The Norris Group Blog

California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘Altos Research’

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 6/8/11

Wednesday, June 8th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

Inman news reported that home prices actually rose in April and May after bottoming out the month before, despite reports of double-dipping.  Housing Wire says the Treasury Department should not expect the money back it paid to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.  Mortgage applications saw a decrease of .4% according to the Mortgage Bankers Association, and the value of homes fell 8% according to a report by Zillow.

In The News:

Inman - “Expect volatility in real estate recovery” (6-8-11)

“Despite a recent report that U.S. home prices “double dipped” in the first quarter, prices bottomed out in March and saw seasonal rises in April and May, according to real estate data company Altos Research.”

Housing Wire - “Fannie, Freddie may never pay back the government” (6-8-11)

“The Treasury Department paid $164.4 billion to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac since placing them into conservatorship in September 2008, but that money may never be paid back. ”

RisMedia - “HUD Provides $15 Million in Rental Assistance to Help Nearly 2,000 Families Stay Together” (6-8-11)

“In 2009, an estimated 423,773 children lived in foster care in the U.S., as case workers helped to reunite them with their families or primary caregivers. Recently, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) announced nearly $15 million to help public housing authorities reunite foster children with their parents or prevent them from ever entering the foster care system.”

Inman - “Report: Real estate market won’t hit bottom this year” (6-8-11)

“Home values fell 8 percent year-over-year in April, according to a report from property search and valuation site Zillow.”

Housing Wire - “Fixed-rate mortgages fall to 6-month lows: LendingTree” (6-8-11)

“Lenders in the LendingTree Network saw rates on 30- and 15-year, fixed-rate mortgages plunge to a six-month low this past week, LendingTree said in a report Wednesday.”

Mortgage Bankers Association - “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (6-8-11)

“Mortgage applications decreased 0.4 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 3, 2011. This week’s results include an adjustment to account for the Memorial Day holiday.”

The Wall Street Journal - “Office Owners Seek to Cash In” (6-8-11)

“Owners of big-name office buildings in some U.S. cities are racing to put them up for sale to exploit surging prices before it is too late.”

Mortgage Bankers Association - “Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Delinquency Rates Mixed in First Quarter” (6-8-11)

“The delinquency rate for loans held in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) reached the highest level since the series began in 1997, but the climb was slower than in recent quarters. Delinquency rates for other groups remain below levels seen in the last major real estate downturn during the early 1990s — some by large margins.”

Looking Back:

A survey from the NFCC showed that only 23 percent of Americans considered strategic default to be acceptable when underwater on a mortgage. Starting June 8, 2010, Real Estate Disposition began auctioning more than 350 bank-owned foreclosures in California. According to IAS, national home prices were up 0.9% in April from March of 2010. An executive from RealtyTrac believeed U.S. foreclosure activity would not stabilize until late this year.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/12/11

Tuesday, April 12th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

81 percent of respondents to a Pew Research Center’s survey believe housing is the best investment a person can make. California foreclosure sales increased 35.1% in March, according to ForeclosureRadar. Altos Research claims home sale inventory rose 2.97% last month. HUD is being sued over a rule requiring a property heir to pay the full mortgage balance to keep the home, even if it exceeds the value of the property.

In The News:

Mortgage Bankers Association“Weekly Applications Survey” (4-12-11)

“Mortgage applications decreased 6.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 8, 2011. ”

Housing Wire“Investors eager, but hold no great expectations for economic growth” (4-12-11)

“Investors are jumping back into the market and reducing their cash holdings even as the overall economic outlook suggests the world economy is facing ‘below-trend growth’ and ‘above trend’ inflation, according to the Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAC: 13.525 +0.26%) Survey of Fund Managers for April.”

Housing Wire“HUD halts foreclosures on reverse mortgage spouses” (4-12-11)

“The Department of Housing and Urban Development directed its reverse mortgage lenders and servicers to halt foreclosures on the borrower’s spouse, according to a letter sent out last week. The American Association of Retired Persons sued HUD in March on behalf of three spouses of reverse mortgage borrowers. HUD changed a previous policy from 1989, changed in 2008, that said than an heir, which includes a surviving spouse, must pay the full mortgage balance to keep the home, even if it exceeds the value of the property.”

Reuters - “Housing still best investment despite downturn: study” (4-12-11)

“The survey by the Pew Research Center’s Social and Demographic Trends project found that 81 percent of respondents see housing as the best investment a person can make, despite a slump in prices that has knocked nearly a third off home values since 2006.”

MSN - “Some real estate agents feeling spring chill” (4-12-11)

“Spring typically is the year’s busiest season for residential real estate, but this year some normally upbeat sales agents are showing signs of nervousness as they confront sluggish growth and tough lending standards.”

DSNews - “Self-Evident Truth in Market Variables: Longer Foreclosure Timelines” (4-12-11)

“in California foreclosure sales in March increased 35.1 percent on a month-over-month basis, but rose just 10.5 percent on a daily average basis. Nevada foreclosure sales, however, bounced back strongly after falling in February, rising 109.5 percent even on a daily average basis.”

Housing Wire“Mortgage industry workforce plummets 51% since 2006″ (4-12-11)

“The number of employees in the mortgage industry declined 51% between February 2006 and February 2011, which equates to a loss of 257,000 jobs. February 2006 marked the peak of employment in this sector at 505,000 individuals.”

Housing Wire“Fannie, Freddie lenders to submit electronic appraisals in June” (4-12-11)

“Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac notified lenders Wednesday that a new system will be available June 27 giving lenders the ability to upload appraisals electronically.”

Housing Wire“Housing inventory rises for spring selling season: Altos” (4-12-11)

“Home sale inventory was up 2.97% in March and up 6.83% over the three months ended in March, according to the Altos Research 10-City Composite Index.”

Orange County Register - “Who has too much power in America?” (4-12-11)

“A new Gallup Poll shows Americans think that lobbyists, major corporations, banks, and the federal government have too much power, while state and local governments, the legal system, organized religion, and the military have the right amount of power or too little of it.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, distressed home sales in Orange County were selling 34 percent under the typical market place. Fiserv estimated that home prices would not return to the past peak levels until 2025.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/4/11

Friday, March 4th, 2011

 

Home Sales Set to Drop 2.3 percent this year: Reuters poll

Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

California Housing Production Dips in January, CBIA Announces

Pending Sales of U.S. Existing Homes Decline by 2.8%, More than Forecast 

Obama plan would accelerate sale of unneeded federal real estate

HSBC Suspends All U.S. Foreclosures

Short sales still take too long on average, report says

House committee votes to end FHA Short Refi program

California lawmakers revive bill that would kill dual-track foreclosures

Today’s News Synopsis:

Capital One Home Loans has chosen not to foreclose on any California mortgages. The government applauded TALF for netting $600 million in income. According to S&P, lenders need 13 months on average to foreclose in a judicial state. Altos Research claims home prices decreased 2% in February.

In The News:

Washington Post - “Obama officials, attorneys general closer to possible deal with banks in foreclosure mess” (3-4-11)

“Senior Obama administration officials, newly joined by state attorneys general, were on the brink Thursday of finalizing major elements of a possible settlement with large U.S. banks accused of flawed and fraudulent foreclosure practices, sources familiar with the discussions said.”

Housing Wire“Capital One slows foreclosures to a trickle in California” (3-4-11)

“Capital One Home Loans is determined to not foreclose on any of the mortgages it services in California, according to sources inside the company.”

Housing Wire - “Pending home sales down everywhere, except the South: S&P” (3-4-11)

“Pending home sales nationwide are down for the second consecutive month, except for in the South where sales rose 1.4% between the months of December and January, according to a new report from Standard & Poor’s.”

Housing Wire“Fed touts TALF for generating $600 million in income” (3-4-11)

“Government officials testifying before Congress Friday applauded the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility program, known as TALF, for netting $600 million in income.”

Housing Wire - “S&P: Foreclosures take twice as long in judicial states” (3-4-11)

“Lenders need 13 months on average to foreclose in a judicial state, more than twice the six months it takes in a nonjudicial state, according to research from Standard & Poor’s.”

Housing Wire“Altos Research shows February home prices down 2%” (3-4-11)

“Home prices fell another 2% in February with declines in all 27 markets tracked by Altos Research. The company said prices are slowly improving and housing inventory is up 3.75% nationwide as the market moves into a much-anticipated spring selling season.”

Econoday - “Employment Situation” (3-4-11)

“Overall payroll employment in February grew by 192,000, following a revised 63,000 rise in January and a 152,000 gain in December. The February advance came in marginally lower than the updated consensus forecast for a 200,000 gain”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Bruce Norris claimed the government’s aid would not be enough to prevent the U.S. economy from sliding back into recession. The NAR reported that national pending home sales decreased by 7.6 percent in January. Commercial real estate delinquencies decreased in February. The delinquency rate for Fannie Mae loans increased to 5.38% in February.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/10/10

Friday, December 10th, 2010



Resources:

Zillow: Home values crater by $1.7 trillion in 2010
Fitch sees 10% drop in home prices in 2011, negative outlook for MBS
U.S. Home Prices to Fall Up to 11% Before 2012 Bottom, Morgan Stanley Says
Economic recovery to stay muted
US Housing Market To Rebound In 2011 -Freddie Mac Economist
Chicago Fed sees housing sector improvement in 2011
Own-Rent Analysis
U.S. Mortgage Delinquency Rate Could Fall to 5% in ’11
Fannie, Freddie Pressed on Mortgages
Fannie Mae to suspend foreclosure evictions for the holidays
Defending the Mortgage Interest Deduction: The Facts Ad

Today’s News Synopsis:

Contrary to many recent forecasts regarding home price declines, Local Market Monitor believes many housing markets have bottomed, and may even improve over the next 2 years. Fitch Ratings reports delinquency rates on CMBS rose to 7.96% in November. American household net worth rose $1.2 trillion in the 3rd quarter.

In The News:

Washington Post“Housing agencies clash over mortgage-relief program” (12-10-10)

“The Federal Housing Administration says the program could avert foreclosures, but the Federal Housing Finance Agency has concerns that the program, if expanded to include the government-controlled mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, could be a logistical nightmare that would cost taxpayers too much, the sources said.”

Wall Street Journal“BofA Restarts Some Foreclosures” (12-10-10)

“The bank instructed its foreclosure attorneys this week to prepare new affidavits in 7,800 cases where court approval is required to foreclose on a home, out of a total of 102,000 frozen by the bank amid documentation concerns. In states where no court approval is required, attorneys were asked to lift the hold on 8,000 delayed foreclosure sales out of 30,000.”

Housing Wire“Local Market Monitor finds many local markets hit bottom in 3Q” (12-10-10)

“Local Market Monitor reported a ‘definite bottom’ in Southern California, specifically the San Francisco Bay area, where the average home price stands at $642,159, a 17% drop from the peak in the third quarter of 2006. Analysts forecast that price to hold over the next year and possibly increase 1% over the next two years.”

Housing Wire“Fitch Ratings says CMBS delinquencies rose to 7.96% in November” (12-10-10)

“The number of delinquencies in commercial mortgage-backed securities rose last month with increases across all property types, according to Fitch Ratings. Analysts said the delinquency rate rose to 7.96% in November from 7.78% the prior month led by $1.6 billion of new defaults on office- and retail-backed loans.”

Housing Wire“Households and financial institutions decrease debt in 3Q” (12-10-10)

“American household net worth increased by $1.2 trillion in the third quarter as a result of debt deleveraging. According to the funds flow report, the average household net worth was $54.9 trillion, up from $53.7 trillion in the previous quarter. Net worth is measured as the difference between household assets and liabilities.”

Housing Wire“Altos Research suspects government may eventually take total control of GSEs” (12-10-10)

“Real estate statistics firm Altos Research suggests the United States government may lean toward gaining complete control of government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.”

Realty Times“ARMs Providing Unexpected Relief for Some Home Owners” (12-10-10)

“in recent weeks, for conforming, 30-year mortgages, the interest rate on FRMs have averaged about one percentage point higher than the 5-year Treasury indexed ARM. Fixed rate mortgages for conforming loans averaged 4.40 percent vs. 3.45 percent for the 5-year Treasury indexed ARM, according to Freddie Mac’s Nov. 24 Primary Mortgage Market Survey.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, foreclosure activity decreased  by 8 percent in November. Hanley Wood Market Intelligence reported that Orange County builders had their first positive month in October 09, after 13 months of contract declines. A survey from HomeGain showed that 48 percent of agents and brokers believe that home prices would stay the same, and 24 percent believe that prices would increase.  Data from the U.S. Treasury Department showed that 31,382 of the 1 million three-month modifications had become permanent.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 10/4/10

Monday, October 4th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

GMAC Mortgage, JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America may have to reconsider past evictions due to poor foreclosure processing procedures. According to the NAR, pending home sales rose 4.3% in August. The CAR expects 2010 home sales to be 10% lower than the total number of sales in 2009. 10.2% of all mortgages in the nation’s top-100 most populated areas are over 90 days delinquent.

In The News:

New York Times“Flawed Paperwork Aggravates a Foreclosure Crisis” (10-3-10)

“The flawed practices that GMAC Mortgage, JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America have recently begun investigating are so prevalent, lawyers and legal experts say, that additional lenders and loan servicers are likely to halt foreclosure proceedings and may have to reconsider past evictions.”

Wall Street Journal“Number of the Week: 41.7 Million Spend Too Much on Housing” (10-2-10)

“As of 2009, some 41.7 million U.S. households, or 36.7% of the total, faced housing costs that exceeded 30% of their pretax income — a level typically defined as the threshold of affordability. That’s an increase of 1.5 million from 2007, despite a sharp drop in house prices and policy makers’ extraordinary efforts to bring down mortgage payments.”

Washington Post“Paperwork storm hits nation’s biggest bank” (10-2-10)

“A Bank of America executive, Renee Hertzler, said in a February deposition in Massachusetts that she signed as many as 8,000 foreclosure documents a month without reviewing them.”

Orange County Register“When real estate riches turn to rags” (10-4-10)

“Bankruptcy court records show that nearly 700 mostly elderly investors entrusted their savings in PPA, as the firm is known. Attorneys estimate that they lost $80 million to $90 million – most, if not all, the money that investors put in. PPA raised cash from investors with plans to buy apartment buildings, fix them up and sell them for a profit, promising returns of up to 15 percent a year.”

NAR - “Pending Home Sales Show Another Gain” (10-4-10)

“The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator, rose 4.3 percent to 82.3 based on contracts signed in August from a downwardly revised 78.9 in July, but is 20.1 percent below August 2009 when it was 103.0. The data reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months.”

CAR - “C.A.R. 2011 California Housing Market Forecast” (10-4-10)

“California home sales for 2010 are forecast to decline 10 percent from the 2009 sales figure of 546,500 homes sold. Sales in 2011 are projected to increase a lackluster 2 percent to 502,000 units compared with 492,000 units (projected) in 2010. After two consecutive years of record-setting price declines, the median home price in California will climb 11.5 percent in 2010 to $306,500 and increase another 2 percent in 2011 to $312,500, according to the forecast.”

Housing Wire - “Study shows one in 10 mortgages seriously delinquent” (10-4-10)

“Working with the Local Initiatives Support Corp., and the Urban Institute gathered and analyzed delinquency data on 366 U.S. metro areas. Seriously delinquent mortgages are behind on payments by 90-plus days or in foreclosure. According to the study 10.2% of all mortgages in the top-100 populated areas were in this category, up from 7.7% in March 2009.”

Housing Wire“New FHA data requirements for sponsored origination effective today” (10-4-10)

“New data requirements for loans originated by sponsored originators for securities backed by the Federal Housing Administration take effect today. If a lender plans to use a sponsored originator, they must be registered in the FHA database and included on all loan application documents.”

Housing Wire“Fed official hints at second round of quantitative easing” (10-4-10)

“Federal Reserve Bank of New York Executive Vice President Brian Sack is dropping hints that the Fed will soon begin to purchase mortgage-backed securities as part of quantitative easing and larger economic stimulus.”

Housing Wire - “2010 consumer bankruptcy filings hit highest level since 2005″ (10-4-10)

“Consumer bankruptcy filings increased 3.3% from August, to 130,329. Chapter 13 filings accounted for 30% of those, also a slight increase from the month previous. The American Banking Institute it expects the number of bankruptcy filings to steadily increase.”

Housing Wire“Home prices drop for fourth straight month: Altos Research” (10-4-10)

“Home prices in the Altos Research 10-city composite index dropped 1.5% to an average median price of $465,968 in September after a 1% drop the month before.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 8/17/10

Tuesday, August 17th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Statistics from MDA DataQuick show 18,946 new and resale homes were sold in Southern California in July. Frank Nothaft of Freddie Mac announced that refinancing activity has accounted for over 80% of conventional loan activity. National housing starts increased by 7.1 percent last month, according to the NAHB. The MBA expressed concerns that recent policy changes restricting seller concessions went too far and may damage the industry.

In The News:

DQNews - “Southern California Home Sales and Median Price Dip in July” (8-17-10)

“A total of 18,946 new and resale homes were sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties in July. That was down 20.6 percent from 23,871 in June, and down 21.4 percent from 24,104 for July 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

NAHB - “Housing Starts Rise 1.7 Percent in July” (8-17-10)

“Nationwide housing starts inched up 1.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 546,000 units in July from a downwardly revised figure in the previous month, according to U.S. Commerce Department figures released today. The gain occurred entirely on the multifamily side, with single-family housing production falling 4.2 percent to 432,000 units.”

Housing Wire“MBA Prefers FHA Seller Concessions Lowered to 4%” (8-17-10)

“In a letter to the US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), the MBA said its members urge the federal agency ‘to ensure policies do not reach too far and needlessly discourage home buying at a time when the housing market is still fragile.’ Last month, HUD announced possible policy changes within the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) aimed at boosting capital reserves. The changes include reducing the limit on seller concessions to 3% from 6%; using a FICO credit score of 500 as a minimum for consideration in FHA programs; and lowering the maximum loan-to-value to 90% for all borrowers with credit scores less than 580.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Mae Sees Housing Activity Flat in 2H” (8-17-10)

“The GSE also said continued uncertainty and a slower-than-normal recovery points to overall GDP growth of 2.5% for the rest of the year. In July, analysts at Fannie Mae’s economics and mortgage market analysis group projected growth of 2.8%, which was down from a June estimate of 3.2%. The agency expects the low, 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages to boost refinance activity but not result in any sort of refinance boom. The current average rate of 4.5% is expected to remain throughout 2010.”

Housing Wire“John Burns: GSE Renting Options Will Increase Demand and Limit Supply” (8-17-10)

“The government should create an apartment real estate investment trust (REIT) to rent out foreclosed properties — a method that would avoid flooding the housing market with foreclosed properties, a real estate consultant said as President Obama’s ‘Future of Housing Finance Conference’ kicked off Tuesday. John Burns, CEO of John Burns Real Estate Consulting, said the government-created REIT would be self-sustaining via rental fees. The government-sponsored enterprises, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, would hire outside property-management firms to manage the rental properties, Burns said.”

Housing Wire“Refinancing Accounts for 80% of Loan Activity over Last 2 Months: Nothaft” (8-17-10)

“Over the last two months, refinancing activity has accounted for more than 80% of all conventional loan activity, said Frank Nothaft, chief economist at Freddie Mac. In a Featured Perspectives report out Monday, Nothaft said Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have purchased 1.4m refinance loans, including nearly 200,000 loans that have gone through the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP).”

Housing Wire“Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Bearish Sentiment Eases” (8-17-10)

“BofAML, a unit of Bank of America, said the bearish sentiment for the global economic outlook and corporate earnings has eased. The most recent data show 5% of survey respondents expect the global economy will improve in the next year. In July, 12% percent of respondents predicted the world economy would deteriorate, BofAML said. But recession fears seem to have subsided, as 78% of fund managers surveyed last week don’t expect a double-dip recession. Still, 73% continue to see ‘below-trend growth and inflation.’”

Housing Wire“TransUnion: Housing Begins to Stabilize as Delinquent Loans Fall in Q210″ (8-17-10)

“National mortgage loan delinquency rates for loans delinquent 60 days or more fell for the second quarter in a row to 6.67%, according to TransUnion’s quarterly trend analysis released Tuesday; a sign the housing sector is beginning to stabilize. The 1.48% drop in Q210 follows an 18.52% drop in Q110 for loans delinquent 60 days or more. Delinquent loans accounted for 6.77% of the all loans in Q110. The current delinquency rate is still up 14.8% from the same quarter last year when the rate was 5.81%.”

Housing Wire“Private Sector Modifications Increase 10% in June” (8-17-10)

“The housing industry conducted 123,000 permanent modifications through private programs in June, a 10% increase from the 112,000 done in May, according to Hope Now, a private sector alliance of mortgage servicers, investors, insurers and nonprofit counselors.”

Housing Wire“Bankrate: Loan Closing Costs Jump 36.6% Year-Over-Year” (8-17-10)

“The average origination and third-party fees on a $200,000 mortgage increased 36.6% to $3,741 from last year’s average of $2,739, according to Bankrate’s annual mortgage fee survey. Lender origination fees increased to $1,463, or 22.8%, in 2010 from $1,192 in 2009, while the average total third-party fees rose 47.2%, to $2,277 from the year-ago average of $1,547.”

Housing Wire“Homebuyer Demand All But a ‘Standstill’: Altos Research” (8-17-10)

“The average national house price was $474,946 in July, according to the Altos 10-city composite price index. The index fell ‘significantly’ from its high in the summer of last year, when buyers were taking advantage of the homebuyer tax credit. It has declined for the past 11 months. The tax credit expired in April.”

Bloomberg - “Home Depot Profit Tops Analysts’ Estimates as Sales Increase” (8-17-10)

“Net income increased 6.8 percent to $1.19 billion, or 72 cents a share, in the quarter ended Aug. 1, from $1.12 billion, or 66 cents, a year earlier, Atlanta-based Home Depot said today in a statement. Analysts projected 71 cents, the average of 23 estimates in a Bloomberg survey.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 7/30/10

Friday, July 30th, 2010

Sources:

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=h111-600

http://maplight.org/us-congress/bill/111-hr-600/357605/total-contributions.table

http://blogs.wsj.com/developments/2010/07/29/popular-zero-down-mortgage-program-makes-comeback/?blog_id=36&post_id=14060

http://www.rurdev.usda.gov/rhs/sfh/brief_rhguar.htm

http://www.rurdev.usda.gov/SupportDocuments/CA%20GRH.pdf

http://money.cnn.com/2010/07/26/real_estate/new_home_sales/?postversion=2010072612

http://www.housingwire.com/2010/07/26/multifamily-rental-demand-catching-up-to-supply-barcap

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-07-27/apartment-rentals-surge-in-u-s-as-foreclosures-rise-job-growth-resumes.html

http://www.housingwire.com/2010/07/27/homeownership-vacancy-rate-level-in-q210

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-07-27/job-cuts-of-500-000-next-year-predicted-for-cities-counties-over-budget.html

http://money.cnn.com/2010/07/29/real_estate/new_face_of_foreclosure

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Commerce Department reports the economy grew by 2.4%. Altos Research predicts home prices will continue to decrease through the rest of the year. According to FinCen, suspicious activity reports for mortgage fraud in 2009 increased by 4% from 2008. Legislation for the Section 502 single-family rural housing program is headed to the President to be signed back into law. The program allows 30-year originations to purchase households or renovate currently owned ones with zero down payment at the time of application.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times“Economy slows sharply in second quarter” (7-30-10)

“The nation’s economy grew at a modest 2.4% annual rate in the April-to-June period, the Commerce Department said in its first estimate of gross domestic product for the second quarter. That compares with a GDP growth of 3.7% in the first quarter – a figure adjusted up from 2.7% reported earlier. But Commerce officials revised down the growth in the fourth quarter of last year, to 5% from 5.6%, as it did for prior quarters, painting an overall picture of a deeper recession than previous data suggest.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Mortgage Portfolio Grows 6% on $19bn of Repurchases” (7-30-10)

“Fannie’s book of business include about $19bn of loans purchased from mortgage-backed security (MBS) trusts in June that won’t be reflected as liquidated from MBS until July. Excluding these repurchases, the total book of business would have grown at a compound annualized rate of 0.3% in June. Within the company’s mortgage portfolio, Fannie added $27.6bn in purchases and recorded $6.2bn in sales and $17.2bn in liquidations. Due largely to the $19bn of buybacks, Fannie’s mortgage portfolio grew at a compound rate of 6.3% in June.”

Housing Wire - “Shadow Inventory to Push 2011 Home Prices Lower than ’09: Altos Research” (7-30-10)

“House prices will continue to drop through the rest of the year and will begin 2011 lower than they were in 2009, according to a webinar hosted by Scott Sambucci, vice president of data analytics for Altos Research.”

Housing Wire - “Alleged Mortgage Fraud up 4% in 2009 with LA, Miami in Top Spots” (7-30-10)

“FinCEN notes that suspicious activity reports (SARs) for mortgage fraud in 2009 rose 4% from 2008, and really started speeding up towards the end of the year. Q409 is up 6% from the same quarter one year ago. Further, mortgage loan fraud made up 9% of all SARs filed in 2009, spiking at 11% in Q409.”

Housing Wire“CMBS Defaults on Track to Break 11% by Year-End: Fitch” (7-30-10)

“Defaults on fixed-rate conduit US commercial mortgage-backed security (CMBS) loans continued at record speeds, on track to reach a cumulative default rate of 11% by year-end 2010, according to credit-rating agency Fitch Ratings. Cumulative defaults rose to 9.48% through June — a 133bp-climb from Q110. This increase is in line with Fitch’s expectation of an 11% cumulative default rate by year-end.”

Housing Wire“Fed Hikes Mortgage Fee Disclosure Trigger 2% in 2011″ (7-30-10)

“The Federal Reserve Board of Governors today raised the dollar amount of mortgage fees that triggers mortgage disclosure requirements under the Truth in Lending Act and the Home Ownership and Equity Protection Act of 1994 (HOEPA). The Fed raised the trigger 2% to $592, from the current $579, beginning in January 2011. The trigger amount is now 48% higher than the $400 originally set by HOPEA in 1994.”

Housing Wire“Section 502 May Return with Zero Down Payment Mortgages, 3.5% Guarantee Fee” (7-30-10)

“The National Association of Realtors (NAR) announced Wednesday that legislation for the Section 502 single-family rural housing program under the Department of Agriculture is headed to President Obama’s desk to be signed back into law. The program allows 30-year originations primarily for low-income families to purchase households or renovate the ones they already own with no down payment at the time of application. Loans are guaranteed by the federal government.”

Realty Times - “California gets $700,000 slice of special $1.5 billion homeowner bailout pie” (7-30-10)

“California struck gold, receiving the biggest chunk of a special $1.5 billion federal fund pie for programs that target struggling homeowners in states hardest hit by the housing crash. Earlier this year President Obama announced the $1.5 billion infusion for state housing agencies in Arizona, California, Florida, Michigan and Nevada, where home values have fallen more than 20 percent from peak 2006 and 2007 markets.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the Labor Department reported the unemployment rate rose to 9.5. The average 30-year mortgage rate increased to 5.25 percent. Inventory levels in Orange County reached the lowest levels in 4 years.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 4/12/10

Monday, April 12th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to First American CoreLogic, distressed home sales in Orange County are selling 34 percent under the typical market place. Altos Research reports a 0.5 percent in the national median home price. A modification becomes permanent through HAMP after the borrower makes all three monthly payments during the trial period. Fiserv estimates that home prices will not return to the past peak levels until 2025.

In The News:

My Desert“Valley’s Housing Market Warming” (4-12-10)

“The median sales price of new and single-family homes rose 11 percent to about $200,000, about $20,000 higher than in February 2009. Home sales also rose 9.4 percent compared to the same period last year. Real estate sales have been outpacing sales from the previous year every month since October. Sales volume rose 31 percent in November, 29 percent in December, and 22.2 percent in January.”

Orange County Register – “Distressed home discounts at 6-month high” (4-12-10)

“Orange County homebuyers got a 34% price discount when they chose a distressed property vs. overall market prices in January, according to First American CoreLogic. That’s the biggest discount in six months.”

Wall Street Journal“Second Mortgages Vex Borrowers” (4-12-10)

“Banks are coming under increasing political pressure to write off or at least write down second-lien and other junior mortgages as a way to help borrowers keep their homes or extract themselves from heavy debt. As the Wells Fargo suit shows, however, banks often are reluctant to give up on loans when they see a chance of recovering all or part of their money. This issue will be the focus of a hearing Tuesday by the House Financial Services Committee in Washington. Panel members are due to quiz executives from Wells Fargo, Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc. and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. about their junior-lien mortgage policies.”

Bloomberg - “Bank Profits Dimmed by Prospect of Home-Equity Losses” (4-12-10)

“Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. may have to set aside an additional $30 billion to cover possible losses on home-equity loans, an amount almost equal to analysts’ estimates of profit at the three banks this year. The cost of these reserves was calculated by CreditSights Inc., a New York-based research firm whose prediction almost four years ago proved prescient after banks reported unprecedented mortgage-related writedowns. Recognizing the home- equity loan losses is unfinished business from the housing bubble, CreditSights said in a March 29 report.”

Housing Wire“So, Where Will Housing Double Dip?” (4-12-10)

“Put in more plain terms, a state with a 1% foreclosure rate and an 11% delinquency rate should be expected to feel the impact of distressed properties moving through the pipeline far more than a state with a 5% foreclosure rate and a 5% delinquency rate, for example. The reasoning is simple: distressed property sales (short sales or REOs) are a drag on retail home prices. In markets that have seen comparatively less foreclosures relative to the volume of delinquencies stuck in the pipeline, the impact of those delinquencies will be felt proportionately more strongly as they are finally dealt with.”

Housing Wire“Altos Sees House Price Decline Decelerate in March” (4-12-10)

“The median house listing price declined 0.5% in the Altos Research 10-city composite in March, improved from February’s 1.3% decline in an indication the pace of decline may be decelerating. March, the eighth consecutive month of decline, brings the Q110 price decline to 1.8%. But weekly price changes have shown a modest upward trend in the past seven weeks, which means a uptick in house prices could arrive in the coming months, Altos said.”

Housing Wire“BofA Completes 33,000 Permanent HAMP Mods” (4-12-10)

“Bank of America (BAC: 18.66 +0.38%) completed almost 32,900 permanent mortgage modifications through the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) through March, up from 20,666 in February. The Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. When Treasury first reported permanent modifications in November 2009, BofA reported 98 permanent modifications. A modification becomes permanent through HAMP after the borrower makes all three monthly payments during the trial period.”

Housing Wire“Despite HAMP, Mortgage Delinquency Grows 21% over 2009: LPS” (4-12-10)

“The number of mortgages delinquent at the end of February 2010 is 21.3% higher than the same time last year despite government-led modification efforts, according to the latest monthly report from Lender Processing Services (LPS: 37.61 +0.94%).”

Housing Wire“Peak House Prices Will Return to Sand States after 2025: Fiserv” (4-12-10)

“Housing markets that experienced the greatest inflation in house prices — including certain metro areas in sand states California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada — will not see a return of peak-level home prices before 2025, according to financial services technology provider Fiserv.”

Wall Street Journal“AIG, Goldman Unwind Soured Trades” (4-12-10)

” The derivatives unit of American International Group Inc. has unwound most of its soured mortgage trades with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. still left after the insurer was bailed out by the U.S. government in 2008, according to people familiar with the matter. The move by AIG Financial Products to terminate credit-default swaps insuring about $3 billion of mortgage-asset pools arranged by Goldman caused AIG to realize a $1.5 billion to $2 billion loss last year, the people said.”

Bloomberg - “Pimco Says Investors to Hold Down U.S. Mortgage Rates” (4-12-10)

“Investor demand for mortgage-backed securities will keep U.S. home-loan rates down after the Federal Reserve ended its purchases of the debt, said Pacific Investment Management Co., manager of the world’s biggest bond fund. The Fed’s unprecedented program to buy $1.25 trillion of the securities that guide home-loan costs stopped U.S. housing prices from falling, Scott Simon, who is in charge of investing in the notes at Pimco, wrote on the company’s Web site.”

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/15/10

Friday, January 15th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Statistics from 10 primary U.S. cities show that home prices declined by 1 percent. ABA expects economic growth to increase at 3.1 percent through 2010. The U.S. Treasury Department reports that 66,465 permanent modifications were made in December.  Chris Thornberg forecasts that home prices will dip again in 2011.

In The News:

Housing Wire“JP Morgan Says Sell Mortgage Bonds as Fed Snaps Up Record MBS” (1-15-10)

“The spread of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) bonds yields to Treasuries is tight and likely to remain tight in the near-term, but swap spreads are currently 5-10 bps too narrow to greatly entice private investors, according to a JP Morgan Securities conference call on MBS and asset-backed securities (ABS).While private investors largely hold on the buy side, the government continues to buy up agency MBS as part of its $1.25trn agency MBS-purchase program.”

Housing Wire“House List Prices Down 1% in December: Altos” (1-15-10)

“Altos Research’s listing price index declined 1% in December and 1.4% during Q409, but for the year, the 10-city composite price index was up 5.2%, the company said, adding it projects asking prices to continue to decline during the winter 2010 months.”

Housing Wire“ABA Expects Economic Recovery Will Fuel Job Growth in 2010″ (1-15-10)

“High unemployment and constrained consumer spending will keep the speed of recovery in check, but ABA economists indicated real gross domestic product (GDP) will grow at an annualized rate of 3.1% throughout 2010. It’s half the historic rate of GDP growth seen after previous deep recessions, leaving the unemployment rate fairly high – but below 10% – at year-end.”

Housing Wire“HAMP Servicers Permanently Modify More Than 66,000 Mortgages” (1-15-10)

“Servicers participating in the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) completed 66,465 permanent modifications through December, according to a report from the US Treasury Department. It’s more than double the 31,382 permanent modifications reported through the month of November. More than 40,000 more active modifications need only the borrowers signature to become permanent, totaling 112,521 permanent modifications approved by the servicers.”

Housing Wire“JP Morgan Posts Q4 Profit Despite Mortgage Losses” (1-15-10)

“JP Morgan said it made approximately 600,000 mortgage modification offers to homeowners and approved 120,000 modifications during 2009.”

Housing Wire“Treasury Raises Cap on HAMP to $35.5bn” (1-15-10)

“The US Treasury Department raised the total amount of potential capped incentive payments for the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) from $27.7bn to $35.5bn, according to the latest Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) report.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. REITs Poised to Boost Dividends After Raising $33 Billion” (1-15-10)

“A dozen U.S. real estate investment trusts, part of an industry that raised $33 billion last year, likely will increase their next quarterly dividends. Public Storage, Annaly Capital Management Inc., and Inland Real Estate Corp. are among those that may boost payouts, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Vornado Realty Trust said this week it would resume paying its dividend fully in cash after a year of issuing it partially in stock. ”

Inman - “RPR courting MLSs” (1-15-10)

“By promising not to compete with MLSs — and allowing them an opportunity to make a quick exit from RPR if they aren’t satisfied with the results — company executives say they are out to sign up half the nation’s roughly 900 MLSs by the end of the year.”

Orange County Register“Home sales, prices seen falling in 2011″ (1-15-10)

“Orange County-based homebuilders were told Thursday that the recession may be over, but the future for the economy and the housing industry remains uncertain. As if to underscore that point, economist Chris Thornberg released a forecast projecting that after modest gains this year, home sales and prices will dip again in 2011 because of rising foreclosures and interest rates.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR announced that sales on homes priced above $750,000 had decreased by nearly 50 percent. The rate for 30-year fixed mortgages dropped below 5 percent. The CBIA claimed that new home sales in California were “glacially slow”. Statistics from the Federal Reserve showed that jobless claims were rising.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 12/18/09

Friday, December 18th, 2009

Today’s News Synopsis:

DQNews reports that a total of 35,860 new and resale houses and condos were sold in California during November. The median selling price for Bay Area homes fell by 0.8 percent last month. According to First American Corelogic, approximately 1.7 million homes are in shadow inventory. Deutsche Bank expects that U.S. home prices will decrease another 10 percent.

In The News:

DQNews - “California November Home Sales” (12-17-09)

“An estimated 35,860 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was down 13.1 percent from 41,280 in October, and up 11.5 percent from 32,163 for November 2008. A decline in sales from October to November is normal for the season. California sales for the month of November have varied from a low of 25,578 in 2007 to a peak of 60,326 in 2004, while the November average is 40,377. MDA DataQuick’s statistics go back to 1988.”

DQNews - “Bay Area home sales and median price top last year again” (12-18-09)

“The median price paid for all new and resale houses and condos that closed escrow in the nine-county Bay Area last month was $387,000. That was down 0.8 percent from $390,000 in October but up 10.6 percent from $350,000 in November 2008, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.”

NAR - “Four out of 10 Recent Buyers Relied on FHA Loans, Says NAR” (12-18-09)

“According to the most recent Realtors® Confidence Index, 39 percent of recent buyers purchased a home with a Federal Housing Administration-insured loan. Realtors® who took part in the November survey also reported that the number of first-time home buyers continued to climb to 51 percent.”

Housing Wire“Moody’s See Decelerating Jumbo Declines Around Falling House Prices” (12-18-09)

“During a revision of Moody’s Investors Service loss projections for U.S. prime jumbo residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS) issued between 2005 and 2008, the credit rating agency finds that the growth in new delinquency levels beyond the Q210 is expected to decline. On average, Moody’s is now projecting cumulative losses of 3.8% for 2005 securitizations, 8.0% for 2006 securitizations, 10.9% for 2007 securitizations and 12.3% for 2008 securitizations, reported as a percentage of original balance.”

Housing Wire“Months Later, Thornburg Servicing Portfolio to Sell” (12-18-09)

“Similarly, now-bankrupt Thornburg Mortgage left behind significantly more valuable assets months after the credit crisis took its toll on the ultra-prime jumbo mortgage lender. One of these assets — a $11.1bn of residential loan servicing rights portfolio — is going up for sale by Interactive Mortgage Advisers (IMA) as part of the sale of assets under Thornburg’s bankruptcy.”

Housing Wire“Deutsche Sees House Prices Falling Another 10 Percent” (12-18-09)

“Today, Deutsche Bank researchers say these predictions will likely become a reality, with the total peak-to-trough decline of US home prices hitting nearly 40%. In the current outlook, they say home prices will drop a further 10 to 12% from current levels.”

Housing Wire“TenantAccess Helps Handle Shadow Inventory” (12-18-09)

“After FirstAmerican Corelogic found 1.7m homes in the shadow inventory, TenantAccess will offer a range of programs to manage this backlog of residential foreclosures.”

Orange County Register“Is Irvine still a buyer’s market?” (12-18-09)

“While the inventory of resale homes continues to dwindle in Irvine and multiple offers above asking price aren’t rare, America’s Safest City remains a buyer’s market, according to Altos Research’s Market Action Index.”

Orange County Register“South O.C.’s $1 million-plus short sales” (12-18-09)

“Here’s how it breaks down – There are currently a total of 32 homes in south coast cities that are short sales priced at $1 million or higher: 10 in Laguna Beach, 11 in Dana Point and 12 in San Clemente. These are situations where the homeowner is taking a loss on their home by selling it for less than they owe on the loan. However, there are a total of 198 foreclosures in these cities – 27 in Laguna Beach, 56 in Dana Point and 115 in San Clemente.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, median home prices in the Bay Area sunk to an 8-year low. The FDIC reported that bank reserves were falling behind on the number of bad loans they held. The Federal Reserve bought $2.4 billion in debt from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.