 percent of all homeowners owed more on their homes than their homes were worth.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/03/09

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

Fannie Mae increased its minimum borrower credit score to 620.  According to Lender Processing Services, loans are deteriorating 3 times faster than they are being approved. The average interest rate for 30-year, fixed rate mortgages declined to 4.7%

In The News:

Housing Wire – “Fannie Raises Minimum Credit Score to 620″ (12-3-09)

“As the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) considers raising the minimum credit score requirement for new borrowers to reduce risks to the single-family insurance fund, Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.90 -2.17%) has increased the minimum borrower credit score from 580 to 620.”

Housing Wire – “Bill Ends Financial Bailouts as BofA Plans TARP Exit” (12-3-09)

“The House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday passed HR 3996, which aims to put an end to financial firms considered too big to fail and prevent future taxpayer-funded bailouts by requiring institutions to pay into a ‘dissolution fund.’”

Housing Wire – “Loans Deteriorate 3 to 1 in October: LPS” (12-3-09)

“For every loan approved, three more loans are deteriorating, according to Lender Processing Services’ (LPS: 41.18 -0.79%) November monitor report.”

Housing Wire – “Weekly Mortgage Rates Reach Record Lows: Freddie” (12-3-09)

“The average interest rate for 30-year and 15-year fixed-rate mortgages (FRM) reached a new record low, according to Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.09 0.00%). Freddie Mac’s weekly survey of mortgage rates put the 30-year FRM at 4.71% with an average 0.7 point, down from last week, when the rate of 4.78% tied the previous all-time record low.”

Bloomberg - “General Growth Aim to Keep Top Malls May Thwart Simon” (12-3-09)

“General Growth Properties Inc. plans to emerge from bankruptcy without selling its best-performing shopping malls after reaching agreement with lenders, a strategy that may thwart the acquisition ambitions of competitor Simon Property Group Inc. General Growth rose as much as 11 percent.”

Bloomberg - “Toll Net Loss Widens as Revenue Falls More Than Costs” (12-3-09)

“Toll Brothers Inc., the largest U.S. luxury-home builder, reported a bigger-than-expected loss in the fourth quarter after revenue fell faster than costs. The shares dropped the most since February. The net loss for the three months ended Oct. 31 widened to $111 million, or 68 cents a share, from $79 million, or 49 cents, a year earlier, the Horsham, Pennsylvania-based company said today in a statement. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg predicted a loss of 44 cents a share, according to the average of 11 estimates.”

Bloomberg - “Silvia Says Many Fired U.S. Workers Will Not Find New Jobs” (12-3-09)

“The job market is still deteriorating and unemployment will probably keep rising even as the U.S. economy recovers, Silvia said, projecting the jobless rate will peak at 10.6 percent. The economy has lost 7.3 million jobs since the downturn began in December 2007, and unemployment reached a 26- year of 10.2 percent in October, according to figures from the Labor Department. ”

Orange County Register – “How much ‘hot’ inventory in south coast cities?” (12-3-09)

“the coastal city with the most affordable inventory for sale is San Clemente with Dana Point in second and Laguna Beach at at very distant third.”

Orange County Register - “O.C. homebuilding at historic slow pace” (12-3-09)

“Builders took out permits for just 1,777 new housing units in O.C. through October — the lowest number in data going back to 1946 (10-month totals were estimated for 1946-87).”

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