According to the CIRB, building permits were pulled for 3,088 housing units in May. Statistics from Freddie Mac show the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.69% last week. Several large banks, such as JP Morgan, are hiring thousands of mortgage officers in preparation to make more loans. TIGTA estimates the IRS awarded $26.7 million to fraudulent home buyer tax credit claims.

In The News:

CBIA - “California Housing Production Up in May, CBIA Announces” (6-24-10)

“According to statistics compiled by the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB), permits were pulled for 3,088 total housing units in May, up 4 percent from the same month a year ago but down 6 percent from April. Permits for single-family homes totaled 1,902, down 19 percent from May 2009 and down 17 percent from the previous month, while multifamily permits totaled 1,186, up 87 percent from a year ago and up 17 percent from April.”

Market Watch – “Fixed-rate mortgages, 5-year ARMs hit lows: Freddie Mac” (6-24-10)

“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.69% for the week ending June 24, down from 4.75% last week and 5.42% a year ago. Fifteen-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 4.13%, down from 4.20% last week and 4.87% a year ago.”

CNN - “Banks: We’re hiring so we can make more home loans” (6-24-10)

“Several banks are gearing up to do a whole lot more mortgage lending in the future. Even though new homes sales were at a historical low in May and the housing market in general is in the doldrums, these banks are hiring hundreds of loan originators, getting ready for what they believe will be a significant pick-up in lending. JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500), one of the nation’s largest lenders, is in the midst of hiring 1,200 mortgage officers.”

New York Times – “Fed Leaves Rates, Citing Overseas Threats” (6-24-10)

“The Federal Reserve’s policy-making arm said on Wednesday that it had decided to keep short-term interest rates near zero for ‘an extended period,’ citing challenges to economic growth, including the effect of new financial troubles abroad.”

Housing Wire – “Treasury Watchdog Says 1,295 Prisoners Claimed Homebuyer Tax Credit” (6-24-10)

“The Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration (TIGTA) released its latest interim audit (download here) on Internal Revenue Service (IRS) efforts to identify and prevent fraudulent homebuyer tax credits. All told, TIGTA’s investigation estimates the IRS paid out $26.7m in erroneous credits, less than 1% of the estimated $13.6bn in homebuyer tax credits claimed. Of the approximately 1.2m individuals who claimed the credit, TIGTA estimates 14,132 — about 1.1% — are erroneous or fraudulent claims.”

Housing Wire – “AIA Economist: Desperate Architects Find Themselves in Heated Bidding Wars” (6-24-10)

“We’ve certainly seen the pendulum swing in the other direction, probably even further back than where it started at over the last five years. Homes have gotten smaller. There is much more emphasis on not over investing or over improving. There’s a greater concern over affordability. What can I sell this for when I want to sell it and not trying to over extend the household in this economic environment.”

Housing Wire – “Regulators Find More than Half of Mortgage Modifications in Trouble Again” (6-24-10)

“Of the more than 1m modifications done in 2008 and 2009, 53% are either delinquent or in foreclosure again in Q110, according to a report from Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS).”

Housing Wire – “FHFA Monthly 30-Year Mortage Rate Report Unchanged in May” (6-24-10)

“In its report, the FHFA said the average interest rate for a conventional, 30-year fixed-rate purchase mortgage with a principal of $417,000 or less was 5.12% in May, even from last month’s report.”

Bloomberg - “Betting Who’s Right on Home Prices: Baker vs Maki” (6-24-10)

“Dean Maki, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital, says the worst is over for the U.S. housing sector. Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, expects another painful decline. They reflect an almost even split among forecasters on the outlook for residential real estate, and whichever side turns out to be right will have made a call on more than just home prices. Housing will play a crucial role in the direction of the nation’s economy and global financial markets, just as it triggered a two-year recession that erased more than 8 million U.S. jobs and $37 trillion from world stock markets.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

According to the MBA, the level of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding decreased to $3.31 trillion in the first quarter. The NAR reports existing home sales decreased by 2.2 percent last month. California home sales increased 1.2 percent last month. An amendment to the Wall Street Reform Bill being debated today in Congress would eliminate the hotly contested Home Valuation Code of Conduct.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Analysis: Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding Declined 0.9 Percent in First Quarter 2010″ (6-22-10)

“The level of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding decreased in the first quarter, to $3.31 trillion, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) analysis of the Federal Reserve Board Flow of Funds data. Declines were driven by drops in commercial and multifamily mortgages held in CMBS and construction loans held by banks and thrifts. The $3.31 trillion in commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding recorded by the Federal Reserve was a decrease of $31 billion or 0.9 percent from the fourth quarter of 2009. Multifamily mortgage debt outstanding rose to $852 billion, an increase of $3 billion or 0.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2009.”

NAR - “May Shows a Continued Strong Pace for Existing-Home Sales” (6-22-10)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.66 million units in May, down 2.2 percent from an upwardly revised surge of 5.79 million units in April. May closings are 19.2 percent above the 4.75 million-unit level in May 2009; April sales were revised to show an 8.0 percent monthly gain.”

California Builder – “Market Your Way Out of Tough Times” (6-22-10)

“Many businesses think ‘keeping your name in front of the public’ is a valid advertising strategy. It’s questionable at best, but it’s way too risky and low-yield in tough times. Instead, make sure your advertising is only in publications that reach your best prospects, and – this is the most important part – make a specific offer and call to action to get readers of the ad to call you.”

CAR - “May sales and price report” (6-22-10)

“Home sales increased 1.2 percent in May in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 23.2 percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.”

Sacramento Bee – “California personal income grows in quarter” (6-22-10)

“Personal income in California grew $14 billion to $1.57 trillion in the first quarter compared with the last quarter of 2009, according to statistics released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The 0.9 percent gain matched personal income growth for the United States, but California ranked 27th among all states.”

Inman - “Social networking sites gobble more traffic” (6-22-10)

“Social networking sites and websites hosting forums grew their market share by nearly 62 percent during the year ending in May — the largest gain among any real estate-related category, according to a new quarterly report from online metrics firm Hitwise. Visits to websites in the real estate category during May were down 24.3 percent from a year ago — the 12th consecutive month of year-over-year traffic declines dating to June 2009, the report said.”

Inman - “California may restrict lender claims over refis” (6-22-10)

“SB 1178, which passed the state Senate in a 30-4 vote on June 3, would extend protection from deficiency judgments to homeowners who have refinanced, but only up to the amount of their original loan. In other words, if the original mortgage was $300,000, and the homeowner refinanced and defaulted on a $350,000 loan, they would not be liable to repay the first $300,000.”

Housing Wire – “House Members Look to Eliminate HVCC, Change Appraisal Process” (6-22-10)

“An amendment to the Wall Street Reform Bill being debated today in Congress would eliminate the hotly contested Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC), which has changed much of the home appraisal process since its introduction last year. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) implemented HVCC in May 2009 in an attempt to improve the independence of appraisers by prohibiting lenders and third parties from influencing appraisals. It also limits the interactions between the appraisers and those originating the loan.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie and Freddie Servicers Refinance 53% More Loans in Q110: FHFA” (6-22-10)

“Mortgage servicers refinanced 53% more Fannie Mae Mae and Freddie Mac loans under the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) in Q110 than in the previous quarter, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). Delinquencies are improving as well in the Fannie and Freddie portfolios. According to the FHFA, the amount of loans behind by 60 or more days declined for the first time in two years, dropping by more than 23,000 to roughly 1.7m in Q110.”

Housing Wire – “Real Estate Owned Inventory to Peak in Summer 2011: BarCap” (6-22-10)

“The amount of REO inventory held by lenders is expected to peak in August 2011 at 545,000 properties, according to analysts at Barclays Capital. In April, REO remained relatively flat, increasing 0.8% from March to 526,000. The influx was primarily due to an increase in REO from the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), according to BarCap.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Fannie Mae said it would no longer guarantee mortgages on condos in buildings where fewer than 70% of the units have been sold. The Mortgage Bankers Association lowered its forecast of mortgage originations for 2009 to $2.03 trillion. Many lawmakers and businesses were calling for an extension of the $8,000 tax credit.\

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The NAHB reports that builder confidence increased from Q1 2009, but is still low. The MBA’s weekly survey shows that mortgage application volume increased by 3.4 percent. According to Freddie Mac, of all borrowers who had 30-year FRMs, 75% refinanced into a new 30-year FRM. Barclays estimates that foreclosure shadow inventory should peak during the summer of 2010.

In The News:

NAHB - “Active Adult Home Builder Activity, Confidence Remain Low” (5-12-10)

“The 55+ single-family HMI measures builder sentiments based on current sales, prospective buyer traffic and anticipated six-month sales for the 55+ single-family market.  A number greater than 50 indicates that more builders view conditions as good than poor. Although the index recorded a slight rise in the first quarter of 2010 – moving up two points to 19 from its 2009 Q1 level of 17 – the level of confidence remains low.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Refinance Applications Surge, Purchase Applications Drop in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (5-12-10)

“The Refinance Index increased 14.8 percent from the previous week and the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 9.5 percent from one week earlier.  The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 8.9 percent compared with the previous week and was 0.6 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 7, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 3.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3.4 percent compared with the previous week.”

Inman - “More U.S. residents on the move” (5-12-10)

“The percentage of U.S. residents who moved between 2008 and 2009 jumped to 12.5 percent (37.1 million people), according to a report by the U.S. Census Bureau. That increase comes after a record-low move rate between 2007 and 2008: 11.9 percent, or 35.2 million people. The bureau’s data comes from the 2009 Current Population Survey conducted between February and April every year at about 100,000 U.S. addresses. It includes residents who are at least 1 year old.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mortgage Refinancing Dominated by Fixed-Rate Products” (5-12-10)

“Of borrowers who had 30-year FRMs, 75% refinanced into a new 30-year FRM, while 15% opted for a 15-year FRM and the remaining 10% chose a 20-year FRM. Freddie said the combined 25% of 30-year borrowers that refinanced into a shorter-term loan is the most since Q304, when 30% of 30-year borrowers refinanced into a balloon mortgage or shorter-term FRM.”

Housing Wire – “Shadow Inventory To Peak in Summer of 2010: Barclays” (5-12-10)

“The shadow inventory of foreclosures should peak in the summer of 2010 before falling gradually in the later months, according to a new report from Barclays Capital. Barclays defines the shadow inventory of foreclosures as loans in 90-plus day delinquency or already in the foreclosure process. According to the report, there are currently 2.4m loans in 90-plus day delinquency and another 2.1m in foreclosure, totaling 4.5m in the shadow inventory.”

Housing Wire – “End in Sight for General Growth Bankruptcy” (5-12-10)

“The end is in sight, as a plan is in place for General Growth Properties (GGP: 14.96 +0.20%) to emerge from bankruptcy as early as this summer. The judge overseeing the case approved bidding procedures and the issuance of warrants to a group of investors led by Brookfield Asset Management (BAM: 25.49 +1.03%).”

Bloomberg - “‘Perfect Quarter’ at Four U.S. Banks Shows Fed-Fueled Revival” (5-12-10)

“Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the first, second and fifth-biggest U.S. banks by assets, all said in regulatory filings that they had zero days of trading losses in the first quarter. Citigroup Inc., the third-largest, doesn’t break out its daily trading revenue by quarter. It recorded a profit on each trading day, two people with knowledge of the results said.”

Bloomberg - “Morgan Stanley’s Gorman Denies Bank Misled CDO Buyers” (5-12-10)

“Morgan Stanley Chief Executive Officer James Gorman denied allegations the U.S. bank misled investors about mortgage derivatives it sold them. The firm is being probed by U.S. prosecutors over whether the bank misled clients when it sold them collateralized debt obligations as its own traders bet that the value of the securities would drop, the Wall Street Journal reported today. The New York-based firm hasn’t been contacted by the Justice Department, Gorman told reporters in Tokyo today.”

Irvine Co. is reentering the home construction business for the first time in over 20 years. Fannie Mae statistics show that the economy decelerated in the first quarter of 2010, but will likely increase in the near future. Real estate executive Anthony Ghio pled guilty to bid rigging in a scheme to profit off sheriff sale foreclosure auctions. The U.K. and Germany are interested in taking legal action against Goldman Sachs.

In  The News:

Orange County Register - “Irvine Co. to build its own homes” (4-19-10)

“The Irvine Co., sensing a shortage of financially strong homebuilders, is constructing homes on its own for the first time in over two decades. Using its Irvine Pacific brand that built parts of Irvine in the 1970s and 1980s, the giant land developer is making a twist in its unusual bet on a homebuilding rebound by re-entering the construction game.”

Inman - “A shorter wait to buy after deliquency” (4-19-10)

“To encourage distressed borrowers to agree to deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure, Fannie Mae is reducing the waiting period — from four years to two years — for them to become eligible for a new mortgage. The new policy, which will apply to loan applications submitted after June 30, requires a minimum downpayment of 20 percent from borrowers who have agreed to a deed-in-lieu within the past two years. Borrowers with a deed-in-lieu in the past two to four years will be required to put 10 percent down to be considered for a Fannie Mae-backed loan.”

Los Angeles Times – “Builders likely to offer incentives after federal tax credits expire” (4-19-10)

“With the April 30 deadline looming, home buyers need to get a move on if they hope to qualify for the federal tax credits of $8,000 for first-timers or $6,500 for owners wishing to move up. But even if you don’t have a binding contract in place by the end of the month, there’s a good chance that plenty of incentives will be available after the federal stimuli expire.”

Housing Wire – “Excess, Shadow Inventory Threaten Fragile Housing Recovery: Fannie” (4-19-10)

“Despite ‘encouraging’ recent growth in consumer spending, Fannie said economic growth likely decelerated from an annualized 5.6% in Q409 to 2.7% in Q110. Economists project a 3.1% rate of economic growth for all of 2010, according to the April outlook report by the Fannie Mae economics and mortgage market analysis group”

Housing Wire – “Real Estate Exec Pleads Guilty to Foreclosure Auction Bid Rigging” (4-19-10)

“A real estate executive in Stockton, Calif. pled guilty to bid rigging in a scheme to profit off sheriff sale foreclosure auctions. As HousingWire reported over the weekend, Anthony Ghio admitted in his guilty plea that he conspired with a group of real estate speculators who agreed not to bid against each other at certain public real estate foreclosure auctions in San Joaquin County, Calif. in order to suppress and restrain competition and to purchase distressed real estate at non-competitive prices, according to an announcement by the US Attorney for the Eastern District of California and the Department of Justice’s antitrust division.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (4-19-10)

“The piling on has already begun, and it’s probably just getting started. After the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) charged Goldman Sachs (GS: 163.32 +1.63%) with fraud for subprime investments, the U.K. and Germany could be set to take legal steps of their own against the investment bank, according to Reuters. Prime Minister Gordon Brown, who is in the middle of an election campaign, told BBC News Sunday he wants Britain’s own investigation into the dealings.”

Bloomberg - “Commercial-Property-Backed Debt Has ‘Violent Rally’” (4-19-10)

“Bonds backed by commercial real estate loans are gaining as investors flush with cash seek higher returns and the economic recovery gains steam. Yields on senior top-rated securities backed by mortgage payments for skyscrapers, hotels and shopping malls fell 0.11 percentage point to 2.19 percentage points more than Treasuries in the week ended April 16, according to a Barclays Plc index. The debt yielded 2.66 percentage points more than Treasuries a month ago, and 3.96 percentage points on Dec. 31, the data show.”

Bloomberg - “Simon’s General Growth Plan ‘Crazy,’ Berkowitz Says” (4-19-10)

“Simon Property Group Inc.’s bid to invest in General Growth Properties Inc. would give the largest U.S. mall owner too much control over its biggest competitor, said fund manager Bruce Berkowitz, who’s backing a rival plan.”

Bloomberg - “Lehman to Recover $12 Billion From Real Estate” (4-19-10)

“Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., the investment bank liquidating in bankruptcy, said it aims to recover $12 billion from real estate assets in the next five years, and another $17 billion from private equity and loans. Lehman, which filed the biggest U.S. bankruptcy in September 2008, disclosed the updated figures in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission today. A bankruptcy judge on April 15 approved Lehman’s plan to retain illiquid assets in a unit called Lamco for as long as five years before selling them.”

Inman - “Skeptics don’t expect REO flood” (4-19-10)

“If you consider nearly all of those homes to be ’shadow inventory’ — as analysts who track the performance of mortgage-backed securities did in one report last year — it’s difficult to imagine that there’s not more turmoil ahead in some housing markets. But estimates of the size of the shadow inventory overhang vary widely, ranging from as few as 770,000 homes to nearly 7 million. The wide range is due largely to differences in the way the term is defined, and on the assumptions made when calculating how many distressed borrowers are likely to lose their homes in coming years”

Builder confidence decreased by over 10 percent since the beginning of March. Sacramento home sales decreased by 26 percent from last year. According to LPS, the U.S. mortgage delinquency rate is currently at 10.25%. California contributed $2.6trn to the total $5.7trn of US housing wealth lost since the peak of 2006.

In The News:

NAHB - “Foreclosures Weigh on Builder Confidence in March” (3-15-10)

“Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes fell back two points to 15 in March as poor weather conditions and distressed property sales posed increasing challenges to both builders and buyers, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today.”

Sacramento Bee – “A typical slow February for Sacramento home sales” (3-15-10)

“The Sacramento Association of Realtors reports this morning that home sales continue in their sluggish winter pattern, with 1,156 homes closing escrow during February in Sacramento County and the City of West Sacramento. February sales of existing homes were essentially flat from January, and down 26 percent from Feb. 2009, SAR reported. The median price of $179,900 was up from $170,000 in January and up 7.7 percent from Feb. 2009.”

Wall Street Journal – “Mortgage Fraud Declines but Remains Virulent” (3-15-10)

“First American CoreLogic, a real estate information supplier, compiles an index of the rate of fraud on home mortgages. A version of the index that excludes subprime loans peaked in 2007 at about 112 (on a scale that equates the early-2005 level to 100). It has since dropped to 84.”

Housing Wire – “Housing Recovery is Spelled R-E-O” (3-15-10)

“According to data from Lender Processing Services (LPS: 40.02 -1.43%), a whopping 7.4m loans are now non-current, compared to just 4.1m on average between January and June of 2008.”

Housing Wire - “Pace of Mortgage Delinquency Slowing: LPS” (3-15-10)

“The total loan delinquency rate of US mortgages is 10.25% as of January 2010 — a 2% increase from December 2009 and a 22.1% increase from January 2009, according to mortgage performance data and analytics provider Lender Processing Services (LPS: 40.02 -1.43%). Another 3.3% of foreclosure inventory brings the total non-current rate to 13.5% in January.”

Housing Wire – “In California, a Unique State of Mortgage Borrower Behavior” (3-15-10)

“The state contributed $2.6trn to the total $5.7trn of US housing wealth lost since the peak of the housing market in Q2 2006, according to US asset-backed securities research this week from Deutsche Bank.”

Bloomberg - “Housing Real-Estate Recovery Signaled as Fed Unwinds” (3-15-10)

“The U.S. housing market is poised to withstand the removal of government and Federal Reserve stimulus programs and rebound later in the year, contributing to annual economic growth for the first time since 2006. Increases in jobs, credit and affordable homes will help offset the end of the Fed’s purchases of mortgage-backed securities this month and the expiration of a federal homebuyer tax credit in April. Sales will rise about 6 percent this year, and housing will account for 0.25 percentage point of the 3.6 percent growth, according to forecasts by Dean Maki, chief U.S. economist for Barclays Capital in New York.”

According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell by 0.01 percent from last week. Research from RealtyTrac shows that California and Florida account for 17 of the nation’s 20 worst housing markets. The Federal Reserve declared that the U.S. economy is now in recovery.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mac Mortgage Refinance Purchases Swell 41%” (1-28-10)

“The volume of refinance loans bought by mortgage giant Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.1799 -2.49%) continued to grow in December, swelling 41% from the previous month to $27.3bn.”

Housing Wire – “Capstead Writes Off $40m in Commercial Real Estate Liability” (1-28-10)

“According to analysts at Barclays Capital the worst performing commercial property sector is hotels. Last quarter, they note hotels saw a 177bp increase, to 11.4%, in the 30+ day delinquency rate, led by the $200m Renaissance Mayflower Hotel, located near the White House, and $130m Trinity Hotel Portfolio, a hotel investment consortium, both of which were transferred to a special servicer, likely for an orderly liquidation.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Rates Dip, Say Below 5%” (1-28-10)

“Freddie Mac’s (FRE: 1.17 -3.31%) weekly survey put the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) at 4.98% with an average 0.6-origination point for the week ending January 28. That’s a slight dip from last week, when Freddie said the rate was 4.99%. A year ago, the average 30-year FRM rate was 5.10%.”

Bloomberg – “Lenders Pursue Mortgage Payoffs Long After Homeowners Default” (1-28-10)

“Amid a crisis that stripped $6.4 trillion, or 28 percent, from the value of U.S. residential real estate since the 2006 peak, lenders are exercising their rights to pursue unpaid mortgage balances. To get their money, they can seize wages, tap bank accounts and put liens on other assets held by debtors.”

Bloomberg – “Lennar Rallies as Homebuilders Diverge on Profits” (1-28-10)

“Lennar Corp. and KB Home this month reported their first quarterly profits since 2007 because of special tax refunds designed to help homebuilders struggling with declines in sales.”

Bloomberg – “Las Vegas, California Cities Top Foreclosure List in 2009″ (1-28-10)

“Las Vegas homeowners had the highest U.S. foreclosure rate last year, and California and Florida cities accounted for 17 of the nation’s 20 worst markets as unemployment extended the housing recession.”

Bloomberg – “Fed Lays Ground for End to Stimulus With Recovery Declaration” (1-28-10)

“The Federal Reserve panel in charge of interest rates declared for the first time the U.S. economy is in ‘recovery’ and took several steps to prepare investors for the removal of aggressive monetary stimulus.”

Orange County Register - “Irvine home tops most-viewed list” (1-28-10)

“The folks at Realtor.com compiled a list of the top 10 most popular homes for sale in Orange County from their Web site (reflecting last week).”

Realty Times – “Homebuyer Tax Credit Boosts Economy” (1-28-10)

“The vast majority of current homeowners say they would spend the expanded version of the homebuyer tax credit on repaying existing debts, home improvements, savings and investments and household expenses, according to a Coldwell Banker survey of 1,000 homeowners.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported that mortgage application volume decreased by 38 percent in one week. Zillow.com estimated that 14 percent of homeowners were underwater. The Federal Reserve chose to keep the interest rate at zero.

CBIA reports that 36,209 building permits were issued in California last year. The 30-year mortgage rate decreased by 0.4 percent in December. DBRS expects loan servicers to allow more principal reductions as more attempted modifications fail. According to RealFacts, the average  Orange County apartment rent fell 6.7% during the 4th quarter of 2009.

In The News:

CBIA - “It’s Official: California Housing Production Reached New Low in 2009″ (1-26-10)

“California homebuilders put up the lowest number of homes for a single year in 2009, beating the previous low that was set in 2008, the California Building Industry Association announced today.  CBIA said just 36,209 permits were issued statewide last year for new homes, apartments, condominiums and townhomes, down 44 percent from 2008 and down a whopping 83 percent – 176,751 units – compared to 2004, the peak of the latest cycle.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Insurer MGIC Loses $1.3bn in 2009″ (1-26-10)

“The Wisconsin-based mortgage insurer posted a total $1.3bn net loss in all of 2009, more than double the $525.4m net loss in all of 2008.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Rates Dip in December, Stay Above 5 Percent” (1-26-10)

“The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) of $417,000 or less was 5.05% in December, down from 5.09% in November. The average interest rate on 15-year, FRM of $417,000 or less was 4.54%, down from 4.63% in November.”

Housing Wire – “Going Forward, BarCap Expects Mixed Results from REITs” (1-26-10)

“Analysts at Barclays Capital (BarCap) project mixed results from the real estate investment trust (REIT) sector, as the companies begin releasing their Q409 and year-end earnings reports. On average, the analysts expect fourth quarter funds from operations per share (FFOPS) for the REIT sector to increase 6.1% year-over-year, but decline 28.1% on an operating basis, which they define as excluding non-recurring items.”

Housing Wire – “Home Prices Continue to Improve in November” (1-26-10)

“Annual home price declines were in the single digits in November 2009, as the Standard & Poor’s (S&P)/Case-Shiller home price indices continue a 10-month run of improved results. The monthly indices track existing home prices every month on a year-over-year basis in 20 markets, broken down in 10-city and 20-city composites. The 10-city composite declined 4.5% and the 20-city composite declined 5.3% in November 2009 compared to November 2008.”

Housing Wire – “DBRS Expects Re-Defaults to Drive Principal Forgiveness” (1-26-10)

“With more than half of all modified loans expected to re-default in 2010, servicers are likely to increase the use of principal forgiveness, as an option to bring these continually distressed mortgages current, rating agency DBRS said in commentary yesterday.”

Bloomberg - “Fed Weighs Interest on Reserves as New Policy Rate“ (1-26-10)

“Federal Reserve policy makers are considering adopting a new benchmark interest rate to replace the one they’ve used for the last two decades. The central bank has been unable to control the federal funds rate since the September 2008 bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., when it began flooding financial markets with $1 trillion to prevent the economy from collapsing. Officials, who began a two-day meeting at 2 p.m. today in Washington, have said they may replace or supplement the fed funds rate with interest paid on excess bank reserves.”

Orange County Register – “Lake Forest has biggest O.C. rent cuts” (1-26-10)

“The average rent in that city was $1,347 a month during the fourth quarter vs. $1,520 in the fourth quarter of 2008. That compares to an average decrease of $105 countywide, according to RealFacts. The average  Orange County apartment rent fell 6.7% to $1,473 during the final three months of last year.”

Orange County Register – “4 O.C. cities top CA. home price gains” (1-26-10)

“The overall median price in December  was $496,070, down 0.6% from November, but up 12.1% from the prior year. Sales were up 4.5% from November and up 17.9% from December 2008.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR reported that existing home sales had increased by 6.5 percent within one month. Statistics from First American Corelogic showed that home prices fell in 38 U.S. states. Banks disposed of over $1 billion in loan and construction debt within one quarter. Distressed home sales represented 50 percent of the Southern California housing market.

MDA DataQuick reports that 7,828 new and resale houses and condos were sold in the Bay Area during December. According to OCC, seriously delinquent loans of 60 or more days increased to 6.2 percent of the servicing portfolio. Radar Logic’s study of 25 metropolitan markets shows that home sales increased by 46.7%. Freddie Mac’s weekly survey shows that mortgage rates on 30-year U.S. loans fall to 4.99%.

In The News:

DQNews - “Bay Area December home sales strongest in three years” (1-21-10)

“A total of 7,828 new and resale houses and condos were sold in the nine-county region last month. That was up 13.8 percent from 6,878 in November, and up 13.6 percent from 6,889 for December 2008, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

OCC - “OCC and OTS Mortgage Metrics Report” (1-21-10)

“Overall, mortgage performance continued to decline as a result of continuing adverse economic conditions including rising unemployment and loss in home values. The percentage of current and performing mortgages fell to 87.2 percent of the servicing portfolio. Seriously delinquent mortgages— loans 60 or more days past due and loans to delinquent bankrupt borrowers—rose to 6.2 percent of the servicing portfolio. Foreclosures in process increased to 3.2 percent, while new foreclosure actions remained steady for the third consecutive quarter at 369,209. Of particular note, delinquencies among prime mortgages, the largest category of mortgages, continued to climb. The percentage of prime mortgages that were seriously delinquent in the third quarter was 3.6 percent, up 19.6 percent from the second quarter and more than double the percentage of a year ago.”

Housing Wire – “BarCap Expects ‘Little Bite’ from FHA Underwriting Changes” (1-21-10)

“Recently-announced underwriting changes to the Federal Housing Administration’s (FHA) mortgage insurance program might be ‘all bark, little bite’ according to commentary Thursday by Barclays Capital (BarCap) researchers. The FHA changes include increases in the mortgage insurance premium, increased downpayment for low FICO borrowers, reduced ability to roll closing costs into the loan and increased lender recourse to FHA lenders.”

Housing Wire – “Radar Logic Says Housing Market is Poised for Recovery” (1-21-10)

“Residential real estate showed some signs of life in November, according to Radar Logic’s monthly Residential Property Index (RPX). November home sales volume increased year-over-year in all of the 25 metropolitan markets the RPX report covers. Sales volume increased 46.7% year-over-year and 1.5% month-over-month.”

Housing Wire – “PNC Posts $2.4bn Gain, 61 Permanent HAMP Mods in 2009″ (1-21-10)

“The PNC Financial Services Group (PNC: 55.70 -5.26%) reported a Q409 net income of $1.1bn, or $2.17 per diluted common share, an increase from the $559m gain in Q309. The company’s net income for the year reached $2.4bn, or $4.36 per diluted common share, compared to $914m, or $2.44 per share, in 2008.”

Housing Wire – “Investors Ask Fed for $1.4bn of TALF Loans to Buy Legacy CMBS” (1-21-10)

“The Federal Reserve Bank of New York on Wednesday received requests for $1.45bn of government loans to buy securities backed by commercial mortgages.”

Bloomberg - “BlackRock Proposes New Consumer Bankruptcy Option” (1-21-10)

“Consumers need a new type of bankruptcy that would better aid homeowners and be fairer for mortgage-bond investors than the existing U.S. loan-modification program, BlackRock Inc. Vice Chairman Barbara Novick said. BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, proposes creating a bankruptcy option under which terms of a consumer’s mortgage can be eased, though only after other debts are eliminated, Novick said in a telephone interview. Judges would need to follow a formulaic approach, she said.”

Bloomberg - “Homebuilders Turn to Private Equity for Financing” (1-21-10)

“More than 40 U.S. homebuilders have teamed up with private equity firms to acquire and complete unfinished subdivisions as banks cut construction lending. The investments will pay off for the builders and their investors if the prices are low enough and the locations are in areas where demand is recovering, said Megan McGrath, a home building industry analyst at Barclays Capital Inc. in New York.”

Bloomberg - “Bank Failures Should Destroy CEOs, Buffett Tells Fox” (1-21-10)

“President Barack Obama’s proposal to regulate banks should include a requirement that chief executive officers and their spouses forfeit their assets when companies fail, billionaire Warren Buffett said on Fox Business Network.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Rates on 30-Year U.S. Loans Fall to 4.99%” (1-21-10)

“Mortgage rates in the U.S. dropped for a third week, lowering borrowing costs for consumers and supporting government efforts to boost the housing market. The rate for 30-year fixed U.S. home loans fell to 4.99 percent for the week ended today from 5.06 percent, mortgage finance company Freddie Mac said in a statement today. The average 15-year rate declined to 4.4 percent from 4.45 percent, according to the McLean, Virginia-based company.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Life Insurers May Face More Real Estate Losses” (1-21-10)

“U.S. life insurers, a group led by MetLife Inc. and Prudential Financial Inc., may face $15 billion in additional commercial real estate losses, most of which will be recognized in the next two years, Fitch Ratings said.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAHB reported that builder confidence had decreased to a record low. Dataquick reported that foreclosures represented more than half of all sales.  Research from the Construction Industry Research Board showed that Orange County governments issued 3,156 building permits to homebuilders in 2008.

The Federal Reserve made $46.1 billion last year. The MBA predicts that mortgage originations will decline by 39 percent in 2010. According to Integrated Asset Services, national home prices fell by 0.3 percent in November of 2009. FHA reports that foreclosure starts on mortgages from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac decreased by 15 percent from the second quarter to the third quarter of 2009.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “Fed’s reaction to crisis helps deliver record $46.1-billion profit” (1-12-10)

“The Federal Reserve today announced it made a record $46.1-billion profit last year, countering concerns that the central bank has put too much taxpayer money at risk in attempts to stabilize the financial industry.”

Housing Wire – “MBA Expects Mortgage Originations to Fall 40% in 2010″ (1-12-10)

“The mortgage finance industry will likely see a continued slow-down in 2010 as unemployment remains high and home sales slide, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said Tuesday at a media briefing over the state of the real estate industry. The MBA projected total mortgage origination on residential one- to four-family properties is likely to plummet to $1.28trn in all of 2010, from $2.11trn in all of 2009. The projection marks a 39% decline in total mortgage origination in 2010.”

Housing Wire – “MetLife to Provide Reverse Mortgage Program for ABA Banks” (1-12-10)

“The American Bankers Association (ABA) partnered with MetLife Home Loans to provide member banks a reverse mortgage program. Banks provide reverse mortgages to let homeowners convert their home into cash and can allow older borrowers to supplement social security, meet medical expenses and make home improvements.”

Housing Wire – “Tax Refund Gives KB Homes $100m Q4 Profit” (1-12-10)

“A tax return from profits earned during the housing bubble put KB Home (KBH: 15.72 -4.03%) in positive net profit territory in its fiscal year Q409 that ended Nov. 30. Excluding a $191.7m tax refund, KB Home would have lost $91m in the quarter, but instead posted a $100.7m, or $1.31 per share, net profit. With or without the tax refund, the quarter’s results are better than the $307.3m loss in Q408.”

Housing Wire – “IAS Price Index Dips on Declines in Northeast, Midwest” (1-12-10)

“The Integrated Asset Services (IAS) index of national house shows prices fell 0.3% in November, the collateral valuation and management services firm said. That’s better than the 0.5% decline in prices the index experienced in October and the 0.6% decrease in September.”

Housing Wire – “Sellers Cut Listing Prices on 21% of Homes: Trulia” (1-12-10)

“As of Jan. 1, 2010, sellers cut listing prices on 21% of homes currently on the US market, according to the real estate site, Trulia.com.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Subpoenas 15 FHA Lenders With High Mortgage Defaults” (1-12-10)

“The U.S. Housing and Urban Development Department said it subpoenaed 15 mortgage companies today to seek out possible fraud in an effort to stem losses on loans insured by the Federal Housing Administration. HUD officials, who oversee the FHA mortgage insurance program, said they haven’t haven’t found any evidence of wrongdoing at the lenders, and were singling out those with the highest default rates.”

Bloomberg - “Life Insurers to Sidestep CMBS Losses, Barclays Says” (1-12-10)

“U.S. life insurers, a group led by MetLife Inc. and Prudential Financial Inc., will sidestep losses on investments tied to commercial mortgages, said Eric Berg, an analyst with Barclays Plc. ”

Bloomberg - “PMI Drops After Goldman Sachs Sell Recommendation” (1-12-10)

“PMI Group Inc., the third-largest U.S. mortgage insurer, fell the most in five months after a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analyst said he expects more losses as foreclosures increase.”

Inman - “More loans going bad, but more get help” (1-12-10)

“More homeowners fell behind on their payments during the third quarter of 2009, but fewer were funneled into the foreclosure process as loan servicers engaged in more loan workouts, modifications and short sales, according to a new report. Foreclosure starts on loans guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fell 15 percent from the second quarter to the third quarter, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said in its quarterly Foreclosure Prevention and Refinance Report.”

Orange County Register – “Housing market warming up in south coast?” (1-12-10)

“In a typically slow quarter for real estate, all three south coast cities saw their expected market time speed up a bit, according to a biweekly report by Steven Thomas of Altera Real Estate. Two weeks ago, it would have taken an expected 6.86 months to sell all of Dana Point’s active home stock, which has sped up slightly to an expected 5.16 months.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, some economists estimated that the Modesto, Stockton, Bakersfield, Riverside and Sacramento housing markets would take the longest to recover. President Bush requested the remaining $350 billion of the financial rescue, and handed his economic authority to Barack Obama. Distressed home sales in Orange County decreased by 7.2 percent.

A survey from Bank of America shows that only 12 percent of the institutions who received TARP relief believe that the program positively impacted their operations. Barclay’s estimates that credit availability may increase during the next 6 to 12 months. Default Research reports that pre-foreclosure filings in California decreased in several counties. Statistics from Freddie Mac show that mortgage purchases decreased by 13% in November.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “Only 12% of Bank Execs Think TARP Leaves Positive Impact” (12-30-09)

“While larger financial institutions complete full repayment of the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), as is the case with the $45bn repaid last week by Citi (C: 3.32 -1.48%) and Wells Fargo (WFC: 26.82 +0.52%), a bank survey completed by the Bank Administration Institute (BAI) claims only 12% of respondents feel the program positively impacted their operations.”

Housing Wire – “Origination Funding May Increase as Credit Restrictions Ease in 2Q10, Analysts Predict” (12-30-09)

“A recent set of research focusing on 2010 strategies for investors of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) by analysts at Barclays Capital finds that credit availability for mortgage originations may increase in the next six to 12 months. However, the situation will remain tight in the next three to six months, they add, as the market grapples with ongoing risk aversion sentiments, loan repurchases stabilization and new regulatory procedures that will need this time to take hold.”

Housing Wire – “Foreclosure Notices Drop in Major Counties: Default Research” (12-30-09)

“The number of pre-foreclosure filings in California, which include notices of default and notices of trustee sales, dropped across several counties in November, according to statistics from Default Research, which tracks the notices. The hard-hit Los Angeles County had a 10% decline from last month to 3.08% in November. Orange County, where 3.4% received a filing, had a drop of 8% in November. In Riverside County, 9.2% received a pre-foreclosure filing, a 13.7% decline from October.”

Housing Wire – “NAMB Criticizes Regulation Z Amendment” (12-30-09)

“In a letter to the Federal Reserve Board, the National Association of Mortgage Brokers (NAMB) said that certain aspects of the proposed rule to amend Regulation Z would impede market competition. Section 404 of the Helping Families Save their Home Act of 2009 took effect in May and requires a 30 day notice to mortgage borrowers of their loans being transferred for securitization. Called Regulation Z, the Fed’s interim final rule enforces the requirement under the Act.”

Housing Wire - “Fannie’s Serious Delinquencies Nears 5% in November” (12-30-09)

“After mortgage giant Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.42 -5.33%) reported a 13% drop in mortgage purchases in November, Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.16 -7.20%) shows its book of business declined at an annualized rate of 6.7% in the same month, according to its monthly summary”

Housing Wire – “List of HAMP Servicers Moves Past 100″ (12-30-09)

“The US Treasury Department added four new servicers to the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), raising the total number of participants to 103, according to the latest Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) transaction report.”

Bloomberg - “GMAC Said to Discuss U.S. Aid Package of $3 Billion or More” (12-30-09)

“GMAC Inc., the home and auto lender that counts the U.S. government as the largest stakeholder, is discussing with the Obama administration a third bailout of $3 billion to $4 billion, said a person familiar with the matter.”

Orange County Register – “Tough market eyed for high-end housing” (12-30-09)

“There is a chance this is not the bottom for the all price ranges! However, under $500,000 looks to be in pretty good shape, although appreciation will continue to be very faint! Above $500,000 it will continue to be a tough market, as there are very few move-up buyers from the lower price ranges with money to support the higher price structure”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the Case Schiller index showed that home prices dropped by 18 percent in 20 major U.S. cities. Lockhart estimated that the government would need to provide lower borrowing costs to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The Federal Reserve forecasted that mortgage modifications would be significantly hindered by second mortgages. Fannie Mae’s portfolio of mortgages increased by 9.3 percent in one month.