According to SiteSelection, California is experiencing a loss in total migration. FHA will now permit lenders to give more borrowers refinanced loans backed by the government. Trepp reports the delinquency rate for commercial mortage-backed securities increased to 8.92%. Zillow claims mortgage rates increased to 4.27% last week.

In The News:

Telegraph - “No defence left against double-dip recession, says Nouriel Roubini” (9-5-10)

“Dr Roubini said the US growth rate was likely to fall below 1pc in the second half of the year, despite the biggest stimulus in history: a cut in interest rates from 5pc to zero, a budget deficit of 10pc of GDP, and $3 trillion to shore up the financial system.”

Philly - “U.S. housing value down at least $4 trillion” (9-5-10)

“Since the real estate boom ground to a painful close about 31/2 years ago, the nation’s housing stock has shed from about $4 trillion to $7.1 trillion in value. The amount depends on who’s counting. A study by Equifax Inc. and Moody’s Analytics Inc. says the downturn began in early 2007 and cost $4 trillion through March. The Federal Reserve says the downturn began in the fourth quarter of 2006 and cost $7.1 trillion through March.”

CNBC - “Housing Woes Bring New Cry: Let Market Crash” (9-5-10)

“When prices are lower, these experts argue, buyers will pour in, creating the elusive stability the government has spent billions upon billions trying to achieve. ‘Housing needs to go back to reasonable levels,’ said Anthony B. Sanders, a professor of real estate finance at George Mason University.”

Orange County Register – “More people leave California than arrive” (9-5-10)

“In California, the number of outbound moves by the 700 or so moving companies in the movers.com network increased 10.3%, while incomers rose 9.4%. In terms of population changes, New York lost 33% more people than it gained, while Texas gained 50% more people than moved out, SiteSelection says.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “Gov’t launches plan to help ‘underwater’ borrowers” (9-7-10)

“Starting Tuesday, the Federal Housing Administration will permit lenders to give these borrowers refinanced loans backed by the government. The lenders will be required to forgive at least 10 percent of the original mortgage amount. Investors who have control over the mortgages as part of their large portfolios will select which borrowers are invited to participate.”

Housing Wire - “Bank deposit balances shrink for first time since ‘92″ (9-7-10)

“For the first time since 1992, bank deposit balances fell in the first half of the year. Deposits decreased 0.4% for the six months between January and June to $7.69 trillion from nearly $7.7 trillion, and the yields on the deposits fell to less than 1%, according to analysis from Market Rates Insight.”

Housing Wire – “Credit score gaps narrow for FHA loans: Quality Mortgage Services” (9-7-10)

“The credit score gap for 2010 loans through the Federal Housing Administration fell 43 points from 2006 levels, according to Quality Mortgage Services. The mortgage quality-control services firm said its data show the average credit score of FHA loans ranked as excellent in 2006 was 665 whereas the average score of a loan ranked fair was 603 for a gap of 62 points. For FHA loans originated so far this year, the firm’s data show excellent loans have average credit scores of 707 while fair loans average scores are 688 for a difference of 19 points.”

Housing Wire – “New Fed limits on yield spread premium protects mortgage servicers from defaults: Moody’s” (9-7-10)

“The new restriction prohibits a loan originator’s compensation (similar to a commission) from being based on a yield spread premium; effectively, the difference between the interest rate required by a lender and the rate the borrower actually accepts. It is essentially another another step towards borrower protection, just as Fannie Mae’s prohibition on appraisal cutting became effective last week.”

Housing Wire – “CMBS delinquencies accelerate toward 9% in August: Trepp” (9-7-10)

“After two months of moderated growth in delinquent loans backing commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), the delinquency rate in August increased 21 basis points to 8.92%, according to the analytics firm Trepp. It’s an increase from the 8.71% measured in July and another new record. The August delinquency rate is more than double the 4.03% rate a year ago. Since the beginning of 2010, the delinquency rate has increased more than 200 bps.”

Housing Wire – “Zillow: 30-year, fixed rate inched up to 4.27% last week” (9-7-10)

“The 30-year, fixed mortgage rate inched up last week to 4.27% from its nadir of 4.26% the week prior, according to the Zillow Mortgage Marketplace weekly update. California’s current rate of 4.26% is down from 4.28% last week and 4.3% the week prior.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. on track for fewest mortgages in a decade” (9-7-10)

“The Pomona-based Real Estate Research Council of Southern California reported that the number of loans issued to buy or refinance Orange County homes fell 23% to 46,195 during the first half of 2010. In the first half of 2009, lenders recorded just over 60,000 ‘trust deeds,’ or home loans.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, nearly one-third of those who obtained home loans during the boom years of 2005 and 2006 couldn’t get one. The eight-county Sacramento region counted more than 42,000 foreclosures from 2007 to 2009. A report showed that 20 percent of Californians were unemployed.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Today’s News Synopsis:

Fannie Mae will fine loan servicers who take too long to complete foreclosures after a borrower fails to qualify for a modification. The total value of all California properties fell 1.8% this year to $4.4 trillion. The Labor Department reports the federal employment got rid of 121,000 jobs in August.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “Most GSE capital reductions due to single-family credit guarantee” (9-3-10)

“The first Conservator’s Report on the Enterprises’ Financial Condition from the Federal Housing Finance Agency showed the single-family credit guarantee programs accounted for 73% of the capital reduction. Although declines in housing prices and prolonged economic weakness have hurt credit performance of traditional mortgages, as well, the FHFA said.”

Inman - “Fannie cracks the foreclosure whip” (9-3-10)

“Fannie Mae says it will begin fining loan servicers who take too long to complete foreclosures once it’s been determined that delinquent borrowers don’t qualify for a loan modification or other alternatives like short sales”

Los Angeles Times – “Value of California’s properties falls 1.8% to $4.4 trillion” (9-3-10)

“The value of all types of properties fell 1.8% this year to $4.4 trillion, the California Board of Equalization reported Thursday. The total value fell 2.4% last year.”

Housing Wire - “Another homebuyer tax credit won’t solve economic crisis” (9-3-10)

“Whether a policy is deemed a success or not depends on what it intends to achieve. If the Obama administration hoped that the first homebuyer tax credit, which ran from January 2009 to April this year, would provide a temporary kick to home sales, then let’s break out the ticker tape. Over this period, total home sales increased by 27%, from an annualized 4.9 million to 6.2 million. Of course, not all of these extra sales were due to the tax credit; some homes were brought without the credit while others would have been purchased regardless. Nonetheless, the credit did temporarily boost sales.”

Housing Wire – “August nonfarm payrolls shed 54,000 jobs” (9-3-10)

“Nonfarm payroll employment for August came in below analysts’ estimates, as 54,000 jobs were lost during the month, and the unemployment level rose slightly to 9.6%. The Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics reported federal employment shed another 121,000 jobs in August, including 114,000 temporary Census workers many of whom continue to trudge back to the ranks of the unemployed.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA’s second quarter survey shows the delinquency rate for mortgage loans on residential properties dropped to 9.85 percent. Freddie Mac reports that interest rates have dropped AGAIN to 4.36%. According to CoreLogic, 23 percent of residential homes with mortgages were in negative equity at the end of the 2nd quarter. Barclays Capital claims existing home sales decreased 30% last month.

In The News:

NAR - “Commercial Real Estate Remains Soft but Favors Business Expansion” (8-26-10)

“The SIOR index, measuring 10 variables, rose 2.8 percentage points to 41.0 in the second quarter, but remains well below a level of 100 that represents a balanced marketplace.  This is the third consecutive quarterly improvement after nearly three years of decline; the last time the commercial market was in equilibrium at the 100 level was in the third quarter of 2007.”

MBA - “Delinquencies and Foreclosure Starts Decrease in Latest MBA National Delinquency Survey” (8-26-10)

“The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties dropped to a seasonally adjusted rate of 9.85 percent of all loans outstanding as of the end of the second quarter of 2010, a decrease of 21 basis points from the first quarter of 2010, and an increase of 61 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased two basis points to 9.40 percent this quarter from 9.38 percent last quarter.”

Los Angeles Times – “Home loan rates drop yet again to record low” (8-26-10)

“Freddie Mac said rates for both 30-year and 15-year fixed mortgages dropped for the ninth time in the past 10 weeks. The mortgage giant’s weekly survey said the average rate that lenders were offering on the 30-year loan was 4.36% during the week that ended Thursday, down from 4.42% a week earlier and 5.14% a year ago. Borrowers would have paid 0.7% of the loan amount in upfront lender fees.”

Housing Wire – “Ranks of Underwater Borrowers Decline, Thanks to Foreclosure” (8-26-10)

“The number of Americans that owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth declined during the second quarter of 2010, but not because home prices have improved. Instead, according to a new report, increased foreclosures have helped flush underwater borrowers out of the nation’s housing markets. According to a report from information services provider CoreLogic (CLGX: 17.77 +0.28%) released Thursday morning, 11 million — or 23% — of all residential properties with mortgages were in a negative equity position at the end of the second quarter.”

Housing Wire – “Amherst Sees HARP Failing Over Fees” (8-26-10)

“The Home Affordable Refinance Program, which started early last year, was supposed to ’solve the key inhibitor to many borrowers refinancing in our current housing market – negative equity,’ the research firm’s MBS strategy group said in its most-recent mortgage insight report. However, high levels of due diligence and onerous fees for borrowers mean that those who should get the refi, likely won’t.”

Housing Wire – “Fed Buys $1.41bn of Treasuries” (8-26-10)

“The Federal Reserve purchased $1.41 billion of Treasury debt Thursday, including $1.14 billion of notes maturing in November 2021.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mac Mortgage Purchases and Issuances Fall in July, 2010 Total Pushes $207bn” (8-26-10)

“Mortgage purchases and issuance at government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) Freddie Mac fell to nearly $28.4bn, from $30.9bn in June — bringing the year-to-date totally to $207.4bn so far in 2010. Refinance-loan purchase and guarantee volume at Freddie fell to $18.1bn in July, from $19.1bn in June, according to the firm’s monthly volume summary (download here). The aggregate unpaid principal balance of the GSE’s mortgage-related investments decreased by $13.6bn.”

Housing Wire – “Barclays Capital Expects Home Prices to Dip Another 7%” (8-26-10)

“Existing home sales plummeted 30% in July after the homebuyer tax credit brought forward 300,000 to 600,000 of housing demand, assuming 4 million homes sell annually, according to research today from Barclays Capital.”

Housing Wire – “Weekly Initial Jobless Claims Down 6.1% to 473,000″ (8-26-10)

“The Labor Department said Thursday that seasonally-adjusted initial claims slid to 473,000 last week, down from an upwardly revised 504,000 for the previous week. Briefing.com consensus had expected claims to drop to 485,000.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR reported nearly one-third of all existing homes sales were either short sales or foreclosures. Home sales in July 2009 increased by 30 percent from January 2009. Office space availability increased in the second quarter of 2009 in Orange County.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The MBA’s weekly survey shows that mortgage loan application volume increased by 4.9%. The Commerce Department reported new homes sales decreased 12.4% in July. According to Zillow, most Western states experienced a decrease in 20-year mortgage rates last week. California’s 30-year rate decreased to 4.30%.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association - “Mortgage Refinance Applications Continue to Increase as Rates Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (8-25-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 20, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 4.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 4.5 percent compared with the previous week”

Washington Post – “New home sales hit lowest level” (8-25-10)

“The Commerce Department reported Wednesday that new homes sold in July at an annual rate of 276,000, down 12.4 percent from June and down 32.4 percent compared with the same time last year”

Housing Wire – “Dow Closes Down Nearly 134 Points Following Bad Housing Data” (8-25-10)

“The American stock markets closed lower today following the news of homes sales dropping a staggering 27%. Stocks of big banks that have large mortgage-finance operations such as Citigroup (C: 3.68 -0.81%), Bank of America (BAC: 12.63 -0.08%), Wells Fargo (WFC: 23.4907 -0.63%) and JPMorgan (JPM: 36.179 -0.09%) closed lower despite doing large amounts of trading volume, according to the New York Stock Exchange”

Housing Wire – “Zillow: Rate on 30-Year Mortgage Remains Flat on Average” (8-25-10)

“Most western states saw a decline in rates: California’s current rate of 4.3% is down from 4.33% last week; Colorado’s at 4.17% is down from 4.19%; Washington’s at 4.29% is down from 4.33%; Illinois’ at 4.24% is down from 4.3%, and Florida’s at 4.2% is down from 4.21%.”

Housing Wire – “Deutsche Bank Summarizes Future of GSEs, Government Guarantee” (8-25-10)

“Key elements included re-launching of the MBS guarantee business backed by catastrophe insurance from the US government. This guarantee would implicitly serve as a backstop to the TBA pass-through market. In a panel with investors in the space, both of these aspects were considered key to maintaining adequate liquidity at the GSEs.”

Housing Wire – “House Prices Begin to Climb, Up 0.9% in Q2 in FHFA Index” (8-25-10)

“The agency said its second quarter HPI – calculated using information from mortgages acquired by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac – rose 0.9% on a seasonally adjusted basis from the prior quarter, yet fell 1.6% from the year ago. Still, prices of other goods and services in the second quarter were 3% higher than the year earlier. This puts the second quarter inflation-adjusted home price about 4.4% higher than last year, according to the FHFA.”

Housing Wire - “Americans Continue to Deleverage with Credit Card Debt Below $5k per Person” (8-25-10)

“The average national credit card borrower debt slid downward for the fifth consecutive quarter by 4.1% to $4,951, marking the first time the average has been below $5,000 since 2002, according to a report released today by TransUnion. This, coupled with the fact the national credit card delinquency rate for borrowers 90-plus days delinquent plummeted to 0.92% in Q210 (down 17.1% from the first quarter and 21.3% from last year) suggests that borrowers are saving more and spending more responsibly.”

Orange County Register – “Thinking of a refi? Tips for borrowers” (8-25-10)

“This summer’s bout of falling mortgage rates has sparked yet another frenzy of homeowners looking to refinance their loans. Now could be a good time to do it, too, with interest rates at their lowest in decades — lower than in 2001, lower than in 2003 and even lower than in 2004, when we last told you rates were at record lows. They’re lower now.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. housing risk 9th highest in U.S.” (8-25-10)

“Orange County home prices have 99.7% chance of price loss in two years, or by the winter of 2012. PMI Group doesn’t say how big of a price drop that would be, so the declines could be small or large. Nationwide, the average risk for price drops was 51.9% — down from 53.8% the previous quarter.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the CAR reported Home sales increased 12 percent in July in California. Nationally home prices fell 6.1 percent in the second quarter from 2008, claimed the FHFA.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Statistics from MDA DataQuick show 18,946 new and resale homes were sold in Southern California in July. Frank Nothaft of Freddie Mac announced that refinancing activity has accounted for over 80% of conventional loan activity. National housing starts increased by 7.1 percent last month, according to the NAHB. The MBA expressed concerns that recent policy changes restricting seller concessions went too far and may damage the industry.

In The News:

DQNews - “Southern California Home Sales and Median Price Dip in July” (8-17-10)

“A total of 18,946 new and resale homes were sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties in July. That was down 20.6 percent from 23,871 in June, and down 21.4 percent from 24,104 for July 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

NAHB - “Housing Starts Rise 1.7 Percent in July” (8-17-10)

“Nationwide housing starts inched up 1.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 546,000 units in July from a downwardly revised figure in the previous month, according to U.S. Commerce Department figures released today. The gain occurred entirely on the multifamily side, with single-family housing production falling 4.2 percent to 432,000 units.”

Housing Wire – “MBA Prefers FHA Seller Concessions Lowered to 4%” (8-17-10)

“In a letter to the US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), the MBA said its members urge the federal agency ‘to ensure policies do not reach too far and needlessly discourage home buying at a time when the housing market is still fragile.’ Last month, HUD announced possible policy changes within the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) aimed at boosting capital reserves. The changes include reducing the limit on seller concessions to 3% from 6%; using a FICO credit score of 500 as a minimum for consideration in FHA programs; and lowering the maximum loan-to-value to 90% for all borrowers with credit scores less than 580.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Mae Sees Housing Activity Flat in 2H” (8-17-10)

“The GSE also said continued uncertainty and a slower-than-normal recovery points to overall GDP growth of 2.5% for the rest of the year. In July, analysts at Fannie Mae’s economics and mortgage market analysis group projected growth of 2.8%, which was down from a June estimate of 3.2%. The agency expects the low, 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages to boost refinance activity but not result in any sort of refinance boom. The current average rate of 4.5% is expected to remain throughout 2010.”

Housing Wire – “John Burns: GSE Renting Options Will Increase Demand and Limit Supply” (8-17-10)

“The government should create an apartment real estate investment trust (REIT) to rent out foreclosed properties — a method that would avoid flooding the housing market with foreclosed properties, a real estate consultant said as President Obama’s ‘Future of Housing Finance Conference’ kicked off Tuesday. John Burns, CEO of John Burns Real Estate Consulting, said the government-created REIT would be self-sustaining via rental fees. The government-sponsored enterprises, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, would hire outside property-management firms to manage the rental properties, Burns said.”

Housing Wire – “Refinancing Accounts for 80% of Loan Activity over Last 2 Months: Nothaft” (8-17-10)

“Over the last two months, refinancing activity has accounted for more than 80% of all conventional loan activity, said Frank Nothaft, chief economist at Freddie Mac. In a Featured Perspectives report out Monday, Nothaft said Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have purchased 1.4m refinance loans, including nearly 200,000 loans that have gone through the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP).”

Housing Wire – “Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Bearish Sentiment Eases” (8-17-10)

“BofAML, a unit of Bank of America, said the bearish sentiment for the global economic outlook and corporate earnings has eased. The most recent data show 5% of survey respondents expect the global economy will improve in the next year. In July, 12% percent of respondents predicted the world economy would deteriorate, BofAML said. But recession fears seem to have subsided, as 78% of fund managers surveyed last week don’t expect a double-dip recession. Still, 73% continue to see ‘below-trend growth and inflation.’”

Housing Wire – “TransUnion: Housing Begins to Stabilize as Delinquent Loans Fall in Q210″ (8-17-10)

“National mortgage loan delinquency rates for loans delinquent 60 days or more fell for the second quarter in a row to 6.67%, according to TransUnion’s quarterly trend analysis released Tuesday; a sign the housing sector is beginning to stabilize. The 1.48% drop in Q210 follows an 18.52% drop in Q110 for loans delinquent 60 days or more. Delinquent loans accounted for 6.77% of the all loans in Q110. The current delinquency rate is still up 14.8% from the same quarter last year when the rate was 5.81%.”

Housing Wire – “Private Sector Modifications Increase 10% in June” (8-17-10)

“The housing industry conducted 123,000 permanent modifications through private programs in June, a 10% increase from the 112,000 done in May, according to Hope Now, a private sector alliance of mortgage servicers, investors, insurers and nonprofit counselors.”

Housing Wire – “Bankrate: Loan Closing Costs Jump 36.6% Year-Over-Year” (8-17-10)

“The average origination and third-party fees on a $200,000 mortgage increased 36.6% to $3,741 from last year’s average of $2,739, according to Bankrate’s annual mortgage fee survey. Lender origination fees increased to $1,463, or 22.8%, in 2010 from $1,192 in 2009, while the average total third-party fees rose 47.2%, to $2,277 from the year-ago average of $1,547.”

Housing Wire – “Homebuyer Demand All But a ‘Standstill’: Altos Research” (8-17-10)

“The average national house price was $474,946 in July, according to the Altos 10-city composite price index. The index fell ’significantly’ from its high in the summer of last year, when buyers were taking advantage of the homebuyer tax credit. It has declined for the past 11 months. The tax credit expired in April.”

Bloomberg - “Home Depot Profit Tops Analysts’ Estimates as Sales Increase” (8-17-10)

“Net income increased 6.8 percent to $1.19 billion, or 72 cents a share, in the quarter ended Aug. 1, from $1.12 billion, or 66 cents, a year earlier, Atlanta-based Home Depot said today in a statement. Analysts projected 71 cents, the average of 23 estimates in a Bloomberg survey.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The new FHA short refinancing program will provide additional refinancing options to underwater homeowners starting Sept. 7. According to Integrated Asset Services, nationwide home prices increased 1.1% in the second quarter. Zillow reports California’s current rate on 30-year mortgages is 4.34%. CoreLogic estimates that short sales in Arizona, California, Florida and Texas will cost lenders $310m in unnecessary losses in 2010.

In The News:

Sign on San Diego - “Q&A: Pulte Homes exec on the San Diego housing market” (8-10-10)

“Q:Why is your company looking to build in the San Diego market? A: We are trying to be very strategic in our land acquisitions because there is a limited availability of finished lots. We see the economy starting to recover here with companies beginning to invest, especially in the high-tech and biotech markets. Engineers are relocating here. It tells us the demand is there.”

Housing Wire – “FDIC Launches Unit to Liquidate Banks under Dodd-Frank” (8-10-10)

“The CFI will review bank holding companies (BHCs) with more than $100bn of assets as well as non-bank financial companies designated as systemically important by the new Financial Stability Oversight Council. The CFI unit will also carry out the FDIC’s new authority to implement orderly liquidations of failed BHCs and non-bank financial firms.”

Housing Wire – “Home Prices Nationwide Increase 1.1%: IAS360″ (8-10-10)

“Integrated Asset Services, LLC (IAS), a Denver-based collateral valuation and default management service firm, released its latest IAS360 House Price Index (HPI) Tuesday reporting that collectively, nationwide home prices increased 1.1% from the first quarter of 2010 to the second. This is down 0.9% from the same period last year and down 16.7% from the survey’s all-time HPI high in Q407.”

Housing Wire – “FHA Short Refinancing Program Likely to Have Low Impact on Housing: KBW” (8-10-10)

“As HousingWire reported last week, the new program will provide additional refinancing options to underwater homeowners starting Sept. 7. To be eligible for the new loan, the homeowner must be underwater but still current on the mortgage. A credit score of 500 or better is required, and once refinanced and insured by the FHA. The new refinanced loan must have a loan-to-value ratio of no more than 97.75%. The borrower’s existing first-lien holder must agree to write at least 10% of the unpaid principal balance, and it must bring the borrower’s combined loan-to-value ratio (LTV) on that first mortgage to no more than 115%. The existing refinanced loan cannot be an FHA-insured one.”

Housing Wire – “Zillow: Weekly Rate on 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Averages 4.3%” (8-10-10)

“The 30-year fixed-mortgage rate (FRM) slightly increased week-to-week nationally to an average of 4.3%, according to the Zillow Mortgage Marketplace weekly update. This is up 0.02% from the record low set last week. Regionally 30-year rates are varying, but the majority of states saw an escalation. California’s current rate is 4.34%, up from 4.33% last week, as is New Jersey’s at 4.28%, up from 4.27%.”

Housing Wire – “DebtX June CRE Loan Value Up to 77.4%” (8-10-10)

“The value of commercial real estate (CRE) loans that collateralize commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) priced by DebtX rose to 77.4% at the end of June from 76.6% in May, the loan-sale adviser said in a press release Tuesday.”

Housing Wire – “Short Sales Cost Lenders $310m More Than Necessary, CoreLogic Study Finds” (8-10-10)

“The study projects that more than half of short sales happen in Arizona, California, Florida and Texas and will cost lenders an estimated $310m in unnecessary losses during all of 2010. These losses average $41,500 per short sale. Potential fraud, such as flipping or offer misrepresentation, likely happens in one in every 53 short sale transactions. CoreLogic examined a representative data sample of single family residence (SFR) short sale transactions from the past two years, representing 98% of real estate transactions and 85% of mortgage financing details, the firm said.”

Housing Wire – “Risk of House Price Decline Slightly Shrinks in PMI Index” (8-10-10)

“The Q310 market risk index, which uses Q110 data, dropped to 51.9 from 53.8. The score indicates the probability (from zero to 100) that the price of homes will on average be lower after two years. And while the risk of declines is less, economic analysts say house prices will likely continue to drop.”

Bloomberg - “`Buy and Bail’ Homeowners Get Past Loan Restrictions” (8-10-10)

“Real estate professionals call it ‘buy and bail,’ acquiring a new house before the buyer’s credit rating is ruined by walking away from the old one because it’s ‘underwater,’ or worth less than the mortgage. It’s an attempt to escape payments on a home whose value may never recover while securing a new property, often at a lower price with a more affordable loan. The practice, which constitutes fraud if borrowers lie on loan applications, is continuing even after Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the biggest U.S. mortgage-finance companies, beefed up standards to prevent it, according to brokers such as Collier and Meg Burns, senior associate director for congressional affairs and communications at the Federal Housing Finance Agency.”

Bloomberg - “Investors Doubt Mortgage-Bond Revival Until 2012, Moody’s Analysts Say” (8-10-10)

“Investors doubt the market for home- loan securities without government backing will revive until 2012, according to Moody’s Investors Service. About 74 percent of attendees surveyed for a June conference by the New York-based rating company responded that issuance, which essentially halted in 2007, will make a substantial ‘comeback’ no sooner than 2012, Moody’s analysts Navneet Agarwal and Brian Harris wrote in an Aug. 6 report.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The percentage of American single-family homes with mortgages in negative equity decreased by 1.8% from the first to second quarter.  Freddie Mac is requesting $1.8 billion in federal aid after a $6 billion loss in the second quarter. Freddie Mac’s single-family inventory rose by 84.2% and its multifamily inventory doubled from last year. PIMCO fears the U.S. may be entering a period of deflation, and JPMorgan Chase expressed concerns that our financial system may crash in 2015.

In The News:

MSNBC - “Fewer U.S. homeowners have ‘underwater mortgages’” (8-9-10)

“The percentage of American single-family homes with mortgages in negative equity fell to 21.5 percent in the second quarter from 23.3 percent in the first quarter and 23 percent a year ago, according to the Zillow Real Estate Market Reports.”

Los Angeles Times – “Freddie Mac requests $1.8 billion in aid after loss” (8-9-10)

“Government-controlled mortgage buyer Freddie Mac is asking for $1.8 billion in additional federal aid after posting a larger loss in the second quarter. Freddie Mac said Monday it lost $6 billion, or $1.85 per share, in the April-to-June period. That takes into account $1.3 billion in dividends paid to the Treasury Department. It compares with a loss of $840 million, or 26 cents a share, in the second quarter a year ago.”

Housing Wire – “Flooded with Housing Inventory, Freddie REO Sales Surge Despite Foreclosure Alternatives” (8-9-10)

“Year-over-year, Freddie’s single-family portfolio increased 84.2% and the multifamily portfolio doubled. Monday morning’s quarterly results reveal a 655% increase in forbearance agreements, where distressed homeowners simply get more time to begin paying back the mortgage. These forbearance agreements numbered 21,673 at the end of the first half of 2010, up from 2,869 at the end of the first half of 2009.”

Housing Wire - “The Scope: JP Morgan Estimates Nearly 9m Mortgages Eligible for New FHA Refinancing” (8-9-10)

“There is $870bn worth of underwater mortgages that could be eligible for the new Federal Housing Administration (FHA) short refinance program announced last week, according to JPMorgan. Additionally, there could be as many as 8.9m loans eligible for the program, worth an aggregate balance of $2.3trn, which includes underwater borrowers and mortgages eligible for the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP).”

Housing Wire – “Zillow Sees 3.6% Dip in US Home Prices as More Underwater Mortgages Come up for Air” (8-9-10)

“For the 14th consecutive quarter, national US home values declined 3.2% year-over-year during Q210, according to a quarterly market report produced by real estate listing website Zillow. The average sales price for residential properties was $182,500 during the quarter, down 0.6% from the Q110 price of $183,700. In Q210, 21.5% of mortgage properties were in negative equity positions, compared with 23.3% in Q110.”

Housing Wire – “PIMCO: US On Verge of Turning Japanese?” (8-9-10)

“The US may be nearing a long period of limited growth with the risk of deflation that would bring the nation’s economy very close to that of Japan during the 1990s, according to investment-management firm PIMCO.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (8-9-10)

“Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said there are options to re-shape US housing finance that don’t involve government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. ‘There are a variety of organizational forms that might replace Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that could likely provide mortgage credit without the systemic risks associated with these institutions in the past,’ Bernanke said in a July 23 letter to Ohio Democrat Rep. Marcy Kaptur, according to reports by multiple media reports.”

Bloomberg - “Crash of 2015 Won’t Wait for Regulators to Rein in Wall Street” (8-9-10)

“The financial system experiences a crisis ‘every five to seven years,’ JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon told the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in January. By that measure, the next crash could come by 2015 — years before new banking reforms are in place. Many of the measures ordered by Congress and global regulators, aimed at cushioning the financial system in future crises, are years away from being implemented. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision plans to give the world’s banks until 2018 to comply with limits on how much they can borrow.”

Orange County Register – “Real estate loss hammers Calif. pensions” (8-9-10)

“The $200 billion California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS) earned 11.4 percent return in the year ended June 30 — despite losing 37.1% on its real estate bets through March 31. The $130 billion California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS) was up 12.3 percent in the same year after losing 12.4% on its property holdings.”

Orange County Register – “Unsold homes up 57% this year” (8-9-10)

“The number of homes for sale on the Orange County housing market has mushroomed to 11,414 in the 30 days ending last Thursday. That’s up 57% since ‘inventory’ began a steady rise at the start of the year, according to the latest report by Altera’s Steven Thomas.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Sources:
http://www.housingwire.com/2010/08/05/weekl-jobless-claims-rise-more-than-expected-to-479000
http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/08/pending_ease
http://www.housingwire.com/2010/08/03/zillow-rate-on-30-year-mortgage-drops-to-record-low-week-to-week
http://www.housingwire.com/2010/08/06/aig-losses-return-in-q210-on-continued-wind-down-efforts
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/money_co/2010/08/home-loan-rates-decline-again-as-inflation-fears-abate.html
http://www.mbaa.org/NewsandMedia/PressCenter/73603.htm
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/congress-passes-bill-increasing-fha-premiums-2010-08-05
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-08-04/u-s-consumer-bankruptcy-filings-rose-9-percent-in-july-from-previous-year.html
http://www.reoi.com/news/fannies-reo-volume-doubles-on-mounting-foreclosures-and-longer-disposition-times
http://www.dsnews.com/articles/ahead-of-earnings-gses-scale-back-housing-forecasts-2010-08-05
http://www.reoi.com/wp-content/uploads/Fannie-REO.jpg
http://www.reoi.com/wp-content/uploads/Fannie-REO-by-State.jpg

Today’s News Synopsis:

Non-farm payrolls decreased by 131,000 in July, according to the Department of Labor. HUD’s secretary announced a new program, which will allow borrowers to refinance on underwater mortgages. Barclay’s Capital is taking back their previous estimate of a double dip recession, and now believes we will experience ‘moderate growth’. One-third of U.S. citizens are renting, and more than 14% live in a rental apartment.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “U.S. Payrolls Shed More than Expected, Dropping 131,000 in July” (8-6-10)

“Total non-farm payrolls declined by 131,000 in July, worse than a market consensus decline of 70,000. According to the Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the firings of temporary workers after 2010 Census efforts edged up to 143,000 in July, declined from 225,000 Census layoffs a month earlier.”

Housing Wire – “HUD Secretary Donovan: Refinancing Program Coming ‘Very Soon’” (8-6-10)

“According to a mortgee letter sent out today, the new program would provide additional refinancing options to underwater homeowners starting Sept. 7. To be eligible for the new loan, the homeowner must be underwater but still current on the mortgage. A credit score of 500 or better is required, and the borrower’s existing first-lien holder must agree to write at least 10% of the unpaid principal balance.”

Housing Wire – “Barclays Capital Calls off Double-Dip Recession” (8-6-10)

“Analysts at Barclays Capital believe the latest data on the US economy leans more toward ‘moderating growth’ in the last half of 2010, rather than an outright double-dip. Last week’s real gross domestic product (GDP) in the US, which measures the output of goods and services produced by the country’s labor force, grew 2.4% in Q210 from last year, according to the US Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).”

Housing Wire – “Apartment Rentals Hit Record Highs in 2010, as More Americans Shun Homeownership” (8-6-10)

“Currently one-third of Americans rent their housing, and over 14% live in a rental apartment. The NMHC represents the interests of rental property investors, such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Stewart Title and Starwood, to name a few.”

Housing Wire - “Navy Federal Introduces 100 Percent Mortgage to Make $7bn Origination Goal” (8-6-10)

“The world’s largest credit union said it’s prepared to originate $7bn in mortgage and refinance originations in 2010, and announced it will offer 100% financing to its members for loans up $650,000. Navy Federal Credit Union said it originated more than $6.2bn in mortgages and refinance loans in 2009. The Virginia-based credit union is the world’s largest, both in terms of total assets ($40bn) and membership (3.4m). Navy Federal serves all current and former Department of Defense military and civilian personnel and their families.”

Housing Wire – “Consumer Credit Down for Fifth Straight Month 0.7 Percent For June” (8-6-10)

“Americans are not in the mood to spend as consumer credit outstanding fell once again in June, according to the Federal Reserve, marking the fifth consecutive month of declines. The benchmark fell $1.3bn, or 0.7%, to $2.418trn due mostly to a $4.5bn, or 6.5%, drop in revolving credit, such as credit cards. Non-revolving credit, which includes mortgages, auto loans, and student loans, rose 2.4% to $1.592bln.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Mortgage application volume increased 1.3 percent this week, according to the MBA. Large home builders, such as PulteGroup and DR Horton, are claiming a quarterly profit. Analysts expect total payrolls to decline in official Census data which is due Friday. The American Bankruptcy Institute expressed concerns that consumer bankruptcies might total 1.6 million this year.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (8-4-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 30, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 1.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 1.4 percent compared with the previous week.”

Washington Post – “FHA tells Congress: Mortgage insurance claims are down; home prices a concern” (8-4-10)

“Mortgages backed by the Federal Housing Administration have performed better than expected so far this fiscal year, though the improvements could be overturned if home prices sink, according to a report the agency submitted to Congress this week. That audit found that as the FHA’s loan volume expanded, its default rate rose and the excess cash it set aside to deal with unexpected losses eroded to dangerously low levels as of Sept. 30. The auditors concluded taxpayers would be on the hook for losses if worst-case scenarios played out — a first for the agency, which has always used fees it charges borrowers to pay lenders for losses.”

Housing Wire – “Healthy Quarterly Reports from Homebuilders may be Short-Lived” (8-4-10)

“The country’s top four homebuilders all posted profits in their most recent quarterly earnings report, but with the tax credit gone, analysts predict the bounceback will likely be short-lived, as demand dries up. DR Horton (DHI: 10.48 -1.13%) added its third consecutive profitable quarter while Michigan-based PulteGroup (PHM: 8.38 -0.59%) returned to profitability after years of losses as it continues to try to meet its earlier projections of a profitable 2010.”

Housing Wire – “Census Firings Expected to Weigh on Weak July Private Sector Job Growth” (8-4-10)

“Nonfarm private sector employers added an estimated 42,000 jobs to payrolls in July, according to the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) national employment report published today (download here). The ADP’s estimates do not include layoffs of temporary workers no longer needed for the 2010 Census, however, and analysts are expecting total payrolls to decline in official data, due Friday. ADP also revised its estimate for the increase from May to June up 46% to 19,000, from the initial 13,000 estimate.”

Housing Wire – “20m Borrowers Could Be Underwater before 2012: Deutsche Bank” (8-4-10)

“More than 14m borrowers were underwater as of Q110, owing more on a mortgage than the value of the underlying property. But with a further 10.8% decline in house prices expected relative to Q409 levels, another 6m borrowers are likely fall into negative equity by the end of 2011, according to commentary today by Deutsche Bank.”

Bloomberg – “U.S. Consumer Bankruptcies May Exceed 1.6 Million, Report Says” (8-4-10)

“U.S. consumer bankruptcies, after rising 9 percent last month from June, might exceed 1.6 million this year, according to the American Bankruptcy Institute. The 137,698 bankruptcy filings in July also represent a 9 percent increase from a year earlier, the institute said yesterday in a statement posted on its website, citing data from the National Bankruptcy Research Center.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. apartment rents creep up” (8-4-10)

“A 15-month run of falling rents appears to be at an end, with the biggest landlords doing an about face and raising rents again as their apartments fill up. The average rent for a large Orange County apartment complex increased $4 during the quarter ending on June 30, rising to $1,482, according to apartment tracker RealFacts.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR announced pending home sales increased by 3.6 percent during July. The nations biggest homebuilders recorded quarterly losses. Approximately 9% of eligible borrowers had received a trial loan modification under the Obama administration’s $75 billion foreclosure prevention plan.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

According to the NAR, pending home sales declined 2.6 percent in June. Data from the Southern California Multiple Listing Service shows that 25 percent of home sold in Orange County are sold for less than the owner in June went for less than the seller owed on the mortgage. Zillow reports the average 30-year mortgage rate decreased to 4.28 percent from last week. 84 percent of buyers begin searching for homes online.

In The News:

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Ease in Post-Tax Credit Market” (8-3-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, declined 2.6 percent to 75.7 based on contracts signed in June from an upwardly revised level of 77.7 in May, and is 18.6 percent below June 2009 when it was 93.0. The data reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months.”

Orange County Register – “Short sales top 700 in June” (8-3-10)

“One out of every four homes sold in Orange County in June went for less than the seller owed on the mortgage, according to the latest figures from the Southern California Multiple Listing Service. Thanks to falling home prices, about 14% to 19% of all O.C. homeowners owe more for their homes than they’re worth. In a short sale, lenders eat the difference between the amount paid and the amount owed.”

Housing Wire – “Zillow: Rate on 30-Year-Mortgage Drops to Record Low Week-to-Week” (8-3-10)

“The 30-year fixed-mortgage rate (FRM) dropped week-to-week nationally averaging 4.28%, according to Zillow Mortgage Marketplace’s weekly update. This is down 0.1% and a new record low according to their data. Last week’s averages remained steady.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Launches Distressed Borrower Education Site” (8-3-10)

“Fannie Mae today is launching a borrower-facing outreach site designed to educate distressed homeowners on potential retention strategies and foreclosure alternatives. The online education resource — available in both English and Spanish — offers calculators to demonstrate to borrowers the mechanics of refinance, repayment, forbearance and modification options. It also offers information on Fannie’s Deed-For-Lease program, which allows borrowers to become renters in the same property after pursing deed-in-lieu of foreclosure.”

Bloomberg - “Banks `Throw in Towel’ to Add Most Mortgage Bonds in 18 Months” (8-3-10)

“The biggest banks are adding government-backed mortgage bonds at the fastest pace in 18 months, breaking with an unusual pattern in which they shunned the debt as their loan portfolios shrank during the economic slump, according to Barclays Plc. Large U.S. commercial banks added $51.4 billion of so- called agency mortgage-backed securities in the two weeks ended July 21, according to the latest data released by the Federal Reserve.”

Orange County Register – “Does unemployment pay mean no loan?” (8-3-10)

“No, you will not not qualify because you filed for unemployment insurance last year, or the year before. We are getting fairly used to seeing income streams in which our clients may have been unemployed for part of the previous two years. While we cannot use the unemployment income (**asterisk alert** : keep reading for when we can use this income) your receiving it does not disqualify you from qualifying. We will need to show a two year history of employment so if you were unemployed for three months we will need to show employment going back at least 27 months.”

Realty Times - “Staging a Photo Ready Home” (8-3-10)

“Your home’s first impression may not be one that is face to face with a prospective buyer. In today’s world, 84 percent (National Association of Realtors) of home buyers start their search online. That’s an impressive figure, and one that means your home needs to make a strong virtual impression.”

Realty Times – “California Law To Require Carbon Monoxide Detectors” (8-3-10)

“On May 7, 2010, California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger signed into law Senate Bill 183 (Lowenthal), a bill that will require the placement of carbon monoxide detectors in all California dwelling units. The bill also requires that the presence or absence of these devices must be disclosed when residential real estate is transferred.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, construction spending increased by 0.3 percent within one month. The chief economist of the CAR predicted the housing market had not bottomed. Fannie Mae issuance of mortgage-backed securities jumped 44% in June 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.