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187-TNG Radio – Sean O’Toole 8-14-10

Friday, August 13th, 2010

Sean O’Toole

Founder and CEO of ForeclosureRadar


 

 

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September 17th, 2010, The Norris Group returns with its award winning event I Survived Real Estate 2010. The Norris Group has assembled an incredible line up of industry experts to discuss the state of REO from the inside. Topics will include regulatory intervention and aftermath, bulk buying, myths and facts, and opportunities emerging for real estate professionals. 100 percent of the proceeds support the Orange County affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure. This event would not be possible without generous help from the following platinum partners: Foreclosure Radar and Sean O’Toole, the San Diego Creative Real Estate InvestorsAssociation and Bill Tan, Investors Workshops and Shawn Watkins and Angel Bronsgeest, Invest Club for Women and Iris Veneracion and Bobby Alexander, San Jose Real Estate Investors Association and Geraldine Barry, Claudia Buys Houses, Frye Wiles, MVT Productions, and White House Catering.

This week Bruce is joined by Sean O’Toole. Sean is the Founder and CEO of ForeclosureRadar.com. ForeclosureRadar is the only company that tracks every foreclosure in California, Arizona, Nevada, Washington and Oregon. It makes updates daily on all foreclosure auctions. Prior to ForeclosureRadar, Sean spent 15 years building and launching software companies. In 2002, Sean entered the foreclosure business, and bought and sold over 150 properties.

Bruce thinks everyone who is a trustee sale buyer should be a member of ForeclosureRadar. When Sean started Foreclosure Radar, there were only about 40 trustee sale buyers who bought the majority of the deals within the state, but now there are thousands. The invention of the lower bid has created activity. We wish they would drop their opening bids even lower.

5 to 10 billion dollars worth in properties go to the courthouse steps every month. 80 percent of those properties go back to the bank as REOs. The number of REOs have decreased 50 percent from July 2008. However, there are still a huge number of properties being taken back by banks. From a historical perspective, we still have an outrageously high number of REOs.

People tend to have this mentality that nothing bad can happen from here on out, because they don’t think the lenders will unload a bunch of inventory into the market. However, in 2007 and 2008, that is exactly what they did. Up until the end of 2008, regulations required you to file a notice of default after 60 to 90 days of delinquency. In September of 2008, Paulson changed the rules, and since then, they have changed the rules to mark to market. Lenders now have this mentality that discourages them from foreclosing so long as there is some hope of receiving payment at some point in the future.

People are wondering when all the shadow inventory is going to show up and ruin everyone’s day. Shadow inventory has a few different holding tanks. The banks are holding it and not releasing it. In 2008, there was growing evidence that banks had inventory that were not being listed. In 2009, banks started selling more foreclosures than they were taking back. In the mean time, we had delinquencies that were over 90 days delinquent and were not going into foreclosure. Some properties are as much as 180 days delinquent. We have 1 million homeowners in California that are not making payment, but only 200,000 in foreclosure, and only 15,000 to 20,000 being foreclosed on per month.

There is a report claiming that “once a person is behind, the odds of them making that payment current again without a loan modification is 1%”. Sean thinks that may be true historically, but right now, the situation is worse than that. In the past, people went delinquent because of job problems, but this time, they are going late because we had a massive credit bubble that doubled home prices fictitiously. We have now corrected those prices, but we have 4 trillion dollars in excess mortgage debt. People are realizing that they are never going to get that money back, and paying the interest doesn’t help them.

ForeclosureRadar noticed an increase in investor activity in 2009. Subscriptions increased slightly around that time. Right now, people are concerned that the economy and housing might double-dip. Bruce thinks that a double-dip will probably occur.

A lot of ForeclosureRadar’s growth has come from builders and commercial real estate brokers. The court house steps have become much more competitive because of these two groups. They can’t just stop working because their niche isn’t doing well.

From 2002 to 2006, good investors could get a 50 to 75 percent return on capital. In 2007, the market went away because the banks weren’t dropping the bids. In 2008 and 2009, Sean heard plenty of stories about investors getting an 80 percent return on capital. It got really good for a little while, but over the past six months, the market got a lot more competitive. There are plenty of risks with buying at auctions. Bruce believes that someone makes a mistake every day at the courthouse that alters their financial life for a while.

The government has decided that it is better to avoid taking a property back to the lender. ForeclosureRadar is tracking the lenders who are willing to work problems out. Investor short sales concern Sean, especially if the deal is being bought to be flipped. Some people are claiming you can make a lot of money by doing a short sale through a double escrow. Sean thinks people who do that are going to get themselves into trouble. Bruce interviewed the FBI on this subject, and the FBI described the people who do double escrows as perpetrators. There are short sale opportunities out there, but there is a lot of risk involved. It can be difficult to convince lenders that you have added a significant amount of value to a recent short sale.

Lenders understand that auctioned properties are being sold at a discount. On a short sale, lenders believe that a market sale is being made, and they will not like the idea of selling a short sale at $100,000 below market.

Deutsche Bank recently made a report on mortgage servicers and how long it takes to do a short sale. With prime mortgages, GMAC took six months on average, CitiGroup took 7.5 months, Wells Fargo took 8 months, and Countrywide took 13 months. There is a buyer attached to the end of these deals, and no one is going to wait 13 months.

People involved with HAFA brag about their ability to sell within six months, and Bruce thinks that is ridiculous. The problem is that people are not coming to terms with the losses they are going to take. The government also has a few policies that are affecting speed. If Bruce was attached to that business, he would be very frustrated.

Mortgage insurance companies know they will have a better income and have less of a loss with a short sale, but if they have that loss right now, then they’ve got a payout to make. If they do not approve a short sale, and force a property into foreclosure, they may not have to payout for 8 or 9 months.

Sean believes that companies are moving away from principal reductions. Freddie claimed that they are not going to do principal reductions, because they have been tasked with protecting tax payer funds and they cannot just give out principal. If GSEs, who hold a lot of the mortgage debt, start giving out principal reductions, then that comes directly at the cost of the taxpayers. Freddie has a deed-in-lieu lease back program with a lease option. If someone does a deed-in-lieu under this program, they have a two year waiting period before they get to buy a property, and Bruce has the feeling that the property they will buy is that same property they were previously in. That would cause less volatility in the market, because it would discourage buyers from moving around.

Sean recently did some research for American Banker Magazine on jumbo loans. Loans under $417,000 are the fastest to be foreclosed on. Mini jumbos, which range from $417,000 to $729,000, take 30 days longer to foreclose on, and it takes even longer to foreclose on big jumbos. If lenders are struggling to deal with reality anywhere, it is at the high end of the market. Lenders sometimes try to aggressively foreclose with the hope of scaring the borrower into paying, but when they don’t get scared, the borrowers will simply vacate and move, and then the foreclosure gets cancelled. When lenders do not foreclose because they do not want the house, they are usually cancelling foreclosure by the masses. These lenders are often working to get people into the HAFA program, so that they can get a short sale or deed-in-lieu. Sean thinks the HAFA program is just like HAMP last year. It is not meant to conclude a bunch of short sales, it is meant to put people through another six months of delay only to tell them that they do not qualify.

Sean O’Toole’s website is www.foreclosureradar.com

Sean will be on the I Survived Real Estate 2010 panel in September.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Thank you for being a Gold Sponsor for I Survived Real Estate 2010: Delmae Properties, Elite Auctions, Entrust California, Inland Empire Investors Forum, Keystone CPA, Las Brisas Escrow, Leivas Financial Services, Mike Cantu, North San Diego Real Estate Investors Association, Northern California Real Estate Investors Association, Personal Real Estate Investor Magazine, Realty 411 Magazine, San Jose Real Estate Investor Association, Tony Alvarez, and Westin South Coast Plaza.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 8/3/10

Tuesday, August 3rd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis

According to the NAR, pending home sales declined 2.6 percent in June. Data from the Southern California Multiple Listing Service shows that 25 percent of home sold in Orange County are sold for less than the owner in June went for less than the seller owed on the mortgage. Zillow reports the average 30-year mortgage rate decreased to 4.28 percent from last week. 84 percent of buyers begin searching for homes online.

In The News:

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Ease in Post-Tax Credit Market” (8-3-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, declined 2.6 percent to 75.7 based on contracts signed in June from an upwardly revised level of 77.7 in May, and is 18.6 percent below June 2009 when it was 93.0. The data reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months.”

Orange County Register – “Short sales top 700 in June” (8-3-10)

“One out of every four homes sold in Orange County in June went for less than the seller owed on the mortgage, according to the latest figures from the Southern California Multiple Listing Service. Thanks to falling home prices, about 14% to 19% of all O.C. homeowners owe more for their homes than they’re worth. In a short sale, lenders eat the difference between the amount paid and the amount owed.”

Housing Wire – “Zillow: Rate on 30-Year-Mortgage Drops to Record Low Week-to-Week” (8-3-10)

“The 30-year fixed-mortgage rate (FRM) dropped week-to-week nationally averaging 4.28%, according to Zillow Mortgage Marketplace’s weekly update. This is down 0.1% and a new record low according to their data. Last week’s averages remained steady.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie Launches Distressed Borrower Education Site” (8-3-10)

“Fannie Mae today is launching a borrower-facing outreach site designed to educate distressed homeowners on potential retention strategies and foreclosure alternatives. The online education resource — available in both English and Spanish — offers calculators to demonstrate to borrowers the mechanics of refinance, repayment, forbearance and modification options. It also offers information on Fannie’s Deed-For-Lease program, which allows borrowers to become renters in the same property after pursing deed-in-lieu of foreclosure.”

Bloomberg - “Banks `Throw in Towel’ to Add Most Mortgage Bonds in 18 Months” (8-3-10)

“The biggest banks are adding government-backed mortgage bonds at the fastest pace in 18 months, breaking with an unusual pattern in which they shunned the debt as their loan portfolios shrank during the economic slump, according to Barclays Plc. Large U.S. commercial banks added $51.4 billion of so- called agency mortgage-backed securities in the two weeks ended July 21, according to the latest data released by the Federal Reserve.”

Orange County Register – “Does unemployment pay mean no loan?” (8-3-10)

“No, you will not not qualify because you filed for unemployment insurance last year, or the year before. We are getting fairly used to seeing income streams in which our clients may have been unemployed for part of the previous two years. While we cannot use the unemployment income (**asterisk alert** : keep reading for when we can use this income) your receiving it does not disqualify you from qualifying. We will need to show a two year history of employment so if you were unemployed for three months we will need to show employment going back at least 27 months.”

Realty Times - “Staging a Photo Ready Home” (8-3-10)

“Your home’s first impression may not be one that is face to face with a prospective buyer. In today’s world, 84 percent (National Association of Realtors) of home buyers start their search online. That’s an impressive figure, and one that means your home needs to make a strong virtual impression.”

Realty Times – “California Law To Require Carbon Monoxide Detectors” (8-3-10)

“On May 7, 2010, California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger signed into law Senate Bill 183 (Lowenthal), a bill that will require the placement of carbon monoxide detectors in all California dwelling units. The bill also requires that the presence or absence of these devices must be disclosed when residential real estate is transferred.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, construction spending increased by 0.3 percent within one month. The chief economist of the CAR predicted the housing market had not bottomed. Fannie Mae issuance of mortgage-backed securities jumped 44% in June 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/28/10

Wednesday, July 28th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Commercial and multifamily mortgage origination increased by 35 percent in the second quarter. Mortgage application volume decreased 4.5 percent from last week, according to the MBA. Freddie Mac reports Americans took out $8.3 trillion in home equity during the second quarter. The current number of foreclosure starts for 2010 has reached 1.46m.

Looking Back:

Mortgage Bankers Association - “MBA: Second Quarter 2010 Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Originations Increase Over First Quarter, But Remain Flat Over Last Year” (7-28-10)

“Second quarter 2010 commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations were one percent higher than during the same period last year and 35 percent higher than during the first quarter, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Quarterly Survey of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (7-28-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 23, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 4.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 4.2 percent compared with the previous week”

Bloomberg - “Americans Tap $8.3 Billion in Home Equity, Least in a Decade” (7-28-10)

“Americans in the second quarter tapped the smallest amount of home equity in a decade, showing households are focused on repairing tattered finances. Owners took out $8.3 billion while refinancing prime home loans as borrowing costs dropped from April through June, down from $8.4 billion in the previous three months and the least in 10 years, according to a report today by McLean, Virginia-based Freddie Mac. Twenty-two percent chose to reduce loan principal, matching the third-highest rate since records began in 1985.”

Housing Wire – “GSE Foreclosure Starts Start Coming Faster in 2010″ (7-28-10)

“The June 2010 Mortgage Monitor data provided by Lender Processing Services (LPS) Applied Analytics shows that the spike in foreclosure starts is greatest at 6+ months of delinquency. Analysts have suggested that this may be occurring due to the recent increase in HAMP cancellations. Total foreclosure starts for 2010 are at 1.46m, compared to 1.68m for the same period in 2009 and 1.25m in 2008, to be sure, but the rate at which the starts increase during 1H10 is at the fastest pace LPS Applied Analytics has seen.”

Housing Wire – “Cash-In Refinancing Nears Record High in Q210: Freddie Mac” (7-28-10)

“According to separate monthly volume reports from April to June, Freddie Mac’s total refinance volume was $54.6bn during Q210, down nearly 60% from $134.5bn during Q209.”

Orange County Register – “Foreclosures still a drag on housing” (7-28-10)

“Foreclosures and sales of bank-owned homes have not yet peaked and will continue to hold down U.S. home prices and sales, an analyst for commercial data firm CoStar Group said. And weakness in housing will impact retail sales and the overall economy, added Norm Miller, CoStar’s vice president of analytics. Miller said that housing has not necessarily hit bottom yet, but the bottom is near.”

Realty Times – “Either a Lender or a Borrower Be” (7-28-10)

“Money in self-directed IRAs can be loaned out to any person who is not a ‘disqualified person.’ While this means that you cannot loan yourself or other related disqualified persons money from your self-directed IRA, you can loan the money to anyone else. Loans can be secured by real estate, mobile homes, equipment or anything you like. If you are really a trusting soul, you can even make a loan from your IRA unsecured”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/26/10

Monday, July 26th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Commerce Department new home sales increased 23.6% last month. Statistics from LPS show show 9.39% of all loans were delinquent by more than 30 days. The national vacancy rate on multifamily properties  decreased to 7.8%, according to BarCap. A survey from Campbell Survey suggests that home prices will continue to fall.

In The News:

CNN - “New home sales rebound 24%” (7-26-10)

“New home sales increased 23.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 330,000 last month, up from an downwardly revised 267,000 in May, the Commerce Department reported Monday. Sales year-over-year fell 16.7%.”

CBIA - “Housing Starts Rise Again in June, CBIA Announces” (7-26-10)

“According to statistics compiled by the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB), permits were pulled for 4,238 total housing units in June, up 19 percent from the same month a year ago and up 34 percent from May. It was the largest monthly total since December of 2008 when 4,658 total permits had been issued. Permits for single-family homes totaled 2,628, down 9 percent from June 2009 but up 33 percent from the previous month, while multifamily permits totaled 1,610, up 140 percent from a year ago and up 35 percent from May.”

Wall Street Journal – “Mortgage Delinquencies Fall in June, Still Near Record Highs” (7-26-10)

“Some 9.39% of all loans were 30 days or more past due, down from 9.54% in May, according to LPS Applied Analytics, which tracks loan data. An additional 3.69% of mortgages were in some stage of foreclosure, down from 3.72% in May and the record high of 3.81% in March.”

Housing Wire – “Multifamily Rental Demand Catching up to Supply: BarCap” (7-26-10)

“The multifamily net absorption rate, or the amount of space leased after deducting the amount of supply, increased by more than 46,000 units in Q210, the highest increase in 10 years, according to BarCap. The national vacancy rate on multifamily properties also decreased to 7.8% from 8% over the same time”

Housing Wire – “As FHA Mortgage Volume Increases From 2009, Serious Delinquencies Spike” (7-26-10)

“The rate of seriously delinquent mortgages backed by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) declined slightly from May to June, but the gross number of mortgages that are either 90 or more days past due or in foreclosure increased 35% year-over-year. According to the FHA June single-family operations report, the total volume of mortgage in-force increased more than 24% to 6.4m in June compared to the same month one year ago. The total value of unpaid FHA mortgages was $865.5bn in June, up 30.3% from $663.8bn one year ago and up 3.3% from $837.8bn in May.”

Housing Wire - “The New Math Surrounding HAMP Doesn’t Add Up” (7-26-10)

“There is no other way to say this: we’re being lied to. Willfully. Anyone who managed to read headlines around the U.S. Treasury’s latest HAMP report card last week would likely have thought the program a huge success –- with more than one media outlet trumpeting impossibly miniscule re-default rates among permanent HAMP mods. At HW, we chose not to run with the HAMP redefault numbers except to note that Treasury officials had added them into the latest report card. And this choice was made with purpose: we knew these numbers were fake. Nobody gets a 1.7% redefault rate 6 months after modification –- not even Uncle Sam”

Housing Wire – “Campbell Survey: Housing Prices Drop in June and Will Continue to Fall” (7-26-10)

“A 32% plummet in new home sales in May correlates with a drop in overall homebuyer activity, although updated data out today from the Census Bureau shows a nearly 24% surge in new home sales in June.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (7-26-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) took receivership of seven banks last week with a combined cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) of $468.2m. It brings the total closings in 2010 to 103 banks. At this time last year, there were 64 closings. Bank failures in 2009 took until October to pass 100.”

Housing Wire – “MIT-Harvard Study: Foreclosure drops house value by 27%” (7-26-10)

“A foreclosure reduces the value of a house by 27%, on average, and accounts for a much steeper price drop than other forced sales, according to a study by an Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) economist and two Harvard University researchers. In comparison, when a house is sold after the death of an owner, the price drops 5% to 7% on average. When an owner declares bankruptcy, the value sinks 3%, according to the report.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Small-Business Aid May Create $300 Billion of `Junk’ Loans” (7-26-10)

“The U.S. Senate may vote this week on a bill to funnel $30 billion of capital to community banks, whose business customers typically are small firms. Banks could leverage the sum to make $300 billion in loans that create jobs, according to a Senate summary. That could more than double the commercial and industrial loans at eligible banks as of the first quarter, according to data compiled by KBW Inc.”

Orange County Register – “Owners rush to sell O.C. homes” (7-26-10)

“Orange County housing inventory grew by the largest amount so far this year, adding an additional 418 homes in the past two weeks and now totals 11,235. The market has not breached the 11,000 mark since the beginning of April 2009. Last year at this time the inventory was at 8,895 homes, 2,340 fewer than today. The inventory has not stopped growing at all this year as more and more pent up homeowners have opted to place their homes on the market at unrealistic levels.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. distressed homes up 35%” (7-26-10)

“Last year at this time, there were 2,616 distressed homes on the market, 841 fewer than today. The number of foreclosures within the active listing inventory increased by 35 homes in the past two weeks from 578 to 613 … Short sales, where a homeowner attempts to sell a home for less than the total outstanding loans against a home, requiring lender approval, increased by 115 homes over the past two weeks and now total 2,844.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the quarterly homeownership rate was 67.3 percent. The average rate on 30-year fixed mortgages was 5.2 percent. The state Senate approved a budget package that was believed to be capable of closing the state’s $26.3 billion deficit.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/22/10

Thursday, July 22nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

CAR reports California home sales decreased 4.2 percent in June. Statistics from the NAR show existing home sales 5.1 percent in June. Ascension Capital Group predicts total bankruptcy filings will top 1.63m in 2010, and increase nearly 10% in 2011. Eight million homeowners are currently not paying their mortgage.

In The News:

CAR - “June sales and price report” (7-22-10)

“Home sales decreased 4.2 percent in June in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 13.6 percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.”

NAR - “Existing-Home Sales Slow in June but Remain Above Year-Ago Levels” (7-22-10)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, fell 5.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.37 million units in June from 5.66 million in May, but are 9.8 percent higher than the 4.89 million-unit pace in June 2009.”

Housing Wire – “Servicers Dissect HAMP, Short Sales at Loss Mit Conference” (7-22-10)

“While Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) often gets a bad rap in the press, panelists at the loss mitigation conference in Dallas Thursday were less inclined to call the program a failure although they pointed to some weaknesses.”

Housing Wire - “HUD to Probe Claims of Mortgage Discrimination” (7-22-10)

“The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) announced Wednesday that it will launch a series of investigations to determine if the lending practices used by certain mortgage lenders violated the Fair Housing Act. Questions arose after the New York Times published an article demonstrating that firms may have illegally denied mortgages to expectant mothers and families experiencing short-term disability.”

Housing Wire – “Bankruptcy Creates Many Problems in Mortgage Loss Mit” (7-22-10)

“Total bankruptcy filings are projected to top 1.63m in 2010, and increase nearly 10% and nearly 9% in 2011 and 2012, respectively, according John Griggs, chief operating officer of Fort Worth-based Ascension Capital Group. Griggs said the rate of bankruptcy filings closely follows rates of foreclosure, unemployment and strategic default. Ascension projects unemployment will remain high through the end of 2010, then flatten out and reduce and hover around 8% by late 2011 or early 2012.”

Inman – “Record low rates spur refis but not sales” (7-22-10)

“The survey showed 30-year fixed-rate loans averaging 4.56 percent with 0.7 point, essentially unchanged from last week’s 4.57 percent reading, but down from 5.2 percent a year ago and a new low in records dating to 1971. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage also hit a low in records dating to 1991, falling from 4.06 percent last week to 4.03 percent with an average 0.7 point. At this time a year ago, those loans averaged 4.68 percent.”

Inman - “A view on 62% homeownership” (7-22-10)

“Eight million homeowners are currently not paying their mortgage, and we believe 6 million of them will lose their home to the bank in the next two years. This will reduce the homeownership rate to 62 percent”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/20/10

Tuesday, July 20th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA reports independent mortgage bankers and subsidiaries made an average profit of $606 on each loan they originated in the first quarter of 2010. Statistics from the Commerce Department show housing starts fell 5% from May. FHA may soon require borrowers to have at least a 580 FICO score to buy a home with a minimum 3.5 percent down payment. First and second mortgage default rates declined to 3.3% and 2.4%, according to Experian.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association - “MBA Study Shows Mortgage Banker Production Profits Dropped in First Quarter of 2010″ (7-20-10)

“Independent mortgage bankers and subsidiaries made an average profit of $606 on each loan they originated in the first quarter of 2010, down from $890 per loan in the fourth quarter of 2009 and $1,088 in the first quarter of 2009, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)’s 1st Quarter 2010 Mortgage Bankers Production Survey released today”

CNN - “New home construction drops, but outlook brightens” (7-20-10)

“New home construction fell to an 8-month low in June, but there were indications of increased activity in coming months, the government said Tuesday. Housing starts fell 5% from May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 549,000 last month, the Commerce Department said. That was the lowest rate since October 2009.”

Inman - “FHA raising FICO floor, reducing seller concessions” (7-20-10)

“FHA borrowers will soon need a 580 FICO score in order purchase a home with the minimum 3.5 percent downpayment, and won’t qualify for the program at all if they have a score below 500. Federal housing officials are moving closer to implementing several policy changes announced in January that will also reduce the maximum allowable seller concession on FHA-backed loans from 6 percent to 3 percent and tighten underwriting standards for manually underwritten loans.”

Housing Wire – “First Mortgage Default Rate Plunges 40% from 2009: S&P” (7-20-10)

“First mortgages led an overall decline in credit defaults in June, according to the Standard & Poor’s/Experian indices today. First and second mortgage default rates declined to 3.3% and 2.4%, respectively in June, based on information from Experian’s consumer credit database. First mortgage default rates slipped 5% from May and 45.2% from a year earlier, while second mortgage default rates were down 0.03% from May and 44.54% from a year ago.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. rent cuts triple U.S. declines” (7-20-10)

“For the second quarter, the average Orange County rent that apartment complex owners were ‘asking’ for was $1,506 — and that rent was falling at a 2% annual rate. That’s a drop roughly triple the national rate of decline of 0.7%. Orange County renters are enjoying rent declines that are tied for the 8th largest among 82 U.S. markets tracked. Bigger drops? Las Vegas, 4.2%; L.A., 2.9%; Phoenix, 2.8%; Westchester, N.Y., 2.6%; Oakland, 2.2%; Fairfield, Conn., and San Francisco, 2.1%. We note that Orange County and L.A. near the top of top rent cuts explains how Consumer Price Index data shows the biggest SoCal rent decline by this math since 1940.”

Orange County Register – “South Coast 2nd quarter home sales up 16%” (7-20-10)

“For Q2 (April – June) – DataQuick’s freshest stats — South Coast homebuying patterns showed: 574 homes were bought in the region in the period – +16% vs. a year ago. Sales counts in all Orange County beach towns ran +22% vs. a year ago.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, The Real Estate Roundtable estimated that about $400 billion a year in commercial loans would need to be refinanced over the next decade. A TARP investigator claimed the government bailout totaled $23.7 trillion. Default levels increased to 2,500 per month.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/8/10

Thursday, July 8th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to Freddie Mac, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate dropped to 4.57 percent. International Monetary Fund warns a double dip recession is still possible, despite its prediction that GDP will increase over the next year. Fitch Ratings predicts home improvement spending will increase 3.5% this year. Clear Capital reports national housing prices rose 5.2% during the last quarter.

In The News:

Associated Press - “Mortgage rates drop to new low of 4.57 pct.” (7-8-10)

“The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage dropped to 4.57 percent this week, mortgage company Freddie Mac reported Thursday. That’s down from the previous record low of 4.58 percent set last week.”

Housing Wire – “International Monetary Fund Warns of Housing Double-Dip Risk” (7-8-10)

“Signs of recovery in the US economy and housing market are stronger than expected, due to policy response from the federal government, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). While IMF expects US gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 3.25% in 2010 and 3% in 2011, unemployment is projected to remain above 9%.”

Housing Wire – “Fitch: Homebuyer Tax Credit Will Boost Home Improvement Spending” (7-8-10)

“Fitch Ratings expects home improvement spending to increase 3.5% in 2010 over 2009 levels, partly due to an influx of home sales incentivized by the first-time homebuyer tax credit”

Housing Wire – “Wells Fargo to Lay Off 3,800 Employees, Leave Non-Prime Space” (7-8-10)

“In a restructuring of its financial division, Wells Fargo (WFC: 26.64 -0.08%) said it will eliminate 2,800 positions in the next two months and another 1,000 people by the end of the year. The bank will close 638 financial stores in the US as it will stop originating non-prime portfolio mortgage loans.”

Housing Wire – “Fannie, Freddie Dropped from New York Stock Exchange” (7-8-10)

“The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) directed the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) in June to de-list from the NYSE and any other national securities exchange. The direction came after the price of their common stock hovered near the minimum average closing price of $1 for more than 30 days for most months since the conservatorship took effect in September 2008.”

Housing Wire – “House Prices Soar 8.8% from 2009: Clear Capital” (7-8-10)

“House prices rose in June across the US in both the rolling quarter and the previous-year data, according to real estate asset valuation data provider Clear Capital. National prices rose 5.2% over the previous three-month period and 8.8% since June 2009. The quarterly and yearly growth seen in June builds on already positive data, after prices climbed 6.8% in May from the year before.”

Housing Wire – “John Burns Sees Housing Market Hit Bottom with Little Downside to Investing” (7-8-10)

“The housing market has improved in the last two years to the extent that John Burns Real Estate Consulting sees the market as possibly approaching the beginning of its next up cycle.”

Bloomberg – “Apartment Vacancies in U.S. Drop From 30-Year High, Reis Says” (7-8-10)

“The vacancy rate for apartment properties was 7.8 percent, down from a 30-year high of 8 percent in the first quarter and up from 7.7 percent a year earlier, according to a report today by the real estate research firm. First-quarter vacancies were the highest since 1980, when Reis began tracking the data.”

Orange County Register – “O.C. builders rank among U.S. top 40″ (7-8-10)

“Seven homebuilding companies based in Orange County or having a strong presence here ranked in Builder Magazine’s newest list of the nation’s Top 100 Builders. Five of them were among the nation’s top 40 builders.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, 68 percent of recent home buyers said price decreases encouraged them to buy a house. PMI forecasted that home prices would decrease through 2011. Default rates doubled for commercial properties valued at more than $108 billion.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/30/10

Wednesday, June 30th, 2010

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Associations – “Mortgage Refinance Applications Increase as Rates Continue to Drop in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (6-30-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 25, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 8.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 8.3 percent compared with the previous week.”

Los Angeles Times – “Foreclosure sales decline, but housing recovery still has far to go” (6-30-10)

“A total of 232,959 U.S. homes that sold in the first quarter were either bank-owned or in some stage of the foreclosure process. That’s a 14% decrease from the prior quarter and a 33% decline from a peak in the first quarter of 2009, according to Irvine-based RealtyTrac.”

Orange County Register – “Newspaper home data ’stinks’ to consultant” (6-30-10)

“If you read the newspapers, you would think prices are appreciating, whether it is the Case Shiller price index or median resale prices – the two price measures that used to be the most reliable measures. Just look at recent price trends for Southern California. According to CS, prices are up 6% in LA (includes Orange Co.) and 11% in San Diego since March of 2009. According to the median price, prices are up 12% in LA, 17% in Orange County, 12% in Riverside and 18% in San Diego since April of 2009. Neither is correct if you are talking about most homes in those markets. While we love the CS methodology, both CS and the median price are wildly impacted when the mix of what is transacting shifts dramatically from the norm.”

Orange County Registered – “A quarter of H.B. homes on market distressed” (6-30-10)

“The newest ‘market time’ for Huntington Beach, Thomas’ math that tracks theoretical time it would take to sell all listed homes at the pace of new escrows opened, is 3.95 months, compared with Orange County’s overall 3.37 months. The city’s share of its distressed properties — foreclosures or short sales — among active listings is 25.3% vs. the county’s 30.7%. And I double checked with Thomas — it’s just a coincidence that the number of deals in escrow and the number of distressed homes on the market each happen to be 169.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, prime mortgages 60 days or more past due climbed to 2.9 percent. Existing home sales increased 2.4 percent in one month. The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index decreased 18.1 percent from 2008 to 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/18/10

Friday, June 18th, 2010

Sources:

http://www.dsnews.com/articles/house-republicans-want-penalties-for-strategic-defaulters-2010-06-17

http://www.housingwire.com/2010/06/09/congress-to-consider-fha-reform-mortgage-insurance-hike

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=h111-5072

http://www.housingwire.com/2010/06/15/reid-urges-3-month-extension-of-homebuyer-tax-credit

http://www.housingwire.com/2010/06/16/mortgage-defaults-foreclosures-drop-across-california-foreclosureradar

http://www.dsnews.com/articles/fhfa-orders-fannie-freddie-to-delist-stock-from-nyse-2010-06-16

http://www.dsnews.com/articles/fbis-mortgage-fraud-crackdown-expected-to-yield-hundreds-of-arrests-2010-06-14

http://www.fbi.gov/pressrel/pressrel10/financialfraud_061710.htm

http://www.dsnews.com/articles/fitch-projects-steep-re-default-rates-on-hamp-modifications-2010-06-16

Today’s News Synopsis:

Statistics from MDA DataQuick shows 40,965 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. The state Franchise Tax Board has received applications claiming about 80 percent of the funds allocated for the home buyer tax credit. Mortgage brokers and realtors are complaining that the HVCC has produced low-ball appraisals that have blown up deals, while appraisers argue the change has harmed appraisal quality. A survey from Coldwell Banker Real Estate shows that 52 percent of single homeowners prefer buying in suburb areas.

In The News:

DQNews - “California May Home Sales” (6-18-10)

“An estimated 40,965 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was up 9.3 percent from 37,481 in April, and up 4.9 percent from 39,051 for May 2009. California sales for the month of May have varied from a low of 32,223 in 1995 to a peak of 67,958 in 2004, while the average is 47,024. MDA DataQuick’s statistics go back to 1988.”

San Francisco Chronicle – “First-time home-buyer credit may vanish soon” (6-18-10)

“The state Franchise Tax Board has received applications claiming about 80 percent of the funds allocated for the credit. Although it’s hard to predict, tax board spokeswoman Denise Azimi says the credit could be gone within a few weeks.”

Wall Street Journal – “Realtors, Brokers Target Home-Appraisal Rule” (6-18-10)

“The mortgage-broker and real-estate industries are pushing to have a measure that would kill new home-appraisal rules inserted into pending legislation to overhaul financial-sector regulation. The Home Valuation Code of Conduct, adopted in May 2009 to ensure appraiser independence, bars mortgage brokers and bank loan officers from selecting appraisers. Mortgage brokers and realtors complain that the rules have produced low-ball appraisals that have blown up deals, while appraisers argue the change has harmed appraisal quality.”

Inman - “Singles flock to suburbs” (6-18-10)

“While young Millennials seem to have a preference for suburbs, they’re not the only ones. Singles of all ages are more likely to buy a home in the burbs, according to the results of a survey by national brokerage company Coldwell Banker Real Estate. The company conducted a national online survey of 1,050 single homeowners in April. It found that 52 percent of singles chose to buy in suburbia rather than getting ‘bachelor or bachelorette pads’ in urban or rural areas.”

Housing Wire – “GSEs Plan Chinese Drywall Mortgage Forbearances” (6-18-10)

“Under the authority of its ‘Unusual Hardships’ policy, Fannie is directing its mortgage servicers to provide borrowers impacted by Chinese drywall up to six months of forbearance on their monthly mortgage payment and to minimize the derogatory credit impact for borrowers who are current on their loans and complying with the terms of the forbearance.”

Housing Wire – “FinCEN Says Foreclosure Scam Reports Rose Dramatically in 2009″ (6-18-10)

“The number of suspicious activity reports (SARs) from financial institutions related to foreclosure scams dramatically increased last year, according to a new report from the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN). The report also noted that the type of foreclosure scams also evolved during the reporting period, which covered Jan. 1, 2004, through Dec. 31, 2009. FinCEN said foreclosure rescue scams increased substantially in the last eight months of 2009.”

Orange County Register – “Pimco: No quick recovery for big properties” (6-18-10)

“Distressed properties may be hard to sell, making a quick recovery unlikley. Commercial real estate prices will remain 30% to 40% below 2007 peaks for three to five years and may not return to 2007 peaks until end of the decade.”

Realty Times – “Developing The Skill Of Qualifying Buyers” (6-18-10)

“The longer the time the buyer has been looking, the lower the motivation. We have to wonder why a buyer has not been able to find a home in six months. Are they looking for something that doesn’t exist? Are their expectations too high for the marketplace? Do they just enjoy the process of kicking foundations? When someone said to me that they had been looking for more than 90 days, I wanted to know what they were looking for and the reasons why they hadn’t found it yet.”

Realty Times – “Little Change Seen in Mortgage Rates This Week” (6-18-10)

“Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.75 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending June 17, 2010, up from last week when it averaged 4.72 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.38 percent.”

Realty Times – “How To Make Buyers Want Your Home” (6-18-10)

“Countertops are fixtures in homes. So making sure that you select the best material to endure the daily wear and tear is important. If we’re talking about the kitchen, for instance, there are many options: granite, tile, recycled glass (for a green option), solid steel, composite stone, butcher block, laminate, and even concrete. Yes, that last one sounds surprising but concrete is being used for countertops and laminate isn’t necessarily trying to mimic other materials anymore. Instead, homeowners are embracing laminate’s own unique high-tech look.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the median price paid for a home in the nine-county Bay Area region rose to $341,500. The Federal Reserve’s total amount of commercial/residential mortgage debt decreased by $33 million from 2008 to 2009. Economists from Chapman University claimed that an economic recovery would begin during the second half of 2009. The average 30-year FRM rate dropped to 5.38 percent.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/11/10

Friday, June 11th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The MBA believes the new FHA Reform Act will have a positive effect on FHA’s finances. Tom Beede of Metrolist Services reports 58 percent of May home sales in Sacramento County were short sales. Congress may extend the home-buyer tax credit due to the inability of lenders to finish all applications within the current due date.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “MBA Reacts to House Passage of FHA Reform Act” (6-11-10)

“FHA is playing a critical role in today’s housing market, helping to provide more affordable financing for borrowers looking to purchase or refinance a home.  The reforms contained in this bill will help stabilize FHA’s finances by allowing the agency to raise its annual premiums and better take corrective action against lenders who are putting the program at risk.”

Sacramento Bee – “Home Front: Short sales — and ways to exploit them — rise in Sacramento” (6-11-10)

“In mid-May, 58 percent of homes for sale in Sacramento County were short sales and only 13 percent were bank repossessions, said Tom Beede, president and chief executive officer of Metrolist Services Inc.”

Wall Street Journal – “Congress Could Extend Home-Buyer Tax Credit Closing Deadline” (6-10-10)

“What if the home-buyer tax credit worked too well? That’s the latest concern from the real-estate industry, which says that a last-minute home-buying rush in April created bottlenecks at lenders and real-estate service companies that may not be able to finalize purchases in time for tens of thousands of buyers to receive a tax credit worth up to $8,000.”

Bloomberg - “Builders Rush to Complete Houses by U.S. Tax Credit Deadline” (6-11-10)

“U.S. builders such as LGI Homes are on a tight deadline to finish houses by the end of June so purchasers can get a federal tax credit of as much as $8,000. Buyers had to sign a contract by April 30 and must complete the transaction by July 1 to qualify. That’s speeding up a construction process that for some builders can take five to six months.”

Bloomberg - “JPMorgan Sells $716.3 Million of Commercial Mortgages” (6-11-10)

“JPMorgan Chase & Co. sold $716.3 million of bonds backed by commercial mortgages in the second offering of the debt this year, according to a person familiar with the transaction.”

Inman - “Understanding the Gen Y gender gap” (6-11-10)

“women are fundamentally different than men in what they look for in a home, Chung said. Part of being fiscally conservative is that they are more willing to make trade-offs as far as home luxuries in favor of preferred community characteristics.”

Inman - “Yahoo Real Estate climbs to No. 2″ (6-11-10)

“Realtor.com maintained its lock on the No. 1 spot with 6.2 percent of traffic; Rent.com also kept its No.4 spot with 2.8 percent of traffic. Trulia jumped into the top five with 2.7 percent of traffic, bumping ZipRealty down to sixth place with 2.4 percent market share.”

Wall Street Journal - “Is It Better to Buy New Home or ‘Used’?” (6-11-10)

“It’s impossible to know how much negotiating power you’ll have with each of these sellers until you know how desperate each is to sell. So the first thing you should do is to ask your agent to find out as much as possible about what’s motivating each: Is the resale seller just testing the market, or going through a divorce? Is the builder opening up new projects or has he been sitting for months on stale inventory? You should find out how long each house has been on the market, whether there have been price drops, how often these have occurred and how deep they were. This will give you a sense of how eager each party is to deal with you.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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