The Norris Group Blog

California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Archive for November, 2011

By Bruce Norris .

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/30/11

Wednesday, November 30th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the Los Angeles Times, the Federal Reserve and five major central banks are hoping to help solve the debt crisis by joining together to help European lenders obtain money more easily.  In other news, Bloomberg reported a 10.4% increase in pending home sales.   According to the latest MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey, mortgage applications decreased over 11% from last week.

In The News:

Housing Wire - “Private sector adds 206,000 jobs” (11-30-11)

“Employment in the U.S. nonfarm, private business sector grew by 206,000 jobs from October to November on a seasonally adjusted basis, the ADP National Employment Report said Wednesday.”

Bloomberg - “Pending Sales of Existing U.S. Homes Exceed Forecasts With 10.4% Increase” (11-30-11)

“The number of Americans signing contracts to buy previously owned homes rose more than forecast in October as buyers took advantage of falling prices and low borrowing costs.”

Los Angeles Times - “Central banks join forces to ease debt crisis” (11-30-11)

“Reacting to the deepening Eurozone debt crisis, the Federal Reserve and five other major central banks joined forces Wednesday to offer European lenders easier access to dollars in an attempt to quell growing fears of a global funding crunch.”

Mortgage Bankers Association - “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (11-30-11)

“Mortgage applications decreased 11.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 25, 2011.  This week’s results include an adjustment to account for the Thanksgiving holiday.”

CNN Money - “S&P downgrades 15 banks” (11-30-11)

“Standard and Poor’s downgraded the credit ratings of 15 banks Tuesday, after applying new criteria to the world’s 37 largest banks.”

Housing Wire - “Fed appoints director of banking supervision” (11-30-11)

“The Federal Reserve Board named Michael Gibson director of the Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation, replacing Patrick Parkinson. In his new role, Gibson will play a key role in dealing with Basel III capital-adequacy issues and the oversight of major banks. ”

San Francisco Chronicle - “Stable Housing Seen in Home Depot-Lowe’s Leading Market: Retail” (11-30-11)

“Shares of Home Depot Inc. and Lowe’s Cos. — the two largest U.S.  home-improvement retailers — are outperforming other consumer discretionary  stocks as the worst of the declines in the housing market may be over.”

Inman - “ZipRealty settles labor suit for $586,000″ (11-30-11)

“ZipRealty Inc. has agreed to pay $586,000 to settle claims by the California Labor Commissioner that the company failed to pay minimum and overtime wages to four of its agents in Kern County.”

Looking Back:

According to Case-Schiller index, property values increased 0.6% year over year from 2009-2010. On the other hand, Freddie Mac reported that home prices decreased 3.1% from the 3rd quarter of 2009. Zillow claimed interest rates increased to 4.3% the previous week.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/29/11

Tuesday, November 29th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

In a big news story, home prices are down from a year ago by 3.9%.  However, according to the U.S. Commerce Department home sales were reported to have risen 1.3% in October, the best results for new homes since May.  Unfortunately, the Los Angeles Times reported that over 20% of all homeowners in the U.S. are underwater.  DS News reported an increase in fraudulent claims for unemployment and insurance.

In The News:

Housing Wire - “SEC, Citi fight CDO settlement rejection” (11-29-11)

“The Securities and Exchange Commission and Citigroup (C: 25.24 +0.76%) pushed back after a federal judge rejected their settlement Monday over losses tied to an allegedly misleading collateralized-debt obligation.”

DS News - “Case-Shiller Puts Home Prices 3.9% Below Last Year” (11-29-11)

“The national reading of Standard & Poor’s closely watched Case-Shiller index registered a 3.9 percent decline during the third quarter of this year when compared to the same period in 2010.”

Realtor Magazine - “New-Home Sales Post Biggest Gains in Months” (11-29-11)

“New-home sales for single-family homes rose 1.3 percent in October, marking the best pace for new-home sales activity since this May, the U.S. Commerce Department reports.  Following the sector’s worst year for new-home activity on record last year, several recent reports are suggesting a pick-up in new construction.”

San Francisco Chronicle - “Jump in U.S. Consumer Confidence Exceeds Forecasts: Economy” (11-29-11)

“Consumer confidence snapped back more than forecast in November as Americans  turned less pessimistic on the outlook for jobs and wages, one reason why  spending has jumped at the start of the holiday season.”

Los Angeles Times - “One in five American homes ‘underwater’” (11-29-11)

“More than one in five American home mortgages are underwater.  An estimated 10.7-million households, or 22.1% of all homes with mortgages, had more debt on the properties than they were worth in the third quarter, according to Santa Ana research firm CoreLogic. This is a slight decline from the 10.9 million properties that were underwater in the second quarter.”

Housing Wire“Bleak outlook for manufactured housing as secondary market shuns sector” (11-29-11)

“Firms that build, sell and finance manufactured homes blame regulations and a lack of secondary market support for plummeting demand within their space.”

Bloomberg - “Housing Recovery Hinges on New Households” (11-29-11)

“U.S. home prices won’t recover until the economy improves enough to boost the number of households and clear an oversupply of properties, said economist Karl Case, co-founder of the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index.”

DS News - “Employment and Income Fraud on the Rise” (11-29-11)

“While incidences of mortgage fraud have remained steady over the past six quarters overall, submissions of fraudulent employment/income information are on the rise, according to the latest Mortgage Fraud Risk Index by Interthinx. ”

Looking Back:

The serious delinquency rate on Fannie Mae’s single-family mortgages decreased to 4.56% in September 2010. The average loan in foreclosure had been in foreclosure for 492 days. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were encouraging real estate agents to continue selling foreclosures. According to Real Capital, the commercial mortgage default rate fell to 4.36 percent in November 2010.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/28/11

Monday, November 28th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

In a big news story, the sale of new homes in the U.S. increased 1.3% for the month of October.  The number of problem banks on the FDIC list is continuing to decrease for the second straight quarter.  According to Housing Wire, the New York Federal Reserve reported a decline in mortgage debt in the third quarter.

In The News:

Realty Times - “Real Estate Outlook: Existing-Home Sales Improve” (11-28-11)

“Amidst turmoil in the stock market and continued crisis in both our own and European debts, the latest figures from the National Association of Realtors show that existing-home sales improved slightly in October.”

Housing Wire - “Mortgage debt falls in third quarter, NY Fed says” (11-28-11)

“Consumer indebtedness dropped by 0.6% in the third quarter as mortgage balances and credit card limits continued to decline, according to a report by the New York Federal Reserve.”

Wall Street Journal“Stronger Lure for Prospective Home Buyers” (11-28-11)

“Home prices and mortgage rates have fallen so far that the monthly cost of owning a home is more affordable than at any point in the past 15 years and is less expensive than renting in a growing number of cities.”

CNN Money - “Citigroup’s $285 million SEC settlement rejected” (11-28-11)

“A judge rejected a proposed $285 million mortgage securities fraud settlement between Citigroup and the Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday, saying the deal was ‘neither fair, nor reasonable, nor adequate, nor in the public interest’.”

San Francisco Chronicle - “Sales of new homes up in October, but prices fall” (11-28-11)

“Americans bought slightly more new homes in October, a hopeful sign for the  troubled housing market. But the median sales price fell to its lowest level of  the year, and the overall sales pace is trailing last year’s — the worst in half  a century.”

Housing Wire“NAR expects some commercial real estate growth next year” (11-28-11)

“The commercial real estate segment could experience some growth in 2012, the National Association of Realtors said Monday.  Still, the association and market analysts remain cautiously optimistic with the
economic crisis in Europe, as well as political wrangling and a bleak jobs picture remaining a top concern domestically.”

DS News - “FDIC’s ‘Problem Bank List’ Contracts for Second Consecutive Quarter” (11-28-11)

“Bad real estate loans from the boom years of the last decade have forced 412 FDIC-insured lenders to shutter their operations since 2008.  No institution’s balance sheet has been fully insulated from the downturn in the real estate markets, but data released by the FDIC suggests those lenders who’ve survived thus far are now finding their way out of the storm.”

DS News - “RealtyTrac Secures Capital Investmenr from Renovo Capital” (11-28-11)

“RealtyTrac said Monday that it has obtained “a substantial capital investment” from Renovo Capital LLC through the private equity firm’s Renwood Opportunities Fund. ”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/23/11

Wednesday, November 23rd, 2011

Sources:

LPS “First Look” Mortgage Report: October Month-End Data Shows an Increase in Foreclosures
Bureau of Economic Analysis National Income and Product Accounts
FDIC’s list of problem banks shrinks
Mortgage Servicers Make Progress to Fix Flawed Foreclosures
Freddie Mac Bulletin
Obama signs extension for higher FHA loan limits
Realtors hike dues to play politics
California attorney general’s office subpoenas Fannie, Freddie

Today’s News Synopsis:

In this week’s video, Aaron Norris gives the news of the week in the world of real estate and other big events.  In the world of mortgages, mortgage rates and applications are both down according to the most recent Primary Mortgage Market Survey.  Mores stores are preparing for Black Friday by opening even earlier than usual and lowering more prices.

In The News:

Housing WireMortgage rates edge down, ARMs reach new lows” (11-23-11)

“Mortgage rates declined this past week, with adjustable-rate mortgages hitting new lows, according to Freddie Mac’s latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

Mortgage Bankers Association - “Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (11-23-11)

“Mortgage applications decreased 1.2 percent from one week earlier (which included the Veterans Day holiday), according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 18, 2011.”

Bloomberg - “Friday Deals Show Stores Bowing to Buyers” (11-23-11)

“Every Black Friday, there’s a staring contest between retailers and shoppers over price. This year, the stores may have blinked first.  Chains such as Toys “R” Us Inc. and Gap Inc. (GPS) are opening earlier and offering more markdowns than ever on the day after Thanksgiving, said Mary Delk, a director at Deloitte Consulting.”

DS News - “Investors Increase Market Share, Especially in Distressed Sector” (11-23-11)

“Investors are making up an increasing share of home purchase transactions, especially in the distressed sector, according to a HousingPulse Tracking Survey released Tuesday by Campbell Surveys and Inside Mortgage Finance.”

CNN Money - “First-time unemployment filings edge higher” (11-23-11)

“The number of Americans filing for first-time unemployment benefits crept back up last week, after easing to a 7-month low in the previous week, but remained below a key threshold for gauging the job market.”

Housing Wire“S&P: 45 months to clear shadow inventory” (11-23-11)

“Changing default and liquidation rates in various regions prompted Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services to reduce its projection of how many months it will take to clear the nation’s shadow inventory.”

DS News - “Mortgage Insurer PMI Files Bankruptcy” (11-23-11)

“The PMI Group, Inc. says it has filed a voluntary petition for relief under Chapter 11 of the United States Bankruptcy Code.”

Housing Wire“Freddie Mac single-family delinquency rate edges up in October” (11-23-11)

“Government-sponsored enterprise Freddie Mac reported Wednesday that its single-family seriously delinquent rate edged up in October, hitting 3.54%, compared to 3.51% in September.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR reported that existing-home sales increased by 10.1 percent in October 2010. Statistics showed that California workers, who earned the national median income, could afford 59.1 percent of the new and existing homes during the 3rd quarter of 2009. Multifamily lenders provided $88 billion in new financing for apartment buildings with 5 or more units during 2008.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

253-TNG Radio – I Survived Real Estate 2011 part 6 11-24-11

Wednesday, November 23rd, 2011

I Survived Real Estate 2011

I Survived Real Estate 2011


(Full Bio)

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On October 14, 2011, The Norris Group returned with its award-winning event I Survived Real Estate. An expert line-up of industry specialists joined Bruce Norris to discuss current industry regulation, head-scratching legislation, and the opportunities emerging for savvy real estate professionals. 100% of the proceeds support the Orange County Affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure. This event would not have been possible without the generous help of the following platinum partners: ForeclosureRadar and Sean O’Toole, Housing Wire, the San Diego Creative Real Estate Investors Association and President Bill Tan, Investors Workshops with President Shawn Watkins and Angel Bronsgeest, Invest Club for Women and Iris Veneracion and Bobbie Alexander, San Jose Real Estate Investors Association and Geraldine Berry, Real Wealth Networks, Frye Wyles, MVT Productions, and White House Catering. The event video can be found on isurvived2011.com.

Bruce asked the panel if they see anything in Dodd-Frank or the changes in qualified mortgages that threaten a 30-year mortgage for some of the stratuses of loans. Debra said she does not really see anything in the QM or the QRM that would specifically attack the 30-year mortgage. For the most part this has been a product that housing in America has depended on. Debra does not worry about the 30-year mortgage going away as a result of the regulation. Bruce also wondered if there was any discussion on where Fannie and Freddie will end up. In response, Debra said our fragile housing market right now is delaying the government’s desire to shrink the footprint in housing. The white paper at the beginning of this year would launch the debate for the future of the government’s role in housing, the future of the GSEs, and how to rebuild the nation’s secondary mortgage markets. Debra does not believe the debate is really going to get going until most likely after the elections. The future of the GSEs is uncertain. There are a couple bills that have been introduced that would suggest all the way from completely privatizing what would now be Fannie and Freddie to maybe private companies with a government wrap for the securities that are issued. However, she reiterated to say debate would probably not start until the end of next year.

Sean O’Toole, Doug Duncan, and Eric Janszen returned to continue the discussion with Sara, Gary, and Debra. The first thing Bruce talked about with all six panelists was a recent Moody’s report he read that talked about the qualified residential mortgage in place, and it talked about FHA only being about 10% of the market. This really surprised Bruce because in California, even on the low side first-time buyers were 30% on the low side and 50% on the high side in the market right now. He wondered how FHA could only be 10% unless it was really being restricted. He wondered what would be the restriction that would prevent it from being a normal percentage as this would be the loan to which you would think those kinds of people would go. Debra said if you look at what the government is willing to do to get FHA from a 30% market share down to a target of 10-15%. They have already raised the mortgage insurance premiums, so an FHA loan is slightly more expensive than it was. We have just seen the stimulus loan limits expire, so that is another nudge toward a smaller market share. There has been talk about possibly looking at a median income restriction somewhere in our future. We will most likely not see anything like this anytime soon, but we will most likely see small moves to get the market share down from about 30%. Doug Duncan said part of the discussion will be getting the private market more involved. If you go back to some of the history of the FHA loans, the underlying theory for FHA was that there was part of their credit spectrum that would not get served by the private market. This was because the returns most likely did not reach private market returns, and therefore there were external benefits encouraging home-ownership by providing a subsidy through the FHA program to get credit to the households. In return for that, there was also a ceiling on the size of loans that was available in the market. We may see some discussion on this come up again, but Doug said it will all be done in context of what is done with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Bruce wondered what would happen if we lowered the loan balance. For instance, in California we had a median price of $600,000, and we now have a median price of under 3. Even though we reduced the loan limit, it has to serve more households with a new loan limit than it served with the big loan limit because there are a lot fewer expensive homes at least when it comes to going forward. At the same time, you might have a problem with refis. Bruce wondered if we are supposed to have government program that is over twice the median price of an area. Doug said if you looked in their book of business between the previous limit and the conforming limit to where it dropped; it was less than 5% of the book. The problem is it is regionally targeted, so you will see California, New Jersey, Maryland, Washington, and all your high-class markets hit more than the national. Debra said from modeling their business she could see the impact is very small, although you really have to question anything right now that would be negative to housing and if this is what we really want to be doing.

Sean O’Toole discussed how one of the things he has always found interesting about the federal programs is that it’s at the county level. One of the biggest drops we had in California was in Monterrey County where you have Watsonville, which is close to Carmel, Pebble Beach, and Monterrey. You have two completely different markets, even though they are 15 miles apart, so Monterrey and Carmel are going to take a $200,000 hit on the conforming loan limit; whereas in other areas such as San Jose and Contra Costa County that are not as desirable, they are not going to take as hard a hit. It does not make any sense, and it happens in any place where this kind of decision is made. This would not be a factor in Santa Ana, for example, but it would be a factor in Newport Beach. It goes back to applying a broad-based national policy to anything that overrides the local conditions and requires some of the expertise that was being talked about in the appraisal space and a whole host of other things that relate to real estate. Doug said for a long period his company looked at the national home price, and then they talked to their friends and neighbors about how all real estate is local.

Bruce mentioned a document that talks about saving $2-$4 trillion off of the budget going forward, and real estate would be an actual target for trying to get some of our chips. Bruce wondered if we have ever thought about what might be okay to take of if we cannot have anything. Bruce said he had a questionnaire, and one half of the people said it was not okay to take anything, but Bruce wondered if it will not happen one way or the other. For example, if an interest rate went down to $500,000, Bruce wondered if this would be that impactful to our market. Gary Thomas answered that the National Association of Realtors does believe it would be impactful. They do not think this should be touched at all because of the unintended consequences. One of the proposals is to take the interest rate down on second homes in resort markets. However, you have to ask what this will do to the resort market and what it will do to the communities where you cannot resell properties. The unintended consequences are it affects the grocery stores, the pharmacists, and everybody. It does not only affect the person who owns the property and cannot deduct it anymore.

Eric Janszen agreed with Bruce in that it is most likely a real target since it is a government subsidy, and subsidies in both of the ideological camps are obvious targets for cuts. It is always the other person’s subsidy that is the bad one. If it did happen, Eric was not sure if it would have as big an impact as everyone thinks it would. The real big problem we have right now is incomes and employment. We are not really going to fix the housing problem. All of these are marginal issues and marginal solutions until we start having job growth. Riverside County is 15% unemployed, and usually we really count on construction. However, we have a price per square foot on some inventory that is half of the construction cost. It is almost like the dominoes have to fall backwards before they can fall forward. We have to get rid of a lot of what we would consider shadow inventory. We first have to know what shadow inventory is and what to do about it. Until you end up with that disseminated into the marketplace to where no one fears it coming out later below replacement cost, you won’t be able to go forward. Sean O’Toole jokingly said the newest version of shadow inventory moves to help provide cover to whoever got it wrong the first time.

In 2008 when the subject of shadow inventory first came up you had foreclosures just on a tear, banks taking back lots of property, and we were not seeing the property back on the market. It occurred to them that the banks were really holding a lot of property that was not making it through the market. This is what Sean O’Toole originally talked about with shadow inventory and had a lot of statistics on it. A lot of people talking about the foreclosure way and other issues needed to change this over time, and it has grown to then include everyone in foreclosure and everyone who is delinquent. It also includes negative equity, and Sean said he has heard people say it also includes all those who would like to sell at the prices that are in 2006 but now cannot. This has been nicknamed the “delusional inventory.” However, if you start talking with people about it, you will see that there is a lot of “delusional inventory” and a lot of property that should be and would be on the market if people were not still holding out some hope that there is going to be some fix in Washington. This is as big a problem as anything else.

Bruce noted in some markets you have 3,000 square foot houses that cost a lot to build being bought for $140,000. There might be a pile of them, so the shadow inventory is not only what the lender owns, but what is being refused to be foreclosed on. Bruce said this is where he would go with shadow inventory. It’s a ball of two-year late people that for some reason are not being forced to the finish line. Whether credit for this goes to MERS or robo-signing, long before this became a front-line issue it looked like lenders made a decision to not foreclose on specific things. The question is what the reasoning is for waiting so long. The last time we had this problem was in the 90s, and lenders began to wait. People were getting close to a year behind, and then the FDIC came in and said this was not okay. Bruce remembered the chart and remembered how there were foreclosures declining in California back in ’95, yet delinquencies were increasing. There was a rule passed that said when you were 100 days late you had to file an NOD. This came basically from instruction. This time, however, it seemed not only was there nothing in the instructions, but it seemed like people were getting free passes and being told, “Whenever you want to or don’t want to, it is okay.” Eric said the thing that changed was there was just not a large enough pool of credit worthy buyers by the new definition of credit worthy. Bruce would say if you want to sell it to investors, you would have all that you can give to the market. However, Bruce does not believe that there is a fear of there not being enough cash because with everything that is bought at trustee sales a month, there is a lot of money spent.

Debra does not get the sense that lenders are purposely delaying foreclosure by design as much as working through the process, meeting regulations, meeting investor requirements, state requirements, and other requirements unless there are REOs that have not come back out on the market. She does not get the sense that lenders are purposely delaying the foreclosure process by the same token that lenders are going overboard right now to make sure they are doing the responsible loss mitigation activities that they need to do to help keep borrowers in their homes, structure short sales, or whatever the appropriate process is one buyer at a time. It’s possible they are also trying to figure out who owns the loan.

Sean mentioned how we had more than double the foreclosures that we have today in 2008. The idea and the notion that the lenders need more time to figure things out is ridiculous. They have had plenty of time to figure it out, and we are four years into this thing. This is not really the problem. Doug touched on earlier the notion that Fannie and Freddie don’t really want to talk about principle balance reductions. They are worried about foreclosures because ultimately these losses flow through to the taxpayer. The taxpayer is not in much of a position to take them right now, and neither are the banks. If you start looking at just the seconds that a bank has where maybe the first are held by Fannie and Freddie, but they have a portfolio of seconds that are on their portfolio that exceed the equity of the institution. When you really start clearing things through, you have a much different problem than simply processing the paperwork. You are talking about banking and government solvency.

Doug said it is a grand social experiment of the question, “Would the welfare of the economy and the populace be better served by a rapid and deep clearing of inventory, which would bring into question the solvency of the significant part of the financial system; or do you obtain a better result through a variety of policies to make a slow move to bring prices back into equilibrium?” Sean said the latter would be great, except now it is extend and pretend because you have to confess and say you have more losses than you can afford to bear. You have to tell the American people that this is really the situation and we’re going to on purpose drag this out so we have an orderly disillusion, like back in Grease, rather than a disorderly one. We cannot continue to extend and pretend and not have a conversation about how bad it really is. We created $4 trillion of excess debt; and we have worked through half a trillion of it. So far we have $3 ½ trillion to go, but we cannot afford it today. Therefore, we have to have a solution.

One of the things Bruce noticed was back in 2008, we really had a lot of price damage and when he was buying houses for $.18 on what the lender was owed. That was really the number because there were so many inventories. At that time our default was about 3.4%, and our foreclosures were 1.2%. About 9 months later, our defaults were 11%; and our foreclosures were .08%. They had just stopped foreclosing, and you had tripled the default. One of the disservices this does is there are gentlemen in the audience at the time of ’08 who had 800 REO listings. They had a business plan around that volume and were never told that the listings were going to turn into 200. One of the things that would have been helpful would have been to tell an industry that they will simply not do it at that pace anymore and could have had a better business plan. This was one thing that would have been frustrating for mortgage people and appraisers as well. This is all business that is turning in a red ball behind us that is not producing a fee, a commission, or a rental.

Bruce wondered if the losses that are in a second position behind the firsts that are a 200% loan-to-value are being booked at zero value or face-note value. Sean mentioned that back in 2008 when Paulson announced TARP, everyone thought it was about loans to banks. However, if you go back and read his statement, it was really about how we should not force banks to sell specific properties into a distressed market at certain distressed prices. This sounded good on paper except that the issue was not a distressed price but rather a reversion of the mean and the price at which things were supposed to be. The losses were real, and we need to figure out how we recognize them and deal with them. Four years later, we have not even started having honest discussion about recognizing and then dealing with them. Bruce wondered what would happen if we were to say, “Let’s foreclose on the red ball.” Do you absorb $4 trillion and survive? Sean reiterated saying Doug may have been right and that we need to think about a different social experiment. At the end of the day, what we need is a clear housing policy because what most people realize that extend and pretend is not working, and that is one of the reasons we are not seeing home sales take off in Riverside where it is now an incredible bargain. It is hard to take risks when you don’t know the rules of the game.

Debra said you have a lot of uncertainty in the lending community right now waiting for regulation and waiting to understand the government’s role. Doug said he had been surveying 1,000 people a month for 16 months and publishes the report on his website, so he asks what their expectation is on interest rates and prices. In the most recent quarter, Fannie Mae also asked them what they thought about stability when it came to unemployment. 26% of the people who were employed were worried about not being able to stay employed.

To find out more, tune in next week for I Survived Real Estate 2011, part 7. The Norris Group would like to thank their gold sponsors for the event: Adrenaline Athletics, Coldwell Banker Pioneer Real Estate, Conaway and Conaway, Delmae Properties, Elite Auctions, Inland Empire Investors Forum, Inland Valley Association of Realtors, Keller Williams of Corona, Keystone CPA, Kucan & Clark Partners, LLC, Las Brisas Escrow, Leivas Associates, Mike Cantu, Northern California Real Estate Investors Association, Northern San Diego Real Estate Investors Association, Pacific Sunrise Mortgage, Personal Real Estate Magazine, Raven Paul and Company, Realty 411 Magazine, Rick and LeaAnne Rossiter, Southwest Riverside County Board of Realtors, Starz Photography, uDirect IRA, Wilson Investment Properties, Tony Alvarez, Tri-Emerald Financial Group, and Westin South Coast Plaza. Visit isurvived2011.com for more details.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/22/11

Tuesday, November 22nd, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

Bloomberg news and Los Angeles Times reported the economy grew less than expected in the third quarter, indicatinga slight increase in growth.  The FHA reported a slight decrease in mortgage rates sold to GSEs.  According to CNN, fewer banks are in danger of failing, marking the second quarter in a row for the number of banks to be reduced.

In The News:

Housing Wire - “Banks dark on previous work with foreclosure reviewers” (11-22-11)

“The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency posted the actual engagement letters Tuesday between the major mortgage servicers and their third-party consultants hired to perform reviews of foreclosures that took place over the past two years.”

DS News - “Judge Permits Delaware and New York to Intervene in BofA Settlement” (11-22-11)

“A judge ruled Friday to allow the Delaware and New York attorneys general to pursue litigation in Bank of America’s $8.5 billion settlement with major investors.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Servicers Make Progress Fixing Invalid, Flawed U.S. Foreclosures” (11-22-11)

“Banks and mortgage servicers are making progress in improving their processes and reaching out to homeowners hurt by invalid or flawed foreclosures, the Office of the U.S. Comptroller of the Currency reported.”

Inman - “Better Homes and Gardens Real Estae enters NYC market” (11-22-11)

“Franchise network Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate has entered the New York City market with the addition of a Staten Island brokerage, the network announced today.”

Los Angeles Times - “GDP revised downward; corporate profits up” (11-22-11)

“The U.S. economy grew more slowly than previously thought in the three months ending Oct. 31, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said, revising the nation’s third-quarter gross domestic product downward to growth of 2% from its previous estimate of 2.5%.”

Housing Wire“FHFA mortgage interest rates fall slightly” (11-22-11)

“The average interest rate on mortgages sold to the government-sponsored enterprises fell 20 basis points to 4.36% in October, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Is Set for Fourth-Quarter Growth Pickup on Lower Inventories: Economy” (11-22-11)

“The economy in the U.S. expanded less than previously estimated in the third quarter, reflecting a drop in inventories that points to a pickup in growth as 2011 comes to a close.”

CNN Money - “FDIC’s list of problem banks shrinks” (11-22-11)

“The number of banks at risk of failing fell in the third quarter, marking the second straight quarterly decline, according to a government report issued Tuesday.”

Housing Wire - “Investor buying spurred by demand for rentals” (11-22-11)

“Investors looking for yield are acquiring more low-priced homes to fill growing rental demand, according to the latest HousingPulse Tracking Survey from Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance.”

Looking Back:

According to CoreLogic, shadow inventory levels increased to 2.1 million units in August 2010. TransUnion reports mortgage delinquency rates fell to 6.7%. Data from Campbell Surveys showsed the current foreclosure problems were significantly delaying closings.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/21/11

Monday, November 21st, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

In a big news story, existing home prices in the U.S. increased 1.4% last month.  According to DS News, mortgage-related jobs increased to over 2,00o in the third quarter.  In other news, Moody’s Investors Services reported a 1.4% decrease in commercial real estate prices for the month of September.

In The News:

Housing Wire - “Freddie: HARP changes to boost originations nearly $300 billion” (11-21-11)

“Changes to the Home Affordable Refinancing Program could add between $200 billion and $300 billion mortgage originations over 2012 and 2013, according to Freddie Mac Chief Economist Frank Nothaft.”

Bloomberg - “Existing Homes Sales Unexpectedly Rise 1.4%” (11-21-11)

“Sales of previously owned homes in the U.S. unexpectedly rose in October, a sign falling prices may be attracting buyers.  Purchases increased 1.4 percent to a 4.97 million annual rate, the National Association of Realtors said today in Washington.”

DS News - “Mortgage-Related Jobs Are on the Rise: Report” (11-21-11)

“The third quarter of 2011 saw a net increase of 2,738 mortgage-related jobs, according to recent industry data. This increase is the first recorded in five quarters.”

O.C. Register - “Realtors hike dues to play politics” (11-21-11)

“The new president of the National Association of Realtors told reporters during a visit to Anaheim that a $40 increase in member dues will go to support “champions of real estate” in local and state political campaigns as well as other advocacy efforts.”

Realtor Magazine - “Housing Affordability Hovers Near Record Levels” (11-21-11)

“Ultra-low interest rates mixed with stabilizing home prices continued to push housing affordability in the third quarter near its highest levels in more than two decades, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index.”

DS News - “SIGTARP Termintates More Mortgage Modification Scams” (11-21-11)

“The Office of the Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (SIGTARP) announced Monday that it intervened to block 40 mortgage modification schemes advertised on Yahoo! and Bing.”

Housing Wire - “Housing market at bottom, few borrowers qualify for HAMP: John Burns” (11-21-11)

“Housing starts, sales and prices have been flat for months, suggesting housing has hit its bottom, John Burns Real Estate Consulting said Monday.”

Realty Times - “Real Estate Outlook: Will 2012 See Improvement?” (11-21-11)

“For starters, consumer prices fell in October, meaning low wage workers and others struggling to make ends meet will find more affordability. Additionally, according to experts, this decline gives the Federal Reserve more wiggle room when it comes to policy making should the economy worsen.”

Wall Street Journal - “Moody’s: Commercial Real-Estate Prices Fell in September” (11-21-11)

“U.S. commercial real-estate prices fell 1.4% in September, ending a four-month growth streak, according to Moody’s Investors Service, which expects the “bottoming process” for the sector to continue for the next two years.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/18/11

Friday, November 18th, 2011

Sources:

As More Markets Stabilize, Housing Affordability Nears Record Levels for 10th Consecutive Quarter
Delinquencies Decrease, Foreclosures Rise in Latest MBA Mortgage Delinquency Survey
Hope Now servicers complete 5 million loan modifications since 2007
Southern California Home Prices Fall 4.8%
NAR overestimated home sales
Gradual Recovery for Housing and the Economy Expected in 2012
AIG Resists Concessions to Banks for Obama Refinancing Plan
Selling Guide Announcement SElL-2011-12
FHA Reserves Sink Further Below Legal limit Amid Talk of Bailout

Today’s News Synopsis:

In this week’s video, Aaron Norris gives the news of the week in the world of real estate and other big events.  According to the Los Angeles Times, the unemployment rate in California dropped to almost 12% in October.  Lawmakers are pushing to increase the size of loans issued by FHA.  Housing Wire reported a slight decrease in mortgage delinquencies in the month of October.

In The News:

Housing WireObama signs extension for higher FHA loan limits” (11-18-11)

“President Obama signed into law a government spending bill Friday morning effectively reinstalling higher conforming loan limits for the Federal Housing Administration through the end of 2013.

Realty Times - “30-Year Fixed-Rate Averages at or Below 4 Percent for 3rd Consecutive Week” (11-18-11)

“Freddie Mac (OTC: FMCC) released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), showing average fixed mortgage rates changing little and remaining at or near 4.00 percent for the past three weeks amid positive economic and consumer confidence data.”

NAHB - “Home Builders Applaud Congress for Restoring Higher FHA Loan Limits” (11-18-11)

“The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) today applauded Congress for reinstating for another two years the higher conforming loan limits for the Federal Housing Administration (FHA), noting that this is an important step to help mend the struggling housing market.”

Wall Street Journal - “Congress Increases the Ceiling on Size of Mortgages” (11-18-11)

“U.S. lawmakers moved Thursday to increase the maximum size of loans that can be guaranteed by the Federal Housing Administration.”

O.C. Register - “U.S. home sales, pricing at 5-month lows” (11-18-11)

“One index of U.S. homebuying shows sales activity and pricing at five-month lows.  The national homebuying index from DataQuick and its analysts at DQNews attempts to give a weekly snapshot into most-recent trends, using “not modeled” home sales counts and median selling prices. This math — we’ve dubbed it the “DQ98″ — tracks on a weekly basis the freshest homebuying patterns in 98 out of the 100 largest U.S. markets (sorry, Louisville and Wichita!) to compile a national benchmark.”

Housing Wire - “Foreclosure inventory rises in October: LPS” (11-18-11)

“Mortgage delinquencies declined slightly to 7.93% in October from the previous month, according to the Lender Processing Services (LPS: 17.88 +0.11%) first look at the monthly statistics in its loan-level database of nearly 40 million mortgages.”

Los Angeles Times“California unemployment rate edges downward in October” (11-18-11)

“California’s unemployment rate fell by two-tenths of a percentage point to 11.7% in October as the state created 25,700 new jobs, the Employment Development Department reported. The agency also reported Friday that it had revised job growth in September upward, to 39,200, from about 12,000.”

Housing Wire“Supreme Court to hear fair housing case that could impact mortgage industry” (11-18-11)

“A fair housing case headed to the Supreme Court could have direct and indirect impacts on mortgage lending and regulatory enforcement.”

Looking Back:

Delinquencies on residential properties dropped 9.13% in the third quarter of 2010, according to the MBA. MDA DataQuick’s monthly statistics released showed that 6,122 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in the Bay Area. The CBIA reported California housing affordability increased 1.7% in the 3rd quarter of 2010. Jobless claims increased by 2,000, said the Labor Department.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

252-TNG Radio – I Survived Real Estate 2011 part 5 11-19-11

Friday, November 18th, 2011

I Survived Real Estate 2011

I Survived Real Estate 2011


(Full Bio)

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On October 14, 2011, The Norris Group returned with its award-winning event I Survived Real Estate. An expert line-up of industry specialists joined Bruce Norris to discuss current industry regulation, head-scratching legislation, and the opportunities emerging for savvy real estate professionals. 100% of the proceeds support the Orange County Affiliate of Susan G. Komen for the Cure. This event would not have been possible without the generous help of the following platinum partners: ForeclosureRadar and Sean O’Toole, Housing Wire, the San Diego Creative Real Estate Investors Association and President Bill Tan, Investors Workshops with President Shawn Watkins and Angel Bronsgeest, Invest Club for Women and Iris Veneracion and Bobbie Alexander, San Jose Real Estate Investors Association and Geraldine Berry, Real Wealth Networks, Frye Wyles, MVT Productions, and White House Catering. The event video can be found on isurvived2011.com.

Bruce continued his discussion with the panel on an interesting appraisal they had. Someone with no experience in a very unusual area where you received a lot of money for a certain located lot had a $1.3 million comp for the model-match house. They had the right location, but The Norris Group did not. They had a home for sale for about $700,000 for 90 days, which is not worth $1.3 million. When they went pending, the home was appraised for $1.3 million because it was a model-match house; someone had come in from out of the area who did not have a clue that it mattered there. This did, however, help lock in the sale.

Bruce wondered what the intent is on the mortgage side. He asked what the function of the appraisal management company was and if they are really supposed to just make sure that appraisal independence is accomplished. Sara confirmed saying this is the main function, and it was intended to be the main function to begin with. Unfortunately, it has become a clearing house for fees lower. The management company is going to make the money, and Sara said what her company finds is that when many consumers close a loan are confronted with an amount for an appraisal that includes not only the appraiser’s fee but also the management company fee. Sometimes the management company fee is more than what the appraiser is actually making on the particular sale. Sara related to Bruce on a personal instance where she had a friend who called and asked her if about $300 the usual in customary fee for a residential appraisal. Sara said this sounded a little high an asked her to call the appraiser. When she called the appraiser, she found out that a good part of the fee that she was going to be paying for the appraisal was actually going to the management company and not to the appraiser.

To earn their cut, the management company usually engages the appraiser and is responsible for the documentation securing the appraisal, getting the appraisal back to the file, and getting it to the lender. They act as the middle man. Bruce jokingly said they basically take an email and forward it. They do not necessarily have to have expertise as appraisers, however. In a lot of states like Arkansas and most likely in California, they have certain requirements for AMCs. The Appraisal Institute has been very active in trying to monitor the appraisal management companies and try to obtain some kind of regulation process, some bonding or some kind of law that supports the appraiser in the event that there is some kind of argument with regard to fee and process. In some states they are not regulated at all, and in other states they are closely regulated. This actually brings up a confusing situation. Bruce wondered if the Appraisal Institute has national and state regulations that overlap or contradict, which Sara confirmed.

Debra Still began talking about how her company works in 29 states and files 29 states worth of appraisal regulations, fees, forms, disclosures, and predatory lending. The variation is pretty stunning. The Dodd-Frank Act had tried to solve the reasonable customary fee, and Bruce wondered if this has changed in practice where the appraiser is now getting paid what they used to. However, Sara said this is not the case as there is still a big issue in this area. When Sara testified before the Congressional Subcommittee in July, this was one of the things that she continued to talk about with the subcommittee. The idea of reasonable and customary and the intent of Dodd-Frank was never to include the AMC fee into the reasonable and customary estimation. The Appraisal Institute has done a lot of research, a lot of study, and they have looked at VA schedules and others to try to help these AMCs and try to help the Congressional Subcommittee to take a look at what a reasonable and customary fee might be to an appraiser. They would like to see the HUD-1 form simply separate the fees. The appraisal fee needs to be on one line and one transparent number, and the appraisal management fee should be on another. An appraiser needs to be paid for the time, the education, the professionalism that they have and that they bring to the experience. The AMC should also be compensated for the work that it is doing. There are pretty severe fines for not paying reasonable fees. In the Legislation, it gets into the millions, and it is uncertain if any of these fines have been levied.

One thing that existed at one time and it is good that it does not anymore is undue pressure. However, Bruce gets the feeling it actually does exist but on the back end. He feels like there are buyers who are willing to say about a house that it is the one they want at the price they want it, but somewhere along the line there is pressure to get it at a lower price. He doesn’t know if it is the review appraisal process, an automated system, or it is an underwriter who says it should be lowered. He really doesn’t know, but he does know that as a seller he is confused sometimes why it comes back less. It’s not reasonable. People look out for their own best interests. For example, a seller checks out the market and goes pending, to Bruce this is a comp. If it disagrees with all the other comps severely, then this might be a problem. When The Norris Group fixes up houses, they might spend $30,000, but they do not automatically think about if they will receive $50,000 back for it. There are, however, times where a buyer looks at this and says they would not be able to do it for $30,000, and a $20 grand price difference at 4% interest is so minimal per month that the answer is they will take the $30,000 over the $50,000, especially when you have 70% comps against REOs and short sales. This is a problem. The real question is how they are viewed. One does not show up and say a property is a comp but it does not have a kitchen. You can’t get the truth with the push of a button.

Sara said all this points out the need for local market expertise, for people who are trained professionals, people who are trained to go to the market and interview the buyer and seller, to investigate the comparables, and make sure they are comparables. Secondly, Sara believes that a lot of appraisers, as they begin to turn in their appraisal reports, face a lot of undue pressure, for example, added comparables, extra questions, and more scrutiny placed on their valuation and their judgment. Bruce wondered if for some reason the pressure is there or a review appraiser disagrees that they could lose business because they came in at a higher number than the review appraiser. Sara said this is something that might happen on some instances, but it really falls to the appraiser to defend himself over and over again. If the information is there and the valuation has been done to the best of the appraiser’s ability, then you need to just get to the point in time where you have to say, “This is it; this is all I can do.” Sara said often times when this situation confronts the people at the company, they will say, “Could we pick you up? Could we drive those comps and take a look at them?” A lot of times you are talking to somebody who is sitting at a desk who never looks at the property and never goes to the particular comparable. He never inspects the interior and doesn’t have any information. It is a communication problem sometimes because as an appraiser and as a person who is writing the report, the communication skill needs to be there to convey extraordinary measures you may or may not have taken to include the sale and why. It is a difficult environment, and it is very difficult sometimes to meet the requirements that are piled on, that are additional, and seem perfect in terms of the final valuation result.

Debra Still said you do have underwriting guidelines and some investor overlays that are now causing some of this challenge where you might have an investor that requires that two comps be outside the community. Outside the community possibly means a foreclosure. This is one of the homebuilders’ top 4 issues. As we see some of these sub-markets beginning to heal and prices starting to stabilize, we have to think about how do we move forward and recognize that in a declining area we might have a very stable sub-market. How do we recognize that some investors want four comps or six comps or justify the time valuation? It becomes very complex when you combine both the appraiser’s work and the underwriter’s work on top of it.

Bruce gave an example of something that really changed their business model. They bought a property in Moreno Valley for $52,000, without a kitchen and other necessities, and they fixed it for around $25,000. They put it up for sale and went pending for $123,000, and they had seven offers within two days. This is a pretty good statement of market value. The appraisal came in at $100,000, and the review came in at $80,000. Consequently, they kept it as a rental at $1100, and they rented it in one day. The statement basically by the appraisal said that given $100,000 at 5%, the rental payment was worth twice as much as the value when you consider what it was worth in mortgage payment. What it prevented was them fixing the next 50 properties in Moreno Valley because what it told them was due to the changes that HVCC brought in, the appraiser was incapable of coming to that decision because no one would allow him to do it. This is a challenge for the industry right now, especially in the areas that have the overwhelming vacant REO as the comp. One of the reasons they concentrate in a specific area is because they provide their own evidence that a decision has been made before, which is what you are in a way stuck with as an appraiser. You have evidence that somebody made a decision.

Sara said one of the other things the aforementioned points out is a relationship with the purchaser and with the person who is going to be working with the mortgage as well as conversation and dialogue on the front end certainly might help to solve some of the problems. The Appraisal Institute is beginning to look at how they can develop some relationships in sub-markets that would allow them to try to take a look at what they have in the market in which they are working. The technique, theory, and ideas going forward are pretty new, and therefore they may have a lot of risk in them for a lot of lenders. It goes back to educating both the lender, the appraiser purchaser, and the investor in what is going on in the market and how they can handle some of the consequences of the downturn that we have seen.

Debra Still said this is one of the things that is difficult with HVCC. The spirit of the HVCC was right on target, not doing anything to exert undue influence on an appraiser. On the other hand, it is now law; and having those good, constructive conversations are very delicate. You have to be very careful and very thoughtful, and there is a protocol to have an appropriate dialogue with an appraiser as you are trying to get to the right place. It is using coercion when it really just needs to have better information.

In order for a company to not require an appraisal management company to act as the middle man and go directly to the independent appraiser, they would have to be a reasonably large lender. Debra Still’s company has a national subdivision processing department, so everything that has to do with properties is done by a department that is outside of the origination, the processing, the underwriting, and the closing. As long as you can set up an arms length environment, you don’t have to use an AMC. Most companies, however, would use that as their way to ensure arms length and to stay within the law. Sara said this is a big factor with a lot of lenders right now as they do not want to cross the line.

There is definitely a sense that there is some rotation system that is necessary where no matter what the experience level or knowledge of an area, it is just a specific person’s turn to obtain an appraisal. Debra Still’s company does a 1 in 5 rotation in each sub-market and probably has about 300 appraisers nationally that they use. It is very important not to use one person solely for a community. There needs to be team partners. All of the appraiser’s business would be dependent upon the company giving, so they have to do at least a 1 in 5 rotation. This is how they have set up their due diligence. They will review the appraisals, review for error, review any quality control audits, and they would make sure they have qualified individuals on their appraiser panel. Sara believes in this type of environment you would have more control over the quality of the appraiser. This is one of the things she does not find happening with a lot of the AMCs. They will gravitate toward cheap and quick and possibly overlook the qualifications that the appraiser has such as market expertise, which Sara says is extremely important. What really matters is the person who is willing to travel, to finish the appraisal, and turn it in completed. A quick turn-around time might be a day to a day and a half. There is no way that if you are not familiar with the market you can simply march in, collect the comparables, talk with the buyers and the sellers, get a sense of what is going on in the market, make the inspection, get a feel for what the property contributes, what are its overall attributes in relationship to the others that are on the market or the other sales that have occurred, go back to make the appraisal, and then write and convey it in a quick amount of time. It just cannot be done. Bruce said it is hard to want to do this if you are getting paid half of the appraisal fee. It may not even be feasible to spend as much time because you just cannot possibly do it. You might as well just go to Multi-list and get a couple of comps and move on.

When asked about broker-price opinions, Sara said one of the things about this is in some instances it might be a good vehicle, but for mortgage-lending purposes and for decisions a lender has to make; by in large the opinions are unregulated. An appraisal that is put forth and signed by a state-certified appraiser, which is what the Appraisal Institute does, has some education. They are unbiased and a third party out there taking a look at the property. They really don’t have anything more in the game than just to report and analyze the market. Sara believes sometimes in the terms of broker-price opinion you have a disinterested person. They are an advocate for the property owner and for another entity. They are certainly not regulated like the appraiser is in terms of adherence to certain educational requirements. There are so many things that are missing. The broker-price opinion might have its place in some part of the real estate picture, but certainly not in terms of making a decision to buy or sell. It’s a different approach; it’s a different mindset, and it should be for a different use.

Bruce speculated that when there is an REO created, there is a series of things that happen including a couple of BPOs and an appraisal. It’s uncertain which is weighed heavier, but there is evidence that everybody is getting a turn in saying what the value is.

Bruce asked the panel if they see anything in Dodd-Frank or the changes in qualified mortgages that threaten a 30-year mortgage for some of the stratuses of loans. Debra said she does not really see anything in the QM or the QRM that would specifically attack the 30-year mortgage. For the most part this has been a product that housing in America has depended on for many years.

To find out more, tune in next week for I Survived Real Estate 2011, part 6. The Norris Group would like to thank their gold sponsors for the event: Adrenaline Athletics, Coldwell Banker Pioneer Real Estate, Conaway and Conaway, Delmae Properties, Elite Auctions, Inland Empire Investors Forum, Inland Valley Association of Realtors, Keller Williams of Corona, Keystone CPA, Kucan & Clark Partners, LLC, Las Brisas Escrow, Leivas Associates, Mike Cantu, Northern California Real Estate Investors Association, Northern San Diego Real Estate Investors Association, Pacific Sunrise Mortgage, Personal Real Estate Magazine, Raven Paul and Company, Realty 411 Magazine, Rick and LeaAnne Rossiter, Southwest Riverside County Board of Realtors, Starz Photography, uDirect IRA, Wilson Investment Properties, Tony Alvarez, Tri-Emerald Financial Group, and Westin South Coast Plaza. Visit isurvived2011.com for more

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 11/17/11

Thursday, November 17th, 2011

Today’s News Synopsis:

The National Association of Home Builders announced record highs for housing affordability with the stabilizing markets.  Foreclosures have risen for the first time since last year, according to Bloomberg News.  DS News reported delinqunecies in the U.S. decreased to a level not seen in three years, displaying signs of improvement for people behind on mortgage payments.

In The News:

NAHB - “As More Markets Stabilize, Housing Affordability Nears Record Levels for 10th Consecutive Quarter” (11-17-11)

“Buoyed by stabilizing home prices and sustained low interest rates, nationwide housing affordability during the third quarter of 2011 hovered near its highest level in the more than 20 years it has been measured, according to National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index (HOI) data released today.”

Bloomberg - “Foreclosures in U.S. Rise for First Time in a Year as Lender Backlogs Ease” (11-17-11)

“U.S. lenders started foreclosures on more properties in the third quarter, the first increase in a year, as a backlog stemming from claims of faulty home seizures began to ease.”

Housing Wire - “House rejects bill allowing modified mortgages to count as performing” (11-17-11)

“A House subcommittee rejected a bill Thursday morning that would have allowed banks to count a recently modified mortgage as an accrual or repaid.  The Common Sense Economic Recovery Act of 2011, or H.R. 1723, was sponsored by several House Republicans.”

Realty Times - “Remodeling Activity Reaches Record High” (11-17-11)

“Many of today’s homeowners find themselves unable or unwilling to enter the housing market. Some may have unsteady jobs or are upside down in their home loans.”

Wall Street Journal- “Refinancing Guidelines Reassure Investors” (11-17-11)

“Mortgage-backed securities issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac jumped Wednesday, as investors grew more confident that new incentives to boost refinancing for borrowers stuck with high-interest-rate loans would have a limited impact.”

O.C. Register - “Mortgage rates still near record lows” (11-17-11)

“From Freddie Mac’s weekly survey the average 30-year fixed rate remained virtually unchanged, moving up a single hundreth of a percentage point (or, a basis point) — to 4 percent and .7 point.”

DS News - “National Delinquency Rate Falls to Lowest Level in Three Years: MBA” (11-17-11)

“Industry data released Thursday indicates the number of borrowers in the United States behind on their mortgage payments is showing signs of improving.”

Bloomberg - “Housing Starts in U.S. Declined 0.3% in October” (11-17-11)

“Builders broke ground on more homes than forecast in October and construction permits climbed to the highest level since March 2010, signs that housing may become less of a laggard in the third year of the U.S. recovery.”

Inman - “Coldwell Banker rolls out agent learning portal” (11-17-11)

“Global franchise company Coldwell Banker Real Estate has launched an online learning portal for its approximately 87,000 agents, the company announced today.”

Looking Back:

The MBA reported mortgage application volume decreased 14.4% the week of August 17, 2010. According to CoreLogic, home prices fell 2.8% from September 2009. Mortgage fraud increased 20% from early 2009. Mortgage lenders were raising their minimum credit score requirements on FHA-insured loans.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor event calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 200 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.