The Norris Group Blog

California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘BofA’

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/10/10

Wednesday, February 10th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA reports that mortgage application volume decreased by 1.2 percent from last week. According to the NAHB, there were approximately 234,000 homes for sale at the end of 2009. Statistics from Zillow show that the national median price was $186,200 in Q409 of 2009. The total number of FHA-insured single-family mortgages in default reached 531,671 in Q409 of 2009.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association“Purchase Applications Decline in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (2-10-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 5, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 0.6 percent compared with the previous week.”

Wall Street Journal“Spec Houses Rise as Builders Bet on Buyers Before Tax Credit Ends” (2-10-10)

“Houses typically take between four and six months to build, so the window to start construction is closing quickly. And current inventory is low. At the end of 2009, there were 234,000 homes for sale, the lowest level since April 1971, according to the National Association of Home Builders. It’s difficult to measure the total number of spec homes nationwide. But according to a survey conducted by John Burns Real Estate Consulting, based in Irvine, Calif., home builders have about three finished homes with no buyer per community. That’s up slightly from 2.8 finished homes in November but much lower than the peak of six finished homes in July 2008.”

Mercury News“Bay Area home prices may drop, real estate firm warns” (2-10-10)

“The median estimated value of all Santa Clara County homes at the end of the fourth quarter was $568,401, up a fraction from $564,360 in the third quarter, Zillow reported. In San Mateo County, prices have already begun to fall. The median estimated value of all homes was $635,264 in the fourth quarter, down 0.68 percent from $639,600 in the third quarter. Home values fell in San Mateo County from September through December, Zillow said, after four months of increases from May through August.”

Housing Wire“Zillow Warns on Double Dip in House Prices” (2-10-10)

“The Zillow Home Value Index put the national median price at $186,200 in Q409, a 5% decrease from Q408. Compared to Q309, prices declined 0.5% during the last quarter of 2009. The index is a measure of median home values of all single-family residences, condominiums and cooperatives, both on the market and not for sale. Q409 marked the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year declines, Zillow said.”

Housing Wire“Defaults on FHA Mortgages Pass 9 Percent” (2-10-10)

“The default rate in the single-family FHA portfolio reached 9.12% in Q409, climbing from 6.82% in Q408, according to the Federal Housing Administration December monthly report. The total number of FHA-insured single-family mortgages in default reached 531,671 in Q409, a 66% increase from 319,741 in Q408. In that same period, modifications on FHA-backed loans increased 54% to 23,973 in Q409.”

Housing Wire“Feds Outline Mortgage Securities Exit Strategy” (2-10-10)

“And according to Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke, a series of policy wind-down methods are being tested. The Fed may first drain excess reserves built up over many months through extraordinary asset-purchase programs, and then begin to raise interest rates. Or the Fed could pursue both options simultaneous to facilitate a quicker exit. Ultimately, economic developments will determine the exit process.”

Housing Wire“Freddie Mac Will Buy Out 120-Day Delinquent Mortgages” (2-10-10)

“Government-sponsored mortgage securitizer Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.24 +3.33%) said today it will buy ’substantially all’ mortgages delinquent by at least 120 days from the company’s related fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgage (FRM and ARM) Participation Certificate (PC) securities. Freddie said the loan purchases will show up in the PC factor report published after March 4, 2010. The corresponding principal payments on affected PCs will pass through to FRM and ARM PC holders on March 15 and April 15, respectively.”

Housing Wire“Option ARMs Don’t Measure Up in HAMP: BofA” (2-10-10)

“Of all mortgage collateral sectors, pay-option adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) are the least modifiable under a federally-subsidized modification program, according to research Monday by Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML). Researchers found that, in general, collateral with higher delinquencies see higher modification rates. But despite the wave of option ARMs set to recast monthly payments over the next several years, these types of loan fall in ‘the least modifiable sector’ under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) because of their failure to measure up to eligibility requirements and net present value (NPV) test requirements.”

Orange County Register“Expect more price cuts on high end homes” (2-10-10)

“Data from 2009 MLS sales for Laguna Beach show that last year started out extremely slow. February 2009 recorded a record low of only 6 residential properties sold for the entire month. By contrast, buying activity picked up enough by year end that December was the highest single month of sales since May 2006.”

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 2/8/10

Monday, February 8th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The U.S. Treasury Department reported 66,465 permanent loan modifications over 8 months. Delinquencies on prime jumbo loans increased to 10 percent in January. According to Altera Real Estate, distressed property sales increased in Dana Point and Laguna Beach. Unemployment in the U.S. construction industry increased to 24.7 percent in January.

In The News:

California Builder“2010 Economic Forecast: The Bear Turns Bullish” (2-8-10)

“In April of 2009, we reversed our tune and called for a ‘W,’ which would be an improvement in the market until the tax credit expired. However, with the federal tax credit extended through June for all buyers, and affordability far better than we imagined at the time, the risk of a second leg down has been significantly reduced.”

Housing Wire“House Committee Investigates HAMP ‘Effectiveness’” (2-8-10)

“The US Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to allocate capped incentives to borrowers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. After eight months in the program, the Treasury reported 66,465 permanent loan modifications in December, up from 31,382 permanent modifications in November.”

Housing Wire“Fitch Says Prime Jumbo RMBS Near 10% Delinquent” (2-8-10)

“The performance of US prime jumbo loan performance within residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) slipped again in January as serious delinquencies (60+ days past due) rose for the 32nd consecutive month and edged closer to 10%, according to the latest market commentary from Fitch Ratings.”

Housing Wire“Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (2-8-10)

“The editorial argues the $111bn in mortgage losses covered by the Treasury Department was justifiable as an emergency measure to keep the housing market from collapsing entirely. But with continued losses projected in 2011 and 2012, covering the GSEs in perpetuity would cost more than $1.6trn, on top of the national debt of $12.3trn.”

Housing Wire“BofA Lends $758bn in 2009″ (2-8-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 14.48 -3.47%) said it extended more than $758bn in credit in 2009, including nearly $180bn in Q409. BofA originated $87bn in first mortgages to fund purchase or refinance loans for more than 400,000 borrowers in Q409. That total includes $23bn in mortgages made to 151,000 low- and moderate-income borrowers. For the year, BofA originated $378bn in first mortgages for more than 1.7m customers, including $87bn in mortgages to more than 561,000 low- and moderate-income borrowers. In Q409, BofA originated $3bn in home equity and reverse mortgage loans, bringing the total for 2009 to $13bn.”

Orange County Register“South coast: short sales, foreclosures up” (2-8-10)

“Most of our south coast cities went against the grain and reflected the opposite of the countywide trend by seeing an increase in distressed properties for sale. Two weeks ago, Dana Point’s percentage of short sales and foreclosures was 24.7%, which has risen just slightly to 24.8%, according to a biweekly report by Steven Thomas of Altera Real Estate. Laguna Beach also saw a slight increase in distressed properties. The percentage of short sales and foreclosures rose from 9% two weeks ago to 9.3%.”

Orange County Register“1-in-4 U.S. construction workers jobless” (2-8-10)

“The U.S. construction industry’s unemployment rate hit 24.7% in January as another 75,000 American construction workers lost their jobs.”

Realty Times“Developing Referral Relationships” (2-8-10)

“The primary objective of your first contact, like the objective of any other first sales call to a new prospect, is to book an appointment. The first appointment might take the form of an exploratory session aimed at determining the wants, needs, and desires of the lead, or it might be an appointment to conduct a buyer consultation or listing presentation. The secondary objective of your first contact is to open the door, establish trust and respect, demonstrate your knowledge, and establish your position as a reliable resource.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA ranked Wachovia as the leading national commercial and multifamily loan servicer. Geithner promised that lenders receiving financial rescue would be required to offer mortgage modifications. A total of 70 banks were shut down within the first month of 2009.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/27/10

Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to MDA DataQuick, 84,568 Notices of Default were recorded in California during the 4th quarter of 2009. The MBA’s weekly survey shows that mortgage application volume decreased 10.9 percent from last week. The Commerce Department reports that new home sales decreased by 7.6 percent last month. The Federal Reserve claims it will stick to its plan to end the $1.25 trillion program of mortgage-debt purchases in March.

In The News:

CBIA“Protect Your Model Homes” (1-27-10)

“Neighbors are the first and strongest line of defense in neighborhood security. If they can put a face to your model home, they will be much more likely to help protect you. Bring them gift baskets, shake hands and be respectful. Let them know that you’d appreciate if they’d call the police if they notice anyone at the model home after dark.”

DQNews“Another Drop in California Mortgage Defaults” (1-27-10)

“A total of 84,568 Notices of Default (”NODs”) were recorded at county recorder offices during the October-to-December period. That was down 24.3 percent from 111,689 for the prior quarter, and up 12.4 percent from 75,230 in fourth-quarter 2008, according to San Diego-based MDA DataQuick.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (1-27-09)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 22, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 10.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 10.1 percent compared with the previous week and decreased 19.8 percent compared with the same week one year earlier.”

Housing Wire“BofA First to Join HAMP Program for Second Liens” (1-27-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 14.975 +1.39%) signed the first agreement to participate in the second-lien mortgage modification initiative under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), the bank confirmed Tuesday afternoon.”

Bloomberg“U.S. May Retool Loan Program for Underwater Borrowers” (1-27-10)

“The changes would be at least the third lease on life for the program, which began in October 2008 during the Bush administration and has so far helped just 96 of the 400,000 homeowners originally targeted.”

Bloomberg“U.S. Economy: Sales of New Homes Fall, Capping Worst Year Ever” (1-27-10)

“Sales of new homes in the U.S. unexpectedly dropped in December, capping the worst year on record and signaling the government’s tax-credit extension has yet to shore up demand. Purchases declined 7.6 percent to an annual pace of 342,000, marking the fourth decrease in the past five months, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. For all of 2009, sales declined 23 percent to 374,000, the lowest level since records began in 1963.”

Bloomberg“S&P, Moody’s Win Dismissal of Claims Over Mortgage Securities” (1-27-10)

“Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s Corp. won dismissal of a lawsuit seeking to hold them responsible for defrauding investors who bought about $100 billion of mortgage- backed securities.”

Bloomberg“Fed May Take Risk MBS Program End Won’t Hurt Housing” (1-27-10)

“The Federal Reserve may take a chance the housing market can stage a comeback without its support by announcing today it will stick to the plan to end a $1.25 trillion program of mortgage-debt purchases in March.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, MDA DataQuick reported that 75,230 default notices had been sent to California homeowners during the 4th quarter of 2008. The S&P Index showed that home prices fell 18.2 percent within two months. C.A.R. reported that Orange County home sales increased by 13.5 percent in one month.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/20/10

Wednesday, January 20th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA’s Market Composite Index shows that loan application volume increased by 9.1 percent. Policy changes for FHA will consequently cause borrowers to pay more on their FHA-insured mortgages. HUD reports that housing starts declined 4% in December. Regional housing inflation rose 0.2% in Southern California.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association“Refinance Applications Increase as Mortgage Rates Fall in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (1-20-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 15, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 9.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 10.4 percent compared with the previous week and decreased 52.3 percent compared with the same week one year earlier.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“MBA Comments on Changes to FHA Credit Policy” (1-20-10)

“Borrowers may have to pay a little more for their FHA-insured mortgages or certain borrowers will have to put more money down for their home, but these changes are necessary given the stress that the housing downturn has put on the FHA program.”

Housing Wire“Commercial Real Estate Investor Demand to Grow in 2010″ (1-20-10)

“The start of 2010 is showing signs of growing investor demand in US commercial real estate, and potentially in related secondary markets, despite the lagging performance of underlying collateral. The pick-up is also predicted to be mirrored in similar markets in Europe and Asia; areas expected to see comparatively better performance. In a report from the rating agency Moody’s, analysts project some pick-up in commercial real estate (CRE) demand after Q409, which would help markets after little movement for much of the year.”

Housing Wire“Housing Starts Drop, Permits Up in December” (1-20-10)

“After jumping up 8.9% one month earlier, housing starts declined 4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 557,000 in December, according to the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the Commerce Department’s Census Bureau.”

Housing Wire - “BofA Posts $5.2bn Loss in Q409 After TARP Repayment” (1-20-10)

“In the same quarter of 2008, BofA posted a net less of $2.4bn, or $0.48 per diluted share. Excluding the $4bn TARP repayment, BofA had a net loss of $194m in Q409, which narrowed from the $1.8bn loss from a year earlier. For all of 2009, BofA reported a net income of $6.3bn, an improvement from $4bn in 2008.”

Housing Wire“Morgan Stanley Posts $413m Q409 Profit as Real Estate Gains” (1-20-10)

“Firm-wide results for the full year reflected $1.9bn of net losses on real estate investments ‘amidst the ongoing industry-wide decline in this market,’ Morgan Stanley said in the earnings statement.”

Housing Wire“Wells Fargo Posts Record $12.3bn Annual Net Income” (1-20-10)

“Wells Fargo said mortgage originations and servicing revenue was $3.4bn in the quarter, and its total mortgage banking noninterest income accounted for 15% of the company’s consolidated Q409 revenue. The bank had $1.2bn in income from mortgage origination and sales activities on $94bn of residential mortgage originations and $144bn of applications.”

Bloomberg - “‘Tranche Warfare’ Erupts as Property Owners Slide Into Default” (1-20-10)

“Infighting among lenders with different classes of debt, called tranches, is on the rise in the hotel industry and throughout the $3.5 trillion market for commercial real estate loans after property prices fell more than 40 percent from their peak in 2007. Commercial mortgage defaults more than doubled to 3.4 percent in last year’s third quarter from a year earlier.”

Bloomberg - “Property Bonds Beat Corporates as Simon Sells: Credit Markets” (1-20-10)

“Real estate borrowers are leading the rally in U.S. corporate bonds as investors add to bets property companies will weather an increase in commercial mortgage defaults. Bonds sold by real-estate investment trusts, shopping-mall owners and office landlords have gained 3.27 percent this month, exceeding 3.18 percent for all of the fourth quarter, and BBB rated commercial mortgage bonds returned 3.59 percent, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes. The gains are the biggest among investment-grade issuers, which returned 1.65 percent so far in 2010, the indexes show.”

Orange County Register“SoCal housing inflation lowest in 32+ years” (1-20-10)

“Overall regional housing inflation rose 0.2% for the year, lowest since they started this data series in 1977. Household energy costs fell 8.8% last year, biggest drop in the series that dates to 1977.”

Orange County Register“408 south coast homes in default on loans” (1-20-10)

“There are hundreds of homes in Dana Point, Laguna Beach and San Clemente that are in default on their mortgages and in danger of being foreclosed. According to Trulia.com, a total of 408 homes in these south coastal communities have received a notice of default from their bank, which typically follows one or often a series of missed mortgage payments and a late notice.”

Inman - “Zillow, Trulia slip in Hitwise ratings” (1-20-10)

“Realtor.com remained the dominant Web site in the real estate category, with 6.79 percent market share. Rounding out the top 10 Web sites were Yahoo! Real Estate (3.8 percent), Zillow (3.5 percent), ZipRealty (2.91 percent), eBay’s Rent.com (2.57 percent), Service Magic (2.27 percent), Trulia.com (2.16 percent), Homes.com (1.99 percent), MSN Real Estate (1.78 percent) and Apartments.com (1.32 percent).”

Inman - “Google, RPR and the future” (1-20-10)

“Marty Frame, president of NAR’s Realtors Property Resource, which seeks to create a national database of property information and a new property-valuation system for Realtors to access, discusses RPR plans with Dale Ross, RPR CEO.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, congress voted to use the second half of the $700 billion TARP bailout. FHA was offering 3.5%-down mortgages to qualified buyers. Nouriel Roubini predicted that the U.S. financial crisis may reach $3.6 trillion. Dataquick reported that foreclosures made up just 6 percent of resales in August 2007.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/14/10

Thursday, January 14th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 5.06 percent this week. 2.8 million properties received a foreclosure notice in 2009. Interactive Mortgage Advisors is selling $130 billion worth of Ginnie Mae’s servicing portfolio. President Obama is proposing a tax on all companies who received bailout money, which would last until all bailout money is paid back.

In The News:

Chicago Tribune“Rates on 30-year mortgages drop to 5.06 pct, second straight weekly decline” (1-14-10)

“Rates for 30-year home loans edged lower for the second straight week, a report said Thursday, but remained above last month’s record lows. The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage was 5.06 percent this week, down from 5.09 percent a week earlier, mortgage company Freddie Mac said.”

Housing Wire“Foreclosure Filings Hit New Record in 2009: RealtyTrac” (1-14-10)

“In 2009, a record 2.8 million properties received a foreclosure filing, a 21% jump from 2008 and a 120% increase from 2007, according to online marketplace RealtyTrac, which reported the numbers Thursday.”

Housing Wire“Barack Wants ‘Responsibility Fee’ to Get Bank Bailout Funds Back” (1-14-10)

“President Barack Obama is proposing a ‘Financial Crisis Responsibility Fee’ to tax large financial institutions that received government funds through the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). The news comes in the midst of reports that the government may earn billions of dollars on bailouts. The proposed fee would last for at least 10 years, until all taxpayer dollars are repaid. The fee would apply to the debt of financial institutions with more than $50bn of consolidated assets.”

Housing Wire - “Congressman Proposes 50% Tax on Wall Street Bonuses” (1-14-10)

“Rep. Peter Welch (D-VT) introduced legislation this week to levy new taxes on yearly employee bonuses at financial institutions receiving assistance from the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). Under the bill, bonuses above $50,000 in either cash or stock would be taxed at a rate of 50%.”

Housing Wire“BofA Permanent HAMP Modifications Jump from 98 to 3,200 in December” (1-14-10)

“The Bank of America (BAC: 16.82 +1.20%) book of permanent loan modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) grew from 98 mortgages by the end of November 2009 to 3,200 by January 2010, according a company announcement. In the US Treasury Department’s November progress report, BofA completed 98 permanent modifications from the program’s launch in March 2009 through November. Since then, nearly 3,200 borrowers received a completed HAMP modification, and another 12,000 of the BofA borrowers sent their finally modified loan documents under HAMP to be signed and returned by BofA.”

Housing Wire“Height-of-Boom Subprime Performance Keeps Getting Worse: Moody’s” (1-14-10)

“The basket of mortgage backed securities that the credit rating agency reviewed for its report deal with loans originated during the recent boom years in housing finance. Moody’s is now projecting cumulative losses of 18.7% for 2005 vintage securitizations, 38.4% for 2006 RMBS and 48.1% for 2007 RMBS.”

Housing Wire“IMA to Sell $130m Ginnie Mae Servicing Portfolio” (1-14-10)

“Interactive Mortgage Advisors (IMA) is facilitating the sale of a $130m Ginnie Mae bulk servicing portfolio on behalf of an undisclosed seller, an independent mortgage banker, according to an offering obtained by HousingWire. The offering covers 937 loans with a combined principal balance of more than $130m. The loans bear a weighted average interest rate of 6.17% and a weighted average service fee of 0.53%.”

Bloomberg - “Issa Proposes Inspector General for Fannie, Freddie Agency” (1-14-10)

“The companies’ regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, has been without an inspector general for at least 17 months since the Federal Housing Finance Board that oversaw the 12 regional Federal Home Loan Banks was merged with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s former overseer to create FHFA. The companies in that time have been taken over by FHFA and given access to what is now an unlimited amount of emergency Treasury Department funding.”

Bloomberg - “Lehman Wins Court Approval to Spend $1.4 Billion to Buy Loans” (1-14-10)

“Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., the investment bank liquidating in bankruptcy, won a U.S. judge’s approval to spend $1.4 billion to buy loans and mortgages from an insolvent German affiliate, Lehman Brothers Bankhaus.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR estimated that a homebuyer tax credit could result in 555,000 home sales. Barclay’s Capital claimed that allowing judges to reduce the principal amount on mortgages would not reduce foreclosures. Fannie Mae created a policy allowing people leasing a property to continue occupying their property for a short time after the foreclosure process. PMI Mortgage Insurance estimated that home prices would continue to fall until the 3rd quarter of 2009.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/11/10

Monday, January 11th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The national unemployment rate remained at 10 percent during December. LPS reports that 1 in every 7.5 fell into foreclosure or delinquency during November. According to Fitch Ratings, 2009 commercial delinquency rates ended at 4.71%.

In The news:

Bloomberg - “Shrinking U.S. Labor Force Keeps Unemployment Rate From Rising” (1-9-09)

“An exodus of discouraged workers from the job market kept the U.S. unemployment rate from climbing above 10 percent in December, economists said.”

Housing Wire“More than 13% of Mortgages Delinquent or Foreclosed in November: LPS” (1-11-09)

“One in every 7.5 homeowners either fell into delinquency or foreclosure as of November 30, 2009, according to the December mortgage monitor report from Lender Processing Services (LPS), a mortgage data provider. The total amount of delinquencies reached a record high 9.97%, a 5.46% increase from the previous month and a 21.29% increase from November 2008. In a sign that homeowners continue their struggle to meet their monthly mortgage payments, loans falling into more severe delinquent categories reached 5.01% through November, compared to 1.52% of loans improved toward a current status.”

Housing Wire“$47bn of Interest-Only RMBS Loans to Recast This Year, Fitch Says” (1-11-09)

“More than $47bn of collateral backing prime and Alt-A residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) is scheduled to recast over the next 12 months from an interest-only (IO) payment to a fully amortizing payment, Fitch Ratings said in market commentary Monday.”

Housing Wire“Financial, Mortgage Hirings Up as Overall Employment Dips” (1-11-09)

“The DOL’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday said the national unemployment rate was 10% in December, unchanged from November. Despite the overall loss, the financial-activities sector gained a net 4,000 jobs in December, the first gain since summer 2007, according to a search of the Bureau of Labor Statistics online database. Jobs increased from November (7,691,000) to 7,695,00 in December.”

Housing Wire“Q409 Losses on the Way for Banks: Citi” (1-11-09)

“Citigroup (C: 3.63 +1.11%) analysts expect Q409 losses for Morgan Stanley (MS: 32.04 -0.65%), Goldman Sachs (GS: 171.56 -1.58%), Bank of America (BAC: 16.93 +0.89%) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 44.53 -0.34%) due to a “substantial” decline in fixed-income, commodities and currencies (FICC) trading, according to a 2010 Outlook report.”

Housing Wire“CMBS Delinquencies May Double by 2012, Says Fitch” (1-11-09)

“An increase in defaults across property types pushed total commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) delinquencies 42 bps higher, closing 2009 at 4.71% delinquent, according to credit-rating agency Fitch Ratings. The rate of growth in delinquent CMBS looks set to continue in coming years, with a potential peak at 12% in 2012.”

Housing Wire - “Redefault Rates ‘Tragic’, Says Amherst” (1-11-09)

“According to Amherst Securities Group, default and prepayment rates on non-agency, private-label mortgage-backed securities (MBS) were constant in November. However, re-performance rates, where payments return to less than two months delinquent, were down and re-default rates “tragic” in November, according to market commentary provided by the firm.”

Bloomberg - “Fed’s Bullard Says Asset-Purchase Adjustments Main Policy Issue” (1-11-09)

“Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said the main challenge for U.S. policy makers will be to adjust the asset-purchase program so as to continue supporting economic growth without stoking inflation. ”

Looking Back:

One year ago, some Realtors forecasted that condo prices would not bottom in 2009. Congressional budget analysts anticipated a $1.2 trillion deficit for 2009.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/30/09

Wednesday, December 30th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

A survey from Bank of America shows that only 12 percent of the institutions who received TARP relief believe that the program positively impacted their operations. Barclay’s estimates that credit availability may increase during the next 6 to 12 months. Default Research reports that pre-foreclosure filings in California decreased in several counties. Statistics from Freddie Mac show that mortgage purchases decreased by 13% in November.

In The News:

Housing Wire“Only 12% of Bank Execs Think TARP Leaves Positive Impact” (12-30-09)

“While larger financial institutions complete full repayment of the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), as is the case with the $45bn repaid last week by Citi (C: 3.32 -1.48%) and Wells Fargo (WFC: 26.82 +0.52%), a bank survey completed by the Bank Administration Institute (BAI) claims only 12% of respondents feel the program positively impacted their operations.”

Housing Wire“Origination Funding May Increase as Credit Restrictions Ease in 2Q10, Analysts Predict” (12-30-09)

“A recent set of research focusing on 2010 strategies for investors of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) by analysts at Barclays Capital finds that credit availability for mortgage originations may increase in the next six to 12 months. However, the situation will remain tight in the next three to six months, they add, as the market grapples with ongoing risk aversion sentiments, loan repurchases stabilization and new regulatory procedures that will need this time to take hold.”

Housing Wire“Foreclosure Notices Drop in Major Counties: Default Research” (12-30-09)

“The number of pre-foreclosure filings in California, which include notices of default and notices of trustee sales, dropped across several counties in November, according to statistics from Default Research, which tracks the notices. The hard-hit Los Angeles County had a 10% decline from last month to 3.08% in November. Orange County, where 3.4% received a filing, had a drop of 8% in November. In Riverside County, 9.2% received a pre-foreclosure filing, a 13.7% decline from October.”

Housing Wire“NAMB Criticizes Regulation Z Amendment” (12-30-09)

“In a letter to the Federal Reserve Board, the National Association of Mortgage Brokers (NAMB) said that certain aspects of the proposed rule to amend Regulation Z would impede market competition. Section 404 of the Helping Families Save their Home Act of 2009 took effect in May and requires a 30 day notice to mortgage borrowers of their loans being transferred for securitization. Called Regulation Z, the Fed’s interim final rule enforces the requirement under the Act.”

Housing Wire - “Fannie’s Serious Delinquencies Nears 5% in November” (12-30-09)

“After mortgage giant Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.42 -5.33%) reported a 13% drop in mortgage purchases in November, Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.16 -7.20%) shows its book of business declined at an annualized rate of 6.7% in the same month, according to its monthly summary”

Housing Wire“List of HAMP Servicers Moves Past 100″ (12-30-09)

“The US Treasury Department added four new servicers to the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), raising the total number of participants to 103, according to the latest Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) transaction report.”

Bloomberg - “GMAC Said to Discuss U.S. Aid Package of $3 Billion or More” (12-30-09)

“GMAC Inc., the home and auto lender that counts the U.S. government as the largest stakeholder, is discussing with the Obama administration a third bailout of $3 billion to $4 billion, said a person familiar with the matter.”

Orange County Register“Tough market eyed for high-end housing” (12-30-09)

“There is a chance this is not the bottom for the all price ranges! However, under $500,000 looks to be in pretty good shape, although appreciation will continue to be very faint! Above $500,000 it will continue to be a tough market, as there are very few move-up buyers from the lower price ranges with money to support the higher price structure”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the Case Schiller index showed that home prices dropped by 18 percent in 20 major U.S. cities. Lockhart estimated that the government would need to provide lower borrowing costs to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The Federal Reserve forecasted that mortgage modifications would be significantly hindered by second mortgages. Fannie Mae’s portfolio of mortgages increased by 9.3 percent in one month.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/23/09

Wednesday, December 23rd, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

Homebuilders pulled 46 percent fewer permits from November of last year. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, mortgage application volume decreased by 10.7 percent from last week. Freddie Mac purchased 13 percent fewer mortgage purchases from the previous month. Equifax reports that HELOC originations fell 36 percent from one year ago.

In The News:

CBIA - “Housing Production Posts Decrease in November, CBIA Announces” (12-13-09)

“According to statistics compiled by the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB), homebuilders pulled permits for 2,540 total housing units in November, down 12 percent from October, and down 46 percent from November 2008. Permits for single-family homes totaled 1,710, down 20 percent from the previous month, but up 18 percent from the same period last year, while multifamily permits totaled 830, up 9 percent from October but down 74 percent from a year ago.”

Mortgage Bankers AssociationMortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (12-23-09)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 18, 2009.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume decreased 10.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 10.9 percent compared with the previous week.”

Housing WireBofA Sues MGIC Over Unpaid Insurance Claims” (12-23-09)

“Bank of America’s (BAC: 15.18 -0.98%) Countrywide Home Loans unit sued Mortgage Guaranty Investment Corp. (MTG: 5.7798 -9.12%) over allegations the Wisconsin-based mortgage insurer denied millions of valid claims.”

Housing Wire“Freddie Buys 7% More Refi Mortgages in November” (12-23-09)

“Mortgage giant Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.3295 -1.52%) reported $27.9bn in mortgage purchases and issuances in November, a 13% drop from $32.1bn in October, according to a monthly summary of the agency’s portfolio.”

Housing Wire“HUD Delays New FHA Appraiser Guidelines” (12-23-09)

“According to an FHA memo obtained by HousingWire, the January 1, 2010 implementation of Mortgagee Letter (ML) 2009-28 (download here) won’t take affect until February 15, 2010. The new FHA regulations are similar to those implemented by the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) to ensure appraiser independence with the Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC).”

Housing Wire“Equifax: HELOC Origination Down 36%” (12-23-09)

“Origination of new home equity lines of credit (HELOC) accounts is down 36% from year-ago levels, Equifax (EFX: 31.28 -0.26%) said. There were 75,600 HELOC accounts originated in September 2009, down from 117,800 in September 2008, according to the Atlanta-based credit bureau’s most recent monthly credit trend report, derived from Equifax’s nearly 200m US consumer credit files.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Economy: Spending and Incomes Climb, New-Home Sales Drop” (12-23-09)

“American consumers’ spending and incomes climbed in November, indicating the biggest part of the economy is poised to strengthen as the labor market recovers. Purchases rose 0.5 percent as households took advantage of discounts on autos and electronics, figures from the Commerce Department showed today in Washington. The gain was smaller than anticipated as unseasonably warm weather depressed utility use. Another report showed new-home sales unexpectedly fell as potential buyers were discouraged by the scheduled expiration of a tax credit. The tax break was later extended.”

Bloomberg - “General Growth Has Deals to Restructure $11.6 Billion of Debt” (12-23-09)

“General Growth Properties Inc., the second-largest U.S. mall owner, has won approval from creditors and a federal court to restructure loans totaling $11.6 billion, according to a lawyer.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, existing home sales fell 8.6 percent from October to November. Mortgage default filings against homeowners decreased for the first time in 3 years. Moorlach predicted that 10 municipal bankruptcies would occur in 2009. The U.S. economy shrank by 0.5 percent from the previous month.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/10/09

Thursday, December 10th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to RealtyTrac, foreclosure activity decreased  by 8 percent in November. Hanley Wood Market Intelligence reports that Orange County builders had their first positive month in October, after 13 months of contract declines. A survey from HomeGain shows that 48 percent of agents and brokers believe that home prices will stay the same, and 24 percent believe that prices will increase.  Data from the U.S. Treasury Department shows that 31,382 of the 1 million three-month modifications have become permanent.

In The News:

DSNews - “Foreclosure Activity Recedes for Fourth Straight Month: RealtyTrac” (12-10-09)

“The foreclosure tide appears to be subsiding, according to the latest numbers from RealtyTrac. The company said Thursday that foreclosure activity fell 8 percent in November, compared to October – it’s the fourth consecutive month that RealtyTrac’s data has shown a decrease in foreclosure filings.”

CBIA - “California New-Home Market Breaks into Positive Territory, CBIA Announces” (12-10-09)

“The monthly CBIA/Hanley Wood Market Intelligence (HWMI) New-Home Sales and Pricing Report showed that sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 25 percent above October 2008, a strong improvement from the lingering year-over-year decline last month and represents the first notable increase since the start of the housing downturn. During October, 2,294 new homes and condominiums were sold in the subdivisions tracked by Costa Mesa-based HWMI, compared to 1,838 in October 2008. Sales of single-family homes were up by 4 percent, while sales of townhomes and ‘plexes’ – duplexes, triplexes, etc. – were up 36 percent and sales of condominiums were 94 percent higher than a year ago thanks to strong sales at projects in the Los Angeles and San Francisco areas.”

Orange County Register – “Losing streak ends for O.C. builders” (12-10-09)

“Hanley Wood Market Intelligence says after 13 straight months of annual declines in new home sales contracts, Orange County builders recorded their first up month in October. According to the Costa Mesa research firm, homebuyers signed 90 contracts to buy a new Orange County home that month, up 13.9% from October 2008.”

Inman - “Survey: Hopeful on home prices” (12-10-09)

“Forty-eight percent of agents and brokers surveyed think home prices will stay the same and 24 percent think prices will go up, the company reported. That’s a slight increase from the third-quarter survey, when those numbers were 46 percent and 23 percent, respectively. This marks a major change from HomeGain’s first-quarter survey when 36 percent thought prices would remain flat and 11 percent thought prices would increase. The survey had 928 respondents.”

Housing Wire“30,000 Trial HAMP Mods Go Permanent” (12-10-09)

“Of the 1m homeowners who have been offered three-month trial modification under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), 31,382 have received a permanent modification, according to from the US Treasury Department.”

Housing Wire“Mortgage Volume to Decline in 2010, Says Dorado” (12-10-09)

“Mortgage origination volume will decline next year compared to 2009 levels, but the use of software-as-a-service (SAAS) applications will rise, San Mateo, Calif.-based SAAS developer Dorado Corporation said in its projections for next year. Dorado projects more than 30% of mortgages created next year will be originated with SAAS applications, which generally work as Web-based tools a developer hosts on its own servers and distributes access through subscription licenses.”

Housing Wire“Treasury Used $364bn of TARP funds in 2009″ (12-10-09)

“The Treasury Office of Financial Stability (OFS) used $364bn of the $700bn available funds, mostly in investments according to the report, and $73bn of the TARP funds have already been repaid. Bank of America last week committed to repaying the $45bn it received through the program.”

Housing Wire - “Mortgage Rates Rise off Record Lows” (12-10-09)

“Freddie Mac’s (FRE: 1.12 +0.90%) survey put the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) at 4.81% with an average 0.7 point for the week ending Dec. 10, up from the previous week when it was a record low average of 4.71%. A year ago, Freddie Mac put the 30-year FRM at 5.47%.”

Bloomberg“Wells Fargo Cuts as Much as 30 Percent in Principal” (12-10-09)

“Wells Fargo & Co., the bank that gained a portfolio of option adjustable-rate mortgages when it bought Wachovia Corp. last year, cut the principal for delinquent borrowers in some loans by as much as 30 percent. Wells Fargo has forgiven an average of $46,000 in principal, or 15 percent, for the 43,500 option-ARM loans it has modified this year through September, said Franklin Codel, chief financial officer at the bank’s home-lending unit.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Orange County tax collectors reported that property tax collections decreased by $145 million. One hundred twenty-seven financial companies received preliminary approval for $60.4 billion from TARP.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/30/09

Monday, November 30th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

Edward Pinto expects 20 percent of FHA’s mortgage loans to default. The Federal Reserve bought $16 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities last week. According to Michael Barr, Over 650,000 mortgage modifications are currently being processed, and over 375,000 borrowers will receive permanent modifications by the end of this year. A survey from Barclay’s shows that as a U.S. citizen’s net worth increases so does the proportion of their wealth invested in real estate.

In The News:

CNBC - “Fannie Mae to Tighten Lending Standards” (11-26-09)

“Fannie Mae plans to raise minimum credit score requirements next month and limit the amount of overall debt that borrowers can carry relative to their incomes”

The Daily Reckoning“Federal Housing Administration Encourages More Bad Mortgage Loans” (11-26-09)

“An astounding 20 percent of the Federal Housing Administration’s $725 billion portfolio of mortgage loans will go into default as the result of the agency’s recent campaign to subsidize first-time homebuyers with little cash and weak credit. That prediction comes from an industry insider who has seen it all happen before: former chief credit officer of Fannie Mae, Edward Pinto, who recently testified before a House committee on the gathering storm of FHA mortgage defaults.”

Orange County Register“Banks forced to buy back more loans” (11-26-09)

“Banks had to buy back $7.1 billion in defaulted single-family loans in the third quarter to reimburse mortgage investors, up from $1.9 billion in the previous quarter. Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Call Report information shows that most of the buyback demands fell on JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America. Chase repurchased $2.7 billion in defaulted loans and BoA repurchased $2.3 billion to satisfy investor demands.”

Finance My Money“FDIC too broke to Takeover Banks? No Bank Failure Friday on Black Friday. Can 5,300 Employees Deal with $5.3 Trillion in Deposits?” (11-30-09)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was hammered this week when a third quarter report demonstrated that the FDIC was running in the red to the sum of $8.2 billion. This is troubling since the FDIC protects deposits in member banks up to $250,000 and funds covered by the deposit insurance fund (DIF) are over $5.3 trillion, this amount is over one-third of our nationwide GDP. The FDIC as of Q1 of 2009 has 5,381 employees.”

San Francisco Chronicle“Gov’t increases pressure on mortgage industry” (11-30-09)

“The Treasury Department said Monday it will withhold payments from mortgage companies that aren’t doing enough to make the changes permanent. Officials will monitor the largest of the 71 participating mortgage companies via daily progress reports. The goal is to increase the rate at which troubled home loans are converted into new loans with lower monthly payments. At the end of October, more than 650,000 borrowers, or 20 percent of those eligible, had signed up for trials lasting up to five months.”

Inman“Non-investors get Fannie REOs first” (11-27-09)

“Fannie Mae has launched a new program that’s intended to give public entities and buyers looking for a home to live in, rather a property to flip, a first crack at homes Fannie has foreclosed on. Under Fannie Mae’s ‘First Look’ initiative, only offers from buyers who intend to be owner occupants and buyers using public funds will be considered during the first 15 days a property is on the market. Offers from investors will be considered only after the first 15 days have passed.”

Housing Wire“Fed Continues Slower Agency MBS Purchases” (11-30-09)

“The Federal Reserve continued its slower mortgage bond purchases, buying up $16bn of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) from government-sponsored entities in the week ending November 25. The Fed’s purchases shifted more toward Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.03 -6.36%), with $6.5bn of Freddie MBS purchased this week, from $5.9bn last week. The Fed bought $6bn from Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.88 -6.38%), compared with $4.55bn last week. The Fed also bought $3.5bn from Ginnie Mae this week, according to details released by the New York Fed.”

Housing Wire“FHA Proposes Lenders Maintain $2.5m Net Worth” (11-30-09)

“Federal Housing Administration (FHA)-approved lenders could be required to hold increased net worth, meet stronger approval criteria and be held responsible for the actions of the mortgage brokers they do business with, if a recently proposed FHA rule is enacted. The rule is designed to reduce risks to the single-family insurance fund, which finances the FHA guarantees of mortgages in case of default. The FHA reported to Congress recently the insurance fund dipped below the Congressional-mandated 2% capital reserve threshold.”

Housing Wire“375,000 HAMP Trials to Go Permanent, Treasury Says” (11-30-09)

“Under HAMP, the Treasury allocates capped incentives to participating servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. According to the latest report, more than 650,000 trials modifications are underway. Saxon Mortgage Services leads all servicers by providing trials to 44% of its eligible portfolio, according to the report. More than 375,000 borrowers are on track for a permanent modification by the end of the year, according to Michael Barr, assistant secretary for financial institutions at the Treasury.”

Bloomberg“Wealthy Investors Plan to Buy More Real Estate, Barclays Says” (11-30-09)

“Twice as many people plan to raise their investment in commercial and residential property as intend to reduce it, the Barclays Wealth unit said in an e-mailed statement today. The richer the individual, the greater the proportion of wealth is placed in real estate, the survey found.”

Orange County Register“Irvine home listings drop along with temps” (11-30-09)

“As of last Wednesday, there were 461 active homes for sale in Irvine, with an expected market time of 2.06 months, according to a biweekly report done by Steven Thomas of Altera Real Estate. That’s a benchmark tracking how many months it theoretically takes to sell all the inventory in the local MLS for-sale listings at the current pace of pending deals being made.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the CIRB reported that the value of non-residential building in 2008 had reached a total of $1.3 billion. Evan Gentry of G8 Capital predicted that Orange County would need another five years before real estate began to appreciate again. New home sales decreased by 18 percent in the West during October of 2008.