The Norris Group Blog

California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Archive for May, 2010

By Bruce Norris .

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/28/10

Friday, May 28th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

Of the homeowners receiving foreclosure counseling through the National Foreclosure Mitigation Counseling (NFMC) program, 58% listed unemployment as the main reason for default. According to MDA DataQuick, Sales of both new and resale houses and condominiums were down 1.3 percent year-over-year. Weekly claims for unemployment insurance have now failed to improve for five straight months. Web searches for rental properties have increased by 45 percent from April 2009.

In The News:

Housing Wire“Stewart Lender Services Sees Loss Mitigation Business Jump Ten-Fold” (5-28-10)

“Houston-based Stewart Lender Services (SLS), a wholly owned subsidiary of Stewart Title Company, is disclosing that business in its loss-mitigation departments increased ten-fold in the last 18 months. In a conversation with HousingWire, the company reported processing more than 725,000 troubled mortgage loans and generated more than 1m lines of outreach to delinquent borrowers in the past year.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Clarifies Mortgage Insurance Standards for Loan Purchases” (5-28-10)

“In updating its requirements on finance mortgage insurance for loans it purchases, Fannie introduced the concept of a ‘prepaid mortgage insurance transaction,’ in which the borrower finances all or part of the premium and monthly escrows into the loan amount of a refinance. In this case, the mortgage insurance coverage amount is based on the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio after all closing costs and mortgage insurance are included in the loan amount.”

Housing Wire“NeighborWorks Finds Unemployment Drives Most Mortgage Defaults” (5-28-10)

“Of the homeowners receiving foreclosure counseling through the National Foreclosure Mitigation Counseling (NFMC) program, 58% listed unemployment as the main reason for default.”

Housing Wire“Home Builders Quick to Praise Proposed Government-Backed Construction Loans” (5-28-10)

“The Government Printing Office has yet to publicly forward a copy of HR 5409, but the bill, which seeks to establish a construction loan guarantee program for residential builders, is already gaining support from the trade body representing the industry.”

Inman - “Agents sell more higher-priced homes in California” (5-28-10)

“Real estate professionals in California sold slightly fewer homes in April than they did a year ago, according to a report by real estate data company MDA DataQuick. Sales of both new and resale houses and condominiums were down 1.3 percent year-over-year, to an estimated 37,481 units. That a 0.5 percent increase from March, however. The median price for a home in the Golden State stayed flat month-to-month at $255,000, but was a 15.4 percent increase from April 2009.”

Inman - “Low rates won’t fix economy” (5-28-10)

“Nothing has changed in the fundamentals behind the rate decline, certainly not in Europe. U.S. manufacturing has enjoyed temporary inventory rebuilding and export sales (April orders for durable goods soared 2.9 percent), but the overall economy is more ‘L’ than ‘U.’ April personal spending was flat, and weekly claims for unemployment insurance have now failed to improve for five straight months.”

Inman - “Hitwise: Rental sites gaining ground” (5-28-10)

“Popular search terms indicate that consumer interest in rentals is growing, according to a webinar presentation by Web metrics firm Experian Hitwise. The firm’s data indicates that despite recent upticks in home sales, real estate-related searches fell 22 percent year-over-year in April — the 11th straight month of year-over-year declines, the firm said. For the past 10 months, however, searches related to rentals have been increasing. In a custom real estate website category for rentals (excluding vacation rentals), searches climbed 45 percent year-over-year in April, the firm said. Heather Dougherty, the company’s director of research, gave the presentation.”

Orange County Register“VACATION RECOVERY” (5-28-10)

“Even in a damaged market, the vacation rental industry is making a rebound this season, with demand up in Orange County beach cities and more homes available to rent than last year. The National Association of Realtors reported recently that the vacation home market is mending its wounds – sales are up 8 percent nationwide, according to an investment and vacation home buyers survey.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties was 8.22 percent. New home sales increased 0.3 percent to an annual pace of 352,000. C.A.R. reported a 49 percent increase in California home sales in April 2009.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

176-TNG Radio – Rick Solis 5-29-10

Friday, May 28th, 2010

Rick Solis


Rick Solis

Appraiser and Investor

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This week Bruce is joined by Rick Solis. Rick wears many hats. He is a real estate investor, he is the appraiser for all of The Norris Group’s California hard money loans, and he occasionally trains people to appraise in The Norris Group’s REO boot camps.

Rick started appraising because his mother was a loan processor when he was a teenager. He was also interested in investing, but he was overpaying for properties. He began appraising to become a better investor. When he first began his appraising career, the only thing you needed to be an appraiser was a clipboard and a tape measurer. However, Rick believes that appraisal qualities were better back then than now with all the education requirements. In the past, appraisers had to be approved by each bank you wanted to appraise for, and you had to submit six work samples to prove you were able to do the job. Once licensing came into play, the banks eased off of those restrictions.

Rick closed escrow on his first house 1 week after his 20th birthday. Rick became attracted to the real estate business because of infomercials from Dave Deldado and Robert Allen.

Rick enjoys working with hard money lenders, because they actually want to know what the property is worth and what is wrong with it. That is the complete opposite of an A-paper appraisal job. All people involved in the A-paper transaction, other than the investor, do not want to know that information, because that information can kill the deals. Information like termite problems cannot be disclosed on an appraisal.

The investor is typically a private person with money, but you can also have a hard money loan with a different kind of intent. Some lenders are pressured to provide lenders with a specific appraisal value. Rick has had this experience with lenders in the past. Those lenders put a lot of pressure on appraisers, but he does not receive that kind of pressure from The Norris Group’s loan processor. Craig, TNG’s loan processor, would rather skip a deal than skew appraisal values.

In May, HVCC was passed. This new rule requires appraisal management companies to check on all appraisals for accuracies. Unfortunately, appraisal management companies are taking 40 percent of the earnings from appraisals, which means they must work much harder to earn the same income. This has caused many of the veteran appraisers to leave the business. Rick knows an appraiser who has found a way to cope with HVCC and make his job more efficient. This appraiser only takes appraisals that are close to him, and he looks at the properties before he accepts it. If there is anything wrong with the property he is looking at, the appraiser will skip it.

People often think of the appraisal process as being easy, because now they can push a button on Zillow which gives an estimated home value. However, this is very inaccurate. It is very difficult to come up with an accurate appraisal. It is also difficult to make an appraisal which meets all the guidelines of the lender and the investor who the lender is selling to.

FHA significantly loosened their requirements in the early 2000s. FHA once had a 2-page checklist of everything you had to check for on a property. For example, if the crawl space under the house didn’t have 18 inches of clearance the house had to be fixed. If there was any chipped paint on the house it would need to be fixed. However, they will allow some things like dirty carpet. FHA will accept non-permitted home modifications just as long as there are no health hazards. However, many banks and underwriters will not accept that. If non-permitted additions add value to a house, then you are supposed to account for it in an appraisal. It is very difficult to find comparable houses for a house with non-permitted additions.

In the current market, if your house is in average condition, there is not much you can do on repairs which will add a significant amount of value to your house. However, if your house is in bad condition then you can get a decent return on the cost of repairs. Regardless of how much money you’ve spent rehabbing, appraisers will not adjust the price by any more than 10 percent.

Cost basis appraisals are no longer being used. No appraiser who spends half his day looking for land sales is going to come up with an accurate land value.

Bruce Norris brings up an example for when the cost based appraisal may be useful…

Bruce: “If you were making an offer on a custom home, and you wanted the lot value to be emerged from what a custom home would be once it is done, then that would be like a residual value. This could be used to prove to a lot owner that it was once worth x value, but once you subtract the costs and the appraisal then the lot will be worth x. ‘Is that a useful idea?’”

Rick: “Possibly.”

Rick has never done this kind of appraisal, but Bruce wants him to. If you can look at the comps and subtract the costs, then you will have the residual dirt value. Rick thinks that is so simple that you probably wouldn’t need an appraiser to do it.

Around 2006, people were concerned about buying homes with awkward floor plans. Currently, investors no longer seem to be concerned by this. This may be due to the fact that these types of homes represent the largest portion of the current “for sale” market. They are taking a price hit on those homes, but they are still able to make a profit.

Appraisers account for pool values using comps. For example, if an appraiser is looking at two homes that are very similar except for the fact that one has a pool and the other does not, then the pool value will be calculated by subtracting the value of the home without a pool from the value of the home with the pool. If the home without a pool has a value of $200,000, and the value of the home with a pool is $210,000, then the value of the pool is $10,000. The value of a pool can change dramatically depending on where you live. In some areas a pool adds little value to the home, but in other areas a pool can add a lot of value. Rick has noticed that pools typically add up to 0 to 5 percent of the house. Also, the value of a pool can change dramatically depending on what season you sell in. If you sell during a hot season, the pool will be more valuable.

The number of bedrooms within a house does not affect the price much. The square footage of a house is more important the number of rooms within it. Some families like two big bedrooms more than 3 small ones, and vice versa.

If you are appraising a property as an investor, avoid location problems. Stay away from atypical problems, especially problems that cannot be fixed. Old homes surrounded by new homes will not sell well, and dome home styles don’t sell well either.

Investors often make the mistake of assuming that an old remodeled home will sell for the same value as a new home in the same condition. Newer homes will always sell at a higher value.

Mello-roos homes can also be a detriment to home value. However, a lot of first time buyers do not always notice this difference.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/27/10

Thursday, May 27th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the San Francisco city Assessor-Recorder, 6,462 residential property owners in San Francisco applied for temporary property tax breaks this year. Freddie Mac reports the average U.S. rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 4.78 percent for the week. Statistics from FHFA show the average interest rate on conventional 30-year FRM with a principal of $417,000 or less increased to 5.12% this month.

In The News:

San Francisco Chronicle“Thousands more in S.F. seek property tax breaks” (5-27-10)

“In another sign that the economy is taking a long time to rebound, a staggering 6,462 residential property owners in San Francisco applied for temporary property tax breaks this year, city Assessor-Recorder Phil Ting reported Wednesday.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Home Loan Rates Near Record Low on Europe Crisis” (5-27-10)

“Europe’s debt crisis is translating into lower mortgage rates for Americans as investors fleeing to the refuge of U.S. bonds push borrowing costs close to December’s record low. The average U.S. rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 4.78 percent for the week ended today from 4.84 percent, Freddie Mac said in a statement today. The record low is 4.71 percent. This week’s average 15-year fixed rate was 4.21 percent, the McLean, Virginia-based mortgage finance company said.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage Lenders Seek Relief on Bad Debt Repurchases” (5-27-10)

“Mortgage lenders are seeking relief from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as the government-supported companies force them to buy back more soured debt, said John Courson, president of the industry’s largest trade group.”

Housing Wire“FHFA Proposes Mortgage Purchase Goals for Home Loan Banks” (5-27-10)

“The FHFA is seeking comment on the establishment of three purchase money mortgage goals and one refinancing mortgage goal. The goals for purchase mortgages would separately measure performance on purchase mortgages for low-income families, for families in low-income areas, and for very-low-income families. The goal for refinance mortgages would measure performance on refinancings for low-income families.”

Housing Wire“FHFA Sees Interest Rates Tick up in April” (5-27-10)

“According to the FHFA monthly report, the average interest rate on conventional 30-year FRM with a principal of $417,000 or less increased 3 basis points (bps) to 5.12% from March’s average of 5.09%. The average rate for a 15-year FRM of $417,000 decreased 5 bps to 4.52% in April.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR reported existing home sales increased by 2.9 percent. Mortgage application volume decreased by 14.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from the previous week. The average price of a U.S. home fell 7.1 percent in the first quarter of 2009. Yields on Washington-based Fannie Mae’s current-coupon 30- year fixed-rate mortgage bonds climbed to 4.51 percent.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/26/10

Wednesday, May 26th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Commerce Department reports sales of new single-family homes rose 14.8 percent in April. Mortgage application volume increased 11.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. The NAR predicts commercial vacancy rates will increase from 16.9 percent in the first quarter of this year to 17.6 percent in the first quarter of 2011. According to Freddie Mac, home prices declined 1.1% in quarter 1 of 2010 compared to the same quarter one year ago.

In The News:

Washington Post - “New home sales jump 14.8 percent in April” (5-26-10)

“The sales of new single-family homes rose 14.8 percent in April compared with the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 504,000, according to Commerce Department data. It was up 47.8 percent compared to the same period a year ago.”

Mortgage Bankers Association - “Mortgage Refinance Applications Continue to Increase, Purchase Applications Decline Further in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (5-26-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 21, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 11.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 10.3 percent compared with the previous week.”

NAR - “Commercial Real Estate Vacancies to Peak Near Early 2011″ (5-26-10)

“With an elevated level of sublease space available, vacancy rates in the office sector are projected to increase from 16.9 percent in the first quarter of this year to 17.6 percent in the first quarter of 2011, but should ease later next year. Annual office rent is likely to fall 2.3 percent this year and decline another 2.1 percent in 2011. In 57 markets tracked, net absorption of office space, which includes the leasing of new space coming on the market as well as space in existing properties, is forecast to be a negative 24.6 million square feet this year and then a positive 25.5 million in 2011.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“MBA Study Examines Industry Risk Management Practices That Contributed to Housing Crisis” (5-26-10)

“Multiple factors including poor data, incomplete performance metrics, and, short-term focus and unrealistic optimism among senior business managers contributed to the collapse in the US housing and mortgage markets, according to a study released today by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).”

Housing Wire“Freddie Sees House Prices Down Slightly in Q110″ (5-26-10)

“Home prices declined 1.1% in Q110 compared to the same quarter one year ago, according to purchase-only edition of Freddie Mac’s (FRE: 1.17 +1.74%) Conventional Mortgage Home Price Index (CMHPI). Compared to Q409, prices are down 2.1%. However, despite the declines, prices in some regions of the country are still above 2005 levels.”

Bloomberg - “Toll Brothers Buys Land as Quarterly Home Orders Rise” (5-26-10)

“Toll Brothers Inc., the largest U.S. luxury homebuilder, increased its land holdings for the first time in four years in anticipation of a recovery in the market.”

Orange County Register“4 big local landlords cut rent 5.3%” (5-26-10)

“Equity Residential, Essex Property, AIMCO and AvalonBay — own a combined 39,577 units in Southern California. (That’s a visual taste of their Orange County offerings above. Click for larger images!) Thanks to my trusty spreadsheet, this foursome’s collective SoCal rents — factoring in their relative number of local units owned — dropped 5.3% vs. a year ago. (RealFacts, which surveys numerous owners of large complexes, had Orange County rents down 4.8% in the year ended in the first quarter.)”

Orange County Register“O.C. real estate giant to split into two companies” (5-26-10)

“The legacy component, consisting mainly of its title insurance and other insurance-related businesses, will be renamed First American Financial, trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol of FAF. The newer, technologically advanced real estate and consumer data and analysis businesses formerly known as First American CoreLogic will form the second company, operating simply as CoreLogic. Its stock symbol will be CLGX.”

Bloomberg - “Home Prices in U.S. Cities Rise Less Than Forecast” (5-25-10)

“Home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose less than forecast in March from a year earlier, a sign the housing recovery is cooling. The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index of property values in 20 cities increased 2.3 percent from March 2009, the group said today in New York. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News projected a 2.5 percent advance. Nationally, prices last quarter dropped 3.2 percent from the previous three months.”

Bloomberg - “Home Prices Decline 3.1% in First Quarter, FHFA Says” (5-25-10)

“U.S. home prices fell 3.1 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier as record foreclosures added to the inventory of houses on the market. The annual drop was double the 1.5 percent decline in the fourth quarter, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said today in a report. Measured from the prior three months, prices fell 1.9 percent in the first quarter, the Washington-based agency said.”

Housing Wire“Moody’s Says Court Ruling Gives FDIC Broad Powers Over Failed Bank Assets” (5-25-10)

“A ruling by the Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals is giving the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) broad-reaching powers to dispose of the assets of failed banks, according to Moody’s Investors Service. In its latest credit outlook report, the rating agency said the ruling is likely to up the risk to bank-sponsored asset-backed securities (ABS), as recourse to compensation will be diminished, leaving involved parties little alternative than to sue the FDIC in instances of alleged grievance over the handling of these assets.”

Housing Wire“Freddie Production Stays Flat Despite Delinquent Buy-Outs, Analyst Says” (5-25-10)

“The aggregate unpaid principal balance of Freddie’s mortgage-related investments portfolio grew by $3.9bn in the month, due to delinquent mortgage buyouts from Participation Certificate (PC) pools first announced in February. The total portfolio size is back to year-end 2009 levels, but securities holdings are down $61bn to accommodate the loan purchases. Net production of Freddie pass-throughs this year — including the effect of the buy backs — is flat, according to Jim Vogel, a strategist at FTN Financial, a financial services provider for the investment and banking community.”

Housing Wire“New $3bn Foreclosure Prevention Program Added to Wall Street Reform Bill” (5-25-10)

“The Senate passed the Restoring American Financial Stability Act last week, approving a new program that would reduce mortgage payments for the unemployed. The program would provide $3bn from the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) to lend up to $50,000 to unemployed homeowners, who could reasonably resume making payments again within two years. The program was modeled after the Homeowners’ Emergency Mortgage Assistance Program (HEMAP) in Pennsylvania.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index decreased 18.7 percent from March 2008. Freddie Mac estimated that the U.S. housing slump would end in June 2009. Orange County building industry lost 32,300 construction jobs from the September 2007 peak. President Obama signed a $500 million fraud protection bill.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/24/10

Monday, May 24th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the NAR, Existing home sales increased 7.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.77 million units in April. The CIRB reports permits were pulled for 3,314 total housing units in April. Statistics from CAR show California home sales decreased 8.1 percent in April. The Federal Reserve doesn’t intend to sell any of its assets until after it begins raising interest rates.

In The News:

NAR - “Existing-Home Sales Continue to Improve in April” (5-24-10)

“Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 7.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.77 million units in April from an upwardly revised 5.36 million in March, and are 22.8 percent higher than the 4.70 million-unit pace in April 2009. Monthly sales rose 7.0 percent in March.”

CBIA - “California Housing Starts Dip in April, CBIA Announces” (5-24-10)

“According to statistics compiled by the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB), permits were pulled for 3,314 total housing units in April, down 6 percent from the same month a year ago and down 9 percent from March. Permits for single-family homes totaled 2,252, down 6 percent from April 2009 and down 5 percent from the previous month, while multifamily permits totaled 1,062, down 7 percent from a year ago and down 16 percent from March.”

CAR - “April 2010 sales and price report” (5-24-10)

“Home sales decreased 8.1 percent in April in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 21 percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.”

Wall Street Journal“Mortgage Rates Decline” (5-24-10)

“The housing industry had been bracing for months for a period of rising mortgage rates, triggered by the end of the Federal Reserve’s $1.25 trillion mortgage-securities purchase program. Conventional wisdom held that mortgage rates would rise as the Fed pulled back from propping up the market. Instead, many in the industry now say rates could drift as low as 4.5% this summer from 4.86% now, instead of rising to 6% as some economists projected, making for significantly lower payments for Americans buying homes or refinancing their mortgages.”

Bloomberg - “Fed Won’t Sell Mortgage-Backed Assets Until it Raises Rates” (5-24-10)

“The Federal Reserve doesn’t intend to sell any of its assets, including more than $1.1 trillion in mortgage-backed securities, until after it begins raising interest rates, the central bank said in a report to Congress.”

Housing Wire“FDIC Sells $233m of Commercial Mortgage-Backed Notes” (5-24-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) sold $233m in notes backed by performing and non-performing commercial real estate loans from 22 financial institutions under receivership. The underlying mortgages bear an aggregate unpaid principal balance of $1bn.”

Bloomberg - “FHA Home-Financing Volume Sign of ‘Very Sick System’” (5-24-10)

“The FHA, which backs loans with down payments as low as 3.5 percent, insured $52.5 billion of home-purchase mortgages in the first quarter, compared with $46 billion of purchases of the debt by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, according to data compiled by Washington-based Potomac Partners. The FHA and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which regulators seized in 2008, have been financing more than 90 percent of U.S. home lending after a retreat by banks and the collapse of the market for mortgage bonds without government-backed guarantees.”

Bloomberg - “Defaults on Apartment-Building Loans Set Record for U.S. Banks” (5-24-10)

“Defaults on apartment-building mortgages held by U.S. banks climbed to a record 4.6 percent in the first quarter, almost twice the year-earlier level, as more borrowers failed to repay debt approved near the market peak, said Real Capital Analytics Inc. in a report. Defaults on so-called multifamily mortgages rose from 4.4 percent in the fourth quarter and from 2.4 percent during the same period in 2009, the New York-based real estate research firm said today. Commercial-mortgage defaults also rose in the first quarter for loans against office, retail, hotel and industrial properties, Real Capital said.”

Bloomberg - “U.S. Subprime Hunt Targets Goldman, May Skip Cassano: Timeline” (5-24-10)

“Federal prosecutors don’t plan to bring charges against former American International Group Inc. executive Joseph Cassano after a two-year probe of the insurer’s collapse, according to a person familiar with the investigation. Justice Department investigators found there is insufficient evidence to charge Cassano, the former head of AIG’s Financial Products division, the person said.”

Inman - “3 fatal flaws of real estate negotiation” (5-24-10)

“Agents have a wealth of places both online and offline to find strategies that work. Agent blogging sites are rich with great suggestions, many of which are from the best agents in the business. Nevertheless, many of these strategies still use manipulation or one-upmanship. The result is that these old approaches often undermine the agent’s success.”

My Desert“Short sales on the rise” (5-23-10)

“Real estate experts say they’re seeing spurts of multiple bids and cash buys on homes priced below $250,000 by investors with deep pockets, buyers from other states or residents with equity in their home, a move-up mentality or frazzled nerves from a volatile stock market.”

Washington Post“Anger at the root of mortgage default problem, study finds” (5-22-10)

“Now White has published a paper based on the personal accounts of 356 strategic defaulters and homeowners on the verge of doing the same. His finding: People who intentionally default on their loans are not as economically rational or calculating in their decision-making as widely thought. In fact, he said, their decisions to pull the plug ‘may not turn out to be economically rational.’ But they walk anyway, in large part because they are at the end of their emotional rope. They have transitioned from feelings of anxiety and hopelessness to outright anger at their lenders, the government and a financial system they consider unfair.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

Norris Group Real Estate Headline Roundup Video Blog – MAY 21, 2010

Friday, May 21st, 2010

 

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/21/10

Friday, May 21st, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Employment Development Department reports California unemployment remained at 12.6 percent from March. According to MDA DataQuick, 37,481 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. Nearly 75 percent of the 1.2 million homeowners who started the loan modification program in March 2009 have dropped out. The Senate voted 59-39 to pass the financial services bill formerly known as S. 3217, the Restoring American Financial Stability Act.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times“California employers keep adding jobs” (5-21-10)

“California’s unemployment rate remained unchanged from March, at 12.6%, although that’s because more workers – about 68,000 — rejoined the labor force to look for work in April. The Employment Development Department said Friday that the state has added jobs for four straight months, although February’s job figures were revised from a 20,400 job loss to a 2,800 job gain.”

DQNews - “California Statewide April Home Sales” (5-21-10)

“An estimated 37,481 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was up 0.5 percent from 37,295 in March, and down 1.3 percent from 37,967 for April 2009. California sales for the month of April have varied from a low of 27,625 in 1995 to a peak of 71,638 in 2004, while the average is 44,758. MDA DataQuick’s statistics go back to 1988.”

CAR - “C.A.R. calls for swift passage of SB 1178″ (5-20-10)

“The CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) is calling on California state senators to vote ‘yes’ and approve SB 1178 (D-Corbett), which will extend anti-deficiency protection for consumers who have refinanced their original mortgage loans and now are facing foreclosure. C.A.R. is the sponsor of the legislation.”

The Press Enterprise“Loan-modification dropouts rise” (5-20-10)

“The Treasury Department’s report Monday was the latest evidence of problems in the administration’s $75 billion program. While officials insist the program is helping the housing market turn around, critics say it is merely delaying an inevitable surge in foreclosures. More than 299,000 homeowners had received permanent loan modifications as of last month, Treasury said. That’s about 25 percent of the 1.2 million who started the program since its March 2009 launch. They are paying, on average, $516 less each month.”

Mortgage Bankers AssociationMBA Reacts to Passage of Financial Regulatory Reform” (5-21-10)

MBA has long supported a more efficient regulatory regime for the financial services industry, and passage of the bill is another important milestone.   However, the bill, as we view it, still has flaws that will negatively impact borrowers and the real estate markets. The next step will be to reconcile the differences between the House bill and the Senate bill.  While there are a couple of ways this could happen, MBA believes the American people would be best served by Congress convening a formal conference committee. Of particular importance to us is ensuring that the final language on risk retention does not discourage prudent, responsible lending.  If not, we risk doing long-term damage to our single-family, multifamily and commercial real estate markets.”

Associated PressFitch finds Calif. at both extremes in mortgages” (5-12-10)

“California has the best-performing U.S. region in mortgage performance as well as some of the worst, according to a study by Fitch Ratings. Results of the ratings agency’s study of all securitized non-agency California mortgage loans were released Wednesday. Among the findings, it said the Bay Area region of San Francisco, San Mateo and Redwood City has a 60-day mortgage delinquency rate of just 4 percent. That was No. 1 among the 382 metropolitan statistical areas tracked by Fitch.”

National Underwriter“S. 3217 Becomes H.R. 4173, Passes In Senate” (5-21-10)

“Members of the Senate have voted 59-39 to pass the financial services bill formerly known as S. 3217, the Restoring American Financial Stability Act. The bill, now known as H.R. 4173, the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act — the same name and bill number given to the financial services bill that the House passed in December 2009 — needed to attract a majority of the votes cast to pass.”

Housing Wire“Treasury Reduces TARP Cost by $11.4bn” (5-21-10)

“The Treasury Department cut the projected cost of the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) by $11.4bn to a total of $105.4bn. Congress authorized TARP under the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 to provide some stability to the ailing financial industry. Last August, the Obama Administration estimated the cost of TARP to be $341bn. The Making Home Affordable (MHA) program, which includes the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) and the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) program operates under TARP. In March 2010, the Treasury told Congress the cost of HAMP would be $22bn compared to the $75bn initially planned.”

Housing Wire“Increase in Architectural Billings Sets Stage for Increased Construction” (5-21-10)

“The American Institute of Architects (AIA) reported that its April Architectural Billings Index (ABI) rating increased 5.2% to 48.5, up from 46.1 in March. While the results means more firms saw billings decrease than increase, the rate of firms that saw decreases lessened in April.”

Housing Wire“Shadow Inventory Could Reach 5.5m by 2011: Report” (5-21-10)

“There are 2.5m households going through the foreclosure process right now and the number of homes with at least one missed mortgage payment sits at 5.4m, according to Capital Economics. And even though the economic recovery is gaining momentum, more households are still falling behind on their mortgage. By the end of 2011, an additional 3m homes will be in the foreclosure process, making the shadow inventory of potential REO properties at 5.5m. Some of these homes will inevitably avoid a foreclosure. But for many, the foreclosure process may be the only option and, eventually, those homes will get sold in the REO process.”

Housing Wire“Special Servicers Take On $82bn in CMBS Loans through Q110: Fitch” (5-21-10)

“The amount of loans in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) in need of special servicing totaled $81.7bn in Q110, up from $74bn at the end of 2009, according to Fitch Ratings. Special servicers have unique processes in place for unusual loans, usually ones on the verge of default. According to Fitch, these companies are still adding staff to meet the increasing demand. The analytics firm, Trepp, found the delinquency rate in CMBS reached 8% in April – a new record.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, Bay Area home sales posted a year-over-year gain for the eighth consecutive months. Freddie Mac reported the average rate for a 30-year loan fell to 4.82 percent. MDA DataQuick reported 2.5% of Orange County home purchases financed in April had variable-rate mortgages of some sort. Forty percent of potential homeowners said they would expect to pay at least 50 percent less for a foreclosed home.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

175-TNG Radio – Bill Shipp 5-22-10

Friday, May 21st, 2010

 

Bill Shipp 

Bill Shipp, California Real estate Investor

(Full Bio)

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This week Bruce is joined by Bill Shipp. Bill has been investing in Riverside real estate for many years. Bruce thinks Bill is Riverside’s best kept secret.

Bill believes it is important to be true to your word when doing business. Bill has been working with his contractors for 10 years, and he has never had a bid on a home repair. These contractors know that if Bill hires them, they will get paid at the time he specifies. This is even more important than having people skills.

Bruce has taught many real estate investors. Some of them have great people skills, and that is what gets them business. There are also people that are trustworthy, and that is also attractive to business partners.

In the last segment, Bill said that he is willing to do his job every day, and that attitude has allowed him to accumulate a wealth of knowledge. Bill’s knowledge of his market place allows him to live in Utah while still making good investment decisions in Riverside.

Bill has never closed an escrow with a person in it, and he has never bought a house at the steps. Bill does not want to deal with those hassles. This is why he uses the MLS and agents who know what they are doing. Bill gets over 50 percent of the houses that he makes offers on, because his realtors know not to call him unless a home shows promise. Bill works regularly with two realtors, but he receives calls occasionally from other REO agents as well.

Bill has a specific skew number for the paint which he uses on all his houses. Because he uses the same paint for his houses, it is easier for him to calculate how much repairs will cost when buying a new home. This also makes it much simpler for his repair men, because they know exactly what to do for every new job.

Bill discourages investors from traveling to see their investments. Do it for the first two properties, so you can figure out how to do the job. After the second, you should know what kind of property is worth your time, and trust your contractor to do his job. Traveling to your investment homes will cost you money and time. Also, Bill suggests that investors not bring their wives. His wife always has minor problems with his investments, such as the amount of flowers in the yard.

The typical repair cost for Bill’s investment houses is $15,000 or less. However, he has had home repairs that cost $100,000. In the early 2000s, he bought older homes. The oldest home he ever bought was developed in 1828. The house was so old that the home began to dissolve when the repair man tried to pressure wash it. Bruce once bought a home in 1898. Bruce had a termite investor inspect the home, and the inspector told him that there were no termites because the wood was petrified.

Bill does not have a construction background, but he has learned some things about that trade over time. When you buy a lot of older homes, you have to be creative to find a style that people will want to buy. In the late 1980s, Bill only bought homes that were 5 to 10 years old and did not need work, but Bill now only works with fixers built before the 2000s. Bill does not like to compete with home owners. When you are flipping new homes, you are not creating value. Bill thinks that working in the trustee market requires too much work. This is what Bruce’s company does, and Bruce agrees that the trustee market is too much hassle for Bill’s business model.

When reselling a property, Bill uses the listing agent that found the home for him, and he only uses two agents to keep the process simple. Using a large number of agents makes it difficult to determine whether or not those agents are doing their jobs correctly.

When Bill is selling his properties, he tries to control the escrow, but he never controls which lender is used. Bill’s buyers are always cross checked with the lender. Bill’s agent will not tell him that he has an offer until the buyer has been cross checked, and until he can know if he will get a good offer.

Bill is constantly educating himself in real estate. He reads many books, he has attended Bruce’s seminars, and he has been trained as a certified financial planner. Bill believes that many people know how to make a lot of money, but they do not know how to spend it. People do not often plan for downturns in the market, and their lack of planning ruins their financial health.

In the early 1990s, Bill had 40 rentals. It took 8 years to get those homes sold, and it was very frustrating because the market kept going down.

Bill began investing in Texas during 1989. He bought homes for $10,000 each and he owned them free and clear, but he was receiving negative cashflow every month because of property taxes. Repairing one roof could wipe out your positive cashflow for a year. In the end, he only made money on one of those homes. Do not buy real estate in other cities and states if you do not know what you are doing.

In 1986 Bruce was asked to speak on a panel of real estate experts. There were two well known attorneys on the panel, and all of their claims regarding out-of-state property ownership contradicted Bruce’s practical experience. When Bruce asked those attorneys how they came to their conclusions, he discovered that they had no out-of-state investment experience and were relying on theoretical knowledge. When people come from other states and tell you to buy homes in their areas, be careful. Why would someone travel across the United States to encourage you to buy their property if they cannot even get the people from their own state to buy?

If there are more listings in a region than sells, you should be nervous. On the other hand, if there are more sells than listings, then you should be happy. This is all Bill looks at when predicting whether or not he should be investing. Bill does not pay much attention to economic forecasts. He only pays attention to Riverside’s market, so he does not have to worry about general market forecasts.

The best deal Bill ever had was a wholesale in Corona. The property sold in 2 weeks and he earned over $100,000. If you want to find deals, you need to be watching the market every day. You never know why a seller might want to get rid of their property quickly. An agent once called Bill and told him that the seller was offering five houses and two lots on one street. The seller was the chairman of a bank who had stock options which were about to expire. The banker needed the money for those properties quickly, so that he could buy his stock. This deal shows that you never know why and when a great deal is going to show up. Bruce once bought a house from an agent once who was getting into the plastic extrusion business. The agent needed to buy an extrusion machine for $10,000, so Bruce bought two of his homes for that amount.

Bill has been approached with bulk buying opportunities over the last few months. The people offering these bulk buy deals told Bill that they have had bulk buys in the past that sold quickly. When Bill asked for an example of one of these bulk deals, he never received a response and he still hasn’t. Bill received a bulk buy opportunity from a company in Los Angeles as well. Because the company seemed professional, Bill had his agent check out the properties. The agent discovered that all 20 of the properties for bulk sale were short sales.

Bruce will be a moderator for Fannie and Freddie in June. These companies are putting together bulk sale divisions, so perhaps bulk sale opportunities will be available in the future.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/20/10

Thursday, May 20th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to MDA DataQuick, a total of 7,003 homes closed escrows in the nine-county Bay Area last month. CBIA reports that California families earning the median-income could have afforded 60.8 percent of the new and existing homes that were sold during the first quarter of 2010. Statistics from Freddie Mac show 30-year fixed-rate mortgage decreased 4.84 percent this week. CoreLogic predicts average national home prices will fall 0.5 percent in the next 12 months.

In The News:

DQNews - “Mixed results for Bay Area April home sales” (5-20-10)

“Last month a total of 7,003 homes closed escrows in the nine-county Bay Area, up 0.2 percent from 6,992 in March but down 1.9 percent from 7,139 in April 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego. On average, Bay Area sales have risen 4.2 percent between March and April each year since 1988, when DataQuick’s statistics begin. Last month’s sales tally was 24.5 percent below the April average of 9,278 sales since 1988, and was the second-lowest for an April since 1995.”

CBIA - “California Housing Affordability Increases in First Quarter, CBIA Announces” (5-20-10)

“Housing affordability in California increased overall in the first quarter of 2010, but 13 of the state’s 28 metropolitan areas included in the report saw decreases, the California Building Industry Association said today.  On a statewide basis, the HOI found that a family earning the median-income could have afforded 60.8 percent of the new and existing homes that were sold during the first quarter, up from 56.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009. The report also found that California is now home to seven of the top ten least affordable markets in the nation.”

CNN - “Problem bank list hits 775″ (5-20-10)

“The government’s list of troubled banks climbed to its highest level since 1992 in the first quarter, although the pace of growth moderated, according to a government report published Thursday. The numbers, published as part of a broader survey on the nation’s banking system by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, revealed that the number of banks at risk of failing climbed to 775 during the first quarter.”

Orange County Register – “Mortgage rate at 5-month low” (5-20-10)

“30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.84 percent — down from last week when it averaged 4.93 percent and the lowest since Dec. 10. Last year at this time, the 30-year fixed averaged 4.82 percent.”

Inman - “4 markets where prices will fall hardest” (5-20-10)

“National home prices were up 1.7 percent in March when compared to a year ago, but will probably give back some of those gains in the year ahead with the expiration of the federal homebuyer tax credit, data aggregator CoreLogic said in releasing its latest home-price index. While 51 out of the 100 largest markets saw year-over-year price appreciation in March — up from 42 markets in February — CoreLogic predicts average national home prices will fall 0.5 percent in the next 12 months.”

Housing Wire“New Survey Finds 59% of Homeowners Would Not Consider Strategic Default” (5-20-10)

“Of those homeowners surveyed by Harris Interactive, 59% said they would not consider walking away from their mortgage no matter how far underwater they sank. Harris conducted the survey of more than 2,500 adults, including 1,690 homeowners from May 10-12. The survey was conducted for the online foreclosure marketplaces, Trulia.com and RealtyTrac.”

Housing Wire“FBI Mortgage Fraud Investigations Jump 400% in Five Years” (5-20-10)

“FBI investigations of mortgage fraud increased 400% in 2009, compared with five years earlier, according to an Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) report on fraud and insider abuse (download here). The FBI investigated more than 2,100 mortgage fraud cases in 2009. The OTS said at least 63% of all pending FBI mortgage fraud investigations during fiscal year 2008 involved dollar losses of more than $1m each.”

Bloomberg - “Mortgage-Bond Yields Guiding Loans Decline to Six-Month Low” (5-20-10)

“Yields on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage securities that guide home-loan rates fell to the lowest in almost six months, as the response of European authorities to the sovereign-debt crisis drove investors to the relative safety of U.S. government-related debt. Fannie Mae’s current-coupon 30-year fixed-rate mortgage bonds tumbled 0.10 percentage point to 4.05 percent as of 9:55 a.m. in New York, down from 4.67 percent on April 5 and the lowest since Nov. 30, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.”

Bloomberg - “Idle Capacity in U.S. Economy Keeps Fed Asset Sales on Hold” (5-20-10)

“Officials led by Chairman Ben S. Bernanke raised their forecasts for growth this year while predicting the rebound will be slower than past recoveries from deep recessions as consumers contend with elevated unemployment and a decline in home values. Some expressed concern the Greek debt crisis could shake U.S. financial markets, curbing growth.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR predicted that commercial real estate would remain week for the remainder of 2009. The House of Representatives voted 367 to 54 to pass the Helping Families Save Their Homes Act. Toll Brothers Inc., the largest U.S. builder of luxury homes, said fiscal second-quarter revenue fell 51 percent.

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 5/19/10

Wednesday, May 19th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

NAHB is forecasting 552,000 single-family starts in 2010. The MBA reports mortgage loan application volume decreased by 1.5 percent from last week. The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 10.06 percent in Q1 2010. U.S. commercial real estate values fell in March by 0.5 percent.

In The News:

NAHB - “Optimistic Outlook for Housing, But Challenges Remain” (5-19-10)

“NAHB is forecasting 552,000 single-family starts in 2010, up 25 percent from last year’s 445,000 level, which was the lowest annual output since 1959 when the government began collecting this data. Suffering from an acute shortage of available financing and a significant shadow inventory of homes lost to foreclosure that are competing against normal inventory, Crowe said that multifamily housing starts are expected to lose further ground this year, falling 18 percent to 93,000 units, before rebounding to 150,000 units in 2011.”

Bloomberg - Mortgage Purchase Applications Plummet While Refinance Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (5-19-10)

“The Refinance Index increased 14.5 percent from the previous week and the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 27.1 percent from one week earlier.  This is the lowest Purchase Index observed in the survey since May of 1997.  The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 27.0 percent compared with the previous week and was 24.1 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 14, 2010.  The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.  On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3.1 percent compared with the previous week.”

Mortgage Bankers AssociationDelinquencies, Foreclosure Starts Increase in Latest” (5-19-10)

The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 10.06 percent of all loans outstanding as of the end of the first quarter of 2010, an increase of 59 basis points from the fourth quarter of 2009, and up 94 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate decreased 106 basis points from 10.44 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009 to 9.38 percent this quarter.”

Bloomberg - Fed in No Rush to Sell Mortgage Assets, Minutes Show” (5-19-10)

“Federal Reserve policy makers last month said they were in no rush to sell $1.1 trillion of mortgage-backed securities, with a majority preferring to wait until after the central bank starts raising interest rates.”

Bloomberg - “Commercial Property Values Drop as Rebound Stalls” (5-19-10)

“U.S. commercial real estate values fell in March, pushed lower by a quarterly drop in retail and office properties in the biggest metropolitan areas, Moody’s Investors Service said. The Moody’s/REAL Commercial Property Price Index fell 0.5 percent from February, the second straight monthly decline, Moody’s Investors Service Inc. said today in a report. Prices slid 25 percent from a year earlier and are down 42 percent from the October 2007 peak.”

Housing Wire“CoreLogic Index Puts Home Prices Up 1.7% in March” (5-19-10)

“National home prices increased 1.7% in March 2010 compared to the same month one year ago, marking the second month of year-over-year increases in the CoreLogic home price index (HPI). The March results are better than the upwardly revised 0.8% year-over-year increase in February, the first in more than three years, CoreLogic said. In 51 of the country’s 100 largest Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs), prices increased year-over-year in March, up from 42 CBSAs in February.”]

Housing Wire“New MDA DataQuick Partnership to Map Latest Real Estate Data” (5-19-10)

“The companies will form MDA DataQuick PropertyFinder 2G, a nationwide database of property and ownership information. It will include details on property profiles, history, demographics, nearby schools and businesses. John Walsh, president of MDA DataQuick, said the partnership will help customers visualize the real estate data it already provides.”

For more information about The Norris Group’s California hard money loans or our California Trust Deed investments, visit the website or call our office at 951-780-5856 for more information. For upcoming California real estate investor training and events, visit The Norris Group website and our California investor calendar. You’ll also find our award-winning real estate radio show on KTIE 590am at 6pm on Saturdays or you can listen to over 170 podcasts in our free investor radio archive.