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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/27/10

Tuesday, July 27th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The S&P home price index suggests that prices increased by 1.3 percent from April to May. 91 of the top 100 homebuying zip codes are in California. The vacancy rate for rental housing has remained flat at 10.6 percent for the past year. MPF Research reports the number of occupied apartments grew by 215,000 in the 64 largest U.S. markets in the first half of 2010.

In The News:

Associated Press – “Home prices increase 1.3 pct. in May from April” (7-27-10)

“The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index released Tuesday posted a 1.3 percent increase in May from April. Nineteen of 20 cities showed price gains month over month. Minneapolis and Atlanta led the way with 2.8 percent and 2 percent increases, respectively. And San Diego posted its 13th straight monthly gain.”

Inman - “California ‘hot’ among homebuyers” (7-27-10)

“Of the report’s 100 ‘hottest’ ZIP codes nationwide, 91 were in California. This means that, on average, homes in these ZIP codes sold for the most above listing price, while homes in the ‘coldest’ ZIP codes sold for the most under listing price.”

Housing Wire – “Housing Vacancy, Homeownership Rates Remain Level in Q210″ (7-27-10)

“The 2.5% vacancy rate of owner-occupant housing units was only 10 basis points (bps) below the previous quarter and remained level with the year-ago quarter. The rental housing market’s vacancy rate of 10.6% in Q210 was level with the previous quarter and year-ago quarter. Additionally, the homeownership rate slipped to 66.9%, nearly level with 67.1% in the previous quarter”

Housing Wire – “HUD Fines CitiMortgage $700,000 for Failure to Report Delinquencies” (7-27-10)

“The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) reached a $700,000 settlement with CitiMortgage, Inc. (CMI) after the company failed to report delinquent loans by the specified monthly deadline. The action was reported in a recently released notice of actions being taken against Federal Housing Administration (FHA) lenders that failed to comply with government standards for lending practices.”

Housing Wire – “FHFA Sees 30-Year Mortage Rate Dip to 5% June” (7-27-10)

“The average contract mortgage rate on conventional 30-year fixed-rate mortgages slipped to 5% in June, 12 basis points (bps) down from a month earlier, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). The rate had held at 5.12% for the past two months. The contract rate on the composite of all mortgage loans (both fixed- and adjustable-rate) fell 9 bps to 4.9%”

Bloomberg - “Apartment Rentals Surge in U.S. on Home Foreclosures, Job Gains” (7-27-10)

“The number of occupied apartments increased by 215,000 in the 64 largest U.S. markets in the first half, according to MPF Research. That’s almost double the units added in all of 2009 and the most since the firm began tracking the data in 1992. The vacancy rate declined to 6.6 percent last month from 8.2 percent in December.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Cities, Counties Poised to Cut 500,000 Jobs, Report Finds” (7-27-10)

“U.S. local governments may cut almost 500,000 jobs through next year to cope with sliding property taxes, a decline in state and federal aid and added need for social services, according to a report released today. The report, a result of a survey by the National League of Cities, the U.S. Conference of Mayors and the National Association of Counties, showed local governments are moving to cut the equivalent of 8.6 percent of their workforces from 2009 to 2011. That suggests 481,000 employees will lose their jobs, according to the report, which said the tally may yet rise.”

Orange County Register – “Hear why next housing peak ‘2016 or beyond’” (7-27-10)

“Economist Mark Schniepp of the California Forecast tells ocregister.com in a podcast interview that local housing will endure a recovery that’s ‘painstakingly frustrating’ in its modesty with improving but not impressive sales volumes and prices. But it will take a big turnabout in the employment picture before hosuing’s rebound become significant but it will still be ‘until 2016-2017 or beyond’ before the old peaks are surpassed.”

Housing Wire – “Big 4 Banks Add $9.5bn in Nonperforming, Foreclosed Properties in One Year” (7-27-10)

“Each of the ‘big-four’ banks, Bank of America (BAC: 14.19 +0.28%), Wells Fargo (WFC: 28.39 +1.72%), JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 40.69 +0.89%) and Citigroup (C: 4.16 +0.24%) released quarterly earnings reports for Q210 in July, reporting a total increase of $9.5bn in nonperforming or foreclosed properties from the same quarter last year.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, pools increased a homes value by up to 11 percent in Southern California. Fiserv predicted that California would be the hottest home market in 2010. New home purchases climbed 11 percent in June 2009.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/6/10

Tuesday, July 6th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to Lender Processing Services, the national mortgage delinquency rate increased to 9.2% in May. Reis reports national office vacancies increased by 0.1 percent in the second quarter to 17.4 percent. The former CEO of Irvine Co. believes the housing and commercial real estate market will be rocky for the next year or two due to the volume of underwater loans. The former secretary of labor under President Clinton, Robert Reich, believes the U.S. economy will have a very slow recovery, and may experience a double dip.

In The News:

Yahoo - “Mortgage rates scream buy, but who is listening?” (7-3-10)

“Under normal circumstances, 4.58 percent would be irresistible. A decade ago, if you’d told David Christensen, owner of Mountain Lake Mortgage in Lakeside, Mont., that rates would drop this low, he wouldn’t have believed you. And if rates did somehow fall this far, he never thought he would lack for customers, as he does now. Yet both have come true. Christensen argues that mortgage lending standards have tightened so much since the financial crisis that many people with decent but not-stellar credit can’t qualify. Lenders are demanding stronger credit scores and higher down payments or home equity.”

Robert Reich – “Slouching Toward a Double Dip or a Lousy Recovery at Best” (7-3-10)

“In June the nation added fewer jobs than necessary merely to keep up with population growth (private hiring rose by 83,000 after adding only 33,000 jobs in May). The typical workweek declined. Average earnings dropped. Home sales are down. Retail sales are down. Factory orders in May suffered their biggest tumble since March of last year. ”

Housing Wire – “National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Swells to 9.2% in May: LPS” (7-6-10)

“The national mortgage delinquency rate grew to 9.2% in May, up 2.3% from a month earlier and 7.9% from a year earlier, according to the latest report from mortgage performance data and analytics provider Lender Processing Services (LPS: 31.41 -0.16%).”

Bloomberg - “Profit Upgrades Clash With El-Erian’s Fading Recovery” (7-6-10)

“Analysts are raising earnings estimates for U.S. companies at the fastest rate since at least 2004 just as stocks post the biggest losses in 16 months on concern that the economy will sink back into a recession. Profit for Standard & Poor’s 500 Index companies will jump 34 percent in 2010, compared with a projected gain of 27 percent on March 29, according to more than 8,000 estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The revision, the most during any quarter in at least six years, came as lower-than-forecast home sales, manufacturing and private-sector job growth sent the benchmark gauge for American equities down 16 percent since April 23.”

Bloomberg - “Office Vacancy Rate in U.S. Climbs to 17-Year High, Reis Says” (7-6-10)

“Office vacancies in the U.S. rose to the highest level since 1993 in the second quarter as the sluggish economic recovery damps demand from corporate tenants, Reis Inc. said in a report. The vacancy rate climbed to 17.4 percent from 16 percent a year earlier and 17.3 percent in the first quarter, the New York-based research company said today in a statement. Effective rents, the amount tenants actually pay landlords, fell 5.7 percent from a year earlier and 0.9 percent from the previous three months, according to Reis.”

Bloomberg - “Property Bonds Slump Most Since ’09 on Slowdown: Credit Markets” (7-6-10)

“Bonds sold by real-estate companies are performing the worst compared with the rest of the market since March 2009 on concern the slowing economic recovery will cause more defaults. Yield premiums of bonds sold by real-estate investment trusts, shopping-mall owners and office landlords widened 9 basis points, or 0.09 percentage point, more than those on other debt in June, and continued to rise this month, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes.”

Orange County Register – “Adjustable mortgages back in fashion?” (7-6-10)

“DataQuick reports that 10% of Orange County home buyers who financed their home purchases in May used some sort of adjustable mortgage — the highest level of variable-loan use since August 2008. The bottom for adjustable-loan use was April and May of 2009, when just 2.4% of financed deals had variable financing.”

Orange County Register – “Real estate outlook ‘rocky’ for 2 years” (7-6-10)

“The former CEO and vice chairman of the Irvine Co. says that the outlook for housing and commercial real estate will be rocky for the next year or two because of the volume of underwater loans.”

Housing Wire – “CMBS Delinquency Rate Triples From a Year Ago, Passes 7%: Realpoint” (7-6-10)

“Delinquencies in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) in the US reached 7.2% in May from 6.9% in April, and more than triple the rate a year ago, according to the analytics firm Realpoint. Realpoint tracks delinquency data on nearly $800bn of CMBS pools for the monthly reports. In May, the total delinquent unpaid balance for these loans reached $57.3bn, a $2.9bn increase from the previous month.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, a study of 3.5 million mortgages nationwide found that in June loan servicers held 32,000 foreclosure sales. Vacancy rates for rental properties increased to 5.3% in the first quarter of 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/28/10

Monday, June 28th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Statistics from the Federal Reserve show the median borrower who ’strategically’ defaults doesn’t walk away from the mortgage until the amount owed exceeds the value of the home by 62%. McGraw-Hill Construction reports new construction starts increased 3% in April. According to CoreLogic, more than 11 million borrowers currently owe more on their mortgage than it is worth. Experian statistics show that 19 percent of all defaults in 2009 were strategic.

In The News:

Press Enterprise – “Crash opens market for luxury apartments” (6-26-10)

“While homebuilders are aiming at a more frugal consumer by cutting frills, some apartment developments in San Bernardino and Riverside counties are going upscale with features like granite countertops and hardwood floors and rents comparable to a home mortgage. The Lewis Group of Cos., an Upland-based developer of master-planned communities and apartments, figures that partly because many people have been burned by the housing crash, there is demand from prospective tenants moving out of houses who want and can afford a house-like apartment experience.”

Chicago Tribune – “Moral bankruptcy?” (6-27-10)

“Some have struggled unsuccessfully to keep their homes, and others have just walked away. Phillips decided he wanted revenge and was willing to ruin his credit record for it. When a short sale didn’t work out as planned, the 32-year-old Chicagoan opted for Chapter 7 bankruptcy liquidation, a move that will leave Phillips with little except for the scant possessions in his one-bedroom condo. It also will leave his lender, Chase, with little except for, eventually, a condo that has lost value. Meanwhile, Phillips continues to live there, mortgage-free.”

Los Angeles Times – “Undone by their dreams” (6-26-10)

“In the last four years, according to the San Bernardino County assessor’s office, 373 of the 941 single-family homes in Mission Crest — nearly 40% — have been foreclosed on. Thirty-five have gone through foreclosure more than once. Properties that once sold for nearly $400,000 are worth less than $200,000.”

Mercury News – “Santa Clara County assessor adds Web tools to help homeowners” (6-28-10)

“More than 100,000 residents will be given access to a special website — tracking home sales by neighborhood — where they can see precisely why the assessor’s office decided to assign a particular home its worth.”

Wall Street Journal – “How Far Underwater Do Borrowers Sink Before Walking Away?” (6-28-10)

“At what point do borrowers who owe more than their homes are worth decide to stop paying the mortgage? A new study from economists at the Federal Reserve Board aims to answer that question. The research found that the median borrower who ’strategically’ defaults doesn’t walk away from the mortgage until the amount owed exceeds the value of the home by 62%.”

Housing Wire – “Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (6-28-10)

“The House Financial Services Committee issued a statement Sunday urging ‘bold action’ on the Dodd-Frank bill, the reconciled financial reform bill agreed to by a Congressional committee last week and named after Sen Christopher Dodd (D-CT) and Rep Barney Frank (D-MA). The final bill now travels to separate House and Senate votes and then, upon passage by Congress, to a Presidential signature into law.”

Housing Wire – “Surge in Nonresidential Building Boosts May Construction Starts” (6-28-10)

“New construction starts increased 3% from April to May, according to a monthly survey by McGraw-Hill Construction. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of total construction starts was $406.3bn in May, up 3% from $392,988bn in April. For the first five months of 2010, the unadjusted value of total construction starts was $162bn, down 2% from $165bn during the same period of 2009.”

Housing Wire – “The Slippery Slope of Short Sales” (6-28-10)

“More than 11 million borrowers currently owe more on their mortgage than it is worth, according to CoreLogic (CLGX: 18.11 +0.28%)—and this group of borrowers would love nothing more than to replace their current underwater mortgage with whatever the accepted ’short sale price’ is deemed to be. I don’t know that such a response on the part of borrowers could be deemed irrational, either. Many will ask themselves why they have a mortgage at a higher amount, especially if the bank is willing to sell the house to another buyer for less money.”

Housing Wire – “G20 Applauds Dodd-Frank Bill in Pushing its own Global Financial Reform” (6-28-10)

“The meeting of G20 nations concluded this weekend in Toronto with communiqués reflecting a strong support for the US financial reform, called the Dodd-Frank bill. Indeed, information released from the summit show a mix of ambitious plans for growth, mixed with further calls to reduce spending, especially among countries with higher debt burdens.”

Housing Wire – “Experian Finds 19% of Mortgage Defaults in Q209 are Strategic” (6-28-10)

“Of all mortgage delinquencies in the second quarter of 2009 (Q209), nearly one in five — or 19% — were considered strategic defaults, according to the latest study of default trends by information services firm Experian.”

Bloomberg - “Commercial Mortgages Fail to Pay as Lending Increases” (6-28-10)

“Between 50 percent and 60 percent of loans on skyscrapers, hotels, shopping malls and apartment complexes failed to refinance within a few months of their maturity date this year, Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts said in a report. That compares with 15 percent to 20 percent in 2008, according to the analysts led by Roger Lehman in New York. About $11 billion in loans, or one-third of the 2010 total, had hit their expected maturity dates through late May.”

Bloomberg - “Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Should ‘Unwind’ Portfolios, Pimco Says” (6-28-10)

“Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the housing-finance companies supported by U.S. taxpayers, should take advantage of demand for government-backed mortgage debt and sell their holdings, according to Pacific Investment Management Co. ‘Since the government’s going to want to unwind them at some point anyway, why not do it at the best levels ever?’ Scott Simon, the mortgage-bond head at Newport Beach, California-based Pimco, manager of the world’s biggest fixed- income fund, said in a telephone interview.”

Inman - “Top 10 states for pending tax credit closings” (6-28-10)

“NAR estimates as many as 180,000 homebuyers who were under contract by April 30 may miss the June 30 closing deadline. To prod lawmakers into find a way to extend the deadline, NAR released a breakdown of how many home purchases are affected in each state.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Freddie Mac estimated that sales of new and existing homes might increase to an annual pace of 5.1 million in the 3rd quarter. Real Capital Analytics forecasted that $16 billion of office transactions would be completed by the end of 2009. The number of Orange County property owners disputing their taxes jumped 23% near last year’s deadline.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/15/10

Tuesday, June 15th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

MDA DataQuick reports A total of 22,270 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in Southern California last month. According to the NAHB, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family decreased this month. Having a home with a view is on the top 10 list of preferences for 44.5 percent of men. Morgan Stanley’s research has lead the company to conclude that low mortgage rates will prevent a double dip in prices.

In The News:

DQNews - “Southland median sale price back over $300K; sales at 4-year high” (6-15-10)

“A total of 22,270 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was up 9.7 percent from 20,299 in April, and up 7.2 percent from 20,775 in May 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

NAHB - “Builder Confidence Declines in June” (6-15-10)

“Snapping a string of two consecutive monthly gains, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes fell back to February levels, before the beginning of the home buyer tax credit-related surge, according to results of the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today. The HMI dropped five points to 17 in June.”

Los Angeles Times – “California’s economy to see sluggish recovery this year, UCLA economists say” (6-15-10)

“California stands to gain some jobs this year but recovery will be sluggish, and the state’s inland areas will bear the brunt of the continuing economic pain, according to a forecast scheduled to be released Tuesday by UCLA’s Anderson School of Business.”

Inman - “Top 10 sought-after home features” (6-15-10)

“Men and women’s top 10 preferences were largely the same with two exceptions: having a view made it onto the men’s list (and not the women’s list), with 44.5 percent of men saying it was a high priority; and wood floors made it onto the women’s list (and not the men’s), with 40.9 percent of women ranking them highly.”

Housing Wire – “Low Mortgage Rates Help Block Double-Dip Threat: Morgan Stanley” (6-15-10)

“The US economics team at financial firm Morgan Stanley (MS: 25.96 +2.49%) says in their latest research report that recent gains in the nation’s economy point to a remote chance of a so-called double dip — where recent upticks in economic activity are only temporary — citing low mortgage rates as a key driver in drawing this conclusion.”

Housing Wire – “Shadow Inventory to Take 3 Years to Clear: Standard & Poor’s” (6-15-10)

“The shadow inventory of distressed properties that back residential mortgage-backed securities will take nearly three years to clear at the current sales rate, according to the credit rating agency, Standard & Poor’s (S&P). S&P puts the total principal balance of the shadow inventory at $480bn or 30% of the entire non-agency market.”

Housing Wire – “BofA Permanent HAMP Modifications Passes 70,000 in May” (6-15-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 15.76 +2.27%) pushed its total number of permanent modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) to roughly 70,000 in May, up from 56,400 in April.”

Housing Wire – “MGIC Writes $800m in Monthly Mortgage Insurance, Denies Hundreds of Claims” (6-15-10)

“Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corp. (MGIC), the principal subsidiary of MGIC Investment Corp. (MTG: 9.12 +8.19%), wrote $800m of primary new mortgage insurance in May, according to monthly operations data. The company denied or rescinded — or canceled the policy relating to — almost 1,000 mortgage insurance claims in the month, helping to further reduce the number of delinquencies on its books, according to a press release.”

Housing Wire – “More Funds Repaid to TARP than Outstanding in May: Treasury” (6-15-10)

“Treasury noted in the April update on TARP that it expects to spend less than $550bn of the $700bn authorized for the program, and expects to recover all but $117bn — an estimate that was subsequently revised to $105.4bn. Of $384bn in total TARP disbursements, more than half — or $194bn — was repaid through May, leaving only $190bn outstanding. The sale of 1.5bn shares of Citigroup (C: 3.975 +2.45%) pushed the repayments past outstandings for the first time in TARP’s history.”

Housing Wire – “In These Thin Times, House Sizes Also Begin to Shrink” (6-15-10)

“In 2007, the average single-family home in the United States peaked at 2,521 square feet. That number did not vary greatly into 2008. However, according to a 2009 report from the Census Bureau, it’s now at an average of 2,438 square feet.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/9/10

Wednesday, June 9th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the MBA, mortgage loan application volumed decreased by 12.2 percent from last week. Economist Dr. Christopher Thornberg believes that government intervention is simply delaying inevitable declines in the housing market. Interthinx reports fraud risk in the national mortgage industry rose 4% in Q110.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (6-9-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 4, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 12.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. This week’s results include an adjustment to account for the Memorial Day holiday.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 21.1 percent compared with the previous week.”

Bloomberg - “Bank of America May Lead Banks in Home-Equity Losses” (6-9-10)

“Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. may lead 20 publicly traded U.S. banks that charge off as much as $40.9 billion on home-equity investments this year, Fitch Ratings said. In the worst-case scenario considered by Fitch, the three banks may write off a combined $31.2 billion as loans from the height of the housing market sour, analysts John Mackerey and Ken Ritz wrote in a report today. The 20 banks on the list, which includes only lenders with above-average exposure to the business, may charge off a total of as much as $76.7 billion in the two years through 2011, the New York-based rating company estimated.”

Housing Wire – “Christopher Thornberg: Short-Term Recovery Comes at Long-Term Cost” (6-9-10)

“While government intervention is boosting the US economy, including the housing market, it’s only delaying inevitable future declines in growth, Christopher Thornberg, an economist and the founding principal of San Rafael, Calif.-based Beacon Economics, said during a keynote address at REO Expo, currently underway in Dallas.”

Housing Wire – “RealtyTrac: 3.8m Homes to Receive Foreclosure Filing in 2010″ (6-9-10)

“An estimated 3.8m households will receive a foreclosure filing in 2010, said Rick Sharga, senior vice president at the online foreclosure marketplace RealtyTrac, in a speech at REO Expo.”

Housing Wire – “Bank of America Puts Short Sales Ahead of REO” (6-9-10)

“Bank of America, one of the largest lenders in the U.S., has instituted a policy of liquidating as many assets saddled with defaulted loans as possible before repossession, said Matt Vernon, the short sale and REO executive at BofA. Vernon took the position at BofA in February. He has since announced plans to add 1,000 employees to the short sale staff. BofA currently holds more than 477,000 loans eligible for the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), and has provided more than 600,000 modifications through HAMP and its own programs.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Fraud Risk Up 11% in Interthinx Yearly Index” (6-9-10)

“Fraud risk in the national mortgage industry rose 4% in Q110 from Q409, and 11% from the year-ago period, according to the latest report from mortgage software developer Interthinx.”

Realty Times – “Managing HOA Construction” (6-9-10)

“Your homeowner association may be faced with a large siding, dryrot or structural repair. These projects often involve a number of disciplines like carpentry, electrical, plumbing and engineering that must be properly integrated for a satisfactory end result. When it comes to accomplishing complex renovation projects, it makes sense to use the services of a professional Construction Manager (CM).”

Looking Back:

One year ago, The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) announced on May 29 that the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) will allow state housing finance agencies to provide second mortgages ‘monetizing’ the tax credit. Real Estate Econometrics estimated that rates on commercial mortgages would reach 4.1 percent by the end of 2009. 10 banks won U.S. Treasury approval to buy back $68 billion of government shares.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/12/10

Wednesday, May 12th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The NAHB reports that builder confidence increased from Q1 2009, but is still low. The MBA’s weekly survey shows that mortgage application volume increased by 3.4 percent. According to Freddie Mac, of all borrowers who had 30-year FRMs, 75% refinanced into a new 30-year FRM. Barclays estimates that foreclosure shadow inventory should peak during the summer of 2010.

In The News:

NAHB - “Active Adult Home Builder Activity, Confidence Remain Low” (5-12-10)

“The 55+ single-family HMI measures builder sentiments based on current sales, prospective buyer traffic and anticipated six-month sales for the 55+ single-family market.  A number greater than 50 indicates that more builders view conditions as good than poor. Although the index recorded a slight rise in the first quarter of 2010 – moving up two points to 19 from its 2009 Q1 level of 17 – the level of confidence remains low.”

Mortgage Bankers Association – “Refinance Applications Surge, Purchase Applications Drop in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (5-12-10)

“The Refinance Index increased 14.8 percent from the previous week and the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 9.5 percent from one week earlier.  The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 8.9 percent compared with the previous week and was 0.6 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 7, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 3.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3.4 percent compared with the previous week.”

Inman - “More U.S. residents on the move” (5-12-10)

“The percentage of U.S. residents who moved between 2008 and 2009 jumped to 12.5 percent (37.1 million people), according to a report by the U.S. Census Bureau. That increase comes after a record-low move rate between 2007 and 2008: 11.9 percent, or 35.2 million people. The bureau’s data comes from the 2009 Current Population Survey conducted between February and April every year at about 100,000 U.S. addresses. It includes residents who are at least 1 year old.”

Housing Wire – “Freddie Mortgage Refinancing Dominated by Fixed-Rate Products” (5-12-10)

“Of borrowers who had 30-year FRMs, 75% refinanced into a new 30-year FRM, while 15% opted for a 15-year FRM and the remaining 10% chose a 20-year FRM. Freddie said the combined 25% of 30-year borrowers that refinanced into a shorter-term loan is the most since Q304, when 30% of 30-year borrowers refinanced into a balloon mortgage or shorter-term FRM.”

Housing Wire – “Shadow Inventory To Peak in Summer of 2010: Barclays” (5-12-10)

“The shadow inventory of foreclosures should peak in the summer of 2010 before falling gradually in the later months, according to a new report from Barclays Capital. Barclays defines the shadow inventory of foreclosures as loans in 90-plus day delinquency or already in the foreclosure process. According to the report, there are currently 2.4m loans in 90-plus day delinquency and another 2.1m in foreclosure, totaling 4.5m in the shadow inventory.”

Housing Wire – “End in Sight for General Growth Bankruptcy” (5-12-10)

“The end is in sight, as a plan is in place for General Growth Properties (GGP: 14.96 +0.20%) to emerge from bankruptcy as early as this summer. The judge overseeing the case approved bidding procedures and the issuance of warrants to a group of investors led by Brookfield Asset Management (BAM: 25.49 +1.03%).”

Bloomberg - “‘Perfect Quarter’ at Four U.S. Banks Shows Fed-Fueled Revival” (5-12-10)

“Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the first, second and fifth-biggest U.S. banks by assets, all said in regulatory filings that they had zero days of trading losses in the first quarter. Citigroup Inc., the third-largest, doesn’t break out its daily trading revenue by quarter. It recorded a profit on each trading day, two people with knowledge of the results said.”

Bloomberg - “Morgan Stanley’s Gorman Denies Bank Misled CDO Buyers” (5-12-10)

“Morgan Stanley Chief Executive Officer James Gorman denied allegations the U.S. bank misled investors about mortgage derivatives it sold them. The firm is being probed by U.S. prosecutors over whether the bank misled clients when it sold them collateralized debt obligations as its own traders bet that the value of the securities would drop, the Wall Street Journal reported today. The New York-based firm hasn’t been contacted by the Justice Department, Gorman told reporters in Tokyo today.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/13/10

Tuesday, April 13th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

MDA DataQuick reports 20,476 new and resale homes sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. Schwarzenegger signed a bill allowing taxpayers to be exempt from paying for forgiven mortgage debt. In 2008 and 2009, the income needed to buy a median-priced home decreased in 93 percent of U.S. markets. According to IAS, national house prices fell 0.6% in February.

In The News:

DQNews - “More Incremental Gains for Southland Real Estate Market” (4-13-10)

“A total of 20,476 new and resale homes sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was up 33.3 percent from 15,359 in February, and up 5.0 percent from 19,506 in March 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

Sacramento Bee – “California won’t tax forgiven home debt” (4-13-10)

“Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger signed legislation Monday to spare thousands of Californians big tax bills on mortgage debt forgiven in 2009. The bill, signed days before Thursday’s tax filing deadline, will eliminate state taxes on forgiven mortgage debt from 2009 through the end of 2012. The U.S. government has already done the same.”

Los Angeles Times – “Washington Mutual created ‘mortgage time bomb,’ Senate panel says” (4-13-10)

“Before Washington Mutual collapsed in the largest bank failure in U.S. history, its executives knowingly created a ‘mortgage time bomb’ by making subprime loans they knew were likely to go bad and then packaging them into risky securities, a congressional investigation has found. In some cases, the bank took loans in which it had discovered fraudulent activity — such as misstated income by borrowers — and rolled them into mortgage securities sold to investors without disclosing the fraud, according to the report released Monday by the Senate’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations.”

Inman - “The workers homeownership left behind” (4-13-10)

“Between 2008 and 2009, the income needed to purchase a median-priced home fell in 93 percent of the markets studied, while the income needed fell a median of 9.1 percent, the study said.”

Housing Wire – “Top Four Banks Ready to Write-Down Second Liens” (4-13-10)

“In a hearing today before the House Financial Services Committee, representatives from Bank of America (BAC: 18.67 +0.05%), Citi (C: 4.62 -0.43%), JP Morgan Chase (JPM: 45.87 -0.59%) and Wells Fargo (WFC: 32.15 -0.83%) report that they do not feel efforts to satisfy second lien obligations represent a conflict of interest between the desires of investors and the needs of distressed borrowers. As a result, they are willing to write-down second liens if first lien lenders are doing the same. All four lenders are participants in the Second Lien Modification Program, known as 2MP, which is struggling to gain traction.”

Housing Wire – “Seven Months of House Price Declines Keep IAS Index Near 2004 Levels” (4-13-10)

“National house prices fell 0.6% in February, the seventh consecutive month of decline, keeping prices ‘only fractionally higher’ than levels seen in 2004, according to collateral valuation firm Integrated Asset Services (IAS). Although February’s decline is smaller than recent months — like 0.7% in December — the IAS house price index is now down 25% from its peak in July 2007.”

Housing Wire – “New Inspection Report Helps REO Holders Market Homes to FHA Borrowers” (4-13-10)

“Altisource Portfolio Solutions (ASPS: 25.61 -0.70%), a real estate portfolio services provider, introduced a new inspection report with increased data and repair information on subject properties. According to the company, while a traditional property inspection report outlines the general condition of a property, the new report includes information on the existence and condition of appliances, carpets or other flooring, and whether electrical systems are functioning.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage-Bond Yields That Guide Loan Rates Fall to 3-Week Low” (4-13-10)

“Fannie Mae’s current-coupon 30-year fixed-rate mortgage bonds fell about 0.01 percentage point to 4.44 percent as of 3:02 p.m. in New York, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s down from an eight-month high of 4.67 percent on April 5.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, distressed properties represented 25 percent of U.S. home sales. Jeff Greene confessed to his 2006 investment estimation that money could be quickly made by buying credit default swaps on mortgage backed securities. Experts warned that FHA loans would be the next biggest risk in the U.S. housing market.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/12/10

Monday, April 12th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to First American CoreLogic, distressed home sales in Orange County are selling 34 percent under the typical market place. Altos Research reports a 0.5 percent in the national median home price. A modification becomes permanent through HAMP after the borrower makes all three monthly payments during the trial period. Fiserv estimates that home prices will not return to the past peak levels until 2025.

In The News:

My Desert – “Valley’s Housing Market Warming” (4-12-10)

“The median sales price of new and single-family homes rose 11 percent to about $200,000, about $20,000 higher than in February 2009. Home sales also rose 9.4 percent compared to the same period last year. Real estate sales have been outpacing sales from the previous year every month since October. Sales volume rose 31 percent in November, 29 percent in December, and 22.2 percent in January.”

Orange County Register – “Distressed home discounts at 6-month high” (4-12-10)

“Orange County homebuyers got a 34% price discount when they chose a distressed property vs. overall market prices in January, according to First American CoreLogic. That’s the biggest discount in six months.”

Wall Street Journal – “Second Mortgages Vex Borrowers” (4-12-10)

“Banks are coming under increasing political pressure to write off or at least write down second-lien and other junior mortgages as a way to help borrowers keep their homes or extract themselves from heavy debt. As the Wells Fargo suit shows, however, banks often are reluctant to give up on loans when they see a chance of recovering all or part of their money. This issue will be the focus of a hearing Tuesday by the House Financial Services Committee in Washington. Panel members are due to quiz executives from Wells Fargo, Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc. and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. about their junior-lien mortgage policies.”

Bloomberg - “Bank Profits Dimmed by Prospect of Home-Equity Losses” (4-12-10)

“Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. may have to set aside an additional $30 billion to cover possible losses on home-equity loans, an amount almost equal to analysts’ estimates of profit at the three banks this year. The cost of these reserves was calculated by CreditSights Inc., a New York-based research firm whose prediction almost four years ago proved prescient after banks reported unprecedented mortgage-related writedowns. Recognizing the home- equity loan losses is unfinished business from the housing bubble, CreditSights said in a March 29 report.”

Housing Wire – “So, Where Will Housing Double Dip?” (4-12-10)

“Put in more plain terms, a state with a 1% foreclosure rate and an 11% delinquency rate should be expected to feel the impact of distressed properties moving through the pipeline far more than a state with a 5% foreclosure rate and a 5% delinquency rate, for example. The reasoning is simple: distressed property sales (short sales or REOs) are a drag on retail home prices. In markets that have seen comparatively less foreclosures relative to the volume of delinquencies stuck in the pipeline, the impact of those delinquencies will be felt proportionately more strongly as they are finally dealt with.”

Housing Wire – “Altos Sees House Price Decline Decelerate in March” (4-12-10)

“The median house listing price declined 0.5% in the Altos Research 10-city composite in March, improved from February’s 1.3% decline in an indication the pace of decline may be decelerating. March, the eighth consecutive month of decline, brings the Q110 price decline to 1.8%. But weekly price changes have shown a modest upward trend in the past seven weeks, which means a uptick in house prices could arrive in the coming months, Altos said.”

Housing Wire – “BofA Completes 33,000 Permanent HAMP Mods” (4-12-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 18.66 +0.38%) completed almost 32,900 permanent mortgage modifications through the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) through March, up from 20,666 in February. The Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. When Treasury first reported permanent modifications in November 2009, BofA reported 98 permanent modifications. A modification becomes permanent through HAMP after the borrower makes all three monthly payments during the trial period.”

Housing Wire – “Despite HAMP, Mortgage Delinquency Grows 21% over 2009: LPS” (4-12-10)

“The number of mortgages delinquent at the end of February 2010 is 21.3% higher than the same time last year despite government-led modification efforts, according to the latest monthly report from Lender Processing Services (LPS: 37.61 +0.94%).”

Housing Wire – “Peak House Prices Will Return to Sand States after 2025: Fiserv” (4-12-10)

“Housing markets that experienced the greatest inflation in house prices — including certain metro areas in sand states California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada — will not see a return of peak-level home prices before 2025, according to financial services technology provider Fiserv.”

Wall Street Journal – “AIG, Goldman Unwind Soured Trades” (4-12-10)

” The derivatives unit of American International Group Inc. has unwound most of its soured mortgage trades with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. still left after the insurer was bailed out by the U.S. government in 2008, according to people familiar with the matter. The move by AIG Financial Products to terminate credit-default swaps insuring about $3 billion of mortgage-asset pools arranged by Goldman caused AIG to realize a $1.5 billion to $2 billion loss last year, the people said.”

Bloomberg - “Pimco Says Investors to Hold Down U.S. Mortgage Rates” (4-12-10)

“Investor demand for mortgage-backed securities will keep U.S. home-loan rates down after the Federal Reserve ended its purchases of the debt, said Pacific Investment Management Co., manager of the world’s biggest bond fund. The Fed’s unprecedented program to buy $1.25 trillion of the securities that guide home-loan costs stopped U.S. housing prices from falling, Scott Simon, who is in charge of investing in the notes at Pimco, wrote on the company’s Web site.”

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/25/10

Thursday, March 25th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

New rules for the HAMP program may require servicers to screen borrowers for modification after only 31 days of delinquency. ForeclosureListings.com shows that California experienced an 11.9% increase in foreclosures. Freddie Mac reports the 30-year FRM rate is currently at 4.99 percent. According to the Comptroller of the Currency,  the re-default rate for modified loans is over 50 percent.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times – “Bank of America to reduce mortgage principal for some borrowers” (3-25-10)

“Amid increasing government pressure to stem foreclosures, Bank of America Corp. said Wednesday that it would offer to erase as much as $3 billion in principal owed by thousands of severely delinquent borrowers who owe more than their homes are worth.”

Mercury News – “Citigroup agrees to modify some second mortgages” (3-25-10)

“Citigroup on Thursday became the latest lender to commit to the government’s program to modify second mortgages as a recovery in the housing market appears to be in jeopardy. With Citi on board, now four big owners of home mortgages in the U.S. have joined the program — part of the Obama administration’s $75 billion loan modification plan aimed at reducing monthly payments to help customers stay in their homes. Bank of America, Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase already participate.”

Inman - “Home values rise in Boston, San Diego” (3-25-10)

“Radar Logic’s monthly RPX report, based on 28 days of price-per-square-foot data, found that the price per square foot rose most in Boston (up 15.5 percent, to $187.84 per square foot) year-over-year in January, and dropped most in Las Vegas (down 21.4 percent, to $76.18 per square foot) during that period.”

Housing Wire - “Treasury to Require HAMP Servicers to Step Up Outreach Efforts” (3-25-10)

“Allison announced that servicers must pursue early intervention, pre-screening every borrower that misses two or more payments to determine eligibility for HAMP and soliciting those qualifying borrowers for HAMP participation. This change encourages servicers to reach out to the borrower as early as 31 days of delinquency when the chance for homeownership retention is best, according to a supplemental directive on the changes provided to HousingWire.”

Housing Wire – “ForeclosureListings: Texas Leads Nation in Foreclosure Gains” (3-25-10)

“The 35% increase of Texas foreclosures in February was the highest monthly gain of any state in the country, according to data from ForeclosureListings.com, an online foreclosure marketplace. Michigan had the second highest increase at 17.5%, followed by California at 11.9% and Florida at 4.7%.”

Housing Wire – “Mortgage Rates Increase as Fed MBS Purchase Program Nears End” (3-25-10)

“Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.29 +0.78%) said the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) was 4.99% with an average 0.6 origination point for the week ending March 25, up from last week’s average of 4.96%. A year ago, the rate average was 4.85%. The Bankrate.com survey of large banks and thrifts put the average rate for a 30-year FRM at 5.11% with an average 0.41 origination point, up from last week’s average of 5.07%, but down from last year’s average of 5.19%.”

Bloomberg - “Half of U.S. Home Loan Modifications Default Again” (3-25-10)

“More than half of U.S. borrowers who received loan modifications on delinquent mortgages defaulted again after nine months, according to a federal report. The re-default rate of loans modified in the first quarter of 2009 was 51.5 percent by the end of the year, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision said in a joint report today. The figure, which measures payments at least 30 days late, climbed to 57.9 percent for changes made in the prior 12 months.”

Bloomberg - “Prepare to Pay 15% Less for New U.S. Homes: Chart of the Day” (3-25-10)

“New-home prices may have to tumble 15 percent in the U.S. before sales start to rebound, according to Michael Panzner, an author and financial blogger. ”

Looking Back:

One year ago, The MBA reported a 32 percent increase in mortgage applications from the previous season. One in five homeowners owed more on their mortgage than their house was worth. The Federal Reserve began purchasing long-term treasuries. New home sales in the U.S. increased by 4.7 percent within a month.

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The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/12/10

Friday, March 12th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The FDIC sold $1.8bn of residential mortgage-backed securities. The Federal Reserve bought a total of $10bn worth of mbs. More than 25 percent of the home owners who received trial modifications have been removed from Obama’s program. Approximately 462,000 new unemployment claims were made last week.

In The News:

Housing Wire – “FDIC Details $1.8bn Structured Financing Transaction” (3-12-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) today closed on a sale of notes backed by residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) from seven failed bank receiverships. The news of the closing, summarized in an FDIC press release today, marks the first official release of information on $1.8bn of structured notes that roadshowed and priced in recent weeks.”

Housing Wire – “BofA Makes 21,000 HAMP Modifications Permanent” (3-12-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 16.985 -0.79%) reported 21,000 permanent modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) through February. The US Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. BofA faced industry criticism for reporting 98 permanent modifications through November 2009.”

Housing Wire – “Fed MBS Purchases 98% Complete with Another $10bn” (3-12-10)

“The New York Federal Reserve Bank bought another $10bn of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the week ending March 10 as the $1.25trn program, now 98% complete, winds down to a close. The Fed bought $29.4bn gross of MBS — $4.4bn Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.2801 -1.53%) MBS, $25bn Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.0701 -2.72%) MBS, and no Ginnie Mae MBS. After reporting $19.4bn of MBS sales through the same week, the Fed’s net purchases came to $10bn, level with last week’s agency MBS buys.”

Bloomberg - “More Than 250,000 Borrowers Dropped From U.S. Modification Plan” (3-12-10)

“More than 250,000 of the 1 million borrowers who have received trial loan modifications through the Obama administration’s chief foreclosure prevention plan have either dropped out or been removed from the program through February, the Treasury Department said.”

Inman - “Credit Starvation Fallout” (3-12-10)

“Overall retail sales have risen 6 percent since the pit one year ago, but are still 6.5 percent below 2008. New unemployment claims are still elevated, running 462,000 last week.”

Inman - “NAR: Don’t rein in FHA” (3-12-10)

“FHA insured nearly 30 percent of purchase loans in 2009, including more than half of mortgages taken out by first-time homeowners, and NAR also wants lawmakers to make temporary increases in FHA loan limits in costly housing markets permanent. But rising claims have eroded FHA’s capital reserves below statutory limits, forcing the program’s administrators to tighten underwriting requirements and raise upfront mortgage insurance premiums.”

Orange County Register – “85,000 O.C. real estate jobs gone” (3-12-10)

“In January, Orange County real estate and finance bosses employed 199,200 workers, 24,600 below 2009 levels and 85,100 less than the recent cycle’s peak, by the state Employment Development Dept.’s freshly revised math.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the MBA reported that commercial and residential mortgage delinquencies increased during the 4th quarter of 2008. Riverside and San Bernardino County were ranked as the 6th highest foreclosure market. U.S. foreclosures increased by 30 percent in one month. Freddie Mac’s statistics showed that 30-year mortgage rates decreased to 5.03 percent.

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