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California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Posts Tagged ‘Alan Greenspan’

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 1/18/11

Tuesday, January 18th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

19,528 new and resale houses and condos sold in Southern California last month, according to MDA DataQuick. LPS reports the average foreclosure in California and Nevada has been delinquent 461 days. December’s default rates for first and second mortgages were 2.93% and 1.74%.

In The News:

Dr Housing Bubble“Financially dreaming in California” (1-16-11)

“Over half of Californians with a mortgage spend more than 30 percent of their income on housing costs. By prudent standards this is spending too much on housing. Of course housing pundits would like you to believe that this is somehow okay and justified but the massive amount of people unable to pay their mortgages in the state tells you that many are unable to support their current home”

Los Angeles Times“Lawyer advises foreclosed clients to break back into their homes” (1-14-11)

“The 58-year-old attorney admits to breaking into homes at least half a dozen times, including one before with the Earls, leaving the clients to squat in their homes while he defends their legal right to possession. His unconventional methods have gotten him fined by a judge in San Diego, arrested in Newport Beach and threatened with contempt — and jail — in Ventura.”

Brisbane Times“Fed eyed US housing bubble in 2005, didn’t prick” (1-15-11)

“US Federal Reserve staff and policy makers identified a housing bubble in 2005, and failed to alter a predictable path of interest-rate increases to slow down the expansion of mortgage credit, transcripts from Open Market Committee meetings that year show. Led by then-Chairman Alan Greenspan, the FOMC raised the benchmark lending rate in quarter-point increments to 4.25 per cent from 2.25 per cent at the end of December 2004.”

Market Watch“Housing: U.S. economy’s Achilles’ heel” (1-15-11)

“CIBC World Markets chief economist Avery Shenfeld was even more pessimistic, saying he believes the weak housing sector will be a drag on consumer spending in the second half of the year. Shenfeld said he is forecasting economic growth to average 2.6% in 2011, as consumers will be forced to be cautious as home prices are declining.”

MBA DataQuick“Southern California Home Sales End 2010 Up from November, Down from ‘09″ (1-18-11)

“Last month 19,528 new and resale houses and condos sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties. That was up 20.5 percent from 16,208 in November, but down 12.5 percent from 22,328 in December 2009, according to DataQuick Information Systems of San Diego.”

San Francisco“Homebuilder sentiment index unchanged in January” (1-18-11)

“The National Association of Home Builders said Tuesday that its monthly reading of builders’ sentiment was unchanged in January at 16, where it’s been since November. While it remains the highest reading since June, any reading below 50 indicates negative sentiment about the market. The index hasn’t been above that level since April 2006.”

Yahoo“What delays a mortgage foreclosure” (1-18-11)

“according to LPS Applied Analytics, in Jacksonville, Fla. Loans in foreclosure in Florida, New Jersey, Hawaii and Maine have been delinquent more than 500 days, on average, while home loans in California and Nevada have been delinquent 461 and 427 days, respectively. In the two speediest states, Nebraska and Wyoming, loans in the foreclosure process are delinquent by an average of 358 days.”

Housing Wire“Focused on Dodd-Frank, SIFMA sees GSE reform down the road” (1-18-11)

“Substantial reform of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac remains one or two years away according to a conference call hosted by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. The reason for this is mainly logistics. Reform of the government-sponsored enterprises will need to wait while the rest of the financial services industry begins to put forth its interpretation of the otherwise wide-reaching Dodd-Frank Act.”

Housing Wire“Mortgage defaults decline in December” (1-18-11)

“For mortgages, the data shows a turnaround in month-on-month behavior. December’s monthly default rates for first and second mortgages stand at 2.93% and 1.74% respectively. In November mortgage defaults were on the rise, with default rates for first and second mortgages at 3.05% and 1.80% respectively.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac to consider new fee structure for mortgage servicers” (1-18-11)

“Servicers are currently paid a minimum servicing fee that is part of the mortgage rate, which the FHFA said, is not ‘optimal’ for the best work on nonperforming mortgages for either the borrower or the government-sponsored enterprises. The FHFA said the new structure will improve servicing for borrowers, reduce the financial risk of the servicers and give the GSEs more flexibility when managing the loans.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 8/2/10

Monday, August 2nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Alan Greenspan expressed concern that a decrease in home prices might cause the U.S. to slip back into recession. The Census Bureau estimates the homeownership rate will fall to 62% in 2012. Moody’s reports strategic delinquencies are falling on jumbo mortgages. Construction spending remained relatively flat with just a 0.1 percent increase last month.

In The News:

Bloomberg - “Greenspan Says Drop in Home Prices Might Bring Back Recession” (8-1-10)

“Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said the slowing economic recovery in the U.S. feels like a ‘quasi-recession’ and the economy might contract again if home prices decline.”

Los Angeles Times“Builders’ pricing strategies are aimed at creating sales urgency” (8-1-10)

“The first bump occurs when ground is broken for the project. Then builders up the ante when the streets go in, and again when the model homes begin to take shape. Prices go up for a fourth time with the big opening splash.”

USA Today“Homeownership rate continues to slide” (8-2-10)

“Fresh projections say the rate could plummet to about 62% as early as 2012 and almost certainly by the end of the decade. Homeownership rates haven’t been that low since they hit 61.9% in 1960. The share of households that own their homes has been sliding since the housing bubble burst in 2006. The rate fell again in the second quarter of this year to 66.9% — the lowest since 1999 — from a peak of 69.4% in 2004, the Census Bureau says.”

Mercury News“June construction activity rises 0.1 percent” (8-2-10)

“Construction spending rose 0.1 percent in June, the Commerce Department reported Monday. While that was better than the decline economists had forecast, the government sharply revised down its estimate of activity in May to show a drop of 1 percent rather than the 0.2 percent dip initially reported.”

Housing Wire“Strategic Defaults Falling on Jumbo Mortgages, Relative to Smaller Loans: Moody’s” (8-2-10)

“According to a weekly credit report from Moody’s Investors Service, jumbo mortgage delinquencies, in this case delinquencies on mortgages over $1m, are almost equal to mortgage delinquencies for smaller mortgages. The agency monitors the risk of default across mortgages that are bundled into bonds and sold as residential mortgage-backed securitizations.”

Housing Wire“2010 CMBS Modifications Outnumber the Last 2 Years Combined: Trepp” (8-2-10)

“As delinquency increases begin to slow, modifications on CMBS loans are accelerating, according to the analytics firm, Trepp. Further, halfway through 2010, modifications have already passed the amount done in 2008 and 2009 combined. The rate of modifications is set to triple the rate in 2009. In the first seven months of 2010, there have been modifications done on $12.1bn worth of CMBS loans, a 37% increase from the $8.8bn done in all of 2009 and more than four times the $354m modified in 2008, according to Trepp.”

Housing Wire“Government Refi Wave Could Cost GSE Bondholders $350bn: KBW” (8-2-10)

“Recent record-low mortgage rates have sparked fears amongst investors that a government-driven refinancing wave would boost prepayment speeds back to 2003 levels. According to KBW, there is a cost to such a policy shift, contrary to what supporters of action have said. The agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market trades a premium of almost seven basis points. If all borrowers refinanced into the current mortgage rates, roughly $350bn would transfer from bondholders to borrowers, equaling $75bn annually.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/26/10

Friday, March 26th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Obama administration announced a new program for homeowners in foreclosure. The Fed bought a total $8.26bn of MBS from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae. Freddie Mac reports the 30-year FRM rate increased to 4.99 percent this week.

In The News:

New York Times“Under Pressure on Foreclosures, White House Pledges Aid” (3-26-10)

“The Obama administration on Friday announced broad new initiatives to help troubled homeowners, potentially refinancing millions of them into fresh government-backed mortgages with lower payments. Another element of the program is meant to temporarily reduce the payments of borrowers who are unemployed. Additionally, the government will encourage lenders to write down the value of loans held by borrowers in modification programs to make their mortgages more affordable.”

Housing Wire - “The Commercial Real Estate Pretend and Extend Strategy Continues” (3-26-10)

“In a speech on the Federal Reserve exit strategy to the House of Representatives Committee on Financial Services, chairman Ben Bernanke noted that the government-led credit provision, the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) is reaching its end this month. The exception to this deadline, however is newly issued commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), and loans backed by newly issued CMBS. These will get an extra three months.”

Housing Wire“FHA Mortgage Workout Lacks Incentives and Creates Problems: Industry Sources” (3-26-10)

“Under the terms of the voluntary program, lenders will be required to write down at least 10% of the mortgage principal for borrowers who are current on their payments. The program is open to borrowers whose mortgage isn’t currently insured by the FHA. The principal reduction must bring the new FHA loan to value (LTV) to 97.75% and make the new payments account for 31% of the borrower’s monthly income. The program also offers incentives to lenders who offer borrowers with second lien mortgages similar principal reduction and refinance options. The maximum allowed LTV of the combined loans is 115%.”

Housing Wire“Fed MBS Purchases 99.5% Complete With Another $8bn” (3-26-10)

“The Fed bought a total $8.26bn of MBS this week — $3.6bn of Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.32 +2.33%) MBS, $4.1bn of Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.06 0.00%) MBS and $560m of Ginnie Mae MBS. The Fed also reported $260m of MBS sales in the same week, bringing net purchases to $8bn.”

Bloomberg - “Greenspan Takes Issue With Yellen on Fed’s Role in House Bubble” (3-26-10)

“Alan Greenspan disputed suggestions by his former central bank colleague and current San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Janet Yellen that the Fed could have headed off the housing bubble by raising interest rates.”

Bloomberg - “What happens when Fed pulls the plug” (3-26-10)

“In an odd leap, long-term Treasury yields blew up, and Wednesday was the worst single day in nine months. The 10-year Treasury note stopped at 3.88 percent, a level touched for the fifth time since last June, but the violence of this move threatens upward breakout. Meanwhile, mortgages held fairly well, inside the 5.25 percent top that has held since August. The peculiar part: Big sell-offs like this are driven by good economic news, but that’s not what we got. February sales of new and existing homes fell (new ones at the lowest pace since stats began in 1963, 303,000 annualized), and unsold inventory rose.”

Orange County Register – “How to avoid a bad contractor” (3-26-10)

“Unlicensed contractors can underbid their licensed counterparts because they often don’t pay worker’s compensation. That, according to the board, means homeowners could be liable if there is an accident. There are also fewer options for homeowners who get stuck with shoddy work.”

Realty Times“Mortgage Rates Inch up Following Bond Yields” (3-26-10)

“Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.99 percent with an average 0.6 point for the week ending March 25, 2010, up slightly from last week when it averaged 4.96 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.85 percent.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the 30-year FRM rate was at 4.85 percent. The number of pulled housing permits decreased by 50 percent from 2008 to 2009. The U.S. economy shrank 6.3 percent during the 4th quarter of 2008.