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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/10/10

Wednesday, November 10th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

A lack of cooperation between big banks and investors is causing the California foreclosure program to be delayed. The FDIC approved a proposal that would base fees on banks’ liabilities rather than their domestic deposits. Zillow expects home values to continue to depreciate through the end of the year. The National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform suggested limiting mortgage interest rate deductions on taxes.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “California foreclosure aid fund swells, but banks hesitate” (11-10-10)

“Federal funding for a California plan that helps borrowers facing foreclosure has snowballed to $2 billion, enough to potentially help more than 100,000 homeowners. But the program lacks formal agreements with the nation’s largest banks and investors, and their cooperation is needed to make the proposed effort broadly successful.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “FDIC OKs plan to overhaul insurance fund payments” (11-10-10)

“The FDIC board Tuesday approved two proposals for overhauling assessments for its deposit insurance fund, including one that would base the fees on banks’ liabilities rather than their domestic deposits. The fee proposal, a response to the Dodd-Frank financial-regulation law, would increase assessments on banks with more than $10 billion in assets.”

Mortgage Bankers Association - “Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (11-10-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 5, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 5.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 5.4 percent compared with the previous week.”

Housing Wire - “Obama commission considers mortgage interest tax deduction limits” (11-10-10)

“The National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform, proposed limiting the mortgage interest rate deduction on taxes, one of the primary incentives for owning a home.”

Housing Wire – “Delinquencies in CMBS rose to 8.39% in October” (11-10-10)

“Moody’s Investors Service said the number of delinquencies in commercial mortgage-backed securities rose to 8.39% in October, as the rate continues to slow but remains elevated.”

Housing Wire – “Hands-off Fed to give consumer protection bureau $500 million” (11-10-10)

“The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau will require $500 million in funding from the Federal Reserve, which will take no part in the decision making at the new regulatory giant, said Sandra Braunstein, director of the consumer and community affairs division at the Fed.”

Housing Wire – “Zillow: Home price depreciation to worsen market into 2011″ (11-10-10)

“Predictions for the fourth quarter housing market continue to dim as Zillow’s third quarter market report released Wednesday suggests further house price depreciation through the end of the year. September home prices depreciated 0.4% from August and 4.3% from one year a go to a national average of $179,900, according to the report.”

Bloomberg - “Foreclosure Probe on `Fast Track,’ Iowa AG Miller Says” (11-10-10)

“The investigation by attorneys general in 50 U.S. states into banks’ foreclosure practices is on ‘a fast track’ and any resolution might involve multiple settlements, Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller said.”

Bloomberg - “General Growth Rises on First Day After Bankruptcy Exit; Plans Dividend” (11-10-10)

“General Growth Properties Inc., the company that exited the largest U.S. real estate bankruptcy yesterday, rose 6.7 percent in New York in its first day of trading as solely a mall landlord.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/1/10

Monday, November 1st, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Credit Suisse estimates Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will have cumulative losses of $321 billion. Private mortgage servicers modified 119,585 loans in September, over 4 times as many modifications performed through HAMP. Statistics from the Federal Reserve show home equity accounted for 16.2% of net worth in the 2nd quarter.

In The News:

RecordNet.com - “Economic forecast heads south” (10-31-10)

“He previously forecast California’s unemployment rate would drop to 11 percent in 2011 and to less than 10 percent the year after. The October report now has state jobless rates remaining above 10 percent well into 2013. San Joaquin County will remain in the doldrums a while longer, with annual jobless rates hovering above 17 percent for the next two years before easing to 16.4 percent in 2013, according to the Pacific forecast.”

Market Watch – “White-collar recession, blue-collar depression” (10-30-10)

“the disparity between white-collar and blue-collar unemployment is stunning: 4.5% among college graduates versus 10.8% for those with a high-school diploma, and 14.3% for those without one.”

Daily Finance – “The Foreclosure Mess: It’s Even Worse in ‘Nonjudicial’ States” (10-30-10)

“In 23 states, before a lender can foreclose on a homeowner for defaulting on a mortgage, it must take the homeowner to court. As we’ve seen, even with judicial review that process has still been shot through with problems. But for a troubled homeowner in California, Texas and 25 other ‘nonjudicial’ states, the robo-signing scandal and foreclosure mess are even more dangerous because the lender doesn’t have to go to court to foreclose. Fraudulent paperwork can be used with impunity unless the homeowner is in bankruptcy, which is a judicial process, or unless the homeowner is represented in the foreclosure by an attorney who knows what to look for.”

Housing Wire – “SEC reminds banks to disclose impacts of mortgage repurchases, foreclosure reviews” (11-1-10)

“Major banks are struggling to get an accurate estimate on how much agency and private-label mortgage-backed securities losses they will be responsible for repaying to the purchasers of those securities, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.”

Housing Wire – “Credit Suisse projects $321 billion more losses for Fannie, Freddie” (11-1-10)

“Credit Suisse analysts estimate $321 billion in cumulative losses at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, based on a further 10% decline in home prices over the next year. Under that scenario, prices would flatten over in following year and experience a 3% annual appreciation going forward.”

Housing Wire – “TransUnion: delinquent mortgage roll rates highest in month after recession” (11-1-10)

“The number of delinquent mortgages that moved to a more serious status peaked the month after the recession officially ended, according to a study by TransUnion. The credit information company said the level of consumers who rolled their delinquency status to 60 days from 30 and to 90 days from 60 reached its highest point in July 2009. Nearly a quarter of those who were 30-days late on their mortgage payments in June 2009 became 60 days past due in July 2009, according to TransUnion”

Housing Wire – “Private mortgage modifications outnumber HAMP 4 to 1 in September” (11-1-10)

“Mortgage servicers modified 119,585 loans through private programs in September, more than four times the 27,840 done through the Treasury’s Home Affordable Modification Program, according to the Hope Now alliance.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (11-1-10)

“Fannie Mae directed servicers to work closely with Housing Finance Agencies across the country now that the HFAs received a total $7.6 billion in Hardest Hit Funds from the Treasury Department. The money will be used to provide temporary relief to unemployed mortgage borrowers through the HHF Unemployment Programs and delinquent borrowers through the HHF Reinstatement Programs.”

Bloomberg - “Housing Matters Little to U.S. Consumers’ Wealth: Chart of the Day” (11-1-10)

“home equity accounted for 16.2 percent of net worth at the end of the second quarter, the Fed’s data showed.”

Bloomberg - “JPMorgan Trims Biggest Mortgage Putback Estimate to $90 Billion” (11-1-10)

“JPMorgan Chase & Co. analysts lowered their estimate for the cost to sellers of repurchasing soured U.S. mortgages to as much as $90 billion from a range that went as high as $120 billion.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/21/10

Thursday, October 21st, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to MDA DataQuick, 6,334 houses and condos closed escrow in Northern California during September. The government estimates that the financial rescue involving Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Bank of America is suing the FDIC for $1.75 billion. The Labor Department reports jobless claims decreased 4.8% last week.

In The News:

MDA DataQuick – “Bay Area September Home Sales Second-Lowest in 19 years” (10-21-10)

“A total of 6,334 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in the nine-county Bay Area last month, down 5.4 percent from 6,698 in August and down 19.6 percent from 7,879 in September 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Associated Press – “Tab for Fannie, Freddie could soar to $259B” (10-21-10)

“The government spelled out Thursday just how much the most expensive rescue of the financial crisis will end up costing taxpayers — as much as $259 billion for mortgage buyers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.”

Housing Wire – “Moody’s analysts don’t see mortgage ownership as an issue for RMBS” (10-21-10)

“Moody’s Investors Service said mortgage ownership in trust shouldn’t be an issue within the residential mortgage-backed securities space as delayed foreclosures become more of a risk for the housing market.”

Housing Wire – “HUD Secretary: Foreclosure problems not ‘systemic’” (10-21-10)

“Department of Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan said recent foreclosure problems at some mortgage servicers are not ‘systemic issues.’ Donovan spoke after a meeting among regulators who will review foreclosure processes among the major servicers. Bank of America (BAC: 11.38 -3.15%), JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 37.678 -1.11%) and Ally Financial (GJM: 22.22 +0.45%) suspended foreclosures in 23 states after admitting employees signed affidavits without reviewing documents or having a notary present.”

Housing Wire – “Credit unions originated high-quality mortgages in 2010 in QMS survey” (10-21-10)

“Credit unions are originating the highest quality mortgage loans so far this year, according to survey results released Wednesday by Quality Mortgage Services. According to the data, nearly 50% of loans originated by credit unions were rated ‘excellent,’ meaning their loans had few to no defects.”

Housing Wire – “BofA sues FDIC to recover $1.75 billion for TBW investors” (10-21-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 11.39 -3.06%) filed suit against the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. to recover $1.75 billion for Ocala Funding investors allegedly swindled by Colonial Bank, Platinum Community Bank and Taylor, Bean & Whitaker.”

Housing Wire – “Jobless claims fall nearly 5% to 452,000″ (10-21-10)

“Initial jobless claims fell 4.8% last week to 452,000, which is roughly inline with analysts’ estimates but still too high to indicate much change in the job market. The Labor Department said the seasonally adjusted figure of actual initial claims for the week ended Oct. 16 decreased by 23,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 475,000 that was up sharply from the 462,000 previously reported.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mac: 30-year fixed mortgage rate up for first time in five weeks” (10-21-10)

“The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased for the first time in five weeks to 4.21% with an average 0.8 point for the week ending Oct. 21, according to the weekly Freddie Mac market survey.”

Bloomberg - “General Growth Plan Approval Resolves Biggest U.S. Real Estate Bankruptcy” (10-21-10)

“General Growth Properties Inc., the second-largest mall owner in the U.S., won court approval of the last stage of its restructuring, a year and a half after filing the biggest real estate bankruptcy in U.S. history.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported that mortgage applications decreased by 13.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from the previous week. According to Altos Research, asking prices increased by 1.5 percent in Los Angeles. The Federal Reserve believed that commercial real estate would not begin to recover for at least 9 more months. Lehman announced that it intended to begin funding home loans again.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/4/10

Monday, October 4th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

GMAC Mortgage, JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America may have to reconsider past evictions due to poor foreclosure processing procedures. According to the NAR, pending home sales rose 4.3% in August. The CAR expects 2010 home sales to be 10% lower than the total number of sales in 2009. 10.2% of all mortgages in the nation’s top-100 most populated areas are over 90 days delinquent.

In The News:

New York Times – “Flawed Paperwork Aggravates a Foreclosure Crisis” (10-3-10)

“The flawed practices that GMAC Mortgage, JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America have recently begun investigating are so prevalent, lawyers and legal experts say, that additional lenders and loan servicers are likely to halt foreclosure proceedings and may have to reconsider past evictions.”

Wall Street Journal – “Number of the Week: 41.7 Million Spend Too Much on Housing” (10-2-10)

“As of 2009, some 41.7 million U.S. households, or 36.7% of the total, faced housing costs that exceeded 30% of their pretax income — a level typically defined as the threshold of affordability. That’s an increase of 1.5 million from 2007, despite a sharp drop in house prices and policy makers’ extraordinary efforts to bring down mortgage payments.”

Washington Post – “Paperwork storm hits nation’s biggest bank” (10-2-10)

“A Bank of America executive, Renee Hertzler, said in a February deposition in Massachusetts that she signed as many as 8,000 foreclosure documents a month without reviewing them.”

Orange County Register – “When real estate riches turn to rags” (10-4-10)

“Bankruptcy court records show that nearly 700 mostly elderly investors entrusted their savings in PPA, as the firm is known. Attorneys estimate that they lost $80 million to $90 million – most, if not all, the money that investors put in. PPA raised cash from investors with plans to buy apartment buildings, fix them up and sell them for a profit, promising returns of up to 15 percent a year.”

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Show Another Gain” (10-4-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, rose 4.3 percent to 82.3 based on contracts signed in August from a downwardly revised 78.9 in July, but is 20.1 percent below August 2009 when it was 103.0. The data reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months.”

CAR - “C.A.R. 2011 California Housing Market Forecast” (10-4-10)

“California home sales for 2010 are forecast to decline 10 percent from the 2009 sales figure of 546,500 homes sold. Sales in 2011 are projected to increase a lackluster 2 percent to 502,000 units compared with 492,000 units (projected) in 2010. After two consecutive years of record-setting price declines, the median home price in California will climb 11.5 percent in 2010 to $306,500 and increase another 2 percent in 2011 to $312,500, according to the forecast.”

Housing Wire - “Study shows one in 10 mortgages seriously delinquent” (10-4-10)

“Working with the Local Initiatives Support Corp., and the Urban Institute gathered and analyzed delinquency data on 366 U.S. metro areas. Seriously delinquent mortgages are behind on payments by 90-plus days or in foreclosure. According to the study 10.2% of all mortgages in the top-100 populated areas were in this category, up from 7.7% in March 2009.”

Housing Wire – “New FHA data requirements for sponsored origination effective today” (10-4-10)

“New data requirements for loans originated by sponsored originators for securities backed by the Federal Housing Administration take effect today. If a lender plans to use a sponsored originator, they must be registered in the FHA database and included on all loan application documents.”

Housing Wire – “Fed official hints at second round of quantitative easing” (10-4-10)

“Federal Reserve Bank of New York Executive Vice President Brian Sack is dropping hints that the Fed will soon begin to purchase mortgage-backed securities as part of quantitative easing and larger economic stimulus.”

Housing Wire - “2010 consumer bankruptcy filings hit highest level since 2005″ (10-4-10)

“Consumer bankruptcy filings increased 3.3% from August, to 130,329. Chapter 13 filings accounted for 30% of those, also a slight increase from the month previous. The American Banking Institute it expects the number of bankruptcy filings to steadily increase.”

Housing Wire – “Home prices drop for fourth straight month: Altos Research” (10-4-10)

“Home prices in the Altos Research 10-city composite index dropped 1.5% to an average median price of $465,968 in September after a 1% drop the month before.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 8/4/10

Wednesday, August 4th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Mortgage application volume increased 1.3 percent this week, according to the MBA. Large home builders, such as PulteGroup and DR Horton, are claiming a quarterly profit. Analysts expect total payrolls to decline in official Census data which is due Friday. The American Bankruptcy Institute expressed concerns that consumer bankruptcies might total 1.6 million this year.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (8-4-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 30, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 1.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 1.4 percent compared with the previous week.”

Washington Post – “FHA tells Congress: Mortgage insurance claims are down; home prices a concern” (8-4-10)

“Mortgages backed by the Federal Housing Administration have performed better than expected so far this fiscal year, though the improvements could be overturned if home prices sink, according to a report the agency submitted to Congress this week. That audit found that as the FHA’s loan volume expanded, its default rate rose and the excess cash it set aside to deal with unexpected losses eroded to dangerously low levels as of Sept. 30. The auditors concluded taxpayers would be on the hook for losses if worst-case scenarios played out — a first for the agency, which has always used fees it charges borrowers to pay lenders for losses.”

Housing Wire – “Healthy Quarterly Reports from Homebuilders may be Short-Lived” (8-4-10)

“The country’s top four homebuilders all posted profits in their most recent quarterly earnings report, but with the tax credit gone, analysts predict the bounceback will likely be short-lived, as demand dries up. DR Horton (DHI: 10.48 -1.13%) added its third consecutive profitable quarter while Michigan-based PulteGroup (PHM: 8.38 -0.59%) returned to profitability after years of losses as it continues to try to meet its earlier projections of a profitable 2010.”

Housing Wire – “Census Firings Expected to Weigh on Weak July Private Sector Job Growth” (8-4-10)

“Nonfarm private sector employers added an estimated 42,000 jobs to payrolls in July, according to the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) national employment report published today (download here). The ADP’s estimates do not include layoffs of temporary workers no longer needed for the 2010 Census, however, and analysts are expecting total payrolls to decline in official data, due Friday. ADP also revised its estimate for the increase from May to June up 46% to 19,000, from the initial 13,000 estimate.”

Housing Wire – “20m Borrowers Could Be Underwater before 2012: Deutsche Bank” (8-4-10)

“More than 14m borrowers were underwater as of Q110, owing more on a mortgage than the value of the underlying property. But with a further 10.8% decline in house prices expected relative to Q409 levels, another 6m borrowers are likely fall into negative equity by the end of 2011, according to commentary today by Deutsche Bank.”

Bloomberg – “U.S. Consumer Bankruptcies May Exceed 1.6 Million, Report Says” (8-4-10)

“U.S. consumer bankruptcies, after rising 9 percent last month from June, might exceed 1.6 million this year, according to the American Bankruptcy Institute. The 137,698 bankruptcy filings in July also represent a 9 percent increase from a year earlier, the institute said yesterday in a statement posted on its website, citing data from the National Bankruptcy Research Center.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. apartment rents creep up” (8-4-10)

“A 15-month run of falling rents appears to be at an end, with the biggest landlords doing an about face and raising rents again as their apartments fill up. The average rent for a large Orange County apartment complex increased $4 during the quarter ending on June 30, rising to $1,482, according to apartment tracker RealFacts.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR announced pending home sales increased by 3.6 percent during July. The nations biggest homebuilders recorded quarterly losses. Approximately 9% of eligible borrowers had received a trial loan modification under the Obama administration’s $75 billion foreclosure prevention plan.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/26/10

Monday, July 26th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Commerce Department new home sales increased 23.6% last month. Statistics from LPS show show 9.39% of all loans were delinquent by more than 30 days. The national vacancy rate on multifamily properties  decreased to 7.8%, according to BarCap. A survey from Campbell Survey suggests that home prices will continue to fall.

In The News:

CNN - “New home sales rebound 24%” (7-26-10)

“New home sales increased 23.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 330,000 last month, up from an downwardly revised 267,000 in May, the Commerce Department reported Monday. Sales year-over-year fell 16.7%.”

CBIA - “Housing Starts Rise Again in June, CBIA Announces” (7-26-10)

“According to statistics compiled by the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB), permits were pulled for 4,238 total housing units in June, up 19 percent from the same month a year ago and up 34 percent from May. It was the largest monthly total since December of 2008 when 4,658 total permits had been issued. Permits for single-family homes totaled 2,628, down 9 percent from June 2009 but up 33 percent from the previous month, while multifamily permits totaled 1,610, up 140 percent from a year ago and up 35 percent from May.”

Wall Street Journal – “Mortgage Delinquencies Fall in June, Still Near Record Highs” (7-26-10)

“Some 9.39% of all loans were 30 days or more past due, down from 9.54% in May, according to LPS Applied Analytics, which tracks loan data. An additional 3.69% of mortgages were in some stage of foreclosure, down from 3.72% in May and the record high of 3.81% in March.”

Housing Wire – “Multifamily Rental Demand Catching up to Supply: BarCap” (7-26-10)

“The multifamily net absorption rate, or the amount of space leased after deducting the amount of supply, increased by more than 46,000 units in Q210, the highest increase in 10 years, according to BarCap. The national vacancy rate on multifamily properties also decreased to 7.8% from 8% over the same time”

Housing Wire – “As FHA Mortgage Volume Increases From 2009, Serious Delinquencies Spike” (7-26-10)

“The rate of seriously delinquent mortgages backed by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) declined slightly from May to June, but the gross number of mortgages that are either 90 or more days past due or in foreclosure increased 35% year-over-year. According to the FHA June single-family operations report, the total volume of mortgage in-force increased more than 24% to 6.4m in June compared to the same month one year ago. The total value of unpaid FHA mortgages was $865.5bn in June, up 30.3% from $663.8bn one year ago and up 3.3% from $837.8bn in May.”

Housing Wire - “The New Math Surrounding HAMP Doesn’t Add Up” (7-26-10)

“There is no other way to say this: we’re being lied to. Willfully. Anyone who managed to read headlines around the U.S. Treasury’s latest HAMP report card last week would likely have thought the program a huge success –- with more than one media outlet trumpeting impossibly miniscule re-default rates among permanent HAMP mods. At HW, we chose not to run with the HAMP redefault numbers except to note that Treasury officials had added them into the latest report card. And this choice was made with purpose: we knew these numbers were fake. Nobody gets a 1.7% redefault rate 6 months after modification –- not even Uncle Sam”

Housing Wire – “Campbell Survey: Housing Prices Drop in June and Will Continue to Fall” (7-26-10)

“A 32% plummet in new home sales in May correlates with a drop in overall homebuyer activity, although updated data out today from the Census Bureau shows a nearly 24% surge in new home sales in June.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (7-26-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) took receivership of seven banks last week with a combined cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) of $468.2m. It brings the total closings in 2010 to 103 banks. At this time last year, there were 64 closings. Bank failures in 2009 took until October to pass 100.”

Housing Wire – “MIT-Harvard Study: Foreclosure drops house value by 27%” (7-26-10)

“A foreclosure reduces the value of a house by 27%, on average, and accounts for a much steeper price drop than other forced sales, according to a study by an Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) economist and two Harvard University researchers. In comparison, when a house is sold after the death of an owner, the price drops 5% to 7% on average. When an owner declares bankruptcy, the value sinks 3%, according to the report.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Small-Business Aid May Create $300 Billion of `Junk’ Loans” (7-26-10)

“The U.S. Senate may vote this week on a bill to funnel $30 billion of capital to community banks, whose business customers typically are small firms. Banks could leverage the sum to make $300 billion in loans that create jobs, according to a Senate summary. That could more than double the commercial and industrial loans at eligible banks as of the first quarter, according to data compiled by KBW Inc.”

Orange County Register – “Owners rush to sell O.C. homes” (7-26-10)

“Orange County housing inventory grew by the largest amount so far this year, adding an additional 418 homes in the past two weeks and now totals 11,235. The market has not breached the 11,000 mark since the beginning of April 2009. Last year at this time the inventory was at 8,895 homes, 2,340 fewer than today. The inventory has not stopped growing at all this year as more and more pent up homeowners have opted to place their homes on the market at unrealistic levels.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. distressed homes up 35%” (7-26-10)

“Last year at this time, there were 2,616 distressed homes on the market, 841 fewer than today. The number of foreclosures within the active listing inventory increased by 35 homes in the past two weeks from 578 to 613 … Short sales, where a homeowner attempts to sell a home for less than the total outstanding loans against a home, requiring lender approval, increased by 115 homes over the past two weeks and now total 2,844.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the quarterly homeownership rate was 67.3 percent. The average rate on 30-year fixed mortgages was 5.2 percent. The state Senate approved a budget package that was believed to be capable of closing the state’s $26.3 billion deficit.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/22/10

Thursday, July 22nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

CAR reports California home sales decreased 4.2 percent in June. Statistics from the NAR show existing home sales 5.1 percent in June. Ascension Capital Group predicts total bankruptcy filings will top 1.63m in 2010, and increase nearly 10% in 2011. Eight million homeowners are currently not paying their mortgage.

In The News:

CAR - “June sales and price report” (7-22-10)

“Home sales decreased 4.2 percent in June in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 13.6 percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.”

NAR - “Existing-Home Sales Slow in June but Remain Above Year-Ago Levels” (7-22-10)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, fell 5.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.37 million units in June from 5.66 million in May, but are 9.8 percent higher than the 4.89 million-unit pace in June 2009.”

Housing Wire – “Servicers Dissect HAMP, Short Sales at Loss Mit Conference” (7-22-10)

“While Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) often gets a bad rap in the press, panelists at the loss mitigation conference in Dallas Thursday were less inclined to call the program a failure although they pointed to some weaknesses.”

Housing Wire - “HUD to Probe Claims of Mortgage Discrimination” (7-22-10)

“The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) announced Wednesday that it will launch a series of investigations to determine if the lending practices used by certain mortgage lenders violated the Fair Housing Act. Questions arose after the New York Times published an article demonstrating that firms may have illegally denied mortgages to expectant mothers and families experiencing short-term disability.”

Housing Wire – “Bankruptcy Creates Many Problems in Mortgage Loss Mit” (7-22-10)

“Total bankruptcy filings are projected to top 1.63m in 2010, and increase nearly 10% and nearly 9% in 2011 and 2012, respectively, according John Griggs, chief operating officer of Fort Worth-based Ascension Capital Group. Griggs said the rate of bankruptcy filings closely follows rates of foreclosure, unemployment and strategic default. Ascension projects unemployment will remain high through the end of 2010, then flatten out and reduce and hover around 8% by late 2011 or early 2012.”

Inman – “Record low rates spur refis but not sales” (7-22-10)

“The survey showed 30-year fixed-rate loans averaging 4.56 percent with 0.7 point, essentially unchanged from last week’s 4.57 percent reading, but down from 5.2 percent a year ago and a new low in records dating to 1971. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage also hit a low in records dating to 1991, falling from 4.06 percent last week to 4.03 percent with an average 0.7 point. At this time a year ago, those loans averaged 4.68 percent.”

Inman - “A view on 62% homeownership” (7-22-10)

“Eight million homeowners are currently not paying their mortgage, and we believe 6 million of them will lose their home to the bank in the next two years. This will reduce the homeownership rate to 62 percent”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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183-TNG Radio – Tony Alvarez 7-17-10

Friday, July 16th, 2010

Tony-Alvarez

Tony Alvarez

Author and Investor

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This week Bruce is joined by Tony Alvarez. Tony is a successful investor. He now lectures inside and outside California. Tony is the author of Breaking Into The REO Business. How I Went From Bankruptcy to $7.2 Million in 7 Years While Making Friends.

After the Multi-Millionaire event, Tony spent five years writing his book. Some self proclaimed real estate educators are using things like infomercials to rip people off. Tony was speaking in Vegas some time ago, and while he was there, he heard a story from a young man who spent $40,000 on real estate classes. When this young man was later sent the list of all the classes he paid for, he realized that they were taking place in different states, and he had no way to pay for the traveling expenses. Tony has met many people who are paying large sums of money to learn about real estate, and many of them are being scammed.

You do not need to pay $15,000 to learn how to buy a house. Tony’s book is 25 dollars. You can check out Tony and his website at www.tonyalvarez.com. Tony put a lot of effort into writing this book, and if you can get past the first 10 pages of his book without understanding that he really wants to help you, then you are missing the point. Tony only teaches about what he knows, and Tony knows all about the REO business. 95 percent of the houses he has bought were been bought using REO agents.

The third section of Tony’s book is called “14 distinctions for the lazy and incompetent.” Tony works very hard at what he does. Bruce thinks that Tony’s definition of “lazy” can be more easily translated to “efficient.” Tony focuses his attention on what he knows well, and he kicks everything else to the curb. Tony retires when the REO business is not performing well.

Tony was ready to sell his investment houses 3 years before the last peak. Before Tony sold his houses, Bruce advised him to hold on for a little longer. Three years later, near the end of the real estate boom, Bruce advised Tony to sell. Tony made 3 million dollars by taking Bruce’s advice. Tony claims that Bruce Norris makes a millionaire nearly every day he teaches. After Tony sold his houses, he bought two homes near rivers, and spent two and a half years on vacation. Tony works really hard when he works, and when he is done working, he stops completely.

When Bruce speaks at an event, he often gets an ovation afterwards. Bruce has noticed that every time Tony speaks at an event, Tony has a line of people trying to hug him afterwards. That is not a typical response.

Some people might feel intimidated by Tony, because they do not feel that they can compete with his personality. Tony interviewed the REO agents he worked with, and he discovered some of the reasons they chose to work with him. Perhaps the most important reason why these agents chose to work with Tony is because he never lied to them regardless of the consequences. When Tony had a problem with a deal that an agent gave him, he would schedule a meeting with them so that he could personally explain to them why he refused. Tony always explained to his agents what he needed in order to take a deal. Tony does not like telling agents that he does not want a deal; he tells them that he will take the deal when the numbers work for him.

When Tony interviewed 3 of his agents, they told him that they want to be told the truth, and they want investors to treat them pleasantly. An agent’s job is frequently unpleasant, because they have to evict families and they have their asset managers constantly complaining about their inability to sell quickly. Agents receive 30 calls a day from investors who want to buy foreclosures. You need to solve a problem for them. You cannot buy yourself a relationship if you only call for properties that will earn you an easy profit. If you do that, you will only be called for bad deals. You have to care about the agent’s success as much as your own.

Even an agent’s best investors sometimes cause problems. There are times where an experience agent will back out of a deal in the middle of escrow, because they discovered that a deal was not as good as they thought it was. Once you make a commitment to a deal, you need to stick with it regardless of the outcome. Never complain when a deal does not work out to your benefit.

You do not build relationships at the same speed you perform your business. Building a relationship takes more time. Building a relationship requires you to pay attention to the needs of another individual. Tony does research on the agents he works with. He discovered that some of them had children who belonged to baseball teams, so he donated money to the teams and bought from their candy fundraisers.

If relationships are not getting deeper, they are probably falling away. Realtors are going to first call you with their worst deals. You have to explain to them why you cannot do those deals unless they can get the numbers to work. Doing this will set you up for your first great deal.

When Tony buys a property from an agent, he will come back to that agent when it is time to sell that property. Other agents take notice to this kind of business. When the market peaked last time, Tony’s agents had no idea that he had obtained that many properties from them, and they were blown away. When he asked them to help sell those same properties, some of them were even jealous. Tony explained to them that he could not have obtained these properties without them.

Always thank the agents responsible for your success, both privately and publicly. When other agents notice you doing this, they start asking questions about what you’ve done. One of the agents that Tony worked with gained $500,000 in commissions within weeks, because the properties sold so fast. Tony did not have to do that, but in his mind, that is the only fair way to do business. The 1980s version of Tony would not have done this. Back then, Tony would have been selling his properties on his own, and squeezing every penny from the Realtors he worked with.

Tony states in his book that he is “relentless in loving the people [he] meets.” Tony believes that if he is not doing this, then he is not doing his job. Tony does not feel alive when he is not doing that. When you are kind to someone, it positively affects yourself, the person you are kind to, and the witness. Tony believes in a Creator, and he believes that if the Creator created you with that kind response to love, then you should not ignore it. The love you give others will increase your own happiness, and Tony does not believe that there is any other true recipe for success.

Tony’s book is called Breaking Into The REO Business. How I Went From Bankruptcy to $7.2 Million in 7 Years While Making Friends.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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182-TNG Radio – Tony Alvarez 7-10-10

Friday, July 9th, 2010

Tony-Alvarez

Tony Alvarez

Author and Investor

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This week Bruce is joined by Tony Alvarez. Tony is a successful investor. He now lectures inside and outside California. Tony is the author of Breaking Into The REO Business. How I Went From Bankruptcy to $7.2 Million in 7 Years While Making Friends.

Tony never thought he would write a book. He began considering to write this book after Bruce asked him to speak at the Millionaire Maker. This offer made Tony nervous, because he just thought of himself as a regular person, not a successful business man. Tony was worried about speaking in front of a large group of people, but Bruce helped him to calmly think about exactly what he did to succeed. Bruce structured the Millionaire Maker event so that the audience could analyze each speaker and find at least one successful person that they could replicate. He also was hoping that the audience would be able to take advice from a variety of very different and successful people.

Tony was the last man to speak at the Millionaire Maker event. Bruce assigned Tony the last position because he knew that no one would be able to match Tony’s story. Before he began to speak, he felt nervous and frozen. The reaction the audience had to Tony’s story surprised him immensely. One of the audience members actually stood up and requested that the event organizer cancel the next speaker, so that the audience could hear more of Tony. Tony feels that Bruce has a great talent for recognizing the talents of different individuals.

Tony’s parents traveled to Florida from Cuba in 1960. Because Tony’s parents wanted him to assimilate into the American culture, they quickly moved to Massachusetts. Tony’s family was very poor. His whole family slept in a 10×10 room, and he shared a kitchen with other families. However, he did come away with a sense that opportunity was out there. His family did not complain about anything. Tony’s first playground was the alley behind the International Institute, and he was ecstatic to be there. All of his clothes were donated to him by the Catholic church.

Tony’s parents bought their first home with no down payment. They were told that they would never have anything of their own unless they bought a home rather than renting. Tony’s father taught him to work harder than anything else, and stay focused on what you want to accomplish. Tony’s father is all about people and relationships. His mother was a maid for Phillip’s Academy, where the Kennedy’s visited occasionally. Tony’s grandmother was diagnosed with terminal cancer, and she wanted to die in Cuba, but she couldn’t afford the ticket. While Tony’s mom was working at the academy, she met Bobby Kennedy and befriended him. When the Kennedy’s found out that Tony’s mom was from Cuba, they were more interested in her than she was in them, because she didn’t know who the Kennedy’s were.

Tony’s mother told him that you can accomplish anything you want to in life, so long as you learn to love other people first. That is exactly what Bruce has observed. Bruce and Tony’s work is not about a manipulation, it is about a true concern for the people working with you, and people can sense that kind of concern.

In the 80s, Tony was in the business for the money, and he didn’t pay much attention to the people around him. He eventually left the business because he got burnt out. He no longer wanted anything to do with real estate. He invested all his money into another business and lost it all. When he started investing in real estate again in 1995, he wanted to find a better way of doing business. He did not want to make money at someone else’s expense. He started buying in the Antelope Valley which was known as the foreclosure capital of the United States. People were fighting tooth and nail over all the HUD homes. He decided he did not want to do that, and he discovered these people called REO agents. Tony realized that these brokers needed to have someone who would buy the REO inventory from them. However, you have to be a certain kind of person in order to gain their attention. He discovered that the personal attributes these agents were looking for were the same two attributes his parents had instilled in him. You have to be a hard worker and you have to care about other people. You need to have just as much concern for the success of your partners as you do for yourself. The majority of Tony’s business life revolves around answering his phone, saying “How are you doing? How is your family?”, and saying, “Yes, I will take that”, or “No, I don’t think that is right for me.” When you care about your business partners, they will start caring about you.

When Tony chose to re-enter the real estate business, he began looking for where the opportunity was. At that time, the Antelope Valley was the land of opportunity. The first thing he did was he found a home for sale. The first “for sale” house he found had 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and was selling for $37,000. That house would have cost $100,000 to build that day. The rent was anywhere from $650 to $850 depending on who he wanted as a tenant. This got him excited because he was looking at his second opportunity to succeed.

When Tony left the real estate business long ago, he was very emotionally damaged by his failure. He declared bankruptcy and began working at a pizza business. When you lose everything like he did, you wake up every morning and disgrace the image you see in the mirror. You lose the ability to trust your own decision making.

Coming out of Tony’s life downturn, he learned that he was still the same person who his parents wanted him to be. The love he had was the ultimate tie breaker that opened the door to opportunity. People think they have to assemble all these pieces to become a great investor, but once you develop trust with your business partners, you can assemble those pieces later.

When you have nothing to brag about, like Tony when he restarted his real estate career, all you have to convince an REO agent that you are the real deal is your own personal attributes. REO agents hear enough about personal accomplishments from people and they discount it. People can tell when someone in being disingenuous.

There are more elements to investing than just finding a good product. REO agents have control over these products, so developing a good relationship with them is more valuable than finding a couple good deals. What will help you develop a relationship with an agent has little to do with money.

REO agents do not have the mentality that they have the A-list of buyers. Unlike a marriage where you cannot keep looking for a better partner, REO agents have relationships that are more based on performance. If an agent can find a new guy that can perform just as well as their other partners, but will also complete transactions that aren’t profitable, that new guy will become their number 1 partner. However, getting on an REO agents list of preferred business partners is not easy.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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181-TNG Radio – Nancy West 7-3-10

Friday, July 2nd, 2010

Nancy-West

Nancy West

Marketing and Outreach Specialist, Housing and Urban Development (HUD)

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This week Bruce is joined by Nancy West. Nancy is a marketing and outreach specialist for the Department of Housing and Urban Development. She has been working in the mortgage industry since 1977. Nancy joined HUD in 2004, and in 2006 she accepted one of four nationwide marketing and outreach specialist positions.

Non-profit organizations have a special access to a specific list of REO properties. To be considered a non-profit organization, you must be a 501C3 classified company under the IRS. All the requirements for meeting this classification are listed at www.HUD.gov

There is also a special list of REO properties for police officers, firefighters, paramedics and school teacher. These people have the opportunity to buy a HUD REO for 50 percent of the sale value. They are required to occupy the property for 3 years. After those first 3 years, their home value is officially decreased by 50 percent. The difficulty with this program is that these people are restricted to buying in revitalization areas. Right now, there are not many revitalization areas.

Cities and Counties individually determine what they want to do with NSP money. Some cities are acquiring REOs, rehabbing them and reselling them, and others are acquiring REOs and turning them into rental opportunities.

The FBI released a report on Friday about the amount of fraud they are seeing. California, Nevada, Florida, New York and Michigan are experiencing the highest fraud rates, and those states are also experiencing the largest number of foreclosures. Nancy is not sure if these foreclosures are primarily due to consumers, loan officers or realtors. She believes that fraud was committed by many groups, and that no specific group is significantly more responsible than the other.

Loan modification programs are now open to be qualified for. To qualify for loan modification, people are now trying to commit fraud on their modification application. The problem with this strategy is that if they make their financial statement look too poor, they may not qualify for a modification. Bruce knows someone who was recently denied a loan modification due to the fact that they had the ability to make their payments, and then chose to strategically default.

The mission of HUD is to provide a decent, safe, and sanitary home, and a suitable living environment for every American. When Bruce read this, he realized that the word “ownership” was not included in HUD’s mission statement. This made him feel that HUD is now broadening their scope to include the chance that the number of renters may increase in the future. Nancy claims that HUD and FHA has not changed their mission statement. HUD’s mission is to strengthen and provide homeownership and rental properties to the under-served, first time buyers, minorities and elderly. HUD does this in a variety of ways, including Section 8 housing vouchers. FHA wants to specifically promote homeownership to those same people. FHA offers home retention opportunities through the reverse mortgage program. The mission has not changed, it has simply refocused.

HUD has a few programs that most people are not aware of. Individuals who rent in Section 8 single-family dwellings are typically very successful. Many of them eventually leave the program and become home owners. Also, FHA has the Disaster Relief Mortgage Program which many people are not aware of. This program allows people to obtain a mortgage with no down payment if their home was destroyed in a natural disaster. As soon as a disaster area is declared, FHA issues a notice to lenders that a moratorium has been placed on foreclosure action. Also, HUD sends staff to assist homeowners in disaster areas.

If a consumer wants to qualify for a Section 8 rental subsidy, they must apply at their local housing authority. The housing authority will go over the qualifications with them, and see what properties are available.

Right now, the government has helped make the housing industry more fluid. When the problem first developed, lenders were still interested in lending, not collecting. They did not have the correct staff to deal with the problem. Many people who could not get a modification 3 months ago can get it now. This is because of new programs through Making Homes Affordable program and TARP programs.

FHA has always had a modification program. FHA requires lenders to provide loss mitigation help when borrowers fall 30 days delinquent. FHA also has a forbearance option and a partial claim. HAMP is also a tool that FHA can use. FHA can perform short sales with incentives, and deeds in lieu of foreclosure. There is currently no time benefit for people who take the deed-in-lieu path rather than foreclosure. However, their credit score will not be affected in the same way.

Individuals who simply cannot afford a mortgage will not be eligible for a loan modification. For example, some borrowers would require an 80 percent reduction in their loan balance to be able to afford the mortgage. This is not possible.

Non-owner occupants are currently not eligible for loan modification.

TARP’s funds are currently being used for modifications, not HUD’s. HUD is not currently able to make loans to solve lender problems. However, this kind of loan may be considered in the future.

There was once a program which allowed lenders to get 90 percent of the value of a property from a HUD loan to keep a homeowner in their property. That was either the Hope for Homeowners Program or the FHA Secure Program. When this program first developed, lenders were too optimistic about how many of the deals they would be able to fix with it. It took a lot of time before they realized that this program would not be as successful as they had hoped.

TARP funds can be used to modify principle loan balances, but FHA does not have a program for this yet.

There are some 100 dollar down payment programs for HUD REOs. These programs cannot be used in all areas. Currently all areas have a 100 dollar down payment program for owner occupants. If someone is acquiring a property using FHA financing, they have to pay for the difference between the list price and what they bid, and then another $100. The highest offer will not always win on a HUD property. What ultimately determines whether or not you will win a HUD bid is whether or not your offer will net the most profit.

HUD once had a program for veterans which included no down payment, but when the Housing and Economic Recovery Act was passed in 2008, veterans were required to put down 3.5 percent.

HUD is also in the development business. There are HUD projects that win awards. The mission of Secretary Donovan is to build these residences in an environmentally friendly way.

A new HUD plan has been formulated for 2015 which will make HUD less bureaucratic and more fluid. This will allow them to pay more attention to people in charge of departments. The first goal is to stem the foreclosure crisis. HUD needs to meet the need for quality, affordable rental homes. HUD wants to utilize housing as a platform for improving the quality of life. Home ownership is still a good opportunity. Housing provides wealth in the future by building equity. HUD wants to build inclusive and sustainable communities free of discrimination.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive..

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