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California Real Estate Headline Roundup

Archive for March, 2010

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/31/10

Wednesday, March 31st, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the NAR, vacation home sales increased by 7.9 percent in 2009. Mortgage loan application volume increased by 1.3 percent from last week.  Fannie Mae reports the percentage of seriously delinquent loans increased to 5.52% in January. FHA does allow mortgages to borrowers who sell their current residence under short-sale provisions and then purchase a new home without the standard 3 year wait.

In The News:

NAR - “Vacation-Home Sales Up in 2009 but Investment Sales Down” (3-31-10)

“NAR’s 2010 Investment and Vacation Home Buyers Survey, covering existing- and new-home transactions in 2009, shows vacation-home sales rose 7.9 percent to 553,000 last year from 513,000 in 2008, while investment-home sales fell 15.9 percent to 940,000 in 2009 from 1.12 million in 2008. Primary residence sales rose 7.1 percent to 4.04 million in 2009 from 3.77 million in 2008.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“Strain on Commercial/Multifamily Real Estate Market Continues in the Fourth Quarter” (3-31-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Commercial Real Estate/Multifamily Finance Quarterly Data Book for the fourth quarter of 2009. The analysis shows the ongoing strain on the commercial/multifamily real estate markets resulting from the recent recession. Many data series included in the Data Book also show significantly slower rates of decline compared to previous periods.”

Mortgage Bankers Association“Mortgage Purchase Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey” (3-31-10)

“The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 26, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 1.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 1.5 percent compared with the previous week.”

State of California“2010 Tax Credit for New Home / First-Time Buyer” (3-31-10)

“These tax credits are available for taxpayers who purchase a qualified principal residence on or after May 1, 2010, and before January 1, 2011. Additionally, the New Home Credit is available for taxpayers who purchase a qualified principal residence on or after December 31, 2010, and before August 1, 2011, pursuant to an enforceable contract executed on or before December 31, 2010. The purchase date is defined as the date escrow closes. These tax credits are limited to the lesser of 5 percent of the purchase price or $10,000 for a qualified principal residence. Taxpayers must apply the total tax credit in equal amounts over 3 successive tax years (maximum of $3,333 per year) beginning with the tax year in which the home is purchased. The tax credits cannot reduce regular tax below tentative minimum tax (TMT). The tax credits are nonrefundable and unused credits cannot be carried over.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Delinquencies Reach All-Time High at 5.52%” (3-31-10)

“While serious delinquencies in the Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.05 0.00%) portfolio continue to reach new heights in January, mortgage-backed securitization (MBS) issuance dropped for the second month in a row in February, according to its monthly report. The serious delinquency rate at Fannie climbed to 5.52% in January – the most recent month of data – up 14 bps from December and doubling the 2.77% rate in January 2009.”

Business Week“The 50 Most Powerful People in Real Estate 2010″ (3-31-10)

“Who are the people setting the agenda in the U.S. real estate market? As Bloomberg BusinessWeek found out, the answer is complicated and can be approached only from a range of perspectives. We spoke with industry experts about an array of functions—economists, government officials, heads of industry organizations, bankers, insurers, brokers, homebuilders, property managers, investors, and property owners—and selected 50 people we believe are leading the economic recovery or carry particular clout in shaping the landscape for homeownership.”

Orange County Register – “What? Quick loan despite a short sale?” (3-31-10)

“It turns out FHA does allow mortgages to borrowers who sell their current residence under short-sale provisions and then purchase a new home without the standard 3 year wait.  There are certain conditions that must be met–some of the conditions are a little subjective and on these I would not suggest trying to push limits.”

Orange County Register – “Hear why foreclosures dampen housing’s future” (3-31-10)

“Berson tells ocregister.com in a podcast interview that while the worst may be behind housing, there’s little reason to believe that boom times will be ahead. One big problem is that the large supply of foreclosures and other distressed properties will dampen home prices for the foreseeable future. Additionally, lenders will stay tight with their lending terms — and that’s not so bad, Berson says”

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/30/10

Tuesday, March 30th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the Standar & Poor Index, national home prices decreased by 0.7 percent from last year. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac estimate that mortgage rates will rise less than a quarter of a percentage point in the next three months. Interest rates on conventional 30-year FRMs increased to 5.13% in February. The US Treasury Department will allocate $600 million to HFA for foreclosure prevention programs in California, Florida, Arizona, Michigan and Nevada.

In The News:

Google - “Home prices post smallest annual decline in 3 yrs” (3-30-10)

“Home prices showed the smallest annual decline in almost three years in January, indicating there are surprising areas of strength in the housing market. The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index fell just 0.7 percent from last year on a seasonally adjusted basis. The index reading of 146.32 was almost in line with analysts expectations, according to a survey by Thomson Reuters.”

Bloomberg - “Cheap Mortgages May Last as Investors Replace Fed” (3-30-10)

“The Federal Reserve’s completion this week of its program to buy $1.25 trillion in mortgage bonds probably won’t mean significantly higher U.S. home loan rates as investors return to the market, replacing the Fed. Fixed mortgage rates likely will rise less than a quarter of a percentage point in the next three months, the smallest increase for the second quarter since a drop in 2005, according to estimates by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The gain would add about $30 to the monthly payment for a $250,000 mortgage.”

Housing Wire“FHFA Sees Mortgage Rates Level with February 2009″ (3-30-10)

“Conventional mortgage rates continued to rise in February, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s (FHFA) monthly rate report (download here). The average interest rate entered on a conventional 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) of $417,000 or less ticked up 3 basis points (bps) in February to 5.13%, from 5.1% in January.”

Housing Wire“Treasury Releases Additional $600m to Five New State Housing Finance Agencies” (3-30-10)

“The US Treasury Department will expand the Hardest Hit Fund for state Housing Finance Agencies (HFAs) by allocating $600m to five additional states. The Treasury launched the initial $1.5bn through the fund to prevent foreclosures and stabilize local housing markets where prices have dropped at least 20% from their peak. California, Florida, Arizona, Michigan and Nevada are each working on plans to fund principal-forgiveness, unemployment and second-lien reduction programs.”

Orange County Register“Builder raises new O.C. home prices” (3-20-10)

“According to DataQuick’s latest stats, month ended March 8, builders sold in Orange County 101 homes, up 26% in a year as median selling price rose 6% to $523,500. Builder prices for local new homes are 39% below their February ‘05 top.”

Realty Times“Mortgage Rates Rise Ahead of Fed MBS Exit, 30-yr to 4.875″ (3-20-10)

“FreeRateUpdate.com research shows 30-yr fixed mortgages are available today at 4.875 percent to well-qualified consumers paying a standard .07 to 1 point origination. Today’s rate is slightly higher (+0.125) than what’s been obtainable for most of March. It’s not just the 30-yr fixed rate that’s up, as a result of a decline in mortgage-backed securities prices late last week, conventional mortgage rates are up on almost every program.15-yr fixed mortgages, previously available at 4.125 with standard origination, are available today at 4.25. 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages, previously available at 3.625, are now at 3.75.”\

Realty Times“Weekend Do-it-Yourself Projects” (3-20-10)

“Spring is here at last, and like many other homeowners you may be looking for simple do-it-yourself projects to spruce up your home or to increase its value. Keep reading to get ideas on a few weekend updates and upgrades that are sure to be worth your while.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, analysts predicted a 10 percent drop in O.C. office rent rates. An FHA spokesman claimed that 7.5 percent of HFA loans were seriously delinquent. In February of 2009, nearly 250,000 homeowners received either mortgage modifications or repayment plans from their lenders.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/29/10

Monday, March 29th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

A study from USC shows that immigrants are more attracted to mid-size cities. Goodman claims HAMP is bound to fail because of its failure to address negative equity. According to Realpoint, the delinquency rate among commercial mortgage-backed securities reached 6 percent last month. First American CoreLogic estimates the average home experiencing negative equity will not obtain positive equity until late 2015.

In The News:

NAHB - “New CRE Limits Could Jeopardize Housing and Economic Recovery” (3-29-10)

“Proposals by federal banking regulators to tighten restrictions on commercial real estate (CRE) lending could further exacerbate a severe acquisition, development and construction (AD&C) credit crisis that is choking off new home building activity and threatening the fragile housing recovery now under way, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).”

Orange County Register – “317,000 properties to get tax-cut review” (3-29-10)

“The Orange County Assessor’s office has announced plans to review the taxable value of 317,000 parcels this year to determine if their owners are eligible for further property tax cuts. That’s 35% of the nearly 900,000 real estate parcels in the county.”

Los Angeles Times“Consumer spending up, sign of decent recovery” (3-29-10)

“The Commerce Department reported Monday that consumers boosted their spending by 0.3 percent in February. That was a tad slower than the 0.4 percent increase registered in January and marked the smallest increase since September. Still, the increase in spending was considered a respectable showing, especially given the snowstorms that slammed the East Coast and kept some people away from the malls. It marked the fifth straight month that consumer spending rose.”

Inman - “Study: Mid-size cities attract immigrants” (3-29-10)

“A growing number of immigrants are attracted to mid-size cities with lower housing costs, less competition for jobs, and increasing numbers of other immigrants, according to a recent study by the University of Southern California Lusk Center for Real Estate.”

Housing Wire“Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (3-29-10)

“Goodman criticized the first incarnation of the Making Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) because it did not address negative equity. According to her analysis, as long as borrowers are deeply underwater, they are unlikely to pay in the long term. Thus, the re-default rate will be very high, and the dead weight costs of foreclosure have not been avoided.”

Housing Wire“New CMBS Projections Push 2010 Delinquencies into Double Digits” (3-29-10)

“In February 2010, the delinquency rate among commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) pools reached 6%, up from 5.7% in January and, according to the analytics firm Realpoint, could be possibly heading toward 11-to-12% by the end of the year. Realpoint tracked delinquency data on $797bn of CMBS pools for the report. The total delinquent unpaid balance for CMBS increased $1.8bn in February, up to $47.8bn. It’s an almost 300% increase from one-year ago when $11.9bn was reported for February 2009 and is now 21 times more than the trough of $2.2bn in March 2007.”

Housing Wire“Positive Equity Won’t Return For Most Underwater Borrowers Until 2015″ (3-29-10)

“First American CoreLogic estimates that the typical US homeowner who is in negative equity will not experience positive equity until late 2015 to early 2016. In severely depressed markets, the typical borrower in negative equity may not experience positive equity until 2020 or later. CoreLogic projects more than 11.3m — or 24% — of all residential properties with mortgages had negative equity at the end of the Q409. While the largest decreases in home prices appear to have already happened, it remains to be seen when borrowers will return to positive equity.”

Bloomberg - “Goldman Capitulation on Dollar Shows Reversal on U.S.” (3-29-10)

“The strengthening U.S. economy, subdued inflation and rising stock prices are propelling the dollar rally into its fifth month as traders seek refuge from Europe’s fiscal crisis and Japanese deflation. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Citigroup Inc. ended bets on a falling dollar last week after the trades lost 2.8 percent. Strategists are raising greenback forecasts at the fastest pace since last March, just before U.S. stimulus efforts that poured as much as $12.8 trillion into the economy ended the currency’s strongest rally in 28 years. Median predictions for the dollar against 47 currencies tracked in Bloomberg surveys rose an average of 1.4 percentage points in the month to March 24.”

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/26/10

Friday, March 26th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The Obama administration announced a new program for homeowners in foreclosure. The Fed bought a total $8.26bn of MBS from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae. Freddie Mac reports the 30-year FRM rate increased to 4.99 percent this week.

In The News:

New York Times“Under Pressure on Foreclosures, White House Pledges Aid” (3-26-10)

“The Obama administration on Friday announced broad new initiatives to help troubled homeowners, potentially refinancing millions of them into fresh government-backed mortgages with lower payments. Another element of the program is meant to temporarily reduce the payments of borrowers who are unemployed. Additionally, the government will encourage lenders to write down the value of loans held by borrowers in modification programs to make their mortgages more affordable.”

Housing Wire - “The Commercial Real Estate Pretend and Extend Strategy Continues” (3-26-10)

“In a speech on the Federal Reserve exit strategy to the House of Representatives Committee on Financial Services, chairman Ben Bernanke noted that the government-led credit provision, the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) is reaching its end this month. The exception to this deadline, however is newly issued commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), and loans backed by newly issued CMBS. These will get an extra three months.”

Housing Wire“FHA Mortgage Workout Lacks Incentives and Creates Problems: Industry Sources” (3-26-10)

“Under the terms of the voluntary program, lenders will be required to write down at least 10% of the mortgage principal for borrowers who are current on their payments. The program is open to borrowers whose mortgage isn’t currently insured by the FHA. The principal reduction must bring the new FHA loan to value (LTV) to 97.75% and make the new payments account for 31% of the borrower’s monthly income. The program also offers incentives to lenders who offer borrowers with second lien mortgages similar principal reduction and refinance options. The maximum allowed LTV of the combined loans is 115%.”

Housing Wire“Fed MBS Purchases 99.5% Complete With Another $8bn” (3-26-10)

“The Fed bought a total $8.26bn of MBS this week — $3.6bn of Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.32 +2.33%) MBS, $4.1bn of Fannie Mae (FNM: 1.06 0.00%) MBS and $560m of Ginnie Mae MBS. The Fed also reported $260m of MBS sales in the same week, bringing net purchases to $8bn.”

Bloomberg - “Greenspan Takes Issue With Yellen on Fed’s Role in House Bubble” (3-26-10)

“Alan Greenspan disputed suggestions by his former central bank colleague and current San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Janet Yellen that the Fed could have headed off the housing bubble by raising interest rates.”

Bloomberg - “What happens when Fed pulls the plug” (3-26-10)

“In an odd leap, long-term Treasury yields blew up, and Wednesday was the worst single day in nine months. The 10-year Treasury note stopped at 3.88 percent, a level touched for the fifth time since last June, but the violence of this move threatens upward breakout. Meanwhile, mortgages held fairly well, inside the 5.25 percent top that has held since August. The peculiar part: Big sell-offs like this are driven by good economic news, but that’s not what we got. February sales of new and existing homes fell (new ones at the lowest pace since stats began in 1963, 303,000 annualized), and unsold inventory rose.”

Orange County Register – “How to avoid a bad contractor” (3-26-10)

“Unlicensed contractors can underbid their licensed counterparts because they often don’t pay worker’s compensation. That, according to the board, means homeowners could be liable if there is an accident. There are also fewer options for homeowners who get stuck with shoddy work.”

Realty Times“Mortgage Rates Inch up Following Bond Yields” (3-26-10)

“Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.99 percent with an average 0.6 point for the week ending March 25, 2010, up slightly from last week when it averaged 4.96 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.85 percent.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the 30-year FRM rate was at 4.85 percent. The number of pulled housing permits decreased by 50 percent from 2008 to 2009. The U.S. economy shrank 6.3 percent during the 4th quarter of 2008.

167-TNG Radio – City of Riverside 3-27-10

Friday, March 26th, 2010

Deanna Lorsen

Deanna Lorsen, Development Director with The City of Riverside

(Full Bio)

Scott Barber

Scott Barber, Code Enforcement
Director with The City of Riverside

(Full Bio)

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This week Bruce is joined once again by Deanna Lorson and Scott Barber. Deanna is the Development Director for the city of Riverside. Her job includes redevelopment, economic development, marketing, housing and neighborhoods, arts and culture, and capital projects. Deanna previously worked for the County of Riverside as the managing director of the Development Agency. Scott Barber is the Community Development Director for the city of Riverside. His job involves building safety and code enforcement. Scott has been involved in the creation of new, innovative programs for financial systems.

You may be calling on a case file that is out in the field with the officer. During that sort of situation, Scott won’t be able to answer your questions. If a lender calls for his bill, Scott will give you the bill and suspend daily penalties for 10 days. The buyer will have to pay for the fines already there, but the city will work with the buyer on getting the house rehabilitated. As long as you are making an effort to rehabilitate the property, you won’t have trouble.

The investor’s goal is to get something fixed as quickly and as well as possible, so that he or she can sell it for a profit. The city and the investor have the same goal. The problem comes in from perception, because the investor perceives property inspection as threatening. The city must make it clear that defying the rules will not be tolerated. Recently, some people in the financial industry challenged the city’s constitutional right to fine unkempt properties, but the city won. Scott lives in Riverside, and he cares about it, so he will not allow it to deteriorate.

Riverside recently rebuilt the Fox Theatre in downtown. The city used multiple funding sources to pay for its redevelopment. The performing center itself was not paid through redevelopment funds; It was paid for by a bond issuance. Redevelopment funds must be made in redevelopment project areas for specific reasons outlined in state law. The city financial officer was responsible for the bond issuance. This issuance was done before Deanna began working for the city. This bond involved a long term, fixed rate loan for the city’s capital improvement. You could compare it to having a trust deed against the future progress of the city. The decision to take on these loans is approved by the City Council.

Riverside city has a down payment assistance program. Five years ago, there was little activity in this program because prices were so high, but now that prices have declined, this program has played a significant role in encouraging long term home ownership in Riverside. This program is funded with redevelopment funds and some Federal funds. Rental assistance is primarily given from the county. However, Riverside city did receive one Federal grant for preventing homelessness. The name of the Federal program for down payment assistance is named The Home Investment Partnership. This assistance comes in the form of a “silent second”. This means the homeowner gets the maximum fixed rate mortgage that they can afford, and then the city helps pay for the gap between their mortgage amount and the home price.

There are projects that Scott handles which get his attention more quickly, and get dealt with more quickly as well. If you are involved in a project which provides a large number of jobs to the city, or if you are in danger of causing a large loss in jobs, then you can receive a discount for your utility expenses. If your project is a new development, then you get “fast track” authorization. This gives you priority treatment through planning, building and safety, and through inspections.

Riverside is one of the leaders in the Green movement for energy conservation. The city is providing a program for investors who make certain environmentally friendly changes to their investments, and Bruce thinks that investors will respond to this. Riverside is the first city to be labeled an “Emerald City” in California.

The fact that Riverside has its own resources saves it from a lot of expenses. There are many Inland Empire areas who are serviced by Edison for energy, and MWD for water. The forefathers in Riverside secured water rights for Riverside that are unmatched. The public utility programs in Riverside make energy use much cheaper for its citizens. Riverside has had a planning committee since 1915. This city has always been fortunate to have people in charge who were thoughtful of the future.

Riverside’s community surveys show that we are still having some population growth, but Scott is uncertain how accurate that information is. However, a census should be taken soon, and that will be more informative.

In 2007, the city of Riverside took a 20-year planning ahead mentality towards growth.

The city is divided into 7 equally populated wards, which are basically districts. Each ward elects a member of city council, and those wards represent the city’s governing body. The wards that receive the most redevelopment attention are those that have the most economically damaging problems.

There was a set of apartment units in Riverside which were in bad condition, but those units got fixed and eventually won an award. If someone has damaged property, they can come to the city to receive funds for repairs. The city is required to spend 20 percent of redevelopment funds on affordable housing, and part of that money goes towards new construction. However, there are very strict rules regarding what kind of projects are eligible for funding. These projects must be for long-term affordable housing.

There are 3 significant building projects in Riverside which had to be stopped after they had already begun. One of them was near Lowes. It was a condominium program, but the FDIC completely tore it down. They are currently marketing that property for development. The problem was that it sat in a raw lumber state for too long, which caused problems for the wood structure. There are two in the west side of the city, which involves a large home development. This project will not be dealt with for a while because there are 4 different banks involved in it. This is actually fairly contained damage, but the County of Riverside probably has more trouble than the city.

Thank you Deanna Lorson and Scott Barber for being a part of the TNG Radio Show.

California’s budget problem has affected Riverside’s spending. The state has decided to use some of the city’s redevelopment budget to help with the budget gap. Riverside is currently expected to pay $17 million, by May 10th of this year, to help California’s budget. Riverside’s total redevelopment budget is about $50 million, so that $17 million is a significant portion.

One year ago, a court case determined that the state could not use redevelopment funds to fix the state’s budget. Right now, the state has attorneys looking for a way to challenge that decision.

The entire budget for redevelopment comes from tax collection. Property taxes have declined in Riverside. Because Riverside is an older city, it did not experience a dramatic decline in redevelopment funds. Overall, the city has experienced a 10 percent decline in property tax revenue.

On vacant properties, it can be typical for power meters to be gone. The city might have it removed if it presents a safety standard, or it might be stolen. Some people regularly look for abandoned properties to steal from. Early in the code enforcement process, Scott’s staff will record a notice of pendency. This allows investors to have records of these homes. The city’s goal is to get homes rehabilitated and reoccupied, so the city will work with investors. The city may even do on-site inspections with you, if you truly need it.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/25/10

Thursday, March 25th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

New rules for the HAMP program may require servicers to screen borrowers for modification after only 31 days of delinquency. ForeclosureListings.com shows that California experienced an 11.9% increase in foreclosures. Freddie Mac reports the 30-year FRM rate is currently at 4.99 percent. According to the Comptroller of the Currency,  the re-default rate for modified loans is over 50 percent.

In The News:

Los Angeles Times“Bank of America to reduce mortgage principal for some borrowers” (3-25-10)

“Amid increasing government pressure to stem foreclosures, Bank of America Corp. said Wednesday that it would offer to erase as much as $3 billion in principal owed by thousands of severely delinquent borrowers who owe more than their homes are worth.”

Mercury News“Citigroup agrees to modify some second mortgages” (3-25-10)

“Citigroup on Thursday became the latest lender to commit to the government’s program to modify second mortgages as a recovery in the housing market appears to be in jeopardy. With Citi on board, now four big owners of home mortgages in the U.S. have joined the program — part of the Obama administration’s $75 billion loan modification plan aimed at reducing monthly payments to help customers stay in their homes. Bank of America, Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase already participate.”

Inman - “Home values rise in Boston, San Diego” (3-25-10)

“Radar Logic’s monthly RPX report, based on 28 days of price-per-square-foot data, found that the price per square foot rose most in Boston (up 15.5 percent, to $187.84 per square foot) year-over-year in January, and dropped most in Las Vegas (down 21.4 percent, to $76.18 per square foot) during that period.”

Housing Wire - “Treasury to Require HAMP Servicers to Step Up Outreach Efforts” (3-25-10)

“Allison announced that servicers must pursue early intervention, pre-screening every borrower that misses two or more payments to determine eligibility for HAMP and soliciting those qualifying borrowers for HAMP participation. This change encourages servicers to reach out to the borrower as early as 31 days of delinquency when the chance for homeownership retention is best, according to a supplemental directive on the changes provided to HousingWire.”

Housing Wire“ForeclosureListings: Texas Leads Nation in Foreclosure Gains” (3-25-10)

“The 35% increase of Texas foreclosures in February was the highest monthly gain of any state in the country, according to data from ForeclosureListings.com, an online foreclosure marketplace. Michigan had the second highest increase at 17.5%, followed by California at 11.9% and Florida at 4.7%.”

Housing Wire“Mortgage Rates Increase as Fed MBS Purchase Program Nears End” (3-25-10)

“Freddie Mac (FRE: 1.29 +0.78%) said the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) was 4.99% with an average 0.6 origination point for the week ending March 25, up from last week’s average of 4.96%. A year ago, the rate average was 4.85%. The Bankrate.com survey of large banks and thrifts put the average rate for a 30-year FRM at 5.11% with an average 0.41 origination point, up from last week’s average of 5.07%, but down from last year’s average of 5.19%.”

Bloomberg - “Half of U.S. Home Loan Modifications Default Again” (3-25-10)

“More than half of U.S. borrowers who received loan modifications on delinquent mortgages defaulted again after nine months, according to a federal report. The re-default rate of loans modified in the first quarter of 2009 was 51.5 percent by the end of the year, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision said in a joint report today. The figure, which measures payments at least 30 days late, climbed to 57.9 percent for changes made in the prior 12 months.”

Bloomberg - “Prepare to Pay 15% Less for New U.S. Homes: Chart of the Day” (3-25-10)

“New-home prices may have to tumble 15 percent in the U.S. before sales start to rebound, according to Michael Panzner, an author and financial blogger. ”

Looking Back:

One year ago, The MBA reported a 32 percent increase in mortgage applications from the previous season. One in five homeowners owed more on their mortgage than their house was worth. The Federal Reserve began purchasing long-term treasuries. New home sales in the U.S. increased by 4.7 percent within a month.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/23/10

Tuesday, March 23rd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the NAR, existing home sales decreased by 0.6 percent last month. The California senate has approved of a new homebuyer tax credit, which awaits approval from Governor Schwarzenegger. Nothaft claims the 30-year fixed mortgage rate will reach 5.6 percent by the end of 2010.  The Los Angeles-based home builder, KB Homes, experienced a profit loss beyond which was previously expected.

In The News:

NAR - “February Existing-Home Sales Ease with Mixed Conditions Around the Country” (3-23-10)

“Existing-home sales, which are finalized transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, slipped 0.6 percent nationally to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.02 million units in February from 5.05 million in January, but are 7.0 percent higher than the 4.69 million-unit pace in February 2009.”

CBIA - “Legislature Approves New Homebuyer Tax Credit” (3-23-10)

“The committee quickly acted on the proposal and sent it to the full Senate, where it passed by a 29-1 vote. It moved immediately to the Assembly, which approved the legislation minutes later by a 67-2 vote. It now awaits the Governor’s signature, which is expected Thursday since the proposal came from Schwarzenegger during his January State of the State address. Since then, he has made several public pitches for the tax credit, and last week sent a stern letter to legislative leaders seeking action on the tax credit and other proposals in his economic package.”

Bloomberg - “KB Home Reports Loss on Lower Revenue; Shares Fall” (3-23-10)

“KB Home, the Los Angeles-based homebuilder that sells to first-time buyers, reported a wider fiscal first-quarter loss than analysts expected as revenue declined and order growth slowed. The net loss in the quarter ended Feb. 28 was $54.7 million, or 71 cents a share, KB Home said in a statement today. It narrowed from a loss of $58.1 million, or 75 cents, a year earlier because of fewer inventory writedowns. Analysts predicted a loss of 41 cents a share, according to the average of 11 estimates in a Bloomberg survey. Revenue fell 14 percent to $264 million, the company said.”

Realty Times“Real Estate Outlook: Freddie Mac Predicts Positive Recovery” (3-23-10)

“Notehalf’s econometric models point to expansion of the U.S. economy in the 3.3 to 3.5 percent range, as measured by the Gross Domestic Product (or GDP) through 2011. In economic terms, that’s sort of a ‘not too hot, not too cold’ scenario that helps keep interest rates low and inflation under control. Nothaft forecasts average 30-year mortgage rates around 5.6 percent by the end of the year – up from today’s rates but still in historically low territory and not high enough to seriously constrain housing demand or sales.”

Housing Wire“Morgan Stanley Raises $370m to Invest in Private Equity Real Estate Funds” (3-23-10)

“Investment bank Morgan Stanley (MS: 29.53 -0.24%) is looking to seize opportunities in investing in private equity real estate funds with its recently created Phoenix Global Real Estate Secondaries platform. And so far, Phoenix is seeing success as the initial $250m capital-raising target exceeded the mark with an additional $120m raised.”

Housing Wire“House Republicans Want to Wind Down GSEs” (3-23-10)

“Republicans in the House of Representatives, led by Financial Services Committee ranking member Rep. Spencer Bachus (R-AL), authored a list of principals they wish to see as part of ‘immediate’ legislative efforts to plan for the future of the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs).”

Looking Back:

One year ago, the NAR reported a 5.1 percent increase in existing home sales within 1 month. Commercial and multifamily mortgage debt increased by $23 billion during the 4th quarter of 2008. The country’s 10 largest banks owned a total of $327.6 billion in commercial mortgages.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/22/10

Monday, March 22nd, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

The total number of failed banks so far in 2010 has now reached 37. Geithner suggests that government officials listen more to harmed families and businesses than to large financial institutions while considering a financial overhaul bill. Lennar is investing over $3 billion into distressed real estate assets. California will offer about $3.1 billion in taxable debt sales this week.

In The News:

Washinton Post“Geithner says bank overhaul must protect consumers” (3-22-10)

“Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner says the administration will not accept a financial overhaul bill that does not provide strong consumer protection and restraints on risk taking by large banks. Geithner urged lawmakers to listen to the families and businesses that were harmed by the financial crisis and not the financial institutions that brought on the crisis, the most severe to hit the country since the 1930s.”

Housing Wire - “In Housing, a Supply Problem of Epic Proportion” (3-22-10)

“Consider that 2.5 million loans, current at the start of 2009, had become 60+ days delinquent or in foreclosure by the end of January 2010, according to LPS. Compare that to the roughly 2 million loan modifications in process or processed in generally the same time frame—116,000 permanent HAMP mods + 830,000 trial HAMP mods + 1.0 million completed non-HAMP mods. It’s simple math: 2.5 million is greater than 2.0 million.”

Housing Wire“TAVMA Questions Accuracy of Appraisal Fee Report” (3-22-10)

“Title/Appraisal Vendor Management Association (TAVMA) called the dataset misleading because it doesn’t include the fees AMCs pay to appraisers, excluding two-thirds of all the appraisals conducted in the United States.”

Housing Wire“Monday Morning Cup of Coffee” (3-22-10)

“Regulators closed seven banks Friday, bringing the total number of failed banks to 37 so far in 2010. The weekly round of bank failures is estimated to cost the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.’s (FDIC) Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) $1.28bn.”

Bloomberg“Lennar Looks to Distressed Debt as Slump Persists” (3-22-10)

“Lennar Corp., the third-largest U.S. homebuilder, is investing in failed bank loans and distressed real estate assets to boost revenue as demand for new houses shows few signs of revival. The Miami-based company’s purchase last month of a share of $3.05 billion of delinquent loans seized by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.”

Bloomberg“U.S. Property Index Rises for Third Straight Month” (3-22-10)

“U.S. commercial property values rose for a third month in January as the economy grew, according to Moody’s Investors Service. The Moody’s/REAL Commercial Property Price Index climbed 1 percent from December, Moody’s said today in a report. Values are 40 percent lower than the peak in October 2007. The index fell 24 percent from a year earlier.”

Bloomberg“California to Lead Year’s Biggest Week in Taxable Bond Sales” (3-22-10)

“California, the lowest-rated state, will lead about $3.1 billion in taxable debt sales in potentially the biggest week for such issues since December as investors gain confidence in Build America Bonds. The most-populous U.S. state will offer about $2 billion in taxable notes this week, including $1.3 billion in federally subsidized Build America securities, said Tom Dresslar, spokesman for California Treasurer Bill Lockyer. Oregon’s Transportation Department will sell $556.4 million of the debt and the Arizona Board of Regents will market $164.9 million on behalf of Arizona State University.”

166-TNG Radio – City of Riverside 3-20-10

Friday, March 19th, 2010

Deanna Lorsen

Deanna Lorsen, Development Director with The City of Riverside

(Full Bio)

Scott Barber

Scott Barber, Code Enforcement
Director with The City of Riverside

(Full Bio)

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Bruce Norris is joined this week by the Development Director for the City of Riverside, Deanna Lorsen, and the Code Enforcement Director for the City of Riverside, Scott Barber. Bruce, Deanna, and Scott discuss what their jobs look like on a daily basis, their core job functions, the state of the Neighborhood Stabilization Program (NSP), how Riverside has been dealing with the funds, how Riverside works with a private trust, the type of inventory Riverside is focusing on, and much more.

California has undergone a huge shift from a massive construction boom to becoming a foreclosure heaven. This transition has been difficult for Scott. He had to reduce his work force by 34 percent. He has moved some of his valuable employees to code enforcement from planning and building safety. These people are dealing with problems related to foreclosures and abandoned properties. His work used to be evenly spread between the areas of planning, building, and code enforcement, but now his work is mostly focused on code enforcement, and building has become a very minor part of his work schedule.

When the focus of Scott’s work shifted, he had to train many of his employees for different types of work. There are certain aspects of being a code enforcement officer, which you need to be prepared for, especially when you are inspecting abandoned properties. When you are a building inspector, you are accustomed to going to a job site where someone is waiting for you with plans and instructions, but when you got to an abandoned house, there might be someone waiting for you, but they won’t be waiting with a set of plans.

The process on foreclosed properties is very paper intensive. These jobs include a lot lender communication and follow up notices. Because of all the paper records that go into these jobs, Scott’s team never loses in court.

In 2008, the National Stabilization Program was created. Riverside city received $6.6 million and Riverside County received over $45 million. This money was used very differently between the county and the city. The city focused on existing single family foreclosures. Riverside city worked on getting these foreclosed homes rehabbed and sold. The county is more focused on partnering with large developers making track homes. The county covers 7,200 square miles, so they have a much larger focus. Riverside city has the ability to pay attention to individual neighborhoods.

Riverside’s $6.6 million was allowed to be leveraged. Riverside leveraged its money by adding in another $5 million from the redevelopment funds. Then, Riverside gained a letter of credit from a bank for $20 million.

Riverside’s focus is on houses that the market will not take care, such as homes that need substantial rehabilitation. The city of Riverside also tries to focus on areas of high foreclosure density. Scott is responsible for determining which places should receive the most attention. When neighborhoods look bad, they encourage other problems to occur, so Scott’s work makes a strong impact on neighborhoods.

Even through prices have decreased, it is still hard for Riverside to buy homes. It is not easy to find out who owns a “for sale” property, and it is not easy to get a deal from the owner. Deanna has had a lot of success when working with the National Community Stabilization Trust, which is a nonprofit group who works with banks to gain inventory. This company was made specifically to deal with foreclosed properties. The banks allow this company to know where the inventory is, and then the Trust gives the city a list of eligible properties. Some weeks Deanna might receive a dozen offers, and other weeks she may not receive any.

Not all the homes that Riverside city is offered will meet the city’s standards for purchasing. Riverside focuses on buying homes that will most likely not be bought by investors or anyone else.

Once the buying process starts on a home, an inspector goes to the home and makes plans for getting the house rehabbed. The inspector then works with the contractors on doing the inspections. Scott thinks that Riverside’s staff collaboration gives the staff a huge advantage over other jurisdictions.

The city of Riverside is not allowed to make a profit on the homes it sells. This restriction limits the city’s ability to buy certain homes, because it is not good for the city to sell a home at a value lower than the average asking price of the neighborhood. If the city sells for 15 percent lower than everyone else, then other appraisals will be affected by that sale.

25 percent of Riverside’s funds produce affordable homes for families with low income. For these people, Riverside targets small unit properties, and then works with a non profit company to make the housing affordable over the long term.

The city also looks into homes that need to be demolished. Once the land is made empty, Riverside partners with a nonprofit organization to build an affordable home there. Riverside partners with the private sector at every stage of home development. The city partners with private rehabilitators and brokers, which helps to produce jobs.

There is always money that comes out of sales. When this happens, the money is reused to buy new homes. However, after five years, any money the city has received from these home sales will go back to the Federal Government.

The money Riverside received for buying homes has provided the city with many opportunities. For one, it has provided jobs to Scott and his staff. Also, there are some properties that Deanna would never have been able to take care of without extra financing. The ability to repair severely damaged homes helps not only its buyer, but also its neighborhood’s value.

There is a domino effect for neighborhoods that see improvement or damage. A large number of foreclosures in a neighborhood will cause devaluation and more foreclosures. On the other hand, increasing a homes value does the opposite.

Riverside’s Municipal Code Section 611 states that when a house becomes vacant, you must maintain it and offer it for sale or rent. If this rule is not obeyed, daily fines will be accrued. These fines encourage banks to take care of the properties.

Bruce asks Scott how he notifies a lender about a property that has become a problem. When Section 611 became active, Scott received so many complaints about unmaintained properties that his staff was not been able to keep up with them. A regular case load for an officer is 100 to 120 active cases. When this program first started, the officers were carrying over 300 cases. All they could do is respond to the calls they received.

Scott has seen so many foreclosed homes that he can now spot a foreclosed home just by driving through a neighborhood. Foreclosed homes often have brown lawns, stuff on the front porch, and evidence of a break in. This look of foreclosure is the problem that Riverside wants to address.

The fines for unkempt properties apply to all parties involved in the foreclosure. This means that owner occupants, the investor intending to buy the property, and the bank that may eventually own the property can be fined for an unkempt home. Some of the calls Scott receives about unkempt properties come from neighbors to those properties, and some from departments of other cities.

Pools on unoccupied lands are a major concern for Scott. When someone calls Scott about their concerns for a pool on a foreclosed home, he has someone get to that home that day. Scott is concerned about someone drowning in an unoccupied pool. Unfortunately, Riverside has received a lot of rain, so Scott has been very busy with getting pools re-pumped.

Lenders can be hard to get in contact with, but Scott’s staff is typically very good at finding them. However, while the party responsible for the home is being found, Scott hires someone to board-up unkempt homes. After 180 days, the city can declare an unkempt property a public nuisance, and then the city has more options available for getting rid of such problems.

Scott has never had a case in which he could not find someone with some sort of financial involvement in a property. However, loan securitization has made it more difficult. Scott’s staff uses an online tax and title service to search for people involved in unkempt homes.

The Norris Group Real Estate News Roundup 3/19/10

Friday, March 19th, 2010

Today’s News Synopsis:

According to the Labor Department, 19 cities in California have unemployment rates above 15 percent. CBIA reports the construction employment rate reached 27.1 percent in February. 113 servicers provided 170,000 permanent modifications in February. Statistics from 10 populated U.S. cities show that listing prices decreased by 1.3 percent last month.

In The News:

CNN - “35 cities suffer unemployment above 15%” (3-19-10)

“In fact, there were 35 metropolitan areas with unemployment rates at or above 15% in January. California and Michigan remain the hardest hit, with 19 cities in California showing rates above 15%, according to the Labor Department. Michigan logged the next highest number, with 6.”

CBIA - “Job Losses Continue to Mount in Construction Industry” (3-19-10)

“The construction unemployment rate reached 27.1 percent in February, a 14-year high as another 64,000 workers lost jobs during the month, according to federal employment figures. The large job losses in construction kept the nation as a whole from gaining jobs during the month. Most of the losses came in the nonresidential sector, with 53,500 losses during the month compared to 10,600 residential construction job losses.”

San Francisco Chronicle“Credit scores can drop after getting loan help” (3-19-10)

“For borrowers who are making their payments on time but are on the verge of default, the Obama administration’s loan modification program can reduce their credit score as much as 100 points. That makes it harder to get a loan and can present a problem when applying for a new job. Housing counselors say it’s unfair, especially because the news often comes as a surprise to homeowners.”

Housing Wire“FDIC Prepares $653m in RMBS Notes from Failed Bank” (3-19-10)

“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) is preparing a $653m structured financing offering, its third such platform, from assets seized from the failed Delaware-based Franklin Bank. The notes, which will carry an FDIC guaranty, are backed by prime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), DebtWire reports. The deal is part of the Structured Sale Guaranteed Notes 2010 platform. It follows the pricing of $1.81bn of notes backed by 103 non-agency RMBS. The RMBS are collateralized by 5,101 mortgages (primarily performing) and some REOs with a total unpaid balance of $1.2trn, according to the pre-sale report.”

Housing Wire“Fannie Requires Servicers to Offer Alternative for Failed HAMP Modifications” (3-19-10)

“The US Treasury Department launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. Through February, the 113 servicers provided 170,000 permanent modifications and placed more than 1m borrowers into the three-month trial modification. Though, Treasury officials admit the program is not for everyone.”

Housing Wire“Moody’s Hikes Expected Losses for Second Lien, Subprime and HELOC RMBS” (3-19-10)

“Moody’s Investors Service revised its loss projections for 2005-2007 second lien, subprime and HELOC-based US residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS). Moody’s now expects cumulative losses to average approximately 25-55% of outstanding balance for non-subprime closed-end second (CES) pools, 70-85% for subprime CES pools and 40-50% for home equity line of credit (HELOC) pools. The revisions represent more than a 50% increase for expected cumulative losses on non-subprime CES, and nearly a 20% relative increase for subprime CES and HELOC pools.”

Housing Wire“Home Prices Still Falling as Houses Continue to Sit on the Market: Altos” (3-19-10)

“The median home listing price declined 1.3% in the Altos Research 10-city composite, continuing a seven-month-long run of declining list prices in February. And even though the listing time is generally decreasing, for-sale houses still tend to go unsold for the first 100 days. The 10-city home price composite index was $479,781 in February 2010, up from the January 2009 bottom of $470,017, but down 5.75% from last year’s peak of $509,030 in July. All of the 26 markets Altos Research studies experienced a month-over-month listing price decrease, ranging from a the smallest, a 0.2% decline in Miami, to a 4.4% decrease in San Francisco.”

Housing Wire“Congress Told HAMP Will Cost $53bn Less than Expected” (3-19-10)

“The US Treasury Department initially planned to spend $75bn on the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), but in a recent report to Congress, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projected the Treasury will spend a total $22bn on the program. This figure represents total expenditures from day one of HAMP until the program expires in 2012.”

Bloomberg - “Yale Cuts Hedge Funds to Hold More Private Equity, Real Assets” (3-19-10)

“Yale University, whose endowment is the top performer in the U.S., is cutting its target allocations in hedge funds to allow for bigger stakes in private equity and real estate, the asset classes that hurt the fund last year. Yale boosted the fund’s private equity target to 26 percent from 21 percent and its real assets allocation, which includes real estate and commodities, to 37 percent from 29 percent, at its June 2009 investment committee meeting, according to a report released yesterday. The report said Yale, in New Haven, Connecticut, anticipated capital gains in those asset classes.”

Looking Back:

One year ago, 5,032 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in the Bay Area within a month. The interest rate for 30-year FRMs dropped to 4.98 percent. The FHA reported an increase in loan defaults.